Red CHoCH Confirms the Bears – Sell at Premium Zone📌 Gold Plan – M30 Timeframe | Captain Vincent ⚓
Background
On the D1 chart, the candle closed lower, showing bearish pressure still dominates.
On H4, the bearish structure continues.
However, Gold is currently stuck around 3345/oz, unable to make a clear breakout.
The 3323 – 3335 zone remains strong support – a level where Vincent has bought multiple times before with solid profits. But with the current structure, today’s priority will be Sell in line with the main trend.
Sell Zone – Premium 🎯
Entry: 3345 – 3347
SL: 3352
TP: 3340 → 3335 → 3330 → 33xx
SMC Note (CHoCH 🔴)
On the M30 timeframe, a recent red CHoCH has appeared – a signal confirming that sellers have regained control.
This strengthens the case for selling at upper resistance zones.
Today’s Scenarios
If price holds below 3345 – 3347 → Prioritise short setups, selling in line with the downtrend.
If price breaks below current support → High chance the market will move to fill the previous FVG. In that case, wait for a Breakout Down retest to enter safer.
Consider entering one small probe trade first, then go in stronger once a reversal candle confirmation appears.
Resistance to watch: 3337 – 3345
Support to watch: 3323 – 3335
⚠️ Captain’s Note:
"SMC structure with a red CHoCH has confirmed that the bears are steering the market. We will flow with the main current – Sell at the Premium Zone – but always with discipline, waiting for clear confirmation before taking action."
Smctrading
Gold Plan 14/08 – Captain VincentGold Plan 14/08 – Captain Vincent ⚓
Background
Yesterday, Gold touched the Sell Scalp zone and cruised smoothly for 220 pips 🎯.
However, it failed to break the previous Buy Zone and is now maintaining a bullish structure on the H1 chart, with higher lows forming.
Today, the market may move slower as traders await the US PPI data , so each entry point must be taken with caution.
Zone 1 – Golden Harbor 🏝️ (Main Buy Zone – SMC Demand)
Entry: 3,334 – 3,332
SL: 3,327
TP: 3,338 → 3,342 → 3,346 → 33xx
Note: This is the main buy zone, aligned with the SMC Demand Zone. Enter only if there’s a clear reversal signal (Pin Bar / Engulfing) on M15/H1.
Zone 2 – Storm Breaker 🌊 (Sell Zone – SMC Supply)
Entry: 3,398 – 3,400
SL: 3,407
TP: 3,394 → 3,390 → 3,386 → 33xx
Note: Strong sell zone. Watch price reaction before entry. Prefer partial profit-taking along the way.
Today’s Scenarios
If price tests Golden Harbor → Wait for pin bar or engulfing, then Buy in line with the uptrend.
If price approaches Storm Breaker → Look for short-term sell setups on reversal signals.
If price stays in the mid-range → Stay on the shore, save energy for the golden moment.
Captain’s Note:
"Today, the golden sea still rides the bullish tide, but the PPI winds may shift without warning. Keep the helm steady, and anchor only at safe harbors." 🏴☠️📈
SUPREME INDUSTRIESSUPREME INDUSTRIES seems to be ready.
Making HH-HL formation, breakout from here may give a good upside move.
✅ If you like my analysis, please follow me as a token of appreciation :)
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📌 For learning and educational purposes only, not a recommendation. Please consult your financial advisor before investing.
Gold (XAUUSD) - Daily ICT Based Analysis🗓️ Date Range: IPDA Range (June 9 – July 4, 2025)
This chart is built using ICT methodology focusing on market structure, liquidity, PD arrays, and smart money price delivery.
🧠 Narrative Breakdown:
✅ IPDA Range is defined from June 9 to July 4 (20 trading days), providing the valid high and low to map premium/discount.
✅ A Market Structure Shift (MSS) confirms the intent to shift bearish after internal liquidity was swept.
✅ Price ran the Buy Side Liquidity (BSL) and rejected from the Daily Rejection Block (RB.D) and CISD + IPDA S.D., indicating institutional selling interest.
✅ The recent rally into the premium zone failed to close above BSL, showing weakness and potential continuation to the downside.
🎯 Key Points:
BSL Swept above internal range.
RB.D + CISD + IPDA S.D.: Price rejected from these confluences.
Current Bias: Bearish until 3,203.47 and 3,189.82 are met (internal sell-side liquidity).
Extended Target: 2,993.69 — external liquidity resting below the May low.
DOL marked inside the range suggests smart money is engineering price toward sell-side targets.
⚒️ Tools Used:
IPDA Range (20D)
MSS / BoS
Rejection Block (RB.D)
CISD + IFVG
PD Arrays (BSL, IDM, DOL)
📌 Summary:
This is a classic Sell Model within a defined IPDA range. Liquidity was swept, price rejected from premium, and now seeks inefficiencies + sell-side liquidity.
🧠 Wait for price action confirmations on lower timeframes (1H/15M) near PD arrays to engage.
Gold (XAUUSD) - Daily ICT Based AnalysisThis chart reflects a detailed breakdown of Gold using Inner Circle Trader (ICT) concepts on the daily timeframe.
🧠 Key Highlights:
Break of Structure (BoS) and Market Structure Shift (MSS) confirm bearish intent.
Price recently delivered a strong displacement to the downside, breaking through the prior IDM low and forming a clean MSS.
The price has rejected from the Daily Bearish Imbalance (BISI D) and Refined Breaker Block (RB.D) — acting as a key supply zone.
Confluence of Liquidity and Imbalance:
Internal liquidity has been swept from equal highs.
Bearish rebalancing observed in the CISD + IPDA S.D. zone.
Next probable draw on liquidity sits near the 3,203.47 and 3,189.82 PD arrays.
Ultimate downside target marked around 2,993.69, aligned with a previous BMS + DOL zone.
🛠 Tools Applied:
PD Arrays: BISI, RB, FVG, SIBI
Liquidity Zones: IDM, DOL, IPDA S.D.
Price Action: MSS, Displacement, and Retracement Concepts
📌 Bias: Bearish
📌 Narrative: Liquidity has been engineered above highs; current price action seeks sell-side liquidity and inefficiencies beneath recent lows.
Nifty Analysis - Smart Money Concepts or LiquidityI would like to present my Nifty Analysis based on Liquidity or Smart Money Concepts.
This Analysis is based on Multi-time frame (Weekly & Daily) Time Frame. here chart is used on Daily Time Frame.
Current Scenario - (Weekly TF Analysis)
==Weekly Time Frame Analysis -
The current move is retracing into a weekly POI zone which also has-
-Daily Imbalance
-HTF Supply Block
-Smart Money Trap Zone (marked)
Right now, HTF is still in broad bearish retracement structure.
==Daily TF Annalysis -
-Price is consolidating in a range within a clearly defined HTF POI (High Probability Reversal Area)
-Inside the range:
-Multiple internal BOS & MSS
-Clean liquidity pool build-up (marked in yellow)
-Potential for buy-side liquidity sweep followed by sell-off into discount
Price Projection & Bias -----
1. Short-Term Bias (Next 3–5 Weeks): Downside after Extreme POI liquidity grab
-Expectation is there will be a Fakeout above the liquidity pool (25,500–25,800), or in retail language say it is Stop Loss Hunt then sell-off.
-Target: Volume Imbalance near 23,200–22,700.
-This will be aligned with - Liquidity sweep , Mitigation of volume imbalance , Entry into Weekly Discount Zone.
2. Mid-Term Bias or say 2-3 months expectation (After Re-accumulation)
-If price reacts with storng bullish order flow from 22500-22000 range then expect -
-Reversal into bullish structure
-Target - 26200 or 26400
-Supported by mean reversion + reaccumulating idea
(For Entry Module)
- Consider 15min to 1 hour Time frame setup for confirmation before taking shorts from above supply zone.
- expect a long setup around 22200-22400 only if bullish BOS + FVG Filled and also consider HTF Liquidity sweep near weekly wick discount zone or say 50% mean reversion.
Disclaimer -- (Views are only for Educational Purpose only. Always consult your financial Advisor before doing Any Investments).
Your Views or Comments are welcomed.
NIFTY 50 - ICT & SMC Analysis (April 9, 2025)🧠 Big Picture Context (Daily Timeframe)
🔍 Structure:
The daily structure is in a macro bearish trend, confirmed by a Change of Character (ChoCH) from a previous higher high.
A market structure shift (MSS) occurred, indicating strong bearish intent.
A major Order Block (OB) around 24,300 – 24,800 has acted as strong supply.
Recent price action shows a rejection from 23,000+ levels, creating a new bearish leg.
🔄 Key Observations:
A clean Fair Value Gap (FVG) from the recent bearish move lies between 22,900 – 23,100, which price may want to revisit.
Price tapped into liquidity pools below previous lows (Sell-side liquidity swept).
Strong reaction up suggests a potential short-term bullish retracement.
🔄 Medium-Term Outlook (4H Chart)
🔍 Structure:
After the sharp bearish move, price made a strong reaction from the 21,800s, suggesting the presence of demand.
A clean PDL (Previous Day Low) sweep followed by BOS (Break of Structure) confirms short-term bullish market structure.
🔄 Current Price Action:
Price filled part of a green FVG (imbalance) and is now retracing from resistance.
The 22,900–23,000 zone contains:
A bearish OB
FVG
VI (Volume Imbalance)
Previous Weekly High (PWH)
→ This confluence makes it a high-probability reversal zone.
📉 Execution Timeframe (1H Chart)
🔍 Structure:
Price has now formed a BOS upwards after taking out liquidity near 21,800 (PDL).
Rally filled lower imbalance (FVG), creating a strong displacement candle and BOS above PDH.
Now consolidating under a supply zone with signs of weakness near 22,550 – 22,700.
🎯 Trade Idea: Sell on Retracement into Premium
📈 Bias: Bearish from premium supply zone.
🛠️ Trade Setup (1H + 4H Confluence):
Type Level/Zone
Entry 22,900 – 23,000 (Red FVG & OB)
Stop Loss Above 23,100 (above OB & VI)
Target 1 22,250 (PDH/imbalance fill)
Target 2 21,800 (PDL sweep area)
Target 3 21,600–21,500 (daily demand zone)
📊 Risk-Reward (Approx):
Risk: ~150 pts (23,100 – 22,950 entry)
Reward: ~400–1,400 pts depending on target
RRR: Minimum 2.5:1 up to 9:1
💡 ICT/SMC Concepts Applied:
Liquidity Sweep: Sell-side liquidity below PDL taken → large move up.
Fair Value Gaps: Price filled FVG and now sits just below another premium FVG.
Order Blocks: Bearish OB around 22,900–23,100 zone expected to act as supply.
PDH/PDL Reactions: Market respected those areas.
Market Structure Shift (MSS): Bearish momentum continues on higher TFs despite short-term rally.
🧭 What to Watch For:
If price breaks and holds above 23,100, this setup becomes invalid – it signals deeper retracement or reversal.
Watch volume or strong rejection candles in supply zone to enter with confirmation (ideal on 15M/5M for sniper entry).
Any clean FVGs left behind as price retraces could be rebalanced before dropping.
📌 Final Thoughts:
This is a classic SMC + ICT short setup after price retraced into premium zone following a strong move down. The confluence of OB, FVG, VI, and PDH makes this zone a high-probability turning point. Wait for confirmation and execute with proper risk management.
NIFTY 50 - ICT & SMC Analysis (April 7, 2025) 📊 CHART ANALYSIS SUMMARY (from the 4 charts)
From the charts you've given, I’ve identified a few key things:
- NIFTY is in a bullish short-term market structure , but it’s tapping into premium prices in a possible higher timeframe redistribution zone.
- There's a liquidity sweep and inducement pattern near the highs.
- Some FVGs (Fair Value Gaps) remain unfilled.
- Possible reversal sell setup from a 4H or daily bearish order block that aligns with premium pricing in a range.
🧠 Step-by-Step ICT/SMC Analysis
1. Market Structure & Bias
- 1H to 4H Structure: The market was pushing higher, making HHs (higher highs) and HLs (higher lows).
- However, the latest high was taken with a wick, showing signs of a **buy-side liquidity raid rather than strength.
- After the raid, price left a bearish FVG (Fair Value Gap) — a classic ICT signature for a reversal.
> 🔎 Interpretation:This is typical SMC inducement : retail traders get trapped buying a breakout, while smart money distributes into those buys and prepares to sell.
2. Key Liquidity Levels
- Buy-side Liquidity (BSL): Taken at recent swing high (~NIFTY 22,520 zone)
- Sell-side Liquidity (SSL): Resting below recent lows (~22,300 and then ~22,150)
> 🧠 SMC logic: Liquidity was engineered and taken at the highs. Now, the market may seek the **sell-side liquidity** next.
3. Order Blocks & Imbalances
- ✅ A clear Bearish Order Block formed near the 22,500–22,520 level on 1H/4H — this was the last up-candle before the sell-off (and a liquidity sweep).
- ✅ There's a clean FVG (Fair Value Gap) just under this OB — price wicked back into it but failed to close above.
> 🧠 ICT logic: Price fills the imbalance slightly, taps the OB, then rejects — suggesting smart money is selling from this zone.
4. Potential Trade Setup (Sell)
🎯 Trade Idea: Intraday / Swing Short
| Component | Level / Description
|--------------------|-------------------------------------------------|
| Bias | Bearish (short-term retracement expected) |
| Entry | ~22,500–22,520 (OB + FVG confluence zone) |
| Stop Loss | Above 22,570 (above the liquidity sweep wick) |
| TP1 | 22,300 (low of range, internal liquidity) |
| TP2 | 22,150 (external liquidity sweep zone) |
| TP3 (optional) | 22,000 (discount zone of full move) |
| R:R | Approx. 1:2.5 to 1:3.5 depending on exit |
🧱 Confluence Checklist
| ICT/SMC Element | Confirmed? | Notes
|----------------------------|------------|-----------------------------------------------------------------------|
| Break of Structure | ✅ | Lower high failed to break previous HH with momentum
| Liquidity Sweep | ✅ | Buy-side taken at the top with a wick
| FVG Presence | ✅ | 1H Fair Value Gap post sweep
| Bearish Order Block | ✅ | Confirmed on 1H and 4H
| Displacement | ✅ | Strong sell candle after sweep
| Retracement to OB/FVG | ✅ | Price returns to OB to mitigate orders
| Premium Pricing Zone | ✅ | Above 50% of the full range (using FIB anchoring)
🔄 Scenario Management
- If price rejects OB and sells off, you’re in good hands — standard SMC setup.
- If price closes above 22,570, the OB is invalidated → exit the short.
- If the setup works, scale partial profits at TP1 and trail to TP2/TP3.
📉 It's not a long-term bearish call on NIFTY — it’s a mean-reversion swing targeting liquidity below.
XAUUSD 4H | Liq. Grab or BOSXAUUSD on 4H chart shows a critical order block. Where liquidity may accumulate. Price could either respect the OB, indicating a bearish reaction and potential displacement lower or break of structure. Leading to a bullish expansion towards new ATH.
Watch for potential mitigation in this zone.
Market structure shift will clarify the next move.
USOIL ORDER BLOCK | LONG TRADE [SWING TRADE]Hi Traders,
This is Usoil 1hr + 4Hr Order block trade we can see Buying from
this level..
At this level we can see some Liquidty pool.
Here we can take trade with 5 min CHoCH.
5 min CHoCH is best to take Long Trade
Note - Only for education Purpose
Follow for Daily Forex Update
NIFTY 50 VIEW FOR 9th APRIL 2024Nifty has been showing some strength now. Expecting it to continue moving up and create new ATH and make a new one. It can test the marked Demand zone 1 ( 22530 - 22459 )or Demand zone 2 ( 22193-22088) and then move up to take the ATH too.
THIS IS MY PERSONAL ANALYSIS FOR MY PERSONAL TRADING.






















