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While Nifty did made some attempt to pullback, the same was While Nifty did made some attempt to pullback, the same was absent on BankNifty. The movement on the index was weaker than that of nifty and a clear divergence was noticed. Disparity among these two index espically Banknifty lagging is not a sign of strength. While the RSI is into bearish zone below 20 the macd histogram is soaring red, indicating sellers are in no mood to stay back. Below 18650 the index may further slip to 13200 levels. However to prove itself strong the stock has to pull above 21900 the index may pull up to 24500 & 28000 levels.
NSE:BANKNIFTY
by BharatJhunjhunwala
1
The USDINR is trending up, a small divergence was created on RSIIn our last analysis for USDINR, the set target was 74, which was met this week. The minimum target of the pattern has been attained. The pair surpassed its previous highs and retraced back. The USDINR is trending up, a small divergence was created on RSI after which a correction took place on Friday. 73.55 is short term support for the pair, if it manages to close itself above it then we may further see advance in it. The upside targets for the pair are placed at 74.70, 75.50 & 77.50 if the 73.55 levels is safe. Below 73.55 the correction may extend to 72.60, 71.30 & 70.75 levels.
by BharatJhunjhunwala
RSI being heavily oversold the stock may pullbackThe stock 1101 during the day pulling back to close at 1134. Comparing close to close the stock corrected 1.43% compared to Bank Nifty overall. Now the stock is at a support. RSI being heavily oversold the stock may pullback from the current levels to 1160 – 1180 levels, however failing to cross them or creating bear candles at the levels may result into further selling. If selling beings again then the stock may find support at 1095, 1050 levels below which the target is deep towards 890 zones.
NSE:HDFCBANK
by BharatJhunjhunwala
If nifty fails to move above 12300 then most probably it willNifty ended up in a state of confusion. There was no defined action, being the week ending on weekly expiry this was much expected. However Nifty seems to be under pressure. The 12300 levels are intact from last few weeks and has been acting as a effective resistance. If nifty fails to move above 12300 then most probably it will test 11990, 11850 & 11600 in the weeks to come, to get its bullish signature back Nifty needs to break above 12300. Above 12300 we may see Nifty move up to 12390 – 12650 levels.
NSE:NIFTY
by BharatJhunjhunwala
Short term support is at 12040 below it Nifty may fall to 11840.The weekly chart of Nifty displays strong comeback from buyers. The piercing bull candle in uptrend is a clear sign of strength. In the last session Nifty ended after a volatile session creating a narrow range candle, the daily prices halted at 61.8% retracement of the corrective leg. The RSI taking resistance at 45 ma and curling down while MACD is into bearish zone, indicate the momentum needs to be boosted further to maintain the overall trend up. Short term support is at 12040 below it Nifty may fall to 11840. If Nifty is able to maintain itself above 12040 it may rally to 12430 & 13000 levels.
NSE:NIFTY
by BharatJhunjhunwala
YOUR EDGE: THE ORB STRATEGYWhat would be trading without an edge? Would it be like tossing a coin with 50% chances of getting a head or a tail. I dun think so. I think it would be around 25%, that too if you dun mess with your trades. So what is an edge? In broader sense, the edge is your trading plan which includes predefined entries and exits. In narrower sense, it is technical analysis (TA). In my opinion TA is just a part of your edge -- trading plan. Your edge would help you to define the three elements of the trade, that is, When, What and How. Which means What should I trade? When should I trade? and How should I trade? It's lame that most part of our learning concentrates on just 'How' element. Whereas most of us (even the experienced traders) find it very difficult to deal with 'What' part of the edge, that is, what should I trade today? In this article I am going to introduce to you the Opening Range Breakout (ORB) strategy. I would try to elaborate all the above three elements of the ORB edge. The ORB Plan Layout How While there are many versions of ORB, I personally prefer the first 5 min version. Let the stock trade for the first 5 min. Just Mark the high and the low. What I prefer this strategy in top Gainers (not losers). Just wait for a few minutes after the market opens and look for top gainers on NSE website (I would like you to prefer if you have filters on your own software). Choose the gainers which have been trading outside the previous day's range. When Place a buy stop order above the high of the chosen stocks and sleep until it is hit :) As soon as it is hit place a stop below the low of the first 5 min bar. Hunt for your targets: Look for 1:1 or 1:2 target depending on the stop loss. If the stop is wide then go for just 1:1 or else go for 1:2 Tips for short plays: This strategy works well on long trades rather than on the short side. As on the short side the action, most of the times, is very huge in the first 5 min bar which increases the risk on the trade. However you may apply ORB on the short side If the action is not very strong on the first bar and the stock actually develops a range for the first 30 minutes or so and then breaks it. Money management: There could be another full post on this topic but I will introduce a shortcut formula here to decide on the no. of shares you should trade in any setup. Say you have a capital of 50,000 and you want to risk 2% on one trade. So the risk comes out to be 1000. Means you can risk 1000 on one trade. Let's say the stop loss on your setup comes out to be 5. Just divide the stop by the risk and that's the no. of shares you should trade. In this case 1000/5=200 shares. So No. of shares to be traded=Risk/Stop I hope you like this post and make some money out of it. I would surely post some of the trades that I took last week with this strategy. Trade safe, Stay healthy.
NSE:NIFTYEducation
by Bravetotrade
10
Holding the 30500 levels the index may move to 31900, 32800 Notice that we have marked a very bullish scenario on the index. We believe that the budget can be a vitamin for the expected move. The index has been displaying strength & have hold on to an important pivot point on the chart. 30500 is a very important pivot for the index, if it holds here then a good move up is possible. Below this a sharp correction may grab the banknifty. The RSI is into positive to sideways zone while MACD has tripped into bearish zone. Holding the 30500 levels the index may move to 31900, 32800 & 33200 zones. 31160 is a minor resistance.
NSE:BANKNIFTY
by BharatJhunjhunwala
This can move Nifty.... Since couple of weeks this mammoth was taking a nap, today’s price action seems to wake it up. A bounce from the support area with a bullish candle is indicative of the underlying strength in the stock. The RSI is into bullish zone and MACD too into bullish area taking support on neutral zone. The momentum is turning up in the coming sessions the stock is expected to move to 1650 – 1700 levels, 1590 may create a little hurdle to the move up, the levels may be very much real above 1590.
NSE:RELIANCELong
by BharatJhunjhunwala
Nifty is creating a value area, moving above it is necessary...The index created a new high this week, failing to close above it. The small body candles are creating a value area at the highs, it’s very important for Nifty to move above this value area to establish strength, the rally is fueled by small and mid caps, Nifty should support this overall movement. While the RSI is displaying divergence, the major momentum doesn't seems to be affected. MACD is bullish above zero line with a minor divergence. A move above the value area 12400 shall push Nifty to 12545 & 12930 levels (this is unchartered territory) 12170 levels will serve as strong support to the index below which it can be dragged to 12000 levels, though 12170 is a very strong support.
NSE:NIFTY
by BharatJhunjhunwala
. A sustenance above 12290 may push up the prices to .....The index pulled back in a great way after the Middle East tensions. The prices halted at the previous highs. The momentum (RSI) is into a sideways zone and still diverging with the price. A sustenance above 12290 may push up the prices to 12360 – 12500 levels, however any failure to sustain above the levels may push nifty to 11930 where it may find support. The MACD is above zero line (bullish) while RSI has slided between 60-40.
NSE:NIFTY
by BharatJhunjhunwala
31450 levels will serve as a strong support to the index....Finally a eventful week ends. This week made trading the most difficult task. Price actions were impacted by the tensions between Middle East and US. In the end the indices did manage to sustain most of the losses that were made by the attack news. The last candle on bank nifty was undeceive though the weekly close resulted into a hammer.31450 levels will serve as a strong support to the index, if bank nifty sustains above this then 32460 – 32860 seems to be eminent targets. A move above 32200 will assure the above levels. However a failure to keep up above this level may result into a pullback to 31450. The MACD is into the bullish zone while RSI is neutral with bullish bias.
NSE:BANKNIFTY
by BharatJhunjhunwala
This 12200 levels will serve as minor supportThe index has been consolidating in a sideways range since last two weeks. A triangle pattern is visible on the daily charts, the breakout is yet to occur. The prices are holding the TS line support tightly. This 12200 levels will serve as minor support while 12070 the KS line is an important support. Any redound should take place from these supports. Nifty is set to move to 12310, 12380 & 12500 levels. But when we look at the RSI, the momentum seems to lose its strength, I would really like the RSI to break up from the 60 levels which it is tested a multiple number of times.
NSE:NIFTY
by BharatJhunjhunwala
Nifty - surprise and strong recovery.please refer to the charts for brief and levels. At such high levels, it is a bit risky to trade with naked futures or options. Strategies are the safer, hence better means to ride a trend. Consider the following strategy : Buy one lot Nifty Future at 12338 Buy one lot Nifty 12250 Put at 105 Sell 1 lot Nifty 12450 Call at 80.85 Sell 2 lots of Nifty 12600 Call at 35.2 each Sell 2 lots of Nifty 11900 Put at 31.8 All Jan 30 series. This position will remain in profit if Nifty expires between 11890 and 12710, Max. profit will be 16639, if Nifty settles between 12450 to 12600. For more details of this strategy and more of such low risk trading options, you may follow me on this forum, send me a direct message or follow me on popular social media platforms using my handle @i2gain . Even though this is a very low risk strategy, it is important to consult your financial consultant before taking any position in financial markets. This post does not encourage speculative trading in stock markets in anyway, it can be used for education or research. @i2gain
NSE:NIFTYLong
by ipuneet