Silveranalysis
SILVERHello & welcome to this analysis
Silver in daily time frame appears to be in its 5th wave.
The larger impulse could end anywhere between $43.50 - 45 / INR 125000 - 129000. From there I expect it to retrace to $38 /INR 116000
MCX Silver will depend largely on $:INR movement.
Silver remains a strong commodity for medium to long term and all dips should be used to add.
All the best
Silver’s Bullish Cycle: Zones to Buy, Levels to Aim ! Silver is running one of its strongest bullish phases in recent years, having broken through key ranges and now holding around the mid-43s with momentum still intact. The structure shows that 42.7 is the immediate support staying above this level keeps short-term bulls in control. Once pressure mounts, the wider zone between 40 and 41 is where the market is Trend to react with macro catalysts, whether it’s Fed commentary, shifts in the dollar, or changes in yields. This zone is less about weakness and more about price discovery, often a place where institutional demand re-enters. A deeper correction cannot be ruled out, and the 37 region stands out as the medium-term load-up zone, where longer-term players will rebuild exposure. On the upside, silver has scope to stretch toward 44.9, and once momentum extends further, the 47.8 handle comes into play. From a macro perspective, the trend is supported by a weakening dollar, softer yields, and the Fed’s slow shift toward deeper rate cuts, while silver’s dual role both as a safe-haven and an industrial metal tied to the energy transition gives the rally added structural strength. Taken together, the bias remains firmly higher, with dips into support zones offering opportunities rather than threats. Trade safe!
Key Levels to Watch:
Immediate support: 42.7
Reaction zone: 40.0 – 41.0
Medium-term load up zone: 37.0
Upside targets: 44.9 and 47.8
Silver – Riding the WaveMCX:SILVERMIC1! is trending strong, and we are already surfing at 5R.
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Now, the trend is in motion — and we stay with it as long as it runs.
12R locked in on $MCX:SILVERMIC1!12R locked in on MCX:SILVERMIC1!
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Risk was tight, exits were clear, emotions silent.
Price moved, I trailed. Trend built, I rose with it.
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Resistance Breakout expected in SILVERilver Futures (MCX) are approaching a key resistance zone at ₹114,258. Price action shows multiple tests of this level, suggesting strong buying interest and a potential breakout. If this resistance is cleared, bullish momentum may accelerate, offering an attractive long opportunity for traders. Risk management is crucial; consider placing stops below recent support to protect capital. Monitor for confirmation through sustained price action above the resistance and increased volume. This set-up highlights evolving strength in silver and could pave the way for a further move higher. This analysis is for educational purposes and not investment advice.
XAG/USD (Silver Spot vs. US Dollar) Analysis - Monthly Chart ~~ XAG/USD (Silver Spot vs. US Dollar) Analysis ~~
#Current Price and Recent Performance
As of June 18, 2025, the XAG/USD spot price is approximately $37.00 per troy ounce at the time of posting, reflecting a 13-year high. Silver has surged nearly 30% year-to-date in 2025, driven by heightened safe-haven demand amid geopolitical tensions, particularly in the Middle East, and global economic uncertainties. Over the past month, silver prices have risen by 12.43%, and year-over-year, they are up 23.33%.
-- Key Drivers of Recent Trends
Geopolitical Tensions: Escalating conflicts, such as Israel’s military actions in Iran, have boosted demand for safe-haven assets like silver and gold. This has been a significant catalyst for silver’s rally, with prices climbing in tandem with gold.
US Dollar Weakness: A softer US dollar, influenced by expectations of Federal Reserve rate cuts and softer inflation data, has supported higher silver prices. Since silver is priced in USD, a weaker dollar makes it more affordable for foreign investors, increasing demand.
Industrial Demand: Silver’s dual role as a precious and industrial metal (used in electronics, solar panels, and medical devices) accounts for ~56% of its demand. Growing industrial applications, particularly in green technologies, continue to support price growth.
Supply Constraints: A persistent supply deficit of 150–200 million ounces annually (10–20% of total supply) and declining above-ground inventories by nearly 500 million ounces in recent years have tightened the market, pushing prices higher.
Speculative Activity: Futures and spot market trading on exchanges like COMEX and the London Bullion Market, coupled with speculative interest, contribute to price volatility. The market is also influenced by “paper silver” (futures, ETFs), which some argue suppresses physical silver prices.
~~Technical Analysis~~
Current Levels and Trends: Silver is trading above the key support zone of $34.90–$35.15, maintaining a bullish outlook. Recent suggest a strong bullish trend, with a breakout above a downward trend line and minor resistance on the 4-hour chart.
Support and Resistance:
Support: Key levels include $34.99, $33.70, $32.67, and the 0.618 Fibonacci retracement at ~$35.00.
Resistance: Immediate resistance lies at $37.85, with further targets at $38.00 and potentially $40.34–$44.21 in the coming weeks or months.
-- Disclaimer --
This analysis is based on recent technical data and market sentiment from web sources. It is for informational purposes only and not financial advice. Trading involves high risks, and past performance does not guarantee future results. Always conduct your own research or consult a SEBI-registered advisor before trading.
#Boost and comment will be highly appreciated
Silver Going Parabolic Silver tried to break out of the horizontal range thrice (marked on chart), but was finally successful only in its third attempt on 6th Jan 2025 and did a retest too.
Post 6th Jan 2025, Silver has been in uptrend keeping up with the Gold in terms of trajectory.
It looks like there is more room upwards as geopolitical events (Tariffs, trade wars etc) shape coming months and uncertainty remains high.
Lets see how it plays out.
Trade Safe
Inverse Head and Shoulder pattern In Silver ? New high Soon?chart shows an Inverse Head and Shoulders pattern in Silver Futures on the 1-hour timeframe.
The neckline (resistance) is marked by the blue zone, which, if broken with strong volume, could confirm a bullish breakout. The projected price movement (black arrow) suggests a potential rally toward ₹106,000.
A confirmation would come if the price breaks above the ₹101,987 - ₹103,000 resistance zone with volume.
Place SL below the right shoulder (~₹100,000) for a safe trade.
Silver Price Alert: Is XAG/USD Headed for $34.108? Learn Why!"Join us for an educational session on XAG/USD as we analyze key market trends and technical signals pointing to a potential drop toward $34.108. Understand the factors driving gold prices and gain insights to improve your trading strategy!
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SILVERHello & welcome to this analysis
Since May 2024, Silver (Comex) has surpassed $32.5 only once and failed on 4 attempts (including Fri - 14th Feb). Silver (MCX) has surpassed 96500 only once and failed on 3 attempts (one less due to $:INR impact).
Is this setup a complex H&S in the making (multiple shoulders)? I have my doubts on that because the weekly and monthly patterns are of a cup and handle formation with the latter in the process of currently shuffling out weak hands.
A daily close above 32.50 / 96500 would lead to a strong rally. Strong support now at $31 / 93500
Medium to long term view bullish, short term volatile - waiting for breakout
Regards
Inverse Head and Shoulders pattern on the Silver Futures (MCX)The 4-hour Silver Futures (MCX) chart is showing a clear Inverse Head and Shoulders pattern, a bullish reversal signal. The pattern comprises a left shoulder, head, and right shoulder, with the neckline around the ₹97,800 - ₹98,300 region.
The price is currently testing this neckline, and a successful breakout above this level, confirmed by increased volume, could trigger a significant upward move.
SILVER VIEW⚠️Education Purpose only!!!!
Key Support area:-87,100
Key Resistance area:-96,200
Silver has long been considered a 🏦 store of value and a 🛡️ hedge against inflation.
Riskier but suitable for speculation and hedging.
🔧 Industrial Demand – Used in ⚡ tech, ☀️ solar, 🚗 EVs
💰 Monetary Hedge – Safe-haven in 🔥 inflation & 📉 downturns
⛏️ Supply Constraints – Limited mining, rising demand 📊
📊 Growing Investment – ETFs & retail piling in 🚀
⏳ Long-Term View
If industrial demand and inflation persist, silver could see 📈 strong appreciation over the next decade.
🔍 Investors should monitor global economic trends, 📉 interest rates, and ⛏️ mining supply data to make informed decisions. 🚀
Price Action applied :-
⭕️50 Day Moving averages
⭕️Channel Pattern Formation
⭕️Range Breakout
⭕️Triangle Pattern Formation
⭕️Demand Zone
⭕️Major Resistance area
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✍️COMMENT Below your view
Silver Commodity - Breakout in Day TimeFrameSince September, silver futures have been consolidating, indicating a period of price stability and indecision among traders. As of today, January 30, 2025, the market has experienced a breakout from the established trendline, signaling a potential shift in momentum. This breakout could suggest renewed buying interest and the possibility of upward price movement, making it an opportune time for traders to reassess their positions and strategies in light of this development.
Commodity Analysis: Silver – Potential Short-Term UpsideHello, Traders! 👋
Silver is shaping up for an interesting move:
📈 Technical Overview:
🔹 Higher low formed on the weekly chart, suggesting potential accumulation.
🔹 My ILTF indicator has already signaled a BUY, but the price remains sideways for now.
🔹 A breakout above 92,000 could trigger a short-term upmove toward the all-time high (ATH).
💡 Current Plan:
I’m not holding any position currently but closely watching for momentum on the daily chart. If a breakout occurs, I may consider initiating a pilot position to capture the move.
⚠️ Disclaimer:
🔹 I am not a SEBI-registered advisor.
🔹 This analysis reflects my personal views and is not a recommendation to buy or sell.
🔹 Shared purely for learning purposes—please conduct your own research or consult a professional before trading.
Keep an eye on Silver—things might get shiny soon! 💡
SILVERHello & welcome to this analysis
In the short term it appears to be under pressure mainly due to the strength seen in DXY.
In the medium to long term its in the completion of a very large breakout, we might not see the current price level for decades after 1-2 quarters of 2025
All the best for your Investing and Trading
SILVER FUTURES - INTRADAY In silver futures, 88,800 has been acting as a support level since December 23. Currently, the price is near this support line and hovering around the Weekly CPR (blue dotted lines). Silver can be considered for intraday trading now, with a stop-loss below the blue line or 88,600.