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Identifying Winning Sectors Before the Big MoveIn this video, we dive deep into how to identify winning sectors before they make their big moves—with a real-world case study on the EMS (Electronic Manufacturing Services) sector. You'll learn: How to spot early signs of sector strength using price action and volume. Why the EMS sector is showing promising signs based on recent market behavior. Whether you're a swing trader, positional investor, or just looking to sharpen your edge—this video will equip you with actionable insights to stay ahead of the curve. ⚠️ Important: Market conditions are getting better, Position size 20% per Trade. Protect Capital Always ⚠️ Important: Always Exit the trade before any Event. ⚠️ Important: Always maintain your Risk:Reward Ratio as 1:2, with this RR, you only need a 33% win rate to Breakeven. ✅Like and follow to never miss a new idea!✅ Disclaimer: I am not SEBI Registered Advisor. My posts are purely for training and educational purposes. Eat🍜 Sleep😴 TradingView📈 Repeat 🔁 Happy learning with MMT. Cheers!🥂
NSE:SYRMALong
by MMT_MakeMoneyTrading
Nifty Finance Fuels Market Recovery with 5% Weekly Leap◉ Nifty Finance Sector Outlook NSE:CNXFINANCE ● The finance sector is exhibiting a bullish trend, with the Nifty Financial Services Index gaining over 5% in the past week. ● The index is currently moving within a rising parallel channel, having rebounded strongly from its trendline support. ● It is now approaching a key resistance zone, and a decisive breakout above this level could signal further upward momentum. ● For the uptrend to sustain, the index must breach and hold above this resistance. Here’s a look at some promising stocks from the sector that could see potential upside: ◉ ICICI Bank NSE:ICICIBANK ● The stock has mirrored the index's pattern, displaying strong bullish momentum. ● It is currently trading just below its all-time high, with the potential to break through and set new records. ● Increasing trading volumes further reinforce the bullish sentiment, indicating strong buyer interest. ◉ Kotak Mahindra Bank NSE:KOTAKBANK ● After a prolonged consolidation phase, the stock has broken out of a downward-trending parallel channel. ● This breakout positions the stock for further upside movement, marking a potential shift in its trend. ◉ Bajaj Finance NSE:BAJFINANCE ● The stock has been in an extended consolidation phase, forming an Ascending Triangle pattern. ● Following a successful breakout from this pattern, the stock has shown resilience and is now poised for an upward move.
NSE:CNXFINANCELong
by GoodluckCapital
Specialty Chemicals Sees Sharp Rise on Refrigerant Price Hike◉ Key Takeaways ● The phasing down of HFCs in the U.S. is driving significant changes in the refrigerant market. ● Indian specialty chemicals companies, particularly those involved in refrigerant production, are poised to benefit from this market shift. ● The demand-supply imbalance in the refrigerant gas segment is expected to persist, creating favourable conditions for industry growth. ◉ Introduction On January 9, 2025, the Indian specialty chemicals sector witnessed a significant surge, driven by a sharp increase in refrigerant gas prices. This surge was primarily attributed to the phasing down of hydrofluorocarbons (HFCs) in the United States, as mandated by the U.S. Environmental Protection Agency (EPA). ◉ Market Dynamics ● Phasing down HFCs: The EPA aims to reduce hydrofluorocarbon (HFC) emissions by 85% over the next 15 years. This will impact the production and pricing of refrigerants. ● Refrigerant price increases: As HFC production declines, prices for existing refrigerants like R-410A and R-22 may rise. This could lead to higher costs for consumers and businesses. ● New refrigerant alternatives: The industry is shifting towards alternative refrigerants with lower global warming potential (GWP), such as R-32, R-454B, and R-1234yf. These alternatives may become more widely adopted and affordable. ◉ Impact on Indian Companies The surge in refrigerant gas prices significantly benefited leading Indian players: ● SRF NSE:SRF and Navin Fluorine NSE:NAVINFLUOR : These companies were prominent beneficiaries, witnessing a remarkable 14% increase in their stock prices. ● Financial Gains: Analysts estimate that every $1/kg increase in R32 prices could boost SRF's EBITDA by ₹260 crore and Navin Fluorine's by ₹77 crore. ● Capacity Expansion: With SRF's production capacity for R32 at approximately 29,000 to 30,000 tons and plans for Navin Fluorine to double its capacity from 4,500 tons to 9,000 tons by February 2025, both companies are well-positioned to capitalize on this market shift. ◉ Wider Market Impact The price hike triggered a broader rally in the specialty chemicals sector, with companies like Balaji Amines NSE:BALAMINES and Alkyl Amines NSE:ALKYLAMINE also witnessing stock price increases. ◉ Future Outlook As the U.S. transitions to more environmentally friendly refrigerants, the dynamics of supply and pricing for these alternatives are likely to continue evolving. This evolving landscape presents significant opportunities for Indian specialty chemicals companies that are well-positioned to capitalize on the growing demand for these new-generation refrigerants.
NSE:SRFLong
by GoodluckCapital
FMCG SECTOR - Overview | Educational PostWhy the FMCG Sector is a Must-Have for Long-Term Investment - I am highly bullish on the Fast-Moving Consumer Goods (FMCG) sector, particularly in the context of a booming economy like India's This sector is fundamentally driven by the robust Indian consumption theme, which continues to expand rapidly due to the country’s growing middle class, increasing urbanization, and rising disposable incomes. - For those looking to build a robust and resilient investment portfolio, the FMCG sector is indispensable. Its alignment with the Indian consumption growth story, coupled with its recession-proof nature, makes it a compelling long-term play. Including FMCG stocks in your portfolio can provide both stability and growth, making it a must-have sector for any prudent investor. MONTHLY TF VIEW: I) Key Drivers of FMCG Sector Growth 1. Stable Demand: FMCG products, ranging from food and beverages to household and personal care items, are essential for daily life. This ensures a steady and non-cyclical demand, making the sector resilient to economic fluctuations. 2. Consumer Behavior: Indian consumers are becoming increasingly brand-conscious and willing to spend more on quality and convenience, driving premiumization trends within the FMCG space. 3. Urbanization and Lifestyle Changes: With more people moving to urban areas, there is a noticeable shift towards packaged and ready-to-use products. This urbanization trend is set to continue, providing a sustained growth trajectory for FMCG companies. II) Recession-Proof Investment The FMCG sector is renowned for its defensive characteristics, especially during economic downturns. Even in times of recession, the consumption of essential goods remains relatively unaffected. We can see how the sector managed to outperfrom even in COVID pandemic like situation. This recession-proof nature provides a safeguard for investors, ensuring stable returns even in volatile market conditions. III) Long-Term Investment Theme Investing in the FMCG sector is not just about stability; it’s about tapping into a growth story that aligns perfectly with India's long-term economic prospects. Companies in this sector are continuously innovating, expanding their product lines, and enhancing distribution networks to capture greater market share. - Stay tuned for further insights, updates and trade safely! - These are my personal views. - If you liked the analysis, don't forget to leave a comment and boost the post. Happy trading! Disclaimer: This is NOT a buy/sell recommendation. This post is meant for learning purposes only. Please, do your due diligence before investing. Thanks & Regards, Anubrata Ray
NSE:CNXFMCGLong
by SuperNova396
The Outperformer's Guide: Top Stocks from Each SectorThis analysis highlights key sectors and stocks to watch. 1. Nifty IT NSE:CNXIT ● The Nifty IT sector has demonstrated resilience during the recent negative market sentiments. ● Notably, it has formed a Descending Broadening Wedge pattern and expected to breakout soon. ➖ Stock to Watch - Coforge NSE:COFORGE ● The stock is currently trading just below its all-time high with a strong uptrend. ● Investors can consider accumulating shares on any dips. 2. Nifty Finance NSE:CNXFINANCE ● The Nifty Finance sector has recently breached its trendline support and is now approaching its next key support level, ranging from 22,500 to 22,700. ➖ Stock to Watch - Axis Bank NSE:AXISBANK ● The stock is currently trading at its support level, offering a potential short to mid-term trading opportunity. 3. Nifty PSU Bank NSE:CNXPSUBANK ● The Nifty PSU Bank sector has consolidated within a range and is nearing its support zone. ➖ Stocks to Watch - State Bank of India NSE:SBIN ● The stock is approaching its trendline support level. ● A buying opportunity may arise if the price reaches the 770 level. 4. Nifty Pharma NSE:CNXPHARMA ● After experiencing a downturn, the Nifty Pharma sector is now approaching its trendline support level. ➖ Stocks to Watch - Divis Laboratories NSE:DIVISLAB ● The price is overall in an uptrend. ● Following a record peak, the stock is now nearing its trendline support level. ● The best buy zone is between 5,500 and 5,600. 5. Nifty Media NSE:CNXMEDIA ● The Nifty Media sector is expected to witness a potential pullback towards the 1,720-1,760 level. ➖ Stocks to Watch - Network18 Media NSE:NETWORK18 ● The stock is trading just above its trendline support zone, presenting a short to mid-term trading opportunity. 6. Nifty Realty NSE:CNXREALTY ● The Nifty Realty index is currently trading above its support zone. ➖ Stocks to Watch - Oberoi Realty NSE:OBEROIRLTY ● The stock is trading at the support zone and expected to rise soon. 7. Nifty FMCG NSE:CNXFMCG ● After a downfall, index is approaching its trendline support level ➖ Stocks to Watch - Varun Beverages NSE:VBL ● VBL is trading above its support zone, offering a short to mid-term trading opportunity. 8. Nifty Metal NSE:CNXMETAL ● The Nifty Metal sector is trading above its support zone, ➖ Stocks to Watch - Ratnamani Metals & Tubes NSE:RATNAMANI ● The stock price has formed an Ascending Triangle pattern and is currently trading above the support level. 9. Nifty Oil & Gas NSE:NIFTY_OIL_AND_GAS ● The Nifty Oil & Gas sector is also trading above its support zone. ➖ Stocks to Watch - Aegis Logistics NSE:AEGISLOG ● The stock price is close to breaking through its trendline resistance. ● If it can maintain its position above this level, a rally may be imminent. 10. Nifty Auto NSE:CNXAUTO ● Lastly, the Nifty Auto sector is trading above its support zone. ➖ Stocks to Watch - Eicher Motors NSE:EICHERMOT ● Eicher Motors is consolidating within a rectangle pattern, indicating a potential breakout.
NSE:CNXITLong
by GoodluckCapital
2
NIFTY IT Break Down Before US ElectionNifty IT is currently break down and negative trend in before the us election. In the current market correction this is the one of the most positive and attractive sector in the indian market but this week the price is fall Nifty IT Company in the FII Friendly but Huge selling in the FII Less impact in the market. Now currently my point of the view after the US Election ( If Donald Trump Win ) One time this is show in the deep correction, but we are bullish because this is the more beneficial of the Interest rate cut
NSE:CNXITLong
by Anuragsahu001
Realty & Auto: Massive sell-off opens up a chance for shorting!REALTY Following an impressive bull run, the index has begun to consolidate and has taken the shape of a Rounding Top pattern. With significant selling pressure, the index is currently hovering around its trendline support level, which also happens to be the neckline of the Rounding Top pattern. If the trendline is breached, we could potentially witness a correction in the real estate sector. This sell-off presents an opportunity to take short positions in stocks like DLF, Godrej Properties etc. AUTO The automotive industry has experienced a significant increase and is one of the key sectors contributing to the strong rally of Nifty. Following a period of consolidation, a breakout occurred but the index encountered a notable rejection at its all-time high. Following a significant gap, the auto index dropped and is anticipated to decline even further. Given this situation, there is a chance to open short positions in certain stocks such as M&M, Escorts etc.
NSE:CNXREALTYShort
by GoodluckCapital
Nifty Pharma: Displaying Strength at the Summit(1) The price has been consistently trending upwards over the past year. (2) Following the breakout of the Pole & Flag pattern, the price surged sharply. (3) Subsequently, the price entered an accumulation phase and began consolidating within a Box pattern, which is a positive sign after a strong rally. (4) After 3 months of consolidation, the price finally broke out and started moving upwards. (5) The price is currently at its all-time high and appears poised to continue rising.
NSE:CNXPHARMA
by GoodluckCapital
4
BUDGET 2024: Technical Outlook & Money Flow in Different SectorsNSE IT SECTORS NSE:CNXIT TREND: POSITIVE India IT sector is currently on an upward trend. After a bullish Pole & Flag pattern was spotted on the chart, a breakout occurred leading to a surge in index and the formation of a bullish Pennant pattern. Encountering resistance at the 38,600 level, the IT index underwent a correction and consolidation phase. During this consolidation, a Rounding Bottom pattern emerged, suggesting a potential continuation of the trend. Since the breakout, the index has successfully maintained levels above the breakout point and is steadily climbing higher. NSE FMCG SECTORS NSE:CNXFMCG TREND: POSITIVE The chart shows a strong uptrend. In the past, there was a bullish Pole & Flag pattern formation, resulting in a surge after the breakout. The index faced significant resistance at 58,000, causing a correction and consolidation. A Cup & Handle pattern appeared emerged in the chart, suggesting a potential continuation of the trend. The recent breakout in the cup & handle pattern suggests that the FMCG index has managed to stay above the breakout level and is gradually moving higher. NSE METAL SECTORS NSE:CNXMETAL TREND: NEGATIVE The metal industry underwent a period of consolidation time and again in the past. Reaching a peak near the 10,200 level, the metal index consolidated again, and a recent breakdown suggests a potential downward movement. Looking at the downside, the 8,800 level could serve as a solid support, leading to a possible rebound in the index. NSE MEDIA SECTOR NSE:CNXMEDIA TREND: NEGATIVE A bullish Ascending Triangle pattern was visible in the chart earlier. Instead of breaking upwards, the index experienced a breakdown, marked by a powerful bearish marubozu candle. Furthermore, the support level was breached, leading to a notable decline. The index eventually found support and traded within a box pattern. Following the breakout, the index rallied but encountered resistance at the former support level, now acting as a resistance post-breakdown. It is anticipated that the Media index will continue to decline and potentially find support around the 1,750 level.
NSE:CNXITEducation
by GoodluckCapital
Nifty FMCG - Price Action Indicates Robust Growth The chart clearly indicates that the index is experiencing a robust uptrend. Earlier, the price formed a bullish Pole & Flag pattern and surged upwards after breaking out. The index encountered a strong rejection near the 58,000 level, leading to a correction and deep consolidation. Despite attempting to surpass the resistance level, the price failed. Following a recent breakout, the price has successfully maintained its position above the breakout level, signalling a positive trend. Additionally, the current RSI is above 60, indicating the strength of the index.
NSE:CNXFMCGLong
by GoodluckCapital
NIFTY PHARMA Sector Analysis - 10th July, 2024NIFTY PHARMA Sector Analysis (1W TF) - 10th July, 2024 - After the breakout of the box consolidation in beginning of June, 2024 - The entire set of stocks in this sector has been showing continuous strength - Looks like there is a little more steam for the sector till it hits a pause at the resistance - Even with todays volatility the stocks showed some good pullbacks towards the end of the day Stocks in Focus: - Will be keeping a close eye on SYNGENE & GLAND (on a weekly time frame) - Going to wait it out for another day for the charts to form to give a sense of clarity Sector Stocks that have shown continuous strength from beginning of 2024: - Auropharma, Biocon, Divislab, Glenmark etc Sector Stocks that have show reversals since June, 2024: - AbbotIndia, Alkem , Cipla, DrReddy, Gland etc * Disclaimer
NSE:CNXPHARMALong
by TradeRyteStockz
PHARMA SECTOR - Time to rally?Price Analysis & Overview: 1. Good consolidation and BO candle formation. 2. Grabbed liquidity of sellers. 3. Need prices to sustain at the higher levels for further confirmation of momentum. MONTHLY TF VIEW: - Breakout after 3 Indecision (doji) candles breakout on monthly. - 20%+ minimum momentum will be expected. - Stay tuned for further insights, updates and trade safely! - These are my personal views. - If you liked the analysis, don't forget to leave a comment and boost the post. Happy trading! Disclaimer: This is NOT a buy/sell recommendation. This post is meant for learning purposes only. Please, do your due diligence before investing. Thanks & Regards, Anubrata Ray
NSE:CNXPHARMALong
by SuperNova396
AUTO SECTOR - Breakout - Retest & BOOM!Price Analysis & Overview: 1. Nifty Auto Index is in it's dream bull run after it broke the ATH resistance levels. 2. At current scenarios, price might continue to move higher towards the marked green lines or consolidate/correct towards EMA and then continue the run again. 3. RSI showing signs of overheated currently. MONTHLY TF VIEW : - Stay tuned for further insights, updates and trade safely! - If you liked the analysis, don't forget to leave a comment and boost the post. Happy trading! Disclaimer: This is NOT a buy/sell recommendation. This post is meant for learning purposes only. Please, do your due diligence before investing. Thanks & Regards, Anubrata Ray
NSE:CNXAUTO
by SuperNova396
NIFTY MEDIA - SECTOR ANALYSIS - 1st March #sectorNIFTY MEDIA Sector Analysis (1W TF) - 1st March, 2024 RETRACMENT TO THE SUPPORT/DEMAND ZONE - The Sector has been retracing since Jan 2024 - Currently approaching the Demand Zone - Focus should be on Sector specific stocks (If You Know You Know) - This will give for a better RR - My focus is on TV18 and Network18 for now (will add to the list) #stocks #swingtrade #chartanalysis #priceaction #traderyte #india #indiagdp #StockMarketindia #niftymedia #indiaelections
NSE:CNXMEDIA
by TradeRyteStockz
22
Investors' Holy Grail - The Business/Economic CycleThe business cycle describes how the economy expands and contracts over time. It is an upward and downward movement of the gross domestic product along with its long-term growth rate. The business cycle consists of 6 phases/stages : 1. Expansion 2. Peak 3. Recession 4. Depression 5. Trough 6. Recovery 1) Expansion : Sectors Affected: Technology, Consumer discretion Expansion is the first stage of the business cycle. The economy moves slowly upward, and the cycle begins. The government strengthens the economy: Lowering taxes Boost in spending. - When the growth slows, the central bank reduces rates to encourage businesses to borrow. - As the economy expands, economic indicators are likely to show positive signals, such as employment, income, wages, profits, demand, and supply. - A rise in employment increases consumer confidence increasing activity in the housing markets, and growth turns positive. A high level of demand and insufficient supply lead to an increase in the price of production. Investors take a loan with high rates to fill the demand pressure. This process continues until the economy becomes favorable for expansion. 2) Peak : Sector Affected : Financial, energy, materials - The second stage of the business cycle is the peak which shows the maximum growth of the economy. Identifying the end point of an expansion is the most complex task because it can last for serval years. - This phase shows a reduction in unemployment rates. The market continues its positive outlook. During expansion, the central bank looks for signs of building price pressures, and increased rates can contribute to this peak. The central bank also tries to protect the economy against inflation in this stage. - Since employment rates, income, wages, profits, demand & supply are already high, there is no further increase. - The investor will produce more and more to fill the demand pressure. Thus, the investment and product will become expensive. At this time point, the investor will not get a return due to inflation. Prices are way higher for buyers to buy. From this situation, a recession takes place. The economy reverses from this stage. 3) Recession : Sector Affected : Utilities, healthcare, consumer staples - Two consecutive quarters of back-to-back declines in gross domestic product constitute a recession. - The recession is followed by a peak phase. In this phase economic indicators start melting down. The demand for the goods decreased due to expensive prices. Supply will keep increasing, and on the other hand, demand will begin to decline. That causes an "excess of supply" and will lead to falling in prices. 4) Depression : - In more prolonged downturns, the economy enters into a depression phase. The period of malaise is called depression. Depression doesn't happen often, but when they do, there seems to be no amount of policy stimulus that can lift consumers and businesses out of their slumps. When The economy is declining and falling below steady growth, this stage is called depression. - Consumers don't borrow or spend because they are pessimistic about the economic outlook. As the central bank cuts interest rates, loans become cheap, but businesses fail to take advantage of loans because they can't see a clear picture of when demand will start picking up. There will be less demand for loans. The business ends up sitting on inventories & pare back production, which they already produced. - Companies lay off more and more employees, and the unemployment rate soars and confidence flatters. 5) Trough : - When economic growth becomes negative, the outlook looks hopeless. Further decline in demand and supply of goods and services will lead to more fall in prices. - It shows the maximum negative situation as the economy reached its lowest point. All economic indicators will be worse. Ex. The highest rate of unemployment, and No demand for goods and services(lowest), etc. After the completion, good time starts with the recovery phase. 6) Recovery : Affected sectors: Industrials, materials, real estate - As a result of low prices, the economy begins to rebound from a negative growth rate, and demand and production are both starting to increase. - Companies stop shedding employees and start finding to meet the current level of demand. As a result, they are compelled to hire. As the months pass, the economy is once in expansion. - The business cycle is important because investors attempt to concentrate their investments on those that are expected to do well at a certain time of the cycle. - Government and the central bank also take action to establish a healthy economy. The government will increase expenditure and also take steps to increase production. After the recovery phases, the economy again enters the expansion phase. Safe heaven/Defensive Stocks - It maintains or anticipates its values over the crisis, then does well. We can even expect good returns in these asset classes. Ex. utilities, health care, consumer staples, etc. ("WE WILL DISCUSS MORE IN OUR UPCOMING ARTICLE DUE TO ARTICLE LENGTH.") It's a depression condition for me that I couldn't complete my discussion after spending many days in writing this article. However, I will upload the second part of this article that will help investors and traders in real life. This article took me a long time to write. I'm not expecting likes or followers, but I hope you will read it. Have a great day :) @Money_Dictators
NSE:RELIANCEEducation
by Money_Dictators
17