SP500 : Bearish : Cycles pattern : Watch out!Look carefully at April 2005, October 2007 and Today. A "Sell Off" of 20% took place. History does not usually repeat itself, but in trading the phenomenon of cyclicals exists. It's just AMAZING! What do you think?!
In addition, the levels indicated are achievable in the medium term, 2-3 months;
In recent days, this is what happened at the macroeconomic level:
1-Jackson Hole
Result: No big impact on the markets: Dow Jones or techs.
2-NVIDIA long awaited:
Result: The action disappointed and went down
Minus 9.86% in total after closing and yesterday minus 6.38%.
Cause: Delay in the delivery of new chips, among others...
Will NVIDIA always explode the ceilings, while the competition arrives: AMD, GOOGLE, etc... with more efficient chips that do not heat up.
Technically the markets are OVERBOUGHT
so a return to the 38.2% or 50% of Fibonacci would be perfect for sellers, but also for buyers who would like to buy at a lower price!
I remind you that in trading we buy the bottoms and we sell the peaks!
Search in ideas for "Sp500"
SP500 GANN WEEKLY ANALYSIS FOR FOMC JUNE 11-12 2024S&P 500 index made at triple top on weekly timeframe at 5265 an important level on chart. Thereafter it corrected down for 3 weeks Gann Rule 2/3 weeks correction against the trend.
Index did not break the important level of 4940 with the low coming at 4953.56 on 15 Apr 2024 week. Gann wheel shows April 12 as important. Price analysis done on Square of 52. Price Cycle completes at 52460 with usual lost motion which may overthrow the level or undershoot it as per the prevailing vibrations. We are at momentum vibration level on the index which comes at 5373.32. Weekly of 5375.08 seen on 03 June 2024 candle. Prior week low was important at price cycle level of 5200 actual low at 5191.68 on 28 May 2024 weekly candle.
Market players expecting rate cuts in FOMC meet it will be interesting to see if get it and euphoria continues ahead and we meet the targets of 5460 needs to be seen. Mars and Pluto square around the same time makes it more interesting to watch it. For that we need to stay above 5373.32 and stay put above 5395 around the annoucement period.
Happy Trading !!!
N.B. Not a financial advice to buy or sell.
With usual disclaimers as applicable within the reach of this
beautiful trading analysis platform. Thanks to the developers
of the program for this opportunity to use it freely to
express our ideas to the community of traders.
S&P 500 WEEKLY GANN ANALYSIS 23 APR 2024...SP500 hit a all time high of 5284.20 in the first week of April 2024. We saw 3 weeks correction as per Gann rules against the trend. The swing 3 weeks low is at 4930 on week starting 15 Apr 2024 350 odd points down from the high. Level of 5233.50 was important for the index breaking that level we are hit the cluster support zone of 4942.70 and 4906.40. Index needs to cross above 5342.50 for further growth to happen. As long as index is below 5124.50 we may see consolidation between the zone of 4794.40 earlier swing high if it breaks below 4906.40. Important squaring level is 5329.00 and below it is 5041.00. We are using the dynamic vibrations instead of the fixed vibrations to measure the current move.
Time cycle analysis and important time and price vibrations can be seen on the chart. We saw correction near time death zone. Best shorts trade was between the half and two thirds time zone. Best long trade was after the two thirds time zone on crossover of 4252.20 and hitting the targets of 5233.50 were tsl was hit.
Happy Trading !!!
N.B. Not a finanancial advice to buy or sell.
With usual disclaimers as applicable within the reach of this
beautiful trading analysis platform. Thanks to the developers
of the programme for this opportunity to use it freely to
express our ideas to the community of traders.
S&P500 vs Nifty50 vs USDINR upto 31st Oct 2023This year, SPX is up 8.84% compared to Nifty50 up 4%. Nifty50 is plotted in USD currency so that the comparison makes more sense.
If you also look at the price actions, both the charts are showing good correlation. It will be interesting to find out how Nifty50 will close the 4.84% gap.
USDINR is up 0.59% year to date.
Whats next for S&P500 - a falling wedge breakout?Our NSE:NIFTY & NSE:BANKNIFTY is following the same chart pattern as SP:SPX
A falling wedge plus bearish descending channel with a strong horizontal support
SPX has just broken out from the falling wedge, will it breakout?
And if yes - some of that euphoria will spill onto Nifty50 as well.
SPX vs Nifty50 - currency USDNifty was leading SPX all the way till Sep 2022, after which SPX has taken over.
If US markets stay like this, the underperformance in Indian markets will create a spiraling effect.
More money will get taken out by FIIs
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Both SPX and Nifty50 are plotted in USD currency. The depreciation in INR will be accounted automatically.
S&P 500 Index Weekly Technical Chart Analysis 09-13 Sept., 24📈 S&P 500 Index Weekly Technical Chart Analysis
📅 Date: 09-13 Sept., 2024
📊 Range Trigger Point: 5393
📉 Weekly Range: 270
🟢 Buy Above: 5553
💼 Average Position: 5521
🎯 Buy Target 1: 5560
🎯 Buy Target 2: 5663
🔵 Stoploss: 5463
🔴 Sell Below: 5489
🎯 Sell Target 1: 5226
🎯 Sell Target 2: 5123
🔵 Stoploss: 5579
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Nifty - Don't forget your levels - Can It Crack! (11825)Disclaimer
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All investments involve risk, and the past performance of a security, industry, sector, market, financial product, trading strategy, or individual’s trading does not guarantee future results or returns. Investors are fully responsible for any investment decisions they make. Such decisions should be based solely on an evaluation of their financial circumstances, investment objectives, risk tolerance, and liquidity needs.
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Last Price- 11815 / 12:43 Hrs - 3rd Nov2020
Quick Recap of U.S. Index - SP500/US500
As mentioned in last Nifty update- key levels to watch
11790
11825
11870-11880
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Last SP500 / US500 Idea
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Last Nifty Idea
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Nifty - Selling at 10K Repeats!Disclaimer
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All investments involve risk, and the past performance of a security, industry, sector, market, financial product, trading strategy, or individual’s trading does not guarantee future results or returns. Investors are fully responsible for any investment decisions they make. Such decisions should be based solely on an evaluation of their financial circumstances, investment objectives, risk tolerance, and liquidity needs.
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Trading Strategy
Plan A -
Only Above 10000 or 10K - look for upside target 10170-10200 else Plan B is our favourite short term strategy
Plan B -
Continue your sell taken close to 10000 for 9800 / Below 9800 for 9700 / Below 9700 for 950-9600- Break of Yellow Channel Downside - It may drop to 9400 & lower targets as discussed.
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Last Nifty Idea -
Roller Coaster Ride 9700 -Done & Out
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Last Idea for Stock - ITC
Selling The Tops at 203
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Last Idea on Global Index - SP500
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To check older ideas use profile page & search box available on the profile page
in.tradingview.com
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Thanks for watching this idea & your precious time. Have a wonderful week ahead
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06 Sep 2024 - Nifty loses 380 pts, will Bear attack start now ?Nifty Stance Neutral ➡️
Nifty has only fallen 379.95pts ~ 1.5% this week and it is pretty early to go bearish, but the structure gives a lot of hope for a bear attack. You all might agree that we are in an overvalued territory, even if we fall 20%, we might still be overvalued.
If you look at the daily candle, a strong double top is forming. For conclusive evidence, the markets have to trade below 24086, which is 3.2% lower than the current levels.
US markets fell last week and have a better-looking double top than ours. Again for conclusive evidence, we may need SPX to trade below 5137 which is like 5% below current levels.
I am maintaining a neutral stance and would like to go short if 24537 is getting taken out next week. Personally, I do not see us dropping below 24200 this week (I have short positions @ 24200 PE and may have to run for cover if we test those levels by Tuesday).
Q&A_ Why is Nifty50 still strong whereas SPX is in a bear grip?Namaste!
Currently, Nifty is trading near very important levels. This was the important resistance (because of lot of consolidation happening between Jun-July 2021), which became a support after the breakout. It has been tested twice since the July breakout.
S&P 500 fell into bear market yesterday as far as daily close is considered. But, I am not convinced 100% of this happening, because Dow Jones is still hasn't got into bear market yet. I will be convinced >90% if SPX closes below 3854.90 in weekly chart .
Q: Why is Nifty still strong as compared to US markets.
A: 1st reason is that, the fund houses, hedge funds, investors and FIIs may be moving money from weak US markets to comparably strong Indian markets. 2nd reason is that since it is a very strong support, market have to consolidate a little before moving below (15600 Nifty level).
Q: Will we see bear market in Nifty soon?
A: Well, if DJI slips into bear market too, then there is a very high probability that we will.
Q: Should we wait for a bear market to start investing?
A: NO. There are many stocks in Sensex and Nifty which became undervalued due to this bearish plunge. You should to find such stocks and get into it without waiting for more downfall.
Disclaimer: I am not an expert or professional degree holder into the field of investing. The views and analysis I have shared is of my own, based on my understanding. Please do your own due diligence before any activity.