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LiamTrading – XAUUSD H1 | A bearish structure has formed...LiamTrading – XAUUSD H1 | A bearish structure has formed, waiting for confirmation during the European session Overall, gold is in a corrective downtrend after the previous bullish move. On the H1 timeframe, a clear Dow bearish structure (lower highs, lower lows) has formed. However, the support zone around 4,030 and the lower Fibonacci cluster are still potential areas where buying pressure may appear. Today’s European session will be crucial to confirm whether price continues to drop deeper or bounces back, aligning with the inverse head-and-shoulders pattern developing on H4. Macro – Short Fundamental Outlook The minutes from the Fed’s October meeting revealed a strong internal division: One group opposed rate cuts and wanted to maintain current levels. The other group supported cutting rates and even suggested further reductions in December. This lack of consensus shows high uncertainty in monetary policy, encouraging defensive flows to continue favouring gold. In the long run, gold only surges when confidence in the financial system weakens — a gold price peak is not a sign of prosperity but a warning signal. Technical Analysis – H1 (trendline, Fibonacci, liquidity) Price is trading below the short-term descending trendline, confirming that the bearish phase remains active. The 4,082–4,090 zone is an important liquidity zone — repeatedly tested and now acting as near-term resistance. The 4,029–4,031 cluster is a key support area: Overlaps with technical support + Fibonacci retracement. Beginning of the large FVG that extends down to 3,985 (Fibo 1.618 + psychological support). Above current price, the 4,129–4,130 zone is strong resistance. If price breaks and holds above this area, the bearish Dow structure will weaken significantly. Suggested Trading Scenarios BUY Scenario – Buying at Support / Fibonacci Logic: Price holds above the support–Fibonacci zone, showing bottom-fishing demand. Entry BUY: 4,029–4,031 SL: 4,022 TP: 4,040 → 4,065 → 4,090 → 4,120 Only consider buying if price shows strong reaction at 4,029–4,031 (long wick rejection or clear reversal candle on M15–H1). Cancel this BUY plan if H1 closes below 4,022. SELL Scenario – Following the current bearish structure (preferred if trendline remains intact) Logic: Price retraces to resistance + descending trendline and gets rejected. Entry SELL: 4,098–4,100 SL: 4,105 TP: 4,088 → 4,070 → 4,035 → 4,000–3,985 Only sell if price touches 4,098–4,100 with clear rejection (bearish pin bar/engulfing). If H1 closes above 4,105 and breaks the trendline strongly, stop all sell setups and reassess. Key Levels for Scalping 4,082 – 4,060 – 3,985 – 4,129 These levels can be used for quick intraday trades, but reduce position size and take profit fast. Important Notes If price closes firmly above the descending trendline and holds above 4,090–4,100, bias will gradually shift toward BUY setups, as an inverse head-and-shoulders pattern is forming on H4. If the 4,029–4,022 support breaks decisively, gold is likely to drop toward the FVG and Fibonacci 1.618 zone around 3,985. What scenario are you leaning toward for gold today — a pullback for another sell, or holding the bottom for a rebound? Leave your view in the comments and follow LiamTrading for daily XAUUSD updates on TradingView.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by LiamTradingFX
XAUUSD – CLEAR INVERSE HEAD & SHOULDERS FORMATION, CONTINUE ...💛 XAUUSD – CLEAR INVERSE HEAD & SHOULDERS FORMATION, CONTINUE TO PRIORITISE BUY SETUPS 🎯 🌤 1. Overview – Today’s Market Picture Hello everyone, Lana here again 💬 During the Asian session this morning, gold completed the right shoulder of a very clear Inverse Head & Shoulders pattern on the H3/H4 timeframe. Those who bought following the previous setup are now in a favourable position, and in my view, this is still a good time to hold Buy positions and prepare for additional entries once the market confirms the trend. On the macro side, according to the CME FedWatch tool, the probability of the Fed cutting rates by 25bp in December has dropped to around 30–33%, while the likelihood of keeping rates unchanged remains dominant. This means the USD is not weak enough to push gold sharply higher, but also not strong enough to suppress it—creating a volatile range-bound environment, which is ideal for technical-pattern trading. 💹 2. Technical Analysis – Inverse Head & Shoulders & Market Structure The Inverse Head & Shoulders pattern has formed quite cleanly: Left shoulder → Head → Right shoulder, all supported by the long-term ascending trendline. The demand zone around 4040–4050 is acting as a liquidity box supporting the entire structure. The neckline is currently around 4089–4090: Once price breaks above and closes above 4089, we can consider a confirmed bullish trend. After the breakout, gold may extend toward 4145 → 4200, which aligns with higher liquidity zones + upper FVGs. Zone 4130–4132: A major liquidity cluster—where many take-profit orders & short-term sell orders may appear. If this zone is broken decisively, price may accelerate quickly toward 4200. Zone 4040: This is both the bottom of the pattern and a key support. The bullish structure fails if gold closes below 4040 on H4, which would invalidate the Inverse H&S pattern. Overall, price is currently compressing right below the neckline, and just one strong breakout could trigger the next bullish wave. 🎯 3. Reference Trading Plan (For Study Purposes Only) 💖 Primary BUY Scenario – Following the Pattern 1️⃣ Buy on retracement to support Entry: 4060–4063 SL: 4055 TP: 4088 → 4108 → 4130 → 4143 → 4200 2️⃣ Buy the neckline breakout Condition: Price breaks the descending trendline & neckline, and closes above 4089. Entry: around 4089–4092 SL: 4080 TP: 4132 → 4145 → 4200 💢 Notes on SELL Setups Selling now is counter-trend against the pattern and not the priority. Consider only short-term sells if: Price reacts strongly at 4132–4145, and Clear bearish signals appear on M15–M30 (pin bar, bearish engulfing, rising sell volume). ⚠️ 4. Fundamental Factors to Watch High probability that the Fed keeps rates unchanged → market may stay flat before data releases, then spike in volatility. Gold remains sensitive to data: employment, inflation, and speeches from Fed officials. 🌷 In summary The Inverse Head & Shoulders on XAUUSD supports the bullish scenario as long as price stays above 4040 💛 Strategy: Prioritise Buy setups: first at 4060–4063, then on the breakout above 4089. Watch the 4132–4145 zone closely—if broken, the move toward 4200 becomes highly probable. If you found this analysis helpful, don’t forget to 💛 Like – 💬 Comment – 🔔 Follow LanaM2 for daily gold updates!
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Lana_M2
LiamTrading – XAUUSD H1 | Gold Holds 0.618, Bullish Scenario...💛 LiamTrading – XAUUSD H1 | Gold Holds 0.618, Bullish Scenario Preferred for Wednesday 🎯 Gold continues to recover after the previous decline and is currently sitting right at the 0.618 Fibonacci level on the H1 timeframe — indicating buyers still have the upper hand. Price is also holding above the rising trendline and the thick Volume Profile area around 407x, so for today’s session, I continue to prioritise BUY setups in line with the trend. 📰 Macro – News Context After the U.S. government reopened, the market is preparing for a series of economic data today and tomorrow → both USD and Gold may experience strong volatility. President Trump attacked Fed Chair Powell, calling him “stupid and incompetent,” saying he once wanted to fire him immediately but was stopped by advisors. 👉 Because of this, market sentiment is very sensitive: if data leans towards a rate-cut scenario, Gold could gain additional support. 📊 Technical – H1 with Fibonacci, Trendline & Volume Profile Fibonacci 0.618: Price is holding at the 0.618 level of the latest downswing; if this level holds, the natural target will be the upper FVG + resistance zone 4120–4150. H1 Uptrend Line: The trendline from the recent low is supporting price very well; each retest generates a bullish reaction → an ideal area to wait for BUY entries. Volume Profile & Liquidity: The 4075–4080 zone is Buy Liquidity — thick volume, lots of order flow → suitable as an entry point if price retests. VAL ~4040 and the Support + FVG area around 4020 are the next defence zones if the market sweeps deeper. Upside liquidity: Past H1 FVG remains unfilled up to at least 4150, so if the bullish scenario plays out, Gold can easily extend into this zone. 🎯 Trading Scenarios (LiamTrading) 1️⃣ Primary Setup – BUY with Trend Entry: 4078–4080 (trendline retest + strong volume cluster) SL: 4073 TP: 4094 → 4120 → 4140 → 4175 💡 Notes: Wait for a clean M5–M15 bullish reaction (long lower wick, pin bar, or bullish engulfing) around 4078–4080 before entering. Once price moves ~1R in profit, move SL to breakeven for account protection. 2️⃣ Short-term Scalping Zones Support – quick buys: 4048–4023 (VAL + lower FVG zone). Resistance – quick sells: 4121–4151 (FVG + upper liquidity zone). These are only for scalping, so: Enter on smaller timeframes (M5–M15). Take profits quickly, avoid holding through major news. ✅ Summary Short-term trend: Bullish bias as long as price holds above the H1 trendline and the 0.618 zone. Main plan: Wait for BUY at 4078–4080, targeting 4120 → 4140 → 4175. So, what do you think — will Gold push straight to 4150, or will it sweep down toward 404x first? 👉 Share your view in the comments & Follow LiamTrading to get daily XAUUSD plans on TradingView.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by LiamTradingFX
XAUUSD – Head & Shoulders Pattern Forming on H4 💛 XAUUSD – Head & Shoulders Pattern Forming on H4 🎯 🌤 Overview Hello everyone, Lana here again 💬 After a strong drop, Gold is forming a clear Head & Shoulders structure on the H4 timeframe, aligned with the long-term ascending trendline. This pattern suggests the possibility of a bullish move back toward previous highs — but price may still dip lower to complete the structure first. 💹 Technical Analysis (ICT Perspective) The Left Shoulder – Head – Right Shoulder is gradually shaping around the trendline + supporting FVG. The upper 50% Fibonacci area is a reasonable zone for the right shoulder to form. If price breaks above the neckline, it may head toward the major liquidity zone around 4200. In the short term, the 4118–4120 zone serves as resistance + neckline, making it suitable for a technical Sell setup. The 4040–4042 area aligns with the trendline + Order Block, forming a strong support zone for potential Buy entries if price makes a deeper correction. 🎯 Trading Plan (For Reference Only) 💢 SELL Scenario (scalping at resistance) Sell: 4118–4120 Stop Loss: 4125 Take Profit: 4105 → 4086 → 4060 → 4040 💖 BUY Scenario (preferred with the main pattern) Buy: 4042–4040 Stop Loss: 4034 Take Profit: 4075 → 4090 → 4100 → 4140 → 4200 ⚠️ Important Notes Trading based on patterns is always expectation-driven, so combine it with candlestick confirmation on smaller timeframes (M15–M30) before entering. Upcoming FOMC Meeting and NFP report, especially after the long U.S. government shutdown period, may cause unpredictable volatility. Reduce position size and avoid holding large trades during major news events. 🌷 Final Thoughts from LanaM2 The H4 Head & Shoulders pattern on Gold is offering attractive opportunities for both short-term Sells and trend-aligned Buys 💛 Stay patient, wait for price to reach the marked zones, follow your stop-loss rules, and avoid FOMO during high-impact news. If you found this helpful, please 💛 Like – 💬 Comment – 🔔 Follow LanaM2 for daily Gold insights!
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Lana_M2
BTC Swing 8R reversal scenario....BTC moved as per our plan throughout last 10-15 days and crashed to ~ 90K levels, now it has reached to its critical level of reversal, which is weekly FVG CE area. Price has already shown change in delivery at 4H level. All these making it a really good contender for a long swing trade which may even lead to all time high. 1. Price has tested CE of weekly strong FVG and formed CISD at 4-hour level. 2. Now it is testing CISD imbalance area to form proper entry model… 3. We may wait for MSS to occur in this area in 15 minutes for more precise entries. 4. Most probably price will take liquidity of FVG/RDRB level and create MSS/CISD/TS/iFVG in LTF. 5. Price should show rejection/reversal in respective LTF (5m/15m) at FVG zone. 6. Take the trade only once clear entry model i.e. turtle soup. iFVG break, CDS or MSS happens on LTF All these combinations are signalling a high probability and ~8R trade scenario. Note – if you liked this analysis, please boost the idea so that other can also get benefit of it. Also follow me for notification for incoming ideas. Also Feel free to comment if you have any input to share. Join me on live stream for real time update. Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Please do your own research (DYOR) and check with your financial advisor before making any trading decisions.
BINANCE:BTCUSDLong
by HareeyMarketMantraah
3
LiamTrading – XAUUSD H1 | Gold on a downward trend, hitting ...💛 LiamTrading – XAUUSD H1 | Gold on a downward trend, hitting strong support around 4005 🎯 Gold has plunged from its peak, currently “visiting” the 4005–3990 zone, where trendline + POC/OB + high liquidity converge. This is a zone where a technical rebound might occur, but the short-term trend remains bearish, so any BUY orders need to wait for clear confirmation. 🔍 Fundamental Analysis Goldman Sachs forecasts that during 2025–2026, central banks will purchase an average of ~80 tons of gold per month, a significant driver that could push gold towards 4,900 USD/oz by the end of 2026. This keeps the long-term trend of gold bullish, but in the short term, deep corrections like the current one are normal to “shake off” positions before big money returns. 📊 Technical Analysis Current trend: H1 is still in a short-term downtrend phase (lower high – lower low), with prices below the 4080–4100 resistance zone and below the nearest descending trendline. Main support zones: 4005–3990: intersection of long-term rising trendline, POC – OB, old VAH/VAL zone → crucial support, potential for bottom-fishing buying force. 3975–3977: deeper support, coinciding with liquidity zone & recent low. Key resistance zones: 4098–4100: confluence of resistance + trendline test → ideal zone to watch for SELL retracement. Above is the cluster 4011 – 4053 – 4077 – 4098–4100 acting like “steps” for scalping orders. Volume Profile: Heavy trading volume around the 4000–4020 zone → prices tend to revisit this area multiple times before moving away. 🎯 Reference Trading Scenarios SELL – following the downtrend (priority) Entry: 4098–4100 SL: 4105 TP: 4082 → 4060 → 4035 → 4012 Price retraces to resistance + descending trendline. Only trigger when M15–H1 shows clear rejection candles (pin bar/bearish engulfing) around 4098–4100. BUY – catching the rebound at strong support Entry: 3975–3977 SL: 3970 TP: 3995 → 4025 → 4050 → 4080 Confluence support zone at channel bottom + POC/OB + liquidity. Only BUY when there is strong rejection or a clear reversal pattern (M15–H1). ⚠️ Price zones to watch for scalping 4011 – 4053 – 4077 – 3939 These zones are suitable for short scalps, prioritising the main trend (currently bearish), quick exits – do not hold positions too long. 🧠 Risks & Invalidations H1 closes above 4105 → reduces SELL priority, wait for new structure. H1 closes below 3970 → bad structure for BUY side, potential for further decline to lower zones. Are you watching to BUY or SELL gold in this zone? 👉 Comment your perspective & Follow LiamTrading channel for daily XAUUSD plans.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by LiamTradingFX
XAUUSD – TWO MAIN SCENARIOS FOR THE DAY: MONITOR REACTION AT...💛 XAUUSD – TWO MAIN SCENARIOS FOR THE DAY: MONITOR REACTION AT TRENDLINE 🎯 🌤 1. Overview Hello everyone 💬 Gold is currently waiting at the H4 trendline, indicating the market is lacking volume to decide the next direction. Although the price is adjusting after the drop from the 4,400 USD zone, the larger trend is still supported by strong buying flows from central banks. 💹 Market Context According to Goldman Sachs, the current decline is only temporary, as the demand for gold as a safe haven asset remains strong: US bond yields are falling USD is weakening The US economy is under pressure from unemployment and inflation In September alone, central banks purchased 64 tonnes of gold, and forecasts suggest that November may continue this strong accumulation trend. 💹 Technical Analysis 📉 If Gold breaks below the trendline → the market will trigger strong selling pressure, pulling back to the 395x zone, where there is low liquidity and important support. 📈 Conversely, if the price holds the trendline and volume pushes up, a short-term upward structure will form. 📌 The 4068 zone is a key level — if the price retests this area and falls back, Buy will only activate when it reaches 4034. 🎯 Reference Trading Scenarios 🔻 SELL – When breaking the trendline (priority if volume is strong) Sell 4036–4038 │ SL: 4044 TP: 4010 → 3995 → 3970 → 3945 🔹 BUY – Strong support 395x Buy 3952–3954 │ SL: 3957 TP: 3975 → 3995 → 4030 🔸 BUY maintaining trend (if price rebounds at 4068) Buy at 4034 after confirmation signal ⚠️ Important Note Volume is currently low, making the market prone to stop sweeps, so enter orders with small volume. The larger trend is still supported by flows from central banks, but in the short term, Gold may fluctuate strongly around the trendline. Prioritize trading based on price reactions at key zones rather than predicting direction in advance. 🌷Gold is in a sensitive phase at the H4 trendline 💛 If you find this useful, please 💛 Like – 💬 Comment – 🔔 Follow LanaM2 to receive daily gold analysis ✨
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Lana_M2
LiamTrading – XAUUSD H1 | Continue to watch for SELL at the ...LiamTrading – XAUUSD H1 | Continue to watch for SELL at the start of the week – wait for price to retrace to the trendline & resistance for a perfect entry Gold is experiencing a sharp decline amidst global market liquidity pressures. The simultaneous drop in gold, stocks, and Bitcoin indicates that capital is being withdrawn from risky assets and even safe havens, similar to tense periods like the 2008 crisis or the early 2020 pandemic. Investors are selling profitable assets to cover losses elsewhere. In the long run, gold usually recovers sooner, but in the short term, the downtrend still prevails. On H1, the price is below the descending trendline, under the 4100 resistance, and is moving in a clear Lower High – Lower Low structure. This is a good signal to continue prioritising SELL orders retracing to resistance. 🔍 Technical Analysis (Trendline • S/R • Fibonacci • Liquidity) The descending trendline is the biggest barrier; each time the price hits the trendline, it is strongly rejected. Main Resistance: 4098–4100: resistance area + confluence with the trendline. 4120–4130: stronger area if the price retraces deeply (close to Fibo 0.382). Target Support: 4065: intermediate support – where the price has bounced slightly several times before. 4040 – 4025: large liquidity area – confluence with the H1 FVG bottom. 3985–3995: the end zone of the down wave if the selling force expands. Liquidity Zone: Many liquidity sweep bottoms continuously → indicates that the selling force still prevails. The lower FVG area (around 4025–4040) is highly likely to be filled within the week. 📉 Trading Scenario (prioritise SELL retracement) Scenario – SELL retracement to trendline + resistance (priority) Entry: 4098–4100 SL: 4106 TP: 4088 → 4065 → 4040 → 4025 💡 Suggestion: Wait for M5–M15 to form a rejection candle (pin bar / bearish engulfing) before executing the order. When to BUY? Only BUY if: H1 closes above 4120, breaking the descending trendline → short-term trend phase change. If this signal is not present → do not rush to buy against the trend. ⚠️ Important Note The phenomenon of “selling everything to hold cash” may continue → gold may remain under pressure in the short term. Which price range are you watching for today's session? Comment below & Follow LiamTrading channel for the fastest updates!
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by LiamTradingFX
XAUUSD – UPDATE ON SCENARIO AFTER WEEKLY OPEN💛 XAUUSD – UPDATE ON SCENARIO AFTER WEEKLY OPEN 🎯 🌤 Overview Hello everyone 💬 Gold prices at the start of the week are mostly unchanged, the price structure on H4 remains the same, so Lana continues to maintain the old trading strategy. Currently, gold is weakly reacting around the medium-term resistance area, not strong enough to break through – but also no clear reversal signals. 💹 Technical Analysis 📉 Prices are moving within a narrow range between key liquidity zones: Zone 4138–4140 is the near resistance, where the market has repeatedly reacted with declines. Zone 4200 coincides with confluence fibo + descending trendline – strong resistance. Zone 3990–3988 is important support, also a lower liquidity area, suitable for technical rebound Buy. Market liquidity is weak, as shown by the pin bars and narrowing range. 🎯 Reference Trading Plan 💢 SELL (priority on correction rhythm) 4138–4140 ｜ SL: 4146 ｜ TP: 4120 → 4105 → 4089 4200 ｜ SL: 4212 ｜ TP: 4185 → 4160 → 4133 💖 BUY (strong support) 3990–3988 ｜ SL: 3984 ｜ TP: 4002 → 4032 → 4060 ⚠️ Market Insight (Macro Insight) Gold declines simultaneously with US stocks and Bitcoin, indicating a lack of liquidity across the market. This behaviour is common during phases like: Financial Crisis 2008 Early pandemic panic 2020 Investors are forced to sell even profitable assets to cover losses, causing gold – despite being a safe haven asset – to also decline. This reflects a strong increase in cash demand and widespread fear. 🌷 Conclusion with LanaM2 Gold is moving within a tight range and is heavily dependent on liquidity 💛 If you find this useful, please 💛 Like – 💬 Comment – 🔔 Follow LanaM2 for daily gold analysis ✨
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Lana_M2
Gold/XAUSSD weekly analysis and possible sell/buy scenarios....Currently gold is showing pressure and generating sell signals. There are multiple sell opportunities developed in Gold in different time frames. And we can anticipate couple of opportunities out of these will trigger. Gold has already created CISD on HTF and tested daily FVG and changed delivery and showing down fall in price. There is already one sell scenario executed. And we can see few more in coming week. 1. Price has already changed delivery in daily time frame and tasted daily FVG and price is falling now. 2. Currently price is holding at daily FVG and we may see slight pull back around the levels of 424152 & 4205 and then further fall till ~3888 level. 3. We can see another higher probability sell scenario at 4300 level if aforementioned levels are breached. 4. RSI is also showing sell side pressure, giving another confluence. 5. Most probably price will take liquidity of FVG/RDRB level and create MSS/CISD/TS/iFVG in LTF. 6. Price should show rejection/reversal in respective LTF (1h/15m) at FVG zone. 7. Take the trade only once clear entry model i.e. turtle soup. iFVG break, CDS or MSS happens on LTF All these combinations are signalling a high probability and ~10R trade scenario. Note – if you liked this analysis, please boost the idea so that other can also get benefit of it. Also follow me for notification for incoming ideas. Also Feel free to comment if you have any input to share. Join me on live stream for real time update. Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Please do your own research (DYOR) and check with your financial advisor before making any trading decisions.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by HareeyMarketMantraah
3
LiamTrading – XAUUSD H1 | Two scenarios for the new weekLiamTrading – XAUUSD H1 | Two scenarios for the new week: wait for reactions at 4100 & Fibonacci zone – prioritise bullish trades when the market recovers Gold is completing a technical rebound after a sharp drop, and H1 is showing two clear scenarios for the new week. The medium-term trend remains a corrective decline, but on H1, the price is in a rebound phase, so bullish trades will be prioritised – as long as the lower liquidity zones are maintained. The key this week lies at 4100, where FVG, Fibonacci, and liquidity converge – this is the decisive point to see if gold will bounce back or continue to decline deeply. 🔍 Technical Analysis (Fibonacci • Trendline • Liquidity • Volume Zone) Fibonacci H1: The price may rebound to Fib 0.5 (~4140–4150) – a zone with high liquidity & likely to show a bearish reaction. Fib 0.382 (~4120–4130) is currently the first short-term resistance. Price Structure: The medium-term downtrend is still present, but H1 is forming a rebound wave → prioritise buying when the price pulls back at the support zone. The descending trendline is still controlling the market. If it breaks the trendline + holds above 4130–4150 → the uptrend is confirmed stronger. Important liquidity zones: 4100: liquidity confluence + previous bullish resistance → strong reaction zone. 4085 and 4060: liquidity bottoms – if breached, it will trigger a deep decline scenario. 4032: FVG + Fibonacci bottom – the "break or hold" zone for buyers. Key resistance this week: 4161 – 4187 – 4138 – 4111 📈 TRADING SCENARIOS FOR THE NEW WEEK Scenario 1 – Bullish trade (priority) Logic: Gold is rebounding; if it holds 4100 and pulls back strongly → target is the upper Fibonacci zone. Entry: 4100–4111 SL: 4090 TP: 4138 → 4161 → 4187 Suggestion: Wait for strong signals like pin bar or engulfing H1 to confirm the rebound bottom. Scenario 2 – Bearish trade (when the market fails to hold the bottom) Logic: If gold breaks the H1 bottom and retests 4100 without holding → the medium-term downtrend continues to activate. Entry: 4100–4108 (retest after break) SL: 4120 TP: 4085 → 4060 → 4032 Suggestion: Only enter when H1 closes below 4100. 🌍 Macro Analysis – Fed causes market noise According to the latest data from CME Watch: 54.1% chance the Fed maintains rates at 375–400 bps 45.9% chance the Fed cuts rates The ratio is almost balanced → the market is very indecisive, creating unpredictable volatility ahead of the 10/12 meeting. In this environment, gold often reacts strongly to unexpected news, so prioritise trading at liquidity zones – wait for clear confirmation. ⚠️ Invalidation Conditions Price closes below 4060 → fully prioritise bearish trades. Price closes above 4161 → strong bullish trade activated, discard all sell setups. What scenario are you preparing for the new week? Please comment & hit Follow on LiamTrading channel to receive the earliest analysis every day!
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by LiamTradingFX
XAUUSD – H4 SCENARIO FOR THE WEEK 17–21/11 💛 XAUUSD – H4 SCENARIO FOR THE WEEK 17–21/11 🎯 🌤 1. Overview Hello everyone, it's Lana here again 💬 The new week begins with a narrowing trading range on the H4 chart, signalling that gold is preparing for a more significant move. The current medium-term trend needs to break the descending trendline above to confirm the return of the buyers. 💹 Technical Analysis 📉 The end-of-week downtrend is entering a technical rebound phase and is likely to continue declining towards the 4000 trendline – a confluence with a strong liquidity zone. 🟣 Key price levels to watch include: 4138 – 4200 – 4212 – 4037. These are liquidity concentration points, expected to have a clear reaction according to market sentiment. 🔹 Traders can use Fibonacci retracement to spot selling entry points, combined with confirmation signals on smaller time frames (M15–M30). 🌐 Macro Context The financial market is facing difficulties as US tax policies change continuously, putting pressure on both Gold and Bitcoin. The end of the year is also a characteristic phase of the economic slowdown cycle, where the market tends to adjust more strongly. 🎯 Reference Trading Scenario (Reference Trading View) Priority is given to selling according to the technical rebound, especially when the price enters the confluence Fibo + liquidity zones. Buying is only considered when the price reacts strongly at the 4000 trendline or the 4037 zone. 🌷 6. Conclusion with LanaM2 Gold is in a zone preparing for a big move 💛 Be patient and wait for reactions at important liquidity zones to have a better and safer entry point. If you find it useful, please 💛 Like – 💬 Comment – 🔔 Follow LanaM2 to receive daily gold analysis! ✨
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Lana_M2
LiamTrading –XAUUSD H1|Gold approaches trendline – ready to...LiamTrading –XAUUSD H1|Gold approaches trendline – ready to explode, waiting for a breakout to choose direction! Gold is moving close to the lower trendline of the upward channel, indicating an accumulation state – waiting to choose direction. The price hasn't broken the 4210 resistance zone, but neither has it breached the trendline, so today's fluctuation will revolve around this structure. If the buying force is strong enough and closes the H1 candle above 4210, the upward trend will be reactivated with a broader target. Conversely, if the price breaks below the trendline, gold may decline to the POC area according to Volume Profile/Fibonacci around 4126–4130, where signals to buy again according to the main trend will be prioritized. 🔍 Technical Analysis (Volume Profile • Trendline • S/R • Fibonacci) H1 Upward Channel: Price is testing the trendline for the second time → a pullback bounce may appear if the selling force is weak. Strong Resistance: 4210: hard resistance – needs to break to confirm the rise. 4230: extended area, coinciding with the channel peak – likely to have a strong reaction. Important Support: 4174: intermediate support; breaking this level will trigger a short-term decline. 4126–4130: POC + large liquidity according to Volume Profile – the best buying area if a deep correction occurs. Market Sign: Weak candle force in the 4180–4190 area indicates gold is waiting for USD information before breaking direction. 📈 Daily Trading Scenarios Scenario 1 – Buy according to trend (priority) Entry: 4126–4128 (POC + Volume Profile support) SL: 4120 TP: 4140 → 4156 → 4180 → 4198 Suggestion: Wait for a rejection candle or reversal pattern at 412x. Scenario 2 – Sell when breaking trendline (counter-trend) Condition: H1 breaks below trendline + failed retest Entry: 4174–4176 SL: 4182 TP: 4150 → 4135 → 4110 Note: Only sell when there is a confirmation candle; this is a short-term surfing order. Scenario 3 – Buy when breaking and holding above 4210 (Break & Retest) Entry: 4212–4216 SL: 4202 TP: 4230 → 4260 → 4285 🌍 Macro Analysis – USD under pressure from new tariff plans President Trump is preparing to cut tariffs on goods from many Latin American countries (beef, bananas, coffee…). Objective: reduce domestic food prices, lower import costs. This could weaken the USD when officially announced → gold benefits in the medium term. ⚠️ Invalidation Condition H1 closes below 4120 → losing upward structure, may slide to 4090–4100. H1 closes above 4230 → cancel all sell orders, prioritize buying according to breakout. Which price area are you observing? Please comment below & hit Follow on LiamTrading channel to receive the earliest analysis every day!
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by LiamTradingFX
XAUUSD – H1: PRIORITISE BUY ACCORDING TO PRICE CHANNEL...💛 XAUUSD – H1: PRIORITISE BUY ACCORDING TO PRICE CHANNEL, WATCH FOR ADJUSTMENT MOVES 🎯 🌤 Overview Gold is maintaining its upward channel on H1 → main mindset: hold Buy longer than Sell. Asian–European sessions present multiple liquidity clusters suitable for scalping and optimising entry points. Fundamentals: DXY retreats around 99.15, market reduces expectations of Fed rate cut in December; Fed's Collins hints rates may remain unchanged longer → gold's range may experience short-term fluctuations. 💹 Technical (ICT view) H1 upward channel maintains a structure of higher lows; the lower trendline is the main support. 4163–4165: confluence of trendline + liquidity (ideal Buy entry point). 4130–4133: deeper support; below that is the 4100–4080 zone (medium-term support; around Fibo ext 1.618 ≈ 4114 and 2.618 ≈ 4054). Nearby resistance: 4215–4225; a decisive break opens up to 4260. 🎯 Trading Plan Reference Buy #1 (priority): 4163–4165 │ SL 4157 │ TP 4180 → 4195 → 4220 → 4260 Buy #2 (deeper support): 4130–4133 │ SL 4125 │ TP 4150 → 4175 → 4190 → 4220 Sell (only with confirmation): Scenario A: M15/M30 gives strong rejection signal at 4215–4225 → SL 4230 │ TP 4200 → 4188 → 4165. Scenario B: H1 closes below 4157 (breaks structure) then fails retest → target 4135 → 4115 → 4100. ⚠️ Risk Management Notes Prioritise Buy according to trend; Sell orders are only short-term reactions. Use M15/M5 to time entries at the specified zones. If H1 closes below 4125, consider narrowing buy positions, wait for the 4100–4080 zone. 🌷 Conclusion H1 upward channel still guides the flow 💛. Patiently wait for adjustments to 4163–4165 or 4130–4133 to buy according to trend, manage orders tightly as price approaches 4215–4225. If useful, please 💛 like – 💬 comment – 🔔 follow LanaM2 for daily gold updates ✨
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Lana_M2
Axis bank is forming a good buy scenario.Axis Bank is in slow selling for weeks after a strong rally and now forming a bullish scenario. It is taking reversal from protection trendline and braking out bearish trendline. It is also taking support from daily order block. it is also taking rejection from 21 EMA All other Higher duration EMAs are synced in upside direction. Rejection point is forming a cluster of multiple parameters . All these in combination making it an attractive buying scenario.... Note – if you liked this analysis, please boost the idea so that other can also get benefit of it. Also follow me for notification for incoming ideas. Also Feel free to comment if you have any input to share. Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Please do your own research (DYOR) and check with your financial advisor before making any trading decisions.
NSE:AXISBANKLong
by HareeyMarketMantraah
4
GOLD TRAPPED BETWEEN LIQUIDITY ZONES – WAITING FOR SMART MONEY M🧭 DAILY TRADING PLAN – GOLD (XAU/USD) Date: Oct 31, 2025 Main timeframe: M30 – H1 Strategy: SMC + Liquidity Grab + BOS/CHOCH Confirmation 🎯 Hook: Gold is currently ranging between two key liquidity zones after a bullish BOS. Will price hunt the weak high or sweep the buy-side liquidity before the next leg? 🌐 MARKET CONTEXT After a strong recovery from 3960 → 4040, price created a weak high with no significant displacement. The recent rejection from 4037–4039 suggests short-term supply pressure, but overall market structure remains bullish with multiple BOS confirmations. Current structure shows a liquidity grab → retracement phase before continuation. 📈 TRADING PLAN Scenario 1 – BUY setup (preferable) Entry zone: 3996 – 3994 Confirmation: Bullish reaction / CHoCH on lower timeframe (M5–M15) TP1: 4030 TP2: 4038 (liquidity above weak high) SL: 3988 (≈ 6$ risk range) Bias: Continuation bullish leg after mitigation Alternative BUY zone (deep retracement): Entry: 3960 – 3958 TP: 4030 SL: 3952 Use only if price sweeps lower liquidity. Scenario 2 – SELL setup (counter-trade) Entry zone: 4037 – 4039 Confirmation: M15 bearish CHoCH / rejection candle TP1: 4010 TP2: 3995 SL: 4045 (≈ 6$ risk range) Bias: Short-term sell before retest demand 🧩 SUMMARY Market still shows bullish structure, so buy setups at demand zones are higher probability. Sell setups should be quick scalps around the weak high, targeting intraday retracement.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Anneliese_Engel
Gold shakes violently | Priority Buy on dip to support🟡 XAU/USD – 24/09 | Captain Vincent ⚓ 🔎 Captain’s Log – Context & News Geopolitics : Trump unexpectedly supported Ukraine reclaiming full territory and called on NATO to be tougher on Russia → defensive sentiment returned, supporting Gold. US Economy : Housing data due today, no FED speeches. Earlier: Weak US PMI + dovish FED tone → no momentum for a prolonged downtrend. Price Action : Gold dropped more than 20 points overnight, then quickly rebounded to 3,76x → likely profit-taking pressure at higher levels. ⏩ Captain’s Summary : Main trend stays bullish, but the voyage will remain choppy as Gold absorbs profit-taking near resistance. 📈 Captain’s Chart – Technical Analysis (H45) Golden Harbor (Support / Buy Zone) Buy Scalp OB: 3,754 – 3,757 OB Harbor: 3,741 – 3,744 Storm Breaker (Resistance / Sell Zone) Sell Scalp Zone: 3,797 – 3,800 Higher Sell Zone: 3,813 – 3,815 Market Structure After the deep drop, Gold rebounded and held above 3,76x. Bullish trend remains intact, but waves of volatility may occur near higher resistance zones. 🎯 Captain’s Map – Trade Plan ✅ Buy (priority) Buy Scalp OB Entry: 3,754 – 3,757 SL: 3,747 TP: 3,762 – 3,767 – 3,772 – 3,777 – 3,782 Buy Zone OB Entry: 3,741 – 3,744 SL: 3,732 TP: 3,749 – 3,754 – 3,759 – 3,764 – 3,769 ⚡ Sell (short scalp – lower RR) Sell Scalp Zone Entry: 3,797 – 3,800 SL: 3,806 TP: 3,795 – 3,790 – 3,785 – 3,780 – 3,775 Higher Sell Zone Entry: 3,813 – 3,815 SL: 3,823 TP: 3,810 – 3,805 – 3,800 – 3,795 – 3,790 ⚓ Captain’s Note “The Golden ship rocked violently overnight but still anchored firmly at Golden Harbor 🏝️ (3,754 – 3,741) . Profit-taking waves may still rise at Storm Breaker 🌊 (3,797 – 3,815) , suitable for short Quick Boarding 🚤 scalps. Yet the main voyage continues north – Buy the Dip remains the compass to follow the strong winds.” 📢 If you find the Captain’s Log useful, don’t forget to Follow for the latest signals. 💬 Got your own view on Gold? Share it in the comments and join the crew discussion!
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by CaptainVincent
BTCUSD 4.5R sell side beautiful scenarioBTCUSD is in range from last 5 days but now it is showing Smart Money’s interest. And it appears a down side trade is being developed as it has swept upside liquidity and forming CISD after displacement. 1. It has taken upside liquidity. 2. Formed CISD after displacement. 3. It has formed FVG and BPR on 1h time frame and price is inside POI. 4. POI is created inside OTE zone confirming good RnR. 5. Most probably price will take liquidity of FVG and OTE zone and create MSS/TS in LTF. 6. Price should show rejection/reversal in LTF (5m,1m) at FVG zone. All these combinations are signalling a high probability and 4.5R trade scenario. Note – if you liked this analysis, please boost the idea so that other can also get benefit of it. Also follow me for notification for incoming ideas. Also Feel free to comment if you have any input to share. Disclaimer – This analysis is just for education purpose not any trading suggestion. Please take the trade at your own risk and with the discussion with your financial advisor.
DELTAIN:BTCUSD.PShort
by HareeyMarketMantraah
1:7 RnR trade opportunity on GBPCADGBPCAD is forming a great price action and scenario. Which may lead to high risk and reward trade. Below are the signals noticed ... 1. Price has broken 10 days’ consolidation of trend line and nearby resistance as well. 2. Created BOS and FVG on 1-hour time frame in discount area. 3. Price is running above VWAP and 21 EMA. And 21 EMA crossing over VWAP. 4. Now we can expect a pullback till FVG area. All these combinations are signalling a high probability and high RnR (1:7) trade scenario. Note – if liked this analysis, please boost the idea so that other can also get benefit of it. Also follow me for notification for incoming ideas. Disclaimer – This analysis is just for education purpose not any trading suggestion. Please take the trade at your own risk and with the discussion with your financial advisor.
Long
by HareeyMarketMantraah
Gold consolidates as new alliances emerge | Captain Vincent 1. News Wave 🌍 At the two-day summit in Shanghai, Prime Minister Modi and President Xi Jinping announced that India and China will become development partners rather than competitors. The meeting also included Russia and four Central Asian nations, aiming to form a Southern Hemisphere bloc to counterbalance the US and the West. 👉 This signals a shift in geopolitical power, heightening concerns of global polarization → Gold continues to hold its safe-haven position. 2. Technical Analysis ⚙️ On the H2 chart, Gold has formed a Higher High after the recent strong breakout. Storm Breaker 🌊 (Sell Zone 3511 – 3518): Strong resistance, potential for supply if price retests. Golden Harbor 🏝️ (Buy Zone 3450 – 3448): Confluence with FVG + Fibonacci 0.5/0.618, a key support for pullback entries. Main Trend: Gold likely to move sideways between 3450 – 3510 before choosing a major direction. 3. Captain Vincent’s Map – Trade Scenarios 🪙 🔻 Storm Breaker 🌊 (SELL Reaction) Entry: 3511 – 3508 SL: 3518 TP: 3505 → 3500 → 3497 → 349x → 348x 🏝️ Golden Harbor (BUY Zone – Strong Support) Entry: 3450 – 3448 SL: 3440 TP: 3453 → 3456 → 3459 → 3462 → 346x 4. Captain’s Note ⚓ "Political news continues to stir the golden sea 🌊. Bears are waiting at Storm Breaker 3511, but the safe harbor remains Golden Harbor 3450 – 3448. In such unpredictable waters, prioritise short-term sells to flow with safe-haven demand, rather than recklessly facing the storm."
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by CaptainVincent
Gold Plan (28/08) – Ahead of 3,400: Breakout or Correction to ??XAU/USD – Gold hits Storm Breaker 3400: Accumulation before breaking ATH? 1. Market Wave 🌍 Throughout last week, Gold continuously formed BOS (Break of Structure) , confirming that buyers remain in control. Currently, price is consolidating around 3,394 – 3,400, right at the Storm Breaker 🌊 , the crucial barrier before heading towards the old ATH at 3,424. The key question: Will Gold accumulate here and smash through ATH, or will it need a pullback to safe harbors before a strong rally in September? 2. Technical Analysis ⚙️ Storm Breaker 🌊 (Strong Resistance): 3400 – 3424 (old ATH). The gateway Gold must conquer to open a new bullish leg. Golden Harbor 🏝️ (Key Support): 3375 – 3355 – 3330. Confluence with FVG + Fibonacci 0.5/0.618 , likely to attract liquidity if price corrects. Short-term scenario: Price may pull back to Golden Harbor before breaking higher. 3. Captain Vincent’s Map – Trade Scenarios 🪙 🔺 Quick Boarding 🚤 (BUY Scalp – Rebound Priority) Entry: 3353 – 3355 SL: 3349 TP: 3356 → 3359 → 3361 → 33xx 🔻 Storm Breaker 🌊 (SELL Reaction – Old ATH) Entry: 3422 – 3424 (if tested) SL: 3430 TP: 3419 → 3415 → 3410 → 3405 → 33xx 4. Captain’s Note ⚓ "The Gold ship is now pressing against Storm Breaker 🌊 3400 – 3424 . If it breaks through, the vast ocean opens a new trend. But if the waves push back, patiently wait at Golden Harbor 🏝️ to anchor and catch the September tide."
OANDA:XAUUSD
by CaptainVincent
Gold Plan 27/08 – Captain Vincent (IN)XAU/USD – Trump strengthens control over the FED, Gold consolidates near Storm Breaker 1. News Wave 🌍 Trump: “We will soon have majority control at the FED. Miran may be moved to another position with a longer term.” Trump: “I already have a candidate in mind to replace FED Governor L. Cook.” US Senate: Preparing hearings next week for Trump’s nominee – S. Miran . 👉 Message: Trump is consolidating power within the FED. Market fears FED losing independence → USD volatility rises, Gold benefits from safe-haven flows . 2. Technical Outlook ⚙️ Gold is approaching Storm Breaker 🌊 (3400 – 3402) , overlapping with resistance 3392 – 3406 → profit-taking likely . On H1, multiple FVGs remain unfilled around 3355 & 3330 → Price may correct to retest these supports before choosing direction. Intraday bias: Range-bound → Sell at resistance, short Buy at supports. 3. Captain Vincent’s Map – Key Levels 🪙 Resistance (Kháng cự): 3406 – 3400 – 3392 (Storm Breaker 🌊) Support (Hỗ trợ): 3372 (Minor Shield 🛡️) 3355 (Quick Boarding 🚤 – Buy Scalp Zone) 3344 (Intermediate Shield 🛡️) 3330 (Golden Harbor 🏝️ – Main Buy Zone) 4. Trade Scenarios 📌 🔻 SELL at Storm Breaker 🌊 (Priority) Entry: 3400 – 3402 SL: 3408 TP: 3395 → 3393 → 3389 → 3386 → 33xx 🚤 BUY Scalp – Quick Boarding Entry: 3353 – 3355 SL: 3345 TP: 3358 → 3361 → 3363 → 33xx 🏝️ BUY at Golden Harbor (Strong Support) Entry: 3330 – 3332 SL: 3325 TP: 3335 → 3338 → 3341 → 33xx 5. Captain’s Note ⚓ "Gold today faces Storm Breaker 🌊 above, but multiple shields of support remain below. Smart traders will scalp quickly at Quick Boarding 🚤, or patiently wait for Golden Harbor 🏝️ to anchor safely."
OANDA:XAUUSD
by CaptainVincent