S&P 500 (SPX500)
Falling wedge in S&P 500 4H chartS&P 500 index futures has completed a falling wedge on 4H chart. Falling wedge is a reversal signal and indicates lack of strength in the bears. Hence, we may see price correct back to 50MA (red line) and the wedge high of 3739.
We will watch for price action as it touches the 50MA. If the price reverses and bears come back at 50MA, bullish bet would be called off. If not, bulls are strong and 3739 becomes a fair possibility.
Summery & short term view: Nifty, Bank Nifty & SPXNifty:
We could have completed wave 3 (c) ? Possibility we would the level marked @16815 before moving up.
Bank Nifty:
Marking for wave 4 has been done by me chart shared. HOMEWORK: One can do the previous marking till wave 4 (Self Learn)
SPX:
We are not into SPX however, I am sharing chart for learning purpose. I strongly feel 200 MA will act as the important support. & market might bounce back from here.
Lot of headwinds. SPX #Short The analysis is there in the chart and it is self explanatory!
There is a specific indicator that is giving a high probability of DOWN movement.
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ES emini wave analysis from 3693 lowThis whole rise has from 3693 low (yes, not the actual low at 3639. Refer: wave 5 truncation) has been a 3 wave move so far.
Wave 1/A has been a clear 5 wave followed by an extended 3/C wave with the iii of 3 extension.
The 3/C wave ended with wave 5 as an ending diagonal.
Now, the fall from the absolute high of 4327 has been impulsive so far with a series of 1-2-i-ii.
The first target post a completion of 5 waves up is the range of the 4th wave of lower degree. This comes at 4113-4080.
This level also coincides with the 0.382 retracement of the entire rise from 3723.
Given that the entire move from the top is impulsive, we can expect a minimum of a 5-3-5 correction. After that is done, we can evaluate if it evolves into a further decline, or pushes towards a new high.
Summary: Target - 4080. Further decline to be evaluated based on the evolving structure after that.
-ansible/entropy
ABC Corrective Phase or D Impulsive Wave Completed ?On Daily Basis:
SPX (S&P 500) is currently facing a strong resistance at 4170 and also the retracement of the fall which could be D Impulsive wave. 200 DMA is at 4338, another resistance. Level of 4145 is 50% retracement of C Impulsive wave down and currently it has closed on week at 4145. RSI made a double bottom on weekly basis and turned its trend upwards. SPX is at neutral zone right and there could be a decisive move either side which could be massive. All the major world indices and precious metals have corrected in a similar fashion, and waiting for a decisive move. SPX breached 50 DMA and any sustainable move above 4170 could indicate a trend reversal, we may witness a bubble rally. It is at a crux point and difficult to determine a trend. Any major decisive move upward may prove that ABC correction wave of entire Bull run from COVID low in March 2020 has been completed. Secondly, SPX should fall immediately which should be fast and swift, then we can say that D impulsive wave is over with E impulsive wave in progress for capitulation. Right now view stands neutral.
Warning and Disclaimer:
Above prediction should not be taken as financial advise, it is a personal opinion.
Consult your financial advisor.
Investment is subject to market risks.
Past performance is not the guarantee for future performance.
It is for educational purpose only.
S&P 500 in D Impulsive WaveOn Weekly Basis:
S&P 500 has already retraced 50% and it may extend to 61.8% retracement at 4216. It has also resistance of 200 daily moving average at 4346. It is a rally within the bear cycle where complacency exists. The real end of bear markets ends with capitulation which may end at 3100 to 3450. Bear market correction rallies are sharp and swift. Amazon, Apple, Tesla and many other stocks have opened with huge gap and sustained rally. Impulsive D wave is continuous and extending higher sharply. Sell on rally.
Warning and Disclaimer:
Above prediction should not be taken as financial advise, it is a personal opinion.
Consult your financial advisor.
Investment is subject to market risks.
Past performance is not the guarantee for future performance.
SPX Bounce from the lowest point could be a Flat correctionShort with a stop-loss of breakout above the red channel.
If this short trade works out, go all out if breaks down below the green channel.
Stop loss is relatively small at this point, but better to wait till end of the session to see whether this red channel is being taken out today itself.
S&P 500 Drifting lowerS&P 500 appears to finish its pull back and is now set to resume lower. The Ideal target will be a new low to the recent swing. Additionally, the Fibonacci levels proportion to previous moves has been shown. The RSI is falling to take off the equilibrium zone in the pull back indicating weak to sideways bias.
SPX Triangle formation with RSI double bottom divergenceSPX go long with SL daily RSI close below 31.45.
We are seeing a running Triangle formation with Bullish Divergence in Daily and Weekly RSI.
Confirmation is too far away, so need to enter here to make it a good RR trade.
Low risk traders can enter here with SL, new low in daily RSI below 31.45.
High Risk traders can have a bigger SL, new low in Weekly RSI below 30.21.
S&P 500 INDEX S&P, After impulse move in 1-2-3-4-5 waves on weekly chart, now we have witnessed entire fall as a leading diagonal as a wave A, and now we are in wave B, possibly it can retrace up to 38.2% of wave A entire fall, or maximum up to high of wave 4 in wave A, these levels are pegged near 4050 and 4177, all other parameters are supporting same bias to go long, which are shared below as a snap shots.
Here is a trigger point to go long. RK's mass psychological cloud buy activated, along with support of RK's stop line, and also RK's momentum Buy activated.
Overall wave structure on Weekly chart
Current fall was in leading diagonal
may be retrace upto 38.2% or wave 4 high of recent fall
reversal chart pattern head and shoulder on hourly chart
Breakout with good intensity of Volume in hourly chart
macd positive in hourly above zero line
macd uptick and ready to cross positive in daily chart
Bullish Divergence
rsi uptick in daily chart
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I am not sebi registered analyst.
My studies are for educational purpose only.
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