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XAUUSD Smart Money Levels: Demand 4312, Supply 4436XAUUSD – Intraday Smart Money Plan | by Ryan_TitanTrader (05/01) Market Context Gold remains structurally bullish on higher timeframes, yet short-term price action shows pullback pressure after premium liquidity was elected near 4440. As markets brace for ongoing USD direction from macro catalysts (Fed commentary, U.S. jobs data, Treasury yields), institutional participation is oscillating between liquidity hunts and controlled re-accumulation. Global risk sentiment and safe-haven bids are intensifying as traders weigh inflation trajectory with central bank pivot expectations — leading Gold to exhibit rotational distribution behavior rather than clean continuation. Controlled swings and sweep-driven moves dominate price progression. This environment favors engineered liquidity access and inducement, not blind breakout chasing. Technical Framework – Smart Money Structure (1H) Current Phase: Higher-timeframe bullish bias with short-term corrective displacement. Key Idea: Expect structural engagement near HTF demand (~4312–4314) or internal supply liquidity (~4434–4436) before meaningful displacement sequences. Structural Notes: • HTF bullish structure remains intact • Recent CHoCH confirms corrective leg • Buy-side liquidity above recent highs is targeted • Supply cluster near 4436 acts as engineered lure • Demand confluence aligns with institutional accumulation Liquidity Zones & Triggers • BUY GOLD 4314 – 4312 | SL 4304 • SELL GOLD 4434 – 4436 | SL 4444 Institutional Flow Expectation Liquidity sweep → MSS / CHoCH → BOS → displacement → internal supply retest → expansion Execution Rules BUY GOLD 4314 – 4312 | SL 4304 Rules: ✔ Liquidity sweep into HTF demand ✔ Bullish MSS / CHoCH confirmation on M5–M30 ✔ Clear upside BOS with impulse candles ✔ Entry via refined demand OB or FVG fill Targets: • 4370 — initial displacement • 4410 — internal supply test • 4440+ — extended run if USD weakens SELL GOLD 4434 – 4436 | SL 4444 Rules: ✔ Reaction into internal supply cluster ✔ Bearish MSS / CHoCH confluence ✔ Downside BOS with momentum shift ✔ Entry via bearish FVG refill or supply OB Targets: • 4390 — first discount zone • 4350 — deeper pullback • 4314 — HTF demand scan Risk Notes • False breaks favored near thin Asian session volume • Macro catalysts (U.S. data, Fed speakers) may spike volatility • Avoid entries without MSS + BOS confirmations • Stops triggered by engineered liquidity hunts Summary Gold remains structurally bullish, but today’s edge lies in disciplined entries and liquidity awareness: • A sweep into 4312–4314 may reload longs with targets up to 4410–4440, or • A reaction near 4434–4436 provides a fade opportunity back into discount. Let liquidity initiate the move. Let structure confirm. Smart Money sets traps — retail chases them. Follow Ryan_TitanTrader for daily Smart Money gold breakdowns.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Ryan_TitanTrader
1
XAUUSD Smart Money Levels: Demand 4325, Supply 4494🟡 XAUUSD – Intraday Smart Money Plan | by Ryan_TitanTrader (05/01) 📈 Market Context Gold remains structurally bullish on higher timeframes, but current price action reflects a premium-side liquidity operation rather than clean continuation. After a strong upside leg, price is now rotating inside premium where Smart Money typically distributes positions before initiating corrective delivery. Today’s focus revolves around USD strength, U.S. yield sensitivity, and ongoing Fed rate path speculation, with traders positioning ahead of upcoming U.S. macro releases and Fed commentary. As real yields fluctuate and risk sentiment remains fragile, Gold continues to attract safe-haven flows — but not without engineered pullbacks. This environment favors liquidity sweeps, false continuation, and inducement above highs, rather than impulsive breakout buying. 🔎 Technical Framework – Smart Money Structure (1H) Current Phase: Higher-timeframe bullish structure with an active short-term corrective leg from premium. Key Idea: Expect Smart Money interaction either at internal supply (4492–4494) for distribution, or HTF demand (4327–4325) for re-accumulation before the next expansion. Structural Notes: • HTF bullish structure remains valid • Recent CHoCH confirms corrective rotation • Buy-side liquidity above highs has been partially tapped • Supply cluster at 4492–4494 acts as distribution zone • Demand zone at 4327–4325 aligns with OB + liquidity pool 💧 Liquidity Zones & Triggers • 🟢 BUY GOLD 4327 – 4325 | SL 4317 • 🔴 SELL GOLD 4492 – 4494 | SL 4500 🧠 Institutional Flow Expectation Liquidity sweep → MSS / CHoCH → BOS → displacement → OB/FVG retest → expansion 🎯 Execution Rules 🟢 BUY GOLD 4327 – 4325 | SL 4317 Rules: ✔ Liquidity sweep into HTF demand ✔ Bullish MSS / CHoCH confirmation on M5–M30 ✔ Strong upside BOS with impulsive candles ✔ Entry via refined bullish OB or FVG mitigation Targets: • 4390 — initial displacement • 4450 — internal liquidity • 4490+ — premium retest if USD weakens 🔴 SELL GOLD 4492 – 4494 | SL 4500 Rules: ✔ Reaction into premium supply zone ✔ Bearish MSS / CHoCH on lower timeframe ✔ Clear downside BOS confirming distribution ✔ Entry via bearish FVG refill or supply OB Targets: • 4455 — first imbalance fill • 4395 — internal discount • 4327 — HTF demand sweep ⚠️ Risk Notes • Premium zones favor fake breakouts and stop hunts • Volatility may spike around U.S. data and Fed remarks • No entries without MSS + BOS confirmation • Stops often triggered before real displacement 📍 Summary Gold remains structurally bullish, but today’s edge lies in trading Smart Money’s range: • A sweep into 4327–4325 may reload longs toward 4450–4490, or • A reaction at 4492–4494 offers a sell opportunity back into discount. Let liquidity move first. Let structure confirm second. Smart Money engineers — patience profits. ⚡️ 📌 Follow Ryan_TitanTrader for daily Smart Money gold breakdowns.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Ryan_TitanTrader
Smart Money reloading Gold after liquidity sweep?🟡 XAUUSD – Intraday Smart Money Plan | by Ryan_TitanTrader (30/12) 📈 Market Context Gold remains structurally supported on higher timeframes, but current price action reflects controlled volatility and liquidity engineering rather than trend continuation. With markets reacting to fresh U.S. data expectations, USD yield fluctuations, and ongoing geopolitical uncertainty, Gold continues to attract safe-haven interest — yet extended intraday ranges suggest Smart Money is actively positioning rather than chasing price. Recent headlines around Fed rate path uncertainty and mixed U.S. macro signals keep Gold bid on pullbacks, while thinning liquidity into the year-end session increases the likelihood of stop hunts and engineered traps on both sides of the range. Smart Money behavior favors drawing liquidity first, confirming structure later — not clean breakouts. 🔎 Technical Framework – Smart Money Structure (1H) Current Phase: HTF bullish structure with short-term corrective compression Key Idea: Expect liquidity interaction at discount (4320–4318) or reaction from internal supply (4465–4467) before any sustained displacement. Structural Notes: HTF bullish BOS remains valid Prior CHoCH triggered a corrective leg Price is compressing under bearish trendline Discount zone aligns with potential accumulation Buy-side liquidity rests above internal highs Sell-side liquidity recently probed and absorbed 💧 Liquidity Zones & Triggers • 🟢 BUY GOLD 4320 – 4318 | SL 4310 • 🔴 SELL GOLD 4465 – 4467 | SL 4475 🧠 Institutional Flow Expectation Liquidity sweep → MSS / CHoCH → BOS → displacement → FVG / OB retest → expansion 🎯 Execution Rules 🟢 BUY GOLD 4320 – 4318 | SL 4310 Rules: ✔ Liquidity grab into discount zone ✔ Bullish MSS / CHoCH on M5–M15 ✔ Clear upside BOS with impulsive displacement ✔ Entry via bullish FVG fill or refined demand OB Targets: 4360 4400 4465 – extension if USD weakens and risk sentiment deteriorates 🔴 SELL GOLD 4465 – 4467 | SL 4475 Rules: ✔ Reaction into internal supply / premium imbalance ✔ Bearish MSS / CHoCH on LTF ✔ Downside BOS with momentum shift ✔ Entry via bearish FVG refill or supply OB Targets: 4430 4385 4320 – extension if USD strengthens or yields rise ⚠️ Risk Notes Compression favors false breakouts No execution without MSS + BOS confirmation Expect volatility during U.S. session Reduce risk around USD yield spikes or Fed-related headlines Thin liquidity amplifies stop hunts 📍 Summary Gold remains bullish by structure, but today’s edge lies in patience, not prediction. Smart Money is likely to engineer liquidity before committing: • A sweep into 4320–4318 may reload longs toward 4400–4465, or • A reaction near 4465–4467 could fade price back into discount. Let liquidity move first. Let structure confirm. Smart Money waits — retail reacts. ⚡️ 📌 Follow @Ryan_TitanTrader for daily Smart Money gold breakdowns.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Ryan_TitanTrader
1
XAUUSD: Buy the dip or break to 4,587? MMF strategyXAUUSD (2H) – MMF Intraday Outlook Market Context Gold remains in a bullish continuation phase after breaking out of the prior accumulation range. Current price action shows a healthy pullback / rebalancing inside an ascending channel — a typical behavior before the next expansion leg, not a reversal signal. Structure & SMC Strong bullish impulse → range formation for liquidity reset. 4,485.981 acts as a key Demand / Bullish OB, where buyers previously stepped in. Liquidity and upside objective are resting near 4,587.447. Key Levels BUY Zone (Demand / OB): 4,486 Mid-range / Pivot: ~4,533 Upside Liquidity Target: 4,587 Trading Plan – MMF Style Primary Scenario – Trend-Following BUY (Preferred) If price pulls back into 4,486 and shows acceptance (wick rejection / bullish close), Then look for BUY continuation: TP1: range high / intraday resistance TP2: 4,587 Invalidation: clean 2H close below 4,486 → stand aside and reassess structure. Alternative Scenario – Break & Retest BUY If price holds above balance and breaks higher with strong displacement, Then wait for a break–retest to join continuation toward 4,587. Avoid chasing price in the middle of the range. Macro Backdrop Ongoing dovish Fed expectations and softer yields continue to support gold. End-of-month liquidity can cause sharp swings → patience and level-based execution are key. Summary Short-term bias remains bullish as long as 4,486 holds. MMF focus today: buy pullbacks into demand, target 4,587 liquidity.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by MMFlowTrading
1
Gold 1H – Smart Money Traps Near 4540–4450 Range🟡 XAUUSD – Intraday Smart Money Plan | by Ryan_TitanTrader (23/12) 📈 Market Context Gold remains structurally bullish on the higher timeframes, but price is now trading inside a compression zone after a clear impulsive expansion. With year-end liquidity thinning and traders positioning ahead of fresh Fed rate expectations and USD yield fluctuations, Gold is vulnerable to liquidity manipulation rather than clean continuation. Recent USD softness and mixed macro headlines keep Gold supported, yet extended pricing near highs increases the probability of stop hunts on both sides before the next decisive move. Smart Money behavior here favors range engineering — drawing in breakout traders above highs and shaking out impatient long positions below key demand — before revealing true intent. 🔎 Technical Framework – Smart Money Structure (1H) Current Phase: Bullish HTF structure with short-term distribution Key Idea: Expect liquidity interaction at premium (4540–4542) or discount (4450–4448) before displacement Structural Notes: • Higher-timeframe bullish BOS remains intact • Recent CHoCH signals short-term distribution risk • Price is trading in premium, extended from equilibrium • Clear impulsive leg left unmitigated inefficiencies below • A defined scalping range has formed between premium and discount • Liquidity rests clearly above 4540 and below 4450 Liquidity Zones & Triggers: • 🔴 SELL GOLD 4540 – 4542 | SL 4560 • 🟢 BUY GOLD 4450 – 4448 | SL 4440 🧠 Institutional Flow Expectation: Liquidity sweep → MSS / CHoCH → BOS → displacement → FVG / OB retest → expansion 🎯 Execution Rules (matching your exact zones) 🔴 SELL GOLD 4540 – 4542 | SL 4560 Rules: ✔ Sweep above premium buy-side liquidity ✔ Bearish MSS / CHoCH on M5–M15 ✔ Clear downside BOS with impulsive displacement ✔ Entry via bearish FVG refill or refined supply OB Targets: 1. 4510 2. 4485 3. 4450 – extension if USD strengthens or yields push higher 🟢 BUY GOLD 4450 – 4448 | SL 4440 Rules: ✔ Liquidity grab into discount and prior demand ✔ Bullish MSS / CHoCH confirms demand control ✔ Upside BOS with strong bullish displacement ✔ Entry via bullish FGV fill or demand OB retest Targets: 1. 4480 2. 4510 3. 4540 – extension if USD weakens and bullish flow resumes ⚠️ Risk Notes • Premium trading increases fake breakout probability • No entry without MSS + BOS confirmation • Expect volatility during U.S. session and thin year-end liquidity • Reduce risk around Fed-driven or USD yield headlines 📍 Summary Gold is still bullish by structure, but current price action signals liquidity games inside a defined range. Smart Money is likely to engineer stops before expansion: • A sweep above 4540 may fade back toward 4485–4450, or • A liquidity grab near 4450 could reload long positions toward 4510–4540+ Let price show intent — Smart Money waits, retail reacts. ⚡️ 📌 Follow @Ryan_TitanTrader for daily Smart Money gold breakdowns.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Ryan_TitanTrader
XAUUSD – 3H Technical AnalysisXAUUSD – 3H Technical Analysis ✅ Lana is waiting for a pullback to enter safer BUY positions 💛 Trend: Strong bullish trend, continuously printing new highs Timeframe: 3H Current status: Price is moving vertically with no meaningful correction so far Strategy: Do not chase price. Wait for a pullback into liquidity zones to look for BUY setups. Market Context During today’s Asian session, gold surged aggressively and moved close to the 4,500 level — a price area never seen before. The rally has been extremely steep, with almost no pauses or minor pullbacks, clearly showing that buying pressure is dominating the market. From a fundamental perspective, expectations of a continued dovish stance from the Fed are weakening the USD. At the same time, escalating geopolitical tensions are strengthening gold’s role as a safe-haven asset. The clean breakout above 4,375–4,380, followed by 4,400, has attracted additional momentum-driven and speculative flows into the bullish trend. 3H Technical Outlook On the 3H timeframe, the bullish market structure remains very clear, and price continues to respect the rising channel. However, after such an extended and sharp move, entering trades at elevated levels becomes increasingly risky. From Lana’s perspective, during phases like this, patience is far more important than chasing the market. Waiting for a proper pullback offers better risk-to-reward opportunities. If buying pressure remains strong after a consolidation or corrective phase, higher upside targets around 4,580 are entirely possible. Key Price Zones Lana Is Watching 🔹 Near-term BUY zone – Liquidity area Buy around: 4,415 This is the nearest liquidity zone where price may return to “reload” before continuing higher. Lana will closely monitor price reaction and structure at this level. 🔹 Longer-term BUY zone – Deeper correction Long-term Buy: 4,38x If the market delivers a clearer and deeper pullback, this zone becomes a higher-probability area for safer medium-term BUY opportunities. Trading Notes Avoid chasing price during periods of excessive volatility Only enter trades when lower timeframes form a clear structure in line with Dow Theory Reduce position size and prioritise risk management during highly euphoric market conditions 📌 Follow Lana as we analyse XAUUSD together on a daily basis.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Lana_M2
XAUUSD (H1) – Liquidity-Based Trading XAUUSD (H1) – Liquidity-Based Trading Price has broken the channel, but buying momentum is weakening – waiting for a pullback to the trendline for entries Today’s Strategy Summary Gold has broken out of its price channel, but the key point is that buying pressure is fading after the strong acceleration. With the market approaching the holiday period and liquidity thinning, the focus is on trading at the right liquidity zones rather than chasing price or FOMO. Plan: Look for Buy opportunities on pullbacks into the trendline / old channel Look for Sell reactions at the Fibonacci liquidity zone 4474–4478 1) Key Levels Today (from the chart) ✅ BUY zones (liquidity pullback) Buy Zone 1: 4379 – 4382 SL: 4373 Buy Zone 2: 4361 – 4358 SL: 4353 These are clean liquidity areas to wait for price to retrace into – true liquidity-based trading: let price come back to reaction zones, do not chase highs. ✅ SELL zone (Fibonacci liquidity) Sell zone: 4474 – 4478 SL: 4482 This is a premium + liquidity area. If price reaches this zone and fails to hold, the probability of profit-taking or a short-term reversal is high. 2) Main Scenario: Wait for a Pullback to the Channel/Trendline to Buy After a breakout, the market often retests the old trendline or channel to confirm genuine buying strength. As buying momentum is weakening, the likelihood of choppy moves and liquidity sweeps is high. Patience is key – wait for 4379–4382, or a deeper pullback into 4361–4358. Expected targets (scalp / short swing): Capture 8–15 USD moves depending on volatility, taking partial profits as price reacts according to plan. 3) Alternative Scenario: Sell Reaction at 4474–4478 If price continues to push higher into the Fibonacci zone, priority is to Sell on reaction rather than chasing Buy entries. Only sell if there are signs of loss of momentum (long wicks, rejection, failure to close strongly above the zone). 4) News & Market Context: Thin Liquidity = Easy Sweeps With the market nearing the holiday period, liquidity is weak, increasing the chances of spikes and stop-hunts. Political and economic developments related to policy and tax matters are influencing corporate positioning, but at this stage, price is more likely to react to short-term capital flows rather than a sustainable trend. Conclusion: Today’s focus is “right zone – strict discipline”, avoiding mid-range entries and emotional trades. 5) Risk Management Risk per trade: maximum 1–2% Avoid trading when spreads widen or candles spike abnormally Which scenario do you lean towards today? A pullback to 4379 / 4361 for Buy, or a push to 4474–4478 for a Sell reaction?
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by LiamTradingFX
XAUUSD – Lana prioritises Buy on pullbacksXAUUSD – Lana prioritises Buy on pullbacks 💛 Uptrend confirmed: Lana prioritises Buy on pullbacks 💛 Quick Summary Trend: Strong bullish, no clear signs of correction Status: New ATH has been established Timeframe: H1 Strategy: Focus on Buy setups, waiting for pullbacks into liquidity zones Market Outlook Gold is maintaining a very strong bullish momentum and continues to print new highs. When drawing the price channel, price is currently testing the upper boundary, suggesting a potential minor reaction or a short-term pullback before the uptrend resumes. The next Fibonacci target is around 4414, which may act as a short-term technical reaction zone. However, the primary trend remains bullish. Technical Perspective After a strong breakout, the market often revisits liquidity or value areas before continuing higher. Lana does not chase price at elevated levels; instead, she prefers waiting for technical pullbacks to enter trades in line with the dominant trend. Preferred Buy Trading Plan Buy Scenario 1 – Near-term liquidity zone Buy: 4371 – 4374 SL: 4165 This zone contains strong liquidity and is suitable for looking for bullish continuation if price pulls back slightly. Buy Scenario 2 – Deeper pullback zone Buy zone: 4342 – 4339 SL: 4330 If the market corrects more deeply under year-end liquidity conditions, this is Lana’s preferred zone to look for a safer entry. Fundamental View Spot gold has surpassed the 4,400 USD/oz level for the first time, recording a gain of nearly 68% for the year. The bullish momentum is not limited to gold but has also spread to silver and platinum, supported by: Expectations of further Fed rate cuts Strong inflows into ETF funds Net buying by central banks Escalating geopolitical tensions The year 2025 is closing with a very impressive picture for the precious metals sector. Lana’s Notes 🌿 Strong uptrend → prioritise Buy on pullbacks, avoid FOMO Always set clear stop-loss levels and reduce position size during high volatility If price does not return to the planned zones, Lana is comfortable staying on the sidelines
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Lana_M2
1
Gold 1H – CPI Ambiguity Sets Liquidity Traps Near 4400🟡 XAUUSD – Intraday Smart Money Plan | by Ryan_TitanTrader (22/12) 📈 Market Context Gold is trading near the upper boundary of a well-defined bullish channel as markets react to renewed uncertainty surrounding U.S. inflation data and the Fed’s policy outlook. Recent CPI-related commentary has reignited debate over whether inflation is cooling fast enough to justify near-term easing, keeping USD flows unstable and risk sentiment mixed. This macro backdrop favors liquidity engineering over clean continuation, with Smart Money likely targeting both premium and discount extremes to induce breakout traders before the next directional expansion. 🔎 Technical Framework – Smart Money Structure (1H) Current Phase: Bullish structure approaching premium exhaustion Key Idea: Expect liquidity interaction at 4400–4402 (premium) or 4340–4338 (discount) before meaningful displacement Structural Notes: • Higher-timeframe bullish BOS remains valid • Price is pressing into buy-side liquidity near channel highs • Clear impulsive leg up created an unmitigated FVG above 4370 • Rising structure shows signs of short-term distribution, not confirmed reversal • Liquidity rests clearly above 4400 and below 4340 Liquidity Zones & Triggers: • 🔴 SELL GOLD 4400 – 4402 | SL 4410 • 🟢 BUY GOLD 4340 – 4338 | SL 4330 🧠 Institutional Flow Expectation: Liquidity sweep → MSS / CHoCH → BOS → displacement → FVG / OB retest → expansion 🎯 Execution Rules (matching your exact zones) 🔴 SELL GOLD 4400 – 4402 | SL 4410 Rules: ✔ Sweep above psychological 4400 buy-side liquidity ✔ Bearish MSS / CHoCH on M5–M15 ✔ Clear downside BOS with impulsive displacement ✔ Entry via bearish FVG refill or refined supply OB Targets: 1. 4370 2. 4350 3. 4340 – extension if USD strengthens on CPI reassessment 🟢 BUY GOLD 4340 – 4338 | SL 4330 Rules: ✔ Liquidity grab into discount and channel support ✔ Bullish MSS / CHoCH confirms demand control ✔ Upside BOS with strong bullish displacement ✔ Entry via bullish FVG fill or demand OB retest Targets: 1. 4360 2. 4385 3. 4400 – extension if USD weakens amid CPI doubt ⚠️ Risk Notes • CPI-driven uncertainty increases fake breakouts • No entry without MSS + BOS confirmation • Expect volatility during U.S. session • Reduce risk around unexpected Fed or inflation headlines 📍 Summary Gold is trading at a decisive premium within a bullish structure, but CPI ambiguity keeps conviction fragile. Smart Money is likely to engineer liquidity at the extremes before committing: • A sweep above 4400 may fade toward 4350–4340, or • A liquidity grab near 4340 could reload bullish flow toward 4385–4400+ Let structure confirm — Smart Money reacts, retail anticipates. ⚡️ 📌 Follow @Ryan_TitanTrader for daily Smart Money gold breakdowns.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Ryan_TitanTrader
Weekly analysis of XAUUS/Gold with buy and sell scenarios...Last week gold moved in a range, as we analyzed and closed below the high of previous week. Weekly candle is indecision candle and now price is near to all time high level. Coming week, we may see a range bound market crating both buy and sell side scenario till price break all time high with volume and conviction. We should track price movement cautiously within the range. We may also witness a breakout of all time high if market and global events/news support it…. 1. Price has created higher highs in lower time frames and created micro structures. 2. Now it is choppy till breakout the all-time high or support level. 3. Price is continuously running above EMAs confirming up move for now. 4. There is a POI nesting multiple PD arrays including daily FVG. We may see reversal from this level. 5. Most probably price will take liquidity of FVG/RDRB level and create MSS/CISD/TS/iFVG in LTF. 6. Price should show rejection/reversal in respective LTF (1h/15m) at FVG zone. 7. Take the trade only once clear entry model i.e. turtle soup. iFVG break, CDS or MSS happens on LTF All these combinations are signaling a high probability and ~8R trade scenario. Note – if you liked this analysis, please boost the idea so that other can also get benefit of it. Also follow me for notification for incoming ideas. Also Feel free to comment if you have any input to share. Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Please do your own research (DYOR) and check with your financial advisor before making any trading decisions.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by HareeyMarketMantraah
Weekly Analysis of BTC with Buy/Sell scenarios...We analyzed three weeks back that BTC would be in range for some time before taking any further move, And BTC is following same analysis and trapped within a small range since then. BTC prediction of last week also worked perfectly well and market kept in consolidation mode itself. BTC is still in consolidation zone and may spend some more days. It may develop ABC pattern or reversal at identified daily FVG level, if price has to change its delivery and take turn from here. This zone is kind of make or break. If price is not able to sustain and breakdown, then it may witness ~65-70K levels as well. We hope for reversal from this level as price is developing the pattern at higher time frame. 1. Price has taken liquidity or 82K and almost touched 80K. 2. It has inversed 1Day FVG and now price is consolidating in the range between EMAs. 3. We may expect price retracement till 1D iFVG and then reversal. 4. Before to that we may see sweep of 92900 (1D CISD) level and then a retracement short trade till 1D FVG 5. Most probably price will take liquidity of FVG/RDRB level and create MSS/CISD/TS/iFVG in LTF. 6. Price should show rejection/reversal in respective LTF (5m/15m) at FVG zone. 7. Take the trade only once clear entry model i.e. turtle soup. iFVG break, CDS or MSS happens on LTF All these combinations are signaling a high probability and ~8R trade scenario. Note – if you liked this analysis, please boost the idea so that other can also get benefit of it. Also follow me for notification for incoming ideas. Also Feel free to comment if you have any input to share. Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Please do your own research (DYOR) and check with your financial advisor before making any trading decisions.
DELTAIN:BTCUSD.P
by HareeyMarketMantraah
XAUUSD – Lana Prefers BUY on Pullbacks to Fibonacci XAUUSD – Lana Prefers BUY on Pullbacks to Fibonacci 💛 Quick Summary Short-term trend: Ongoing bullish continuation Timeframe: H1 Market context: Thin liquidity ahead of the holiday period; price has not yet broken resistance decisively Strategy: Prioritise BUY setups, waiting for a pullback to the 50% Fibonacci level Market Context Gold continues to hold its bullish momentum and is trading close to the all-time high area around 4350 USD/ounce. Although price has not yet fully broken the upper resistance, the overall bullish structure remains intact. Gold’s upside is supported by weaker US labour data, expectations that the Fed may cut rates sooner, and rising geopolitical tensions, particularly concerns related to Venezuela ahead of President Trump’s upcoming speech. With liquidity likely to remain thin due to the holiday period, price action may slow down. However, the primary bias still favours the upside. H1 Technical Outlook On the H1 chart, the bullish structure is well preserved. Price is consolidating just below a strong resistance zone, suggesting the market needs more time to absorb selling pressure. The 50% Fibonacci retracement aligns with a support area that showed a strong reaction yesterday, making it a favourable zone to wait for a pullback and continue trading in line with the trend. Intraday Trading Scenario Main Scenario – Trend-following BUY Entry: 4309 – 4312 SL: 4300 TP: 4330 → 4352 → 4390 Lana prefers to wait for a healthy pullback into this zone before entering, rather than chasing price near resistance. Trading Notes Thin liquidity → avoid large position sizes; focus on risk management If price does not pull back into the planned zone, Lana is comfortable staying flat Watch price reaction at resistance before expecting a breakout to new highs Lana’s Note 🌿 Every setup is just one of many possible market scenarios. Lana always defines a clear stop loss and only trades when price reaches the pre-planned zone.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Lana_M2
3
XAUUSD (H1) – Gold Trading Plan | 12/18 Waiting for CPI to ...XAUUSD (H1) – Gold Trading Plan | 12/18 Waiting for CPI to “set the direction” | Buy on a break above 4355, Sell if the trendline breaks Strategy Summary (10-second read) Ahead of the US CPI data, gold is likely to stay range-bound and only make a decisive move once there is clear structural confirmation. Price is still holding within an ascending channel, but volume is declining noticeably → priority is confirmed break trades, no FOMO. Buy only if price breaks and holds above the strong resistance at 4355 Short-term Sell if the rising trendline breaks Mid-term Sell if the key low at 4306 is broken Key Levels (Important chart levels) Major resistance: 4355 (the “gateway” for bullish confirmation) Sell scalping zone: 4354–4355 (short-term reaction area) Sell liquidity zone: 4392 (overhead sell-side liquidity) Structural level / key low: 4306 (a break opens mid-term sell potential) FVG / deep liquidity draw: 4248 (target if strong distribution occurs) Scenario 1: Bullish Move (Activated only if 4355 is broken) Confirmation: Price breaks and holds above 4355 (preferably with a clear H1 candle close). Buy entry: 4348 SL: 4340 TP1: 4355–4360 TP2: 4392 (sell-side liquidity zone) Logic: With declining volume, fake breakouts are common. Therefore, buys are only valid once price decisively clears the directional resistance at 4355. Scenario 2: Short-term Bearish Move (Preferred if the rising trendline breaks) Confirmation: A clear break of the lower trendline of the ascending channel → sell the breakdown. After the break, prioritise selling on a retest of the trendline / nearby resistance Avoid chasing price at the lows First target typically lies near the below-liquidity area around 4306 Logic: The trendline acts as the “backbone” of the uptrend. Losing it during CPI conditions + weakening volume increases the probability of a fast sell-off to sweep liquidity. Scenario 3: Mid-term Bearish Move (If 4306 is broken) Confirmation: A clear and decisive break below 4306. At that point, mid-term sell positions can be prioritised based on structure Expected targets: Extension towards deeper support zones, with the 4248 FVG being a notable liquidity draw. News Context (Why confirmation matters today) The market is waiting for US CPI, a key inflation release that can shift expectations around the Fed’s rate-cut path. This directly impacts the USD and the next directional move in XAUUSD. ➡️ Today’s focus: wait for range breaks + strict risk control. Risk Management Maximum risk per trade: 1–2% If stopped out: pause and wait for fresh confirmation (no revenge trading) This analysis is shared for perspective and trading planning purposes only
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by LiamTradingFX
XAUUSD – H1 TechXAUUSD – H1 Technical Analysisnical AnalysisXAUUSD – H1 Technical Analysis Lana trades based on liquidity, with priority on price reaction 💛 Quick Summary Market context: Midweek, gold liquidity is relatively weak as holiday sentiment starts to build Timeframe: H1 Strategy: Buy at well-defined liquidity zones, sell psychological reactions at resistance Expectation: No major USD news today, so strong volatility is unlikely Market Context The market is entering a “resting phase” as many traders begin to step back ahead of the holiday period, leading to a noticeable drop in liquidity. Today, there are no key US economic releases, so gold is likely to trade within a narrow range, with movements driven mainly by technical factors. From a macro perspective, recent comments emphasising a clear separation between the White House and the Federal Reserve show that markets remain sensitive to inflation control. However, the short-term impact is limited, which fits a light, quick trading approach rather than holding positions for large moves. H1 Technical View On the H1 chart, price is moving around an equilibrium zone after previous fluctuations. Lower liquidity zones continue to provide solid support, while the upper side consists of psychological resistance levels that may trigger short-term reactions. With weak liquidity conditions, Lana is not looking for strong breakouts. The focus remains on price reaction at clear and well-defined zones. Intraday Trading Scenarios Main Scenario – Buy with liquidity Buy: 4302 – 4306 SL: 4298 This area shows a clear concentration of liquidity. If price revisits this zone and structure holds, a technical rebound is highly possible. Secondary Scenario – Sell scalping at resistance Sell: 4351 – 4355 SL: 4360 This sell setup is purely for scalping, taking advantage of psychological reactions near resistance. It is not preferred to hold sell positions for long under current market conditions. Trading Notes Weak liquidity → reduce position size, prioritise quick profits Avoid expecting large moves in the absence of major USD news Observe price reaction at key zones; avoid entering trades in the middle of the range Lana’s Note 🌿 Each scenario represents just one of many possible outcomes in the market. Lana always prioritises account protection, uses clear stop losses, and is ready to stay out if price does not return to the planned zones.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Lana_M2
1
XAUUSD (H1) – Gold Analysis for TodayXAUUSD (H1) – Gold Analysis for Today Price has touched the resistance trendline, but the plan still prioritises BUY (VAL 4303–4306) Strategy Overview Gold is currently reacting at the resistance trendline, but there is not enough confirmation yet to call a bearish reversal. For now, the main plan remains to look for buys from the liquidity zone (Volume Profile – VAL). A strong trend shift will only be confirmed if price clearly breaks and closes above the trendline. 1) Technical View Price is being pressed by the upper resistance trendline, so short-term volatility and wicks are likely. However, the lower area is supported by Volume Profile (VAL), which favours a reaction-based buy strategy rather than FOMO entries in the middle of the move. On the upside, there is strong liquidity around 4370, a zone where profit-taking or distribution can easily appear. 2) Trading Plan for Today (Clear Entry – SL) Scenario A (Preferred): BUY using Volume Profile (VAL) ✅ Buy: 4303 – 4306 (VAL) SL: 4295 Near TP: 4320 – 4330 Extended TP: Towards the 4370 liquidity zone if the trendline is broken successfully Logic: VAL represents a “low value area” on the Volume Profile, which often attracts buying interest. As long as price holds this zone, the bias remains buy on pullbacks. Scenario B: SELL at the upper strong liquidity zone ✅ Sell: Around 4370 SL: 4380 TP: 4330 → 4306 (return to the value area) Logic: The 4370 level is a strong liquidity zone. If price reaches this area and fails to hold, it provides a textbook reaction-based sell setup. 3) Trend Confirmation Conditions Strong bullish confirmation: When price breaks and closes an H1 candle clearly above the trendline. At that point, buy setups become safer, with targets towards higher liquidity zones. If price continues to be rejected multiple times at the trendline, the priority is to wait for price to return to VAL 4303–4306 before buying. Avoid chasing price. 4) Fundamental Context CIBC: Weaker US employment data may push the Fed to cut interest rates earlier next year, which is typically supportive for gold in the medium term. Silver prices breaking higher due to tight supply and rising demand suggest that precious metals flows remain strong, meaning gold can experience sharp liquidity-driven moves. 💬 Which scenario are you leaning towards today? Buying at VAL 4303–4306, or waiting for price to reach 4370 to sell the reaction?
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by LiamTradingFX
Gold 1H – Fed Chair Speculation Drives Smart Money Flow🟡 XAUUSD – Intraday Smart Money Plan | by Ryan_TitanTrader (16/12) 📈 Market Context Gold is trading in a liquidity-driven range as markets focus on today’s hot topic: NFP expectations and Fed rate-path uncertainty. Recent NFP previews highlight divergence between slowing headline job growth and still-sticky wage components, keeping DXY flows unstable. This environment typically favors stop-hunts and liquidity sweeps rather than clean directional moves ahead of confirmation. As a result, Smart Money is likely to engineer price into clear premium and discount zones before committing to expansion. 🔎 Technical Framework – Smart Money Structure (1H) Current Phase: Post-expansion, consolidating after a CHoCH within a broader bullish context Key Idea: Expect a sweep into premium (4352–4354) or discount (4272–4270) before the next impulsive move Structural Notes: • Higher-timeframe BOS keeps bullish bias intact • Recent pullback reflects distribution/profit-taking, not a confirmed reversal • Equal highs above 4350 and sell-side liquidity below 4270 are clearly exposed Liquidity Zones & Triggers: • 🔴 SELL GOLD 4352 – 4354 | SL 4362 • 🟢 BUY GOLD 4272 – 4270 | SL 4262 Institutional Flow Expectation: sweep → MSS / CHoCH → BOS → displacement → FVG / OB retest → expansion 🎯 Execution Rules (matching your exact zones) 🔴 SELL GOLD 4352 – 4354 | SL 4362 Rules: ✔ Liquidity sweep above recent highs into premium ✔ Bearish MSS / CHoCH on M5–M15 ✔ Downside BOS with strong bearish displacement ✔ Entry via bearish FVG refill or refined supply OB Targets: 1. 4325 2. 4300 3. 4285 – extension if momentum accelerates 🟢 BUY GOLD 4272 – 4270 | SL 4262 Rules: ✔ Liquidity grab below equal lows / dynamic support ✔ Bullish MSS / CHoCH confirms demand takeover ✔ Upside BOS with impulsive displacement ✔ Entry via bullish FVG fill or demand OB retest Targets: 1. 4285 2. 4310 3. 4350 – extension if USD weakens post-data ⚠️ Risk Notes • NFP-related positioning can cause false breaks — wait for structure, not the first spike • Avoid trades without clear MSS + BOS confirmation • Expect higher spreads and volatility during the U.S. session • Reduce risk if entering close to major data releases 📍 Summary Today’s gold setup is defined by NFP-driven rate uncertainty: • A sweep into 4354 may invite bearish structure back toward 4300–4285 or • A liquidity grab near 4270 could reload bullish flow toward 4310–4350 Let structure confirm — Smart Money reacts, retail anticipates. ⚡️ 📌 Follow @Ryan_TitanTrader for daily Smart Money gold breakdowns.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Ryan_TitanTrader
1
Gold 1H – NFP in Control: 4355 Cap or 4260 Hold?🟡 XAUUSD – Intraday Smart Money Plan | by Ryan_TitanTrader (16/12) 📈 Market Context Gold is trading inside a high-volatility liquidity environment as markets digest the NFP Preview: Rate Path Divergence & Implications for DXY and Gold. With the upcoming U.S. labor data set to shape expectations for the Fed’s 2026 rate path, USD flows remain unstable. Any surprise in employment or wage components could trigger sharp repricing in rate-cut expectations, directly impacting gold through DXY volatility. In this context, institutions are unlikely to commit direction early. Instead, liquidity engineering and stop-hunts around key premium/discount zones are favored ahead of true displacement. 🔎 Technical Framework – Smart Money Structure (1H) Current Phase: Post-expansion, now rotating inside a rising channel and pausing near equilibrium Key Idea: Expect a liquidity sweep into premium (4353–4355) or discount (4262–4260) before the next impulsive move Structural Notes: • Prior BOS confirms bullish higher-timeframe context • Recent pullback signals profit-taking, not full reversal • Equal highs above 4350 and sell-side liquidity below 4260 are clearly exposed Liquidity Zones & Triggers: • 🔴 SELL GOLD 4353 – 4355 | SL 4363 • 🟢 BUY GOLD 4262 – 4260 | SL 4272 Institutional Flow Expectation: sweep → MSS / CHoCH → BOS → displacement → FVG / OB retest → expansion 🎯 Execution Rules (matching your exact zones) 🔴 SELL GOLD 4353 – 4355 | SL 4363 Rules: ✔ Liquidity sweep above recent highs into premium ✔ Bearish MSS / CHoCH on M5–M15 ✔ Downside BOS with strong bearish displacement ✔ Entry via bearish FVG refill or refined supply OB Targets: 1. 4325 2. 4300 3. 4285 – extension if momentum accelerates 🟢 BUY GOLD 4262 – 4260 | SL 4272 Rules: ✔ Liquidity grab below equal lows / channel support ✔ Bullish MSS / CHoCH confirms demand takeover ✔ Upside BOS with impulsive displacement ✔ Entry via bullish FVG fill or demand OB retest Targets: 1. 4280 2. 4310 3. 4350 – extension if USD weakens post-data ⚠️ Risk Notes • NFP-related positioning can cause false breaks — wait for structure, not the first spike • Avoid trades without clear MSS + BOS confirmation • Expect spreads and volatility to expand during U.S. sessions • Reduce risk if entering close to news releases 📍 Summary Today’s gold narrative is driven by NFP-led rate path uncertainty: • A sweep into 4355 may invite bearish structure back toward 4300–4285 or • A liquidity grab near 4260 could reload bullish flow toward 4310–4350 Let structure confirm — Smart Money reacts, retail anticipates. ⚡️ 📌 Follow @Ryan_TitanTrader for daily Smart Money gold breakdowns.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Ryan_TitanTrader
XAUUSD – Overall Market View (12/16) XAUUSD – Overall Market View (12/16) Strategy Summary Gold is holding its ground, but the main direction is still unclear because today comes with a series of high-impact news. My approach today is “wait for confirmation before entering”, with two clearly defined scenarios: Bullish confirmation: Break and hold above 4320 Bearish confirmation: Break and hold below 4271 1) Key Price Levels on the Chart 4320: Bullish confirmation level + resistance / upper FVG zone 4370 – 4373: Strong liquidity zone → preferred area to look for SELL reactions 4271: Bearish confirmation level (support break) Lower zone (based on structure / trendline): Deeper support area where price may react and bounce, as marked by the arrow on the chart 2) Today’s Trading Scenarios (Trade the Level Style) Scenario A – Bullish (Only valid if price breaks above 4320) If an H1 candle closes clearly above 4320, gold is likely to move up and test the upper liquidity zone. Preferred approach: wait for a pullback and BUY short-term, following the move (as shown by the arrow). Avoid FOMO buys in the middle of the move. Reasonable target: 4370 – 4373 (Strong Liquidity). Note: The 4370 – 4373 zone is highly likely to see selling pressure, as large liquidity is resting there. Scenario B – Bearish (Confirmed if price breaks below 4271) If price breaks below 4271 and fails on the retest, the bearish scenario becomes dominant (classic sell retest setup). ✅ Sell: 4271 ❌ SL: 4280 🎯 Expectation: Price may extend lower toward deeper structural support zones. 3) Main SELL Setup at the Major Liquidity Zone ✅ Sell Entry: 4370 ❌ SL: 4380 Logic: This is a Strong Liquidity zone where profit-taking and distribution are likely to appear. ➡️ Only SELL on confirmation and reaction — no chasing trades. 4) Today’s News (High Volatility Expected) Today’s US data can cause sharp moves and stop hunts on both sides: Average Hourly Earnings m/m Core Retail Sales m/m Non-Farm Employment Change Retail Sales m/m Unemployment Rate Flash Manufacturing PMI Flash Services PMI My rule: Reduce position size before news. After the news, wait for the market to show direction, then trade around 4320 / 4271. 5) Risk Management Do not enter trades in the middle of a noisy range. Only trade at key levels with confirmation. 💬 Question for everyone: Which scenario are you leaning towards today — break above 4320 or break below 4271?
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by LiamTradingFX
XAUUSD – Lana Prefers SELL, BUY Only for Short-Term ScalpingXAUUSD – Lana Prefers SELL, BUY Only for Short-Term Scalping 💛 Quick Summary Short-term trend: Downward pressure dominates Timeframe: H1 Strategy: Focus on SELL; BUY only for quick scalping at liquidity zones Note: Today features multiple US data releases and events, so volatility may be higher than usual Market Context The market enters the session with a dense news flow: US Presidential speech, unemployment rate, seasonally adjusted Non-Farm Payrolls, and Retail Sales. In such conditions, gold often experiences strong swings and liquidity sweeps before moving in the main direction. Therefore, Lana prioritizes selling at higher zones and only takes short-term BUY positions when price reaches clear support zones. Technical Outlook After the previous upward move, the H1 structure shows weakening price action, indicating the possibility of a continued downward move. Upper zones where short-term resistance converges are suitable for following the intraday SELL trend. Below, liquidity zones may trigger temporary rebounds, but Lana considers these only for scalping and does not hold positions for long. Intraday Trading Scenarios Main Scenario – Trend-Following SELL Sell: 4308 – 4312 SL: 4320 This is Lana’s preferred zone today. If price retraces into this area and shows rejection, the downtrend is likely to continue. Buy Scenario 1 – Short-Term Scalping at Nearby Support Buy: 4253 SL: 4240 This BUY is only for short swings, with quick profit-taking when price reacts. Buy Scenario 2 – Scalping at Deep Liquidity Zone Buy: 4213 SL: 4200 This is a stronger liquidity zone. If price drops quickly here during news, a technical rebound is possible, but Lana maintains the view not to hold BUY positions for long. Session Notes Asian & European sessions: Price may fluctuate and create technical retracements US session: Strong news-driven volatility can sweep both sides before a clear direction emerges Each scenario represents a probability, not certainty. On high-news days, Lana always reduces position size, sets clear SLs, and is willing to skip trades if price does not reach the expected zones.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Lana_M2
9
1000PEPEUSDT /1 HOUR / SHORTWe can clearly observe that the market structure is bearish, with price consistently forming Lower Highs (LH) and Lower Lows (LL) on the 1H timeframe, confirming a strong downtrend. After a strong impulsive bearish move, price gave a corrective pullback into a Supply Zone, which aligns perfectly with Smart Money Concepts (SMC). This zone represents an area where institutional sellers previously entered the market. 🔴 Supply Zone Identified Zone Range: 0.0043729 – 0.0042814 This zone acted as a distribution area, followed by strong selling pressure. Price returning into this zone gives us a high-probability short opportunity. 🧠 SMC Confluence ✔ Clear Bearish Market Structure ✔ Price respecting LH → LL sequence ✔ Pullback into Supply Zone ✔ Selling pressure visible after mitigation ✔ Trade aligned with higher timeframe bias All confirmations point towards continuation to the downside, not reversal. 📊 Trade Plan (Short Setup) Position: Short Entry: 0.0042840 Stop Loss: 0.0043729 (Above supply = structure protection) Take Profit: 0.0041486 Risk : Reward: Clean & logical (structure-based)
Short
by PraveenTrader1
XAUUSD H1 – POC 4295 & Fibonacci Sell 4373 XAUUSD H1 – POC 4295 & Fibonacci Sell 4373 Strategy Summary Today, I am not chasing price. The XAUUSD trading plan focuses on two key “high-quality” zones on the chart: POC (Volume Profile) around 4295 to look for BUYs in line with money flow. Fibonacci level at 4373 to look for SELLs when price reaches the premium zone. Key Levels BUY zone (POC – Volume Profile): 4295 (major liquidity area) SELL zone (Fibonacci reaction): 4373 Deeper buffer if POC breaks: 4238 – 4241 Invalidation level: 4191 Scenario 1 – Primary Plan: BUY at the Liquidity Zone (POC) ✅ Buy limit around 4295 (preferably wait for H1 candle confirmation) SL: 4287 (below POC to avoid noise) TP1: 4330 – 4338 TP2: 4370 – 4373 (near the Fibonacci sell zone) Logic: POC represents the “fair value” or balance point of the Volume Profile. Price often gets attracted back to this level to collect liquidity before deciding the next direction. Scenario 2 – SELL on Reaction at Fibonacci (Premium Zone) ✅ Sell around 4373 (wait for reaction or loss of momentum, do not chase sells) SL: 4382 TP1: 4338 – 4330 TP2: 4295 (back to POC) Logic: The Fibonacci premium zone is where profit-taking pressure often appears. If price spikes into 4373 but fails to hold, it usually offers a clean reaction sell setup. Alternative Scenario – If POC Is Broken If price breaks below 4295 and clearly closes an H1 candle under this level, I will not force buys. In that case, priority shifts to waiting for price to react at: 4238 – 4241, or deeper towards the lower balance / POC zone. Always keep in mind: 4191 is the invalidation level. News Context (to Avoid Getting Stopped Out) Trump’s concerns about economic impact “not fully priced in yet” may increase political risk and market sensitivity. Comments from Williams (FOMC, New York Fed) on economic outlook could trigger short-term volatility in USD and yields, causing gold to fluctuate. Tip: Avoid late entries during news spikes. Only execute trades when price reaches the planned zones. Risk Management Maximum risk per trade: 1–2% Do not trade in the middle of the range. Trade only at key levels. If you are also watching 4295 and 4373, share your view: 👉 Are you leaning towards a BUY on pullback or a SELL on reaction today?
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by LiamTradingFX
XAUUSD – Lana waits for reaction at resistance, focuses on ...XAUUSD – Lana waits for reaction at resistance, focuses on zone-based trading Quick Summary Context: Early in the week with many high-impact news events. Gold opened strong and is now approaching a major resistance area. Timeframe: H1 Strategy: No chasing price. Prefer waiting to buy at liquidity void (VL) zones and selling short-term pullbacks at higher resistance. Expectation: Asian–European sessions may move sideways; stronger volatility is more likely during the US session. Market Context The year-end period is usually packed with economic data. This week, Nonfarm Payrolls, CPI, and Retail Sales are released close together, along with interest rate decisions from the UK, Europe, and Japan. For gold, this environment often leads to sharp moves during the US session, while earlier sessions tend to consolidate or make shallow pullbacks as the market waits for news. Technical View After a strong rally at the start of the week, price is now trading around a key resistance zone. On H1, the price action at the Asian open has left a liquidity void (VL), which is Lana’s preferred area to wait for buy opportunities in line with the main trend. On the upside, a descending trendline combined with Fibonacci extension levels is forming a strong resistance zone, suitable for a short-term corrective sell. Trading Scenarios for Early Week Main Scenario – Buy at the liquidity void (VL) Buy: 4298 – 4302 SL: 4294 This is Lana’s preferred zone. If price returns to fill the liquidity void and the structure holds, there is a high probability of a bullish reaction in continuation of the broader trend. Alternative Scenario – Short-term sell at higher resistance Sell: 4367 – 4370 SL: 4376 This is considered a short-term corrective move when price reaches strong resistance. The sell is counter-trend, so strict risk management is required and positions should not be held for too long.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Lana_M2
4
XAUUSD Wave 5 Completed, Entering an ABC Correction CycleXAUUSD – Wave 5 Completed, Entering an ABC Correction Cycle Weekly Plan Summary Gold has completed Wave 5 with a very strong impulsive move and is now entering an ABC corrective phase to complete the Elliott Wave structure. For the coming week, the primary strategy is to look for SELL opportunities at the Fibonacci resistance zone 4316–4320, followed by BUY reactions at the major liquidity area around 4215. 1) Elliott Wave – Why the Market Is Likely Entering an ABC Phase The recent rally shows clear end-of-Wave-5 characteristics: strong momentum, long candle bodies, followed by a sharp downside reaction (profit-taking and liquidity withdrawal). Once Wave 5 is completed, the market typically transitions into an ABC correction to rebalance supply and demand and complete a full Elliott Wave cycle. ABC Structure Based on the Provided Chart A-leg: Price drops into the 4259–4262 zone (the first reaction area of the correction). B-leg: Price retraces back towards 4316–4320 (the Fibonacci SELL zone on the chart). C-leg: Price continues lower towards 4215 (POC + major liquidity cluster formed late last week) — this is the primary target of the correction. 2) Key Price Levels Sell Zone (B-leg): 4316 – 4320 (Fibonacci resistance) Near Support (A-leg reaction): 4259 – 4262 Mid Support: 4238 – 4241 Main Target / Liquidity Area: 4215 (POC + major liquidity cluster) Scenario Invalidation Level: 4191 If price breaks below this level, the structure will need to be reassessed. 3) Trading Scenarios for the Coming Week Scenario 1 (Preferred): SELL at the End of the B-leg Sell: 4316 – 4320 SL: 4326 (a clear break above the sell zone) TP1: 4262 TP2: 4240 TP3: 4215 Logic: The B-leg is usually just a corrective pullback within the broader ABC structure. Selling at the Fibonacci resistance provides a better risk-to-reward ratio than chasing shorts in the middle of the range. Scenario 2: BUY Reaction at the End of the C-leg Buy: Around 4215 (preferably with a clear reaction) SL: 4191 TP1: 4240 TP2: 4262 TP3: 4290 – 4310 (if structure reverses and the uptrend resumes) Logic: 4215 is both the POC and a major liquidity zone, often acting as a “magnet” to complete the C-leg before the market forms a new cycle. Alternative Scenario: If Price Breaks and Holds Above 4320 If price breaks above 4320 and closes clearly on H1 above this level, the ABC correction may be delayed, and gold could extend higher towards the next resistance zone. In this case: Do not stubbornly hold SELL positions. Shift mindset to waiting for pullbacks to BUY in line with the trend. 4) Fundamental Context – Volatility May Increase, Supporting a Correction Phase Philadelphia Fed Governor Anna Paulson stated that interest rate cuts have “removed some of the insurance” against risks in the labour market. She also emphasised that the labour market is under pressure but has not yet broken. This keeps the Fed in a cautious stance, a backdrop in which gold often experiences sharp liquidity sweeps before aligning with its technical structure.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by LiamTradingFX
1