Stockstowatch
BPCL: Inverse Head and Shoulder reversal Inverse Head and Shoulders Continuation:
This pattern forms in an extensive upside rally. It consists of a left shoulder, a head, and a right shoulder.
At the end of the left shoulder, a minor correction takes place on the upside which happens on the low volumes comparatively the starting of the left shoulder. After this again a down move can be seen on large volumes forming a head having its bottom is below the left shoulder following an upmove correction on lower volumes & completing the head.
The completion of the head must be above the top of the left shoulder. If the prices rise above the top of the left shoulder then too this pattern remains intact. In the end, the right shoulder is formed usually on smaller volumes comparatively the previous two rallies.
Now if you connect the tops of the left shoulder, head & the right shoulder there will be a formation of the ‘Neckline‘. This line will act as a decision line. If the prices break this neckline & give closing above the line, this will be the confirmation of the breakout of the Inverse head and shoulders pattern.
However, it has been noticed that after breaking of the neckline the prices again attracted towards this neckline. We say this phenomenon as a retest of the neckline which will add some more confidence while trading this pattern.
After retesting if the prices again start rising, this will be the final confirmation of the up move as shown above.
The bookish target of this pattern is taken as the vertical price range from the bottom of the head to the neckline & the bookish Stop loss should be the bottom of the right shoulder. However this stop loss can be big, so it is advised to keep a stop loss of 4-5% of the price range below the neckline.
TRADING STRATEGY:
Buy on cmp add on dips , keeping SL of 320 look for the measured target of 415 and beyond that targets are 443 /500 as per ElliottWave perspective.
HDFC: Welcome the Third Wave RallyFrom the bottom of Mar'20 of 1473 stock has rallied to 3000 odd levels in an impulsive manner which can be counted as clean impulse pattern of five distinct waves. This impulsive rise can be designated as our primary wave-1. After placing a high of 3021 in Nov'21 stock has undergone into a complex correction WXY in the primary wave-2 which was concluded in Jun'22 at the price level of 2026. Subsequently prices have bounced back and started rallying again in an impulsive manner. This rise can be assumed that stock is continuing its trend in a third wave rally. Maintaining the key level at 2026 one should remain bullish for long term investment and look for the usual third wave target of 4045 which is the Fibonacci 161.8% extension level.
Investment Strategy:
Buy in the zone of 2580-2630 and maintaining SL of 2026, look for the target of 4045 and later 5140.
HDFC: Power of Expanding FlatFrom the high of 2680 stock has given a correction in an Expanding Flat category. The post market price action of an Expanding flat is very powerful. Based on this observation HDFC stock is likely to extend the gains towards 2710-2715 in the coming days. Any weakness should remain above the level of 2632 however, nearest stop loss can be taken as 2649.
Buy: 2675-70 SL:2649 TGT: 2710-15
NAUKRI BO !!NSE:NAUKRI
#NAUKRI retested multiple times @ Resistance and ready to BO.
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Good Volume Breakout in JINDAL SAW Stock has given a good volume breakout after consolidating for almost 15 trading sessions. We can considering entering in this sock with 10% of the budget and rest on the confirmation of the trend and Stop loss will be the previous swing.
We can also wait for the initial retracements for entry using Fibonacci levels.
DO COMMENT IN CASE OF ANY CONFUSION
Equitas holding breakoutThe stock is forming a pattern of higher highs and lower lows and can be a good buy above 122.
Ease My Trip : Symmetrical TriangleThe symmetrical triangle, which can also be referred to as a coil, usually forms during a trend as a continuation pattern. The pattern contains at least two lower highs and two higher lows. When these points are connected, the lines converge as they are extended and the symmetrical triangle takes shape.
Trend: In order to qualify as a continuation pattern, an established trend (at least a few months old) should exist. The symmetrical triangle marks a consolidation period before continuing after the breakout.
Four (4) Points: We know that we need at least 2 points to form a trend line and to form a symmetrical triangle we need 2 trend lines . Therefore, a minimum of 4 points are required to begin considering a formation as a symmetrical triangle. The second high should be lower than the first and the upper line should slope down. The second low should be higher than the first and the lower line should slope up. Ideally, 5 points are enough to form a symmetrical triangle (2 on the upside trendline and 3 on the downside trendline)
Volume: As the symmetrical triangle extends and the trading range contracts, volume should start to diminish. This refers to the quiet before the storm, or the tightening consolidation before the breakout.
Duration: The symmetrical triangle can extend for a few weeks or many months. If the pattern is less than 3 weeks, it is usually considered a pennant . Typically, the time duration is about 3 months.
Breakout Timeframe: The ideal breakout point occurs 1/2 to 3/4 of the way through the pattern's development or time-span. The time-span of the pattern can be measured from the apex (convergence of upper and lower lines) back to the beginning of the lower trend line (base). A break before the 1/2 way point might be premature and a break too close to the apex may be insignificant. After all, as the apex approaches, a breakout must occur sometime.
Breakout Confirmation: A break should be on a closing basis for it to be considered valid. Some traders apply a price (3% break) or time (sustained for 3 days) filter to confirm validity. The breakout should occur with an expansion in volume , especially on upside breakouts.
Return to Apex: After the breakout (up or down), the apex can turn into future support or resistance. The price sometimes returns to the apex or a support/resistance level around the breakout before resuming in the direction of the breakout.
Price Target: There are two methods to estimate the extent of the move after the breakout. First, the widest distance of the symmetrical triangle can be measured and applied to the breakout point. Second, a trend line can be drawn parallel to the pattern's trend line that slopes (up or down) in the direction of the break. The extension of this line will mark a potential breakout target.
TRADING STRATEGY: Buy on CMP and hold with SL of 50 (clbs) and look for the measured target zone of 70-72 zone.
Swing entry chance in LICHSGFINNSE:LICHSGFIN
There's a trendline which acts as support for the stock in 1 hour time frame, chances are that it might take support at the trendline again, if that happens we can take a short term entry on the stock and hold it till it reaches 143 levels as there is a resistance. If the price doesn't go back to the trendline to take support instead moves up and a breakout happens then we can enter above the resistance zone drawn using the rectangle and keep a target till 143, which might give 2-2.5% returns.
Diwali Pick: TRIVENI TURBINEAfter giving a multiyear breakout stock is rising in an impulsive manner and broken the parallel channel which suggests that a third wave is in progress. The Stock is forming higher highs and higher lows in all the time frame which is the basic definition of an UPTREND. The previous resistance zone of 200-215 shall act as a support in the coming months and stock should its uptrend towards 460 and 590 in the coming months.
2 Symmetrical Pattern trades, Index Ideas for 20 October marketsI daily make educational content videos on financial markets.