Get started

Smctrading

Gold preparing for correction under FED & geopolitic - Vincent🟡 Gold Plan 25/08 – Captain Vincent ⚓ 1. Market Context 🌍 Russia – Ukraine: Trump puts pressure on Putin to negotiate within 2 weeks. This looks positive for peace, but also carries escalation risks → Gold keeps its safe-haven role . FED – Powell at Jackson Hole: Hawkish tone reduced expectations of a September rate cut from 3 to 2. USD strengthened → short-term downside pressure on Gold . 👉 Mix of political support vs FED pressure → Sideways market, Gold may need a pullback to absorb liquidity before showing clear direction. 2. Technical Outlook ⚙️ H4 candle closed bearish → Buying momentum weakens , sellers may return. Recent FVG created after sharp bounce → Likely pullback for liquidity grab . Bias of the day: Prioritise Sell, but short Buy Scalp setups possible at support. 3. Key Levels – Captain Vincent’s Map 🪙 Resistance: Storm Breaker 🌊 (Sell Zone 3398 – 3400) 3376 (intermediate resistance – watch reaction) Support: Quick Boarding 🚤 (Buy Scalp 3340 – 3342) SL: 3333 TP: 3345 → 3349 → 3353 → 3357 → 33xx Golden Harbor 🏝️ (Buy Zone 3328 – 3326) SL: 3318 TP: 3332 → 3336 → 3339 → 33xx Higher Low – 3323 Anchor point of the trend → If broken, need to reassess all Buy setups. 4. Trade Scenarios 📌 🔻 Sell at Storm Breaker 🌊 Entry: 3398 – 3400 SL: 3408 TP: 3395 → 3390 → 3387 → 3384 → 33xx 🚤 Buy Scalp at Quick Boarding Entry: 3340 – 3342 SL: 3333 TP: 3345 → 3349 → 3353 → 3357 → 33xx 🏝️ Buy at Golden Harbor (3328 – 3326) SL: 3318 TP: 3332 → 3336 → 3339 → 33xx 5. Captain’s Note ⚓ "Today, the golden sea is full of undercurrents: FED winds blow against, politics push along. Those who pick Storm Breaker 🌊 may ride the wave safely; those who patiently wait at Golden Harbor 🏝️ will find peace. Quick Boarding 🚤 is for sailors seeking fast scalps in narrow waters."
OANDA:XAUUSD
by CaptainVincent
Gold Plan 22/08 – Captain Vincent ( IN )Background On the H1 timeframe , Gold continues to move sideways within the 3328 – 3350 range, sweeping liquidity again and again, making it difficult for retail traders to spot a clear trend. Currently, Gold has absorbed almost all liquidity from the Nonfarm FVG . Therefore, the next price action will largely depend on smart money moves and upcoming news catalysts . Even though the overall trend is still unclear, we can still build trading setups around these key levels . 🪙 Key Levels 🔹 Storm Breaker 🌊 (Sell Zone 3368 – 3370) SL: 3376 TP: 3365 → 3360 → 3355 → 3350 → 33xx 🔹 Golden Harbor 🏝️ (Buy Zone 3313 – 3315) SL: 3305 TP: 3320 → 3325 → 3330 → 33xx 📌 Trading Outlook On higher timeframes, sellers still hold the advantage . However, Gold may need to test resistance zones again to confirm. If price reaches Storm Breaker 🌊 → Watch for reaction and prepare to Sell. If price drops to Golden Harbor 🏝️ → Strong support remains for short-term Buy opportunities. ⚓ Captain Vincent’s Note "When the sharks sweep the waves, retail traders panic. But those holding the key level map will always know where the safe harbor lies."
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by CaptainVincent
GOLD PLAN – Captain Vincent🏴‍☠️ GOLD PLAN – Captain Vincent ⚓ Background After the Nonfarm payrolls, Gold created a Captain’s Liquidity Void (large imbalance zone). Price has now almost completely filled this gap. On higher timeframes, Gold still maintains a Lower High – Lower Low structure, confirming that sellers remain in control . However, during the Asian & European sessions, we usually see technical pullbacks to collect liquidity – those moves will be our chance to enter in line with the main direction. 📍 Key Levels for Today 🔹 Captain’s Trap Zone (3330 – 3332) Confluence of Fibo 0.5 – 0.618 and trendline breakout. Main SELL setup at this zone. SL: 3336 – 3338 TP: 3325 → 3320 → 3315 → 33xx 🔹 Captain’s Quick Shot (3313) Nonfarm breakout zone , heavy SELL volume. Suitable for short BUY scalp if price reacts strongly. SL: 3308 TP: 3318 → 3322 → 3326 🔹 Captain’s Safe Harbor (3300 – 3302) Start of previous bullish leg, strongest support of the day . If Quick Shot breaks, this becomes the main BUY accumulation zone . SL: 3293 TP: 3305 → 3310 → 3315 → 33xx 🔹 Captain’s Shield (3313) If held multiple times → becomes a short-term key support . ⚡ Trading Scenarios Sell Priority : Short at Captain’s Trap Zone. Quick Buy : Scalp around Captain’s Quick Shot if sharp reaction. Breakdown : If 3313 fails → Buy at Safe Harbor (3300 – 3302). 📌 Captain’s Reminder SELL bias is still dominant → Do not FOMO buy without clear signals. The US session may bring high volatility from geopolitical headlines. Manage your capital with discipline.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by CaptainVincent
Red CHoCH Confirms the Bears – Sell at Premium Zone📌 Gold Plan – M30 Timeframe | Captain Vincent ⚓ Background On the D1 chart, the candle closed lower, showing bearish pressure still dominates. On H4, the bearish structure continues. However, Gold is currently stuck around 3345/oz, unable to make a clear breakout. The 3323 – 3335 zone remains strong support – a level where Vincent has bought multiple times before with solid profits. But with the current structure, today’s priority will be Sell in line with the main trend. Sell Zone – Premium 🎯 Entry: 3345 – 3347 SL: 3352 TP: 3340 → 3335 → 3330 → 33xx SMC Note (CHoCH 🔴) On the M30 timeframe, a recent red CHoCH has appeared – a signal confirming that sellers have regained control. This strengthens the case for selling at upper resistance zones. Today’s Scenarios If price holds below 3345 – 3347 → Prioritise short setups, selling in line with the downtrend. If price breaks below current support → High chance the market will move to fill the previous FVG. In that case, wait for a Breakout Down retest to enter safer. Consider entering one small probe trade first, then go in stronger once a reversal candle confirmation appears. Resistance to watch: 3337 – 3345 Support to watch: 3323 – 3335 ⚠️ Captain’s Note: "SMC structure with a red CHoCH has confirmed that the bears are steering the market. We will flow with the main current – Sell at the Premium Zone – but always with discipline, waiting for clear confirmation before taking action."
OANDA:XAUUSD
by CaptainVincent
Gold Plan 14/08 – Captain VincentGold Plan 14/08 – Captain Vincent ⚓ Background Yesterday, Gold touched the Sell Scalp zone and cruised smoothly for 220 pips 🎯. However, it failed to break the previous Buy Zone and is now maintaining a bullish structure on the H1 chart, with higher lows forming. Today, the market may move slower as traders await the US PPI data , so each entry point must be taken with caution. Zone 1 – Golden Harbor 🏝️ (Main Buy Zone – SMC Demand) Entry: 3,334 – 3,332 SL: 3,327 TP: 3,338 → 3,342 → 3,346 → 33xx Note: This is the main buy zone, aligned with the SMC Demand Zone. Enter only if there’s a clear reversal signal (Pin Bar / Engulfing) on M15/H1. Zone 2 – Storm Breaker 🌊 (Sell Zone – SMC Supply) Entry: 3,398 – 3,400 SL: 3,407 TP: 3,394 → 3,390 → 3,386 → 33xx Note: Strong sell zone. Watch price reaction before entry. Prefer partial profit-taking along the way. Today’s Scenarios If price tests Golden Harbor → Wait for pin bar or engulfing, then Buy in line with the uptrend. If price approaches Storm Breaker → Look for short-term sell setups on reversal signals. If price stays in the mid-range → Stay on the shore, save energy for the golden moment. Captain’s Note: "Today, the golden sea still rides the bullish tide, but the PPI winds may shift without warning. Keep the helm steady, and anchor only at safe harbors." 🏴‍☠️📈
OANDA:XAUUSD
by CaptainVincent
Gold (XAUUSD) - Daily ICT Based Analysis🗓️ Date Range: IPDA Range (June 9 – July 4, 2025) This chart is built using ICT methodology focusing on market structure, liquidity, PD arrays, and smart money price delivery. 🧠 Narrative Breakdown: ✅ IPDA Range is defined from June 9 to July 4 (20 trading days), providing the valid high and low to map premium/discount. ✅ A Market Structure Shift (MSS) confirms the intent to shift bearish after internal liquidity was swept. ✅ Price ran the Buy Side Liquidity (BSL) and rejected from the Daily Rejection Block (RB.D) and CISD + IPDA S.D., indicating institutional selling interest. ✅ The recent rally into the premium zone failed to close above BSL, showing weakness and potential continuation to the downside. 🎯 Key Points: BSL Swept above internal range. RB.D + CISD + IPDA S.D.: Price rejected from these confluences. Current Bias: Bearish until 3,203.47 and 3,189.82 are met (internal sell-side liquidity). Extended Target: 2,993.69 — external liquidity resting below the May low. DOL marked inside the range suggests smart money is engineering price toward sell-side targets. ⚒️ Tools Used: IPDA Range (20D) MSS / BoS Rejection Block (RB.D) CISD + IFVG PD Arrays (BSL, IDM, DOL) 📌 Summary: This is a classic Sell Model within a defined IPDA range. Liquidity was swept, price rejected from premium, and now seeks inefficiencies + sell-side liquidity. 🧠 Wait for price action confirmations on lower timeframes (1H/15M) near PD arrays to engage.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDShort
by hrishabh_07
Gold (XAUUSD) - Daily ICT Based AnalysisThis chart reflects a detailed breakdown of Gold using Inner Circle Trader (ICT) concepts on the daily timeframe. 🧠 Key Highlights: Break of Structure (BoS) and Market Structure Shift (MSS) confirm bearish intent. Price recently delivered a strong displacement to the downside, breaking through the prior IDM low and forming a clean MSS. The price has rejected from the Daily Bearish Imbalance (BISI D) and Refined Breaker Block (RB.D) — acting as a key supply zone. Confluence of Liquidity and Imbalance: Internal liquidity has been swept from equal highs. Bearish rebalancing observed in the CISD + IPDA S.D. zone. Next probable draw on liquidity sits near the 3,203.47 and 3,189.82 PD arrays. Ultimate downside target marked around 2,993.69, aligned with a previous BMS + DOL zone. 🛠 Tools Applied: PD Arrays: BISI, RB, FVG, SIBI Liquidity Zones: IDM, DOL, IPDA S.D. Price Action: MSS, Displacement, and Retracement Concepts 📌 Bias: Bearish 📌 Narrative: Liquidity has been engineered above highs; current price action seeks sell-side liquidity and inefficiencies beneath recent lows.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDShort
by hrishabh_07
Nifty Analysis - Smart Money Concepts or LiquidityI would like to present my Nifty Analysis based on Liquidity or Smart Money Concepts. This Analysis is based on Multi-time frame (Weekly & Daily) Time Frame. here chart is used on Daily Time Frame. Current Scenario - (Weekly TF Analysis) ==Weekly Time Frame Analysis - The current move is retracing into a weekly POI zone which also has- -Daily Imbalance -HTF Supply Block -Smart Money Trap Zone (marked) Right now, HTF is still in broad bearish retracement structure. ==Daily TF Annalysis - -Price is consolidating in a range within a clearly defined HTF POI (High Probability Reversal Area) -Inside the range: -Multiple internal BOS & MSS -Clean liquidity pool build-up (marked in yellow) -Potential for buy-side liquidity sweep followed by sell-off into discount Price Projection & Bias ----- 1. Short-Term Bias (Next 3–5 Weeks): Downside after Extreme POI liquidity grab -Expectation is there will be a Fakeout above the liquidity pool (25,500–25,800), or in retail language say it is Stop Loss Hunt then sell-off. -Target: Volume Imbalance near 23,200–22,700. -This will be aligned with - Liquidity sweep , Mitigation of volume imbalance , Entry into Weekly Discount Zone. 2. Mid-Term Bias or say 2-3 months expectation (After Re-accumulation) -If price reacts with storng bullish order flow from 22500-22000 range then expect - -Reversal into bullish structure -Target - 26200 or 26400 -Supported by mean reversion + reaccumulating idea (For Entry Module) - Consider 15min to 1 hour Time frame setup for confirmation before taking shorts from above supply zone. - expect a long setup around 22200-22400 only if bullish BOS + FVG Filled and also consider HTF Liquidity sweep near weekly wick discount zone or say 50% mean reversion. Disclaimer -- (Views are only for Educational Purpose only. Always consult your financial Advisor before doing Any Investments). Your Views or Comments are welcomed.
NSE:NIFTYShort
by Hit_Analyst
11
NIFTY 50 - ICT & SMC Analysis (April 9, 2025)🧠 Big Picture Context (Daily Timeframe) 🔍 Structure: The daily structure is in a macro bearish trend, confirmed by a Change of Character (ChoCH) from a previous higher high. A market structure shift (MSS) occurred, indicating strong bearish intent. A major Order Block (OB) around 24,300 – 24,800 has acted as strong supply. Recent price action shows a rejection from 23,000+ levels, creating a new bearish leg. 🔄 Key Observations: A clean Fair Value Gap (FVG) from the recent bearish move lies between 22,900 – 23,100, which price may want to revisit. Price tapped into liquidity pools below previous lows (Sell-side liquidity swept). Strong reaction up suggests a potential short-term bullish retracement. 🔄 Medium-Term Outlook (4H Chart) 🔍 Structure: After the sharp bearish move, price made a strong reaction from the 21,800s, suggesting the presence of demand. A clean PDL (Previous Day Low) sweep followed by BOS (Break of Structure) confirms short-term bullish market structure. 🔄 Current Price Action: Price filled part of a green FVG (imbalance) and is now retracing from resistance. The 22,900–23,000 zone contains: A bearish OB FVG VI (Volume Imbalance) Previous Weekly High (PWH) → This confluence makes it a high-probability reversal zone. 📉 Execution Timeframe (1H Chart) 🔍 Structure: Price has now formed a BOS upwards after taking out liquidity near 21,800 (PDL). Rally filled lower imbalance (FVG), creating a strong displacement candle and BOS above PDH. Now consolidating under a supply zone with signs of weakness near 22,550 – 22,700. 🎯 Trade Idea: Sell on Retracement into Premium 📈 Bias: Bearish from premium supply zone. 🛠️ Trade Setup (1H + 4H Confluence): Type Level/Zone Entry 22,900 – 23,000 (Red FVG & OB) Stop Loss Above 23,100 (above OB & VI) Target 1 22,250 (PDH/imbalance fill) Target 2 21,800 (PDL sweep area) Target 3 21,600–21,500 (daily demand zone) 📊 Risk-Reward (Approx): Risk: ~150 pts (23,100 – 22,950 entry) Reward: ~400–1,400 pts depending on target RRR: Minimum 2.5:1 up to 9:1 💡 ICT/SMC Concepts Applied: Liquidity Sweep: Sell-side liquidity below PDL taken → large move up. Fair Value Gaps: Price filled FVG and now sits just below another premium FVG. Order Blocks: Bearish OB around 22,900–23,100 zone expected to act as supply. PDH/PDL Reactions: Market respected those areas. Market Structure Shift (MSS): Bearish momentum continues on higher TFs despite short-term rally. 🧭 What to Watch For: If price breaks and holds above 23,100, this setup becomes invalid – it signals deeper retracement or reversal. Watch volume or strong rejection candles in supply zone to enter with confirmation (ideal on 15M/5M for sniper entry). Any clean FVGs left behind as price retraces could be rebalanced before dropping. 📌 Final Thoughts: This is a classic SMC + ICT short setup after price retraced into premium zone following a strong move down. The confluence of OB, FVG, VI, and PDH makes this zone a high-probability turning point. Wait for confirmation and execute with proper risk management.
NSE:NIFTY
by Official_LUSER
NIFTY 50 - ICT & SMC Analysis (April 7, 2025) 📊 CHART ANALYSIS SUMMARY (from the 4 charts) From the charts you've given, I’ve identified a few key things: - NIFTY is in a bullish short-term market structure , but it’s tapping into premium prices in a possible higher timeframe redistribution zone. - There's a liquidity sweep and inducement pattern near the highs. - Some FVGs (Fair Value Gaps) remain unfilled. - Possible reversal sell setup from a 4H or daily bearish order block that aligns with premium pricing in a range. 🧠 Step-by-Step ICT/SMC Analysis 1. Market Structure & Bias - 1H to 4H Structure: The market was pushing higher, making HHs (higher highs) and HLs (higher lows). - However, the latest high was taken with a wick, showing signs of a **buy-side liquidity raid rather than strength. - After the raid, price left a bearish FVG (Fair Value Gap) — a classic ICT signature for a reversal. > 🔎 Interpretation:This is typical SMC inducement : retail traders get trapped buying a breakout, while smart money distributes into those buys and prepares to sell. 2. Key Liquidity Levels - Buy-side Liquidity (BSL): Taken at recent swing high (~NIFTY 22,520 zone) - Sell-side Liquidity (SSL): Resting below recent lows (~22,300 and then ~22,150) > 🧠 SMC logic: Liquidity was engineered and taken at the highs. Now, the market may seek the **sell-side liquidity** next. 3. Order Blocks & Imbalances - ✅ A clear Bearish Order Block formed near the 22,500–22,520 level on 1H/4H — this was the last up-candle before the sell-off (and a liquidity sweep). - ✅ There's a clean FVG (Fair Value Gap) just under this OB — price wicked back into it but failed to close above. > 🧠 ICT logic: Price fills the imbalance slightly, taps the OB, then rejects — suggesting smart money is selling from this zone. 4. Potential Trade Setup (Sell) 🎯 Trade Idea: Intraday / Swing Short | Component | Level / Description |--------------------|-------------------------------------------------| | Bias | Bearish (short-term retracement expected) | | Entry | ~22,500–22,520 (OB + FVG confluence zone) | | Stop Loss | Above 22,570 (above the liquidity sweep wick) | | TP1 | 22,300 (low of range, internal liquidity) | | TP2 | 22,150 (external liquidity sweep zone) | | TP3 (optional) | 22,000 (discount zone of full move) | | R:R | Approx. 1:2.5 to 1:3.5 depending on exit | 🧱 Confluence Checklist | ICT/SMC Element | Confirmed? | Notes |----------------------------|------------|-----------------------------------------------------------------------| | Break of Structure | ✅ | Lower high failed to break previous HH with momentum | Liquidity Sweep | ✅ | Buy-side taken at the top with a wick | FVG Presence | ✅ | 1H Fair Value Gap post sweep | Bearish Order Block | ✅ | Confirmed on 1H and 4H | Displacement | ✅ | Strong sell candle after sweep | Retracement to OB/FVG | ✅ | Price returns to OB to mitigate orders | Premium Pricing Zone | ✅ | Above 50% of the full range (using FIB anchoring) 🔄 Scenario Management - If price rejects OB and sells off, you’re in good hands — standard SMC setup. - If price closes above 22,570, the OB is invalidated → exit the short. - If the setup works, scale partial profits at TP1 and trail to TP2/TP3. 📉 It's not a long-term bearish call on NIFTY — it’s a mean-reversion swing targeting liquidity below.
NSE:NIFTY
by Official_LUSER