Sellsetup
BTCUSD Rejection at Major Resistance? Short Setup Around 65000BTCUSD Analysis: Watching the 65,000–65,100 Resistance Zone
BTCUSD is approaching a key resistance area between 65,000 and 65,100, where sellers could step in and trigger a bearish rejection.
Trade Idea
Entry Zone: 65,000 – 65,100
Bias: Bearish
Stop Loss: 65,710
Target 1: 64,000
Target 2: Below 64,000 (depending on momentum)
Why this setup?
Price is testing a significant resistance zone.
A rejection here could attract fresh selling pressure.
Risk-to-reward becomes attractive if the resistance holds.
Trade Management
Wait for bearish confirmation (such as a rejection candle, bearish engulfing pattern, or lower-timeframe market structure break) before entering. If BTC closes decisively above 65,710, the bearish setup becomes invalid.
Disclaimer: This is a technical analysis idea based on price action and key resistance levels. Always manage your risk and wait for confirmation before entering any trade.
Do you expect BTC to reject this resistance or break through it? Share your view below.
📌 Disclaimer:
This analysis is for educational purposes only and is not financial advice. Always manage risk and follow your trading plan.
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Downtrend - resistance around 40971. Trend
Bias: Bearish.
Price trades below the descending trendline.
EMA9 remains below EMA89.
Lower highs and lower lows keep sellers in control.
2. Key Resistance
4,080–4,085: Immediate resistance (EMA9 + previous support). Rejection here may resume the downtrend.
4,100–4,120: Strong resistance (trendline + EMA89). A breakout above would weaken the bearish bias.
4,120: A H1 close above invalidates the short-term bearish outlook.
3. Key Support
4,050: Immediate support under pressure.
4,021: Major support and previous swing low. A break below confirms further downside.
SELL GOLD: 4094–4097
SL: 4102
TP: 4080 → 4062 → 4044
EURUSD: 1.1405 – A Key Test of Bearish ControlOn the H4 timeframe, EURUSD is experiencing a technical rebound toward the 1.1398 level, yet the broader picture remains unchanged: the primary trend is bearish. Price remains below the Ichimoku cloud and is re-approaching a downtrend line that has previously triggered selling reactions. This indicates that the bulls have only managed a short-term bounce, insufficient to reverse the market structure.
The 1.1405 zone serves as a critical test point. It acts not only as immediate resistance but also as a potential retest level before the bears regain control. If EURUSD faces rejection around this area, selling pressure could rapidly drive the price back to the 1.1363 level. Should this support level break, the next target would extend toward 1.1300.
Notably, the current rebound lacks a clear bullish structure. While the price has risen, it remains trapped beneath resistance, the cloud, and the downtrend line. Given that the USD remains supported ahead of US employment data, EURUSD is likely to remain under pressure unless it can decisively break through the 1.1405 zone.
Entry Focus: Prioritize SELL positions around 1.1395–1.1405 if rejection candles or signs of weakness appear at resistance.
Target: 1.1300
Invalidation: The bearish scenario is invalidated if the price closes clearly above 1.1420 on the H4 timeframe, particularly if it decisively breaks the downtrend line.
XAUUSD: Breaking below 4,000; sellers paving the way to 3,822XAUUSD is trading around 3,968, positioned entirely below the Ichimoku cloud and remaining locked in a clear bearish structure. Notably, the price has not only lost the psychological 4,000 level but continues to be pressured below the downtrend line extending from previous highs.
The 4,020 area now serves as the immediate resistance. Should gold stage a pullback to this zone but fail to break through, it could mark a point where sellers regain control. Given the current structure, the next downside target on the chart is 3,822, situated within a lower support zone.
Entry Focus: Prioritize SELL positions if the price retraces to the 4,000–4,020 range and a rejection candle appears.
Target: 3,822
Invalidation: The bearish scenario weakens if the H4 timeframe closes decisively above 4,035.
XAGUSD: Bearish Channel Dominates; 57.337 is a Key Selling ZoneXAGUSD is trading within a clearly defined bearish channel; the price currently hovers around 56.45 and remains suppressed below the Ichimoku cloud. Notably, any rallies toward the channel's upper boundary are quickly met with selling pressure, indicating that buying activity is merely short-term.
The 57.337 level is a key area to watch. If silver rallies to this level but fails to break out of the bearish channel, selling pressure could intensify, driving the price down to the 52.158 zone, as illustrated on the chart.
Entry Focus: Prioritize SELL positions around 57.00 – 57.337 upon signs of rejection.
Target: 52.158
Invalidation: The bearish scenario is invalidated if the price closes an H1 candle above 58.20.
XAUUSD: Gold Moving Along a "Bearish Track"XAUUSD continues to slide steadily within a bearish channel; notably, every attempted rebound is suppressed before the price can break out of this structure. The Ichimoku cloud overhead acts as dynamic resistance, suggesting that current buying pressure is merely a short-term reaction rather than a genuine reversal.
The 3,997–4,000 zone serves as the immediate test area. If gold rallies to this level but fails to sustain buying momentum, sellers will likely drive the price toward the channel's lower boundary. The primary target remains 3,897, as marked on the chart.
Entry Focus: Prioritize SELL positions around 3,997–4,000 if a rejection candle appears.
Target: 3,897
Invalidation: The bearish scenario is invalidated if the H1 candle closes above 4,020.
XAGUSD: Downward Channel Remains Strong, Sellers Target 57,640The XAGUSD chart on the H4 timeframe is showing a clear picture: silver is still under medium-term downtrend pressure. After several attempts to recover but failing to break through the upper resistance zone, the price continues to be squeezed within the downtrend channel, reflecting that sellers still control the main market movement.
The most noteworthy point is the 66,499 zone. This is not only a near-term resistance, but also the intersection area between the upper edge of the downtrend channel, the Ichimoku zone above, and the price zone where a previous selling reaction occurred. In other words, if XAGUSD recovers to this area but fails to close strongly above, the market is very likely to form another price rejection.
Structurally, silver is still creating progressively weaker pullbacks. Each time the price approaches the resistance zone, the buying pressure lacks the necessary explosive force to reverse the trend. With the USD still supported and precious metals under pressure from high interest rate expectations, the current rallies in XAGUSD should be seen as areas to observe selling pressure rather than buy signals.
My preferred scenario is a technical rebound in XAGUSD to the 65.50 – 66.50 region, followed by a rejection signal at resistance and a continued decline along the main channel. If selling pressure persists, the next target could be 57.640, coinciding with the lower end of the current downtrend structure.
Reference strategy:
SELL: 65.50 – 66.50
SL: above 67.30
TP: 57.640
XAUUSD: Downward Trendline Remains a Barrier for BuyersOn the H4 timeframe, XAUUSD is trading around 4,151, after a sharp decline from the upper resistance zone. Although the price shows signs of a slight rebound, overall, gold has not yet escaped its main downtrend structure. The declining trendline continues to act as a "pressure ceiling," repeatedly blocking recovery attempts by buyers.
The key point lies at the 4,300 level. This is not only a technical resistance marked on the chart, but also a convergence point with the downward trendline and the Ichimoku zone above around 4,203-4,215. As long as the price remains below these resistance zones, the current rebound is not sufficient to confirm a reversal. Conversely, it could easily become a retest, allowing sellers to re-enter the market.
The news context also doesn't really support gold. The Fed maintains its hawkish stance, the USD remains supported, and expectations of higher interest rates continue to put pressure on non-yielding assets like XAUUSD. Therefore, the sensible strategy at this time is not to buy the dip, but to wait for the price to retrace to the resistance zone to look for a trend-following sell signal.
Preferred scenario: XAUUSD retraces to the 4,260 – 4,300 region, a rejection occurs at the trendline, then continues to fall to the 4,060 support zone.
Reference strategy:
SELL: 4,260 – 4,300
SL: above 4,335
TP: 4,060
As long as XAUUSD doesn't clearly break below 4,300, sellers remain in control of the main price movement. The 4,060 area will be a key target if selling pressure continues.
Strong resistance around 4220, consolidation for a decline.
1. Trend & Market Structure
Overall Trend: Short-term bearish correction within a broader recovery phase
Gold remains below EMA89 (~4,222), indicating that sellers still hold the short-term advantage.
EMA9 (~4,174) has turned upward after the recent rebound, suggesting a temporary recovery is underway.
Following the sharp decline from the 4,320–4,330 area, price formed a higher low around 4,140–4,150, signaling improving short-term momentum.
The chart shows a developing ascending trendline, supporting a potential corrective rebound.
👉 Current Trend: Recovery bounce inside a broader bearish structure.
2.📊 Price Action Analysis
Current Market Behavior
Price has rebounded strongly from the 4,150 support zone and is currently testing a key resistance area around 4,190–4,220.
This region coincides with:
Previous breakdown support turned resistance.
EMA89 dynamic resistance.
A short-term supply zone highlighted on the chart.
Bullish Scenario
🔵 If price breaks and closes above 4,220–4,225:
🎯 Target 1: 4,270 – 4,300
🎯 Target 2: 4,330 – 4,380
A successful breakout would confirm a deeper corrective rally and force short-term sellers to cover positions.
Bearish Scenario
🔴 If price fails to break above 4,220:
Sellers may re-enter the market.
The ascending trendline becomes vulnerable.
Price could retest lower support levels.
3. Signal
-----------------------
SELL GOLD zone : 4220 - 4223
SL : 4228
TP : 4200 - 4178 - 4150
-----------------------
XAUUSD — Bearish Structure Remains ActiveXAUUSD — Bearish Structure Remains Active, Watch The OB Reaction
Gold is trading around $4,155 after failing to reclaim the upper structure and continuing to stay below the descending trendline. The market is still respecting the bearish structure, with lower highs forming under the main resistance area.
From an SMC perspective, price has already rejected from the higher liquidity area and is now moving back toward the lower range. The key zone to watch is the sell liquidity zone around $4,160–$4,180. If gold retests this area and fails to hold above it, sellers may continue to push price toward the OB buy zone around $4,075–$4,090.
The main bearish continuation zone remains the FVG sell area around $4,281–$4,288. If price makes a deeper pullback into this zone, it can become a stronger sell reaction area because it aligns with imbalance, previous structure, and the descending trendline pressure.
Sell setup 1
Condition:
Gold retests the $4,160–$4,180 sell liquidity zone and shows bearish rejection with lower-timeframe MSS / CHOCH.
Entry: $4,160–$4,180
SL: above $4,200
TP1: $4,123
TP2: $4,079
TP3: $4,024
Sell setup 2
Condition:
If gold pulls back deeper into the FVG sell zone and rejects from the OB / imbalance area.
Entry: $4,281–$4,288
SL: above $4,330
TP1: $4,180
TP2: $4,123
TP3: $4,079
Buy setup
Condition:
A buy setup is only considered if gold reaches the OB buy zone around $4,075–$4,090 and shows strong bullish rejection with lower-timeframe MSS / CHOCH. This is only a reaction setup, not the main trend.
Entry: $4,075–$4,090
SL: below $4,050
TP1: $4,123
TP2: $4,160
TP3: $4,180
Key levels
Current price area: $4,155
Sell liquidity zone: $4,160–$4,180
Day low: $4,123
OB buy zone: $4,075–$4,090
Month low: $4,024
FVG sell zone: $4,281–$4,288
Buy-side liquidity: $4,329
Bearish invalidation: clean 2H close above $4,200 for short-term setup, or above $4,330 for deeper structure
My current view remains bearish while gold trades below the descending trendline and fails to reclaim $4,180. The cleaner Prime Gold plan is to wait for price to retest the sell liquidity zone or deeper FVG sell zone, confirm rejection, then follow the next downside move.
No confirmation, no trade.
Selling pressure - supply zone: 4660📌 1. Key Levels & Strategy
🔴 Resistance (Sell Zone): 4,650 – 4,660
Major supply / previous highs
👉 Rejection → downside continuation
🔵 Support:
4,600 – 4,590 (near-term)
4,570 – 4,550 (channel base)
👉 Hold → continuation of pullback
👉 Break → resume downtrend
📊 2. Price Action
Strong bullish impulse broke short-term bearish structure
Price climbing steadily within an ascending channel
RSI ~70+ → overbought
Nearing supply → risk of correction
→ Momentum is bullish, but weakening near resistance
📈 3. Trend : Structure
Overall trend: bearish
Current move: bullish pullback
Structure: higher highs + higher lows (short-term)
→ Not a reversal, just a corrective rally
🎯 4. Signal
🔴 SELL GOLD: 4660 – 4663
SL: 4668
TP: 4642 – 4615 – 4588
Touching the trendline at 4726, the price reacted downwards.📈 1. Trend : Structure
Looking at the chart:
After the previous decline, price is no longer forming clear lower lows and has shifted into a consolidation phase.
The current structure is forming a symmetrical triangle (compression pattern):
Upper trendline sloping downward → selling pressure still present
Lower trendline sloping upward → buying interest gradually emerging
👉 This reflects:
A temporary equilibrium (sideway compression) in the market
Tightening price range → setting up for a potential strong breakout
📊 2. Key Levels
🔴 Resistance: 4,720 – 4,730
Confluence:
Descending trendline
EMA (dynamic resistance)
Recent rejection zone
👉 If price gets rejected here → favor short-term sell setups
🔵 Support: 4,680 – 4,670
Confluence:
Lower trendline
Recent swing low
👉 If this level holds → potential bounce within the range
3. SIGNAL
SELL GOLD zone 4726 - 4729
sl: 4734
TP: 4700 - 4680 - 4644
XAUUSD — Gold slips back as USD demand returns
Gold gave back its modest intraday recovery as fading Fed rate-cut expectations brought fresh support to the USD.
Even though price is still holding above the psychological 5000 area, the rebound is already losing traction, and that keeps the broader tone fragile.
What the chart is saying
On H4, gold is still trading inside a weak structure after failing to build on its latest bounce.
The recent push higher ran into resistance around the local trendline intersection, then quickly rolled over again. That kind of reaction usually tells us the market is not ready to turn bullish yet.
The drop back below the short-term confirmation area also shows that buyers are no longer in control of the immediate flow.
Risk path
As long as price stays capped below the recent recovery ceiling, the chart still leans toward another test lower.
The first downside zone sits around 496x, and if that support fails to hold, the deeper liquidity area near 4906 becomes a realistic path.
Levels that matter
5000 remains the key psychological line
496x is the first support band
4906 is the deeper bearish extension zone
Kelly’s approach
For Kelly, this is still a market where structure has to lead.
Holding above 5000 is not enough on its own. Buyers need to reclaim control, not just slow the decline.
Conclusion
Gold is still above 5000 in price, but not yet above it in strength.
Gold prices fall - awaiting CPI fluctuations.Related Information:!!! ( XAU / USD )
Data released by the US Department of Labor showed that initial unemployment claims declined to 227,000 for the week ending February 7. While the figure came in slightly above market expectations of 222,000, it marked an improvement from the prior week’s revised reading of 232,000. At the same time, continuing claims increased to 1.862 million for the week ending January 31, underscoring persistent structural softness in the US labor market observed over the past year.
These mixed labor signals have helped underpin the US Dollar while simultaneously renewing investor interest in gold, as lingering employment fragilities continue to support demand for safe-haven assets.
personal opinion:!!!
Gold prices are consolidating below 4985, awaiting CPI news which is under selling pressure at the end of the week, and CPI and DXY data are recovering.
Important price zone to consider : !!!
Resistance zone point: 4985, 5040 zone
Support zone point : 4944 , 4890 zone
Follow us for the most accurate gold price trends.
XAUUSD (H3) – Liam Weekly Trading PlanStructure has shifted | Early-week focus stays SELL on rallies
Quick summary
Gold has completed a sharp downside expansion after a prolonged bullish run, breaking the prior structure decisively. The current price action shows weak recovery attempts, suggesting the move lower is corrective-to-distributive rather than a completed reversal.
For the start of the week, the bias remains clear: sell the structure, not chase bounces.
Market structure
The previous uptrend has been fully disrupted by an impulsive sell-off.
Price is now trading below former support, which has flipped into resistance.
Current rebounds lack momentum and show characteristics of corrective pullbacks, not accumulation.
This keeps the market in a sell-on-rallies environment until proven otherwise.
Key technical zones
Primary sell FVG / resistance: 4970 – 5000
This zone aligns with imbalance and prior liquidity and is the preferred area for sell reactions.
Secondary sell FVG: 4795 – 4820
A lower reaction zone where price may stall before continuing lower.
Deeper liquidity target: 4340 – 4350
This remains the main downside objective if the structure continues to unwind.
Upper invalidation zone: 5300+
Acceptance above this area would force a reassessment of the bearish bias.
Early-week scenarios
Primary scenario – SELL rallies
As long as price remains capped below the 4970–5000 zone, any rebound should be treated as corrective. The expectation is for further downside continuation toward lower liquidity.
Secondary scenario – Deeper pullback
If price fails to reclaim the first sell zone cleanly, a slow grind lower into the 4795–4820 area may occur before continuation.
Reassessment condition
Only a strong reclaim and acceptance above 5300 would invalidate the current sell structure.
Key notes
Early-week price action often clears residual liquidity.
Avoid counter-trend longs inside resistance.
Let price come to the level, then execute.
Structure > opinion.
Weekly focus:
selling corrective rallies into FVG and resistance, or waiting for price to show a clear structural shift before changing bias.
— Liam
XAUUSD (Gold) | Bullish vs Bearish Scenario | Trading SetupBullish vs Bearish View
Bullish Scenario (Primary Bias – Trend Continuation)
Trend remains strongly bullish as long as price holds above the pivot zone (4858–4845).
Buyers are in control, supported by ADX strength, MACD momentum, and moving average
alignment.
Break and hold above 4888 opens the door for further upside expansion.
Bearish Scenario (Corrective Pullback Only)
Bearish moves are considered corrective, not trend-reversing, unless price falls below 4800.
Overbought conditions may trigger short-term profit booking, but trend remains bullish
above key supports.
Key Levels to Watch
Resistance Levels
4888 – 4895 (Day high / breakout zone)
4914
4939 – 4950 (extension zone)
Support Levels
4858 – Pivot
4845
4829
4803
4773 (strong trend support)
Intraday Trading Strategy (Day Trading Plan)
Strategy Type:
Trend Continuation Buy-on-Dips
Buy Setup
Buy Zone: 4858 – 4845 (pivot support / minor pullback)
Confirmation:
Price holds above EMA20 / EMA50
Bullish rejection candle or continuation pattern on M15–M30
Targets
Target 1: 4888
Target 2: 4914
Target 3 (extension): 4939
Stop Loss
Intraday SL: Below 4825
Aggressive SL: Below 4800 (trend invalidation zone)
Alternative Sell Strategy (Counter-Trend – High Risk)
⚠️Only for experienced traders
Sell Zone: 4914 – 4940
Condition: Clear rejection + bearish divergence on M15/M30
Target: 4880 → 4858
Stop Loss: Above 4955
Preferred Trading Style Today
✔️Buy on dips
❌Avoid chasing price at highs
❌Avoid heavy counter-trend sells
Gold (XAUUSD) Rejects 4470 Resistance – Short-Term Sell SetupGold (XAUUSD) has shown a clear rejection from the 4470 resistance zone, signaling potential short-term exhaustion after the recent rally.
This area has acted as a strong supply zone, increasing the probability of profit booking / corrective pullback before any continuation to the upside.
📉 Trade Idea:
Look for sell opportunities in the 4462 – 4472 zone, aligning with the marked resistance and price rejection.
Targets and risk levels are clearly outlined on the chart.
⚠️ This is a counter-trend / pullback trade, best suited for intraday or short-term traders. Manage risk accordingly.
📌 Disclaimer:
This analysis is for educational purposes only and is not financial advice. Always manage risk and follow your trading plan.
Your feedback drives our content and keeps everyone trading smarter. Let’s make those pips together! 🚀
Happy Trading,
– The InvestPro Team






















