BNB/USDT 3-Week Chart Analysis: Is a Massive Breakout Coming?BNB/USDT 3-Week Chart Analysis: Is a Massive Breakout Coming?
Current Price: $827.05 (down 10.74%)
BNB is currently consolidating in a key Accumulation Zone between $700-$800, signaling institutional accumulation and balance.
Key Levels to Watch
Support Zones:
🔹 $484.55 – Critical demand from 2023 lows
🔹 $676.02 – Former ATH turned support
🔹 $700-$750 – Bottom of current accumulation
Resistance Targets:
🔹 $1,613 – First major upside
🔹 $2,338 – Next intermediate target
🔹 $7,084 – Long-term “moonshot” scenario
Volume & Structure Insights
🔹 2019 Breakout: Started the long-term uptrend
🔹 2021 Bull Run: Peak at $676, classic blow-off top
🔹 2024-2025 Accumulation: Renewed institutional interest
Bearish Risk
🔹 Failure to hold $700 → Retest $484 (-41%)
🔹 Breakdown below $484 → Bullish thesis invalid
NFA & DYOR
Signals
XAUUSD is skyrocketing after the Adam & Eve pattern!OANDA:XAUUSD is really interesting right now. The price seems likely to rise further after the formation of the Adam & Eve pattern. With such an easy-to-remember name, the Adam & Eve pattern is one of the most memorable. Below, I’ll explain the reasons and how to easily recognize it.
The Adam pattern is characterized by a sharp drop, followed by a quick recovery, forming a "V" on the chart. High, sharp, and aggressive! You could say it's more "masculine."
On the other hand, the Eve pattern develops more slowly. The price becomes more rounded, forming a wider and smoother base before rising again, creating a shape similar to the letter "U." Softer, more curved, and more "feminine."
Combining these two elements gives us the Adam & Eve pattern, which often signals a potential trend reversal. Especially when accompanied by fundamental analysis or other strong technical indicators.
This pattern will stick in your mind when you connect its shapes to the male and female aspects. A pattern that's truly hard to forget.
Short-Term vs Long-Term Trading1. What Is Short-Term Trading?
Short-term trading focuses on taking advantage of price movements over a few minutes, hours, or days. The trader’s goal is to profit from short bursts of volatility instead of waiting for long-term trends. Short-term trading includes styles like intraday trading, swing trading, scalp trading, and momentum trading.
Key Characteristics of Short-Term Trading
a) Time Horizon
Short-term trades typically last:
Intraday: minutes to hours
Swing trading: 2–15 days
Momentum trades: until trend exhaustion
The focus is on quick entries and exits.
b) Trading Frequency
Short-term traders execute multiple trades within a week or even within a day. This increases opportunity but also exposure to transaction costs.
c) Dependency on Technical Analysis
Short-term trading relies heavily on:
Candlestick patterns
Indicators like RSI, MACD, Moving Averages
Volume analysis
Chart patterns (flags, triangles, breakouts)
Fundamentals matter less because the time horizon is too short for fundamentals to play out meaningfully.
d) High Volatility, High Risk
Short-term moves are unpredictable. News, events, and market sentiment can cause sharp fluctuations. A trader must always have:
Strict stop-loss
Risk-per-trade limits
High emotional discipline
e) Capital Requirement
Short-term traders often use margin or leverage, which magnifies both returns and losses.
f) Psychological Stress
Watching charts for hours, handling rapid moves, and managing multiple positions can be mentally taxing.
Advantages of Short-Term Trading
Quick returns
Regular trading opportunities
Can profit in any market condition (up, down, sideways)
Requires less capital for margin-based strategies
Disadvantages of Short-Term Trading
High risk from volatility
Stressful and time-intensive
High brokerage and taxation costs
Probability of emotional mistakes is higher
2. What Is Long-Term Trading (Investing)?
Long-term trading—often called investing—focuses on holding positions for months, years, or decades. Instead of reacting to daily volatility, long-term traders focus on the broader economic and business growth cycles.
Key Characteristics of Long-Term Trading
a) Time Horizon
Investments typically last:
Short long-term: 6 months–2 years
Medium-term: 2–5 years
Long-term: 5–20+ years
This approach allows the investor to benefit from company growth, compounding, and market cycles.
b) Dependence on Fundamental Analysis
Long-term strategies depend on:
Financial statements (balance sheet, P&L, cash flow)
Company management quality
Sector growth
Economic cycles
Competitive advantages (moats)
Charts may be used for entry timing but fundamentals drive the decision.
c) Lower Trading Frequency
Investors may make only a handful of trades in a year, reducing cost and stress.
d) Lower Risk Through Compounding
Over time, markets tend to move upward due to economic growth. Long-term investing benefits from:
Compounding returns
Dividend reinvestment
Reduced volatility impact
e) Stable and Manageable Psychology
Investors don’t need to watch markets daily. Long-term patience and discipline are more important than speed.
Advantages of Long-Term Trading
Lower stress
Lower brokerage and tax costs
Lower chance of emotional errors
Wealth compounding over time
Better suited for salaried individuals or busy professionals
Disadvantages of Long-Term Trading
Slow returns
Requires patience
Market crashes can test conviction
Needs good research on fundamentals
3. Key Differences Between Short-Term and Long-Term Trading
Aspect Short-Term Trading Long-Term Trading
Time Horizon Minutes to weeks Years to decades
Analysis Mostly technical Mostly fundamental
Risk Level High due to volatility Lower due to long time frame
Capital Requirement Often less initially, but risky with leverage Usually requires more capital but safer
Frequency of Trades High Low
Tax Impact Higher (short-term capital gains tax) Lower (long-term capital gains tax)
Skills Needed Chart reading, speed, intraday discipline Business analysis, patience, strategic thinking
Psychological Pressure High Moderate to low
Return Pattern Frequent small profits (or losses) Slow, compounding returns
4. Which One Is Better?
There is no universal answer—it depends on the individual’s personality, risk appetite, and goals.
Short-Term Trading Is Better If You:
Enjoy analyzing charts
Can handle high stress
Want frequent trading opportunities
Can dedicate time daily
Have strict risk discipline
Accept that losses are part of the game
Short-term trading can generate quick profits but also quick losses.
Long-Term Trading Is Better If You:
Prefer stable growth
Don’t want to sit in front of charts
Believe in company fundamentals
Want to benefit from compounding
Are patient and disciplined
Want to build long-term wealth
For most people, long-term investing is safer and more rewarding.
5. Which Approach Do Professionals Use?
Many experienced market participants use a hybrid model:
Long-term portfolio for wealth creation
Short-term portfolio for opportunities during volatility
This allows them to enjoy stability while also taking advantage of short-term market movements.
6. Final Thoughts
Short-term and long-term trading represent two different philosophies. Short-term traders rely on speed, chart-reading skills, and rapid decision-making, accepting volatility as a regular challenge. Long-term investors rely on patience, fundamentals, and the power of compounding, focusing on the broader picture instead of daily price movements.
Both strategies can be profitable if executed correctly. The key is to choose the one that matches your personality, lifestyle, and financial objectives. A disciplined long-term investor can steadily build wealth, while a skilled short-term trader can generate quicker gains—but with higher risk.
Ultimately, the best traders and investors are those who understand themselves just as well as they understand the market.
CADJPY could keep rising furtherOANDA:CADJPY The market has been on a clear upward trajectory for some time, with each swing reaching higher peaks and forming higher lows. The rising trendline has been the driving force behind this momentum.
Following the recent surge, the price has pulled back slightly, forming a textbook bullish flag pattern.
This is the kind of price action you want to see in a strong uptrend—a controlled retracement with a minor dip, without any aggressive selling pressure.
The bears have failed to break the low, and the bullish momentum remains intact. As a result, the overall trend continues to hold steady.
Right now, the price is breaking out of the flag pattern, and it looks like this trend is poised to continue.
As long as the price stays above the trendline and doesn’t breach the flag's low, my outlook remains bullish.
My target is set at 113.150.
XAUUSD Outlook: Recent Gains Have Been Quite Steady!The market outlook for XAUUSD remains clearly optimistic. The latest price movement has shown a steady recovery, pushing towards the upper boundary of the newly forecasted price channel. This presents another excellent opportunity to get involved.
The market may be in the early stages of a strong new bullish leg. We could also see some consolidation or a short-term pullback before continuing towards the upper boundary, but I believe the second scenario is more likely.
My target would be 4,350.
Is BTCUSD (Bitcoin) heading towards $91,000?Hello!
BTC has finally broken through its main downward trendline, signaling a shift in market sentiment after a prolonged period of selling pressure. Following this breakout, the price formed a clear inverse head and shoulders pattern, indicating that buyers have stepped in strongly after the final liquidation at the head level. Since then, BTC has been moving within a clearly defined ascending channel, consistently creating higher highs and higher lows, which confirms the bullish trend.
As long as the price respects the lower boundary of this channel, the bullish structure remains intact. The next significant resistance lies between the 92,500 and 93,000 levels, which also aligns with the previous breakout area you marked. This area is likely to attract sellers, making it a realistic target for the current move.
Overall, the chart continues to support an upward movement towards the 93K level, unless the price breaks below the channel support, which would weaken the bullish reversal setup.
A Short Gold Sell Opportunity You Can't MissLooking at the chart, gold continues to move steadily within a clear downtrend channel, with each peak and trough forming progressively lower levels over time. Currently, the price is approaching the upper boundary of the channel and interacting with the same resistance area where sellers have stepped in multiple times before, forcing the market to reverse. This behavior strongly indicates that the potential for a continued corrective move downward, in line with the main trend, remains intact.
With this in mind, I believe a price decline toward the 4,080 level is a reasonable and logical target for the current correction. As long as the price hasn’t clearly broken through the upper boundary of the channel, I will continue to favor the scenario where the bearish trend remains dominant, viewing any upward movement as a mere pullback within the overall structure.
This is not financial advice, but simply my personal perspective based on the current price action.
BTCUSD: Overbought Rally Approaches Strong Support ZoneBINANCE:BTCUSD is nearing a crucial support zone, one where buyers have consistently stepped in before and sparked significant reversals. This price history alone makes this level incredibly important to watch closely. Price is approaching this zone once more, and the current market structure suggests potential for a bullish move if we see signs of rejection, such as a strong bullish engulfing candle, long lower wicks indicating absorption of selling pressure, or an uptick in buying volume.
If this support holds, I anticipate price will push towards the 98,700 area, fitting well with a short-term rebound scenario. However, if price breaks through this support and remains below it, the bullish thesis will be invalidated, opening up the possibility for a deeper pullback.
The best approach here is to wait for confirmation from the chart. Pay attention to how candles close, how volume behaves, and only consider long positions if the market defends this support level clearly. Solid risk management is key: position sizing, stop loss placement, and invalidation levels should always be aligned with the volatility that could arise around such a critical area.
This is just my personal view on the current support and resistance structure, not financial advice. Always do your own research and trade with a well-structured risk management plan. Best of luck out there!
Gold Trading Strategy for 500 Pips!Hey traders,
As we roll into a brand-new week, gold is showing some impressive stability. XAUUSD is hanging right around the 4,050-dollar mark, and despite the quiet price action, there’s a lot happening beneath the surface that’s worth paying attention to.
The market right now is in “wait-and-see” mode as everyone watches the Federal Reserve’s next moves. Over the past few days, expectations have started to shift—more traders believe the Fed may slowly pivot toward a softer stance and potentially move closer to cutting rates by the end of the year. Because of that, bond yields have been drifting lower, the dollar is losing some of its strength, and demand for safe-haven assets like gold is starting to rise again. All of these elements together create a strong backdrop for potential upside in the short term.
On the technical side, XAUUSD is tightening inside a clean triangle structure, and for those who follow price action closely, you know what that usually means: the market is building pressure. When price consolidates this way, it often sets the stage for a strong breakout. If buyers can push through the upper boundary of this triangle, the next logical target sits up near the 4,500-dollar zone — right in line with the momentum we saw during the last bullish move.
How about you? What’s your take on this setup? Are you leaning toward another leg up, or do you think the market is prepping for a pullback first?
Wishing you a great week of trading—focused, confident, and full of solid opportunities.
Gold Fluctuates in Support Range; Accumulation Signals Rise⏰ Timeframe: 30m
📅 Update: 24/11/2025
🔍 Market Context
After a corrective decline from the 4,104 USD area, gold is moving within a range-bound structure with strong support at the 4,003–4,023 USD area.
The market is in a short-term re-accumulation phase, as consecutive CHoCH movements appear around the bottom area — reflecting the buying side's effort to absorb liquidity.
The selling side temporarily controls, but balancing signals are becoming clearer as the price continuously rejects breaking deeply below the Demand Zone.
📊 Technical Structure
Resistance Zone (4,090–4,104 USD): main supply area, confluence with Fibo 1.0, where profit-taking reactions are likely if the price rebounds.
Support Zone (4,023 USD): intermediate support, playing a key role in the current sideways structure.
Demand Zone (4,003 USD): potential demand area, confluence with previous liquidity bottom – main BUY Zone area.
Structure Bias: still inclined towards accumulation – recovery, as long as the price maintains above 4,003 USD.
🎯 Market Outlook
1️⃣ Priority Scenario (Buy setup):
• The price may continue to retest the Demand Zone (4,003–4,023 USD).
• When a clear reaction signal appears, expect a recovery to the Fibo 0.618 → 1.0 area, corresponding to 4,075–4,104 USD.
2️⃣ Secondary Scenario (Breakdown):
• If the price breaks below 4,003 USD, the recovery structure will be invalidated, bringing gold back to the lower liquidity area around 3,985 USD.
💎 Key Zones
BUY Zone: 4,003 – 4,023 USD
SELL Zone: 4,090 – 4,104 USD
🧠 Analyst’s View
Gold is currently in a liquidity re-accumulation phase, as both sides are testing the lower boundary of the main support area.
The buying side needs confirmation with a break above 4,075 USD, while the selling side still holds the advantage if the price cannot maintain above the balance area.
In the current context, price behavior leans towards the “Sweep – Retest – Expansion” model, with the potential for forming a short-term technical recovery wave.
🛡️ Risk Note
The market is in a low volatility area – avoid emotional actions without clear structural confirmation.
Gold at a Crossroads: Up or Down?If we zoom in and carefully observe how the GOLD price is moving, it becomes immediately clear:
The market has just shown a very strong upward impulse, but now something interesting is happening. The price is tightening and forming a small, narrow triangle, which indicates that the market is accumulating energy. In these situations, there are usually two possible directions, but given the clearly bullish context, I feel that a breakout to the upside is much more likely.
What do you think? Do you agree with me?
Leave your thoughts in the comments. And trust me, being part of the TradingView community will help you improve every day as a trader.
Of course, this is not financial advice, just my personal view on the chart.
The Gold Bullish Setup You Can't Miss!OANDA:XAUUSD The price is clearly approaching a critical support zone, one that has previously triggered positive reactions in the market. This zone also aligns closely with the psychological level of $4,000, which tends to capture the market’s full attention.
Given the current momentum, there’s a strong possibility that buyers will step in and push prices higher. A confirmation, such as a solid rejection pattern, a bullish engulfing candle, or a long lower shadow, would significantly increase the likelihood of a rebound. If my analysis proves accurate, and buyers regain control, we could see the price rise to around $4,070.
However, if the price breaks below this key support, it would negate the bullish outlook and could lead to further declines.
Please note, this is not financial advice!
Cup and Handle Detected: A Bullish Outlook for XAUUSDOANDA:XAUUSD is forming a very clear Cup and Handle pattern. Price previously dropped toward the 4000 region, rounded out, and then climbed back toward 4080, completing the cup structure. At the moment, the market is making a mild pullback and shaping a tight and well controlled handle.
If price can break this resistance with strong momentum, the next target I expect is around 4150. Until a confirmed breakout appears, patience remains essential. No breakout means no trade.
This is a classic bullish formation, and market expectations are gradually strengthening.
XAUUSD: Likely continuation following pullbackXAUUSD has surged into a strong uptrend, and I predict that this momentum will continue, with a potential target around 4,150, as shown on my chart.
The current price level may be a critical turning point. Here, the price could find support and continue to rise, or if it breaks below, we might see an extension of the downward trend.
If I had to choose a direction, I would lean towards more upside, but the final decision should be based on price action to determine the next move.
However, if the price breaks decisively below the trendline, it would invalidate the bullish scenario, indicating that the uptrend could pause or even reverse in the short term.
These are just my personal views based on chart analysis, not financial advice. Always verify your setups and manage your risk carefully.
Technical Analysis of BTCUSD – Is a Correction Approaching?BINANCE:BTCUSD is currently moving within a clearly defined falling wedge pattern, with price now pressing against the lower boundary of the structure. This level may act as dynamic support, and if price shows a strong rejection, a corrective move toward the resistance zone near 102,000 could occur.
If sellers manage to defend that resistance area, the bearish structure remains intact, giving BTCUSD the potential to continue dropping to lower levels. But if price breaks above that zone, there is room for a higher correction toward the upper boundary of the wedge.
At this stage, paying close attention to candlestick patterns and volume behavior around this key area is crucial for identifying the best selling opportunities. Make sure every trade setup is supported by clear confirmation, and always apply solid risk management.
If you have any additional insights or a different perspective on this setup, I’d love to hear it. Feel free to share your thoughts in the comments!
XAUUSD Double Bull Flag — Danger AheadHello my dear traders, Laura here.
This week, the market has been extremely tense, and the price action reflects it well.
As I mentioned before, we are currently seeing the formation of a large bull flag. Just above it, a smaller flag is developing, and this smaller structure is the key trigger for any potential continuation. The bullish outlook remains valid only if this smaller flag breaks cleanly.
The recent pullback dipped deeper than expected, which signals hesitation from buyers. When confidence fades, even a promising breakout can turn into a sweet trap that lifts briefly before falling sharply.
Because of this, patience becomes essential. Before entering, we need a clear and decisive breakout that confirms strength. Specifically, we should look for a candle that breaks through resistance with firmness and clarity. If such a confirmation appears, the path toward the 4,300 level becomes structurally supported.
On the other hand, if the price falls below the lower trendline, the bullish scenario is invalidated immediately. At that point, the setup no longer holds and should not be traded.
For now, the principle is straightforward.
No breakout means no entry. Stay disciplined and avoid letting the market pull you into unnecessary risk.
XAUUSD: Continuing Uptrend with Potential Expansion to $4,280OANDA:XAUUSD has shown strong performance in the ascending channel, and I expect this trend to continue as shown in my chart, with a target price of $4,280.
The current area represents a key turning point, where prices could find support allowing them to rise, or they may break down, which could lead to a further downward movement.
If I were to choose the most likely direction, I would lean towards upward price movement. However, only market action will determine whether the channel will continue or not.
If the downtrend line is breached strongly, it will invalidate the bullish scenario, meaning that the bullish momentum could weaken or even reverse in the short term.
These are just my personal forecasts based on technical analysis, and they do not represent financial advice. Always make sure to verify your setups and manage risks wisely.
Wishing you successful and profitable trading!
Gold Technical Retracement Before Continuing Main Uptrend⏰ Timeframe: 30m
📅 Update: 11/14/2025
🔍 Market Context
After establishing a short-term peak around 4,239 USD, gold is undergoing a technical retracement to rebalance its structure.
The most recent decline formed a Break of Structure (BOS), but the Support Zone around 4,145–4,174 USD continues to serve as a foundation for the medium-term uptrend.
The current price structure indicates the market is re-accumulating momentum before expanding again.
📊 Technical Structure
Order Block (4,239 USD): a short-term resistance zone where the price may react slightly before continuing upward.
Support Zone (4,145–4,174 USD): a confluence zone with Fibo 0.236–0.382, playing a balancing role in the current cycle.
Liquidity Targets:
• 4,261 USD – intermediate liquidity zone.
• 4,293 USD – main expansion target if the uptrend is maintained.
🎯 Market Outlook
High probability scenario:
1️⃣ The price may retrace to the Support Zone or form a higher low around 4,174 USD, then recover to the OB zone at 4,239 USD.
2️⃣ If the uptrend structure breaks, the market may test deeper towards 4,145 USD before bouncing back.
As long as the price holds above this support zone, the primary trend remains bullish continuation.
🧠 Analyst’s View
This is a phase of market re-accumulation after a rapid increase.
Maintaining a higher low structure will be a confirmation signal for the next expansion phase towards 4,261–4,293 USD.
Buyers are still controlling the cash flow, while sellers mainly participate in the short-term resistance zone.
🛡️ Risk Note
The market is in a slight correction phase – avoid impulsive actions when the price has not completed the accumulation zone.
Gold Holds Firm Near $4,180 as Markets Await Fed Signal Gold prices are holding steady around $4,184 per ounce, maintaining strong momentum after last week’s sharp rebound of nearly $250 from the $3,930 low. On the 4-hour chart, the uptrend remains intact with multiple Fair Value Gaps acting as key support zones. The nearest support is seen between $4,150–4,120, while resistance lies at $4,220–4,260.
According to Kitco and Reuters, the rally is largely supported by growing expectations that the Federal Reserve may cut rates in December, amid signs of a cooling U.S. economy. The reopening of the U.S. government after a 35-day shutdown means crucial data such as CPI, NFP, and GDP will soon be released — which could reinforce the market’s belief that a dovish shift is near.
Adding to the intrigue, the U.S. Supreme Court is set to review former President Donald Trump’s authority to dismiss Fed Governor Lisa Cook in early 2026. Analysts warn that if this threatens the Fed’s independence, it could trigger a sharp decline in the U.S. dollar and push gold up by as much as $500 per ounce.
Meanwhile, UBS forecasts global gold demand in 2025 could reach its highest level since 2011, as central banks continue increasing reserves. Heightened geopolitical risks — including the upcoming U.S. election in 2026, the Middle East conflict, and renewed U.S.–China trade tensions — are further strengthening gold’s appeal as a safe haven.
In the near term, gold could correct slightly towards $4,150–4,120 before resuming its advance towards $4,260. A decisive break above that level could open the path to $4,300–4,340. With a weakening dollar, potential rate cuts, and global uncertainty, gold appears well-positioned for the next medium-term bullish cycle.
XAU/USD – Price Accumulating in a Narrow Range, Ready to Expand⏰ Timeframe: 30m
📅 Update: 11/12/2025
🔍 Market Context
Gold maintains a neutral structure after forming a Change of Character (CHoCH) around the 4,144 USD area.
Yesterday's session witnessed a narrow fluctuation between the Demand Zone – Support Zone, indicating the market is absorbing liquidity before determining the next direction.
The medium-term upward momentum remains unbroken, but the price needs a clear balancing phase before continuation.
📊 Technical Structure
Demand Zone (4,144 USD): a short-term supply – demand area where the market previously reacted strongly, now becoming a potential testing zone.
Support Zone (4,099 USD): confluence structure – an area where buying flows may return when the price retests.
Order Block (4,081 USD): a deep defensive zone, corresponding to the main Discount area in the current cycle.
Equal Lows (EQL) & CHoCH: indicate a short-term transition between two sides, but the overall bias slightly leans towards an increase.
🎯 Market Outlook
High probability scenario for the day:
1️⃣ Price may fluctuate within the 4,099–4,144 USD balance zone to attract liquidity.
2️⃣ If a strong reaction occurs from the Support Zone or Order Block, gold may establish a new upward move towards 4,165–4,180 USD.
3️⃣ Conversely, if the price closes below 4,081 USD, the short-term structure will temporarily shift to neutral, prioritizing a re-accumulation phase.
🧠 Analyst’s View
Current price behavior reflects a “pause phase” in the larger upward structure.
When the market balances at lower levels, the key observation is not the bounce, but the reaction when liquidity is swept — where the true momentum of the trend is reignited.
As long as the price does not break the 4,081 USD mark, the medium-term upward trend remains intact.
🛡️ Risk Note
This is a technical analysis, not investment advice.
The market can change rapidly during US sessions – wait for clear confirmation from price action before participating.
XAU/USD – Gold Technical Adjustment Before Continuing Uptrend⏰ Timeframe: 30m
📅 Updated: 11/11/2025
🔍 Market Context
After a strong rally from the start of the Asian session, gold paused around 4,130–4,140 USD, indicating a temporary cooling off after a series of consecutive Break of Structure (BOS).
The current price is situated between a short-term resistance zone and a technical support (Order Block) – clearly reflecting a rebalancing behavior after a rapid expansion.
📊 Technical Structure
Resistance Zone (4,145 USD): a short-term reaction area, coinciding with a Weak High. If the price surpasses this, the uptrend structure will continue towards the Liquidity Zone around 4,198 USD.
Order Block (4,111 USD): a confluence area between 0.382–0.5 Fibonacci, likely to attract buying interest when the price adjusts.
OB Deep (4,081 USD): a deep support area, coinciding with the 0.618 Fibonacci level — where buyers might defend the main trend.
Liquidity Zone (4,198 USD): a potential expansion target if the uptrend structure is reconfirmed.
🎯 Market Outlook
High probability scenario:
1️⃣ Price technically adjusts to OB 4,111 or OB Deep 4,081, creating a reaction at the Discount area.
2️⃣ As buying momentum returns, the price may retest the Resistance Zone 4,145, then expand towards the Liquidity Zone 4,198 USD.
3️⃣ Breaking below 4,081 USD will weaken the short-term structure, shifting to a deeper rebalancing state.
🧠 Analyst’s View
This is a natural “cooldown” phase after a strong rally — the market is seeking liquidity before establishing the next upward move.
As long as the price holds above the 4,081 USD area, the main trend remains bullish.
Observing reactions at the OB will help determine if the upward momentum will continue to dominate in the US session.
🛡️ Risk Note
The market is adjusting within a larger trend — avoid emotional actions when the price has not completed the retracement phase.
GBPJPYAs you can see price is clearly in an downtrend. Nice push to the downside, and nice recovery back up. And with 4 points being made ( H,L,HL,LL) downtrend is confirmed. I marked 4H supply that aligns with 202.000 handle.
While on the 4H is a downtrend, on daily timeframe, price is in a bullish leg and now coming up from filling the imbalance. Now if I was paying attention I could get into buys at the bottom and trap the market. However that was not the case.
That can cause price to go higher and break through our supply. But that is why we wait for confirmation on smaller timeframes before entering the trade.
Remember, no confiration - no entry.






















