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XAUUSD – Lana Prefers SELL, BUY Only for Short-Term ScalpingXAUUSD – Lana Prefers SELL, BUY Only for Short-Term Scalping 💛 Quick Summary Short-term trend: Downward pressure dominates Timeframe: H1 Strategy: Focus on SELL; BUY only for quick scalping at liquidity zones Note: Today features multiple US data releases and events, so volatility may be higher than usual Market Context The market enters the session with a dense news flow: US Presidential speech, unemployment rate, seasonally adjusted Non-Farm Payrolls, and Retail Sales. In such conditions, gold often experiences strong swings and liquidity sweeps before moving in the main direction. Therefore, Lana prioritizes selling at higher zones and only takes short-term BUY positions when price reaches clear support zones. Technical Outlook After the previous upward move, the H1 structure shows weakening price action, indicating the possibility of a continued downward move. Upper zones where short-term resistance converges are suitable for following the intraday SELL trend. Below, liquidity zones may trigger temporary rebounds, but Lana considers these only for scalping and does not hold positions for long. Intraday Trading Scenarios Main Scenario – Trend-Following SELL Sell: 4308 – 4312 SL: 4320 This is Lana’s preferred zone today. If price retraces into this area and shows rejection, the downtrend is likely to continue. Buy Scenario 1 – Short-Term Scalping at Nearby Support Buy: 4253 SL: 4240 This BUY is only for short swings, with quick profit-taking when price reacts. Buy Scenario 2 – Scalping at Deep Liquidity Zone Buy: 4213 SL: 4200 This is a stronger liquidity zone. If price drops quickly here during news, a technical rebound is possible, but Lana maintains the view not to hold BUY positions for long. Session Notes Asian & European sessions: Price may fluctuate and create technical retracements US session: Strong news-driven volatility can sweep both sides before a clear direction emerges Each scenario represents a probability, not certainty. On high-news days, Lana always reduces position size, sets clear SLs, and is willing to skip trades if price does not reach the expected zones.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Lana_M2
2
XAUUSD – Lana waits for reaction at resistance, focuses on ...XAUUSD – Lana waits for reaction at resistance, focuses on zone-based trading Quick Summary Context: Early in the week with many high-impact news events. Gold opened strong and is now approaching a major resistance area. Timeframe: H1 Strategy: No chasing price. Prefer waiting to buy at liquidity void (VL) zones and selling short-term pullbacks at higher resistance. Expectation: Asian–European sessions may move sideways; stronger volatility is more likely during the US session. Market Context The year-end period is usually packed with economic data. This week, Nonfarm Payrolls, CPI, and Retail Sales are released close together, along with interest rate decisions from the UK, Europe, and Japan. For gold, this environment often leads to sharp moves during the US session, while earlier sessions tend to consolidate or make shallow pullbacks as the market waits for news. Technical View After a strong rally at the start of the week, price is now trading around a key resistance zone. On H1, the price action at the Asian open has left a liquidity void (VL), which is Lana’s preferred area to wait for buy opportunities in line with the main trend. On the upside, a descending trendline combined with Fibonacci extension levels is forming a strong resistance zone, suitable for a short-term corrective sell. Trading Scenarios for Early Week Main Scenario – Buy at the liquidity void (VL) Buy: 4298 – 4302 SL: 4294 This is Lana’s preferred zone. If price returns to fill the liquidity void and the structure holds, there is a high probability of a bullish reaction in continuation of the broader trend. Alternative Scenario – Short-term sell at higher resistance Sell: 4367 – 4370 SL: 4376 This is considered a short-term corrective move when price reaches strong resistance. The sell is counter-trend, so strict risk management is required and positions should not be held for too long.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Lana_M2
4
XAUUSD H1 – POC 4295 & Fibonacci Sell 4373 XAUUSD H1 – POC 4295 & Fibonacci Sell 4373 Strategy Summary Today, I am not chasing price. The XAUUSD trading plan focuses on two key “high-quality” zones on the chart: POC (Volume Profile) around 4295 to look for BUYs in line with money flow. Fibonacci level at 4373 to look for SELLs when price reaches the premium zone. Key Levels BUY zone (POC – Volume Profile): 4295 (major liquidity area) SELL zone (Fibonacci reaction): 4373 Deeper buffer if POC breaks: 4238 – 4241 Invalidation level: 4191 Scenario 1 – Primary Plan: BUY at the Liquidity Zone (POC) ✅ Buy limit around 4295 (preferably wait for H1 candle confirmation) SL: 4287 (below POC to avoid noise) TP1: 4330 – 4338 TP2: 4370 – 4373 (near the Fibonacci sell zone) Logic: POC represents the “fair value” or balance point of the Volume Profile. Price often gets attracted back to this level to collect liquidity before deciding the next direction. Scenario 2 – SELL on Reaction at Fibonacci (Premium Zone) ✅ Sell around 4373 (wait for reaction or loss of momentum, do not chase sells) SL: 4382 TP1: 4338 – 4330 TP2: 4295 (back to POC) Logic: The Fibonacci premium zone is where profit-taking pressure often appears. If price spikes into 4373 but fails to hold, it usually offers a clean reaction sell setup. Alternative Scenario – If POC Is Broken If price breaks below 4295 and clearly closes an H1 candle under this level, I will not force buys. In that case, priority shifts to waiting for price to react at: 4238 – 4241, or deeper towards the lower balance / POC zone. Always keep in mind: 4191 is the invalidation level. News Context (to Avoid Getting Stopped Out) Trump’s concerns about economic impact “not fully priced in yet” may increase political risk and market sensitivity. Comments from Williams (FOMC, New York Fed) on economic outlook could trigger short-term volatility in USD and yields, causing gold to fluctuate. Tip: Avoid late entries during news spikes. Only execute trades when price reaches the planned zones. Risk Management Maximum risk per trade: 1–2% Do not trade in the middle of the range. Trade only at key levels. If you are also watching 4295 and 4373, share your view: 👉 Are you leaning towards a BUY on pullback or a SELL on reaction today?
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by LiamTradingFX
XAUUSD (H1) – Gold Analysis for TodayXAUUSD (H1) – Gold Analysis for Today Price has touched the resistance trendline, but the plan still prioritises BUY (VAL 4303–4306) Strategy Overview Gold is currently reacting at the resistance trendline, but there is not enough confirmation yet to call a bearish reversal. For now, the main plan remains to look for buys from the liquidity zone (Volume Profile – VAL). A strong trend shift will only be confirmed if price clearly breaks and closes above the trendline. 1) Technical View Price is being pressed by the upper resistance trendline, so short-term volatility and wicks are likely. However, the lower area is supported by Volume Profile (VAL), which favours a reaction-based buy strategy rather than FOMO entries in the middle of the move. On the upside, there is strong liquidity around 4370, a zone where profit-taking or distribution can easily appear. 2) Trading Plan for Today (Clear Entry – SL) Scenario A (Preferred): BUY using Volume Profile (VAL) ✅ Buy: 4303 – 4306 (VAL) SL: 4295 Near TP: 4320 – 4330 Extended TP: Towards the 4370 liquidity zone if the trendline is broken successfully Logic: VAL represents a “low value area” on the Volume Profile, which often attracts buying interest. As long as price holds this zone, the bias remains buy on pullbacks. Scenario B: SELL at the upper strong liquidity zone ✅ Sell: Around 4370 SL: 4380 TP: 4330 → 4306 (return to the value area) Logic: The 4370 level is a strong liquidity zone. If price reaches this area and fails to hold, it provides a textbook reaction-based sell setup. 3) Trend Confirmation Conditions Strong bullish confirmation: When price breaks and closes an H1 candle clearly above the trendline. At that point, buy setups become safer, with targets towards higher liquidity zones. If price continues to be rejected multiple times at the trendline, the priority is to wait for price to return to VAL 4303–4306 before buying. Avoid chasing price. 4) Fundamental Context CIBC: Weaker US employment data may push the Fed to cut interest rates earlier next year, which is typically supportive for gold in the medium term. Silver prices breaking higher due to tight supply and rising demand suggest that precious metals flows remain strong, meaning gold can experience sharp liquidity-driven moves. 💬 Which scenario are you leaning towards today? Buying at VAL 4303–4306, or waiting for price to reach 4370 to sell the reaction?
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by LiamTradingFX
XAUUSD – H1 TechXAUUSD – H1 Technical Analysisnical AnalysisXAUUSD – H1 Technical Analysis Lana trades based on liquidity, with priority on price reaction 💛 Quick Summary Market context: Midweek, gold liquidity is relatively weak as holiday sentiment starts to build Timeframe: H1 Strategy: Buy at well-defined liquidity zones, sell psychological reactions at resistance Expectation: No major USD news today, so strong volatility is unlikely Market Context The market is entering a “resting phase” as many traders begin to step back ahead of the holiday period, leading to a noticeable drop in liquidity. Today, there are no key US economic releases, so gold is likely to trade within a narrow range, with movements driven mainly by technical factors. From a macro perspective, recent comments emphasising a clear separation between the White House and the Federal Reserve show that markets remain sensitive to inflation control. However, the short-term impact is limited, which fits a light, quick trading approach rather than holding positions for large moves. H1 Technical View On the H1 chart, price is moving around an equilibrium zone after previous fluctuations. Lower liquidity zones continue to provide solid support, while the upper side consists of psychological resistance levels that may trigger short-term reactions. With weak liquidity conditions, Lana is not looking for strong breakouts. The focus remains on price reaction at clear and well-defined zones. Intraday Trading Scenarios Main Scenario – Buy with liquidity Buy: 4302 – 4306 SL: 4298 This area shows a clear concentration of liquidity. If price revisits this zone and structure holds, a technical rebound is highly possible. Secondary Scenario – Sell scalping at resistance Sell: 4351 – 4355 SL: 4360 This sell setup is purely for scalping, taking advantage of psychological reactions near resistance. It is not preferred to hold sell positions for long under current market conditions. Trading Notes Weak liquidity → reduce position size, prioritise quick profits Avoid expecting large moves in the absence of major USD news Observe price reaction at key zones; avoid entering trades in the middle of the range Lana’s Note 🌿 Each scenario represents just one of many possible outcomes in the market. Lana always prioritises account protection, uses clear stop losses, and is ready to stay out if price does not return to the planned zones.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Lana_M2
Gold 1H – Fed Chair Speculation Drives Smart Money Flow🟡 XAUUSD – Intraday Smart Money Plan | by Ryan_TitanTrader (16/12) 📈 Market Context Gold is trading in a liquidity-driven range as markets focus on today’s hot topic: NFP expectations and Fed rate-path uncertainty. Recent NFP previews highlight divergence between slowing headline job growth and still-sticky wage components, keeping DXY flows unstable. This environment typically favors stop-hunts and liquidity sweeps rather than clean directional moves ahead of confirmation. As a result, Smart Money is likely to engineer price into clear premium and discount zones before committing to expansion. 🔎 Technical Framework – Smart Money Structure (1H) Current Phase: Post-expansion, consolidating after a CHoCH within a broader bullish context Key Idea: Expect a sweep into premium (4352–4354) or discount (4272–4270) before the next impulsive move Structural Notes: • Higher-timeframe BOS keeps bullish bias intact • Recent pullback reflects distribution/profit-taking, not a confirmed reversal • Equal highs above 4350 and sell-side liquidity below 4270 are clearly exposed Liquidity Zones & Triggers: • 🔴 SELL GOLD 4352 – 4354 | SL 4362 • 🟢 BUY GOLD 4272 – 4270 | SL 4262 Institutional Flow Expectation: sweep → MSS / CHoCH → BOS → displacement → FVG / OB retest → expansion 🎯 Execution Rules (matching your exact zones) 🔴 SELL GOLD 4352 – 4354 | SL 4362 Rules: ✔ Liquidity sweep above recent highs into premium ✔ Bearish MSS / CHoCH on M5–M15 ✔ Downside BOS with strong bearish displacement ✔ Entry via bearish FVG refill or refined supply OB Targets: 1. 4325 2. 4300 3. 4285 – extension if momentum accelerates 🟢 BUY GOLD 4272 – 4270 | SL 4262 Rules: ✔ Liquidity grab below equal lows / dynamic support ✔ Bullish MSS / CHoCH confirms demand takeover ✔ Upside BOS with impulsive displacement ✔ Entry via bullish FVG fill or demand OB retest Targets: 1. 4285 2. 4310 3. 4350 – extension if USD weakens post-data ⚠️ Risk Notes • NFP-related positioning can cause false breaks — wait for structure, not the first spike • Avoid trades without clear MSS + BOS confirmation • Expect higher spreads and volatility during the U.S. session • Reduce risk if entering close to major data releases 📍 Summary Today’s gold setup is defined by NFP-driven rate uncertainty: • A sweep into 4354 may invite bearish structure back toward 4300–4285 or • A liquidity grab near 4270 could reload bullish flow toward 4310–4350 Let structure confirm — Smart Money reacts, retail anticipates. ⚡️ 📌 Follow @Ryan_TitanTrader for daily Smart Money gold breakdowns.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Ryan_TitanTrader
1
Gold 1H – NFP in Control: 4355 Cap or 4260 Hold?🟡 XAUUSD – Intraday Smart Money Plan | by Ryan_TitanTrader (16/12) 📈 Market Context Gold is trading inside a high-volatility liquidity environment as markets digest the NFP Preview: Rate Path Divergence & Implications for DXY and Gold. With the upcoming U.S. labor data set to shape expectations for the Fed’s 2026 rate path, USD flows remain unstable. Any surprise in employment or wage components could trigger sharp repricing in rate-cut expectations, directly impacting gold through DXY volatility. In this context, institutions are unlikely to commit direction early. Instead, liquidity engineering and stop-hunts around key premium/discount zones are favored ahead of true displacement. 🔎 Technical Framework – Smart Money Structure (1H) Current Phase: Post-expansion, now rotating inside a rising channel and pausing near equilibrium Key Idea: Expect a liquidity sweep into premium (4353–4355) or discount (4262–4260) before the next impulsive move Structural Notes: • Prior BOS confirms bullish higher-timeframe context • Recent pullback signals profit-taking, not full reversal • Equal highs above 4350 and sell-side liquidity below 4260 are clearly exposed Liquidity Zones & Triggers: • 🔴 SELL GOLD 4353 – 4355 | SL 4363 • 🟢 BUY GOLD 4262 – 4260 | SL 4272 Institutional Flow Expectation: sweep → MSS / CHoCH → BOS → displacement → FVG / OB retest → expansion 🎯 Execution Rules (matching your exact zones) 🔴 SELL GOLD 4353 – 4355 | SL 4363 Rules: ✔ Liquidity sweep above recent highs into premium ✔ Bearish MSS / CHoCH on M5–M15 ✔ Downside BOS with strong bearish displacement ✔ Entry via bearish FVG refill or refined supply OB Targets: 1. 4325 2. 4300 3. 4285 – extension if momentum accelerates 🟢 BUY GOLD 4262 – 4260 | SL 4272 Rules: ✔ Liquidity grab below equal lows / channel support ✔ Bullish MSS / CHoCH confirms demand takeover ✔ Upside BOS with impulsive displacement ✔ Entry via bullish FVG fill or demand OB retest Targets: 1. 4280 2. 4310 3. 4350 – extension if USD weakens post-data ⚠️ Risk Notes • NFP-related positioning can cause false breaks — wait for structure, not the first spike • Avoid trades without clear MSS + BOS confirmation • Expect spreads and volatility to expand during U.S. sessions • Reduce risk if entering close to news releases 📍 Summary Today’s gold narrative is driven by NFP-led rate path uncertainty: • A sweep into 4355 may invite bearish structure back toward 4300–4285 or • A liquidity grab near 4260 could reload bullish flow toward 4310–4350 Let structure confirm — Smart Money reacts, retail anticipates. ⚡️ 📌 Follow @Ryan_TitanTrader for daily Smart Money gold breakdowns.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Ryan_TitanTrader
XAUUSD – Overall Market View (12/16) XAUUSD – Overall Market View (12/16) Strategy Summary Gold is holding its ground, but the main direction is still unclear because today comes with a series of high-impact news. My approach today is “wait for confirmation before entering”, with two clearly defined scenarios: Bullish confirmation: Break and hold above 4320 Bearish confirmation: Break and hold below 4271 1) Key Price Levels on the Chart 4320: Bullish confirmation level + resistance / upper FVG zone 4370 – 4373: Strong liquidity zone → preferred area to look for SELL reactions 4271: Bearish confirmation level (support break) Lower zone (based on structure / trendline): Deeper support area where price may react and bounce, as marked by the arrow on the chart 2) Today’s Trading Scenarios (Trade the Level Style) Scenario A – Bullish (Only valid if price breaks above 4320) If an H1 candle closes clearly above 4320, gold is likely to move up and test the upper liquidity zone. Preferred approach: wait for a pullback and BUY short-term, following the move (as shown by the arrow). Avoid FOMO buys in the middle of the move. Reasonable target: 4370 – 4373 (Strong Liquidity). Note: The 4370 – 4373 zone is highly likely to see selling pressure, as large liquidity is resting there. Scenario B – Bearish (Confirmed if price breaks below 4271) If price breaks below 4271 and fails on the retest, the bearish scenario becomes dominant (classic sell retest setup). ✅ Sell: 4271 ❌ SL: 4280 🎯 Expectation: Price may extend lower toward deeper structural support zones. 3) Main SELL Setup at the Major Liquidity Zone ✅ Sell Entry: 4370 ❌ SL: 4380 Logic: This is a Strong Liquidity zone where profit-taking and distribution are likely to appear. ➡️ Only SELL on confirmation and reaction — no chasing trades. 4) Today’s News (High Volatility Expected) Today’s US data can cause sharp moves and stop hunts on both sides: Average Hourly Earnings m/m Core Retail Sales m/m Non-Farm Employment Change Retail Sales m/m Unemployment Rate Flash Manufacturing PMI Flash Services PMI My rule: Reduce position size before news. After the news, wait for the market to show direction, then trade around 4320 / 4271. 5) Risk Management Do not enter trades in the middle of a noisy range. Only trade at key levels with confirmation. 💬 Question for everyone: Which scenario are you leaning towards today — break above 4320 or break below 4271?
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by LiamTradingFX
1000PEPEUSDT /1 HOUR / SHORTWe can clearly observe that the market structure is bearish, with price consistently forming Lower Highs (LH) and Lower Lows (LL) on the 1H timeframe, confirming a strong downtrend. After a strong impulsive bearish move, price gave a corrective pullback into a Supply Zone, which aligns perfectly with Smart Money Concepts (SMC). This zone represents an area where institutional sellers previously entered the market. 🔴 Supply Zone Identified Zone Range: 0.0043729 – 0.0042814 This zone acted as a distribution area, followed by strong selling pressure. Price returning into this zone gives us a high-probability short opportunity. 🧠 SMC Confluence ✔ Clear Bearish Market Structure ✔ Price respecting LH → LL sequence ✔ Pullback into Supply Zone ✔ Selling pressure visible after mitigation ✔ Trade aligned with higher timeframe bias All confirmations point towards continuation to the downside, not reversal. 📊 Trade Plan (Short Setup) Position: Short Entry: 0.0042840 Stop Loss: 0.0043729 (Above supply = structure protection) Take Profit: 0.0041486 Risk : Reward: Clean & logical (structure-based)
Short
by PraveenTrader1
XAUUSD Wave 5 Completed, Entering an ABC Correction CycleXAUUSD – Wave 5 Completed, Entering an ABC Correction Cycle Weekly Plan Summary Gold has completed Wave 5 with a very strong impulsive move and is now entering an ABC corrective phase to complete the Elliott Wave structure. For the coming week, the primary strategy is to look for SELL opportunities at the Fibonacci resistance zone 4316–4320, followed by BUY reactions at the major liquidity area around 4215. 1) Elliott Wave – Why the Market Is Likely Entering an ABC Phase The recent rally shows clear end-of-Wave-5 characteristics: strong momentum, long candle bodies, followed by a sharp downside reaction (profit-taking and liquidity withdrawal). Once Wave 5 is completed, the market typically transitions into an ABC correction to rebalance supply and demand and complete a full Elliott Wave cycle. ABC Structure Based on the Provided Chart A-leg: Price drops into the 4259–4262 zone (the first reaction area of the correction). B-leg: Price retraces back towards 4316–4320 (the Fibonacci SELL zone on the chart). C-leg: Price continues lower towards 4215 (POC + major liquidity cluster formed late last week) — this is the primary target of the correction. 2) Key Price Levels Sell Zone (B-leg): 4316 – 4320 (Fibonacci resistance) Near Support (A-leg reaction): 4259 – 4262 Mid Support: 4238 – 4241 Main Target / Liquidity Area: 4215 (POC + major liquidity cluster) Scenario Invalidation Level: 4191 If price breaks below this level, the structure will need to be reassessed. 3) Trading Scenarios for the Coming Week Scenario 1 (Preferred): SELL at the End of the B-leg Sell: 4316 – 4320 SL: 4326 (a clear break above the sell zone) TP1: 4262 TP2: 4240 TP3: 4215 Logic: The B-leg is usually just a corrective pullback within the broader ABC structure. Selling at the Fibonacci resistance provides a better risk-to-reward ratio than chasing shorts in the middle of the range. Scenario 2: BUY Reaction at the End of the C-leg Buy: Around 4215 (preferably with a clear reaction) SL: 4191 TP1: 4240 TP2: 4262 TP3: 4290 – 4310 (if structure reverses and the uptrend resumes) Logic: 4215 is both the POC and a major liquidity zone, often acting as a “magnet” to complete the C-leg before the market forms a new cycle. Alternative Scenario: If Price Breaks and Holds Above 4320 If price breaks above 4320 and closes clearly on H1 above this level, the ABC correction may be delayed, and gold could extend higher towards the next resistance zone. In this case: Do not stubbornly hold SELL positions. Shift mindset to waiting for pullbacks to BUY in line with the trend. 4) Fundamental Context – Volatility May Increase, Supporting a Correction Phase Philadelphia Fed Governor Anna Paulson stated that interest rate cuts have “removed some of the insurance” against risks in the labour market. She also emphasised that the labour market is under pressure but has not yet broken. This keeps the Fed in a cautious stance, a backdrop in which gold often experiences sharp liquidity sweeps before aligning with its technical structure.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by LiamTradingFX
1
XAUUSD Trend holds wait to re buy on pullbackXAUUSD (H1) — Trend intact, waiting for pullback to re-buy at the right zones Strategy Summary Price continues to move in line with the bullish plan. Two buy entries were already captured, with price advancing around ~5 points. At this stage, the priority is not to chase price, but to wait for pullbacks into reaction zones to re-enter in the direction of the trend. 1) Trading Plan (H1) ✅ Buy Zone 1: 4262 – 4258 SL: 4250 Meaning: A shallow pullback zone. If price holds the bullish structure and reacts higher here, trend-following buys are preferred. ✅ Buy Zone 2: 4240 – 4235 SL: 4238 Meaning: A deeper pullback (better discount). If price sweeps this area and shows strong confirmation, this becomes a higher-quality buy zone. Projected Targets (based on chart): Near resistance: 4285 Extended target: 4304 – 4307 2) Fundamental / News to Watch The Fed releases US household financial conditions data (Capital Flow Report Q3/2025). Voting FOMC members & Philadelphia Fed President Paulson speak on the 2026 economic outlook. The US threatens expanded seizures of Venezuelan oil tankers → geopolitical and energy supply risks may increase volatility, with gold prone to sharp spikes. 3) Technical & Behavioural View Market structure remains bullish. After a strong impulse, a pullback is healthy before continuation. Plan remains clear: buy only at predefined zones, no FOMO. If price breaks below zones and closes H1 candles under SL levels, staying flat and waiting for a new structure is preferred.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by LiamTradingFX
XAUUSD H4 Lana Weekly AnalysisXAUUSD (H4) – Lana’s Weekly Outlook: Waiting for pullbacks to Fib 0.618 & 0.50 within major liquidity zones 💛 Higher-Timeframe Trend (D1) Gold is revisiting the previous all-time high (ATH), but volume strength has not yet been convincing enough to confirm a strong breakout. Primary Tracking Timeframe Timeframe: H4 Method: Fibonacci + trendline + liquidity zones + support/resistance Plan: Lana avoids chasing price and prefers to BUY at discounted areas around Fib 0.618 and 0.50. Market Context for the Coming Week US Treasury yields, especially on the long end, remain elevated, increasing short-term volatility in gold. Fed commentary continues to signal a cautious stance, while political uncertainty in the US may make gold flows more unpredictable. As a result, Lana prioritises trading clearly defined price zones rather than trying to predict every short-term swing. H4 Technical View (Medium Term) Gold’s current trading range is relatively wide. After a strong impulsive move, the market often needs a “cooling-off” phase to rebalance liquidity. On H4, the two most important zones align between Fibonacci retracement levels and major liquidity areas, making them ideal zones to wait for pullbacks before continuing with the trend. Key Price Zones Lana Is Watching 1) Buy Zone 1 – Fib 0.618 (Preferred) Entry: 4216 – 4220 SL: 4210 This is a high-quality Fibonacci discount zone and an area where strong price reactions are likely if larger flows step in to support the trend. 2) Buy Zone 2 – Fib 0.50 + Strong Support (Deeper Buy) Entry: 4171 – 4175 SL: 4165 This scenario plays out if price sweeps deeper liquidity before rebounding. Lana considers this a safer entry in terms of location, but it requires patience. Trading Scenarios for the New Week Primary Scenario – Trend-Following BUY on Pullbacks Lana prefers to wait for price to retrace into 4216–4220, or deeper into 4171–4175, before entering trades. If price reacts positively, upside targets will focus on rebounds towards higher resistance zones and the nearest recent highs. Secondary Scenario – If Price Remains Elevated If price stays in premium territory with strong volatility, Lana does not recommend late entries. Instead, the focus is on observing price reactions and waiting for pullbacks into the predefined zones for cleaner, lower-risk execution. Lana’s Notes 🌿 Every setup represents a probability, not a certainty. Stop loss is always predefined, and position sizing should be moderate to withstand gold’s wide volatility.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Lana_M2
1
XAUUSD Lana is waiting for price to pull back into the FibonacciXAUUSD Lana is waiting for price to pull back into the Fibonacci discount zone, with 4285 as the key decision level Idea Summary Main trend: Bullish continuation, but a pullback into Fibonacci levels is possible before the next leg up Timeframe: M30 Strategy: No chasing price; Lana waits for price to reach clear buy zones Key level: 4285 is a strong resistance and a decisive level for next direction Market Context The Fed is placing strong expectations on rising labour productivity to ease the tension between growth, inflation, and the labour market. As a result, rate cut expectations for next year remain cautious. For gold, this environment often creates large price swings, making a zone-based trading plan essential. Key Levels Lana Is Watching 4285: Strong resistance, major reaction zone 4265: Short-term target 4245–4248: Fibonacci-based buy zone combined with price imbalance 4210–4213: Liquidity buy zone if a deeper correction occurs Trading Scenarios Primary scenario – Buy on pullback into discount zone Buy: 4245–4248 | SL: 4240 | TP: 4265 → 4285 → 4300 Secondary scenario – Buy at liquidity zone Buy: 4210–4213 | SL: 4205 | TP: 4230 → 4255 → 4285 Each scenario is only one of many possible market outcomes. Lana prioritises capital protection, uses clear stop losses, and is comfortable skipping trades if price does not reach the planned zones. Conclusion 4285 is the level to watch closely. Strong reactions are likely near this zone. A clean break and hold above 4285 could open the path toward 4300. This is Lana’s personal view.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Lana_M2
2
Gold 1H - Will 4287 Liquidity Cap Price or 4248 Reload Demand?🟡 XAUUSD – Intraday Smart Money Plan | by Ryan_TitanTrader (12/12) 📈 Market Context Gold remains highly sensitive to political and inflation narratives after former U.S. President Donald Trump stated he “inherited the worst inflation in history” but now sees prices cooling rapidly. This rhetoric adds uncertainty to inflation expectations and future rate paths, keeping USD flows unstable intraday. For gold, this environment favors engineered liquidity sweeps rather than clean directional continuation, as institutions exploit both inflation hedging demand and short-term USD strength. On H1, price is trading inside a rising structure with clear liquidity resting above recent highs and demand stacked below the mid-range — a textbook Smart Money setup. 🔎 Technical Framework – Smart Money Structure (1H) Current Phase: Expansion after BOS, now pausing into premium Key Idea: Expect a liquidity sweep into premium (4285–4287) or discount (4250–4248) before true displacement Structural Notes: • Prior BOS + CHoCH confirms bullish context • Price currently reacting inside a rising channel • Liquidity is clearly defined on both edges Liquidity Zones & Triggers: • 🔴 SELL GOLD 4285 – 4287 | SL 4295 • 🟢 BUY GOLD 4250 – 4248 | SL 4240 Institutional Flow Expectation: sweep → MSS/CHoCH → BOS → displacement → FVG/OB retest → expansion 🎯 Execution Rules (matching your exact zones) 🔴 SELL GOLD 4285 – 4287 | SL 4295 Rules: ✔ Liquidity sweep above recent highs into premium ✔ Bearish MSS / CHoCH on M5–M15 ✔ Downside BOS with strong bearish displacement ✔ Entry via bearish FVG refill or refined supply OB Targets: 1. 4270 2. 4258 3. 4250 – 4248 🟢 BUY GOLD 4250 – 4248 | SL 4240 Rules: ✔ Liquidity grab below channel support / equal lows ✔ Bullish MSS / CHoCH confirms demand takeover ✔ Upside BOS + impulsive displacement from discount ✔ Entry via bullish FVG fill or demand OB retest Targets: 1. 4265 2. 4280 3. 4287 – extension if momentum holds ⚠️ Risk Notes • Trump’s inflation comments can trigger sharp sentiment flips → wait for structure, not headlines • Avoid entries without clear BOS + displacement • Don’t trade mid-range noise inside compression • Reduce size if volatility spikes during U.S. news hours 📍 Summary Today’s gold setup is pure liquidity engineering: • A 4287 sweep may trigger bearish structure back into 4250 or • A 4248 liquidity grab could reload bullish flow toward 4280–4287 Let structure confirm — Smart Money reacts, retail predicts. ⚡️ 📌 Follow @Ryan_TitanTrader for daily Smart Money gold breakdowns.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Ryan_TitanTrader
2
XAUUSD – 11/12: After major news, only trade at liquidity zones XAUUSD – 11/12: After major news, only trade at liquidity zones Yesterday’s strong news release means today the market has no clear direction. In this situation, I don’t try to predict direction — I only focus on two key liquidity zones: Sell timing zone around 4.219 Buy OB zone around 4.197–4.194 The Asian session showed selling pressure, but the larger trend hasn't changed. So the plan is: short-term sells – buy at strong support, not all-in one direction. 🎯 Scenario 1 – Timing SELL at 4.219 (for experienced traders only) Sell zone: around 4.219 Important: This is a timing entry, NOT a pending limit order. Allowed deviation: ~2 pips. If ideal timing is 4.219 but you see price already hit 4.221 → skip, don’t chase. TP reference: at least 15 pips, e.g. 4.204–4.203 or lower depending on entry. Idea: 4.219 is an upper liquidity zone where FOMO buy orders tend to cluster. If price sweeps above and weakens, I take a short-term sell following Asian session selling momentum. Targets are intraday only — no long holding. ⭐️ Scenario 2 – BUY at OB 4.197–4.194 Buy zone: 4.197 – 4.194 Setup invalid if: price breaks below 4.191 and holds there TP: At least 15+ pips, e.g. 4.209–4.212 depending on entry. Why this zone? 4.197–4.194 is a clean bullish order block where strong buying previously pushed price up. If price retraces here and shows good reaction (wick rejection, rising buy volume), I treat it as a chance to rebuild long positions with good R:R. 1️⃣ Market fundamentals & sentiment After a strong rally, gold bulls are becoming more cautious. Main reason: uncertainty over the speed of Fed rate cuts next year. Everyone expects cuts — but no one knows how fast, how many, or when exactly. As a result, gold is no longer trending straight upward; it is now trading in a wider, jumpy range around the highs. So instead of trying to catch a long trend today, I focus on liquidity zones and price reactions. 2️⃣ Plan & discipline Do NOT enter trades around 4.20x. Only act at: Timing Sell 4.219 (±2 pips — if missed, skip) Buy OB 4.197–4.194 (invalid below 4.191) Risk per trade: 1–2% max, no holding when invalidated. If price breaks both zones and trends strongly (due to new data), I stay out and wait for clearer structure. 👉 Above 4.219 → only look for SELL timing 👉 Between 4.197–4.194 → look for BUY 👉 Below 4.191 → cancel buy setup and wait
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by LiamTradingFX
2
XAUUSD – LANA FAVOURS BUYING AFTER COMPLETING THE ABC CORRECTIONXAUUSD – LANA FAVOURS BUYING AFTER COMPLETING THE ABC CORRECTION (H1) 1. Fundamental Analysis While Trump is making headlines with his idea of a “Gold Card” worth up to USD 1 million, the bigger story is the continued capital flow into gold as a safe-haven and long-term accumulation asset. Bank of America maintains that gold is still in a long-term uptrend and is “under-owned”, projecting that prices could reach USD 5,000/oz by 2026 if investment demand increases. With this backdrop, Lana keeps the same view: the current H1 corrections are mainly opportunities to find trend-aligned buy entries rather than rushing to sell against the major uptrend. 2. Technical Analysis (H1) On H1, the corrective ABC structure has completed, and price has bounced precisely from the rising trendline — showing buyers still defending the trend. The latest bullish leg is currently retracing to test: Fibonacci 0.382, which aligns with a short-term support zone. Fibonacci 0.236, closer to the main trendline, forming a strong confluence area for buying. While upper resistance remains around previous highs and the major trendline above, Lana is currently focused on waiting for price to retrace into the Fibo–trendline zones before anticipating the next bullish wave. 3. Key Levels to Watch Buy scalping zone (Fibo 0.382 + support): 4205 – 4207 Deeper buy zone (Fibo 0.236 + trendline): 4196 – 4198 Technical SL: Below 4200 for the upper setup Below 4190 for the lower setup 4. Trade Scenarios ⭐ Scenario 1 – Buy at Fibo 0.382 + support Buy: 4205 – 4207 SL: 4200 TP: Aim for the nearest highs around 423x–425x, depending on risk appetite. ⭐ Scenario 2 – Buy at Fibo 0.236 + trendline Buy: 4196 – 4198 SL: 4190 TP: Similar targets; partial profit-taking is recommended as price approaches upper resistance. Lana will wait for price to retrace into one of these zones before entering, avoiding FOMO entries when candles are moving too aggressively. 👉 Follow Lana on TradingView to receive the earliest gold updates directly on your mobile. 💛
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Lana_M2
Gold 1H – Will 4232 Liquidity Trigger Reversal or 4188 Hold Flow🟡 XAUUSD – Intraday Smart Money Plan | by Ryan_TitanTrader (10/12) 📈 Market Context Gold trades inside a politically-driven liquidity landscape after former U.S. President Donald Trump signaled that rate-cut willingness will be his litmus test for selecting a new Fed Chair. This comment injects uncertainty into interest-rate expectations, making markets sensitive to any shifts in forward guidance. Higher-for-longer fears remain intact intraday, keeping gold capped below premium zones while liquidity builds on both edges. On H1, price is compressing around mid-range with clean liquidity resting at 4232 above and 4188–4190 below—ideal sweep conditions before institutions commit to direction. 🔎 Technical Framework – Smart Money Structure (1H) Current Phase: Sideways compression after BOS + CHoCH sequence Key Idea: Expect a sweep above 4230–4232 or below 4190–4188 before true displacement Liquidity Zones & Triggers: • 🔴 SELL GOLD 4230 – 4232 | SL 4240 • 🟢 BUY GOLD 4190 – 4188 | SL 4180 Institutional Flow Expectation: sweep → MSS/CHoCH → BOS → displacement → FVG/OB retest → expansion 🎯 Execution Rules (matching your exact zones) 🔴 SELL GOLD 4230 – 4232 | SL 4240 Rules: ✔ Price sweeps the liquidity cluster above 4230 ✔ Bearish MSS/CHoCH on M5–M15 ✔ Downside BOS + clean bearish displacement ✔ Entry via FVG refill or refined OB retest Targets: 1. 4212 2. 4200 3. 4190 🟢 BUY GOLD 4190 – 4188 | SL 4180 Rules: ✔ Liquidity grab under 4190–4188 ✔ Bullish MSS/CHoCH confirms demand takeover ✔ Upside BOS + impulsive displacement from discount ✔ Entry via bullish FVG fill or demand OB retest Targets: 1. 4205 2. 4220 3. 4230–4232 ⚠️ Risk Notes • Trump’s remarks may spark abrupt shifts in expectations → avoid entries without BOS + displacement • Don’t chase candles inside the compression channel • SL placement must respect structural invalidation • Reduce exposure if volatility spikes during Fed-related headlines 📍 Summary Today’s play revolves around two liquidity-driven scenarios: • A 4232 sweep triggers bearish structure, delivering into 4200 → 4190 or • A 4188 liquidity grab forms bullish MSS, expanding toward 4220 → 4232 Let structure confirm—SMC is reaction, not prediction. ⚡️ 📌 Follow @Ryan_TitanTrader for more Smart Money breakdowns.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Ryan_TitanTrader
XAUUSD – The 4,221 Zone Will Decide the Next Direction Ahead...✨ XAUUSD – The 4,221 Zone Will Decide the Next Direction Ahead of the Fed Meeting From my perspective, gold on 10/12 is in a “waiting for direction” phase. Price is trapped between the 4,221–4,239 resistance band and the strong 4,166 support area. On the 45-minute timeframe, the structure is forming a sideways top after the recent upward move. With the Fed set to announce its interest rate decision soon, I avoid predicting blindly and prefer to let these key zones guide my trading decisions. 🎯 Key Technical Levels Major Resistance 4,221 – 4,225: Fibo 0.236–0.382 cluster + heavy volume zone 4,239: Extended resistance high — if broken, price may target the 4.25x region Strong Support 4,166: The “Strong Support” zone on the chart, currently defining the bottom of the range Below 4.166, the 4.12x region aligns with the Fibo 1.618 extension — a zone where liquidity could be swept if the market sells off sharply 📌 Scenario 1 – Bullish Continuation (Preferred if price holds above 4,200) Conditions: Price stays firmly above 4,200 Clear breakout of 4,221–4,225 A 45m candle closes above this zone If these occur, it signals buyers are regaining control. Suggested approach: Buy on a break & retest of 4,221–4,225 SL: below 4,210 TP: 4,245 → 4,258 → 4,270 As long as gold remains above 4,200, I keep a bullish bias and consider dips into the 4.20x region as opportunities to buy. 📌 Scenario 2 – Short-Term Sell From Upper Range Resistance If price fails to break 4,221–4,239 and forms: Wick rejections Small-body candles → I treat this as exhaustion at resistance. Trade idea: Sell: 4,221–4,225 (up to 4,239 if there is a spike) SL: above 4,239 TP: 4,190 → 4,176 → 4,166 If selling pressure is strong: extended target 4,130 This setup is suited for scalping or short swings, and goes against the medium-term bullish bias — so position sizing must be controlled carefully. 1️⃣ Fundamental Context: Everything Depends on the Fed USD/CHF is trading steadily around 0.8060, reflecting the market’s wait-and-see stance ahead of the Fed decision. Traders don’t want to commit heavily before such major news, so gold tends to move within a range. Once the Fed releases its rate decision and guidance, gold’s volatility can expand dramatically — possibly sweeping both resistance and support. Because of that, I do not recommend placing large-position trades right before the announcement. Instead, focus on observing price reactions at 4,221 and 4,166 to determine whether the next leg will be upward or downward. 2️⃣ My Trading Plan Above 4,221 with stable price action: Prefer buying the breakout, targeting the 4.25x zone. Failure to break 4,221, weak candles: Consider shorting toward 4.19x – 4.166. If price drops directly below 4.166: I stay out temporarily and wait for the market to form a new balanced region before planning the next trade. Risk per trade: 1–2% maximum, no widening stop-loss during high-impact news. If you find this analysis useful, follow the TradingView channel and comment whether you expect a breakout above 4,221 or a reversal from resistance — we’ll update again after the Fed announcement.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by LiamTradingFX
XAUUSD – LANA WATCHES SUPPORT 4190–4199 AHEAD OF THE FED RATE..✨ XAUUSD – LANA WATCHES SUPPORT 4190–4199 AHEAD OF THE FED RATE CUT DECISION Fundamental Outlook Over the past year, Silver has surged nearly 82%, while Gold has gained about 58%, showing that capital continues to favour the precious metals sector. The market is currently pricing in ~97% probability of a 25 bps rate cut by the Fed tomorrow. This expectation supports gold in the medium term, as lower yields reduce the opportunity cost of holding non-yielding assets like gold. However, before the actual announcement, price usually swings sharply around short-term support and resistance zones. That’s why Lana prefers to trade based on M30 technical levels during this period. Technical Analysis (M30 – Support/Resistance Levels) For gold to drop deeper, the recent low around 4199 must be broken convincingly. At the moment, price is reacting near the 4190 support zone, a critical level. As long as this area holds, gold still has the potential to bounce within the current range. Above price, the next resistance zone is 4235–4238, aligning with previous FVG and supply areas — suitable for a Sell setup if price retraces upward. Below, the 4164–4167 area is the next strong support, also marked by Lana as a Buy scalping zone if the market flushes down rapidly. Summary: As long as support remains intact, Lana continues to favour Buy setups around these zones. Sell scenarios only become valid when price retraces to the higher resistance areas. Key Price Levels to Watch Important Supports: 4199 – 4190 (near-term low & short-term support) 4164 – 4167 (next Buy zone) Resistance / Sell Zone: 4235 – 4238 Trading Scenarios ⭐️ Scenario 1 – Sell at Resistance Sell: 4235 – 4238 SL: 4243 TP: 4222 – 4205 – 4190 ⭐️ Scenario 2 – Buy at Support Buy: 4164 – 4167 SL: 4159 TP: 4182 – 4202 – 4225 👉 Follow Lana on TradingView to receive the earliest gold updates.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Lana_M2
Gold 1H – Will 4210 Reject Again or 4166 Ignite the Rally?🟡 XAUUSD – Intraday Smart Money Plan | by Ryan_TitanTrader (09/12) 📈 Market Context Gold continues to soften under $4,200 as rising US Treasury yields pressure bullion, with markets positioning ahead of the upcoming Federal Reserve rate decision. According to FXStreet, yields climbing intraday are capping gold’s upside, and sellers remain active below 4200 while participants wait for clarity on the Fed’s forward guidance. This environment builds a liquidity-sensitive landscape, where institutions may engineer sweeps on both sides before committing to direction. On H1, price oscillates cleanly between premium supply (4208–4210) and discount demand (4168–4166). A valid push requires MSS → BOS → displacement from either extreme. 🔎 Technical Framework – Smart Money Structure (1H) Current Phase: Sideways compression after consecutive CHoCH shifts Key Idea: Expect liquidity grabs above 4210 or under 4166 before real movement Liquidity Zones & Triggers • 🔴 SELL GOLD 4208 – 4210 | SL 4218 • 🟢 BUY GOLD 4168 – 4166 | SL 4158 Institutional Flow Expectation: sweep → MSS/CHoCH → BOS → displacement → FVG/OB retest → expansion 🎯 Execution Rules (matching your exact zones) 🔴 SELL GOLD 4208 – 4210 | SL 4218 Rules: ✔ Price taps premium zone (4208–4210) ✔ Bearish MSS/CHoCH confirmed on M5–M15 ✔ Strong downside BOS + displacement ✔ Enter on FVG fill or refined supply OB retest Targets: 1. 4185 2. 4175 3. 4168 – 4166 🟢 BUY GOLD 4168 – 4166 | SL 4158 Rules: ✔ Sweep under 4167 to collect sell-side liquidity ✔ Bullish MSS/CHoCH forms from discount ✔ Clean BOS + impulsive displacement upward ✔ Entry via bullish FVG fill or demand OB retest Targets: 1. 4184 2. 4200 3. 4210 ⚠️ Risk Notes • Rising yields may generate deceptive spikes—avoid entries without BOS + displacement • Do not chase price inside the compression range • Keep SLs at structural invalidation, not arbitrary points • Reduce exposure ahead of Fed-related volatility this week 📍 Summary Today’s setup revolves around two institutional scenarios: • A 4210 liquidity sweep triggers bearish structure → downside delivery toward 4166 or • A 4166 liquidity grab forms bullish MSS → upside expansion back toward 4210 Let structure confirm. Patience pays the trader—SMC reacts, never predicts. ⚡️ 📌 Follow @Ryan_TitanTrader for daily Smart Money breakdowns.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Ryan_TitanTrader
1
XAUUSD – H1 in a corrective move: planning to Sell the pullback XAUUSD – H1 in a corrective move: planning to Sell the pullback & Buy at Fibo + VAL support Gold is currently moving within a downward structure on the H1 timeframe. The present rise is only a corrective leg inside last week’s bearish trend. The key price area to watch is 4164 – if price cannot break and hold above this level, the H1 downtrend remains intact. Below that, the market appears to be targeting the Fibonacci 50% zone + VAL around 4125–4132, where a cluster of buy-side liquidity sits. 🔻 Scenario 1 – SELL the pullback within the bearish structure Sell: 4208 – 4212 Stop Loss: 4216 Take Profit: 4190 – 4176 – 4150 – 4130 Reasoning: The 4208–4212 zone is a clean pullback-sell region because: It aligns with the nearest H1 resistance. It sits just above the “strong support” that was recently broken and now acts as fresh resistance. If price retraces here, I prefer selling with the H1 downtrend, targeting 4190 → 4176 → deeper targets 4150–4130 near the Fibo base. ⭐ Scenario 2 – BUY at the Fibo + VAL Buy Zone (4125–4132) Buy: 4125 – 4132 Stop Loss: below 4132 (depending on risk preference) Take Profit: 4155 – 4190 – 4225 Reasoning: This is a high-confluence buy zone: It matches the Fibonacci 50% retracement of the previous rally. It aligns with the VAL (Value Area Low) where previous heavy volume was traded. If price sweeps this zone during a sell-off and gives a strong bullish reaction, I treat it as a place to accumulate buy positions for the rebound toward 4155–4190 and potentially 4225. 1️⃣ Macro Background – Fed Rate-Cut Expectations Market probabilities for a 25 bps Fed rate cut continue to rise: FedWatch: ~89.4% Polymarket: ~95% This shows the market is heavily pricing in monetary easing — supportive for gold in the medium term. However, short-term retracements may still occur due to profit-taking and position reshuffling. Bottom line: Macro favours gold overall, but H1 is still correcting. Instead of catching falling knives, I prefer selling pullbacks at resistance and buying only at clearly defined Fibo + VAL support. 2️⃣ Action Plan & Risk Management Sell only at: 4208–4212 → SL 4216 → TP 4190 / 4176 / 4150 / 4130 Buy only at: 4125–4132 → SL below 4132 → TP 4155 / 4190 / 4225 Avoid trading inside the middle zone 4160–4190, where price tends to chop during corrective waves. Risk per setup: 1–2% max, and never widen SL, even around Fed news.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by LiamTradingFX
XAUUSD – LANA TRACKING ELLIOTT WAVE 5, PRIORITY ON SELLING ...XAUUSD – LANA TRACKING ELLIOTT WAVE 5, PRIORITY ON SELLING TOWARDS 4130 1. Fundamental Overview Global capital flows are currently pouring heavily into Japanese Government Bonds (JGBs), accounting for nearly 65% of monthly trading volume. As the BOJ reduces its bond-buying program, JGB yields have climbed to multi-decade highs, turning Japan into a new source of volatility for global financial markets. Every shift in JGB flows – whether capital exits or sudden reversals – can spill over to currency markets and commodities, including gold. With this backdrop, Lana interprets gold through Elliott Wave + liquidity principles, viewing the recent upside moves mainly as technical pullbacks within a deeper corrective structure. 2. Technical Analysis On the M30 timeframe, Lana is monitoring a potential Elliott Wave 5 downtrend: The region around 4200 appears to have acted as the completion of Wave 4, followed by weakening momentum. Wave 5 is projected to extend toward major demand support at 4128–4135. Intermediate supports to watch: 4164 – noted on chart as a possible “Buy Scalping” zone. 4153 – an important swing low and sell-side liquidity pocket. 4176–4178 is the current short-term low; a clean break below this will be Lana’s confirmation that Wave 5 is expanding. 3. Key Price Levels Nearby resistance: 4184–4187 – ideal retest area if price breaks the low and pulls back. Support & downside targets: 4164 and 4153 – intermediate reaction levels. 4135 – 4130 – 4112 – expected Wave 5 completion zone and area of deeper liquidity. 4. Trading Scenarios ⭐ Primary Scenario – Sell with the Elliott Wave 5 Structure Condition: Only sell once price clearly breaks below 4176–4178. Sell Entry: Below 4176–4178 (or wait for a cleaner pullback into 4180–4184). Stop Loss: 4184 Targets: 4155 – 4130 – 4112 This aligns with the expectation that Wave 5 will stretch down into lower liquidity zones. ⭐ Secondary Scenario – Short-Term Buy Scalping Buy Entry: 4164 Target: Quick 10–15-point rebound Note: This setup is only for fast scalpers and should not be held long. For this week, Lana continues to prioritise selling as the dominant plan. Any buy position should strictly be treated as a quick technical bounce, not a reversal of trend.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Lana_M2
XAUUSD – LANA PRIORITIZES SELLING WITH THE ELLIOTT WAVE C LEG...XAUUSD – LANA PRIORITIZES SELLING WITH THE ELLIOTT WAVE C LEG AT THE START OF THE WEEK Fundamental Analysis During periods of Quantitative Easing (QE), the Federal Reserve injects liquidity into the financial system by purchasing bonds. This expands the “liquidity reservoir” and generally supports asset prices, including gold. Conversely, under Quantitative Tightening (QT), the Fed gradually reduces its balance sheet, pulling cash out of the system and tightening financial conditions. Currently, with QT having ended, the Fed is essentially signaling that: The current liquidity level is the minimum they consider safe. They want to avoid a repeat of the liquidity shock seen in 2019. This reduces medium-term tightening pressure on gold. However, in the short term, gold is still undergoing a technical correction, which is why Lana prefers to trade based on Elliott Wave structure rather than reacting to news. Technical Analysis – Elliott Wave on M30 On the M30 timeframe, gold is in a corrective C wave, which may be the final leg of the current structure. The prior 5-wave bullish move showed signs of a truncated fifth wave, failing to create a strong new high – an indication that buying momentum has weakened. Early this week, price swept Buy-side liquidity but could not hold upward momentum, reflecting weak bullish sentiment. Below current price, the 4128–4135 zone is a key area — both a support region and the potential completion zone of wave C if the decline extends. With this structure in mind, Lana’s plan for the week is to prioritize Sell setups, following the C-wave, instead of attempting early bottom-picking. Key Price Zones Sell-on-pullback zone: 4215 – 4218 (Primary entry zone) Downside liquidity & target zones: 4192 – 4175 – 4164: Intermediate liquidity points on the way down 4135 – 4130: Expected completion area for wave C (aligning with the 4128–4135 support zone) Trading Scenarios ⭐ Primary Scenario – Sell following the Elliott Wave C leg Sell Entry: 4215 – 4218 Maximum SL: 4220 TP: Minimum +20 pips from entry Extended target: 4135 – 4130 if the market completes the full corrective structure This week, Lana will not prioritize early Buy entries, and will only consider buying again if price approaches the 4128–4135 zone with clearer reversal signals. 👉 Follow Lana on TradingView to receive the earliest updates on the larger gold wave structure.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Lana_M2