Signals
Gold is still compressed waiting for NFGold prices extended their recovery for the third consecutive session and touched $1,950 on Wednesday. This daily increase is due to increased open interest and it suggests that additional profits will emerge in the near future. However, the next important target for the precious metal is the high of USD/troy ounce in July 1987 (July 20).
Our Technical Confluence Indicator is signaling that Gold Price is breaking out of the confluence of the $1935–36 support, indicating the next uptrend to watch. However, the key supports mentioned include Pivot Point S1 for one day and Fibonacci 61.8% for one month.
GOLD : ADP jobs report reveals an economic slowdownThe range in gold futures on Wednesday, Thursday, and Friday of last week was tepid with a defined intraday high on all three days at approximately $1950 to $1955. Yesterday's report which revealed a softening of job openings resulted in a surge in moving gold of approximately $20, today gold had a fractional gain when compared to yesterday of approximately $5.00.
The ADP's monthly report is released on Wednesdays, 2 days before the release of the government's nonfarm payroll report. These two reports will occur before and after tomorrow's PCE index report. Today's jobs report came in well under expectations and much softer than the previous month of July. The July ADP report for June was revised upward recently, revealing that 371,000 new jobs were added.
XAUUSD : PCE index reveals Inflation remains persistent at 4.2%According to the report the core PCE price index (excluding food and energy) rose from 4.1% to 4.2% annually. Although prices continue to rise American consumers increased their spending by 0.8% in July although personal income only gained 0.2%. The core PCE rose 0.2% month over month and weekly jobless claims fell to 228,000 down 4000.
Today the Labor Department will release the jobs report for last month. This report will also have a large impact on the financial markets including gold and silver. Current estimates are that the report will show that an additional 170,000 jobs will be added to payrolls next month and that the unemployment rate will hold steady at 3.5%.
XAUUSD : Precious metals continue to increaseGold prices continue to increase today as newly released data shows that the labor market is showing signs of cooling and the US economy is slowing down. Specifically, the report on gross domestic product in the second quarter of the US Bureau of Economic Analysis showed that the economy grew by 2.1%, lower than expected.
Analysts are now closely watching the labor market as it can determine when the US central bank stops raising interest rates. The Fed has said it will need to consider a slowdown in the labor market as a condition for ending the current tightening cycle.
Tonight's ADP PredictionGold (XAU/USD) lacks bullish momentum at three-week highs, hovering in the $1,937-38 range by year-end, as traders look for more clues to confirm the dovish trend of gold. The United States Federal Reserve (Fed) globally. Upbeat US data earlier in the day. Also challenging XAU/USD gains are mixed concerns about US-China relations and sluggish US Treasury yields.
The cautious mood ahead of US ADP Employment Change, Second-quarter Gross Domestic Product (Q2) and US Personal Consumption Spending (PCE) appear to have boosted the outlook, boosting the outlook. Gold buyers to many highs. Disappointing US jobs, employment and housing previously raised concerns about the Fed's policy axis, especially after Fed President Jerome de Jerome de pressured the turmoil of the Fed. mambela data
GOLD → Rather superficial reaction to the Fed Chairman's speechThis morning, the price of gold decreased due to a speech by Jerome Powell, the Chairman of the Federal Reserve (Fed), at the annual banking conference. Powell announced that the Fed will continue its tight monetary policy until inflation reaches 2%. This is understandable as the US Consumer Price Index (CPI) has increased from 3% in June to 3.2% in July.
Despite stable employment market conditions, this justifies the Fed's decision to tighten monetary policy. It is expected that during the November meeting, the Fed will raise the basic USD interest rate by 0.25% to continue combating inflation. This information has led to a strong increase in USD and a decrease in gold prices on the international payment basket.
Waiting for new developmentsGold (XAU/USD) prices defended the previous weekly recovery, for the first time in five weeks, as it rallied for the second day in a row amid broad-based US Dollar weakness. Also, the strength for the XAU/USD rally is cautious optimism in the market, as well as falling Treasury yields.
It is worth noting that the US Dollar Index (DXY) encourages reliance on Fed policymakers' data and the recent mixed US data, as well as the continued decline in interest rates. US Treasury yields from multi-year highs marked last week.
Gold is still around 1920Gold prices traded near $1,915 per troy ounce during the Asian session on Monday, extending last week's gains. The recent drop in the US Treasury bond yields (US) helped push the yellow metal to recover. Additionally, moderate US economic data released last week along with mixed statements from major central bank officials at the Jackson Hole Symposium, underpinned Gold prices.
With that said, U.S. Durable Goods Orders in July fell 5.2% from the market consensus of 4%, ranging from 4.4% in June. However, Initial Jobless Claims showed favorable employment conditions, raising concerns about the US inflation scenario. For the week ending Aug. 18, the index fell to 230K from 240K previously, which is expected to remain steady.
Gold prediction for the new weekGold (XAU/USD) is marking an unimpressive start to the week trading around $1,890, after having fallen for the past four weeks in a row. With that said, Gold prices are filling the gap at their lowest levels since March while struggling to gain traction amid the market's cautious mood ahead of this week's top data/events. However, a stronger US Dollar will put downward pressure on XAU/USD even if technical analysis signals a corrective rally.
The US Dollar Index (DXY) has been rising for the past five weeks in a row and is affecting the Gold Price.
Gold is recovering slightlyGold prices edged up slightly higher and attempted to continue their gains on Tuesday. XAU/USD hovers around $1,900/troy ounce during the Asian session on Wednesday, having found signs of recovery after 4 consecutive weeks of default losses despite a firmer US Dollar (USD).
However, growing risk aversion and concerns about the Chinese economy are weighing on Gold prices. These factors can impact the total action value.
The US Dollar Index (DXY), which measures the greenback's performance, therefore, for the six major currencies, picked up resilience on Tuesday and ended the day with gains. At the time of writing, DXY is hovering around the 103.50 level. Falling US Treasury yields and falling US home sales could put the greenback under pressure.
EURUSD → Slips as euro zone PMIs give ECB pauseThe Initial reaction to the data saw EURUSD spike 50 pips lower before hovering around the 1.0820 handle at the time of writing. Key area at present with the 200-day MA resting just below the 1.0800 handle and could cap further losses.
EURUSD did face selling pressure as a stronger US Dollar and rising US yields saw the pair fall to support around the 1.0840 handle and print a fresh 7-week low. There is potential for further downside with a break below the 1.0840 support handle opening up a run toward the 200-day MA resting just a smidge below the 1.0800 handle. For now, though much like the majority of major pairs the range between the 100 and 200-day MAs could continue to hold firm keeping EURUSD confined to the 220 odd pip range.
Key Levels to Keep an Eye On:
Support levels:
1.0840
1.0797 (200-day MA)
1.0747
Resistance levels:
1.0900
1.0930 (100-day MA)
1.1000 (psychological level)
EURUSD → At the beginning of a broader Bearish reversal ?On the 4-hour chart, the EUR/USD has broken short-term support levels from June, confirming an upward trend. However, resistance levels from July have maintained a downward technical trend. Immediate support can be seen at the 1.0833 - 1.0859 range.
If this area holds, prices could rise and test the downward trend line from July, potentially sustaining a short-term downward technical trend. Otherwise, a higher breakout will reveal the Fibonacci retracement level of 23.6% at 1.1124. On the other hand, a breakout and immediate support confirmation will expose the 78.6% level at 1.0771 as prices fall to 1.0634.
XAUUSD : Waiting for recoveryGold prices (XAU/USD) fell to fresh five-month lows before stabilizing around $1,890 as market participants looked for more clues to extending the previous downturn, supported by recent downturns. hawkish Federal Reserve (Fed) concerns and risk aversion. That said, fears of a recession in China and weaker growth numbers in advanced economies coupled with firmer US data to boost US Treasury yields. and the US Dollar, which in turn affects XAU/USD.
Moving on, the absence of key data/events could allow Gold Price to consolidate recent losses to multi-day lows. However, a wave of risk aversion and more stable yields could keep the US Dollar afloat, thus boosting XAU/USD recovery unless witnessing any strong positive data/news Which force can affect the Greenback and improve the mood.
Gold prediction for todayGold yesterday had a bearish day setting a new 1903 low as the greenback continued to strengthen.
Positive economic data last Friday boosted USD demand. These numbers raise concerns that the Federal Reserve could still raise interest rates further at its next meeting in September, even as markets still widely expect the Fed to end its bull run. interest rate.
103.5 is the strong resistance of USD, if it is crossed, the target for USD upside momentum will be 104.5. There may also be a correction here
There are a lot of important economic data from the United States scheduled to be released today. Retail sales are expected to increase 0.4% in July. Additionally, the Empire State Manufacturing Index in New York will also be released. Gold price promises to be very exciting
GOLD : Prediction of gold in Europe and America15 minutes ago
Open interest in gold futures markets extended the uptrend for another session on Tuesday, this time by around 3.4K contracts according to preliminary data from CME Group. At the same time, volume increased by nearly 45,000 contracts after two consecutive daily declines.
Gold prices extended the pessimism in the first half of the week amid increased open interest and volume. On the contrary, the precious metal looks poised to extend its decline in the near term and with the immediate target of the June low of $1893/troy ounce.F
XAUUSD : Golden forecast for a new weekGold prices eased slightly during the Asian session on Monday and fell to the $1,911-$1,910 zone, or the lowest since July 7 in the past hour. However, the intraday downtrend lacks further selling, warranting caution for the strong bearish traders and positioning for the recent extension of the bearish trajectory witnessed in about the past three weeks.
The Federal Reserve's (Fed) outlook for further policy tightening should lift the US Dollar to fresh six-week highs and turn out to be a major factor acting as a headwind for the US Dollar. Gold price does not yield interest. Bets were reaffirmed by the US Producer Price Index (PPI) on Friday, which rose slightly more than expected in July.
What is left after the gold CPI news?Gold prices make a modest recovery from July 7 lows around the $1911-$1910 region set during the Asian session this Friday and, for now, appear to have broken a four-day losing streak. price. XAU/USD is now trading around the $1,915-$1.916 region, up more than 0.10% on the day, despite a lack of bullish confidence and remains vulnerable.
The US dollar (USD) is having a hard time capitalizing on a solid overnight bounce from over-week lows on weaker consumer inflation figures from the United States (USD) and a pullback. from the vicinity of the monthly high. The softer greenback is seen as the main driver of money flow towards the US dollar-denominated Gold price
GOLD 9/8 : What will happen to the gold CPI news?Gold prices attracted some buying power during the Asian session on Wednesday and partially recovered the previous day's losses to the $1,923-$1,922 region, or four-week lows. XAU/USD is now trading just below $1,930, up nearly 0.20% on the day, though any meaningful upside still seems elusive.
A generally softer tone around the equity markets, coupled with a modest drop in the US Dollar (USD), turned out to be the main support factor for Gold prices. Weaker China trade data released on Tuesday raised concerns about a worsening outlook for the world's second-largest economy. In addition, Moody's downgraded the debt ratings of a number of US banks and reduced investor demand for riskier assets. Anti-risk money flows tend to favor safe-haven precious metals.
XAUUSD 8/9 : Today's CPI ForecastXAU/USD fell sharply early in the US session, hitting a fresh 4-week low of $1,922.74 per troy ounce, as demand for the US Dollar increased following comments from Reserve officials. Federal. unified report on the Consumer Price Index (CPI) of the United States (USA) July.
Philadelphia Federal Reserve Bank President Patrick Harker said they are getting back to more normalcy and while looking at the possibility of a soft landing, he added that supply chain problems are recovering. Furthermore, he said the Fed can be "patient" and keep rates steady, though he made clear September's decision will depend on upcoming data.
XAUUSD 10/8 : CPI is approachingGold (XAU/USD) prices fell to a one-month low as they fell to $1,914 in the early hours of the Asian session on Thursday. With that said, the precious metal doesn't welcome any positive news from China, or a drop in the US Dollar ahead of US inflation data. The reasons could be related to market concerns about the health of the banking industry and the global economy.
If the US inflation data turns upbeat, Gold Price could soon breach the key support level and slide below the $1,900 support while the upbeat outcome could trigger a corrective rally. correction has been long awaited.