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XAUUSD – Lana waits for reaction at resistance, focuses on ...XAUUSD – Lana waits for reaction at resistance, focuses on zone-based trading Quick Summary Context: Early in the week with many high-impact news events. Gold opened strong and is now approaching a major resistance area. Timeframe: H1 Strategy: No chasing price. Prefer waiting to buy at liquidity void (VL) zones and selling short-term pullbacks at higher resistance. Expectation: Asian–European sessions may move sideways; stronger volatility is more likely during the US session. Market Context The year-end period is usually packed with economic data. This week, Nonfarm Payrolls, CPI, and Retail Sales are released close together, along with interest rate decisions from the UK, Europe, and Japan. For gold, this environment often leads to sharp moves during the US session, while earlier sessions tend to consolidate or make shallow pullbacks as the market waits for news. Technical View After a strong rally at the start of the week, price is now trading around a key resistance zone. On H1, the price action at the Asian open has left a liquidity void (VL), which is Lana’s preferred area to wait for buy opportunities in line with the main trend. On the upside, a descending trendline combined with Fibonacci extension levels is forming a strong resistance zone, suitable for a short-term corrective sell. Trading Scenarios for Early Week Main Scenario – Buy at the liquidity void (VL) Buy: 4298 – 4302 SL: 4294 This is Lana’s preferred zone. If price returns to fill the liquidity void and the structure holds, there is a high probability of a bullish reaction in continuation of the broader trend. Alternative Scenario – Short-term sell at higher resistance Sell: 4367 – 4370 SL: 4376 This is considered a short-term corrective move when price reaches strong resistance. The sell is counter-trend, so strict risk management is required and positions should not be held for too long.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Lana_M2
XAUUSD H1 – POC 4295 & Fibonacci Sell 4373 XAUUSD H1 – POC 4295 & Fibonacci Sell 4373 Strategy Summary Today, I am not chasing price. The XAUUSD trading plan focuses on two key “high-quality” zones on the chart: POC (Volume Profile) around 4295 to look for BUYs in line with money flow. Fibonacci level at 4373 to look for SELLs when price reaches the premium zone. Key Levels BUY zone (POC – Volume Profile): 4295 (major liquidity area) SELL zone (Fibonacci reaction): 4373 Deeper buffer if POC breaks: 4238 – 4241 Invalidation level: 4191 Scenario 1 – Primary Plan: BUY at the Liquidity Zone (POC) ✅ Buy limit around 4295 (preferably wait for H1 candle confirmation) SL: 4287 (below POC to avoid noise) TP1: 4330 – 4338 TP2: 4370 – 4373 (near the Fibonacci sell zone) Logic: POC represents the “fair value” or balance point of the Volume Profile. Price often gets attracted back to this level to collect liquidity before deciding the next direction. Scenario 2 – SELL on Reaction at Fibonacci (Premium Zone) ✅ Sell around 4373 (wait for reaction or loss of momentum, do not chase sells) SL: 4382 TP1: 4338 – 4330 TP2: 4295 (back to POC) Logic: The Fibonacci premium zone is where profit-taking pressure often appears. If price spikes into 4373 but fails to hold, it usually offers a clean reaction sell setup. Alternative Scenario – If POC Is Broken If price breaks below 4295 and clearly closes an H1 candle under this level, I will not force buys. In that case, priority shifts to waiting for price to react at: 4238 – 4241, or deeper towards the lower balance / POC zone. Always keep in mind: 4191 is the invalidation level. News Context (to Avoid Getting Stopped Out) Trump’s concerns about economic impact “not fully priced in yet” may increase political risk and market sensitivity. Comments from Williams (FOMC, New York Fed) on economic outlook could trigger short-term volatility in USD and yields, causing gold to fluctuate. Tip: Avoid late entries during news spikes. Only execute trades when price reaches the planned zones. Risk Management Maximum risk per trade: 1–2% Do not trade in the middle of the range. Trade only at key levels. If you are also watching 4295 and 4373, share your view: 👉 Are you leaning towards a BUY on pullback or a SELL on reaction today?
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by LiamTradingFX
XAUUSD Wave 5 Completed, Entering an ABC Correction CycleXAUUSD – Wave 5 Completed, Entering an ABC Correction Cycle Weekly Plan Summary Gold has completed Wave 5 with a very strong impulsive move and is now entering an ABC corrective phase to complete the Elliott Wave structure. For the coming week, the primary strategy is to look for SELL opportunities at the Fibonacci resistance zone 4316–4320, followed by BUY reactions at the major liquidity area around 4215. 1) Elliott Wave – Why the Market Is Likely Entering an ABC Phase The recent rally shows clear end-of-Wave-5 characteristics: strong momentum, long candle bodies, followed by a sharp downside reaction (profit-taking and liquidity withdrawal). Once Wave 5 is completed, the market typically transitions into an ABC correction to rebalance supply and demand and complete a full Elliott Wave cycle. ABC Structure Based on the Provided Chart A-leg: Price drops into the 4259–4262 zone (the first reaction area of the correction). B-leg: Price retraces back towards 4316–4320 (the Fibonacci SELL zone on the chart). C-leg: Price continues lower towards 4215 (POC + major liquidity cluster formed late last week) — this is the primary target of the correction. 2) Key Price Levels Sell Zone (B-leg): 4316 – 4320 (Fibonacci resistance) Near Support (A-leg reaction): 4259 – 4262 Mid Support: 4238 – 4241 Main Target / Liquidity Area: 4215 (POC + major liquidity cluster) Scenario Invalidation Level: 4191 If price breaks below this level, the structure will need to be reassessed. 3) Trading Scenarios for the Coming Week Scenario 1 (Preferred): SELL at the End of the B-leg Sell: 4316 – 4320 SL: 4326 (a clear break above the sell zone) TP1: 4262 TP2: 4240 TP3: 4215 Logic: The B-leg is usually just a corrective pullback within the broader ABC structure. Selling at the Fibonacci resistance provides a better risk-to-reward ratio than chasing shorts in the middle of the range. Scenario 2: BUY Reaction at the End of the C-leg Buy: Around 4215 (preferably with a clear reaction) SL: 4191 TP1: 4240 TP2: 4262 TP3: 4290 – 4310 (if structure reverses and the uptrend resumes) Logic: 4215 is both the POC and a major liquidity zone, often acting as a “magnet” to complete the C-leg before the market forms a new cycle. Alternative Scenario: If Price Breaks and Holds Above 4320 If price breaks above 4320 and closes clearly on H1 above this level, the ABC correction may be delayed, and gold could extend higher towards the next resistance zone. In this case: Do not stubbornly hold SELL positions. Shift mindset to waiting for pullbacks to BUY in line with the trend. 4) Fundamental Context – Volatility May Increase, Supporting a Correction Phase Philadelphia Fed Governor Anna Paulson stated that interest rate cuts have “removed some of the insurance” against risks in the labour market. She also emphasised that the labour market is under pressure but has not yet broken. This keeps the Fed in a cautious stance, a backdrop in which gold often experiences sharp liquidity sweeps before aligning with its technical structure.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by LiamTradingFX
1
XAUUSD Trend holds wait to re buy on pullbackXAUUSD (H1) — Trend intact, waiting for pullback to re-buy at the right zones Strategy Summary Price continues to move in line with the bullish plan. Two buy entries were already captured, with price advancing around ~5 points. At this stage, the priority is not to chase price, but to wait for pullbacks into reaction zones to re-enter in the direction of the trend. 1) Trading Plan (H1) ✅ Buy Zone 1: 4262 – 4258 SL: 4250 Meaning: A shallow pullback zone. If price holds the bullish structure and reacts higher here, trend-following buys are preferred. ✅ Buy Zone 2: 4240 – 4235 SL: 4238 Meaning: A deeper pullback (better discount). If price sweeps this area and shows strong confirmation, this becomes a higher-quality buy zone. Projected Targets (based on chart): Near resistance: 4285 Extended target: 4304 – 4307 2) Fundamental / News to Watch The Fed releases US household financial conditions data (Capital Flow Report Q3/2025). Voting FOMC members & Philadelphia Fed President Paulson speak on the 2026 economic outlook. The US threatens expanded seizures of Venezuelan oil tankers → geopolitical and energy supply risks may increase volatility, with gold prone to sharp spikes. 3) Technical & Behavioural View Market structure remains bullish. After a strong impulse, a pullback is healthy before continuation. Plan remains clear: buy only at predefined zones, no FOMO. If price breaks below zones and closes H1 candles under SL levels, staying flat and waiting for a new structure is preferred.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by LiamTradingFX
XAUUSD H4 Lana Weekly AnalysisXAUUSD (H4) – Lana’s Weekly Outlook: Waiting for pullbacks to Fib 0.618 & 0.50 within major liquidity zones 💛 Higher-Timeframe Trend (D1) Gold is revisiting the previous all-time high (ATH), but volume strength has not yet been convincing enough to confirm a strong breakout. Primary Tracking Timeframe Timeframe: H4 Method: Fibonacci + trendline + liquidity zones + support/resistance Plan: Lana avoids chasing price and prefers to BUY at discounted areas around Fib 0.618 and 0.50. Market Context for the Coming Week US Treasury yields, especially on the long end, remain elevated, increasing short-term volatility in gold. Fed commentary continues to signal a cautious stance, while political uncertainty in the US may make gold flows more unpredictable. As a result, Lana prioritises trading clearly defined price zones rather than trying to predict every short-term swing. H4 Technical View (Medium Term) Gold’s current trading range is relatively wide. After a strong impulsive move, the market often needs a “cooling-off” phase to rebalance liquidity. On H4, the two most important zones align between Fibonacci retracement levels and major liquidity areas, making them ideal zones to wait for pullbacks before continuing with the trend. Key Price Zones Lana Is Watching 1) Buy Zone 1 – Fib 0.618 (Preferred) Entry: 4216 – 4220 SL: 4210 This is a high-quality Fibonacci discount zone and an area where strong price reactions are likely if larger flows step in to support the trend. 2) Buy Zone 2 – Fib 0.50 + Strong Support (Deeper Buy) Entry: 4171 – 4175 SL: 4165 This scenario plays out if price sweeps deeper liquidity before rebounding. Lana considers this a safer entry in terms of location, but it requires patience. Trading Scenarios for the New Week Primary Scenario – Trend-Following BUY on Pullbacks Lana prefers to wait for price to retrace into 4216–4220, or deeper into 4171–4175, before entering trades. If price reacts positively, upside targets will focus on rebounds towards higher resistance zones and the nearest recent highs. Secondary Scenario – If Price Remains Elevated If price stays in premium territory with strong volatility, Lana does not recommend late entries. Instead, the focus is on observing price reactions and waiting for pullbacks into the predefined zones for cleaner, lower-risk execution. Lana’s Notes 🌿 Every setup represents a probability, not a certainty. Stop loss is always predefined, and position sizing should be moderate to withstand gold’s wide volatility.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Lana_M2
1
XAUUSD Lana is waiting for price to pull back into the FibonacciXAUUSD Lana is waiting for price to pull back into the Fibonacci discount zone, with 4285 as the key decision level Idea Summary Main trend: Bullish continuation, but a pullback into Fibonacci levels is possible before the next leg up Timeframe: M30 Strategy: No chasing price; Lana waits for price to reach clear buy zones Key level: 4285 is a strong resistance and a decisive level for next direction Market Context The Fed is placing strong expectations on rising labour productivity to ease the tension between growth, inflation, and the labour market. As a result, rate cut expectations for next year remain cautious. For gold, this environment often creates large price swings, making a zone-based trading plan essential. Key Levels Lana Is Watching 4285: Strong resistance, major reaction zone 4265: Short-term target 4245–4248: Fibonacci-based buy zone combined with price imbalance 4210–4213: Liquidity buy zone if a deeper correction occurs Trading Scenarios Primary scenario – Buy on pullback into discount zone Buy: 4245–4248 | SL: 4240 | TP: 4265 → 4285 → 4300 Secondary scenario – Buy at liquidity zone Buy: 4210–4213 | SL: 4205 | TP: 4230 → 4255 → 4285 Each scenario is only one of many possible market outcomes. Lana prioritises capital protection, uses clear stop losses, and is comfortable skipping trades if price does not reach the planned zones. Conclusion 4285 is the level to watch closely. Strong reactions are likely near this zone. A clean break and hold above 4285 could open the path toward 4300. This is Lana’s personal view.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Lana_M2
2
Gold 1H - Will 4287 Liquidity Cap Price or 4248 Reload Demand?🟡 XAUUSD – Intraday Smart Money Plan | by Ryan_TitanTrader (12/12) 📈 Market Context Gold remains highly sensitive to political and inflation narratives after former U.S. President Donald Trump stated he “inherited the worst inflation in history” but now sees prices cooling rapidly. This rhetoric adds uncertainty to inflation expectations and future rate paths, keeping USD flows unstable intraday. For gold, this environment favors engineered liquidity sweeps rather than clean directional continuation, as institutions exploit both inflation hedging demand and short-term USD strength. On H1, price is trading inside a rising structure with clear liquidity resting above recent highs and demand stacked below the mid-range — a textbook Smart Money setup. 🔎 Technical Framework – Smart Money Structure (1H) Current Phase: Expansion after BOS, now pausing into premium Key Idea: Expect a liquidity sweep into premium (4285–4287) or discount (4250–4248) before true displacement Structural Notes: • Prior BOS + CHoCH confirms bullish context • Price currently reacting inside a rising channel • Liquidity is clearly defined on both edges Liquidity Zones & Triggers: • 🔴 SELL GOLD 4285 – 4287 | SL 4295 • 🟢 BUY GOLD 4250 – 4248 | SL 4240 Institutional Flow Expectation: sweep → MSS/CHoCH → BOS → displacement → FVG/OB retest → expansion 🎯 Execution Rules (matching your exact zones) 🔴 SELL GOLD 4285 – 4287 | SL 4295 Rules: ✔ Liquidity sweep above recent highs into premium ✔ Bearish MSS / CHoCH on M5–M15 ✔ Downside BOS with strong bearish displacement ✔ Entry via bearish FVG refill or refined supply OB Targets: 1. 4270 2. 4258 3. 4250 – 4248 🟢 BUY GOLD 4250 – 4248 | SL 4240 Rules: ✔ Liquidity grab below channel support / equal lows ✔ Bullish MSS / CHoCH confirms demand takeover ✔ Upside BOS + impulsive displacement from discount ✔ Entry via bullish FVG fill or demand OB retest Targets: 1. 4265 2. 4280 3. 4287 – extension if momentum holds ⚠️ Risk Notes • Trump’s inflation comments can trigger sharp sentiment flips → wait for structure, not headlines • Avoid entries without clear BOS + displacement • Don’t trade mid-range noise inside compression • Reduce size if volatility spikes during U.S. news hours 📍 Summary Today’s gold setup is pure liquidity engineering: • A 4287 sweep may trigger bearish structure back into 4250 or • A 4248 liquidity grab could reload bullish flow toward 4280–4287 Let structure confirm — Smart Money reacts, retail predicts. ⚡️ 📌 Follow @Ryan_TitanTrader for daily Smart Money gold breakdowns.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Ryan_TitanTrader
2
XAUUSD – 11/12: After major news, only trade at liquidity zones XAUUSD – 11/12: After major news, only trade at liquidity zones Yesterday’s strong news release means today the market has no clear direction. In this situation, I don’t try to predict direction — I only focus on two key liquidity zones: Sell timing zone around 4.219 Buy OB zone around 4.197–4.194 The Asian session showed selling pressure, but the larger trend hasn't changed. So the plan is: short-term sells – buy at strong support, not all-in one direction. 🎯 Scenario 1 – Timing SELL at 4.219 (for experienced traders only) Sell zone: around 4.219 Important: This is a timing entry, NOT a pending limit order. Allowed deviation: ~2 pips. If ideal timing is 4.219 but you see price already hit 4.221 → skip, don’t chase. TP reference: at least 15 pips, e.g. 4.204–4.203 or lower depending on entry. Idea: 4.219 is an upper liquidity zone where FOMO buy orders tend to cluster. If price sweeps above and weakens, I take a short-term sell following Asian session selling momentum. Targets are intraday only — no long holding. ⭐️ Scenario 2 – BUY at OB 4.197–4.194 Buy zone: 4.197 – 4.194 Setup invalid if: price breaks below 4.191 and holds there TP: At least 15+ pips, e.g. 4.209–4.212 depending on entry. Why this zone? 4.197–4.194 is a clean bullish order block where strong buying previously pushed price up. If price retraces here and shows good reaction (wick rejection, rising buy volume), I treat it as a chance to rebuild long positions with good R:R. 1️⃣ Market fundamentals & sentiment After a strong rally, gold bulls are becoming more cautious. Main reason: uncertainty over the speed of Fed rate cuts next year. Everyone expects cuts — but no one knows how fast, how many, or when exactly. As a result, gold is no longer trending straight upward; it is now trading in a wider, jumpy range around the highs. So instead of trying to catch a long trend today, I focus on liquidity zones and price reactions. 2️⃣ Plan & discipline Do NOT enter trades around 4.20x. Only act at: Timing Sell 4.219 (±2 pips — if missed, skip) Buy OB 4.197–4.194 (invalid below 4.191) Risk per trade: 1–2% max, no holding when invalidated. If price breaks both zones and trends strongly (due to new data), I stay out and wait for clearer structure. 👉 Above 4.219 → only look for SELL timing 👉 Between 4.197–4.194 → look for BUY 👉 Below 4.191 → cancel buy setup and wait
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by LiamTradingFX
2
XAUUSD – LANA FAVOURS BUYING AFTER COMPLETING THE ABC CORRECTIONXAUUSD – LANA FAVOURS BUYING AFTER COMPLETING THE ABC CORRECTION (H1) 1. Fundamental Analysis While Trump is making headlines with his idea of a “Gold Card” worth up to USD 1 million, the bigger story is the continued capital flow into gold as a safe-haven and long-term accumulation asset. Bank of America maintains that gold is still in a long-term uptrend and is “under-owned”, projecting that prices could reach USD 5,000/oz by 2026 if investment demand increases. With this backdrop, Lana keeps the same view: the current H1 corrections are mainly opportunities to find trend-aligned buy entries rather than rushing to sell against the major uptrend. 2. Technical Analysis (H1) On H1, the corrective ABC structure has completed, and price has bounced precisely from the rising trendline — showing buyers still defending the trend. The latest bullish leg is currently retracing to test: Fibonacci 0.382, which aligns with a short-term support zone. Fibonacci 0.236, closer to the main trendline, forming a strong confluence area for buying. While upper resistance remains around previous highs and the major trendline above, Lana is currently focused on waiting for price to retrace into the Fibo–trendline zones before anticipating the next bullish wave. 3. Key Levels to Watch Buy scalping zone (Fibo 0.382 + support): 4205 – 4207 Deeper buy zone (Fibo 0.236 + trendline): 4196 – 4198 Technical SL: Below 4200 for the upper setup Below 4190 for the lower setup 4. Trade Scenarios ⭐ Scenario 1 – Buy at Fibo 0.382 + support Buy: 4205 – 4207 SL: 4200 TP: Aim for the nearest highs around 423x–425x, depending on risk appetite. ⭐ Scenario 2 – Buy at Fibo 0.236 + trendline Buy: 4196 – 4198 SL: 4190 TP: Similar targets; partial profit-taking is recommended as price approaches upper resistance. Lana will wait for price to retrace into one of these zones before entering, avoiding FOMO entries when candles are moving too aggressively. 👉 Follow Lana on TradingView to receive the earliest gold updates directly on your mobile. 💛
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Lana_M2
Gold 1H – Will 4232 Liquidity Trigger Reversal or 4188 Hold Flow🟡 XAUUSD – Intraday Smart Money Plan | by Ryan_TitanTrader (10/12) 📈 Market Context Gold trades inside a politically-driven liquidity landscape after former U.S. President Donald Trump signaled that rate-cut willingness will be his litmus test for selecting a new Fed Chair. This comment injects uncertainty into interest-rate expectations, making markets sensitive to any shifts in forward guidance. Higher-for-longer fears remain intact intraday, keeping gold capped below premium zones while liquidity builds on both edges. On H1, price is compressing around mid-range with clean liquidity resting at 4232 above and 4188–4190 below—ideal sweep conditions before institutions commit to direction. 🔎 Technical Framework – Smart Money Structure (1H) Current Phase: Sideways compression after BOS + CHoCH sequence Key Idea: Expect a sweep above 4230–4232 or below 4190–4188 before true displacement Liquidity Zones & Triggers: • 🔴 SELL GOLD 4230 – 4232 | SL 4240 • 🟢 BUY GOLD 4190 – 4188 | SL 4180 Institutional Flow Expectation: sweep → MSS/CHoCH → BOS → displacement → FVG/OB retest → expansion 🎯 Execution Rules (matching your exact zones) 🔴 SELL GOLD 4230 – 4232 | SL 4240 Rules: ✔ Price sweeps the liquidity cluster above 4230 ✔ Bearish MSS/CHoCH on M5–M15 ✔ Downside BOS + clean bearish displacement ✔ Entry via FVG refill or refined OB retest Targets: 1. 4212 2. 4200 3. 4190 🟢 BUY GOLD 4190 – 4188 | SL 4180 Rules: ✔ Liquidity grab under 4190–4188 ✔ Bullish MSS/CHoCH confirms demand takeover ✔ Upside BOS + impulsive displacement from discount ✔ Entry via bullish FVG fill or demand OB retest Targets: 1. 4205 2. 4220 3. 4230–4232 ⚠️ Risk Notes • Trump’s remarks may spark abrupt shifts in expectations → avoid entries without BOS + displacement • Don’t chase candles inside the compression channel • SL placement must respect structural invalidation • Reduce exposure if volatility spikes during Fed-related headlines 📍 Summary Today’s play revolves around two liquidity-driven scenarios: • A 4232 sweep triggers bearish structure, delivering into 4200 → 4190 or • A 4188 liquidity grab forms bullish MSS, expanding toward 4220 → 4232 Let structure confirm—SMC is reaction, not prediction. ⚡️ 📌 Follow @Ryan_TitanTrader for more Smart Money breakdowns.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Ryan_TitanTrader
XAUUSD – The 4,221 Zone Will Decide the Next Direction Ahead...✨ XAUUSD – The 4,221 Zone Will Decide the Next Direction Ahead of the Fed Meeting From my perspective, gold on 10/12 is in a “waiting for direction” phase. Price is trapped between the 4,221–4,239 resistance band and the strong 4,166 support area. On the 45-minute timeframe, the structure is forming a sideways top after the recent upward move. With the Fed set to announce its interest rate decision soon, I avoid predicting blindly and prefer to let these key zones guide my trading decisions. 🎯 Key Technical Levels Major Resistance 4,221 – 4,225: Fibo 0.236–0.382 cluster + heavy volume zone 4,239: Extended resistance high — if broken, price may target the 4.25x region Strong Support 4,166: The “Strong Support” zone on the chart, currently defining the bottom of the range Below 4.166, the 4.12x region aligns with the Fibo 1.618 extension — a zone where liquidity could be swept if the market sells off sharply 📌 Scenario 1 – Bullish Continuation (Preferred if price holds above 4,200) Conditions: Price stays firmly above 4,200 Clear breakout of 4,221–4,225 A 45m candle closes above this zone If these occur, it signals buyers are regaining control. Suggested approach: Buy on a break & retest of 4,221–4,225 SL: below 4,210 TP: 4,245 → 4,258 → 4,270 As long as gold remains above 4,200, I keep a bullish bias and consider dips into the 4.20x region as opportunities to buy. 📌 Scenario 2 – Short-Term Sell From Upper Range Resistance If price fails to break 4,221–4,239 and forms: Wick rejections Small-body candles → I treat this as exhaustion at resistance. Trade idea: Sell: 4,221–4,225 (up to 4,239 if there is a spike) SL: above 4,239 TP: 4,190 → 4,176 → 4,166 If selling pressure is strong: extended target 4,130 This setup is suited for scalping or short swings, and goes against the medium-term bullish bias — so position sizing must be controlled carefully. 1️⃣ Fundamental Context: Everything Depends on the Fed USD/CHF is trading steadily around 0.8060, reflecting the market’s wait-and-see stance ahead of the Fed decision. Traders don’t want to commit heavily before such major news, so gold tends to move within a range. Once the Fed releases its rate decision and guidance, gold’s volatility can expand dramatically — possibly sweeping both resistance and support. Because of that, I do not recommend placing large-position trades right before the announcement. Instead, focus on observing price reactions at 4,221 and 4,166 to determine whether the next leg will be upward or downward. 2️⃣ My Trading Plan Above 4,221 with stable price action: Prefer buying the breakout, targeting the 4.25x zone. Failure to break 4,221, weak candles: Consider shorting toward 4.19x – 4.166. If price drops directly below 4.166: I stay out temporarily and wait for the market to form a new balanced region before planning the next trade. Risk per trade: 1–2% maximum, no widening stop-loss during high-impact news. If you find this analysis useful, follow the TradingView channel and comment whether you expect a breakout above 4,221 or a reversal from resistance — we’ll update again after the Fed announcement.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by LiamTradingFX
XAUUSD – LANA WATCHES SUPPORT 4190–4199 AHEAD OF THE FED RATE..✨ XAUUSD – LANA WATCHES SUPPORT 4190–4199 AHEAD OF THE FED RATE CUT DECISION Fundamental Outlook Over the past year, Silver has surged nearly 82%, while Gold has gained about 58%, showing that capital continues to favour the precious metals sector. The market is currently pricing in ~97% probability of a 25 bps rate cut by the Fed tomorrow. This expectation supports gold in the medium term, as lower yields reduce the opportunity cost of holding non-yielding assets like gold. However, before the actual announcement, price usually swings sharply around short-term support and resistance zones. That’s why Lana prefers to trade based on M30 technical levels during this period. Technical Analysis (M30 – Support/Resistance Levels) For gold to drop deeper, the recent low around 4199 must be broken convincingly. At the moment, price is reacting near the 4190 support zone, a critical level. As long as this area holds, gold still has the potential to bounce within the current range. Above price, the next resistance zone is 4235–4238, aligning with previous FVG and supply areas — suitable for a Sell setup if price retraces upward. Below, the 4164–4167 area is the next strong support, also marked by Lana as a Buy scalping zone if the market flushes down rapidly. Summary: As long as support remains intact, Lana continues to favour Buy setups around these zones. Sell scenarios only become valid when price retraces to the higher resistance areas. Key Price Levels to Watch Important Supports: 4199 – 4190 (near-term low & short-term support) 4164 – 4167 (next Buy zone) Resistance / Sell Zone: 4235 – 4238 Trading Scenarios ⭐️ Scenario 1 – Sell at Resistance Sell: 4235 – 4238 SL: 4243 TP: 4222 – 4205 – 4190 ⭐️ Scenario 2 – Buy at Support Buy: 4164 – 4167 SL: 4159 TP: 4182 – 4202 – 4225 👉 Follow Lana on TradingView to receive the earliest gold updates.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Lana_M2
Gold 1H – Will 4210 Reject Again or 4166 Ignite the Rally?🟡 XAUUSD – Intraday Smart Money Plan | by Ryan_TitanTrader (09/12) 📈 Market Context Gold continues to soften under $4,200 as rising US Treasury yields pressure bullion, with markets positioning ahead of the upcoming Federal Reserve rate decision. According to FXStreet, yields climbing intraday are capping gold’s upside, and sellers remain active below 4200 while participants wait for clarity on the Fed’s forward guidance. This environment builds a liquidity-sensitive landscape, where institutions may engineer sweeps on both sides before committing to direction. On H1, price oscillates cleanly between premium supply (4208–4210) and discount demand (4168–4166). A valid push requires MSS → BOS → displacement from either extreme. 🔎 Technical Framework – Smart Money Structure (1H) Current Phase: Sideways compression after consecutive CHoCH shifts Key Idea: Expect liquidity grabs above 4210 or under 4166 before real movement Liquidity Zones & Triggers • 🔴 SELL GOLD 4208 – 4210 | SL 4218 • 🟢 BUY GOLD 4168 – 4166 | SL 4158 Institutional Flow Expectation: sweep → MSS/CHoCH → BOS → displacement → FVG/OB retest → expansion 🎯 Execution Rules (matching your exact zones) 🔴 SELL GOLD 4208 – 4210 | SL 4218 Rules: ✔ Price taps premium zone (4208–4210) ✔ Bearish MSS/CHoCH confirmed on M5–M15 ✔ Strong downside BOS + displacement ✔ Enter on FVG fill or refined supply OB retest Targets: 1. 4185 2. 4175 3. 4168 – 4166 🟢 BUY GOLD 4168 – 4166 | SL 4158 Rules: ✔ Sweep under 4167 to collect sell-side liquidity ✔ Bullish MSS/CHoCH forms from discount ✔ Clean BOS + impulsive displacement upward ✔ Entry via bullish FVG fill or demand OB retest Targets: 1. 4184 2. 4200 3. 4210 ⚠️ Risk Notes • Rising yields may generate deceptive spikes—avoid entries without BOS + displacement • Do not chase price inside the compression range • Keep SLs at structural invalidation, not arbitrary points • Reduce exposure ahead of Fed-related volatility this week 📍 Summary Today’s setup revolves around two institutional scenarios: • A 4210 liquidity sweep triggers bearish structure → downside delivery toward 4166 or • A 4166 liquidity grab forms bullish MSS → upside expansion back toward 4210 Let structure confirm. Patience pays the trader—SMC reacts, never predicts. ⚡️ 📌 Follow @Ryan_TitanTrader for daily Smart Money breakdowns.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Ryan_TitanTrader
1
XAUUSD – H1 in a corrective move: planning to Sell the pullback XAUUSD – H1 in a corrective move: planning to Sell the pullback & Buy at Fibo + VAL support Gold is currently moving within a downward structure on the H1 timeframe. The present rise is only a corrective leg inside last week’s bearish trend. The key price area to watch is 4164 – if price cannot break and hold above this level, the H1 downtrend remains intact. Below that, the market appears to be targeting the Fibonacci 50% zone + VAL around 4125–4132, where a cluster of buy-side liquidity sits. 🔻 Scenario 1 – SELL the pullback within the bearish structure Sell: 4208 – 4212 Stop Loss: 4216 Take Profit: 4190 – 4176 – 4150 – 4130 Reasoning: The 4208–4212 zone is a clean pullback-sell region because: It aligns with the nearest H1 resistance. It sits just above the “strong support” that was recently broken and now acts as fresh resistance. If price retraces here, I prefer selling with the H1 downtrend, targeting 4190 → 4176 → deeper targets 4150–4130 near the Fibo base. ⭐ Scenario 2 – BUY at the Fibo + VAL Buy Zone (4125–4132) Buy: 4125 – 4132 Stop Loss: below 4132 (depending on risk preference) Take Profit: 4155 – 4190 – 4225 Reasoning: This is a high-confluence buy zone: It matches the Fibonacci 50% retracement of the previous rally. It aligns with the VAL (Value Area Low) where previous heavy volume was traded. If price sweeps this zone during a sell-off and gives a strong bullish reaction, I treat it as a place to accumulate buy positions for the rebound toward 4155–4190 and potentially 4225. 1️⃣ Macro Background – Fed Rate-Cut Expectations Market probabilities for a 25 bps Fed rate cut continue to rise: FedWatch: ~89.4% Polymarket: ~95% This shows the market is heavily pricing in monetary easing — supportive for gold in the medium term. However, short-term retracements may still occur due to profit-taking and position reshuffling. Bottom line: Macro favours gold overall, but H1 is still correcting. Instead of catching falling knives, I prefer selling pullbacks at resistance and buying only at clearly defined Fibo + VAL support. 2️⃣ Action Plan & Risk Management Sell only at: 4208–4212 → SL 4216 → TP 4190 / 4176 / 4150 / 4130 Buy only at: 4125–4132 → SL below 4132 → TP 4155 / 4190 / 4225 Avoid trading inside the middle zone 4160–4190, where price tends to chop during corrective waves. Risk per setup: 1–2% max, and never widen SL, even around Fed news.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by LiamTradingFX
XAUUSD – LANA TRACKING ELLIOTT WAVE 5, PRIORITY ON SELLING ...XAUUSD – LANA TRACKING ELLIOTT WAVE 5, PRIORITY ON SELLING TOWARDS 4130 1. Fundamental Overview Global capital flows are currently pouring heavily into Japanese Government Bonds (JGBs), accounting for nearly 65% of monthly trading volume. As the BOJ reduces its bond-buying program, JGB yields have climbed to multi-decade highs, turning Japan into a new source of volatility for global financial markets. Every shift in JGB flows – whether capital exits or sudden reversals – can spill over to currency markets and commodities, including gold. With this backdrop, Lana interprets gold through Elliott Wave + liquidity principles, viewing the recent upside moves mainly as technical pullbacks within a deeper corrective structure. 2. Technical Analysis On the M30 timeframe, Lana is monitoring a potential Elliott Wave 5 downtrend: The region around 4200 appears to have acted as the completion of Wave 4, followed by weakening momentum. Wave 5 is projected to extend toward major demand support at 4128–4135. Intermediate supports to watch: 4164 – noted on chart as a possible “Buy Scalping” zone. 4153 – an important swing low and sell-side liquidity pocket. 4176–4178 is the current short-term low; a clean break below this will be Lana’s confirmation that Wave 5 is expanding. 3. Key Price Levels Nearby resistance: 4184–4187 – ideal retest area if price breaks the low and pulls back. Support & downside targets: 4164 and 4153 – intermediate reaction levels. 4135 – 4130 – 4112 – expected Wave 5 completion zone and area of deeper liquidity. 4. Trading Scenarios ⭐ Primary Scenario – Sell with the Elliott Wave 5 Structure Condition: Only sell once price clearly breaks below 4176–4178. Sell Entry: Below 4176–4178 (or wait for a cleaner pullback into 4180–4184). Stop Loss: 4184 Targets: 4155 – 4130 – 4112 This aligns with the expectation that Wave 5 will stretch down into lower liquidity zones. ⭐ Secondary Scenario – Short-Term Buy Scalping Buy Entry: 4164 Target: Quick 10–15-point rebound Note: This setup is only for fast scalpers and should not be held long. For this week, Lana continues to prioritise selling as the dominant plan. Any buy position should strictly be treated as a quick technical bounce, not a reversal of trend.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Lana_M2
XAUUSD – LANA PRIORITIZES SELLING WITH THE ELLIOTT WAVE C LEG...XAUUSD – LANA PRIORITIZES SELLING WITH THE ELLIOTT WAVE C LEG AT THE START OF THE WEEK Fundamental Analysis During periods of Quantitative Easing (QE), the Federal Reserve injects liquidity into the financial system by purchasing bonds. This expands the “liquidity reservoir” and generally supports asset prices, including gold. Conversely, under Quantitative Tightening (QT), the Fed gradually reduces its balance sheet, pulling cash out of the system and tightening financial conditions. Currently, with QT having ended, the Fed is essentially signaling that: The current liquidity level is the minimum they consider safe. They want to avoid a repeat of the liquidity shock seen in 2019. This reduces medium-term tightening pressure on gold. However, in the short term, gold is still undergoing a technical correction, which is why Lana prefers to trade based on Elliott Wave structure rather than reacting to news. Technical Analysis – Elliott Wave on M30 On the M30 timeframe, gold is in a corrective C wave, which may be the final leg of the current structure. The prior 5-wave bullish move showed signs of a truncated fifth wave, failing to create a strong new high – an indication that buying momentum has weakened. Early this week, price swept Buy-side liquidity but could not hold upward momentum, reflecting weak bullish sentiment. Below current price, the 4128–4135 zone is a key area — both a support region and the potential completion zone of wave C if the decline extends. With this structure in mind, Lana’s plan for the week is to prioritize Sell setups, following the C-wave, instead of attempting early bottom-picking. Key Price Zones Sell-on-pullback zone: 4215 – 4218 (Primary entry zone) Downside liquidity & target zones: 4192 – 4175 – 4164: Intermediate liquidity points on the way down 4135 – 4130: Expected completion area for wave C (aligning with the 4128–4135 support zone) Trading Scenarios ⭐ Primary Scenario – Sell following the Elliott Wave C leg Sell Entry: 4215 – 4218 Maximum SL: 4220 TP: Minimum +20 pips from entry Extended target: 4135 – 4130 if the market completes the full corrective structure This week, Lana will not prioritize early Buy entries, and will only consider buying again if price approaches the 4128–4135 zone with clearer reversal signals. 👉 Follow Lana on TradingView to receive the earliest updates on the larger gold wave structure.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Lana_M2
Gold 1H – Will 4232 Trap Liquidity or 4170 Spark Expansion?🟡 XAUUSD – Intraday Smart Money Plan | by Ryan_TitanTrader (08/12) 📈 Market Context Gold trades inside politically-driven liquidity as Donald Trump signals that the current method of tariffing through the US Supreme Court is “more direct, less cumbersome, and much faster.” This introduces fresh uncertainty for USD flows, increasing short-term volatility across commodities. Expect engineered sweeps on both sides as institutions react to policy-sensitive sentiment shifts. On H1, price compresses between premium supply (4230–4232) and discount demand (4170–4168). A confirmed MSS + BOS + displacement is required before any directional leg becomes valid. 🔎 Technical Framework – Smart Money Structure (1H) Current Phase: Liquidity-rich compression inside a minor bullish channel Key Idea: Sweeps first, real move later Liquidity Zones & Triggers • 🔴 SELL GOLD 4230 – 4232 | SL 4240 • 🟢 BUY GOLD 4172 – 4170 | SL 4162 Bias shifts only via structural break + clean displacement. Expected Institutional Sequence: sweep → MSS/CHoCH → BOS → displacement → FVG/OB retest → expansion 🎯 Execution Rules (matching your exact zones) 🔴 SELL GOLD 4230 – 4232 | SL 4240 Rules: ✔ Price taps 4231–4232 → bearish MSS/CHoCH on M5–M15 ✔ BOS down + strong displacement candle ✔ Entry on bearish FVG fill / supply OB retest Targets: 1. 4200 2. 4185 3. 4170 🟢 BUY GOLD 4172 – 4170 | SL 4162 Rules: ✔ Sweep below 4169 → bullish MSS/CHoCH ✔ BOS up + displacement from discount ✔ Entry on FVG fill or refined OB retest Targets: 1. 4186 2. 4210 3. 4230 – 4232 ⚠️ Risk Notes • Headlines may induce fake sweeps; do not pre-commit without BOS + displacement • No averaging inside compression • SLs must sit at structural invalidation • Reduce risk during tariff-related spikes 📍 Summary Today’s playbook offers two institutional paths: • 4231 sweep → bearish MSS → BOS → retest → delivery into 4170 or • 4169 sweep → bullish MSS → BOS → retest → expansion back toward 4230+ Trade confirmations only. Let gold show its hand — patience is your edge. ⚡️ 📌 Follow @Ryan_TitanTrader for daily Smart Money breakdowns.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Ryan_TitanTrader
3
/]*/USD – Volume Profile: Selling at VAH, Buying at POC Within..XAUUSD – Volume Profile: Selling at VAH, Buying at POC Within a Wide Range Gold is currently trading inside a broad H1 range, showing hesitation after last week’s decline. The present movement is essentially a pullback phase within the H1 downtrend, so I prefer to trade based on Volume Profile liquidity zones instead of trying to predict a new trend. Price is now approaching the VAH (Value Area High), while below we have the POC cluster + ascending channel support — the two key zones guiding today’s trading decisions. 🎯 Scenario 1 – SELL at VAH / Supply Zone Sell: 4.221 – 4.223 SL: 4.228 TP: 4.212 – 4.200 – 4.178 – 4.150 Logic: The H1 VAH sits around the 4.22x region, aligning with resistance near the upper boundary of the minor ascending channel. This area previously triggered strong selling pressure, pushing price back inside the value region. If price retests this zone and forms weak candles (long upper wicks, small bodies), I prioritise short-term Sell trades in line with the current corrective swing. TP levels: 4.212: bottom of the balance zone 4.200: lower boundary of the range 4.178 – 4.150: deeper liquidity lows Although this setup aligns with the H1 correction, it still counters the larger uptrend, so I keep a moderate position size and a strict SL at 4.228. ⭐ Scenario 2 – BUY at POC / Channel Support Buy: 4.193 – 4.195 SL: 4.187 TP: 4.210 – 4.235 – 4.260 Logic: The 4.193–4.195 zone is the POC (Point of Control) — the highest-volume area — aligning with the ascending channel support and short-term demand. If price drops from VAH and reaches the POC while showing clear signs of buying pressure, this becomes my preferred intraday reversal area. Targets are the mid-channel zone at 4.210, then the previous upper boundary at 4.235–4.260. This setup leverages the tendency of large players to defend the POC, especially when no major negative news is strong enough to break the structure. 1️⃣ Quick Macro Outlook Global capital flow is rotating into other risk-on assets such as Chinese equities, benefiting from AI themes, economic recovery expectations, and attractive valuations. MSCI China has outperformed the S&P 500 this year. In commodities, Goldman Sachs still forecasts NYMEX natural gas at USD 4.50/MMBtu by summer 2026, showing that major investors remain optimistic about the broader commodity group. In summary, a risk-on environment does not eliminate gold’s role, but it increases volatility as capital rotates — making Volume Profile and liquidity zones even more effective than directional bias. 2️⃣ Technical View & Execution Plan On H1, price moves inside a mild ascending channel, but the overall structure remains a corrective phase of the prior decline. VAH 4.22x: Favourable for Sell setups as short-term sellers dominate here. POC 4.19x + support: Expected buy zone where bulls may defend the channel. Execution rules: Only trade at predefined zones — no FOMO in the middle of the range. Risk per scenario capped at 1–2% of account; SL must not be widened. Invalidation: If price breaks above 4.228 → exit Sell idea, wait for new structure. If price drops below 4.187 → exit Buy idea, avoid catching a falling knife. If price breaks strongly through both VAH and POC and stabilises outside, I will abandon both setups and update my view accordingly. If you find this analysis helpful, follow the TradingView account and comment whether you prefer Sell at VAH or Buy at POC today — I always read the feedback before preparing the next post.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by LiamTradingFX
Weekly Analysis of Nifty.....This is the weekly analysis of Nifty covering various topics of ICT, Price action.. Please do watch and repeat watch to learn these... Note – if you liked this analysis, please boost the idea so that other can also get benefit of it. Also follow me for notification for incoming ideas. Also Feel free to comment if you have any input to share. Join me on live stream for real time update. Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Please do your own research (DYOR) and check with your financial advisor before making any trading decisions.
NSE:NIFTY
by HareeyMarketMantraah
3
Weekly analysis Gold Multi RnR sell and Buy scenarioThis is weekly analysis of gold providing detailed analysis and educational topics i.e. ICT, Price action, support and resistance etc. Note – if you liked this analysis, please boost the idea so that other can also get benefit of it. Also follow me for notification for incoming ideas. Also Feel free to comment if you have any input to share. Join me on live stream for real time update. Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Please do your own research (DYOR) and check with your financial advisor before making any trading decisions.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by HareeyMarketMantraah
3
Gold 1H – Will 4242 Displace or 4170 Unlock the Next Leg?🟡 XAUUSD – Intraday Smart Money Plan | by Ryan_TitanTrader (04/12) 📈 Market Context Gold squeezes into engineered liquidity as Donald Trump signals policy authorization for ultra-compact car production in the U.S., adding risk-on volatility to USD narratives. Markets may front-run sentiment shifts into commodities like gold. Expect fast bilateral sweeps before institutions reveal intent. On H1, structure toggles between premium supply at 4242–4244 and discount demand at 4170–4168. The next directional leg requires MSS + BOS + displacement confluence. 🔎 Technical Framework – Smart Money Structure (1H) Current Phase = liquidity-rich compression at H1 extremes Liquidity Zones & Key Triggers • 🔴 SELL GOLD 4242 – 4244 | SL 4252 • 🟢 BUY GOLD 4170 – 4168 | SL 4160 Bias invalidation only via structure break + displacement validation. Expected Sequence = Sweep → MSS/CHoCH → BOS → Displacement → Retest → Expansion 🎯 Execution Rules (unchanged methodology, matching your zones) 🔴 SELL GOLD 4242 – 4244 | SL 4252 Rules: ✔ Zone tap 4243 → bearish MSS/CHoCH (M5–M15) ✔ Clean bearish BOS down + candle displacement ✔ Entry on FVG fill or OB retest after displacement Targets: 1. 4200 – 4190 2. 4182 – 4176 3. 4170 – 4168 🟢 BUY GOLD 4170 – 4168 | SL 4160 Rules: ✔ Sweep under 4169 → bullish MSS/CHoCH + BOS up ✔ Displacement candle away from discount ✔ Wick rejection into FVG fill / OB retest confirm Targets: 1. 4186 2. 4210 3. 4242+ ⚠️ Risk Notes • Both sweeps = traps until BOS + Displacement confirms intent • No averaging inside compression • SL = structural invalidation only • Reduce size during headline-driven spikes 📍 Summary Two institutional paths today: • 4243 sweep → bearish MSS/BOS → retest → delivery into 4170 or • 4169 sweep → bullish MSS/BOS → retest → expansion into 4242+ Trade the structure. Let price narrate the intent. Patience = edge. 🚀 📌 Follow @Ryan_TitanTrader for daily Smart Money breakdowns.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Ryan_TitanTrader
XAUUSD – Ahead of NFP: Buy with Wolfe Wave, Watch for Sell ...XAUUSD – Ahead of NFP: Buy with Wolfe Wave, Watch for Sell Setup at the Extension Zone Gold continues its upward momentum as the USD weakens sharply, breaking the descending trendline and forming a Wolfe Wave pattern on the H1 chart. Price is currently rotating around the POC – VAH cluster of the previous distribution zone, making it very likely to react before the NFP release. At this stage, I prioritise buying with the main trend, but I also prepare a short-term sell setup if the market becomes “overstretched” before the news. 🎯 Scenario 1 – Priority BUY at POC/VAH Buy: 4,209 – 4,212 SL: 4,205 TP: 4,233 – 4,260 – 4,299 Reason: Price is retesting the POC – VAH cluster right after breaking above the descending trendline. The Wolfe Wave structure points toward higher targets, aligning with the continuation of the bullish trend. The 4,209–4,212 zone offers good liquidity, allowing a tight stop loss while maintaining an attractive R:R. 🔁 Scenario 2 – SELL Reaction at the Upper Extension Zone Sell (only if a clear reversal signal appears): 4,323 – 4,325 SL: 4,333 TP reference: 4,299 – 4,260 – 4,233 Reason: The 4,323–4,325 zone is an upper extension area, overlapping with the Wolfe Wave resistance and a previous supply zone. If price is “pushed” into this region before NFP, and H1 candles show long upper wicks or weakening volume, I will consider it a counter-trend sell opportunity back toward the POC/support areas. This is a counter-trend trade, so position size should be smaller and execution must be clean and quick. 1️⃣ Fundamental View Before NFP The USD is attempting to recover from its late-October lows but is restricted by expectations of the Fed turning dovish soon. Recent data shows a cooling U.S. economy and a slowing labour market—raising the probability of a 25bps rate cut at the upcoming FOMC meeting. Additional developments: The Government Accountability Office has launched an investigation involving a “Fed critic.” Kevin Hassett stated that he believes the Fed may cut rates soon. These factors strengthen the narrative that the interest rate peak is behind us. Although Challenger job cuts dropped sharply compared to the previous month, the overall economic picture still suggests slowing growth, which supports gold in the medium term. Summary: Fundamentals remain supportive for gold. NFP will only determine how deep or how fast the next correction will be—not a trend reversal unless the numbers are extremely out of expectations. 2️⃣ Technical Outlook from the Chart On H1, gold has broken the descending trendline and moved back above the POC area of the previous downmove. A Wolfe Wave pattern has formed, projecting targets higher than current price. Price is currently hovering around POC – VAH: If it holds above 4,209–4,212, the next targets are likely 4.26x–4.29x. If price gets strongly rejected near 4.32x before or after NFP, this becomes a valid zone to look for sell reactions. 3️⃣ Trading Plan & Risk Management Priority: BUY at 4,209–4,212, SL 4,205, TP 4,233–4,260–4,299 Sell setup at 4,323–4,325 is activated only when reversal signals appear If NFP causes excessive volatility, prioritise waiting for price to stabilise around the POC before re-entering new setups.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by LiamTradingFX
XAUUSD – LANA LOOKS FOR BUY SCALPING AT 4180–4185 BEFORE PCE ...XAUUSD – LANA LOOKS FOR BUY SCALPING AT 4180–4185 BEFORE PCE DATA 1. Fundamental Analysis Toward the end of this week, the market is almost “holding its breath” ahead of the PCE report – the Fed’s preferred inflation gauge, considered the final key puzzle piece before the year-end meeting. Recent surveys show weakening consumer confidence and rising recession risks. However, Black Friday and holiday shopping numbers indicate demand is still fairly strong. For that reason, PCE will play the decisive role: If inflation continues to cool, the market will strengthen its ~87% expectation of a 25bps rate cut by the Fed, supporting equities and, in the medium term, providing a positive foundation for gold. Before the data release, gold typically trades sideways with compressed volatility as money stays on the sidelines waiting for clearer signals. Today, Lana treats the session purely as a scalping day, without opening any long-term positions. 2. Technical Analysis H1 timeframe: Gold is moving inside an ascending price channel, with each low higher than the previous one. The lower trendline of the channel passes through the 4180–4185 zone. Above, resistance sits at 4219, and further up at the POC cluster 4241–4244. But with the current sideways behaviour, price has not shown any intention of a strong breakout. During Thursday and Friday morning, the range became noisy, with candles clustering around the mid-channel area – a sign of accumulation while waiting for a breakout. For this reason, Lana avoids buying or selling in the middle of the range. She focuses only on clear liquidity zones near the rising trendline for scalping. 3. Key Price Levels Buy scalping zone: 4185 – 4180 (trendline support + liquidity zone) Secondary support: 4165 – 4156 Near resistance: 4219 Major resistance / POC: 4241 – 4244 4. Trading Scenario ⭐ Primary (and only) scenario – Weekend Buy Scalping Buy: 4185 – 4180 Stop Loss: 4178 Take Profit: At least +15–20 pips from entry (Traders may choose to secure partial profits at nearby resistance levels.) Today, Lana will not open any long-term positions — she focuses solely on this scalping setup. Next week, once the PCE data and the Fed’s decision provide clearer market direction, she will share more detailed updates. 💛 👉 Follow Lana on TradingView to receive the earliest gold analysis updates.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Lana_M2