Nifty closing below the blue trendline and Monthly expiry viewNifty
As suggested earlier Nifty closing on last Friday suggested battle of Bulls and Bears still in balance. The importance of 17965 was highlighted... Nifty opened gap up exactly at that levels but Bulls are looking nervy as it couldn't sustain above that. The 2 hourly candles gave a close of 17959 and 17964
- Now On Hourly charts Nifty has closed below the blue trendline
- On the upside 17965 / 17996-18030 is very crucial resistance zone
- On the downside 17836-17854 if taken out then it potentially opens gate for further downside up to 17564 till Feb expiry.
Take care & safe trading....!!!
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Take care & safe trading...!!!
Disclaimer
- The view expressed here is my personal view
- Past performance is not a guarantee for future predictions
- Use this for educational purpose
- Any decision you take, you need to take responsibility for the same
- It's your hard earned money. Treat it wisely
- Trade / Invest keeping in mind your trading style, goals and objectives, time horizon & risk tolerance
- if trading in F&O, understand that F&O trading involves risk
- Do take proper risk management measures
- Do your own analysis and consult your financial adviser if need be
Short!!!!
Nifty: Chart setup, chart view and trading strategyNifty
Chart set up
Since Jan 27, Nifty has traded for 12 days inside the candle body of 27 Jan 2023.
Chart view
Whether the breakout is real? The real challenge would come above 18000. Whether it is able to sustain above that.
On the downside watch out for 17860 odd levels. If that level is taken out, Nifty might fall towards 17600 / 17400 odd levels and below 17400 further down towards 16800 can not be ruled out.
My trading strategy :
Bear Call Spread strategy for Mar series
Sell Nifty 29 Mar 2023 series in 2 tranches
18200 Call option currently around 214 -215 &
Buy 18500 Call Option currently around 98-100
Net Premium receivable 115-116 points (Rs 5750-5800) per strategy lot
On a margin requirement, it gives a profit potential of approximately 18.2% till 29 Mar 2023.
It has an inbuilt risk cover for a rise up to 18315 till 29 Mar expiry.
There is a possibility of Nifty heading towards 18030 odd levels in 1-2 days.
If Nifty struggles above 18000 then I would use the 2nd part to sell.
Plan your trade accordingly...!!!
Take care & safe trading...!!!
Disclaimer
- The view expressed here is my personal view
- Past performance is not a guarantee for future predictions
- Use this for educational purpose
- Any decision you take, you need to take responsibility for the same
- It's your hard earned money. Treat it wisely
- Trade / Invest keeping in mind your trading style, goals and objectives, time horizon & risk tolerance
- if trading in F&O, understand that F&O trading involves risk
- Do take proper risk management measures
- Do your own analysis and consult your financial adviser if need be
ADANI WILMARNSE:AWL is a one of the company of Adani group with below average fundamental but with the good business model.
currently, on the daily chart frame the company has made a vivid head and shoulder pattern. and also it consist of many gaps in the past.
so fresh investors should avoid this company and wait for the good valuations. and it has sell target of 472.
JUBLFOOD Next Down Move started ????Chart looks Prudent for yet another down move !!!
This is in continuation of the idea posted about jublfood few days back...Refer to it... I have attached below the link to it.(under related ideas)
Target and SL levels (dashed lines) mentioned in chart.
Be cautious if it breaks above the resistance line(thin red trend line) of the descending channel down side.
Let's wait and watch!!!
Note - just sharing my view....not a tip nor advice!!!
Nifty: Budget time and chart set upNifty
Chart set up
- In the last 2 days Nifty has closed in positive territory, however it has found it difficult to close above 50% of last red candlestick which comes at 17740 odd levels
- a lot of resistance between 17740-18140
- on the lower side Nifty has a risk of falling towards 17331 / 17188 / 17096 odd levels
Derivative Data
- FIIs have gone in to the Budget day with negative bias
My view
Given the data and chart set up, I'm not too optimistic about the reaction to Budget announcement.
Trading strategy
I would be playing this market defensively.
- Trade with low capital
- Reduce Long positions
- Take calculative short positions which would have inbuilt protection till 18250 odd levels
Trust you would find the analysis and insights helpful.
Take care and play safe
Disclaimer
- The view expressed here is my personal view
- Past performance is not a guarantee for future predictions
- Use this for educational purpose
- Any decision you take, you need to take responsibility for the same
- It's your hard earned money. Treat it wisely
- Trade / Invest keeping in mind your trading style, goals and objectives, time horizon & risk tolerance
- if trading in F&O, understand that F&O trading involves risk
- Do take proper risk management measures
- Do your own analysis and consult your financial adviser if need be
Short JublFoodTime to short JUBLFOOD with results expected tomorrow and the share to reach a 52week low of around 460. Buy Feb 500PE with SL
Share price is below 200EMA on weekly chart
Share price around the support level of 490 but unable to break out.
If the result goes negative, expect a downfall of 20 to 25rs in stock price
Is SBI Card ready for the next strong upside ??NSE:SBICARD is performing better and better when we checkout the results. The script is fundamentally sound and the card business is on track. Investors can add positions at current levels i.e Rs. 715. A strong upmove or rebound expected in near term.
Targets:
Short Term: 775
Long Term: 900
QoQ Results were good
Script Available at lows
Growth and expansion in this business is huge
The idea shared is only for Educational Purpose.
JSW Steel Support BreakdownThe support which was tested multiple times has finally broken,
Entry
we can wait for the breakdown and retest then take a SHORT entry.
Target
Target will be the next support zone.
Stoploss
Above the breakdown candle high.
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Thank you.
Sula Vineyards LimitedSULA:- Ascending triangle pattern has formed, good stock for short term, keep your eye on the stock
Hello traders,
As always, simple and neat charts so everyone can understand and not make it too complicated.
rest details mentioned in the chart.
will be posting more such ideas like this. Until that, like share and follow :)
check my other ideas to get to know about all the successful trades based on price action.
Thanks,
Ajay.
keep learning and keep earning.
Nifty Jan 2023 expiry view and my trading strategyNifty
Chart analysis
Jan F&O series has been completely rangebound between 17761-18265 (just 504 points range or a mere 2.8% range).
___________________________________________________________________________
Although Nifty was very volatile during this time moving up one day and down the next and making it difficult to trade, it worked out smoothly for our Short strangle Strategy recommended earlier (Selling 17800 Put and 18300 Call with 406 points for the taking)
If any one has taken position, profit booking should be considered.
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Important levels going forward
Important levels to watch out for on the upside 18096 / 18120 / 18160 / 18202
On the downside 18038-18013 / 179520 / 17858 / 17786-17733.
_____________________________________________________________________________
My trading strategy
Now that we have understood the important levels, I would be closely watching out for 18096-18160 levels on the upside. If Nifty gets resisted then I might look to sell Call options in Feb series with a SL at 18250 spot levels
Trust you find the analysis and insights helpful.
To trade with me, hit the Like button and Follow
Take care & safe trading...!!!
Disclaimer
- The view expressed here is my personal view
- Past performance is not a guarantee for future predictions
- Use this for educational purpose
- Any decision you take, you need to take responsibility for the same
- It's your hard earned money. Treat it wisely
- Trade / Invest keeping in mind your trading style, goals and objectives, time horizon & risk tolerance
- if trading in F&O, understand that F&O trading involves risk
- Do take proper risk management measures
- Do your own analysis and consult your financial adviser if need be