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PostMortem on BankNifty Today & Analysis of 30 DEC 2022Quite a boring day today with bank nifty, maybe the bulls would have already started partying for the wonderful year they had in 2022. 21% return on investment for bank nifty this current calendar year - why would the bulls not party? BN gap'd up at 43401 and was falling gradually, there was an interesting candle at 09.30 & equally interesting counter move at 09.35 and right after that the bulls would have just signed off for the day. A narrow range bound trade with a minor negative bias - and then another strong red candle at 15.00. That candle alone had a 0.8% fall, but it took support at the SR band 42888 and over the next 5 candle BN retraced half of that quick plunge. The day was otherwise boring with pretty low volumes. The closing minutes of trade the OTM CE options premiums were surging hinting at a heavy call writing overnight position. Look at the daily chart of bank nifty - 17th June 32290 to 42986 on 30th Dec. 10696 points mega rally. And all these when the SP500, NDQ falling and returning negative returns for the year. Some real credit has to be given to the investors - who are now sitting on handsome profits. Feeling sad for the bears who thought Indian markets will follow the same slope as the global peers - i am also a disappointed bear this year ! As i always say its good to have a view, make money if the view is right. Also try not to lose if the market goes the other way. Over the weekned i will be redrawing the decade old trend lines to see & speculate the next few month's moves. Dont worry - none of my predictions has worked, but i dont lose optimism when i analyze. How 2023 will shape up, nobody will know. But few option strategies will stay evergreen which i believe will benefit you. 1. If the markets are not making huge sized red or green candles - there is a high possibility that the week could be range bound. Plan to deploy short iron fly and make adjustments if the view goes against. 2. If the moves are above the ATR (normal swing range) plan to deploy a debit ratio spread 1:2 or 2:3 or 3:5 and wait 3. Expiry trading will always make money - sell naked calls or puts with a stop loss - either boom or bust. 4. Go for credit spreads if you feel markets will go in the direction you have in mind - the max loss is preset so that you dont have to worry if the market goes against you. 5. Need not mix futures trading with options - options alone can do the work of futures at a lower transaction costs. To summarize i would say the ratio spreads are the best instrument there is, probably i will publish a thesis in near future on why its the 9th wonder of the world (8th wonder would be the law of compounding interest). Thats because it can be theoretically programmed to have a 99.99% profit outcome any day, any trade. May be i will take 2 to 3 more years to achieve that - till then ratio spreads will be in my arsenal for the intraday trades that i take. Wish you a happy new year ! And hope your plans will come true in 2023 as it did in 2022 ! Cheers!
NSE:BANKNIFTY
by viswaram
#Nifty 2nd August 2022 || Falcon Trader Analysis for #Nifty50It looks like we have reached a zone for now that has strong resistance area. Breaking above this seems very unlikely in next few days. I can be wrong because market does what market does. I will be ready to short if I get red candle closing below previous green candle low. That is simple trigger line concept that always works for me. This seems to be wave 2 on monthly chart - I am analysing all this with DJI and SP500 More on this later. Enjoy trading, don't trade against the trend because market is always right.
NSE:NIFTYShort
by Falcon_Trader_1
FACEBOOK Crazy Idea 280SWING ON FACEBOOK You cant cuck the Zuck usually. Good news may be coming, and the competition to buy a fading app (TikTok) while FB is investing (without paying ludicrous amount of money) in their own can push the price up this week. Price is squeezed....but no much volume in the market.. when it will be back we are going to see a nice swing imho. Watch out for Market Crash Stop loss 1% under current price or when break the below structure. PRICE TARGET 1 274 TARGET 2 280 if SP500 continues the bull run!
NASDAQ:METALong
by Ankel-ssj
Reliance-Wave Talks Part 2- Careful at 1600 Highs/Nifty/DowJonesDisclaimer ----------------------------- All investments involve risk, and the past performance of a security, industry, sector, market, financial product, trading strategy, or individual’s trading does not guarantee future results or returns. Investors are fully responsible for any investment decisions they make. Such decisions should be based solely on an evaluation of their financial circumstances, investment objectives, risk tolerance, and liquidity needs. Saturn when about to enter Capricorn in Jan 2020 - Had resulted into Global Pandemic- Covid19 (Corona Virus) - Saturn Moved out of Capricorn in late March 2020 & resulted in Global Index bounce almost retracing 80% in Dow Jones & SP500 & price-wise it has done very similar activity as it did 90 years ago in the 1930s Now, Saturn retrograde (reverse) (July-Dec 2020) -if planets are going to repeat the same path -it is very obvious that the same set of activities shall be repeated by all of us. My dear followers, I would suggest only one thing to be cautious at every push upside. Don't trade using emotions -Let market show you the next way round - So, get ready for yet another exciting journey. -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Trading Strategy -------------------- Plan A ( Long Term Analysis) Selling From The Tops for 1395 / Below 1395 for 870 Plan B (Short Term Strategy- Sell) Holding Below 1800 Levels Strictly - Short Term Sell for 1750 (Target 1) / 1700 (Target 2) Plan C (Short Term Strategy - Buy) Buying if holds 1700 & close by levels for new all-time high 1800 (Target 1) / 1850 (Target 2) ---Follow Plan A (Long Term Strategy) once tops form ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- TradingView Profile Page to check older ideas in.tradingview.com --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Thanks for watching this video & your precious time.
NSE:RELIANCE
by WaveTalks
46
Nifty - Roller Coaster Ride 9700- Done & Out!Disclaimer ----------------------------- All investments involve risk, and the past performance of a security, industry, sector, market, financial product, trading strategy, or individual’s trading does not guarantee future results or returns. Investors are fully responsible for any investment decisions they make. Such decisions should be based solely on an evaluation of their financial circumstances, investment objectives, risk tolerance, and liquidity needs. ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Trading Strategy Plan A - Global Markets Positive as of current session -16th June 2020. Tomorrow, Nifty can open gap up above 9900 - Holding above 9900 levels - Targets can be 10000 / 10170-10200 zone Plan B - If stops at channel top in 10170-10200 zone or close by levels then get ready if Index starts falling first & you join them later for downside target from the tops of 10170-10200 to 9900 / Below 9900 -9800 / Below 9800 -9700 / Below 9700 for 9550-9600 (Yellow Channel Support) Plan C - Breaking of Yellow Channel Shown on downside & below 9550-9600 key zone -Expect Targets 9375-9400 / Below 9375 for 9175-9200 / Below 9150 for 9000 / Below 8950 for 8700 & lower targets. ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Last Stock Idea - ITC Selling The Tops at 203 Highs ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Last Idea on S&P500 Index --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- TradingView Profile Page- To check older ideas in.tradingview.com -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Thanks for watching this idea & your precious time. Have a wonderful week ahead
NSE:NIFTY
by WaveTalks
39
S&P 500 – Prepares for the rise to 3.000 pointsHello, we will see a tremendous increase to 3,000 points after the correction that has just begun ends in the green tradingbox you can see in the chart above. I think that the big correction since all-time-high is done as a triangle. Since then the bulls are laying the basis for new highs: 1-2 Elliott-wave impulsive setup (these setups are the basic pattern of waves with an impulsive character). Where we are standing? Since the end of wave 4 (purple in brackets) the SP500 0.33% built a huge first wave (blue in brackets), which now goes into a wave 2 correction pattern. Most of the time second waves retrace the first ones by over 50%, and that’s why second waves are perfect entry-points. I think that we are going to complete wave 2 in the green box shown in the chart above. For me it’s a perfect chance to place long orders. Where do we go? After completion of wave 2 (blue in brackets in between the green tradingbox), we will most likely see an increase with goals beyond 3,000 points. And that's why we should prepare ourselves for this very long way. But: If I am not right and the S&P 500 0.33% goes down under 2,588 points, then we will see new lows as shown in the chart below (then there will be other opportunities to trade the trend): Please leave a comment or a message, if you have any questions! Take care tgo
OANDA:SPX500USDLong
by HK-Capital-Management
4