Gold Remains Bearish After Non-Farm — Is 4200 the Next Target? Macro Highlights
Non-Farm Payrolls came in stronger than expected, confirming that the U.S. labor market remains relatively resilient.
Expectations for an early Fed rate cut continue to fade, supporting the U.S. Dollar and weighing on gold.
This week's focus shifts to CPI, PPI, and interest rate decisions from the ECB and the Bank of Canada.
Trading Plan
Gold remains within a short-term bearish channel, with no clear signs of a trend reversal yet.
Key resistance levels:
4325, 4372, 4400, 4480
A sustained move above 4480 would invalidate the current bearish bias and require a reassessment of market structure.
Key support levels:
4270, 4250, 4225, 4200, 4150
Personal View
My preferred strategy remains:
Sell the rallies into resistance.
Sellers continue to control the market unless gold can reclaim and hold above 4480.
For swing traders, potential counter-trend BUY opportunities may appear if price drops deeper into the:
4100 – 4000 zone.
What do you think?
Can buyers generate a strong enough rebound to push gold back above 4480, or will the bearish trend continue toward lower support levels and eventually target 4200?
Supportandresistancezones
ESCORTS Creating Textbook Double Bottom at Key Support |ESCORTS is currently at a pivotal inflection point.
The combination of a second bottom test and a textbook Hammer candle at major support significantly improves the bullish probability. This setup suggests that selling pressure is waning and smart money is stepping in to defend the ₹2700–2780 demand zone.
Historically, such double bottoms accompanied by reversal candles like hammers often lead to strong counter-trend rallies, especially when they occur after an extended down-move.The risk-reward profile is highly favorable on the long side provided proper confirmation is observed.
Traders entering on hammer confirmation or bottom reversal can target a minimum 10–15% upside to ₹3100–3300 with well-defined risk below the recent lows.
This level also offers a good accumulation opportunity for medium-to-long-term investors if fundamentals (rural economy, tractor sales outlook) align.
However, patience is key — do not jump in without follow-through. False breakdowns near such supports are common, hence strict stop-loss discipline is non-negotiable. Overall structure still carries some bearish remnants, but the current candle and pattern tilt the near-term bias clearly bullish.
Entry:
Aggressive Entry: Above 2810 on strong follow-through volume. This confirms the reversal.
Conservative Entry: Wait for a decisive close above 2810 (recent swing high).
This breakout would complete the pattern and offer higher conviction.
Stop Loss (SL):
Initial SL: Below the low of the Hammer / second bottom, i.e., 2690. This protects against a false breakdown.
Target 1:
₹3010 (immediate resistance and 50% retracement of the recent leg down) — R:R ≈ 1:2
Target 2:
₹3212 (previous breakdown zone and major supply area) — R:R ≈ 1:4+
Target 3 (Extended):
₹3379 (next major resistance, possible retest of earlier highs)
Confirm the pattern with rising volume on upside candles in the coming sessions.
Monitor broader market sentiment — Auto/tractor sector performance and Nifty trend will influence follow-through.
Avoid large positions until the neckline breakout. Partial profit booking at Target 1 is advisable.
Timeframe: 2–8 weeks for swing trade.
If price breaks and closes decisively below ₹2680 with high volume, the double bottom fails. In that case, the downtrend resumes with targets at ₹2550 → ₹2400. Shorts can then be initiated with SL above ₹2800.
This is technical analysis only based on the chart and your observation. Combine with latest news, earnings, and sector data. Trade responsibly with proper risk management. Past patterns do not guarantee future results.
Non-Farm Is Approaching — Gold Awaits a Market-Moving CatalystMacro Highlights
The market is now fully focused on this week's Non-Farm Payrolls (NFP) report.
Expectations that the Fed will keep interest rates higher for longer continue to weigh on gold.
Ahead of major economic data releases, markets often become choppy and prone to liquidity sweeps.
Trading Plan
Gold remains in a sideways range between:
4430 – 4480
Key resistance levels to watch:
4480 | 4515 | 4540 | 4580
Key support levels:
4430 | 4400–4405 | 4380 | 4365
Personal View
My preferred strategy remains:
Buy low – Sell high within the current range.
Price is currently bouncing from support, but bullish momentum still looks relatively weak. If gold continues to face rejection at nearby resistance levels, it could revisit:
4430 → 4400–4405 → 4380–4365
On the other hand, if price achieves a clear breakout above:
4480–4515
then gold could extend its recovery toward:
4540–4580
Main Idea
Non-Farm Payrolls is the key event of the week.
Gold remains trapped in a broad consolidation range.
Range-trading strategies remain preferable until the data is released.
Trade the breakout once the market decisively leaves the range.
"The closer we get to Non-Farm, the higher the chance of seeing liquidity sweeps in both directions. Risk management matters more than predicting the next move." 🔥
What do you think?
Will Non-Farm help gold break higher toward 4540–4580, or will selling pressure push it back toward 4400–4365
Calm Before the Storm — Gold Awaits Non-Farm for DirectionMacro Highlights
Tensions around the Strait of Hormuz remain unresolved.
Oil prices continue to stay elevated, keeping inflation concerns alive.
The U.S. Dollar remains supported by expectations that the Fed will keep interest rates higher for longer.
The market is now focused on this week's Non-Farm Payrolls report, which could determine gold's next major move.
Trading Plan
Gold remains trapped in a sideways range between:
4420 – 4490
At the same time, price is reacting around a descending trendline and the nearest resistance zone:
4480 – 4490
If price continues to be rejected from this area, gold could revisit the following support levels:
4420, 4400, 4395, 4372, 4364
Deeper support zones:
4354, 4300
On the other hand, if gold achieves a clear breakout above 4490, the market could extend its recovery toward higher resistance levels.
Personal View
My preferred scenario remains a sideways market throughout today's session.
Until the Non-Farm Payrolls report is released, the most suitable strategy remains:
Buy low – Sell high within the current range.
"The quieter the market becomes ahead of major economic data, the more attention traders should pay to the potential volatility that follows." 🔥
What do you think?
Will Non-Farm help gold break out of the 4420–4490 range, or will the market continue consolidating within its current sideways structure?
BECTORFOOD: Demand Zone Reversal | Positional Upside Towards 263BECTORFOOD is showing signs of a strong reversal after a prolonged correction, with price currently trading near a key multi-year demand zone.
Entry Zone: 170–173
Why I'm Bullish:
✔ Strong demand zone at ₹175–₹200 with multiple successful retests
✔ Price finding support near long-term trendline confluence
✔ Higher-low structure indicating weakening selling pressure
✔ Signs of accumulation near the lows
✔ Favorable risk-reward for positional investors
Targets:
🎯 ₹202 → ₹219 → ₹237 → ₹263
Invalidation:
❌ Weekly close below ₹152.50
As long as the demand zone remains intact, the stock has the potential to gradually move toward higher resistance zones over the coming months.
Educational purpose only. Not financial advice.
Gold Breaks the Wedge — Eyes on Non-FarmGold continues to trade in a broad sideways range as investors await this week's Non-Farm Payrolls report, a key catalyst that could determine the market's next major move.
From a macro perspective, the US–Iran negotiation story remains stalled, with no meaningful progress so far. As a result, the market still lacks a strong enough driver to establish a clear directional trend.
From a technical standpoint, gold has successfully broken out of the previous wedge pattern and is now retesting several important support zones.
Key Levels to Watch
Support: 4450, 4420, 4400–4394, 4382–4370
If selling pressure intensifies, additional support zones to monitor are: 4354, 4300
Nearest resistance: 4486–4494
If price successfully breaks above this area, gold could extend its recovery toward 4535–4540, followed by 4555–4595.
Trading Plan
My current view remains:
Buy low – Sell high within the current sideways range.
Until the Non-Farm Payrolls data is released and the market breaks out decisively from either side of the range, range-trading strategies remain my preferred approach.
"The market doesn't always need to move immediately. Sometimes the best trade is simply being patient and waiting for a major catalyst to reveal the next direction." 🔥
What do you think?
Will Non-Farm provide the momentum needed for gold to extend its recovery toward 4555–4595, or will selling pressure drive the market back toward 4382–4300?
Gold Near 4600 — Can Buyers Break Through?Geopolitical tensions remain the market’s main focus after Iran announced the suspension of negotiations with the United States following the recent escalation involving Israel and Lebanon.
However, the U.S. continues to push for diplomatic efforts. President Trump is reportedly working to encourage a ceasefire, aiming to keep negotiations alive and prevent further escalation.
These developments helped support oil prices at the start of the week, while also providing momentum for gold to maintain its recent recovery from key support levels.
From my personal perspective, gold is currently forming an Inverse Head and Shoulders pattern, with the key confirmation zone located at:
4595 | 4600
This area represents the final line of defense for sellers in the short term.
Before reaching that neckline, however, the market must first overcome the nearest resistance zone at:
454X
This is the first major obstacle to watch during today's session. If price successfully breaks through this area, the probability of an extended move toward 4580–4600 increases significantly.
Trading Plan
My current preference remains looking for BUY opportunities around key support zones:
4480 | 4420 | 4410 | 4372
Key resistance zones to monitor:
454X | 4580 | 4595–4600
If price gets rejected from these areas, the market could easily return to a sideways environment or enter a deeper pullback.
On the other hand, if gold achieves a clear breakout above 4600, the Inverse Head and Shoulders pattern would be confirmed, opening the door for a move toward:
4650 | 4675 | 4700
Main Idea
Iran has suspended negotiations with the United States, increasing geopolitical uncertainty.
Rising oil prices are providing support for gold's recovery.
Gold is currently forming an Inverse Head and Shoulders pattern.
454X is the nearest resistance zone that must be cleared.
4595–4600 is the key confirmation area and the final short-term defense zone for sellers.
The current focus remains buying at support while closely monitoring price reactions around resistance levels.
"Sometimes an entire market trend is determined by a single price zone. Right now, all eyes are on 4600." 🔥
What do you think?
Will gold break through 454X and successfully conquer the 4600 neckline, confirming a larger reversal pattern?
Or will sellers once again defend this area and push price back toward lower support zones?
NIFTY50 Weekly Expiry Setup | Key Technical Levels to WatchNIFTY50 Analysis
NIFTY50 continues to trade below a descending trendline, reflecting a weak short-term market structure. Price is currently positioned near the Break Down zone around 23,277, while the Buy Reversal level near 23,405 remains an important reference area on the chart.
The recent price action highlights continued pressure below key intraday levels, with market participants closely monitoring reactions around nearby support and resistance zones.
Key Levels:
• Resistance : 23,405 | 23,570 | 23,659
• Support : 23,277 | 23,129 | 23,066
The current structure remains focused on price behavior around these levels, particularly while NIFTY50 trades below the descending trendline. Any change in momentum may become clearer through how price interacts with these reference zones.
What is your view on the current NIFTY50 structure?
Educational analysis only. Not investment advice.
US Attacks Iran — Gold Continues To Face Heavy Selling PressureGeopolitical risks continue escalating as reports emerge claiming that the US military has launched another attack on an Iranian military base. However, contrary to the typical safe-haven expectation, gold is still facing strong selling pressure.
The main reason is that the market is currently more concerned about inflation risks returning due to rising energy prices. This increases expectations that the Fed may keep interest rates higher for longer, which continues to weigh heavily on gold.
At the moment, gold is still moving within a bearish structure and has not shown any clear reversal signals yet.
Personal View
My main priority today is still waiting for pullbacks to look for SELL opportunities following the main trend.
Key SELL zones to watch:
4405 | 4425 | 4460 | 4480 | 4500
If price strongly reclaims back above the 4480–4500 area, the market could enter a larger rebound phase and the structure would need to be reassessed.
Key BUY reaction zones to watch:
4350 | 4310 | 4300
These are areas where short-term BUY reactions could appear if the market continues sweeping lower.
Main Idea
US–Iran tensions continue escalating geopolitical risks
The Fed remains hawkish amid inflation concerns
Gold is still under strong SELL pressure
Prioritize selling pullbacks until the market structure changes
“In the current market, war headlines do not necessarily push gold higher — but high interest rates almost certainly pressure gold lower.” 🔥
What do you think?
Will gold continue breaking down deeper — or is the market preparing for a major short squeeze as geopolitical tensions escalate further? 👀
Gold Breaks 4500 — Breakdown Or Sweep?Gold has now officially broken below the 4500 zone and is starting to move toward deeper support areas.
What’s important here is that the market is currently moving inside a slow and “creeping” bearish trendline — not a sharp sell-off, but a gradual pressure lower. This type of market often creates aggressive liquidity sweeps, so traders should pay close attention.
Personal View
For now, I still prefer SELL positions following the main trend until the structure shifts again.
Key SELL reaction zones to watch:
4500 | 4515–4520
If price manages to breakout back above 4520 → the market could rebound toward:
4560 | 4570
Key BUY reaction zones to watch:
4460 | 4420 | 4405
Especially the 4420–4405 area, which is an important zone to monitor for stronger BUY reactions if the market sweeps deeper.
Main Idea
Gold has broken below 4500
The market is moving inside a slow bearish trendline
SELL positions remain the priority until the structure changes
Be cautious of aggressive liquidity sweeps during slow-moving conditions
“Slow bearish moves are often where the market performs its biggest liquidity sweeps.” 🔥
What do you think?
Is this the beginning of a real breakdown toward deeper levels — or just the final sweep before gold reverses back higher? 👀
Gold Still Sideways — Key Breakout Zones To Watch NextAfter the market absorbed most of the weekend headlines related to the US–Iran situation, gold still has not shown a clear direction today and continues trading sideways inside a larger range.
Gold is currently moving within the following range:
449X | 459X
At the same time, on the lower timeframes, price has recently broken below the smaller range around 4550, showing that the market is still consolidating and lacking enough momentum for a confirmed breakout.
Personal View
I still prefer a range-trading approach until the market clearly breaks one side of the range.
If gold breaks down clearly below 4490 → the decline could extend toward:
4460 | 4450 | 4520
On the other hand, if price breaks above 4590 → the market could continue rebounding toward higher resistance zones:
4600 | 4620 | 4650–4660
Key resistance zones to watch for SELL reactions:
4550 | 4580 | 4600 | 4620 | 4650–4660
Current Trading Plan:
Look for BUY reactions at support zones
Look for SELL reactions at resistance zones
Prioritize scalp trades and range trading until a confirmed breakout appears
Main Idea
The market still lacks a clear trend
Gold remains trapped inside the 449X–459X range
Lower timeframes already broke below 4550, but it is still not enough to confirm a larger trend
Waiting for a clearer breakout before expecting the next major move
“The longer the market stays compressed in a sideways range — the stronger the breakout usually becomes.” 🔥
What do you think?
Will gold break above 4590 and continue the rebound — or break below 4490 and extend the deeper bearish move? 👀
SBILIFE – Support-Based Reversal with Bullish Structure FormingSBILIFE is currently trading near a major demand zone , showing signs of a potential bullish reversal after a prolonged correction. The price action indicates accumulation at lower levels with a possible move toward higher resistance zones.
⚡ Key Technical Points:
Strong Demand Zone Holding 🟢
Price has consistently respected the ₹1718–₹1785 support zone, confirming strong buyer interest.
Multiple Support Reactions 📊
Historical price action shows repeated bounces from this zone, making it a high-probability reversal area.
Entry Levels Defined 🎯
Entry 1 – ₹1818 🟢
Entry 2 – ₹1718 🟢 (Strong Demand Zone)
Upside Targets 📈
Target 1 – ₹1898
Target 2 – ₹1987
Target 3 – ₹2112
💡 Why This is a Strong Technical Setup:
✅ Demand Zone Accumulation:
The ₹1718–₹1785 zone has acted as a strong base, indicating institutional buying.
✅ Reversal Structure Formation:
Price is attempting to form higher lows, hinting at a possible trend reversal.
✅ Resistance Flip Potential:
Once ₹1898 is reclaimed, it can act as support, confirming bullish continuation.
✅ Volume Spike at Bottom:
Increased volume near recent lows suggests smart money accumulation.
✅ RSI Recovery Signal:
RSI is bouncing from oversold levels, supporting a momentum shift upward.
✅ Favorable Risk-Reward Ratio:
Entries near support with upside targets toward ₹2100+ offer a solid R:R setup.
📌 Trading Strategy:
Buy near support or on confirmation above ₹1818
Add on dips toward ₹1718 zone
Watch for breakout above ₹1898 for momentum entry
Maintain strict risk management below support
🚨 Disclaimer:
This is for educational purposes only. Not financial advice. Always do your own research before trading.
Gold Is Moving Sideways Waiting For The Break — 4590 Is The Key Over the weekend, the market continued reacting heavily to US–Iran headlines.
Trump stated that the US and Iran are getting closer to a new agreement, and he even canceled attending his son’s wedding to focus on the negotiations. This helped ease tensions around the Strait of Hormuz and pushed oil prices lower after breaking a major resistance zone.
However, this morning Trump also mentioned that the agreement “does not need to be signed too quickly,” showing that the current strategy still seems to be a mix of pressure and de-escalation in order to prevent oil prices from overheating and pushing inflation higher again.
Most importantly:
So far, there has still been no official confirmation from Iran.
Personal View
Gold is currently forming a potential inverse head and shoulders pattern, with the key neckline located around the 4590 area.
However, because the market opened with a gap this morning, I expect gold to continue moving sideways within the current H3 candle range before any clearer breakout appears.
Personal Trading Plan:
Still prioritizing SELL positions overall
First SELL zone to watch: 458X
If price clearly breaks above 4590 → I will stop prioritizing SELL setups
Key SELL reaction zones:
4620 | 4650 | 4660
Key BUY reaction zones:
4500 | 4484 | 4462 | 4420–4414
For short-term scalp traders, you can also watch reactions around:
453X | 4540
These areas could provide short-term BUY reaction opportunities during intraday trading.
Main Idea
The market is still trading heavily based on US–Iran headlines
4590 remains the key neckline level
Until a confirmed breakout appears → range trading and reaction setups remain the priority
“In the current market, headlines are stronger than technicals.”
What do you think?
Will gold break above 4590 and complete the inverse head and shoulders pattern — or is this just another rebound before SELL pressure returns? 🔥
Symmetric Triangle pattern-Based on monthly time frame the price action is following the retracement value.
- Based on historic data all upward movemnets in XAUUSD had promised mnimum of 50% retracement.
- So there is a possibility that the price action is moving towards $3700 level.
- We have a clean brekout in this symmetric traingle pattern.
- Also there is FVG at ~$3700 level, which the mkt might be heading to fill.
- However, we should also look at suport level which is $4377 mark.
Trade with Caution and always use SL & TP
Happy trading!
Buyers Are Fighting Back But 458X Resistance Still Stands AheadAfter Trump stated that negotiations with Iran are moving into the final stage, oil prices dropped nearly 6%.
This became one of the key catalysts helping gold stage a notable technical rebound after the previous strong sell-off.
Gold has now broken above the H1 descending trendline, showing that buyers are starting to step back into the market.
However, price is still approaching several major resistance zones above, so there is not enough confirmation yet for a true reversal.
Personal View
I still prefer looking for BUY scalp opportunities around strong support zones while waiting to SELL again as price retests key resistance levels.
Key support zones to watch:
4505 | 4480 | 4460
If the market sweeps deeper → watch for reactions around:
4420 | 4414
Key resistance zones to watch:
4560 | 4580–4590 | 4610 | 4660
These are the areas where the market could react strongly if the rebound continues.
Main Idea
Falling oil prices are supporting gold’s rebound
H1 has broken the previous bearish trendline
But there are still major resistance zones waiting above
So for now:
BUY positions are mainly short-term scalp trades
And the main priority still remains SELL setups following the larger trend
“The market often rebounds strongest right before major resistance — where emotions begin returning.”
What do you think?
Is this the beginning of a real reversal — or just the final rebound before gold continues a deeper breakdown? 🔥
4500 Is Broken — Is The Market Shifting Toward SELL Momentum?After gold broke below the 4500–4520 zone, the current market structure has officially shifted from support into resistance.
My personal view right now is still to wait for pullbacks and look for SELL positions following the main trend.
Key SELL zones to watch:
4520 | 4530–4546 | 4590 | 4611–4620
BUY scalp reaction zones:
4420 | 4400
If the market sweeps deeper → 4350–4359
At the moment, the market is still moving inside a short-term trading range between:
4507–4511 | 4453
My expectation is that gold may still produce another technical rebound before continuing the broader bearish move.
In addition, if the market continues moving sideways for too long without a proper rebound, I will start watching for a possible sell stop setup below:
4440–4444
Main Idea
4500 has now turned into resistance
The main trend still favors selling the rallies
Current BUY positions are mostly short-term reaction trades only
“The market often pulls back to create liquidity before continuing the main trend.” 🔥
Coal India Ltd - Breakout & Retest with Bullish MomentumCoal India Ltd has successfully broken a key resistance level and is currently retesting it, indicating potential bullish continuation. Entry zones are well-defined with a stop-loss to manage risk. Targets align with previous resistance levels, confirming strong risk-reward potential.
⚡ Key Technical Points:
- Resistance Breakout & Retest: Price has broken resistance and is retesting, a bullish confirmation signal.
- Resistance Breakout & Re-test 🔵
- Entry 1 - 401 🟢
- Entry 2 - 354 🟢 (Support Zone)
- Stop-Loss below 346 🔴 (Risk Management)
- Target 1 - 440.80 📈
- Target 2 - 502.75 📈
Why This is a Technically Strong Setup:
- ✅ Resistance Breakout & Retest: Price has broken a key resistance and is retesting it, a classic bullish continuation signal.
- ✅ Strong Support Levels: The 354 zone has acted as a solid support multiple times, making it a high-probability entry.
- ✅ Moving Averages Alignment: Price is reclaiming key moving averages, signaling trend reversal.
- ✅ Volume Confirmation: The breakout was backed by increasing volume, adding strength to the move.
- ✅ Favorable Risk-Reward Ratio: Defined stop-loss below 346 minimizes downside risk while upside targets offer a strong reward.
- ✅ Higher Highs & Higher Lows: Market structure suggests a shift to an uptrend.
🚨 No financial advice. Do your own research.
4500 Remains The Key Zone — Rebound or Breakdown?After the deep liquidity sweep earlier, gold is still holding above the 4500 zone and has started showing short-term rebounds inside a very tight trading range.
One important detail is that RSI is beginning to show slight convergence signals, suggesting that the market is starting to react technically.
However, there is still not enough confirmation for a major reversal yet.
Personal View
I still prefer waiting for pullbacks to look for SELL positions following the main trend.
Key resistance zones to watch:
4600 | 4605–4621 | 4650
These are the areas where the market could react strongly if price pushes higher.
Key support zones:
4520 | 4500 | 4460
4500 remains the key short-term structure zone.
If it holds → the market could continue a technical rebound.
If it breaks → gold could extend the bearish move toward:
4400 | 4300
Trading Plan
Prefer SELL positions on pullbacks following the main trend
Watch price reactions carefully around resistance zones
Short-term BUY scalp only for quick reactions at strong support
Stay cautious of deep liquidity sweeps before the real move begins
Main Idea
The market is still trapped inside a difficult trading range
RSI is showing convergence, but not enough to confirm a reversal
4500 remains the zone buyers must defend
“The market often creates hope for a rebound before revealing the real direction.”
What do you think?
Will 4500 continue holding the price — or is this just another pause before the next breakdown? 🔥
AETHER Bullish Reversal Setup with Strong Risk-Reward PotentialAether Industries Ltd is showing signs of a potential trend reversal from a well-established support zone, supported by a descending triangle breakout pattern and improving technical indicators. This setup suggests a strong risk-reward opportunity for swing traders and positional investors.
⚡ Key Technical Points:
🔵 Descending Triangle Breakout Potential: The price is nearing a breakout from a long-term descending triangle. A breakout above the trendline (~₹778–₹790) could trigger a strong uptrend.
🟢 Strong Support Zone: ₹700–₹720 has held as solid support multiple times (as marked by green arrows), indicating strong demand at these levels.
🟩 Bullish Divergence on RSI: Relative Strength Index (RSI) is showing higher lows while price remains flat or lower, indicating bullish divergence—a sign of potential reversal.
🟢 Favorable Entries: 735, 720
🔴 Stop-Loss: Below 695 (Strong breakdown confirmation)
📈 Target 1 – 838.05 (Previous key swing high)
📈 Target 2 – 943.60 (Next resistance level from historical price structure)
✅ Why This Is a Technically Strong Setup:
✅ Multiple Support Bounces: 700–720 zone has been tested at least 4 times in the last year, showing strength.
✅ Volume-Based Reactions: While volume is low now, past spikes at support zones suggest institutional interest.
✅ Clear Risk Management: Stop-loss is tight (~6–7%) with targets offering 1.5–3x risk-reward potential.
✅ Potential Trend Reversal: Break above descending trendline and moving averages could signal a shift to bullish structure.
✅ Long Base Formation: The stock has been consolidating for over a year—long base formations often lead to explosive moves.
📢 Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. Always do your own research or consult with a professional before making investment decisions.
Gold Swept Long Positions — Can 4500 Still Hold?Right as the Asian session opened, gold made a very aggressive long sweep down into the 4478 area, wiping out liquidity and crushing long positions around the 4500 zone.
At the moment, the market is still trading inside a very uncomfortable trading range.
What’s interesting is that every H2 candle is still closing above 4500, showing that buyers are still trying to defend the short-term structure.
But the big question now is:
Can 4500 still hold the price?
Personal View
I still prefer waiting for pullbacks to look for SELL positions following the main trend.
Key resistance zones to watch:
4580 | 4605–4621 | 4650
These are the areas where the market could react strongly if price pushes higher.
There may still be opportunities for quick BUY scalps or reaction trades around support zones.
However, BUY positions at this stage are mostly short-term reaction setups only.
My personal expectation is that the market could bounce one more time before continuing lower again.
If the bearish structure remains intact, deeper targets could expand toward:
4400 | 4300 | 4000
Main Idea
The market has just completed a major liquidity sweep
4500 is still the key structure zone
But the overall trend still favors selling the rallies
“The longer the market holds around a key decision zone — the stronger the next breakout usually becomes.”
What do you think?
Is 4500 truly becoming a short-term bottom — or just a pause before the next major breakdown? 🔥
Gold Breakdown — Is 4500 The Next Target?After gold broke below the 4640 zone, the market officially moved out of the previous sideways range and started showing a clearer direction.
Gold is now retesting important support zones:
4540 | 4520 | 4500
If these levels fail, the market could extend the decline toward:
4460 | 4440 | even 4400
Personal View
I still prefer SELL positions overall.
At this stage, BUY setups are mostly short-term rebounds based on price reactions at support zones.
The current bearish momentum is also being supported by rising oil prices, as oil continues pushing higher and retesting the major resistance area around $104–105.
Trading Plan
Prefer SELL positions following the current trend
Look for sell entries on pullbacks into resistance
Short-term BUY scalp only at strong support zones
Stay cautious of deep liquidity sweeps before continuation moves
Another important point is that RSI on M15, M30, and H1 is already showing oversold conditions.
However, that does not automatically mean the market is ready to reverse.
I still prefer waiting for stronger convergence signals and clearer price reactions before considering longer-term BUY positions again.
Main Idea
Gold has officially left the range, and the market is gradually shifting toward the SELL side.
Until the structure is reclaimed, selling the trend remains the priority.
“The market rarely reverses when everyone already sees oversold conditions — it usually sweeps one more time first.”
If 4500 truly breaks…
Will the market enter panic selling — or will that become the beginning of the next major rebound?
Gold Is Sweeping Liquidity — Real Breakout or Just Another Trap?After CPI, the market reacted strongly as both inflation and core inflation started rising again.
Gold also experienced aggressive liquidity sweeps after the news, showing that the market is still heavily conflicted and has not chosen a clear direction yet.
Looking at the 3H timeframe:
No candle has closed above the 4747–4750 zone
No candle has closed below the 4650 zone
This suggests that gold is still trapped inside a wide trading range with very aggressive liquidity sweeps on both sides.
Personal View
For now, I still prefer trading the range and avoiding chasing breakouts.
The market is sweeping both sides aggressively, so traders should stay extremely cautious with fake moves.
BUY zones I’m watching:
4645–4650
4590–4596
458X
These are the key support zones if the market continues making deeper sweeps.
Main Idea
Gold is still trading inside a range and waiting for the real breakout.
Until one side clearly breaks, liquidity sweeps remain the most likely scenario.
Tonight, the market will also focus on PPI data and developments surrounding the Fed Chair voting process.
“Not every breakout becomes a trend — sometimes it’s just another liquidity sweep.”
Do you think gold is accumulating for a major breakout — or is the market preparing for one more deep sweep before choosing direction?
NIFTY 50 Daily Chart AnalysisNIFTY 50 | Daily Timeframe
NIFTY faced a sharp rejection from the 24,300–24,400 resistance zone and witnessed a strong bearish candle with rising volume, showing aggressive profit booking near resistance. The index is now moving back toward the important support zone around 23,750–23,150.
The market structure still remains in a broader recovery phase after the sharp bounce from the 22,180 low, but the current pullback suggests short-term weakness and possible gap-filling action before the next directional move.
Key Resistance Zones :
24,305 – Immediate resistance and recent swing rejection zone.
25,372 – 25,448 – Major supply zone and previous breakdown area.
Key Support Zones :
23,753 – First important support.
23,153 – Gap support and critical demand area.
22,182 – Swing low support. Breakdown below this can trigger deeper correction.
Gap Analysis :
Two upside gaps are visible on the chart:
First gap near 23,750
Second major gap near 23,150
Markets often tend to revisit and fill such gaps before resuming trend continuation. If NIFTY sustains below 23,750, then probability increases for a move toward 23,150 gap-fill zone.
Bearish Scenario :
If price remains below 24,300:
Target 1: 23,750
Target 2: 23,150
Extended correction can drag the index toward 22,800–22,200
Bullish Scenario :
If bulls reclaim 24,300 with strong closing:
Momentum can resume toward 24,800
Followed by retest of the major resistance zone near 25,400
Volume Observation:
Selling pressure increased during the recent fall, which indicates institutions may be booking profits near resistance. Follow-through weakness in coming sessions can confirm short-term bearish control.
Conclusion :
NIFTY is currently at a crucial level where gap supports will decide the next major move. Holding above 23,150 can keep the broader bullish structure intact, while breakdown below it may trigger a deeper market correction.
Levels to watch carefully: 24,300 on upside and 23,150 on downside.
⚠️ This is a technical analysis idea for educational purposes only, not financial advice. Please do your own research before making any trading decision.






















