Nifty : Chart set up and short term viewNifty
View mentioned in chart
Disclaimer
- The view expressed here is my personal view
- Past performance is not a guarantee for future predictions
- Use this for educational purpose
- Any decision you take, you need to take responsibility for the same
- It's your hard earned money. Treat it wisely
- Trade / Invest keeping in mind your trading style, goals and objectives, time horizon & risk tolerance
- if trading in F&O, understand that F&O trading involves risk
- Do take proper risk management measures
- Do your own analysis and consult your financial adviser if need be
Short
Short Nifty - Target ~15350 - (CMP 15650)Nifty has been moving up on low volumes in a rising wedge. Volumes are now decreasing with an increase in index price and RSI is overbought. We can expect to see a reversal to approximately 15335 in the next 7 trading sessions. SGX Nifty Futures closed high at 15797 so there is definitely room to move up before the reversal.
SENSEX SHORTSo here is an analysis of another index 'SENSEX'. Let us understand price action of SENSEX in detail! (OPEN THE CHART FOR BETTER UNDERSTANDING)
Firstly, if you have a look at the second last (green) candle here, it is clear that this candle was not able to sustain above a major resistance line (yellow line).
Secondly, today the price shot up the major resistance line, but experienced selling pressure near its all time high (ATH) and wasn't able to sustain above the major resistance line. We can say that Sensex today gave a FAKEOUT (Fake breakout).
In addition to that, Sensex formed a bearish engulfing pattern which shows weakness ahead.
Talking about indicators, RSI is facing downward after showing weakness.
Sensex is travelling in the upper band of the Bollinger Band, and hence it is due for a correction. (I haven't applied bollinger bands here as it will mess up the chart and it would get difficult for you to understand. You can put bollinger bands yourself and check)
All this shows weakness in SENSEX, hence I would recommend being stock-specific
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BHEL SHORTLooking at the daily chart of BHEL, you can see a simple price action pattern which is explained below. (OPEN CHART FOR DETAILED EXPLANATION)
Firstly, it is visible that BHEL has given a brilliant bull trend from December'20.
Presiding the uptrend, an accumulation phase can be seen and then a breakout form that phase caused the uptrend.
Now, according to price action theory, the stocks' uptrend is firstly accompanied by an accumulation phase (as marked) and then a uptrend and then a distribution phase (as marked).
Following the distribution phase, weakness is expected in the stock. (OPEN THE CHART FOR ALL THE MARKED PHASES AND LEVELS)
To sum up, BHEL has first seen an accumulation phase, then a breakout from accumulation phase causing a good uptrend and now BHEL is seeing a distribution phase (consolidation after an uptrend).
Hence, it is expected that we can see weakness in the stock in upcoming days, given it breaks the distribution phase rectangle (marked) in a negative way.
If it breaks the distribution phase triangle from upside, one may look for buying opportunities.
I would recommend a 'SELL' signal (50% quantity sell) on BHEL for now.
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Lupin, Swing/PositionalSimple analysis for Lupin!
It has been consolidating between 1175 and 1246 from the beginning of this month. A break above can be traded for fibonacci pivot targets, and a break below the consolidation range can be traded as a short position for a target of 50 EMA.
Make sure to trade what happens and not what you expect :)
Note: Please do not follow my idea blindly, please analyze yourself as well. I just share my idea so that people can build upon the same. The idea I share is open to healthy criticism and feedback :)
Hindalco, SwingHindalco is forming a symmetrical pattern and can break either side of the triangle. A break above can be traded for long position for targets of 411 and 426. A break on the downside can be traded for short position for targets of 380 and 367. A downside break will lead to the price going below the 50 EMA, and the first target mentioned for 367 is the level of 200 EMA.
Make sure to trade what happens and not what you expect :)
Note: Please do not follow my idea blindly, please analyze yourself as well. I just share my idea so that people can build upon the same. The idea I share is open to healthy criticism and feedback :)
AU SMALL FINANCE BANK SHORTAn inverted Cup and Flag Formation can be seen in the daily chart. RSI trendline suggests that it may fall in upcoming days. MACD is showing momentum, but still in negative zone. (OPEN THE CHART FOR DETAILED VIEW)
AU SMALL FINANCE BANK looks weak if it breaks below the flag formation.
Thanks
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