Confidence Petroleum India Ltd : Stock Analysis💡 Company Overview:
Confidence Petroleum India Ltd is a leading manufacturer of LPG cylinders and a prominent supplier of auto LPG in India. With an extensive network of bottling plants and Auto LPG dispensing stations across the country, the company also serves industrial and commercial clients through packed LPG cylinders.
💡 Financial Performance (2017-2023):
Over the years, the company's net profit has demonstrated a steady growth trajectory. This consistent increase is attributed to rising sales, indicative of a healthy operation. A gradual profit rise, rather than sudden spikes, signifies the company's stability and sustained market presence.
💡 Institutional Interest:
Recent stake additions by Domestic Institutional Investors (DIIs) highlight growing market confidence in the company. Institutional investments often indicate a positive outlook and can influence market sentiment positively.
💡 Technical Analysis:
✔️ Double Bottom Pattern:
The stock displayed a double bottom pattern, indicating a potential trend reversal. The first bottom at 45-48 initiated buying interest. The second bottom at 56-59, coupled with increased buying activity, partially confirmed the pattern.
1st Bottom (45-48):
The first bottom at 45-48 initiated buying interest, marking the start of a potential uptrend.
2nd Bottom:
Efforts to break out at 81-83 faced strong supply, causing price falls.Then the Buyers from the first bottom re-entered the market, driving the price up.
Strong Upward Movement - Double Bottom Confirmation:
A strong upward movement confirmed the double bottom pattern. The breakout above the neckline indicated a potential sustained uptrend.
✔️ Volume Analysis:
🔹Volume A: Increased volume during upward movements highlighted heightened participant interest.
🔹 Volume B: Lack of significant volume indicated market indecision or limited trading interest.
🔹 Volume C: Comparing volume with corresponding price range provided insights into market activity.
🔹 Volume D: Volume decreased during the fall from 96, indicating reduced selling pressure.
💡 Assumptions and Market Outlook:
Considering the stable financial growth, institutional interest, and technical patterns, the stock appears poised for an upward move. The formation of a doji candle in the weekly timeframe, coupled with decreasing volume alongside price, supports the assumption of weakening selling pressure and potential for an upward trend.
🔹 Day frame
The stock retested the breakout area (81-84) with low volume, suggesting potential stability at higher levels.
If you are looking for an entry try at current level cmp 84
targt 90-100-130+
Study before making an investment decision.
Thank you
Ankith Shaju
Shortsetup
Short Setup in Marico FuturesTrend - Negative
If the price sustains below 541.40 then it could see the levels of 525 and then 510
The price gives a breakdown of 541.40 which is a 38.20% Fib retracement level.
A strong bearish crossover near an important level of 28.60% (Fib retracement).
The breakdown of the Bollinger band
Hit the like button!! Show some energy!!
Disclaimer: This is my pre market analysis and my trading journal. Not a suggestion to buy or sell.
Thanks
Er. Simranjit Singh Virdi
TECHNICAL VIEW ON XAUUSD ( ON DAILY TIME FRAME )1) Pivot point IS 1820.50
_R1 : 1828.64 | R2 : 1837.27 | R3 : 1845.24_
_S1 : 1795.44 | S2 : 1804.07 | S3 : 1812.04 _
2) Moving average ( 5, 10, 20, 50, 100, 200)
_MA5 : 1822.49(S), 1829.33(E) | MA10: 1851.61(S), 1847.47(E) | MA20: 1886.48(S), 1871.32(E)
| MA50: 1907.15(S), 1900.34(E) | MA100: 1926.74(S), 1915.11(E) | MA200: 1927.75(S), 1906.52(E)_
3) Trend analysis (MIN, HOURLY, DAILY, WEEKLY, MONTHLY )
15MIN : DOWNTREND | HOURLY : SIDEWAY | DAILY : DOWNTREND | WEEKLY : DOWNTREND | MONTHLY : NEUTRAL
4) Technical analysis (ON DAILY TF)
_RSI(14) 20.354 (Oversold) | MACD(12,26) -27.050 (Sell) | ADX(14) 49.810 (Sell) | ATR(14) 17.9862 (High Volatility)_
AUDNZD Shorting opportunity AUDNZD price broke out of the resistance below 1.07840 on the 3H time frame, and the price is tanking continuously and can potentially reach 1.07380. The market is giving an opportunity to risk 1 to make 1.5.
This is a good opportunity for short sellers to enter the market. The risk-reward ratio is favorable, and the price is likely to continue to fall in the short term.
However, it is important to note that the market is volatile, and there is always the possibility of a reversal. Therefore, it is important to use proper risk management techniques when trading this pair.
JINDRILLWait And Watch ??
Look for Low risk, High reward, and High Probability setups-
Things to Remember while Trading with the Trend
1. Know what the trend is.
2. The best trades are made in the direction of the trend.
3. Assume that the main trendline or moving average will hold.
4. The longer the moving average is, the better it defines the trend.
5. Wait for the pullback.
6. Don’t chase the market.
7. Don’t fight the market.
8. Even in the strongest trends there should be some retracement.
9. The closer the market is to the trendline, the better the risk/reward ratio is.
10. Use ADX to determine the strength of the trend.
11. Higher the level of ADX , the stronger the trend, below 20 consider the market to be choppy
12. Hold trades longer in a strong trend.
13. Wait for confirmation of a trendline breaking before reversing position.
14. Know where the Support levels are.
15. Place stops outside the Support levels.
Thank You..
22 Sep ’23 Post Mortem on Nifty - still shows weakness 🐻🐻🐻Nifty Analysis
Recap from yesterday: “For tomorrow, I wish to maintain the bearish stance with the first target at 19672 and the second but strong target at 19589. Ideally the bears should be able to close the day below 19589 tomorrow and take out the 19310 early next week. One thing to remember is Nifty50 is still not bearish on the daily time frame whereas SPX is.”
I would say we had a flattish day today and a tight range. Nifty showed the tendency to fall but was eclipsed by BankNifty. There were 2 news events that took priority over the technical moves
JP Morgan adding India to emerging market’s bond market (GBI-EM Global Diversified)
Ministry of Finance - saying removal of I-CRR will give ample liquidity for banks
We will discuss both of them below in our BankNifty analysis. But most importantly - when there are news flows - it will always take precedence over the technical analysis. Thats because stock markets are mainly news driven - the element of greed/fear is amplified when news breaks out.
We discussed yesterday that the first target would be 19672, that was hit by 10.00 and things were looking quite promising for the bears. The pullback that started from there went on till 12.50 and would have given some respite for the bulls. However this did not last long and we came back to where it all started.
Nifty closed the day with a loss of 0.34% ~ 68pts on what should have been a strong down day.
Yesterday SPX closed at -1.64% loss and fell below the 2nd support line into a strong bearish territory. Compare that with India’s stock markets - we are still not there on the bearish scene. The major support is at 19310 which is another 1.8% away. Bears can still go into the weekend party seeing 3 red candles on the daily time frame.
For Monday I wish to continue my bearish stance with the first target being 19563 and second 19484. If the momentum fades and we are unable to pick a direction in the opening 2 hours - I wish to change my stance to neutral to a wait and watch mode.
TOMO BEASRISH IDEATomo price structure and price action indicated bearish movement and i am expecting downfall in tomo. BYBIT:TOMOUSDT.P
Nifty 50Nifty 50
6th Sep 2023
Fair Value Gap draw on 5min TF.
Here, FVG used to take entry at top and now riding this downfall identifying another FVGs down once market fall.
Every Time buyers try to catch the trend every time that FVG zone rejected their pressure and consciously fall.
Exit Criteria:
Exit if achieve full Target or If candle close above FVG upper band.
Ultratech - Positinal SetupIt is clear from the charts that the stock is trading in a parallel channel. yesterday's price was rejected from the upper resistance. if the pattern continues, it should come down to the indicated levels.
The logic behind entering here is a good risk-reward ratio at the moment.
Only for learning and sharing purposes, not a piece of trading advice in any form.
All the best.
NIFTY... ELLIOT WAVES... As per Elliot wave analysis, nifty has probably completed minor waves 3 & 4 of intermediate wave (3) of primary wave 3. (Have marked in the chart)
Today nifty should complete downward wave 5 (likely to end at support zone 19100 to 19150). Following which the intermediate wave (4) is likely to begin which can rally to 300 to 400 points.
Will update as nifty progresses. The market is always right!
Bank Nifty on Monday Bullish or BearishHello Friends,
On Friday after 2nd half strong buying seen in overall indices. It looks like bullish trend started as mostly stock seen in green colour.
But i do not think of like that and i'm sure it was not trend change Because if we see all technical data and indicator except Friday buying , There is still trend for bank nifty is Bearish .
Let's see why
1. $ INDEX is trading above 104+ and looks strong
2. Crudeoil is trading above 7000
3. Bank nifty is trading within range lower low and higher low
--- in this range it has just touched trend line and taken resistance and seen seller at particular level which indicates it will continue old trend.
--- some of banks are trading near 200 EMA or below it.
--- Fed rate result will going to release soon.
Following this points, it looks it will be bearish continue. On Monday it may open gap up or near 44500 but it may fall like Wednesday ( history repeats itself ).
Okay friends this was my analysis and point of view for monday bank nifty.
Do your own analysis and trade on your own risk.
Like | Share | Comment.
Thank you.
Double TopA double top is a bearish technical reversal pattern.
It is not as easy to spot as one would think because there needs to be a confirmation with a break below support.
While a double top is a bearish signal, a double bottom is a bearish signal.
Top tops usually have an upswing, initial peak, trough, second peak, and neckline.
Investors can short trade after the break or place small trades, as double tops may have limited profit potential.
Script = BSE
Time Frame = 1 Day
NIFTY... ELLIOT WAVES Nifty is currently in the downward wave three correction.
We have witnessed two red rays, which are part of wave 5 of the downward wave 3.
So, we can witness one more red candle day that can complete wave 5 (of the larger wave 3) on the downside, and then the market should rally up in wave 4.
Beware of the major wave 5 correction which is likely to begin in the second week of September.
Dark Cloud CoverDark Cloud Cover is a bearish reversal candlestick pattern where a down candle (typically black or red) opens above the close of the prior up candle (typically white or green), and then closes below the midpoint of the up candle.
The pattern is significant as it shows a shift in the momentum from the upside to the downside. The pattern is created by an up candle followed by a down candle. Traders look for the price to continue lower on the next (third) candle. This is called confirmation.
Script = Lupin
Time Frame = 1 Day
IndiacementENTRY TARGET SL Mention in the chart.
ALWAYS TAKE TRADE WITH CONFIRMATION
Note : Trading in any financial market is very risky. I post ideas for educational purpose only. It is not financial advice. Do not hold us responsible for any potential loss you may incur. Please consult your financial adviser before trading.