Silver Futures – Bearish Reversal in Progress
Silver Futures – Bearish Reversal in Progress
Description:
Silver is showing a strong technical reversal across timeframes. Short-term correction looks likely.
Technical Setup:
Daily:
Evening Star + Bearish Engulfing
Flattening EMAs
Volume and MACD confirming momentum slowdown
Weekly:
Gravestone + Southern Doji near resistance
RSI close to overbought
EMA slope still up, but weakening signs visible
Macro View:
No major bearish macro trigger — Fed dovish, USD stable, inflation low.
→ This is likely a technical pullback, not a fundamental reversal.
Trade Plan:
🔻 Breakdown Level: ₹114,560
🎯 Targets: ₹107K → ₹101K → ₹93K
🛑 SL: ₹116,000+
Caution: No position without breakdown confirmation.
Silvershort
OH Silver Chart Indicate some bearish tone...Key Points:
Trend:
The price is below the Ichimoku cloud → showing a bearish trend.
The blue and red lines (Tenkan & Kijun) are also in a bearish position.
The price is near the 0.236 Fibonacci level (around $37.78) – acting as a weak support.
Resistance Zone:
Around $38.10 – $38.20
Support Levels (Fibonacci):
0.382 → $37.50
0.5 → $37.31
0.618 → $37.12
1.0 → $36.52
🔄 Swing Trading Idea (Sell Setup):
Direction: Sell (because the trend is weak)
Entry Zone: $37.79 – $37.83 (Current Price)
Target 1: $37.50
Target 2: $37.12
Stop Loss (SL): Above $38.10
Risk-Reward Ratio: Around 1:2
If price goes above $38.10, this sell idea will fail.
Bearish Harmonic in Play – Silver Sell Zone TriggeredBearish Harmonic in Play – MCX:SILVER1! Sell Zone Triggered 🔔
The pattern marked from X → A → B → C → D forms a Bearish Harmonic Structure , most likely a Bearish Butterfly , confirmed by key Fibonacci ratios:
* XA to AB retracement: 78.8%
* BC to CD extension: 1.543
This setup signals the formation of a Potential Reversal Zone (PRZ) near point D , where a bearish trend may initiate.
📉 Bearish Price Outlook
The dotted projection lines and red arrow illustrate the anticipated downward move:
* Price is likely to face resistance and reverse from the PRZ between ₹108,771 and ₹109,850
* A break below ₹106,899 could trigger further decline toward key support levels at ₹103,904 and ₹98,810
Triangle breakout in silver. Down to earth..
Elliott Wave Analysis:-
1st possibility:- (look Previous chart published)
Silver is in a triangle breakout. if it is getting towards upside breakout then we have a nice opportunity of pullback and and we can add it if the pullback occurs. else we can enjoy this journey quietly.
2nd possibility:-
Silver had already made a pullback towards down side breakout. Once it start the way it will fly towards downside and then it will complete a C wave in whole B wave then upside C wave will be impulsive.
My Entry, Stop, Target all have been discussed.
My suggestion to take a trade at this place to reduce the risk better reward.
I just spoke what chart whisper's in my ear.
I am not a SEBI registered advisor. Before taking a trade do your own analysis or consult a financial advisor. I share chart for education purpose only. I share my trade setup.
XAGUSD/SILVER 4H BUY PROJECTION 06.09.24In this latest upward cycle of the silver market, Fed interest rate moves are playing an oversized role in pumping up silver prices. In early July, as analysts factored in the rising potential for interest rate cuts in the remainder of 2024, silver prices were once again testing May's nearly 12-year high.
Silver sell on risejust like gold silver gap up on 20th march the price is fading its buying momentum and with that bias im looking for sell on rise setup
which i think 75300 could be the short entry and sl will be 75500 with the target of 74300 and second target of 73600
conclusion the target area are possible area to boost the buying liquidity again there will be exiting the trade
Short the SILVER(XAGUSD).Elliott wave analysis:-
Impulse wave formation has been formed.
1,3,5 wave are impulse and the 5the wave was an Ending Diagonal. .
if this wave has not broke above the 5th wave then we can go for short at CMP.
stoploss@22.24201
if pattern failed then we have to wait and watch the wave formation.
i am not a SEBI registered advisor. Before taking a trade do your own analysis or consult a financial advisor. I share chart for education purpose only. I share my trade setup.
Bulls be carefulFriday's price action
a) brought the price precariously close to the descending triangle breakdown
b) Trendline recapture miserably failed and confirmed the breakdown
Both (and 2 other EW based factors) points towards price reaching green zone after break of blue zone.
The momentum oscillator is also no-where near the oversold zone and indicating some more downside possibility.
Lets see how this develops further.
Happy Trading !
silver could fall 3-4% ?? The Gap up of 30th aug was not Bullish case in the price
gap just grabed all the pending liqduidity from old order block (from 20 and 27 july)
due to gap up price face hard selling liquidity and buyer liquidity made a stretch of (15 or more than !%) which created the imbalance
with all this conditions it is clear that price will be dropping lower to find more buyer liqudity
the red arrow highlighting the buyer liqudity lvls
for long entry only from 70600 - 70400 & main point of interest will be 70,000 - 69350
Silver possible Elliot wave counts (Now down and then Up)Silver is now ready to dip down and to unfold wave 5 of (C)
and as per equality, Target of (C) equal to (A) is pegged at 19.963 and 1.618 is pegged at $ 18.350,
which can be stop loss for fresh long positions to be made below $ 20.
Disclaimer.
I am not sebi registered analyst.
My studies are for educational purpose only.
Please Consult your financial advisor before trading or investing.
I am not responsible for any kinds of your profits and your losses.
Most investors treat trading as a hobby because they have a full-time job doing something else.
However, If you treat trading like a business, it will pay you like a business.
If you treat like a hobby, hobbies don't pay, they cost you...!
Disclaimer.
I am not sebi registered analyst.
My studies are for educational purpose only.
Please Consult your financial advisor before trading or investing.
I am not responsible for any kinds of your profits and your losses.
Head and Shoulders top in SilverSilver (XAGUSD) has formed a head and shoulders type rounding top on the 4h time frame. The price is still at the supply line. A breakdown below this line would be bearish for the commodity with measured move target of 21.75.
Price action at 23.15 to 23.50 zone is critical and would decide the next course of action.
SILVER SELL IDEA 1HAnalysing the H1 time frame i spotted the raising trend channel where i expect the breakout of the channel below the boundary, but till then the channel is active, you should wait for the breakout then sell at retest area, if you are willing to buy, you can look for confirmation using 5M, 15M TM for trading pull back.