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USDJPY: Sell now?Hello dear friends, are you curious about the direction of USDJPY today? At the beginning of Friday, the USDJPY pair showed a slight decline, pausing its strong upward momentum when encountering resistance near the record high level. The Japanese Yen strengthened after the release of Japan's consumer inflation data. Uncertainty about the future policy steps of the Bank of Japan could hinder further price increases. The modest decline of the US Dollar is causing some pressure, although weaknesses are somewhat contained. Looking ahead: Technical analysis charts indicate the formation of a double top pattern. In this scenario, the SELL strategy will be prioritized, targeting 150.70 and then 149.21 respectively.
Short
by RKarina
1
Gold Price Driven by Modest USD StrengthHello everyone! Let's delve into the sparkle of gold prices today! In the News: Today, gold (XAU/USD) is struggling to capitalize on its recent rise from the Simple Moving Average 100-hour support level around $2166-$2165. Instead, we are witnessing a decline in Asian trading session this Friday. Despite the Federal Reserve's policy update on Wednesday, investor focus is gradually diminishing as the US dollar strengthens, thanks to optimism about US economic growth. This resurgence, coupled with increasing US Treasury yields and prevalent risk appetite, is putting downward pressure on this traditional safe haven asset. Personal observation: After reaching a peak at $2222, gold prices plummeted, retreating to the $2170 range. Economic indicators continue to reinforce the US dollar. Looking ahead: The Fed's stance on maintaining interest rates and ongoing global political tensions may boost gold's upward movement in the near future. However, we should be prepared for a continued downward trend in today's trading session. Stay tuned for a day filled with opportunities or challenges.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by RKarina
GBPUSD: Price channel not broken yet!The GBP/USD has risen above the 1.2700 level, recovering from a two-week low below 1.2670 on Tuesday. Investors are cautious about taking significant positions ahead of the policy meetings of the Fed and BoE, causing this currency pair to struggle to find a clear direction. Furthermore, the widespread strength of the US dollar (USD) continues to weigh on this currency pair ahead of the policy decisions of the Federal Reserve (Fed) and the Bank of England (BoE). With the yield on the 10-year US Treasury bond holding above 4.3% after rising over 5% last week, support for the USD remains strong. As GBP/USD is still trending downwards, further price declines may be imminent!
Short
by RKarina
GOLD- Continuously creating breakthroughs!Hello dear friends, Are you curious about the price movement of gold today? Yesterday, gold surprised us with a dramatic increase, jumping from 2155 to 2223 USD, a remarkable gain of 680 pips in just a moment. What could have driven such a strong surge in this precious metal? News update: The announcement from the Fed about the possibility of interest rate cuts later this year caused the US dollar to plummet. This decline triggered a rush of gold buying from investors, pushing its price up. Technical analysis: Contrary to expectations of a decrease in gold prices for the day, gold broke through the downward trend line and soared to new highs. The EMA 34 and 89 lines indicated the potential for further upward momentum. The Fibonacci retracement levels of 0.5 - 0.618 are currently important if gold undergoes a corrective phase before continuing its ascent.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by RKarina
Gold price suddenly dropped todayIn today's trading session, gold experienced a slight decline after surging past the $2200 USD/ounce ceiling. This upward momentum was further fueled by comments from Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell, who stated that the central bank plans to implement three interest rate cuts in 2024. However, at present, gold has adjusted downwards by 0.3% to $2175 USD/ounce after reaching an all-time high of $2222.39 USD in the previous session. Contributing to the correction in gold prices, the US Dollar has recovered by 0.8% after hitting its lowest level in a week, making gold more expensive for international buyers. With these developments, gold may need to undergo further adjustments if it wishes to continue its upward trajectory.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by RKarina
USDJPY : Gentle adjustment!What are your opinions on the USDJPY currency pair? The value of USD/JPY has surged to its highest level in several years, reaching 151.000 as the Japanese yen weakens and the US dollar strengthens. This turnaround at such levels is believed to be a result of possible intervention by the Bank of Japan (BoJ). According to MUFG analysts, a yen weaker than 150.000 becomes uncomfortably weak for the BoJ, which could prompt intervention by using its foreign currency reserves to purchase yen. There is still potential for USDJPY to continue rising, with the possibility of "breaking through the peak of 151.75 if the support around 150.500 remains firmly defended."
Long
by RKarina
4
EURUSD: On the reboundHello dear friends, let's discuss and plan our strategy for the new day with RKrina! EUR/USD has successfully surpassed the important barrier of 1.0900, driven by significant downward pressure on the US Dollar following the Federal Reserve's decision to maintain interest rates and indications of potential rate cuts three times this year. The 4-hour chart suggests that the current downward momentum may have exhausted. This indicates that the next upward barriers could be at 1.0921, followed by 1.0963 and 1.0998. The initial support level is at 1.0834, with further supports at 1.0830 and 1.0761.
Long
by RKarina
USDJPY: still rising strongly!Hello everyone, are you curious about the upcoming trend of USDJPY? USD/JPY hit a year-to-date high near 151.50 early Wednesday, as the Japanese yen fell to a multi-month low following the BoJ's mild interest rate hike on Tuesday. Fed hawkish expectations will strengthen the dollar and further support USD/JPY. If the pair is breached and successfully clears above the record high of 151.889, the bulls will have more opportunities to push the price to the first level of ignorance at the 1.618 mark of the Fibonacci extension in the theory of DOW theory
Long
by RKarina
GOLD- What changes this weekend, surveyToday's Gold Trading Strategy: In the current global market, the price of gold has surged to a new all-time high of $2,197 per ounce, representing a significant increase of $40 per ounce since the early morning hours. This marks a new milestone as the highest price ever recorded. The rapid ascent in gold prices is a result of the Federal Reserve's decision to maintain stable interest rates during its most recent meeting, coupled with indications of a potential 0.75% rate reduction by the end of 2024. The decrease in the US Dollar Index following the Federal Reserve's announcement has made gold even more appealing to international buyers. Additionally, the decrease in 10-year Treasury yields has lowered the opportunity cost associated with holding gold, further propelling its upward trend.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by RKarina
GBPUSD: Bounces back after a series of losses?The GBP/USD pair gained momentum in the early hours of Thursday's Asian trading session. This increase was driven by the weakening of the US dollar following Federal Reserve Chairman Powell's cautious press conference. Additionally, the 1.2760 level, representing the 0.618 Fibonacci retracement of the latest uptrend, is currently seen as the initial support level reinforcing the pair's upward progress. There is a possibility of immediate breakthrough of the resistance level at 1.281, with the goal of reaching the peak at 1.289.
Long
by RKarina
USDJPY: New support support!Hello everyone, today USDJPY continues its recovery streak and is fluctuating around the 147.65 level after receiving some price-boosting momentum from yesterday evening when the USD rebounded and started to recover. The currency pair has formed a new support level around the 146.75 region. The Japanese Yen (JPY) has struggled to capitalize on modest gains during the day and has declined for the third consecutive day. Therefore, given this situation, we can still expect further price increases for USDJPY. The two main targets as well as the resistance levels that this currency pair needs to overcome in order to continue its upward movement are 148.65 and 149.35 respectively.
Long
by RKarina
EURUSD : Are there additional discounts?Hello, beloved friends! Let's together explore the heartbeat of the EURUSD market today! In this calm trading session on Wednesday, EURUSD remains at 1.086, reflecting the closing level from yesterday. The strength of the US dollar continues to challenge riskier assets, bolstering the US Dollar Index (DXY) and impacting the slight decline of EUR/USD. From a technical standpoint, the 1.080 level is crucial for sellers as it could signify a deeper correction or a point of recovery for EURUSD after its recent decline. What is your perspective? Will EURUSD rise or fall in the short term?
Short
by RKarina
Gold price should I buy or sell?Welcome, dear friends, to our exploration of the tranquil waters of the gold market yesterday, where prices gently oscillated around Friday's closing figure of approximately $2159, in a serene anticipation of significant news expected to break on Thursday. Gold remains ensconced in its downward trend, encased within an unbroken parallel channel that signals the potential for further decline upon reaching the channel's upper boundary. Amongst whispers, the persistent pressure on this precious metal continues, stemming from expectations that the Fed might maintain higher interest rates for an extended period. Should the support level at $2147 give way, we might witness gold gracefully gliding back into the $212x region.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by RKarina
GOLD - Downward pressure on prices remainsThe price of gold today (20/3) slightly declined compared to the previous session following new economic data from the United States last night. Meanwhile, the US dollar continues to strengthen in the international payment basket. At the same time, the Federal Reserve of the United States (Fed) convened its first meeting in March, which will last for two days. The market is on edge regarding the possibility of interest rate cuts by this organization. However, last week's inflation figures showed that despite high interest rates, inflation has not decreased as expected. This has led experts and investors to believe that the Fed is unlikely to cut interest rates in this session. Furthermore, the significant increase in the number of new homes started in February is predicted to boost consumer demand for goods. This could contribute to an increase in the consumer price index in the future. With the difficulty for the Fed to cut interest rates, the USD may become even stronger, putting additional pressure on gold prices.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by RKarina
EUR/USD: Stronger discounts continue!Hello dear friends! What do you think about the current trend of EURUSD? Today, EURUSD continues to decline, seemingly trying to gather strength to bounce back as the US dollar strengthens for the third consecutive day. Currently trading near the 1.0849 level, a quick look at the technical analysis chart shows that the downward momentum is still leading. As a result, breaking below the support level of 1.0871 has solidified the case for implementing a selling strategy. I am watching the 1.0800 level as the next stop, especially if the support level of 1.085 continues to crumble. What about you? What is your prediction for this currency pair?
Short
by RKarina
GBPUSD: Starting to correct?Hello dear friends! Today, GBP/USD is gradually decreasing to the level of 1.2800 tons in the first day of the new week. The US Dollar has prevented its losing streak as the market shifts to risk aversion ahead of the highly anticipated US CPI report, which will be released on Tuesday. This has somewhat limited the upward trend for the GBP/USD pair. As a result, the sellers are starting to suppress the price increases in the short to medium term. From the chart, we can see that a peak near 1.290 has formed and the price is starting to correct after a significant increase from the previous week. The technical targets and prospects in this case are highly evaluated at around 1.275, which is approximately the 0.5 - 0.618 Fibonacci levels.
Short
by RKarina
Update the latest EURUSD pair!EUR/USD has recovered after two consecutive days of losses, approaching the 1.0930 level in the Asian trading session on Tuesday. However, the pair faced resistance amidst cautious market sentiment ahead of the release of US Consumer Price Index (CPI) data. Market expectations suggest that the US CPI will increase from the previous month in February, although the annual rate is forecasted to remain unchanged. A strong CPI report could dampen the prospects of an imminent interest rate cut by the Federal Reserve, potentially strengthening the US Dollar (USD) and posing a challenge for the EUR/USD pair.
Short
by RKarina
3
Gold prices have recovered but are still difficultThe gold price (XAU/USD) saw a modest recovery from its lowest point in over a week at the start of this week, despite remaining in negative territory for the first half of the European trading session. Meanwhile, the US Dollar (USD) continues its struggle to achieve any significant momentum amid ongoing uncertainty about the Federal Reserve's (Fed) interest rate policy direction. This uncertainty, coupled with a slightly improved risk sentiment and geopolitical concerns, has been a key driver in pushing some towards precious metals as a safe haven. However, the outlook for a rise in gold prices is still constrained by the increasingly common view that the Fed will maintain higher interest rates for a longer period to control inflation. This expectation supports the rise in US Treasury yields, potentially diminishing the appeal of gold, an asset that does not yield interest. Ahead of the highly anticipated FOMC meeting decision expected on Wednesday, traders might adopt a cautious stance, limiting their bets on positive developments. The essence of maintaining high interest rates as part of efforts to curb inflation suggests that more time may be needed to manage inflation effectively. This situation, combined with the uncertainty surrounding global economic and geopolitical conditions, creates a complex scenario for gold investors as they weigh the safety of gold against the prospects of limited profitability in a high-interest rate environment.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by RKarina
XAUUSD surges to 2200 USD?Welcome to today's strategy analysis, where we revisit and forecast the next moves for XAUUSD, after a day of significant fluctuation. Current Analysis: XAUUSD witnessed a considerable decline yesterday, progressing through a descending triangle pattern and eventually breaking below the $2075 level. Despite this, gold quickly adjusted, forming an ascending triangle pattern and currently trades around $2168. This occurred after surpassing resistance levels at $2179 and $2177, although it ultimately saw a slight decrease of 0.27% for the day. Insights on Price Increase Causes: Scenario 1: The weakening of the US dollar, as the market anticipates the Federal Reserve (FED) might cut interest rates by June 2024 despite rising inflation in the US. This scenario benefits gold prices. Scenario 2: Some analysts predict a spike in gold prices if the FED decides to cut rates. If this does not happen, high inflation fears could push gold prices higher. Scenario 3: Political tensions and military conflicts, such as the Russia-Ukraine situation, keep the demand for safe-haven assets like gold high. Forecast and Strategy: Looking at the 1-hour chart, we observe an increase in trading volume and price stabilization after a sharp decline, touching the EMA 34.89 line. XAUUSD finds strong support around the $2160 level. If it breaks below this support, we could witness a significant price drop. However, maintaining above this level could lead to price increases. A recovery is anticipated after touching the ascending triangle pattern boundary. An adjustment might occur after breaking the fake level of $2175, and consolidation above this level indicates the market is ready for a recovery. Conclusion: In the current context, closely monitoring market developments and external influencing factors will be key to making wise investment decisions. Keep an eye on announcements from the FED, global political situations, and currency market movements to adjust your strategy accordingly. Scenario 3: Escalating political tensions due to the Russia-Ukraine military conflict are maintaining the demand for safe-haven assets like gold. The conditions are favorable for gold to rally. Regarding the new prospects for XAUUSD: According to the 1-hour chart, the volume is increasing, and the price has stopped after a sharp decline, touching the EMA 34,89. XAUUSD is currently receiving strong support around 2160 USD. However, if it breaks below this level, it could lead to a significant price decrease, while maintaining it would result in an increase. It is expected that the price will recover after touching the ascending triangle channel. I anticipate a correction after breaking the false 2175 USD level. Consolidation above this level indicates that the market is ready to rally.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by RKarina
2