XAGUSD - Accumulation , manipulation and Distribution Power of 3: Accumulation, Manipulation, and Distribution (PO3) :
1. Accumulation:
Definition: Accumulation is the phase where institutional traders (also called "smart money") build up their positions (either buying or selling) without causing significant price movement. They do this quietly to avoid attracting attention from retail traders.
Purpose: During accumulation, price often consolidates, moving sideways within a range, creating a liquidity pool as both buyers and sellers participate. The purpose is to gather enough orders (buy/sell) before the next big move.
Example: In forex, accumulation can be seen when a currency pair’s price remains in a narrow range, forming a consolidation pattern such as a rectangle or triangle. Traders often wait for a breakout from this range as a signal of the next move.
2. Manipulation:
Definition: Manipulation is the phase where smart money manipulates the market to trigger retail traders' stop-losses and induce them into the wrong positions. This is often done through a false breakout or a sudden spike in price.
Purpose: The goal is to grab liquidity by triggering stop-losses placed by retail traders near obvious levels of support or resistance. This creates an opportunity for smart money to take the opposite position with minimal slippage.
Example: In forex, a manipulation phase might occur when price breaks out of a consolidation range, tricking retail traders into taking a position. After this false breakout, the price reverses, catching retail traders on the wrong side of the trade.
3. Distribution:
Definition: Distribution is the phase where smart money begins to exit their positions after successfully manipulating the market. This leads to a strong directional move as their large orders push the price significantly.
Purpose: The purpose of distribution is to unload the accumulated positions at a profit. As the market moves in the intended direction, retail traders who were manipulated into taking the wrong positions are forced to exit, adding momentum to the move.
Example: In forex, distribution is visible as a sharp, sustained price movement in one direction (either bullish or bearish). This often follows the manipulation phase and can result in significant price swings.
Disclaimer : Study is for educational purpose.
Silveranalysis
Silver is going to continue the rally Up as Historic Trend showsChart Understanding:
-- XAUUSD is price of 1 ounce of Gold in USD. Also known as Spot gold price chart.
-- XAGUSD is price of 1 ounce of Silver in USD. Also known as Spot Silver price chart
Spot Gold to Spot Silver price ratio of last 20 years shows how silver will trend in the near future.
-- When graph goes down, Silver rises.
Analysis
-- Last time when silver was at an all time high $34 USD/ounce, the ratio was at 46:1.
-- The ratio fell below the lower band and thus silver prices fell as mean reversion came to effect.
-- This time, when silver is at $34 USD/ounce, the ratio is at 79:1.
-- If mean reversion will happen this time, then it means silver still has a lot of price hike to catch to attain that.
-- If ratio of 66 is to be attained, keeping gold price constant, the silver price needs to increase to $41.5 USD/ounce, which is an increase of roughly 23% from current price.
As such, silver seems to be a better bet in the current uncertain times to give good returns compared to gold. The historical valuation of both precious metals show that silver has long been lost in the valuation race and has lot to catch.
"A historical analysis by the World Gold Council shows that despite gold’s current higher market value, silver’s intrinsic value is higher due to its relative rarity — five times less abundant than gold (World Gold Council, 2023). As historical and intrinsic value factors realign, silver’s price could adjust to reflect its true worth, potentially exceeding gold’s value in the (distant) future."
SILVER Breakout Confirmed........Silver broke weekly resistance and weekly close confirmed it.
Next target is 35$ and 37$. It may pullback from there before reaching 48-50$.
Trade as per risk management.
NOTE : ALreay silver view was given before at 27-28$ with target of 32$. This is an update actually. You can find previous chart idea below in link
XAGUSD/SILVER 4H BUY PROJECTION 06.09.24In this latest upward cycle of the silver market, Fed interest rate moves are playing an oversized role in pumping up silver prices. In early July, as analysts factored in the rising potential for interest rate cuts in the remainder of 2024, silver prices were once again testing May's nearly 12-year high.
SILVERHello & Welcome to this analysis
Silver has activated a Bullish Harmonic Gartley in daily time frame
MCX Silver due to budget day duty cut has seen the pattern gone invalid but appears likely to bounce back along with Comex Silver
Possible upside levels
Silver (Comex) 4hr close above $27.10 opens for $28.65 / $ 29.40 / $30.40, SL would be today's low (provided it goes and sustains above $27.10
Silver (MCX) 4hr close above INR 82750 opens for INR 85000 / INR 86500 / INR 88000, SL would be today's low (provided it goes and sustains above 82750)
Regards
SILVER 🚀 👨🚀 Support on 31.68 on 20th June will trigger price upwards to 43.35 within or on 20th Oct 2025 marked on the chart
31.68 ( 20th june 2024 )
43.35 ( 20th Oct 2025 )
Disclaimer:
It's a personal view not a financial advice and I assume no responsibility and liability whatever outcome arises.
Silver 📈 📈 If it sustains above 27.67 or that line ( Red ) then it could pump to the line ( green) or to the price 31.75 marked on the chart
31.75 --- ( 24th June 2024 expected time )
Disclaimer:
Its a personal view not a financial advise and I assume no responsibility and liability whatever outcome arises.
Silver sell on risejust like gold silver gap up on 20th march the price is fading its buying momentum and with that bias im looking for sell on rise setup
which i think 75300 could be the short entry and sl will be 75500 with the target of 74300 and second target of 73600
conclusion the target area are possible area to boost the buying liquidity again there will be exiting the trade
silver confused trade on levelsif silver sustain above 70k or 70050 level for today's close = 1d candle
then it will news based just liquid sweep from rd number of 70k
the price will rush towards the upper liquidity lvl of 71250 and 72750
as of trade on long side keep stop loss of 70k or below and target mentioned i.e. 71250 and 72750
Silver expected to fall by 5-7% - #2after the gap up of 29nov
there is price imbalance and buyer's liquidity is laying down under @ 68000 to 66000 zone
simple if you the candle from december month youll see reds are more dominat then green and green pullbacks came from previous value zone that were not tested are acting as order block triggering the buy order of buyers
BUT.....
there are two more level that need to consider is 68-66000 where we can see good buying as of now while recording this analysis
waiting for buy opportunity instead of going short