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BTCUSD 4.5R sell side beautiful scenarioBTCUSD is in range from last 5 days but now it is showing Smart Money’s interest. And it appears a down side trade is being developed as it has swept upside liquidity and forming CISD after displacement. 1. It has taken upside liquidity. 2. Formed CISD after displacement. 3. It has formed FVG and BPR on 1h time frame and price is inside POI. 4. POI is created inside OTE zone confirming good RnR. 5. Most probably price will take liquidity of FVG and OTE zone and create MSS/TS in LTF. 6. Price should show rejection/reversal in LTF (5m,1m) at FVG zone. All these combinations are signalling a high probability and 4.5R trade scenario. Note – if you liked this analysis, please boost the idea so that other can also get benefit of it. Also follow me for notification for incoming ideas. Also Feel free to comment if you have any input to share. Disclaimer – This analysis is just for education purpose not any trading suggestion. Please take the trade at your own risk and with the discussion with your financial advisor.
DELTAIN:BTCUSD.PShort
by hari_log
1:7 RnR trade opportunity on GBPCADGBPCAD is forming a great price action and scenario. Which may lead to high risk and reward trade. Below are the signals noticed ... 1. Price has broken 10 days’ consolidation of trend line and nearby resistance as well. 2. Created BOS and FVG on 1-hour time frame in discount area. 3. Price is running above VWAP and 21 EMA. And 21 EMA crossing over VWAP. 4. Now we can expect a pullback till FVG area. All these combinations are signalling a high probability and high RnR (1:7) trade scenario. Note – if liked this analysis, please boost the idea so that other can also get benefit of it. Also follow me for notification for incoming ideas. Disclaimer – This analysis is just for education purpose not any trading suggestion. Please take the trade at your own risk and with the discussion with your financial advisor.
Long
by hari_log
Gold consolidates as new alliances emerge | Captain Vincent 1. News Wave 🌍 At the two-day summit in Shanghai, Prime Minister Modi and President Xi Jinping announced that India and China will become development partners rather than competitors. The meeting also included Russia and four Central Asian nations, aiming to form a Southern Hemisphere bloc to counterbalance the US and the West. 👉 This signals a shift in geopolitical power, heightening concerns of global polarization → Gold continues to hold its safe-haven position. 2. Technical Analysis ⚙️ On the H2 chart, Gold has formed a Higher High after the recent strong breakout. Storm Breaker 🌊 (Sell Zone 3511 – 3518): Strong resistance, potential for supply if price retests. Golden Harbor 🏝️ (Buy Zone 3450 – 3448): Confluence with FVG + Fibonacci 0.5/0.618, a key support for pullback entries. Main Trend: Gold likely to move sideways between 3450 – 3510 before choosing a major direction. 3. Captain Vincent’s Map – Trade Scenarios 🪙 🔻 Storm Breaker 🌊 (SELL Reaction) Entry: 3511 – 3508 SL: 3518 TP: 3505 → 3500 → 3497 → 349x → 348x 🏝️ Golden Harbor (BUY Zone – Strong Support) Entry: 3450 – 3448 SL: 3440 TP: 3453 → 3456 → 3459 → 3462 → 346x 4. Captain’s Note ⚓ "Political news continues to stir the golden sea 🌊. Bears are waiting at Storm Breaker 3511, but the safe harbor remains Golden Harbor 3450 – 3448. In such unpredictable waters, prioritise short-term sells to flow with safe-haven demand, rather than recklessly facing the storm."
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by CaptainVincent
Gold Plan (28/08) – Ahead of 3,400: Breakout or Correction to ??XAU/USD – Gold hits Storm Breaker 3400: Accumulation before breaking ATH? 1. Market Wave 🌍 Throughout last week, Gold continuously formed BOS (Break of Structure) , confirming that buyers remain in control. Currently, price is consolidating around 3,394 – 3,400, right at the Storm Breaker 🌊 , the crucial barrier before heading towards the old ATH at 3,424. The key question: Will Gold accumulate here and smash through ATH, or will it need a pullback to safe harbors before a strong rally in September? 2. Technical Analysis ⚙️ Storm Breaker 🌊 (Strong Resistance): 3400 – 3424 (old ATH). The gateway Gold must conquer to open a new bullish leg. Golden Harbor 🏝️ (Key Support): 3375 – 3355 – 3330. Confluence with FVG + Fibonacci 0.5/0.618 , likely to attract liquidity if price corrects. Short-term scenario: Price may pull back to Golden Harbor before breaking higher. 3. Captain Vincent’s Map – Trade Scenarios 🪙 🔺 Quick Boarding 🚤 (BUY Scalp – Rebound Priority) Entry: 3353 – 3355 SL: 3349 TP: 3356 → 3359 → 3361 → 33xx 🔻 Storm Breaker 🌊 (SELL Reaction – Old ATH) Entry: 3422 – 3424 (if tested) SL: 3430 TP: 3419 → 3415 → 3410 → 3405 → 33xx 4. Captain’s Note ⚓ "The Gold ship is now pressing against Storm Breaker 🌊 3400 – 3424 . If it breaks through, the vast ocean opens a new trend. But if the waves push back, patiently wait at Golden Harbor 🏝️ to anchor and catch the September tide."
OANDA:XAUUSD
by CaptainVincent
Gold Plan 27/08 – Captain Vincent (IN)XAU/USD – Trump strengthens control over the FED, Gold consolidates near Storm Breaker 1. News Wave 🌍 Trump: “We will soon have majority control at the FED. Miran may be moved to another position with a longer term.” Trump: “I already have a candidate in mind to replace FED Governor L. Cook.” US Senate: Preparing hearings next week for Trump’s nominee – S. Miran . 👉 Message: Trump is consolidating power within the FED. Market fears FED losing independence → USD volatility rises, Gold benefits from safe-haven flows . 2. Technical Outlook ⚙️ Gold is approaching Storm Breaker 🌊 (3400 – 3402) , overlapping with resistance 3392 – 3406 → profit-taking likely . On H1, multiple FVGs remain unfilled around 3355 & 3330 → Price may correct to retest these supports before choosing direction. Intraday bias: Range-bound → Sell at resistance, short Buy at supports. 3. Captain Vincent’s Map – Key Levels 🪙 Resistance (Kháng cự): 3406 – 3400 – 3392 (Storm Breaker 🌊) Support (Hỗ trợ): 3372 (Minor Shield 🛡️) 3355 (Quick Boarding 🚤 – Buy Scalp Zone) 3344 (Intermediate Shield 🛡️) 3330 (Golden Harbor 🏝️ – Main Buy Zone) 4. Trade Scenarios 📌 🔻 SELL at Storm Breaker 🌊 (Priority) Entry: 3400 – 3402 SL: 3408 TP: 3395 → 3393 → 3389 → 3386 → 33xx 🚤 BUY Scalp – Quick Boarding Entry: 3353 – 3355 SL: 3345 TP: 3358 → 3361 → 3363 → 33xx 🏝️ BUY at Golden Harbor (Strong Support) Entry: 3330 – 3332 SL: 3325 TP: 3335 → 3338 → 3341 → 33xx 5. Captain’s Note ⚓ "Gold today faces Storm Breaker 🌊 above, but multiple shields of support remain below. Smart traders will scalp quickly at Quick Boarding 🚤, or patiently wait for Golden Harbor 🏝️ to anchor safely."
OANDA:XAUUSD
by CaptainVincent
Gold Plan 26/08 – Captain VincentXAU/USD – Trump’s surprise move sparks a Gold rally. What’s the next scenario? 1. News Wave 🌍 Trump unexpectedly dismissed FED Governor L. Cook , citing “irresponsible recent financial decisions.” 👉 A political–monetary shock that pushed Gold up by more than 30 points from the 3,350 – 3,352 zone, as investors feared internal instability at the FED could weaken the USD. Safe-haven demand has been activated, but Gold is unlikely to “fly in a straight line.” The market often requires a pullback to fill liquidity gaps before a clear trend develops. 2. Technical Outlook ⚙️ Price bounced sharply from Golden Harbor 🏝️ (Buy Zone 3350 – 3342) – a key support area. Currently, Gold is testing Storm Breaker 🌊 (Resistance 3384 – 3400) , a liquidity cluster → potential for profit-taking sell orders. On H1, multiple FVGs formed around 3363 and 3355 → price may retrace to “fill the gap” before continuing. 👉 Intraday bias: Prioritise Sell at resistance, but watch for short Buy Scalp setups at Quick Boarding 🚤 (3342 – 3340) . 3. Captain Vincent’s Map – Key Levels 🪙 Storm Breaker 🌊 (Main Resistance): 3384 – 3400 Quick Boarding 🚤 (Buy Scalp): 3342 – 3340 | SL 3333 | TP: 3345 → 3347 → 3350 → 33xx Golden Harbor 🏝️ (Buy Zone): 3350 – 3342 FVG Zones: Around 3363 & 3355 (short-term price magnets) 4. Trade Scenarios 📌 🔻 SELL at Storm Breaker 🌊 (Priority) Entry: 3400 – 3402 SL: 3408 TP: 3395 → 3390 → 33xx 🔺 BUY Scalp – Quick Boarding 🚤 Entry: 3342 – 3340 SL: 3333 TP: 3345 → 3347 → 3350 → 33xx 5. Captain’s Note ⚓ "Trump’s news wave pushed Gold like an unexpected headwind. But Storm Breaker 🌊 ahead may unleash rough seas. The wise will anchor at Golden Harbor 🏝️ , while the bold may ride Quick Boarding 🚤 for fast scalps. And remember: today’s golden sea depends on the sharks at the helm."
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by CaptainVincent
Gold preparing for correction under FED & geopolitic - Vincent🟡 Gold Plan 25/08 – Captain Vincent ⚓ 1. Market Context 🌍 Russia – Ukraine: Trump puts pressure on Putin to negotiate within 2 weeks. This looks positive for peace, but also carries escalation risks → Gold keeps its safe-haven role . FED – Powell at Jackson Hole: Hawkish tone reduced expectations of a September rate cut from 3 to 2. USD strengthened → short-term downside pressure on Gold . 👉 Mix of political support vs FED pressure → Sideways market, Gold may need a pullback to absorb liquidity before showing clear direction. 2. Technical Outlook ⚙️ H4 candle closed bearish → Buying momentum weakens , sellers may return. Recent FVG created after sharp bounce → Likely pullback for liquidity grab . Bias of the day: Prioritise Sell, but short Buy Scalp setups possible at support. 3. Key Levels – Captain Vincent’s Map 🪙 Resistance: Storm Breaker 🌊 (Sell Zone 3398 – 3400) 3376 (intermediate resistance – watch reaction) Support: Quick Boarding 🚤 (Buy Scalp 3340 – 3342) SL: 3333 TP: 3345 → 3349 → 3353 → 3357 → 33xx Golden Harbor 🏝️ (Buy Zone 3328 – 3326) SL: 3318 TP: 3332 → 3336 → 3339 → 33xx Higher Low – 3323 Anchor point of the trend → If broken, need to reassess all Buy setups. 4. Trade Scenarios 📌 🔻 Sell at Storm Breaker 🌊 Entry: 3398 – 3400 SL: 3408 TP: 3395 → 3390 → 3387 → 3384 → 33xx 🚤 Buy Scalp at Quick Boarding Entry: 3340 – 3342 SL: 3333 TP: 3345 → 3349 → 3353 → 3357 → 33xx 🏝️ Buy at Golden Harbor (3328 – 3326) SL: 3318 TP: 3332 → 3336 → 3339 → 33xx 5. Captain’s Note ⚓ "Today, the golden sea is full of undercurrents: FED winds blow against, politics push along. Those who pick Storm Breaker 🌊 may ride the wave safely; those who patiently wait at Golden Harbor 🏝️ will find peace. Quick Boarding 🚤 is for sailors seeking fast scalps in narrow waters."
OANDA:XAUUSD
by CaptainVincent
Gold Plan 22/08 – Captain Vincent ( IN )Background On the H1 timeframe , Gold continues to move sideways within the 3328 – 3350 range, sweeping liquidity again and again, making it difficult for retail traders to spot a clear trend. Currently, Gold has absorbed almost all liquidity from the Nonfarm FVG . Therefore, the next price action will largely depend on smart money moves and upcoming news catalysts . Even though the overall trend is still unclear, we can still build trading setups around these key levels . 🪙 Key Levels 🔹 Storm Breaker 🌊 (Sell Zone 3368 – 3370) SL: 3376 TP: 3365 → 3360 → 3355 → 3350 → 33xx 🔹 Golden Harbor 🏝️ (Buy Zone 3313 – 3315) SL: 3305 TP: 3320 → 3325 → 3330 → 33xx 📌 Trading Outlook On higher timeframes, sellers still hold the advantage . However, Gold may need to test resistance zones again to confirm. If price reaches Storm Breaker 🌊 → Watch for reaction and prepare to Sell. If price drops to Golden Harbor 🏝️ → Strong support remains for short-term Buy opportunities. ⚓ Captain Vincent’s Note "When the sharks sweep the waves, retail traders panic. But those holding the key level map will always know where the safe harbor lies."
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by CaptainVincent
GOLD PLAN – Captain Vincent🏴‍☠️ GOLD PLAN – Captain Vincent ⚓ Background After the Nonfarm payrolls, Gold created a Captain’s Liquidity Void (large imbalance zone). Price has now almost completely filled this gap. On higher timeframes, Gold still maintains a Lower High – Lower Low structure, confirming that sellers remain in control . However, during the Asian & European sessions, we usually see technical pullbacks to collect liquidity – those moves will be our chance to enter in line with the main direction. 📍 Key Levels for Today 🔹 Captain’s Trap Zone (3330 – 3332) Confluence of Fibo 0.5 – 0.618 and trendline breakout. Main SELL setup at this zone. SL: 3336 – 3338 TP: 3325 → 3320 → 3315 → 33xx 🔹 Captain’s Quick Shot (3313) Nonfarm breakout zone , heavy SELL volume. Suitable for short BUY scalp if price reacts strongly. SL: 3308 TP: 3318 → 3322 → 3326 🔹 Captain’s Safe Harbor (3300 – 3302) Start of previous bullish leg, strongest support of the day . If Quick Shot breaks, this becomes the main BUY accumulation zone . SL: 3293 TP: 3305 → 3310 → 3315 → 33xx 🔹 Captain’s Shield (3313) If held multiple times → becomes a short-term key support . ⚡ Trading Scenarios Sell Priority : Short at Captain’s Trap Zone. Quick Buy : Scalp around Captain’s Quick Shot if sharp reaction. Breakdown : If 3313 fails → Buy at Safe Harbor (3300 – 3302). 📌 Captain’s Reminder SELL bias is still dominant → Do not FOMO buy without clear signals. The US session may bring high volatility from geopolitical headlines. Manage your capital with discipline.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by CaptainVincent
Red CHoCH Confirms the Bears – Sell at Premium Zone📌 Gold Plan – M30 Timeframe | Captain Vincent ⚓ Background On the D1 chart, the candle closed lower, showing bearish pressure still dominates. On H4, the bearish structure continues. However, Gold is currently stuck around 3345/oz, unable to make a clear breakout. The 3323 – 3335 zone remains strong support – a level where Vincent has bought multiple times before with solid profits. But with the current structure, today’s priority will be Sell in line with the main trend. Sell Zone – Premium 🎯 Entry: 3345 – 3347 SL: 3352 TP: 3340 → 3335 → 3330 → 33xx SMC Note (CHoCH 🔴) On the M30 timeframe, a recent red CHoCH has appeared – a signal confirming that sellers have regained control. This strengthens the case for selling at upper resistance zones. Today’s Scenarios If price holds below 3345 – 3347 → Prioritise short setups, selling in line with the downtrend. If price breaks below current support → High chance the market will move to fill the previous FVG. In that case, wait for a Breakout Down retest to enter safer. Consider entering one small probe trade first, then go in stronger once a reversal candle confirmation appears. Resistance to watch: 3337 – 3345 Support to watch: 3323 – 3335 ⚠️ Captain’s Note: "SMC structure with a red CHoCH has confirmed that the bears are steering the market. We will flow with the main current – Sell at the Premium Zone – but always with discipline, waiting for clear confirmation before taking action."
OANDA:XAUUSD
by CaptainVincent
Gold Plan 14/08 – Captain VincentGold Plan 14/08 – Captain Vincent ⚓ Background Yesterday, Gold touched the Sell Scalp zone and cruised smoothly for 220 pips 🎯. However, it failed to break the previous Buy Zone and is now maintaining a bullish structure on the H1 chart, with higher lows forming. Today, the market may move slower as traders await the US PPI data , so each entry point must be taken with caution. Zone 1 – Golden Harbor 🏝️ (Main Buy Zone – SMC Demand) Entry: 3,334 – 3,332 SL: 3,327 TP: 3,338 → 3,342 → 3,346 → 33xx Note: This is the main buy zone, aligned with the SMC Demand Zone. Enter only if there’s a clear reversal signal (Pin Bar / Engulfing) on M15/H1. Zone 2 – Storm Breaker 🌊 (Sell Zone – SMC Supply) Entry: 3,398 – 3,400 SL: 3,407 TP: 3,394 → 3,390 → 3,386 → 33xx Note: Strong sell zone. Watch price reaction before entry. Prefer partial profit-taking along the way. Today’s Scenarios If price tests Golden Harbor → Wait for pin bar or engulfing, then Buy in line with the uptrend. If price approaches Storm Breaker → Look for short-term sell setups on reversal signals. If price stays in the mid-range → Stay on the shore, save energy for the golden moment. Captain’s Note: "Today, the golden sea still rides the bullish tide, but the PPI winds may shift without warning. Keep the helm steady, and anchor only at safe harbors." 🏴‍☠️📈
OANDA:XAUUSD
by CaptainVincent
Gold (XAUUSD) - Daily ICT Based Analysis🗓️ Date Range: IPDA Range (June 9 – July 4, 2025) This chart is built using ICT methodology focusing on market structure, liquidity, PD arrays, and smart money price delivery. 🧠 Narrative Breakdown: ✅ IPDA Range is defined from June 9 to July 4 (20 trading days), providing the valid high and low to map premium/discount. ✅ A Market Structure Shift (MSS) confirms the intent to shift bearish after internal liquidity was swept. ✅ Price ran the Buy Side Liquidity (BSL) and rejected from the Daily Rejection Block (RB.D) and CISD + IPDA S.D., indicating institutional selling interest. ✅ The recent rally into the premium zone failed to close above BSL, showing weakness and potential continuation to the downside. 🎯 Key Points: BSL Swept above internal range. RB.D + CISD + IPDA S.D.: Price rejected from these confluences. Current Bias: Bearish until 3,203.47 and 3,189.82 are met (internal sell-side liquidity). Extended Target: 2,993.69 — external liquidity resting below the May low. DOL marked inside the range suggests smart money is engineering price toward sell-side targets. ⚒️ Tools Used: IPDA Range (20D) MSS / BoS Rejection Block (RB.D) CISD + IFVG PD Arrays (BSL, IDM, DOL) 📌 Summary: This is a classic Sell Model within a defined IPDA range. Liquidity was swept, price rejected from premium, and now seeks inefficiencies + sell-side liquidity. 🧠 Wait for price action confirmations on lower timeframes (1H/15M) near PD arrays to engage.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDShort
by hrishabh_07
Gold (XAUUSD) - Daily ICT Based AnalysisThis chart reflects a detailed breakdown of Gold using Inner Circle Trader (ICT) concepts on the daily timeframe. 🧠 Key Highlights: Break of Structure (BoS) and Market Structure Shift (MSS) confirm bearish intent. Price recently delivered a strong displacement to the downside, breaking through the prior IDM low and forming a clean MSS. The price has rejected from the Daily Bearish Imbalance (BISI D) and Refined Breaker Block (RB.D) — acting as a key supply zone. Confluence of Liquidity and Imbalance: Internal liquidity has been swept from equal highs. Bearish rebalancing observed in the CISD + IPDA S.D. zone. Next probable draw on liquidity sits near the 3,203.47 and 3,189.82 PD arrays. Ultimate downside target marked around 2,993.69, aligned with a previous BMS + DOL zone. 🛠 Tools Applied: PD Arrays: BISI, RB, FVG, SIBI Liquidity Zones: IDM, DOL, IPDA S.D. Price Action: MSS, Displacement, and Retracement Concepts 📌 Bias: Bearish 📌 Narrative: Liquidity has been engineered above highs; current price action seeks sell-side liquidity and inefficiencies beneath recent lows.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDShort
by hrishabh_07
Nifty Analysis - Smart Money Concepts or LiquidityI would like to present my Nifty Analysis based on Liquidity or Smart Money Concepts. This Analysis is based on Multi-time frame (Weekly & Daily) Time Frame. here chart is used on Daily Time Frame. Current Scenario - (Weekly TF Analysis) ==Weekly Time Frame Analysis - The current move is retracing into a weekly POI zone which also has- -Daily Imbalance -HTF Supply Block -Smart Money Trap Zone (marked) Right now, HTF is still in broad bearish retracement structure. ==Daily TF Annalysis - -Price is consolidating in a range within a clearly defined HTF POI (High Probability Reversal Area) -Inside the range: -Multiple internal BOS & MSS -Clean liquidity pool build-up (marked in yellow) -Potential for buy-side liquidity sweep followed by sell-off into discount Price Projection & Bias ----- 1. Short-Term Bias (Next 3–5 Weeks): Downside after Extreme POI liquidity grab -Expectation is there will be a Fakeout above the liquidity pool (25,500–25,800), or in retail language say it is Stop Loss Hunt then sell-off. -Target: Volume Imbalance near 23,200–22,700. -This will be aligned with - Liquidity sweep , Mitigation of volume imbalance , Entry into Weekly Discount Zone. 2. Mid-Term Bias or say 2-3 months expectation (After Re-accumulation) -If price reacts with storng bullish order flow from 22500-22000 range then expect - -Reversal into bullish structure -Target - 26200 or 26400 -Supported by mean reversion + reaccumulating idea (For Entry Module) - Consider 15min to 1 hour Time frame setup for confirmation before taking shorts from above supply zone. - expect a long setup around 22200-22400 only if bullish BOS + FVG Filled and also consider HTF Liquidity sweep near weekly wick discount zone or say 50% mean reversion. Disclaimer -- (Views are only for Educational Purpose only. Always consult your financial Advisor before doing Any Investments). Your Views or Comments are welcomed.
NSE:NIFTYShort
by Hit_Analyst
11
NIFTY 50 - ICT & SMC Analysis (April 9, 2025)🧠 Big Picture Context (Daily Timeframe) 🔍 Structure: The daily structure is in a macro bearish trend, confirmed by a Change of Character (ChoCH) from a previous higher high. A market structure shift (MSS) occurred, indicating strong bearish intent. A major Order Block (OB) around 24,300 – 24,800 has acted as strong supply. Recent price action shows a rejection from 23,000+ levels, creating a new bearish leg. 🔄 Key Observations: A clean Fair Value Gap (FVG) from the recent bearish move lies between 22,900 – 23,100, which price may want to revisit. Price tapped into liquidity pools below previous lows (Sell-side liquidity swept). Strong reaction up suggests a potential short-term bullish retracement. 🔄 Medium-Term Outlook (4H Chart) 🔍 Structure: After the sharp bearish move, price made a strong reaction from the 21,800s, suggesting the presence of demand. A clean PDL (Previous Day Low) sweep followed by BOS (Break of Structure) confirms short-term bullish market structure. 🔄 Current Price Action: Price filled part of a green FVG (imbalance) and is now retracing from resistance. The 22,900–23,000 zone contains: A bearish OB FVG VI (Volume Imbalance) Previous Weekly High (PWH) → This confluence makes it a high-probability reversal zone. 📉 Execution Timeframe (1H Chart) 🔍 Structure: Price has now formed a BOS upwards after taking out liquidity near 21,800 (PDL). Rally filled lower imbalance (FVG), creating a strong displacement candle and BOS above PDH. Now consolidating under a supply zone with signs of weakness near 22,550 – 22,700. 🎯 Trade Idea: Sell on Retracement into Premium 📈 Bias: Bearish from premium supply zone. 🛠️ Trade Setup (1H + 4H Confluence): Type Level/Zone Entry 22,900 – 23,000 (Red FVG & OB) Stop Loss Above 23,100 (above OB & VI) Target 1 22,250 (PDH/imbalance fill) Target 2 21,800 (PDL sweep area) Target 3 21,600–21,500 (daily demand zone) 📊 Risk-Reward (Approx): Risk: ~150 pts (23,100 – 22,950 entry) Reward: ~400–1,400 pts depending on target RRR: Minimum 2.5:1 up to 9:1 💡 ICT/SMC Concepts Applied: Liquidity Sweep: Sell-side liquidity below PDL taken → large move up. Fair Value Gaps: Price filled FVG and now sits just below another premium FVG. Order Blocks: Bearish OB around 22,900–23,100 zone expected to act as supply. PDH/PDL Reactions: Market respected those areas. Market Structure Shift (MSS): Bearish momentum continues on higher TFs despite short-term rally. 🧭 What to Watch For: If price breaks and holds above 23,100, this setup becomes invalid – it signals deeper retracement or reversal. Watch volume or strong rejection candles in supply zone to enter with confirmation (ideal on 15M/5M for sniper entry). Any clean FVGs left behind as price retraces could be rebalanced before dropping. 📌 Final Thoughts: This is a classic SMC + ICT short setup after price retraced into premium zone following a strong move down. The confluence of OB, FVG, VI, and PDH makes this zone a high-probability turning point. Wait for confirmation and execute with proper risk management.
NSE:NIFTY
by Official_LUSER
NIFTY 50 - ICT & SMC Analysis (April 7, 2025) 📊 CHART ANALYSIS SUMMARY (from the 4 charts) From the charts you've given, I’ve identified a few key things: - NIFTY is in a bullish short-term market structure , but it’s tapping into premium prices in a possible higher timeframe redistribution zone. - There's a liquidity sweep and inducement pattern near the highs. - Some FVGs (Fair Value Gaps) remain unfilled. - Possible reversal sell setup from a 4H or daily bearish order block that aligns with premium pricing in a range. 🧠 Step-by-Step ICT/SMC Analysis 1. Market Structure & Bias - 1H to 4H Structure: The market was pushing higher, making HHs (higher highs) and HLs (higher lows). - However, the latest high was taken with a wick, showing signs of a **buy-side liquidity raid rather than strength. - After the raid, price left a bearish FVG (Fair Value Gap) — a classic ICT signature for a reversal. > 🔎 Interpretation:This is typical SMC inducement : retail traders get trapped buying a breakout, while smart money distributes into those buys and prepares to sell. 2. Key Liquidity Levels - Buy-side Liquidity (BSL): Taken at recent swing high (~NIFTY 22,520 zone) - Sell-side Liquidity (SSL): Resting below recent lows (~22,300 and then ~22,150) > 🧠 SMC logic: Liquidity was engineered and taken at the highs. Now, the market may seek the **sell-side liquidity** next. 3. Order Blocks & Imbalances - ✅ A clear Bearish Order Block formed near the 22,500–22,520 level on 1H/4H — this was the last up-candle before the sell-off (and a liquidity sweep). - ✅ There's a clean FVG (Fair Value Gap) just under this OB — price wicked back into it but failed to close above. > 🧠 ICT logic: Price fills the imbalance slightly, taps the OB, then rejects — suggesting smart money is selling from this zone. 4. Potential Trade Setup (Sell) 🎯 Trade Idea: Intraday / Swing Short | Component | Level / Description |--------------------|-------------------------------------------------| | Bias | Bearish (short-term retracement expected) | | Entry | ~22,500–22,520 (OB + FVG confluence zone) | | Stop Loss | Above 22,570 (above the liquidity sweep wick) | | TP1 | 22,300 (low of range, internal liquidity) | | TP2 | 22,150 (external liquidity sweep zone) | | TP3 (optional) | 22,000 (discount zone of full move) | | R:R | Approx. 1:2.5 to 1:3.5 depending on exit | 🧱 Confluence Checklist | ICT/SMC Element | Confirmed? | Notes |----------------------------|------------|-----------------------------------------------------------------------| | Break of Structure | ✅ | Lower high failed to break previous HH with momentum | Liquidity Sweep | ✅ | Buy-side taken at the top with a wick | FVG Presence | ✅ | 1H Fair Value Gap post sweep | Bearish Order Block | ✅ | Confirmed on 1H and 4H | Displacement | ✅ | Strong sell candle after sweep | Retracement to OB/FVG | ✅ | Price returns to OB to mitigate orders | Premium Pricing Zone | ✅ | Above 50% of the full range (using FIB anchoring) 🔄 Scenario Management - If price rejects OB and sells off, you’re in good hands — standard SMC setup. - If price closes above 22,570, the OB is invalidated → exit the short. - If the setup works, scale partial profits at TP1 and trail to TP2/TP3. 📉 It's not a long-term bearish call on NIFTY — it’s a mean-reversion swing targeting liquidity below.
NSE:NIFTY
by Official_LUSER