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XAUUSD – H1 in a Downward Channel | Prefer Selling at Channel...XAUUSD – H1 in a Downward Channel | Prefer Selling at Channel Top & Buying at Trendline + Fibonacci Market Structure (H1) Gold is currently sliding inside a well-defined downward channel after forming a top around the 4.22x–4.23x region. With this structure in place, I avoid taking trades in the middle of the channel. Instead, I focus only on the two extreme zones: Sell at the upper channel resistance Buy at the lower trendline + Fibonacci confluence 🎯 Trading Plan for Today 1️⃣ Sell Scenario – Short Position at Resistance 4,203 Sell: 4,203 Stop Loss: 4,225 (aggressive) 4,249 (safer for swing positions) Take Profit: 4,183 → 4,161 → 4,143 Why 4,203 Is a Strong Sell Zone It is the upper resistance of the H1 descending channel. Price previously faced strong selling pressure here (supply zone). If gold pulls back to retest 4,203, I prioritise short positions following the channel structure. The first target is the recent low near 4,183, and extended targets lie at 4,161–4,143, aligned with mid-channel demand. 2️⃣ Buy Scenario – Long Position at Channel Bottom (Trendline + Fibonacci) Buy: 4,142 Stop Loss: 4,119 (aggressive) 4,098 (safer option) Take Profit: 4,170 → 4,198 → 4,205 Why 4,142 Is a High-Quality Buy Zone Confluence of the major ascending trendline, Fibonacci support, And a previous demand area. If gold falls into this zone and prints strong bullish reactions (pin bars, long wicks, rising volume), I consider it a valid counter-trend buy setup, aiming for the mid-channel and the 4.20x resistance. 📌 1️⃣ Fundamental Context The USD is attempting a short-term rebound from its lowest levels since late October, creating temporary pressure on gold. However, this recovery is limited because the market expects the Fed to shift toward a more dovish stance: Recent macro data shows the US economy is cooling, with slowing growth. Labour market conditions appear softer in November. As a result, the probability of a 25bps rate cut at next week’s FOMC meeting has increased. This keeps the medium-term outlook for gold positive, even though the current phase on H1 is still a technical correction. Summary: Short-term downside within the H1 channel, But medium-term bias for gold remains supported by rate-cut expectations. 📌 2️⃣ Technical Outlook & Market Psychology The H1 descending channel indicates a distribution/correction phase following a strong upward move. Each touch of the channel top triggers selling — showing sellers remain active at higher prices. The lower boundary + long-term trendline near 4.14x acts as an attractive area for medium-term buyers waiting for discounted entries. Current sentiment: Short-term traders: prefer selling at resistance and buying at support within the channel. Medium-term traders: patiently wait for deeper zones near 4.14x, avoiding FOMO entries around 4.20x. 📌 3️⃣ Execution Plan I avoid trading in the middle of the channel. Only act at the two extremes: Sell setup: 4,203 Buy setup: 4,142 Risk per trade is limited to 1–2% of the account. Choose SL depending on timeframe (aggressive vs. conservative). If price breaks the channel decisively Above 4,249 (H1 close) or Below 4,098, → I cancel all current setups and reassess the structure.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by LA_Trader_Fx
XAUUSD – LANA | Sell 4190–4194 and Buy 4100–4102 | 04/12 ...XAUUSD – LANA | Sell 4190–4194 and Buy 4100–4102 | 04/12 1. Fundamental Analysis The current market sentiment is dominated by concerns about a global economic slowdown. In a recession cycle, bond yields in the US and Europe tend to fall faster than in Japan, as these regions still have more room for rate cuts. This results in: A narrowing yield spread, causing USD/JPY carry trades to unwind. Increased risk-off sentiment, pushing money back into JPY and safe-haven assets like gold. If risk aversion strengthens further, USD/JPY may experience sharp declines rather than a slow drop. Such volatility in the currency market often triggers strong swings in gold as well, providing better liquidity zones to trade — instead of chasing price at unfavourable levels. 2. Technical Analysis On the H1 chart, gold is currently being squeezed between two major trendlines: Upper descending trendline: drawn from the 4,245–4,260 highs, indicating sellers are active whenever price touches this line. Lower ascending trendline: extending from the previous month’s low, acting as support for the medium-term uptrend. Key zones on the chart: Timing zone 4190–4194: Near the descending trendline + previous volume cluster. This is Lana’s preferred short-term Sell zone. Buy zone at POC – VAL (Volume Profile): A price area where strong trading activity occurred previously — potential buying interest if price corrects deeper. Buy Liquidity Zone 4100–4102: Located just above the major ascending trendline. An attractive liquidity zone for trend-continuation buys if the market flushes downward. Summary: Price may first retrace to 4190–4194 and weaken from there. If price drops to 4100–4102 and holds the ascending trendline, this becomes a solid area to consider buying again. 3. Key Price Levels to Watch Resistance / Sell zone: 4190 – 4194 Invalidation for Sell (wide SL zone): 4219 – 4231 Support / Buy zone: 4100 – 4102 SL options for Buy setup: 4081 – 4063 – 4045 (depending on individual risk appetite) 4. Trade Scenarios ⭐ Short-Term Sell Setup Sell entry: 4190 – 4194 SL: 4219 – 4231 TP: 4181 – 4155 ⭐ Deep Buy Setup (Trend-Following) Buy entry: 4100 – 4102 SL: 4081 – 4063 – 4045
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Lana_M2
Gold 1H – 4262 Sweep Drop or 4188 Hold the Floor?🟡 XAUUSD – Intraday Smart Money Plan | by Ryan_TitanTrader (03/12) 📈 Market Context Gold is trading into policy-driven liquidity engineering as former White House adviser Kevin Hassett gains renewed spotlight after public commentary from former U.S. President Donald Trump referencing potential Federal Reserve leadership influence. Expect sharp liquidity sweeps both sides before institutions commit. Technically, H1 price coils between premium and discount extremes, and the next leg unlocks only after MSS (CHoCH) + BOS + displacement validation. 🔎 Technical Framework – Smart Money Structure (1H) Current phase = liquidity-rich compression at H1 extremes Liquidity zones & key triggers • 🔴 SELL GOLD 4265 – 4267 | SL 4275 Institutional idea: sweep above premium → bearish MSS + valid BOS down → FVG/OB retest → delivery into discount. • 🟢 BUY GOLD 4186 – 4184 | SL 4176 Institutional idea: sweep below discount → bullish MSS + BOS up → FVG/OB retest → demand expansion. • 🟡 Equilibrium / Chop: no trading unless structure proves intent. Expected sequence = Sweep → MSS/CHoCH → BOS → Displacement → Retest → Expansion 🎯 Execution Rules (unchanged methodology, matching your zones) 🔴 SELL GOLD 4265 – 4267 | SL 4275 Rules: ✔ Price taps 4266 zone → bearish MSS/CHoCH (M5–M15) ✔ Confirm clean bearish BOS down with displacement ✔ Enter on FVG fill or OB retest after displacement Targets: 1. 4245 – 4240 2. 4225 – 4215 3. 4186 – 4184 🟢 BUY GOLD 4186 – 4184 | SL 4176 Rules: ✔ Price sweeps 4185 → bullish MSS/CHoCH + BOS up ✔ Confirm displacement away from discount ✔ Enter on wick rejection + FVG fill or OB retest confirmation Targets: 1. 4215 2. 4240 3. 4265+ ⚠️ Risk Notes • Both sweeps = traps until BOS + displacement proves intent. • No averaging inside compression. • SL = structure invalidation only. • Reduce lot size during volatility spikes from headline risk. 📍 Summary Two institutional routes today: • 4266 sweep → bearish MSS/BOS → retest → delivery into 4185 or • 4185 sweep → bullish MSS/BOS → retest → expansion into new 4266+ Trade the structure. Let price narrate intent. Patience = edge. 📌 Follow @Ryan_TitanTrader for daily Smart Money breakdowns.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Ryan_TitanTrader
XAUUSD – H1 Sideways, Priority is Trading at Liquidity Zones...XAUUSD – H1 Sideways, Priority is Trading at Liquidity Zones Gold is moving sideways on the H1 timeframe, with price fluctuating around the equilibrium zone and not choosing a clear direction yet. In this condition, I avoid chasing trades in the middle of the range — instead, I only trade at the liquidity edges, where volume is higher and order-flow signals are clearer. 🎯 BUY Scenario – “Liquidity Buy” at the Lower Range Buy: 4.191 – 4.194 SL: 4.187 TP: 4.212 – 4.235 – 4.260 – 4.290 The 4.191–4.194 zone is a Liquidity Buy area: It aligns with the most recent sweep low. It sits near a thick volume cluster showing strong absorption of sell orders earlier. If price dips into this zone, I prefer buying back toward the upper boundary of the range, taking partial profits from 4.212 up to 4.26x. This setup follows the idea of catching the defensive buy flow that is protecting the bottom of the accumulation zone. 🔁 SELL Scenario – Sell POC at Upper Range 4.237–4.240 Sell: 4.237 – 4.240 SL: 4.245 TP: 4.220 – 4.202 – 4.180 – 4.155 The 4.237–4.240 zone is a Sell POC / supply region: Heavy volume sitting at the top. Confluence with the current range high. Price has previously rejected several times from this region. If price returns to this zone, I prefer selling down toward the mid and lower range. SL is kept tight above 4.245 to avoid being caught by a genuine breakout. 1️⃣ Broader Context – Market Shock ≠ Market Collapse 2013 – Abenomics: BOJ’s extreme easing caused volatility, but no systemic crash. 2022–2023: Fed hiked aggressively; risk assets corrected but eventually recovered. Lesson: Modern financial markets are highly resilient to policy shocks. For gold, this means: Current pullbacks are not signs of a trend collapse — they are position re-balancing phases. Our task is to read price levels & liquidity instead of reacting emotionally to short-term news. 2️⃣ Technical View from H1 Price is ranging between ~4.19x and ~4.24x. Volume Profile shows most volume at the centre; liquidity is thin at both edges — perfect zones for stop hunts and reversals. A deeper Buy Zone POC lies around 4.16x. If price breaks below 4.155 and closes beneath it, the short-term bullish structure becomes threatened. With no clean breakout yet, I stick to a mean-reversion strategy: Buy at the liquidity bottom Sell at the supply top Until the sideways structure breaks 3️⃣ Today’s Trading Plan Only trade around the two edges: ✔ Buy Setup Buy: 4.191–4.194 SL: 4.187 TP: 4.212 – 4.235 – 4.260 – 4.290 ✔ Sell Setup Sell: 4.237–4.240 SL: 4.245 TP: 4.220 – 4.202 – 4.180 – 4.155 No entries in the middle of the range to avoid getting “bitten from both sides.” Keep risk at 1–2% per trade, do not widen SL. If price breaks strongly beyond either boundary and stabilizes, I stop the range-trading strategy and wait for a new structure. If you find this analysis useful, feel free to follow the TradingView account and share whether today you prefer BUY at the bottom or SELL at the POC zone.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by LA_Trader_Fx
2
Gold H1 – Will 4278–4280 Trigger a Drop Into 4170 Today?🟡 XAUUSD – Intraday Smart Money Plan | by Ryan_TitanTrader (01/12) 📈 Market Context Gold continues its impressive rally as markets price in a potential rate cut by the Federal Reserve (Fed) in December. Spot gold recently surged past $4,230/oz — hitting a multi-week high — as the US Dollar Index (DXY) weakened. The backdrop is increasingly dovish: fading USD strength, soft U.S. macro data, and dovish comments from Fed officials have fueled speculative buying in gold. Technically, gold remains elevated, hovering inside a rising channel — similar to what’s shown on your chart. Price compression following strong displacement suggests a consolidation before the next institutional move. 🔎 Technical Framework – Smart Money Structure (H1) Current state = Accumulation / Distribution within rising channel Liquidity zones & key triggers • Premium liquidity zone (sell-opportunity): ~ 4278–4280 (near upper channel resistance) — aligns with your SELL zone. • Discount liquidity zone (buy-origin / re-entry zone): ~ 4172–4170 (near lower channel support / trendline) — aligns with your BUY zone. • Equilibrium / chop zone: mid-channel / recent consolidation zone — avoid trading blindly here unless structure breaks. Expected Smart Money sequence Sweep → CHoCH/MSS → BOS → Displacement → Retest (FVG/OB) → Expansion Given the macro tailwinds (weak USD, rate-cut odds), gold remains primed for a directional move once structure confirms. 🎯 Trade Plans for Today 🔴 SELL GOLD 4278 – 4280 | SL 4288 • Thesis: A liquidity sweep at channel top / premium zone followed by engineered bearish displacement — capturing liquidity before a reversal. • Entry rules (must wait for confirmation): • Price touches 4280 zone • Bearish CHoCH / MSS + BOS down on M5–M15 • Entry ideally on FVG fill or after order-block retest post-BOS • Targets: 1. 4245 – 4240 area (first reaction) 2. 4225 – 4215 (mid-channel retest) 3. 4175 – 4172 (lower channel + buy zone) 🟢 BUY GOLD 4172 – 4170 | SL 4162 • Thesis: Discount-origin tap near lower channel support / trendline — smart money likely to accumulate for next leg up, especially amid dovish Fed sentiment. • Entry rules (must wait for confirmation): • Price dips into 4170 zone • Bullish CHoCH / MSS + BOS up on M5–M15 • Strong bullish wick + FVG fill or OB retest confirmation • Targets: 1. 4225 – 4230 (first reaction / mid-channel) 2. 4255 – 4265 (upper mid-channel) 3. 4278 – 4280+ (premium liquidity retest) ⚠️ Risk Management & Notes • Avoid trading inside the mid-channel chop zone without structural confirmation — no “blind” entries. • Do not treat sweeps (top or bottom) as trend entries — these are often traps. • Use tight SL (structure invalidation), avoid averaging in consolidation. • Given potential volatility from macro headlines or a USD bounce, consider reducing lot size. Summary Gold is currently riding macro tailwinds — weak USD + Fed rate-cut odds — but from a technical perspective, it’s compressed inside a rising channel. The day’s price action may be a classic Smart Money liquidity hunt: either a sweep at 4278–4280 leading to a sharp drop toward 4170, or a retracement to 4170 that sets up a fresh bull leg. Only trade after structural confirmation (CHoCH / BOS + retest) — avoid “trend-hop” entries. 📍 Follow @Ryan_TitanTrader for daily Smart Money updates.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Ryan_TitanTrader
XAUUSD – LANA LOOKS FOR WAVE 5 BUY, SKIPS ALL SELL SETUPS ON ...XAUUSD – LANA LOOKS FOR WAVE 5 BUY, SKIPS ALL SELL SETUPS ON 03/12 1. Quick Summary Main timeframe: H2 – H4 Data used: TPO, Footprint, Elliott Wave, futures/option flow Core idea: Today Lana prioritises BUY setups only, aligned with Wave 5. Key zone: Buy around 4190–4194, SL 4185, TP targeting the Wave 5 peak near 4315. 2. Futures & Market Profile Data 1. US Session TPO – “Thin” Structure Yesterday’s TPO formed a Thin Profile, which commonly appears after a shakeout in an overall uptrend. The Value Area was accepted at the lower region, but the market did not spend much time there. Upper auction zones remain unfinished → increasing the probability that price will return to retest higher levels. 2. Footprint Chart – Strong Trap Sell with Negative Delta On the H1 candle, the Footprint chart recorded a Trap Sell with Delta around –1113 contracts. Sellers attempted a push down but were absorbed completely, leaving many short positions trapped at the candle’s low. Lana interprets this as a sign that smart money is accumulating — shaking out weak buyers while absorbing fear-based sell orders. 3. Elliott Wave Outlook & Key Price Areas The raw Elliott Wave count is still following the scenario Lana shared earlier this week: Monday: Uptrend confirmed. Tuesday: Wave 4 correction, offering a small sell opportunity. Wednesday (today): Expectation of Wave 5 upward, so Lana focuses on buying. The 4190–4194 zone aligns with the recent swing low and a strong liquidity/accumulation area. Ideal Take-Profit Levels: Minimum: Current Wave 5 high If the wave extends cleanly: Around 4315 Higher liquidity clusters at 4250–4260 and 4365–4370, based on H4/H2 chart structures 4. Trading Plan ⭐ Primary Scenario – ONLY BUY Today Buy: 4190 – 4194 Stop Loss: 4185 Target: Current Wave 5 top Extended target: Around 4315 (traders may divide TP depending on personal strategy) Lana does not recommend selling against the trend today. This is Lana’s personal market view based on TPO, Footprint, and the Elliott Wave model. 👉 Follow Lana on TradingView to receive the earliest updates.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Lana_M2
Gold 1H – Can 4265 Breakout or Trap Into 4185?🟡 XAUUSD – Intraday Smart Money Plan | by Ryan_TitanTrader (02/12) 📈 Market Context Gold continues its impressive rally as markets price in a potential rate cut by the Federal Reserve in December. Spot gold recently surged — reflecting multi-week highs — as the US Dollar Index (DXY) weakened. The backdrop is increasingly dovish: fading USD strength and rate-cut odds have kept gold bid. From a technical perspective, price sits compressed at the channel top, signaling liquidity plays before the next institutional leg. Macro tone from Powell’s opening remarks on ForexFactory adds volatility fuel. 🔎 Technical Framework – Smart Money Structure (H1) Current state = Accumulation / Distribution within rising channel Liquidity zones & key triggers • Premium liquidity zone (sell-opportunity): ~4265–4267 (upper-edge pool of liquidity) • Discount liquidity zone (buy-origin / re-entry zone): ~4186–4184 (demand liquidity near prior displacement base) • Equilibrium / chop zone: mid-channel compression → no blind trading unless structure validates direction Expected Smart Money sequence Sweep → CHoCH/MSS → BOS → Displacement → FVG/OB Retest → Expansion Gold remains primed for a directional move only after structure confirms intent. 🎯 Trade Plans for Today 🔴 SELL GOLD 4265 – 4267 | SL 4275 • Thesis: Liquidity sweep above equal highs at premium edge, followed by engineered bearish BOS confirming institutional selling intent. • Entry rules (must wait for confirmation): ✔ Price pokes 4266 zone → bearish CHoCH/MSS + BOS down (M5–M15) ✔ Entry on FVG fill or OB retest after BOS validation • Targets: 1. 4245 – 4240 (first reaction) 2. 4225 – 4215 (channel EQ retest) 3. 4186 – 4184 (full delivery into discount) 🟢 BUY GOLD 4186 – 4184 | SL 4176 • Thesis: Discount liquidity tap at institutional base, buy absorption after sweep + bullish BOS signaling new intraday demand. • Entry rules (must wait for confirmation): ✔ Price sweeps 4185 → bullish CHoCH/MSS + BOS up (M5–M15) ✔ Entry on rejection wick + FVG fill or OB retest confirmation • Targets: 4. 4215 5. 4240 6. 4265+ ⚠️ Risk Management & Notes • Avoid trading inside mid-range without CHoCH/BOS validation — sweeps are traps until proven by MSS + BOS. • Use SL for structure invalidation only — no averaging in compression. • Reduce lot size during Powell’s delivery window; macro impulses can run both sides of liquidity fast. 📍 Summary Gold is coiling at highs for liquidity. Either Powell triggers a 4266 sweep → bearish BOS → delivery, or price hunts 4185 discount → bullish BOS → continuation. Trade the structure, not the narrative — wait for CHoCH & BOS + retest to unlock expansion. 📌 Follow @Ryan_TitanTrader for daily Smart Money updates.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Ryan_TitanTrader
XAUUSD Elliott H1:waiting for ABC correction in a strong uptrendXAUUSD – Elliott H1: waiting for ABC correction in a strong uptrend Brian – Short sell correction, prioritize Buy according to the major trend 1. Market snapshot On H1, gold has just broken the upward Dow structure and completed 5 small waves – a common signal before an ABC correction. The larger trend is still a very strong uptrend: gold is on track for its best year since 1979, up more than 60% in 2025, with the YTD performance gap between XAU and BTC continuing to widen. Therefore: selling is only a short-term strategy, while the priority position for next week remains to buy on deep corrections. 2. Technical structure – Elliott H1 H1: 5 upward waves have completed → the base scenario is for the price to create a wave A down – B retrace – C down before continuing the trend. The price area above 4,227–4,238 is a zone with selling liquidity + retesting the structure after breaking the H1 peak. The 4,183–4,173 area (Fibo 0.618 of the most recent increase) is the main demand zone, reasonable to watch for buying in line with the trend with a good R:R. 3. Trading plan for next week Scenario 1 – Short sell ABC correction (counter-trend) Idea: take advantage of the A/B correction wave after 5 upward waves on H1. Sell watch area: 4,227–4,238 SL: 4,246 Reference targets: TP1: area 4,200–4,195 TP2: towards the Fibo/Buy zone 4,183–4,173 Note: this is a counter-trend order, only suitable for accounts accepting intraday risk, volume should be smaller than buy orders. Scenario 2 – Buy according to the major trend at Fibo 0.618 (priority) Idea: wait for the ABC correction to complete, buy at the "discount" price area according to Elliott and Fibo. Buy watch area: 4,183–4,173 (Fibo 0.618 + technical support area). SL: 4,166 Target direction: Initially: return to the 4,220–4,230 area Extended: depending on developments, it may aim for new highs in the context of a record growth year. 4. Fundamental context – Why prioritize Buy on deep corrections? Gold increased +6% in November, marking the 4th consecutive month of gains. Previously it was +3.7% in October and +11.9% in September – a very rare series of increases, reinforcing the long-term bull market story. When an asset has risen strongly but still maintains momentum for many consecutive months, ABC-type corrections on H1 are often just opportunities for new money to participate, rather than trend reversals.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by BrianLionCapital
XAUUSD – Healthy Correction, Favour Short-term Sells & Buy at...✨ XAUUSD – Healthy Correction, Favour Short-term Sells & Buy at POC Gold has just tapped a new high around 4,264 — the highest level in six weeks — and is now entering a technical correction phase. Liquidity on the sell side has been tested, but the medium-term uptrend remains intact, so my plan is to trade both directions: Sell short-term when price retraces into supply Buy again at the POC zone, where buying interest is likely to return 🎯 Scenario 1 – SELL at the POC Zone 4.236–4.238 Sell: 4.236 – 4.238 SL: 4.244 TP: 4.220 – 4.202 – 4.180 – 4.145 On the H1 chart, 4.236–4.238 is the POC area + the volume distribution top, aligning with the upper boundary of the small consolidation after the steep rally. If price retests this region, I prioritise a scalping sell along the ongoing correction, targeting: 4.220 – 4.202: short-term support 4.180 – 4.145: deeper support, confluence with the major ascending trendline This setup goes against the medium-term uptrend, so I keep position size small and use a firm SL at 4.244. ⭐ Scenario 2 – BUY at the POC Buy Zone 4.156–4.158 Buy: 4.156 – 4.158 SL: 4.150 TP: 4.175 – 4.190 – 4.225 – 4.250 The 4.156–4.158 zone is the POC Buy area, with: Confluence of the ascending trendline The accumulation zone before price broke out toward 4.26x If gold pulls back deeply and forms a strong reaction (pin bar, long wick, rising buy volume), I consider this a good DCA opportunity following the medium-term uptrend, targeting 4.19x – 4.225, and higher toward 4.25x. 1. Fundamental Context Gold and silver continue to benefit from expectations of upcoming Fed rate cuts, a weakening USD, and signs of a slowing US economy. Gold has gained +6% in November, marking the 4th consecutive positive month, and is up over 60% YTD — on track for its strongest annual performance in 46 years. Economic and geopolitical uncertainty continues to push flows into safe-haven assets, with silver additionally supported by industrial demand — indirectly strengthening sentiment toward precious metals. Key events on 02/12: 08:00: Fed Chair Jerome Powell speaks 22:00: Fed Governor Bowman testifies before the House Financial Services Committee Both events may trigger strong intraday volatility, especially if the Fed’s tone deviates from the market’s “dovish expectations”. 2. Technical & Market Sentiment Outlook After the vertical rally to 4.26x, gold is sliding inside a descending channel on H1, reflecting short-term profit-taking pressure. Sell POC 4.236–4.238 is where sellers are defending aggressively — every retest brings visible supply. Buy Zone POC 4.156–4.158 is where buyers previously absorbed large sell orders before pushing price upward; this zone will likely be defended to protect the medium-term uptrend. Current sentiment: Short-term: Sellers have the edge due to profit-taking after a new high Medium-term: Capital still prefers gold, so I avoid turning fully bearish unless 4.145 breaks decisively 3. Action Plan Short-term Sell if price retests 4.236–4.238 SL: 4.244 TP: 4.220 – 4.202 – 4.180 – 4.145 Buy again at 4.156–4.158 if a strong reaction appears SL: 4.150 TP: 4.175 – 4.190 – 4.225 – 4.250 Keep risk per scenario at 1–2% of your account Never widen the SL when the market goes against your position During Powell/Bowman speeches, reduce lot size or stay out to avoid getting hit by sudden spikes
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by LA_Trader_Fx
XAUUSD – LANA’S CORRECTION OUTLOOK FOR 02/12✨ XAUUSD – LANA’S CORRECTION OUTLOOK FOR 02/12 1. Quick Update Today, Lana views gold as being in a short-term corrective phase, mainly forming Wave 4 in Elliott Wave, after a strong upward move earlier. The goal is to take advantage of this technical pullback to: Sell short toward lower price zones Then buy again at a strong support area in line with the main trend 2. Technical Analysis The 4250–4260 Liquidity Zone on the weekly timeframe is a very strong liquidity region based on Market Profile. Lana considers this an area prone to a “fake break” — price may push up to grab liquidity before pulling back. Based on Session data, Lana prioritises the scenario where: Price gets rejected around that upper liquidity region Then forms a downward move toward 418x, completing the Wave 4 correction Once Wave 4 is complete, the medium-term uptrend can still continue. 3. Key Price Zones Liquidity / Strong Resistance: 4250 – 4260 Short-term Sell Zone: 4236 – 4241 Buy Zone (Trend-follow Buy): 4180 – 4175 4. Trading Scenarios ⭐ Scenario 1 – Sell with the correction Sell: 4236 – 4241 SL: Above 4245 Target: 418x (can take partial profits around 4180) ⭐ Scenario 2 – Buy with the trend after correction Buy: 4180 – 4175 SL: 4170 TP: Minimum 20 dollars (you may take profit gradually at nearby resistance levels) Lana’s Priority Approach Avoid buying directly at the Liquidity Zone 4250–4260 Be patient and wait for: ✔ Sell at 4236–4241 ✔ Buy at 4180–4175 following the main trend This is Lana’s personal view for the correction phase on 02/12. Please evaluate carefully and manage your risk before entering any trade. 💛
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Lana_M2
XAUUSD – Early-week continuation buys, targeting Fibonacci ...✨ XAUUSD – Early-week continuation buys, targeting Fibonacci extension zones Gold enters the new week under a very special market backdrop: +6.0% in November, marking the 4th consecutive bullish month. This follows +3.7% in October and +11.9% in September. Year-to-date, gold is up about 60.7%, on track to record its strongest yearly gain in nearly five decades. With a market that is literally making history, I am not trying to pick the top. I continue to prioritise trend-following buys, and only consider quick counter-trend sells at extended Fibonacci levels. 🎯 Scenario 1 – BUY THE DIP in line with the bullish trend Buy: 4,194 – 4,195 SL: 4,185 TP: 4,210 – 4,235 – 4,270 – 4,295 The 4,194–4,195 zone on H1 is the VAL / lower boundary of the volume distribution after a strong impulsive move. It aligns with short-term structural support. If price pulls back cleanly into this area and forms a solid rejection candle, I prefer adding BUY positions with the prevailing trend. Take-profit structure: 4,210 – 4,235: Near-term resistance zone, also around the 1.618 Fibonacci extension. 4,270 – 4,295: Major extension zone 2.618 Fibo, where selling pressure and short-term reversals may become stronger. 🔁 Scenario 2 – Short-term SELL at Fibo 2.618 extension Sell: 4,285 – 4,287 SL: 4,295 TP: 4,262 – 4,240 – 4,210 This is a counter-trend setup, suitable only for small-lot scalping trades. If price is pushed into the 4,285–4,287 region (near the 2.618 Fibo extension) but fails to sustain momentum—leaving long wicks or clear bearish reversal signals—I will consider SELLing back toward 4.26x – 4.24x, and deeper to 4.210. 1. Technical View from the Charts The trend on H1/H4 remains strongly bullish, with higher highs and higher lows, and price respecting the upward channel. The latest impulse has already extended above the 1.618 Fibo, now targeting the 2.618 extension around 4.28x–4.29x. Below, VAL around 4.19x is the first support; deeper lies sell-side liquidity near 4.16x, where many buy-side stops are clustered (only relevant for deeper intraday corrections). Given this structure, every pullback into support is treated as a trend-continuation opportunity, not a reversal signal. 2. Market Sentiment & Action Plan After months of strong gains, the market is showing clear FOMO behaviour. This is why I avoid buying directly at resistance and instead wait for price to return to accepted value zones (VAL/POC) for better risk-to-reward entries. The SELL setup is only a secondary scenario, triggered when price reaches a high Fibo extension and fails—usually leading to heavy profit-taking from earlier buyers. ✅ My Trading Plan Primary Setup BUY 4,194–4,195 SL 4,185 TP 4,210 – 4,235 – 4,270 – 4,295 Secondary Setup SELL 4,285–4,287 (only with a clean bearish reversal signal) SL 4,295 TP 4,262 – 4,240 – 4,210 Risk per scenario remains capped at 1–2% of the account. No widening of stop-losses, and I stay out if market structure breaks.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by LA_Trader_Fx
XAUUSD – LANA FOCUSES ON BUYING WITH THE SWING TREND AT THE...✨ XAUUSD – LANA FOCUSES ON BUYING WITH THE SWING TREND AT THE START OF THE WEEK Fundamental Analysis The Fed has just announced that it will end its QT (Quantitative Tightening) programme starting from 1st December, along with setting the federal funds target rate at 3.75–4%. When QT stops, the balance-sheet reduction slows down, meaning liquidity is no longer being aggressively withdrawn from the market. This generally supports risk assets — and gold as well. Mechanism recap: QE: Expands the Fed’s balance sheet, injecting liquidity into the market. QT: Shrinks the balance sheet, pulling liquidity out. With QT paused, the market expects the Fed to take a softer stance on monetary policy, which strengthens the medium-term bullish outlook for gold. Given this environment, Lana expects gold to retain upside potential early in the week, though price may show volatility near key liquidity zones. Technical Analysis On the H4 timeframe, price structure is following a clear bullish Elliott Wave sequence (1)–(2)–(3)–(4)–(5). The current upward wave has not shown any major reversal signal yet. The Swing Zone at 4190–4195 is the nearest important low and serves as the primary short-term support. This is Lana’s preferred zone for swing-trend buying. Above price, two notable Liquidity Zones are forming: 4250–4260: Near liquidity zone where fake breaks or temporary pullbacks may appear. 4365–4370: Higher liquidity zone aligned with previous highs — likely an area for significant profit-taking if the bullish wave continues. Lana’s main expectation: gold may pull back slightly into the 4190–4195 swing zone, then extend the bullish wave to re-test the liquidity regions above. However, since liquidity zones often create stop-hunts and fake breakouts, Lana does not recommend buying directly at these resistance levels. Key Price Levels Main Support (Swing Buy Zone): 4190 – 4195 Resistance / Liquidity Zones: 4250 – 4260 4365 – 4370 Trade Setup Buy: 4190 – 4195 Stop Loss: 4185 Take Profit: 4250 – 4260 – 4365 – 4370
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Lana_M2
Gold 4H – Can XAUUSD reject 4245 before diving into 4140?📈 Market Context Gold rallied as the U.S. dollar closed softer on repriced Fed rate-cut expectations, with market headline flow confirming USD finishes lower and gold rallies on renewed cuts timing debates — a setup that encourages external liquidity raiding before weekly direction is revealed. Forex Factory 4H conditions are classic for liquidity engineering: price trades near balanced mid-range flows, institutions exploit USD weakness into weekly open, and both buyer/seller pools are vulnerable to strategic sweeping before expansion. Expect volatility spikes around U.S. session opens and PMI headline catalysts. 🔎 Technical Analysis (4H / SMC View) 🟢 Buy Zone: 4140–4138 SL: 4130 TP targets: 4175 → 4200 → 4220 → 4250 → 4280+ Rationale: • Discount zone beneath 4H liquidity shelf • Demand mitigation + accumulation narrative after sweep 🔴 Sell Zone: 4245–4247 SL: 4255 TP targets: 4220 → 4200 → 4175 → 4150 → 4140 Rationale: • Premium supply above equal-high liquidity • 4H imbalance magnet below waiting to be filled ⚠️ Risk Management Notes • Wait for M15 ChoCH / BOS confirmation before entries — avoid blind positioning. • Expect wider spreads and wick manipulation on USD headline releases. • Avoid trading 10–20 minutes before high-impact USD news (PMI, Fed speakers). • Scale partials at each TP level, let runners work only after confirmation is printed. Summary Gold remains in 4H rangebound engineering territory where Smart Money is likely to sweep premium above 4245, deliver a correction to 4140, then seek a validated bullish reaction from discount demand on confirmed USD volatility. Patience and confirmation first. Liquidity always wins. 🚀 Follow @Ryan_TitanTrader for more weekly SMC setups
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Ryan_TitanTrader
XAUUSD – H4 Fibonacci Supports the Bullish Trend, Prefer ...XAUUSD – H4 Fibonacci Supports the Bullish Trend, Prefer Buying at the POC for the Coming Week Gold closed Friday near 4,215, following a strong rally after the CME system glitch. On the H4 timeframe, the bullish structure is now clearly forming and remains relatively stable. Price has just broken out of a multi-day consolidation zone and is moving into the Fibonacci extension levels. With the current context, I continue to prioritise medium-term buy setups on pullbacks to the POC, rather than chasing price at new highs. 🎯 Primary Trading Plan – BUY THE DIP Using Fibonacci & POC Buy Entry: around 4,187 Stop Loss: 4,175 Target Levels: 4,225 – 4,240 – 4,290 – 4,300 These profit-taking zones are derived from the H4 Fibonacci extensions, with the 1.618–2.618 levels being areas where strong profit-taking often appears in the market. For every position, I maintain risk at only 1–2% of the account — staying in the game matters more than trying to catch every top or bottom of a wave. Key Level: 4,160 is the major support and the “life line” of the H4 uptrend. If price breaks below and closes under 4,160 on H4, the current bullish structure is invalidated. In that case, I will pause the BUY scenario and rebuild a new plan — possibly considering a deeper SELL setup in the next analysis. 1. Fundamental Context Gold’s strong recovery momentum recently slowed down after failing to stay above the 4,160 region. However, the previous rally took place while the USD was weakening again, despite US bond yields attempting to recover across the curve. On the higher timeframes, gold is on track for its fourth consecutive bullish month, following the major breakout in October that once again drew attention to the 4,400 region. Prolonged geopolitical tensions combined with expectations of further Fed rate cuts give buyers enough reason to maintain mid-term positions, even if short-term volatility increases. Overall, the fundamentals remain supportive of the uptrend — unless there is a major shift in interest-rate expectations or systemic risk. 2. H4 Technical Analysis – Fibonacci Perspective The previous consolidation zone around 4,160–4,185 was broken to the upside with a series of strong bullish candles, confirming a higher-high, higher-low structure on H4. The POC (Point of Control) has shifted upward to 4,187, signalling heavy trading activity before the breakout — a suitable area for waiting on a retest to buy again. Fibonacci extensions from the latest bullish swing highlight important resistance clusters ahead: 1.618: the 4.24x zone — first profit-taking target, likely to see volatility. 2.618: the 4.35x–4.36x region — an extended target if the bullish trend continues strongly. With this structure, any pullback to 4,187 while holding above 4,160 is, for me, a medium-term BUY opportunity, not a reversal signal. 3. Market Sentiment & Action Plan After a strong rally, the market is experiencing FOMO buying at elevated levels. This phase often brings sudden pullbacks to shake out late buyers. I avoid chasing the price during this stage. Instead, I wait for price to revisit the POC at 4,187, where volume previously accumulated, to secure a better risk-to-reward and a tighter SL. If buyers truly dominate, they will protect the 4,160–4,187 region. If not, stepping aside after structure breaks is safer than forcing a bias. Plan for Next Week Priority: Buy around 4,187 SL: 4,175 TP: 4,225 – 4,240 – 4,290 – 4,300 If price breaks strongly below 4,160 and closes under it on H4 → Cancel all BUY plans and wait for a new structure before considering any deep correction SELL setup. Do not chase buys near high Fibonacci extension levels unless there is a clear intraday setup with a well-defined SL. If you find this perspective useful for your gold trading plan next week, follow the TradingView account and share which levels you are watching for entries. I always read the feedback to improve future analyses.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by LA_Trader_Fx
XAUUSD – LANA TRACKS MID-TERM WAVE 5 TOWARDS THE ATH ZONE AT ...XAUUSD – LANA TRACKS MID-TERM WAVE 5 TOWARDS THE ATH ZONE AT 4360 1. Fundamental Analysis On the geopolitical front, President Putin has once again reiterated the conditions for a ceasefire between Russia and Ukraine. While the possibility of a peace agreement remains uncertain, his firm stance suggests the conflict is unlikely to end soon. This keeps gold supported as a mid-term safe-haven asset. On the US side, Donald Trump continues to emphasise that the stock market will keep making new all-time highs, and even mentioned the potential removal of most income taxes, replacing them with tariff-based revenue. These comments fuel “risk-on” sentiment for equities and the USD, creating short-term fluctuations for gold. Overall, Lana expects gold to maintain a mid-term bullish bias over the next 1–2 weeks, though short-term volatility is likely as the market constantly re-prices geopolitical risks and US policy expectations. 2. Technical Analysis On the D1 timeframe, gold is forming a mid-term Elliott Wave 5 structure. Wave (4) has completed at a key support region, accompanied by a bullish market structure shift (MSS), signalling the start of Wave (5). Using the Fibonacci extension tool, the theoretical target for Wave (5) lies around the 2.618 extension at 4360 — a strong psychological level and close to the potential ATH zone, where significant profit-taking from buyers may appear. On the way up, the 4246 level is a major resistance zone: If price breaks this level decisively and closes above it on D1, the bullish trend strengthens, confirming buyers are willing to push price to new highs. The descending trendline has already been broken. After the breakout, price retested the line and bounced, showing buyers have regained control. A pullback towards the trendline zone at 4133–4139 would give Lana a clean opportunity to join Wave 5 with a better risk-to-reward ratio. 3. Key Price Levels to Watch Major Resistance / Mid-term Take-Profit Zones: 4240 – 4246: Intermediate resistance; needs a clear breakout to reinforce the bullish trend. 4360: Fibonacci 2.618 extension & potential ATH target for Wave 5. Support / Potential Buy Zones: 4133 – 4139: Near the trendline; Lana’s preferred buy zone if price pulls back. 4124: Technical stop-loss level; a break below may weaken the short-term bullish wave structure. 4. Trade Setup BUY: 4133 – 4139 SL: 4124 TP: 4240 – 4280 – 4350 👉 Follow Lana on TradingView for the earliest gold analysis updates. 💛
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Lana_M2
XAUUSD – LANA WAITING TO BUY THE CONTINUATION WITHIN THE ...XAUUSD – LANA WAITING TO BUY THE CONTINUATION WITHIN THE UPTREND CHANNEL 1. Fundamental Analysis Gold is maintaining its upward momentum as investors closely monitor the Russia–Ukraine tension and the mixed signals around potential peace efforts. President Putin’s recent statements suggest peace proposals could form the basis of a future agreement, yet Russia is still prepared to continue fighting if conditions are not favourable. This creates a mixed risk environment — reducing short-term safe-haven demand but still keeping geopolitical uncertainty elevated, which may pressure the USD in the medium term. In this context, Lana prefers the scenario where gold continues to follow the broader uptrend, looking for opportunities to buy on technical pullbacks into major liquidity zones rather than FOMO entries at higher prices. 2. Technical Analysis On the H1 timeframe, XAUUSD is moving inside a clear ascending channel, currently trading near the midline of the channel. The dominant structure remains bullish, with no sign of a break of market structure. After a strong bullish candle, the market left a Strong Liquidity area below and created a small Gap under the channel — this is where Lana expects price to retrace and retest before resuming the upward movement. The Buy zone aligns with a major liquidity region near 4,166–4,167, close to the lower boundary of the channel — an ideal level for continuation buys during a controlled pullback. Using Fibonacci extensions, the key levels include: 1.618: near the current price — a region where price often pauses or consolidates 2.618: around 4,210 — Lana marks this as a potential short-term Sell scalping zone 3.618: around 4,235–4,237 — a stronger Sell zone where heavy profit-taking may appear The 4,155 level is a key structural boundary: If price breaks below and holds under this zone, Lana will stop prioritising long-term buy setups, as the bullish channel may be invalidated. 3. Key Levels to Watch Support / Buy zone & strong liquidity: 4,166 – 4,167 (near the midline descending toward the lower channel boundary) 4,155 — mid-term trend boundary Resistance / Fibo extension & Sell zones: 4,210 – 4,213: Sell scalping zone (Fibo 2.618) 4,235 – 4,237: Strong Sell zone (Fibo 3.618), near the channel top 4. Trade Setups BUY Setup: Buy: 4166 – 4167 SL: 4160 TP: 4182 – 4195 – 4210 – 4250 SELL Setup 1: Sell: 4210 – 4213 SL: 4218 TP: 4200 – 4185 – 4160 – 4145 SELL Setup 2: Sell: 4235 – 4237 SL: 4243 TP: 4212 – 4200 – 4185 – 4160 👉 Follow Lana on TradingView to read all updates early. 💛
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Lana_M2
Gold H1 – Will 4212 Hold and Drop to 4160 Today?🟡 XAUUSD – Intraday Smart Money Plan | by Ryan_TitanTrader (27/11) 📈 Market Context Gold is currently trading within a rising institutional channel after strong H1 displacement. The market is compressing into a liquidity-rich consolidation phase — a classic Smart Money trap environment before engineered expansion. What Smart Money desks are targeting today: • Expectation of USD strength shaping bearish bias • Liquidity sweeps above internal range highs • Consolidation fakeouts to induce retail mis-positioning • CHoCH/BOS confirmation required before real directional move The chart shows equal liquidity zones positioned at premium (sell opportunity) and discount (re-entry buy region). 🔎 Technical Framework – Smart Money Structure (H1) Current state = Accumulation / Redistribution phase Liquidity map highlighted zones: • Premium liquidity zone: 4212 – 4214 (target for short trap) • Discount liquidity origin zone: 4165 – 4163 (higher timeframe demand re-entry) • Equilibrium / Chop zone: 4180 – 4195 (no trade unless displaced) • Trendline support: ~4173 region (must break for downside continuation) Expected sequence: Sweep → CHoCH/MSS → BOS → Displacement → Retest (FVG/OB) → Expansion 🎯 Trade Plans for Today 🔴 SELL GOLD 4212 – 4214 | SL 4222 Thesis: Liquidity sweep at premium highs before bearish displacement Entry activation rules (must wait): • Price taps 4214 liquidity pocket • Bearish CHoCH/MSS + BOS down on M5–M15 • Entry taken at FVG fill or order block retest after BOS Targets: 1. 4200 (first reaction) 2. 4187 – 4185 (BOS retest zone) 3. 4170 (channel mid-equilibrium) 4. 4165 – 4163 (H1 demand retest / profit core) 🟢 BUY GOLD 4165 – 4163 | SL 4143 Thesis: Discount origin tap for impulse continuation buy Entry activation rules (must wait): • Price sweeps into 4163 pool • Bullish CHoCH/MSS + BOS up on M5–M15 • Strong bullish rejection wick + FVG fill confirmation Targets: 1. 4185 – 4187 reclaim zone 2. 4200+ institutional expansion target 3. 4212+ premium revisit ⚠️ Risk Management • Avoid trading inside 4180 – 4195 unless displaced • Do NOT interpret sweeps as trend entries — they are traps • SL = structure invalidation, no averaging in consolidation • Reduce size during monetary headlines unless MSS confirms 📝 Summary Gold is currently in engineered liquidity mode. Expect either: • Sweep 4214 → MSS/BOS down → drop into 4163 discount retest, or • Tap 4163 → bullish MSS/BOS up → expand toward 4200 – 4212+ Today = confirmation-based execution only, not trend chasing. 📍 Follow @Ryan_TitanTrader for daily Smart Money updates.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Ryan_TitanTrader
XAUUSD – H2: The Discount Zone Is Formed, Now Waiting for ...XAUUSD – H2: The Discount Zone Is Formed, Now Waiting for Price to Retrace for Continuation Buys On the H2 timeframe, gold has just made a strong breakout above the 4,180 zone after a period of tight consolidation. Since it is the weekend and also Thanksgiving in the US, I will only prioritise pullback buys at discounted levels — absolutely no chasing price at the highs. 🎯 PRIMARY SETUP – BUY THE DIP at Fibo & POC Zone (4.163–4.160) Buy Entry: 4.163 – 4.160 Stop Loss: 4.155 Take Profit: 4.178 – 4.195 – 4.220 ⭐ SECONDARY SETUP – DEEPER BUY at VAL + Strong Support (4.139–4.136) Buy Entry: 4.139 – 4.136 Stop Loss: 4.130 Take Profit: 4.150 – 4.172 – 4.190 – 4.220 I always keep total risk per setup within 1–2% of the account. Fundamental Context Weekend + Thanksgiving → thin liquidity, more price whipsaws near the close. Recent comments from Trump & credit data show the economic picture and the December rate path are still uncertain. This keeps gold supported as a defensive asset, but not strong enough to expect a straight-up rally. Therefore, I prefer trading based on technical levels and clear zones. Technical Analysis – H2 Market Sentiment & Trading Outlook After the breakout, buyers still hold momentum, but the sideways movement at the top suggests partial profit-taking and liquidity patience. In thin liquidity conditions, price often makes a liquidity sweep down into support before reversing — exactly the move I aim to catch. Plan Prioritise Buy at 4.163–4.160. Only consider the deeper 4.139–4.136 setup if price flushes harder. All trades use strict Stop Losses (4.155 & 4.130) — no widening. Take partial profits step-by-step and trail SL as price approaches TP levels.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by LA_Trader_Fx
XAUUSD – SHORT-TERM TREND STILL UNCERTAIN, WAIT FOR PRICE TO ...XAUUSD – SHORT-TERM TREND STILL UNCERTAIN, WAIT FOR PRICE TO RETURN TO LIQUIDITY ZONES 1. Fundamental Analysis In today’s session, gold is holding a mild pullback after touching its highest level in nearly two weeks. Market sentiment has turned slightly more risk-on, causing capital to move away from safe-haven assets. This reduces short-term demand for gold and triggers profit-taking. However, the Fed’s dovish expectations continue to keep the USD weak, which remains a supporting factor for gold in the medium term. Lana views the current phase mainly as a technical correction and prefers waiting for price to reach key liquidity zones before taking action. 2. Technical Analysis On the H1 timeframe, after a strong upside move, price is slowing down and showing a confirmation of downward pressure from the upper resistance zone. The rising trendline beneath is still holding the overall structure, suggesting the broader trend remains intact, but momentum is fading and the market is entering a more indecisive phase. Below the price, the FVG demand zones around 4113–4111 and the deeper 4085–4088 represent liquidity areas where Lana expects buyers may step back in. Above the price, the 4194–4196 zone is a key resistance area, aligned with supply and upper liquidity, suitable for a correction sell setup if price retests it. 3. Key Price Zones to Watch Upper liquidity / major resistance: • 4194 – 4196 Lower liquidity / support & FVG zones: • 4113 – 4111: first demand zone, near the rising trendline • 4085 – 4088: deeper FVG zone, stronger support if correction extends 4. Trade Setups SELL: 4194 – 4196 SL: 4200 TP: 4175 – 4160 – 4122 – 4105 BUY: 4113 – 4111 SL: 4105 TP: 4133 – 4155 – 4170 – 4190 BUY: 4085 – 4088 SL: 4080 TP: 4095 – 4110 – 4133 – 4150 – 4185 👉 Follow Lana on TradingView to get the earliest gold analysis updates. 💛
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Lana_M2
Gold H1 - Can Gold reject 4167 and fall to 4133 today?🟡 XAUUSD – Intraday Smart Money Plan | by Ryan_TitanTrader (27/11) 📈 Market Context Gold is trading inside an intraday consolidation after a strong H1 displacement. The session is now primed for liquidity engineering before the next leg. Key narrative drivers traders must respect today: • Stronger USD expectations continue to shape risk sentiment • Institutional desks frequently exploit sweep zones during consolidation • Range-bound conditions favor fakeouts → displacement → expansion mechanics • Headlines around U.S. monetary tone amplify intraday volatility The current chart highlights balanced liquidity both above and below structure, supporting a two-way SMC playbook. 🔎 Technical Framework – Smart Money Structure (H1) Market is holding a rising channel, but internally ranging — a typical liquidity map scenario: • Buy-side liquidity pocket: 4180 → 4182 (premium extreme) • Sell-side liquidity pool: 4110 → 4133 (discount extreme / origin zone) • Internal equilibrium zone: 4150–4170 chop region (no-trade area) We expect this sequence: Sweep → CHoCH/BOS → Displacement → Retest → Expansion. 🎯 Trade Plans for Today 🔴SELL GOLD 4180–4182 | SL 4190 Thesis: Premium liquidity sweep above local highs before downside displacement. Activation rules: • Price sweeps 4182 liquidity • Bearish CHoCH/MSS + BOS down on M5–M15 • Imbalance retest / FVG entry after structure break Targets: • 4167 (nearest reaction) • 4150 (equilibrium raid) • 4135–4133 (discount retest) 🟢 BUY GOLD 4135–4133 | SL 4125 Thesis: Sell-side liquidity sweep into the origin zone before upside impulse. Activation rules: • Price taps 4133 pool (sweep below structure) • Bullish CHoCH/MSS + BOS up on M5–M15 • FVG fill / bullish rejection wick confirmation Targets: • 4155+ • 4167 (reclaim zone) • 4180+ (premium raid target) ⚠️ Risk Management • Do NOT trade inside 4150–4170 without clear displacement • Wait for CHoCH + BOS before execution • Treat the upper and lower zones as liquidity traps, not trend entries • Reduce size during news spikes unless structure confirms • SL = wave invalidation, no averaging in chop 📝 Summary Gold is in accumulation/redistribution mode. Desks may: • Run buy-side liquidity at 4182, then displace down → retest discount or • Sweep sell-side liquidity at 4133, confirm CHoCH up → expand with impulse Today is a liquidity session, not early trend chasing. Execute only after confirmation. 📍 Follow @Ryan_TitanTrader for daily Smart Money updates.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Ryan_TitanTrader
XAUUSD – Waiting for Trend Confirmation Around the 4,160–4,170..XAUUSD – Waiting for Trend Confirmation Around the 4,160–4,170 Zone At the moment, gold has not shown a clearly defined medium-term trend. Price is moving around an important resistance zone, so instead of predicting direction early, I prefer waiting for price reaction at key levels before taking action. The main focus today is the 4,160–4,170 area – where the market will decide whether to continue the uptrend or start a deeper correction. 🎯 Scenario 1 – SELL at 4,162–4,165 (Priority if No Clear Breakout) Sell: 4.162 – 4.165 SL: 4.173 TP: 4.140 – 4.122 – 4.110 – 4.100 The 4.162–4.165 zone on H1 is a strong resistance area combining Fibonacci confluence, previous supply, and proximity to the short-term rising trendline. If price taps this zone and shows weakness (upper-wick rejection, reversal candle, low volume confirmation), I prefer taking a short-term sell toward 4.140, with deeper targets at the liquidity cluster around 4.110–4.100. Risk for this scenario is capped at 1–2% per trade. Do NOT hold the position if price closes above 4.173. ⭐ Scenario 2 – BUY on Break Above 4,170 (Trend Continuation Confirmation) Buy: 4.171 – 4.173 (only after a clean breakout) SL: 4.163 TP: 4.188 – 4.200 – 4.215 If price breaks decisively above 4.170 and sustains above it, that confirms buyers are still in control. In this case, I switch my bias to buying the breakout, targeting the next resistance zones around 4.200–4.215, and possibly higher if momentum remains strong. Note: Only buy if the breakout is genuine — strong candle body closing above 4.170, not a stop-hunt wick that pulls back immediately. 1. Fundamental Outlook The DXY continues slipping below 99.50, now near 99.45, showing sustained weakness as markets increase expectations for a December Fed rate cut. Easier monetary conditions generally support gold because the opportunity cost of holding gold is reduced. However, U.S. initial jobless claims have dropped to the lowest level since April, showing the labour market is still resilient. This creates a mixed environment: rate-cut expectations support gold, but strong economic data may cause sudden volatility around news releases. Overall, fundamentals lean slightly bullish for gold, but not strongly enough to ignore potential technical pullbacks. 2. Technical Structure On the H1 chart, after a strong rally, gold is now consolidating right below the 4.160–4.170 resistance. The 4.162–4.165 region is a confluence zone: • horizontal resistance • previous supply • area where strong selling pressure appeared earlier The 4.140 level is the “correction confirmation level” — if price breaks and closes below it, the market will likely aim for the major liquidity area around 4.110–4.100, where many Buy-side stop losses are clustered. The current structure allows for both long and short setups, but each scenario requires clear price confirmation at the 4.160–4.170 zone. 3. Market Sentiment & Action Plan Both buyers and sellers are watching the same price zone — 4.160–4.170. This makes it a high-liquidity area where stops for both sides may get swept before the market shows its real direction. If price rejects strongly from this zone, it could be a sign of late buyers being flushed out. If buyers hold price above 4.170, trapped short positions may fuel a short squeeze toward higher resistance zones. My plan: I do not enter mid-range. I wait for clear signals: • Sell at 4.162–4.165 if reversal confirmation appears. • Buy at 4.171–4.173 after a confirmed breakout and hold above the zone. • Always use a hard stop-loss. No widening stops if price goes against the trade. If price breaks both zones without giving clear signals, I stay out and wait for a new structure instead of forcing a prediction. I always read feedback to improve how I share these analyses in future posts.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by LA_Trader_Fx
XAUUSD – Inverse Head and Shoulders Pattern Still Active...XAUUSD – Inverse Head and Shoulders Pattern Still Active, Continue to Prioritise Buying at POC I maintain the view that the current dominant trend is buying based on the inverse head–and–shoulders structure, and the bullish wave is not yet complete. The plan is to wait for price to retrace into the POC zone to re-enter with the trend, avoiding chasing buys at the highs. 🎯 Main Scenario – BUY THE DIP AT POC Buy: 4,133 – 4,130 SL: 4,123 TP: 4,155 – 4,178 – 4,200 – 4,250 – extended targets if momentum remains strong For me, total risk per trade never exceeds 1–2% of the account. A good setup with poor risk management is still a bad trade. 1. Fundamental Context Gold is maintaining its upward momentum, trading near its highest levels in about two weeks. The US Dollar is weakening as markets increase bets on the Fed cutting rates soon, following data showing continued cooling in inflation. Lower yields and a softer USD reduce the opportunity cost of holding gold, supporting the flow back into safe-haven assets. With this backdrop, I do not prioritise large sell setups. Most pullbacks are mainly opportunities for me to accumulate long positions. 2. Technical Analysis & Market Sentiment On the H1 timeframe, gold has formed and activated an inverse head–and–shoulders pattern, confirming a bullish reversal phase. Price is retracing to retest the POC zone around 4,133–4,130, overlapping the previous accumulation area where heavy sell orders were absorbed. This is the zone I prioritise for buying. Below this lies a deeper FVG acting as secondary support; however, I’m not waiting for price to drop too far to avoid missing the core move of the pattern. Regarding price behavior, recent pullbacks have been absorbed quickly, with multiple long-wick candles showing buyers are still in control. I’m waiting for a clean pullback into POC with a strong bullish reaction to trigger the entry. 3. Action Plan Only enter positions when price returns to the 4,133–4,130 zone — absolutely no FOMO buying at higher levels. Take partial profits at 4,155 – 4,178 – 4,200 – 4,250, leaving the remaining position open if gold continues to extend its bullish leg. If price breaks below 4,123 and closes under that level, I will cut the trade immediately and reassess the structure — never hold on to a bias when the market has changed. If this analysis is helpful, follow my TradingView channel and leave your comments. I always read feedback to improve and refine my future posts.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by LA_Trader_Fx
LANA_M2 XAUUSD – WAIT FOR A PULLBACK TO BUY WITH THE UPTREND ...LANA_M2 XAUUSD – WAIT FOR A PULLBACK TO BUY WITH THE UPTREND 1. Fundamental Analysis Gold continues its bullish momentum and has just formed a two-week high as expectations for an early FOMC rate cut strengthen. Weaker U.S. economic data, cooling bond yields, and pressure on the USD are supporting gold, both from real-yield dynamics and safe-haven demand. With this outlook, Lana prefers waiting for a mild correction before buying with the trend, instead of chasing buys at higher prices. 2. Technical Analysis On the H1 chart, the market structure has shifted to bullish with consecutive BOS, confirming buyer control. FVG demand zones around 4100 and 4080 are acting as support, aligning with key swing lows after BOS. The upper zone around 4180–4200 is an FVG supply area and a premium/ resistance zone where price may react with a short-term pullback. With Fibonacci confluence, 4103–4105 and 4086–4088 match the 50–61.8% retracement of the latest bullish leg — ideal for waiting for a pullback to buy. 3. Key Price Zones Support / Discount (Demand & FVG): 4103 – 4105 4086 – 4088 Resistance / Premium (Supply & FVG): 4165 – 4194 – 4202 4. Trade Setups ⭐ Primary Scenario – Buy with the Trend Buy entry: 4103 – 4105 SL: 3998 TP: 4115 – 4130 – 4165 – 4190 ⭐ Alternative Scenario – Deep Buy at Lower FVG Buy entry: 4086 – 4088 SL: 4080 TP: 4100 – 4125 – 4146 – 4170 – 4190 ⭐ Short-term Reversal – Sell at Premium Zone Sell entry: 4194 SL: 4202 TP: 4177 – 4150 – 4132 – 4110 👉 Follow Lana on TradingView to get the earliest gold analysis updates. 💛
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Lana_M2