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XAU short-term trading and strategyThe path back to target inflation, like the path to a soft landing, is always narrow and treacherous. And there are some worrying developments that could shake up the “endless deflation” the US has experienced over the past few months, potentially pushing back policy easing beyond March. Favorable financial conditions: a leading indicator of real GDP, which has increased from 10% to 90% in six months, suggests that economic conditions are likely to remain stable at least in the short term. And if GDP increases, inflation may be difficult to reduce. Labor costs are not increasing: Rebalancing in the labor market occurs between job openings and quit rates, not unemployment rates. The employment cost index tends to follow the National Federation of Independent Business's small business compensation plan. At that point, the number rose, approaching the point where the Fed had to react hawkishly. Helter Skelter Shelter: Rents are forecast not to fall much in 2024, likely to contribute 17-20 basis points to core inflation in January and February, leaving no room for further contributions before Core inflation exceeds the Fed's target. Tensions in the Red Sea have begun to impact freight costs, leading to increased pressure on supply chains - a key driver of rising inflation in 2022, especially in Europe.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by TrategySherpa
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FOMC: driving force to help Gold prices increase!GOLDEN INFORMATION: In Wednesday's Asian trading session, the price of gold (XAU/USD) experienced a slight decrease and moved away from its two-week high of around $2,048-$2,049 reached the previous day. This decline is attributed to investors adjusting their expectations regarding the pace and extent of interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve due to strong economic data from the United States. As a result, the US Dollar (USD) remains strong, reaching its highest level since December 13 earlier this week, putting pressure on the value of gold. However, the recent decline in US Treasury bond yields may hinder strong betting on the USD by investors. This, along with concerns about geopolitical risks arising from tensions in the Middle East, could continue to support the demand for gold as a safe haven asset. Investors may also choose to be cautious and wait for the highly anticipated monetary policy meeting of the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) before taking any significant actions related to gold, which currently lacks yield. Personal opinion: The price chart according to technical analysis is supporting the Uptrend, the H1 frame is trading above the stable EMA, economic experts at today's FOMC meeting also support keeping or reducing interest rates and support gold's rise.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by RKarina
Bitcoin Crash Alert: Ready for $22k as per Past Fractal AnalysisPotential Bitcoin Price Movement Based on Previous Cycles Greetings crypto community! I wanted to share an interesting observation about potential bitcoin price movement based on fractals from past market cycles. - In 2019, BTC was 42% below its previous all-time high (ATH). Currently, in 2024, it is 41% below the 2021 ATH. - In 2019, BTC dumped 73% from the 0.786 Fibonacci retracement level. It is currently trading at the 0.786 level. - In 2020, BTC was 73% down 322 days before the 3rd halving. Currently, it is 100% up 322 days before the upcoming 4th halving. - There are similar price "boxes" between 2019 and 2024 - GETTEX:13K - GETTEX:14K back then versus $50k- GETTEX:52K now, and $4k-$5k versus FWB:21K -$23k. If these fractals play out similarly, we could potentially see BTC in the $22k- GETTEX:25K range soon. Please Like Share and Follow me for more quality analysis
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by CryptoPatel
4
USDJPY: Bearish behavior takes advantageHello everyone, what do you think about the USDJPY today? Will it increase or decrease in value? Currently, this currency pair is trading around 146.69 and has lost 0.12% during the day. The level of 147.00 has failed to sustain the current downward trend, and any further price declines are likely to find strong support near last week's low around the 145.65 area. However, additional selling activity may be seen as a new factor for traders to push prices lower and open the door for deeper losses as it adjusts to the 0.618 retracement level and the selling side seeks more opportunities to push the USDJPY down to the 144.800 level.
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by RKarina
EURUSD: bullish or bearish?Dear friend, EURUSD continues its losing streak this week, with the price of this currency pair trading around the 1.081 level and struggling to find any significant support on the chart. The primarily influencing factors are market news and investor sentiment, along with the volatility of the USD. If sellers regain control, EUR/USD could potentially return to the lows around 1.075 and possibly even 1.066. These are two significant support levels to watch. Conversely, if conditions favor EURUSD, it could bounce back from those levels and move higher.
by RKarina
EURUSD: Continue to be restrainedHello, it's great to see you all again for today's discussion on EURUSD! Currently, in the early trading hours of Thursday, the EURUSD currency pair continues its downward trend, with the trading level at the time of writing being 1.081. The strengthening of the US dollar has sparked new selling pressure on EUR/USD, pushing it down to its lowest level in the weekly range near the psychological area of 1.0800. The selling side seems to be showing a clear determination to push this currency pair down towards the testing area at 1.073, which is the final support level according to the Fibonacci measurement.
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by RKarina
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XAUUSD: Transactions are full of greenHello everyone! Today, the price of gold touched the levels of 2034 and 2036 USD at the beginning of Wednesday and is still mainly trading sideways as of the time of writing, although it is receiving strong support from the 2015 USD level and breaking out of the previous downtrend channel. Overall, the US dollar is regaining its position in the context of risk aversion sentiment, despite the decrease in US Treasury bond yields. All eyes are now focused on the Fed's decision on a new direction for Gold prices that does not bring profits. The daily chart shows XAU/USD trading in green for the second consecutive day as buyers gain confidence. Upon careful observation, we have noticed that gold has surpassed both the 34-day and 89-day exponential moving averages (EMA), but lacks enough strength to confirm an expanding uptrend. Currently, gold is trading near the resistance level of 2040 USD. Breaking above this resistance level will open up opportunities for further price increases in this precious metal, reaching higher levels at 2055 and 2088 USD.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by RKarina
Strategy to consider in the short term_ XAUUSDHello everyone! Yesterday, gold experienced a significant price increase, jumping from 2030 to 2056 USD, equivalent to nearly 26 USD. Currently, the price is adjusting and currently stands at 2040-2041 during the early trading hours of the Asian session, with prospects still favoring the buying side. Despite the DXY index showing signs of development, gold continues to demonstrate its strong recovery potential in the context of the possibility of the US not lowering interest rates anytime soon. So far, political tensions in the Middle East have not shown any signs of easing but rather continue to escalate. This is a factor that helps gold maintain its high and stable price above the $2,000/ounce threshold.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by RKarina