SONACOMS - LONG TERM INVESTMENT OPPORTUNITYThe journey of the company started in 1995 as Sona Okegawa Precision Forgings, which was a 75:25 joint venture between the Sona Group and Mitsubishi Materials and the pioneer of warm forged near net-shaped gears manufacturing technology. The Sona Group, after acquiring Thyssen Krupp’s forging business (which acquired BLW, the inventor of warm forging) and 25% stake of Mitsubishi, renamed the company to Sona BLW Precision Forgings, which became the largest manufacturer of forged gears. In 2019, Sona BLW acquired Comstar Automotive, a leading designer and manufacturer of starting and charging systems for automobiles and created a new identity. Company have strong financials and numbers are continuously increasing on YoY basis.
Sona Comstar is an Indian origin, global automotive systems & components manufacturer with 9 plants spread across India, China, Mexico, and the USA. The company is one of India’s leading automotive technology companies, designing, manufacturing and supplying highly engineered, mission critical automotive systems and components such as differential assemblies, differential gears, conventional and micro-hybrid starter motors, BSG systems, EV traction motors (BLDC and PMSM) and motor control units to automotive OEMs across US, Europe, India and China, across all vehicle categories such as conventional passenger vehicles, commercial vehicles, off-highway vehicles, electric cars, electric light commercial vehicles, and electric two & three wheelers.
Clients: The company have wonderful client base which includes Ampere Vehicles, Ashok Leyland, Daimler, Geely, Jaguar Land Rover, Mahindra Electric, Maruti Suzuki and Revolt Intellicorp.
FUNDAMENTALS:
> Established in the year 1995 and listed this year on June 24, it is a Large Cap company with a market cap of Rs.41,695 Cr.
> The ROCE and ROE is at 17.6% and 17% respectively which is very good in the industry.
> Price to Book Value ratio is 25.3 which is on higher side.
> Stock P/E is at hefty 208 which makes the valuation too costlier as compared to the industry P/E at just 25.3.
> OPM of the company is continuously growing and it is at 31.3% as per Mar 21 Balance Sheet which is amazing.
> Robust Topline and Bottomline, continuously increasing on YoY basis.
> Debts: The company have Debts of only Rs.126 Cr as per Mar 21 Balance Sheet which is much within the limit as compared to its Reserves.
> Reserves: It is Rs.1062 Cr as per Mar 21 Balance Sheet, more than 8 times as much of it’s borrowings. Continuously increasing.
> Promoters holding is intact and hold hefty 67.3% shares of the company this shows management’s trust on the company’s business and its growth.
> FIIs & DIIs are also heavily invested in the company, combined holding will be more than 26%, only 5.88% stocks are available to trade freely for retail investors.
> Cash Flows from Operating Activity growing rapidly on YOY basis since FY 2016, for March 21 it is at 216 Cr. This point talks about how much money the company is able to convert into cash out of total revenue, one of the very important aspect from long-term investing perspective.
TECHNICALS:
> The stock is in massive uptrend since its listing on June 24 this year. This shows the stock strength.
> It has more than doubled from the listing price of Rs.297 within 5 months of trading.
> Constantly trading above 50 DMAs and it’s too early to talk about 200 DMA.
Let’s look at the some of the impressive vital stats of the company:
> The company have manufacturing facilities at 9 global locations.
> This account for 13.7% sales to BEV market.
> Among top 10 global differential Bevel Gear suppliers.
> 75.4% product sales with end use in overseas markets.
> The company is among top 10 global starter motor suppliers for PV’s.
Investing in this company can also be considered as poxy play to Electric Vehicle theme.
Fresh Buy – At CMP 712
Old Buy – Hold
Target – 3X i.e. 2150
Risk Management Tip: Never invest more than 5% of your capital in any single stock.
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ShareMktSchool
Stocksignals
GRANULES INDIA Daily Chart Analysis 23.11.2021GRANULES INDIA as per Daily Chart Analysis today had broken the consolidation and also broken its first resistance level 310 and closed at 313 level. The Stock should move from here and next resistance is at 335 level. Holding the Stock and Happy Trading to all
LICHSGFIN - Monthly chart analysis 23.11.2021LICHSGFIN today had taken its previous multi year support at 385 level by making low of 388 and had a come back closing at 401 level. Trend of the market looks reversed as of today and hopefully if it bulls market then the stock should reverse from here. Holding the stock. Happy Trading to All.
SRF is at support can give up to 30% returns 1:7 RRI will buy SRF because :
It has been taking support at the trend line .
It has been consolidating and give big move soon.
So will be looking at buying opportunities.
If it breaks the support look at shorting
Entry : 2120
Target : 2800
Stop loss : 1992
UPL Falling ChannelUPL has been trading in falling channel and is currently near the upper band of channel, price rejection is visible at these levels. The price action behaviour of this channel indicates that we can see some fall in UPL and price could go to 700 & 680. View neglected if price breaks the upper band and sustains. Stoploss for this setup is 768 or conservative traders can use channel break as an exit trigger. As shorting a stock on carry forward basis is not possbile and not everyone has adequate margin future trading so here is some strategy that we can use in options :-
Bear Call Spread - use strike price of 800 or above
Bear Put Spread
SBICard up for a breakoutSBICard has been actively taking support at 200 EMA and bouncing back and hitting 1140-1160 levels, but this time it seems it isn't headed towards 200-EMA and rather it is forming a Bull Flag , one can go long once breakout done and expect an Immediate Target of 1300.
Short Term Target: 1500
Mold-Tek Packaging - Wonderful Investment OpportunityMold-Tek Packaging is engaged in the manufacturing of injection-molded containers for lubes, paints, food and other products.
Innovation and Value Addition:
In the early 1990s Mold-Tek pioneered the concept of plastic pails for paints industry, It has introduced plastic containers for lubes industry with value added features like ‘pull-up spout’ and tamper & leak free features. Mold-Tek was also granted a patent for the innovation related to pull-up spout with tamper proof seal. Mold-Tek designed and developed the containers for Mondelez’s Lickables product becoming its exclusive supplier in India. There are multiple products under development such as QR code enabled IML containers, plastic containers for fertilizers & pesticide industry, tamper proof plastic containers for home delivery companies like Swiggy/Zomato etc.
In-house capabilities:
Mold-Tek is only company in India that has in-house tool room, moulds, robotic operations, and labels. Further, in-house mould making capabilities also help with faster product development and market introductions. These capabilities are of special importance in IML which requires a high degree of reliance on automation including robots.
Strong Customer Relationships:
Mold-Tek has a proven track record of quality and reliability of supply which has helped it become one of preferred suppliers for leading companies in Paints, Lubes and Food & FMCG industries. Mold-Tek is amongst the few companies which has got a ‘green channel clearance’ from Asian Paints i.e., pails supplied by Mold-Tek go straight to the filling line without quality checks.
Key customers in Food, FMCG & Pharma includes ITC, HUL, P&G, Cadbury, Pepsi, Dabur, Parle, Nestle, Amul, Britannia, P&G, Haldirams, Britannia, MTR, Quality Walls, Emami etc. Paint Industry includes Asian Paints, Berger Paints, Nerolac, AczoNobel, Apollo Paints etc. Lubricant & Grease Industry includes Shell, Castrol, Bharat Petroleum, Indian Oil, HP, Reliance, bp, Valvoline, Gulf etc. Not just this, you name any good brand name and this company is the supplier.
FUNDAMENTALS:
> It is a Small Cap company with a market cap of just Rs.1,940 Cr. The company have grown significantly over last few years.
> The ROCE and ROE is at 22.5% and 22% respectively which is very good considering the size of the company.
> Price to Book Value ratio is 8.06 which means the company valuations are 8 times it’s book value.
> Stock P/E is 33 which makes the valuation a little costlier as compared to the industry P/E at 25.
> OPM of the company is continuously growing and it is at 22% as per Mar 21 Balance Sheet.
> Robust Topline and Bottomline, continuously increasing on YoY basis.
> Debts: The company have Debts of only Rs.108 Cr as per Mar 21 Balance Sheet which is much within the limit as compared to its Reserves.
> Reserves: It is Rs. 227 Cr as per Mar 21 Balance Sheet, more than twice as much of it’s borrowings. Continuously increasing since last 6 years.
> Promoters have reduced their stake slightly in Sep 21 Qtr to 33.73% from 35.13% in Jun 21 Qtr.
> FIIs & DIIs are also heavily invested in the company, combined holding will be more than 25%, DIIs are continuously increasing their stake in the company.
> The company enjoys more than 25% market share of packaging materials in India, this is substantial.
TECHNICALS:
> The stock has given almost V Shape recovery after the covid fall, this kind of recovery is not very usual. This shows the stock strength.
> On the chart stock is continuously in UPTREND since March 2020 Covid fall.
> Increasing Long Volume towers as indicated by blue arrows at the bottom indicates that lot of accumulation is going on in the stock continuously.
> Trading above 100 and 200 DMAs this talks about the strength in the bull run of this stock.
Company have strong financials and numbers are continuously increasing on YoY basis specially after the Covid slowdown. The company is investing heavily in R&D to add more products to its portfolio, building QR Code based packaging. Almost all renowned product based companies are its clients. The company have great client base.
Fresh Buy – At 688
Old Buy – Hold
Target – 3X i.e. 2050
Risk Management Tip: Never invest more than 5% of your capital in any single stock.
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ShareMktSchool
IRCTC - Monopolistic Business Model - Multibagger Stock IdeaIndian Railway Catering and Tourism Corporation (IRCTC) is a Mini Ratna Central Public Sector Enterprise under Ministry of Railways, Government of India. IRCTC was incorporated on 27th September, 1999 as an extended arm of the Indian Railways to upgrade, professionalize and manage the catering and hospitality services at stations, on trains and other locations and to promote domestic and international tourism through development of budget hotels, special tour packages, information & commercial publicity and global reservation systems.
This is a follow-up idea of the original idea posted on May 26, 2021 when the stock was barely giving any movement. That time it was recommended to buy at Rs.1900 levels. Later when the Stock Split was announced by the management since then the stock is good roller coaster ride. Then 3 days back when the stock was banned again from F&O roller coaster ride seems to see an end and not just that it started coming down. Currently the stock is trading at Rs.4500 after correcting from the highest level of Rs.6396, almost 30% correction.
Now the question is what next?
Let's look at some facts and figures:
> Fundamentals are still strong it was 6 months back.
> OPM has increased to 46% in June Qtr as compared to March Qtr of 43%.
> Promoters holding remains unchanged at 67.4% in Sep 2021 Qtr.
> The company is still a debt free company.
> Mumbai- Ahmedabad HSR corridor for bullet train is under construction in full swing.
> Recently the company has started bus booking services.
> More and more old routs which was suspended or were running on lower frequency is coming on track.
> Revenge Tourism can be seen at almost all the tourist attractions.
Considering all other facts the business of the company has got even better as compared to what it was 6 months back. If you were holding it then you should definitely hold it now. We have not sold even a single share of this company after this this 30% fall. If you want to earn multifold return of 300-500% in long term don't be restless when stock corrects to 20-30% in short term.
After the split when the stock price will be much lower than now then will be the time where small investors will jump into the stock and will another good runup in short term.
You can always reach out to me on other platforms in case of any question, I will be glad to answer.
Risk Management Tip: Never invest more than 5% of your capital in any single stock.
Your likes and comments motivate us to bring more profitable studies like this.
Happy Investing!
ShareMktSchool
IDFC First Bank - Rounding Bottoms into Triangle Breakout IDFC First Bank has been in a long period of consolidation that has formed a triangle.
Over the past few weeks, such consolidation period can be seen to round off into two smaller bottoms, forming higher lows.
200 EMA support is pushing the stock into a triangle breakout now, which looks good to achieve the charted targets over the next few weeks.
HINDALCO: CASE OF ENDING DIAGONALENDING DIAGONAL : This is the most common diagonal that can be found out at the ending of a main trend or main correction. It consists of all the waves 1-2-3-4-5 in a single or multiple zigzags. They can be found placed at 5th wave of an impulse wave or can been seen as a wave ‘C’ of a corrective waves zigzags or flat. After the termination of the ending diagonal, a swift & a sharp reversal takes place which bring the prices back to the level from where the diagonal began.
Trading strategy:
One should go short on current levels keeping SL of 510 & look for the target area of 440/420/400
City Union Bank - Breakout of Parallel ChannelBreakout above the long-term parallel channel in City Union Bank. With banking stocks poised to do well, this could follow.
Targets indicated over the long-term above.
Could see a re-test of the Parallel Channel (or of the 200EMA) support) before the next big leg up.
HINDALCO Divergence! Option Trade! Short! Hindalco was bullish in previous week. However, simple pattern seen on daily chart.
Logic for shorting::
1. RSI Divergence indicated it will go down.
2. Head and shoulder pattern - Entry at second shoulder.
3. Short SL (SL :: 507)
Short below 485 level. TGT1 468, TGT2 451+++
Option Buyers :: Buy HINDALCO OCT 460 PE if crosses 16.50 :: SL 14.00 :: TGT 18.50 , 20.20, 21.90 +++ (Trade at your own risk; keep hedging the position.)
Happy Trading :D
LaurasLab finally formed a good support can show move now I will buy LaurasLab because :
It has been taking support at the trend line .
It has touched the support and has not been able to break it.
So will be looking at buying opportunities.
If it breaks the support look at shorting
Entry : 598/586
Target : 730/800
Stop loss : 570/550