Stock: RESTAURANT BRAND ASIA LTD, In end of Accumulation Phase.The Basic Principles: Three Wyckoff Laws
PS—preliminary support, where substantial buying begins to provide pronounced support after a prolonged down-move. Volume increases and price spread widens, signaling that the down-move may be approaching its end.
SC—selling climax , the point at which widening spread and selling pressure usually climaxes and heavy or panicky selling by the public is being absorbed by larger professional interests at or near a bottom. Often price will close well off the low in a SC, reflecting the buying by these large interests.
AR—automatic rally, which occurs because intense selling pressure has greatly diminished. A wave of buying easily pushes prices up; this is further fueled by short covering. The high of this rally will help define the upper boundary of an accumulation TR.
ST—secondary test , in which price revisits the area of the SC to test the supply/demand balance at these levels. If a bottom is to be confirmed, volume and price spread should be significantly diminished as the market approaches support in the area of the SC. It is common to have multiple STs after a SC.
Test —Large operators always test the market for supply throughout a TR (e.g., STs and springs) and at key points during a price advance. If considerable supply emerges on a test, the market is often not ready to be marked up. A spring is often followed by one or more tests; a successful test (indicating that further price increases will follow) typically makes a higher low on lesser volume.
SOS—sign of strength , a price advance on increasing spread and relatively higher volume. Often a SOS takes place after a spring, validating the analyst’s interpretation of that prior action.
LPS —last point of support , the low point of a reaction or pullback after a SOS. Backing up to an LPS means a pullback to support that was formerly resistance, on diminished spread and volume. On some charts, there may be more than one LPS, despite the ostensibly singular precision of this term.
BU—“back-up”. This term is short-hand for a colorful metaphor coined by Robert Evans, one of the leading teachers of the Wyckoff method from the 1930s to the 1960s. Evans analogized the SOS to a “jump across the creek” of price resistance, and the “back up to the creek” represented both short-term profit-taking and a test for additional supply around the area of resistance. A back-up is a common structural element preceding a more substantial price mark-up, and can take on a variety of forms, including a simple pullback or a new TR at a higher level.
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Hinudstan copper, still long way to go.Accumulation: Wyckoff Events
PS—preliminary support , where substantial buying begins to provide pronounced support after a prolonged down-move. Volume increases and price spread widens, signaling that the down-move may be approaching its end.
SC—selling climax , the point at which widening spread and selling pressure usually climaxes and heavy or panicky selling by the public is being absorbed by larger professional interests at or near a bottom. Often price will close well off the low in a SC, reflecting the buying by these large interests.
AR—automatic rally , which occurs because intense selling pressure has greatly diminished. A wave of buying easily pushes prices up; this is further fueled by short covering. The high of this rally will help define the upper boundary of an accumulation TR.
ST—secondary test , in which price revisits the area of the SC to test the supply/demand balance at these levels. If a bottom is to be confirmed, volume and price spread should be significantly diminished as the market approaches support in the area of the SC. It is common to have multiple STs after a SC.
Springs or shakeouts usually occur late within a TR and allow the stock’s dominant players to make a definitive test of available supply before a markup campaign unfolds. A “spring” takes price below the low of the TR and then reverses to close within the TR; this action allows large interests to mislead the public about the future trend direction and to acquire additional shares at bargain prices. A terminal shakeout at the end of an accumulation TR is like a spring on steroids. Shakeouts may also occur once a price advance has started, with rapid downward movement intended to induce retail traders and investors in long positions to sell their shares to large operators. However, springs and terminal shakeouts are not required elements: Accumulation Schematic 1 depicts a spring, while Accumulation Schematic 2 shows a TR without a spring.
Test —Large operators always test the market for supply throughout a TR (e.g., STs and springs) and at key points during a price advance. If considerable supply emerges on a test, the market is often not ready to be marked up. A spring is often followed by one or more tests; a successful test (indicating that further price increases will follow) typically makes a higher low on lesser volume.
SOS —sign of strength, a price advance on increasing spread and relatively higher volume. Often a SOS takes place after a spring, validating the analyst’s interpretation of that prior action.
LPS —last point of support, the low point of a reaction or pullback after a SOS. Backing up to an LPS means a pullback to support that was formerly resistance, on diminished spread and volume. On some charts, there may be more than one LPS, despite the ostensibly singular precision of this term.
BU —“back-up”. This term is short-hand for a colorful metaphor coined by Robert Evans, one of the leading teachers of the Wyckoff method from the 1930s to the 1960s. Evans analogized the SOS to a “jump across the creek” of price resistance, and the “back up to the creek” represented both short-term profit-taking and a test for additional supply around the area of resistance. A back-up is a common structural element preceding a more substantial price mark-up, and can take on a variety of forms, including a simple pullback or a new TR at a higher level.
Text taken from school.stockcharts.com
Note : You'll never get everything as per text book theory. You always need to modify some parts as required. Bookish knowledge and reality is not exact.
Probable profit booking zones.
Review the charts at each level, book profit accordingly.
Targets are set based on my observations of various stocks like NSE:TANLA , BSE:VENKYS , NSE:MASTEK etc. you can check monthly charts and compare it with this chart.
Your own analysis is expected before taking potions. Blindly following and entering can land you in trouble. Don't get carried away by targets as they are multibagger type. Analyze at each level and book profit accordingly. Nothing works 100% in live market, you need to act accordingly to the changing circumstances.
$1000 fakeout!In the 45min(scalping group), price action bounced down from the basis(the green dotted) indicating a fakeout. I think it will bounce down until 27K possibly 24k(basis in the weekly timeframe) and form a new trading range. I cannot comment on whether it may bounce up on resume downward motion, but I'd say the odds are that we go down.
Note: if we go down below 28K, the weekly would form a gravestone doji scaring a tonne of people who just go by candlestick patterns.
I'm using "Bollinger Bands Fibonacci ratios" by Shizaru available in the public library, you may use Bollinger bands(bad ass) by WyckOffMode too and I recommend you watch his videos(I personally consider him as my online mentor)
bajaj corp preparing for uptrendprice volume chart
forum.valuepickr.com
economictimes.indiatimes.com
an article from 21st aug, margins are going to see pressure as the lag to see the crude really hurting such a company is finally over… although, the q2 is supposed to be good in vol and value terms, and the demand tragectory form the target market-rural india , is ontrack of revival and finally sense of acquisition with total cost of acquisition arounf 700-800cr, with 1to 1 cash debt ratio of funding…
previous ideas-
this is actually at the lps formation of a 3 year wyckoff reaccumularion as mentioned in this idea
the absorption idea..
disclaimer... not an investing/trading reommendation
Entry planning with Reaccumulation schematics in BLSThe present support base as mentioned is a planned long entry, which is supposed to be a shakeout..
What happens after that support base is formed will be interesting...
what breaks the schematics if the correction goes on to the 1.62AB=CD level as mentioned in the lower portion of the chart , below the 62% correction level..at the price of 138 around...
Personally this is a very long term scrip for me , so no stop loss used....
the visibility about the punjab receivables come back within this fiscal , as budgeted by the punjab government and the new UK contract with strategic alliance with Sopra Steria, which is a french IT company, definitely calls for a good trajectory in the vision, in such a scenario, it wont be surprising to see the Wyckoff reaccumualtion schematics in the sub 200 price range..
the UK contract is worth 100billion rupee with a 3 year tenure, extendable upto 5 years... VAlue added services to be changed extra over and above this base rate...
Basically, what the UK contract does is, it will atleast offset , the punjab revenue loss, for which the market did a massive knife fall and downrated the stock..
The wyckoff schematics is believed to be in phase A now...
The punjab revenue that is still being clocked in the notice period which is being served till june 2018, will cease to be exist in Q2fy19..
so Q2 result is expected to be the poorest of all the quarterly earnings in past 1 year plus... further shakeouts are expected during that time later this year... The earnings are expected to pick up form Q2 onwards when the uk contract is expected to generate revenue..
Back in january 2018, when the punjab news hit the exchanges officially, i had a conversation with the CFO and the management, where they mentioned about this UK contract didnt name it then, but mentioned it to be huge project thats incoming] and along with it they mentioned 1 to 2 more projects that are gonna come in later half of the year....
In the conference call, they were mentioning that VFS still handles the international visa processing to UK, the contract to be remain effect only till q3fy19 around, which they also expect to outbid and bag it...
Keeping in line with the possibility of gaining incremental market share in the lucrative visa processing business and the robust untapped potential in the egov space both nationally and internationally, bls international is definitely one of the scrips i am bullish about in the very long run,...
Disclaimer.. Invested and averaging...
Not an investing/trading recommendation
Acrysil- Support sling action expectedThere is a slightly formed bearish deep crab formation..
For fundamentals and the main wyckoff working chart, refer to this idea...
Updates from q4 concall will be posted soon here or the main chart..
Disclaimer.. invested and averaging
NOT an investing/trading recommedation
GIC Housing Finance-the cheap gets cheaperGradual asset quality improvement and good financial performance qoq makes this script a must watch in an otherwise stellar valuation section of business..
Disclaimer.. Not invested, tracking fundamentals, not an investing /trading recommendation
NSE:GICHSGFIN BSE:GICHSGFIN
2014 WAS A DISTRIBUTION PATTERN, PRESENT PATTERN IS ACCUMULATIONThere is a completely different operator game that is happening, back then there was a redistribution... where the retail were being trapped in buy in...
In 2018 current pattern, the opposite is happening, there is clear signs of accumulation till now, but will be only confirmed, on MARK UP....
I will update the present structure complete to show the contrast..
Disclaimer... m personal view, not an investing/trading recommendation
Trading GMD (HOSE) stock using the Wyckoff method 2025I believe that GMD stock is currently undergoing a "spring" phase in Phase C of its market structure. The stock has already completed Phases A and B and is gradually forming Phase C with the creation of a spring pattern.
Next, if the stock shows a strong upward movement accompanied by high volume, this would serve as confirmation. At this point, it would be possible to buy the stock and consider increasing the position when the stock tests the Last Point of Support (LPS).
The profit-taking target for GMD stock is in the price range of 75,000 - 80,000 VND.
Trading HPG stock using the Wyckoff method 2025I believe that HPG is currently in phase B, gradually forming phase C of the accumulation process. In the near future, pay attention to a potential spring with decreasing volume, the price breaking below 25 with low volume, and a confirmation session (SOS) accompanied by low volume, as these could be signals to buy HPG shares. Consider increasing holdings when an LPS occurs. The near-term target when HPG enters the price increase phase is in the 34-36 price range.
DLFafter completing wyckoff accumulation bullish pattern, stock has shown weakness to sustain at higher level.
as of now it is in sideway range. Once 810 level is broken it may try to form "M" pattern
Lets wait and watch if this pattern is completed successfully
I do expect it to take minimum 3 months
Gold Price Forecast: Liquidity Grab Likely Before Rally to New HThe price seems to be consolidating within the ascending triangle, Price is testing the confluence of the descending trendline and the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level.
This area has historically acted as a rejection zone.
Price is likely to reject this level and push downward to sweep liquidity below recent swing lows near 2,600 or 2585 area.
After liquidity is swept, price could form a spring (Wyckoff reaccumulation) and provide a strong buy signal which can push price towards 2800.
(Expecting a pullback but this does not mean that I want to short gold, I am still waiting for a good buy area, if gold deliver this kind of move then that will be a good setup for swing buy)