16 Jan ’24 — Nifty Tests the Ascending Channel Today - stance ➡️Nifty Analysis - Stance Neutral ➡️
Recap from yesterday: “Remember how things were looking weak on the 8th and 10th of Jan and how Nifty turned from there? For tomorrow, the bullish stance continues and the first support will be the ascending channel top-line ~ 22050 levels.”
4mts chart
Nifty hit a new top of 22124 today and just when everything was going in its favor, it started falling. Most analysts will blame the NiftyIT sector (-1.28%) for the fall today - they are not wrong but it is not just because of IT. The majority of the Nifty sub-sectors were down today, Realty (-1.66%), Pharma (-1.14%), Energy (-0.75%), Service (-0.52%). Very few sectors were in green today - Metal, Media, Consumer Durables, PSU banks, etc. When the majority of sectors are against the primary direction (bullish), it may end up becoming a top-like formation.
We discussed yesterday how the Ascending Channel will act like support, on the 4mts TF we got a breach today. 22050 was our laxman rekha but we ended up hitting 21969.
63mts chart
The channel top is not breached in the higher TF, just because of this we are not changing the stance from bullish to bearish. We would like to give one more opportunity for Nifty to hold its ground. We would start the day tomorrow with a neutral bias and wait for Nifty to fall below 21913 to go bearish.
