SMC
GOLD TRAPPED BETWEEN LIQUIDITY ZONES – WAITING FOR SMART MONEY M🧭 DAILY TRADING PLAN – GOLD (XAU/USD)
Date: Oct 31, 2025
Main timeframe: M30 – H1
Strategy: SMC + Liquidity Grab + BOS/CHOCH Confirmation
🎯 Hook:
Gold is currently ranging between two key liquidity zones after a bullish BOS. Will price hunt the weak high or sweep the buy-side liquidity before the next leg?
🌐 MARKET CONTEXT
After a strong recovery from 3960 → 4040, price created a weak high with no significant displacement. The recent rejection from 4037–4039 suggests short-term supply pressure, but overall market structure remains bullish with multiple BOS confirmations.
Current structure shows a liquidity grab → retracement phase before continuation.
📈 TRADING PLAN
Scenario 1 – BUY setup (preferable)
Entry zone: 3996 – 3994
Confirmation: Bullish reaction / CHoCH on lower timeframe (M5–M15)
TP1: 4030
TP2: 4038 (liquidity above weak high)
SL: 3988 (≈ 6$ risk range)
Bias: Continuation bullish leg after mitigation
Alternative BUY zone (deep retracement):
Entry: 3960 – 3958
TP: 4030
SL: 3952
Use only if price sweeps lower liquidity.
Scenario 2 – SELL setup (counter-trade)
Entry zone: 4037 – 4039
Confirmation: M15 bearish CHoCH / rejection candle
TP1: 4010
TP2: 3995
SL: 4045 (≈ 6$ risk range)
Bias: Short-term sell before retest demand
🧩 SUMMARY
Market still shows bullish structure, so buy setups at demand zones are higher probability.
Sell setups should be quick scalps around the weak high, targeting intraday retracement.
GOLD READY FOR A BULLISH REBIRTH | Pullback Buy Setup Inside🧭 DAILY TRADING PLAN — GOLD (XAU/USD)
Date: Oct 30, 2025
Main timeframe: H1 – M30
Strategy: SMC + EMA Confluence + Trendline Reversal
🧩 MARKET CONTEXT
Gold has just completed a liquidity sweep below 3920 and is forming a bullish corrective structure along the rising trendline.
The short-term structure shows CHoCH → BOS confirmation around 3950–3970, signaling a potential reversal phase.
Price is currently testing the EMA zone (H1) and approaching the key supply at 4026–4028, where short-term profit-taking might appear.
Overall, market sentiment remains bullish toward 4020–4030, but a short retracement could occur before the next leg up.
🎯 TRADE PLAN
BUY SETUP #1
Entry: 3950 – 3948
SL: 3943
TP: 4018 → 4026
(R:R ≈ 1:3)
If price fails to hold above 3948, wait for a deeper liquidity grab:
BUY SETUP #2
Entry: 3921 – 3919
SL: 3913
TP: 3980 → 4020
(Liquidity sweep + trendline confluence)
SELL SETUP (Counter-trade)
Entry: 4026 – 4028 (rejection zone)
SL: 4033
TP: 3970 – 3950
(Only valid if bearish BOS appears on M15)
🔍 TECHNICAL INSIGHT
Structure flipped bullish after CHoCH & BOS on M30
Trendline support remains intact
EMA 34 crossing upward on H1 – confirming short-term momentum
Main liquidity pools sit around 3919 (below) and 4028 (above)
Expect pullback → bullish continuation as long as price stays above 3948
DAILY TRADING PLAN — GOLD (XAU/USD) | Pullback Buy Zones 🧭 DAILY TRADING PLAN – GOLD (XAU/USD)
Date: Oct 29, 2025
Main timeframe: M15 – M30
Strategy: SMC + Trendline + Fibo confluence
🧩 MARKET CONTEXT
Price created a BOS at 3983, indicating short-term bullish momentum within an ascending channel. The current structure supports pullback buys from demand / OB zones before targeting key resistance levels 4018 → 4085–4102 (Fibo reaction zone).
🎯 TRADE SETUPS
1️⃣ BUY #1 (Preferred – Retest Trendline / CP)
Entry: 3961
SL: 3955 (6 pts)
TP1: 3983
TP2: 4018
Structure-based retest at 50% trendline + CP zone
2️⃣ BUY #2 (OBS / OB Zone)
Entry: 3934 – 3932
SL: 3928 (6 pts)
TP1: 3983
TP2: 4018
TP3: 4085 – 4102 (extension target)
3️⃣ SELL (Counter-trend only)
Entry: 3992 – 3994
SL: 4000 (6 pts)
TP1: 3934
TP2: 3910
Use only if there is a clear rejection candle around the 3990s zone.
📈 BIAS
Short-term bullish while above 3930–3910.
Watch 3961 / 3932 zones for buy reactions.
Shorts valid only if strong rejection occurs at 3990s.
GOLD RETESTING SUPPLY BEFORE NEXT LEG DOWN🧭 DAILY TRADING PLAN – GOLD (XAU/USD)
Date: Oct 28, 2025
Main timeframe: M30 – H1
Strategy: SMC + Market Structure + Supply Zone
1. MARKET CONTEXT
Gold continues its bearish momentum after multiple CHoCH and BOS confirmations on lower timeframes.
Price is currently trading around 3935, after rejecting from several supply zones (4045–4047, 4011–4013, and 3975–3977).
Higher timeframe structure (H1–H4) remains bearish, with resistance forming between 4010–4050 and potential liquidity resting below 3928.
2. INTRADAY BIAS
Bias: Bearish
Expectation: Short retracement into supply → continuation down to support zone.
3. TRADING SETUP
Sell Zone #1: 3975 – 3977
Sell Confirmation: Price forms bearish CHoCH on M15–M30 near supply zone.
Entry: 3976
Stop Loss: 3982 (6 USD range)
Take Profit 1: 3940
Take Profit 2: 3928
R:R ≈ 1:4 — targeting liquidity below the previous swing low.
Avoid buying until clear BOS above 4013 is confirmed.
4. NOTES
If price closes above 4013, invalidates short bias and shifts to neutral — wait for fresh structure before entering again.
Monitor volume + reaction near Support Zone (3928–3940) for potential profit-taking.
Nifty 50 – Key Levels & Trade Setups | 27 Oct 2025Overview
The NIFTY 50 index concluded the previous week with an indecisive candle, reflecting ongoing market uncertainty. Notably, the price action has successfully filled the gap that was left open on October 20, 2025. As we approach the market open on October 27, 2025, I will be closely monitoring the initial price behavior to gauge directional bias.
Current Technical Scenario
The market is currently positioned within the 25,830–25,800 range coinciding with a 3-minute FVG, which could serve as a pivotal zone for short-term movements. From current levels, there is potential for a downside extension toward the 25,670.
Key Levels to Watch
Resistance : Monitor for breakout above the 25,875 level.
Support : 25,700, followed by 25,670 (major).
I will closely monitor market reactions at these levels during the trading session on October 27, 2025, and, if possible, provide real-time updates post-market open at 9:15 AM IST based on live price developments. This analysis is for educational purposes only and not financial advice—always conduct your own due diligence and manage risk appropriately.
GOLD RETRACEMENT BEFORE NEXT LEG DOWN GOLD RETRACEMENT BEFORE NEXT LEG DOWN
Body: 🧭 DAILY TRADING PLAN – GOLD (XAU/USD)
Date: Oct 27, 2025
Main timeframe: M30 – H1
Strategy: SMC + Fibo Zone Reaction + OB/Trendline Confluence
1️⃣ MARKET CONTEXT
Price is consolidating after a sharp drop from 4186 → 4058.
Currently, price is trading inside a support trendline + OB BUY ZONE (4058 - 4061), showing signs of demand reaction.
Above, multiple supply zones are stacked (4093 - 4095 / 4114 - 4116 / 4135 - 4137), creating strong short-term resistance layers.
Structure remains bearish, but a corrective leg toward premium zones is likely before any continuation down.
2️⃣ BIAS
Short-term bullish retracement, then sell continuation from premium supply zones.
3️⃣ SCENARIO 1 — BUY SETUP (Short-term retracement)
Entry: 4061 – 4059
SL: 4055
TP1: 4093
TP2: 4114
RR: ≈ 1:4
Note: Only buy if price forms bullish BOS / engulf on M15 from this OB zone (confluence with Fibo 0.786).
4️⃣ SCENARIO 2 — SELL SETUP (Main setup)
Option 1:
Entry: 4093 – 4095
SL: 4100
TP1: 4061
TP2: 4002
RR: ≈ 1:5
Option 2:
Entry: 4114 – 4116
SL: 4120
TP1: 4061
TP2: 4002
RR: ≈ 1:5
If price reaches 4135 – 4137, this is an extreme premium zone (reactive Fibo + previous double top). Expect strong reaction and liquidity sweep before a larger sell-off.
5️⃣ KEY LEVELS
OB BUY ZONE: 4058 – 4061
SELL ZONE 1: 4093 – 4095
SELL ZONE 2: 4114 – 4116
SELL ZONE 3: 4135 – 4137
Liquidity Target: 4002 – 3930
6️⃣ SUMMARY
Wait for reaction at 4058 zone for short-term buy retracement.
Main idea: Sell from premium → Target liquidity below 4000.
Gold sweeps SL, wait for BUY LIMIT at Demand Zone 4,223-4,225Timeframe analysis: H4/30M
Logic: Trend Continuation after liquidity sweep.
MARKET STRUCTURE ANALYSIS (SMC Analysis)
Main Trend: Bullish (Price is moving within a parallel channel).
Structure Confirmation (BOS): The chart has confirmed an upward Break of Structure (BOS), indicating that buyers are controlling the market.
Liquidity Sweep/Fake: The strong bearish candle (marked as "Fake") is a move to sweep Stop Losses of early buyers and gather liquidity before Smart Money pushes the price in the main direction. This is an Inducement action.
Key Demand Zone (POI/Demand Zone/Order Block): The TIMING BUY area (4,223.154 - 4,225.000) is a potential Demand Zone/Order Block identified by Smart Money. The price is expected to retest this area before continuing to rise.
MAIN TRADING SCENARIO (LONG SETUP)
SCENARIO: Wait for the price to Pullback to the POI area to enter a buy order, continuing the main bullish trend.
Parameter
Value
SMC Description
Action
BUY LIMIT
Place a pending buy order
Entry Zone (POI)
4,225.000 - 4,223.150
Demand Zone/Order Block after liquidity sweep.
Stop Loss (SL)
4,214.390
Place below the low of the liquidity sweep candle ("Fake Low"), ensuring safety.
Take Profit 1 (TP1)
4,240.000
Target the nearest Swing High.
Take Profit 2 (TP2)
4,250.000
Target psychological resistance and mid-channel.
Take Profit 3 (TP3)
4,260.000+
Target the upper boundary of the parallel channel.
R:R Ratio
Approximately 1:2.5 to 1:3.5 (Depending on TP)
Good R:R ratio for a trend-following trade.
RISK MANAGEMENT
Risk: Only risk a maximum of 1-2% of the account for this trade.
Breakeven: When the price hits TP1, move SL to the Entry point (Breakeven) to protect capital.
Invalidation: If the price closes the D1/H4 candle below the SL level (4,214.390), the buy plan will be invalidated.
BTC forming wonderful scenarioBTC is forming good scenarios for bullish and subsequently bearish trade. It has created ABC pattern and retracing back to bullish FVG. We need to wait for price getting into right zones. We may also see a sell side trade once reaches to bearish FVG.
1. Currently price has broken ABC pattern neckline and retracing towards 1h FVG.
2. We may also see a sell side trade once price tap into bearish FVG and shows reversal pattern.
3. Most probably price will take liquidity of FVG and create MSS/CISD/TS/iFVG in LTF.
4. Price should show rejection/reversal in LTF (5m,1m) at FVG zone.
5. Take the trade only once clear entry model i.e. turtle soup. iFVG break, CDS or MSS happens on LTF
All these combinations are signalling a high probability and ~4R trade scenario.
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BTC is developing ~4R down side tradeBTC has done MSS on 4h time frame and showing rejection at 4H FVG after displacement. We can see a good downside trade once below FVG is mitigated and changed to iFVG. We need to wait for price getting into right zones.
1. Currently price is moving inside 4H FVG after displacement and showing rejection as well.
2. Price should break below FVG and retest.
3. There are several SIBIs which may be target for it and further buy side reversal trade.
4. RSI has already shown bearish divergence. Which support coming down move.
5. Most probably price will take liquidity of FVG and create MSS/CISD/TS/iFVG in LTF.
6. Price should show rejection/reversal in LTF (5m,1m) at FVG zone.
7. Take the trade only once clear any of the entry model i.e. turtle soup. iFVG break, CDS or MSS happens on LTF
All these combinations are signalling a high probability and ~4R trade scenario.
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Beautiful 6R BTC trade scenariosBTC is forming both buy and sell side trades as the price is in critical zone. BTC will possibly give us both side good trades. We need to wait for price getting into right zones.
1. Currently price is moving around daily and 4H gradient levels.
2. 125275 level is creating a gradient cluster of both 1d and 4h time frame. Which may give us a good sell side trade if price show clear reversal signals.
3. There is an 1hour iFVG if price takes liquidity of it, most probably it will touch gradient cluster level and good sell scenario may be confirmed.
4. There are several SIBIs which may be target for it and further buy side reversal trade.
5. Buy side reversal trade may be good trade as overall BTC order flow is upside.
6. Most probably price will take liquidity of FVGs and create MSS/CISD/TS/iFVG in LTF.
7. Price should show rejection/reversal in LTF (5m,1m) at FVG zone.
All these combinations are signalling a high probability and 5.5R trade scenario.
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Weekly Candle Closes High | Prioritise Buying on Pullback to Sup🟡 XAU/USD – 22/09 | Captain Vincent ⚓
🔎 Captain’s Log – Quick Overview
Last week, gold closed around 3,685, paving the way for further advancement and a new ATH.
After the FED cut 25bps, Powell's 'brake' remarks slowed the rise, but the larger trend remains bullish.
This morning, prices surged to 3,697.xx, now slightly adjusting around 3,692 – 3,690 → a sensible strategy: wait for a pullback to continue Buying.
⏩ Captain’s Summary: The gold voyage still heads North, Buying remains the main choice, but wait for a pullback to board.
📈 Captain’s Chart – Technical Analysis
Golden Harbor (Support / Buy Zone):
Thin support: ~3,698 (recently broken old range top).
OB Dock: 3,687 – 3,690.
FVG Dock: 3,672 – 3,676 (liquidity check on deep pullback).
Storm Breaker (Resistance / Sell Zone):
3,714 – 3,720 (supply cluster / old ATH – likely to react).
Price Structure:
Continuous BoS series, price breaks short-term up channel and creates higher highs → bullish remains the main trend.
🎯 Captain’s Map – Trading Plan (before US session)
✅ Buy (trend priority)
Buy Zone 1
Entry: 3,698 – 3,701
SL: 3,688
TP: 3,706 – 3,714 – 3,720+
Buy Zone 2 (OB)
Entry: 3,687 – 3,690
SL: 3,680
TP: 3,698 – 3,706 – 3,714 – 3,72x
Buy Zone 3 (FVG)
Entry: 3,672 – 3,676
SL: 3,664
TP: 3,687 – 3,706 – 3,714
⚡ Sell (only scalp when overbought)
Sell Zone (ATH test)
Entry: 3,740 – 3,738
SL: 3,750
TP: 3,730 – 3,690 – 3,695
Captain’s Note ⚓
“The new week kicks off with a high-closing candle, the gold vessel continues its bullish course. Golden Harbor 🏝️ (3,690 – 3,672) is a safe anchorage for the crew to watch for Buys. Storm Breaker 🌊 (3,714 – 3,720) is the wave crest where winds may rise, suitable for Quick Boarding 🚤 short scalps. Before the US session, the seas might get choppy – hold the helm tight and manage volume wisely.”
ETHUSD 2.5R sell side trade scenarioETHUSD is forming sell side trades as current bias and draw on liquidity both are at down side. Price has also left SIBIs to attract price upside for a while and then return back to target. In weekend price may have low volatility and trade possibly generate on Monday or later.
1. There is a daily time frame bearish FVG.
2. There is bearish FVG in 4H TF. Now price is approaching it slowly.
3. These FVGs are forming inside OTE zone.
4. Order flow is bearish. And draw on liquidity is also at downside.
5. Most probably price will take liquidity of FVGs and create MSS/CISD/TS/iFVG in LTF.
6. Price should show rejection/reversal in LTF (5m,1m) at FVG zone.
7. BTC is also forming similar scenario.
All these combinations are signalling a high probability and 2.5R trade scenario.
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BTCUSD 3R Sell side trade BTCUSD is forming sell side trade as current bias and draw on liquidity both are at down side. Price has also left SIBIs to attract price upside for a while and then return back to target. In weekend price may have low volatility and trade possibly generate on Monday or later.
1. There is a 4H time frame bearish FVG.
2. There is bearish FVG in 1H and 30m overlapping with 4H FVG. Now price is approaching it slowly.
3. These FVGs are forming inside Fib golden zone.
4. Order flow is bearish. And draw on liquidity is also at downside.
5. Most probably price will take liquidity of FVGs and create MSS/CISD/TS/iFVG in LTF.
6. Price should show rejection/reversal in LTF (5m,1m) at FVG zone.
All these combinations are signalling a high probability and 3R trade scenario.
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XAGUSD Step-by-step entry plan for XAGUSD
1. We have our Daily Point of Interest (POI)
- On the daily a zone that contains:
* a fair value gap (FVG),
* a break of structure (BOS) that previously acted as resistance and is now expected to act as support, and
* support from the 44 SMA.
2. Wait for price to return to the Daily POI
- Only consider the setup if price actually comes back into that daily POI zone.
3. Switch to the 1-hour timeframe to refine the entry
- Look for a shift in structure on the 1-hour (i.e., evidence that momentum is shifting bullish: BOS to the upside, higher highs/higher lows).
4. Confirm a 1-hour fair value gap forms
- The structure shift on 1-hour should create a 1-hour FVG (a short intraday imbalance).
5. Wait for the 1-hour FVG to be filled
- Let price fill that 1-hour FVG (price moves into/through the gap).
6. Look for a bullish confirmation on the filled 1-hour FVG
- After the fill, require a clear bullish formation on 1-hour (examples: bullish engulfing candle, strong demand candle, a higher-low + rejection wick).
7. Enter on the 1-hour bullish confirmation
- Enter when price breaks the confirmation level (e.g., breaks above the local 1-hour high formed by the bullish setup) or on a confirmed bullish candle close per your entry rules.
USDJPY Sell entry 1::5 RnRUSDJPY is forming a beautiful day trade for selling side. It can be a very good intraday trade if everything goes as per plan.
1. Price kissed 4H Iceberg Block and showed sniper liquidity and left bearish FVGs at both 30m and 15m.
2. 15m FVG is inside 30m FVG and upper side of OTE area.
3. Now it is moving toward FVG areas after taking reversal from bullish 15m BPR
4. Most probably price will take liquidity of FVG and OTE zone and create MSS in LTF.
5. Order flow confirming bearish bias.
6. Price should show rejection/reversal in LTF (5m,1m) at FVG zone.
All these combinations are signalling a high probability and high Risk and Reward (1:5) trade scenario.
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Gold (XAUUSD) 1:4 intraday buy scenario.Gold is in up move and forming a good buy scenario on 30/15-minute chart. It can be a very good intraday trade if everything goes as per plan.
1. 30/15m bullish FVG is pending and price is showing pull back towards it.
2. Most probably price will take liquidity of FVG and OTE zone and create MSS in LTF.
3. Order flow confirming bullish bias.
4. Price should show rejection/reversal in LTF at FVG zone.
All these combinations are signalling a high probability and high Risk and Reward (1:4) trade scenario.
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BTC developing a good sell opportunityBTC is moving in range for long time. Now it has shown a displacement after ChoCH and formed a bearish 15m FVG. There may be a good trade at sell side if price approach it. Well there are two trade scenarios are forming.
1. Price moves to 15m FVG and OTE overlap zone.
2. Most probably price will take liquidity of FVG and OTE zone and create MSS in LTF.
3. After breaking trend line it should pullback till FVG/trend line or any newly created OB/FVG.
All these combinations are signalling a high probability and high Risk and Reward (1:8) trade scenario.
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ETH multiple Sell OpportunitiesETH is moving in range for almost a week time. Now it has shown a displacement after ChoCH and formed a bearish 15m FVG. There may be a good trade at sell side if price approach it. Well there are two trade scenarios are forming.
Trade # 1
1. Price is moving around a short term trend line and resistance.
2. If price breaks trend line and take the liquidity of resistance than it may be sell trade.
Trade # 2
3. Price moves to 15m FVG and OTE overlap zone.
4. Most probably price will take liquidity of FVG zone and break trend line.
5. After breaking trend line it should pullback till FVG/trend line or any newly created OB/FVG.
All these combinations are signaling a high probability and high Risk and Reward (1:8) trade scenario.
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Gold (XAUUSD) forming wonderful sell scenarioGoldUSD price is moving at higher side and showing weakness. It is also forming double top kind of scenario. We may see a good short trade if liquidity sweep is witness at the resistance level with the additional confirmation of higher volume. Overall trend is still upside but buyers seems exhausted. We may find a good sell trade if Liquidity sweeps at resistance and everything goes as we planned.
1. Price is approaching 4H resistance zone. Which may act as a strong supply zone.
2. Buying is slow and weak.
3. Most probably price will take liquidity of resistance zone and break trend line.
4. After breaking trend line it should pullback till resistance/trend line or any newly created OB/FVG.
All these combinations are signalling a high probability and high Risk and Reward (1:8) trade scenario.
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NZDUSD Forming a Great Sell side scenario....NZDJPY is approaching 4H resistance zone, which has already show rejection previously. There is also a steep bullish trend line creating a confluence. There is a valid 4H FVG at upside. All these things signalling a coming very good sell side opportunity. Below are points detailing the same.
1. Price is approaching 4H resistance zone. Which may act as a strong supply zone.
2. Very steep Bullish Trend line developing a confluence at resistance. Steep trend line is always prone for breakout/breakdown.
3. Most probably price will take liquidity of resistance zone and break trend line.
4. After breaking trend line it should pullback till resistance/trend line or any newly created OB/FVG.
5. There are two possible reversal point 1. At nearest resistance. 2. At 4H FVG and higher trendline.
All these combinations are signalling a high probability and high Risk and Reward (1:8) trade scenario.
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XAUUSD SD + OTE Long Trade (Smart Money Logic)This is my recent LONG trade on OANDA:XAUUSD on the 15 min chart.
When everyone was waiting to SHORT , I was waiting patiently in my LONG position.
Entry :
$3378 - Order Block + FVG + 0.5 Optimal Trade Entry level
Exit :
1st Target - $3400 (Standard Deviation Target 1 + 3400 psychological level)
2nd Target - $3418 (Standard Deviation Target 2)
NOTE: Smart Money DOES NOT HUNT stoplosses , they trigger their positions slightly below where they find maximum liquidity, because their positions are WAY TOO HUGE and need all the anti-orders (buy/sell stops) basically buy side or sell side liquidity so that they can fill in their orders. They are literally there to HELP YOU push the price up or down, you just need to place your stoplosses right! not too tight not too far off which may cause market structure shifts. SLs need to be absolutely perfect
Trade Explanation :
OANDA:XAUUSD should have used the 1D Bearish Order Block and we should have seen a fall or at least a decent enough retracement, but only 1 thing saved us, that is 15 min Bullish INDUCMENT and 1H BIAS . I never entered in a short trade!
I hope everyone saw these liquidity pools at the bottom and waited for them to get swept, but yeah, not always will liquidity be hunted right? Pools are areas with the most number of orders + stops. So aren't they supposed to be a good thing? :)
So, yes, DAILY bias is good, but again, LTF bias is also very necessary. Markets won't always respect the DAILY bias. Else, they would always be stuck in a sideways momentum right?
Think about it!
Also, do let me know in the comments what you feel about this trade and also share your analysis!
Buy Opportunity in USOILAn upside opportunity is being developed. Scenario.
1. Choch has happened and price retracing towards FVG.
2. it is also taking support from trendlines.
3. If price rejects with volume in FVG zone, it may lead to good upside trade.
P.s. - It is just analysis not trading recommendation.






















