Technical Analysis: Symmetrical Triangle Breakout in SBICARD
• The weekly chart of SBI Cards (SBICARD) shows a symmetrical triangle pattern that has been forming since mid-2021.
• The stock recently broke out of this pattern, indicating a potential trend reversal or continuation move depending on broader market conditions.
• Resistance Breakout: The upper trendline, which acted as resistance, has been breached, and the stock is now retesting the breakout level (~800).
• Volume Confirmation Needed: To validate the breakout, an increase in volume would be ideal.
Fundamental Analysis: Mixed Earnings Performance
• Earnings Per Share (EPS) Trends:
• Q3 FY24 EPS came in at 4.25, missing estimates by 31.16%—a significant negative surprise.
• Q2 FY24 EPS also missed estimates by 4.51%, while Q1 FY24 had a 4.59% miss as well.
• The company has shown inconsistent earnings, which could cause volatility despite the technical breakout.
• Revenue Growth:
• Q3 FY24 revenue was ₹46.19B, exceeding estimates by 10.06%.
• Q2 FY24 revenue missed expectations by 3.01%, while Q1 FY24 was also slightly weak.
• This suggests that while top-line growth is strong, profitability (EPS) is under pressure due to either higher costs or operational inefficiencies.
Investment View: Cautious Buy with Risk Management
• Technical View: The breakout above the triangle is bullish, but the stock must sustain above 800-820 for confirmation. If it does, next resistance levels are 900 and 1000.
• Fundamental Concerns: Weak earnings growth is a risk factor. The next earnings (April 2025) will be crucial.
• Buying Strategy:
• Entry: If the stock holds above 800-820, it can be bought with a target of 900-1000.
• Stop Loss: 750-770 zone (below the breakout trendline).
• Risk Factor: If broader market sentiment weakens or earnings disappoint further, the breakout might fail.
Conclusion: A breakout trade is valid, but weak earnings make it a cautious buy with a tight stop loss. If fundamentals improve, the rally could sustain.
Swingtrading
Axis Bank : Swing Trade Pick#axisbank #swingtrade #momentumtrade #trendingstock
Axis Bank : Swing Trade
>> Low PE Stock
>> Banking Sector Theme, most likely to perform
>> Trending stock
>> Low Risk Trade
Swing Traders can lock profit at 10% and keep Trailing
Please Boost, comment and follow us for more Learnings.
Note : Markets are still Tricky and can go either ways so don't be over aggressive while choosing & planning your Trades, Calculate your Position sizing as per the Risk Reward you se and most importantly don't go all in
Disc : Charts shared are for learning purpose only, not a Trade recommendation. Do your own research and consult your financial advisor before taking any position.
Tata Motors-2-Chart AnalysisTata motors CMP:786.45; RSI: 36.35;
TATAMOTORS has completed 5 wave impulsive -Primary Bull cycle phase on weekly chart basis and now in corrective of ABC wave in formation . Corrective Wave-A has bottomed out and wave-B may give a swing trade opportunity for aggressive trader . This wave-B may take the Tata Motors shares at levels of 969-980 levels.
In Long term view is still avoid and fresh entry is suggested only for swing trade.
On daily chart basis, also 5 wave structure has formed as identified in chart structure, It suggest script will now reverse as it has entered wave-a formation.
Chart structure suggest a swing trade is open. The key crucial levels are listed below
Swing Trade Target 1: 969-980; Target 2: 1000-1020.
Stop Loss : 710
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#SHIVALIK - Potential Break Out / Feb'25📊 Script: SHIVALIK
Key highlights: 💡⚡
📈 IH&N Formation in Weekly chart.
📈 IH&N Formation in Daily chart also
📈 Price gave a good up move.
📈 Went into a Side Ways consolidation for over a Two months.
📈 Volume spike seen in past
📈 MACD Cross Over.
📈 One can go for Swing Trade.
🟢 If you have any questions regarding the setup, please feel free to leave your inquiries in the comments, and I will respond promptly.
BUY ONLY ABOVE 850 DCB
⏱️ C.M.P 📑💰- 783
🟢 Target 🎯🏆 – NA%
⚠️ Stoploss ☠️🚫 – NA%
⚠️ Important: Always Exit the trade before any Event.
⚠️ Important: Always maintain your Risk & Reward Ratio.
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Disclaimer: I am not SEBI Registered Advisor. My posts are purely for training and educational purposes.
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#CANTABIL - Breakout Soon Candidate! /Feb'25/ 📊 Script: CANTABIL
Key highlights: 💡⚡
📈 C.E.S.T – refer image
🟢 If you have any questions regarding the setup, please feel free to leave your inquiries in the comments, and I will respond promptly.
BUY ONLY ABOVE 315 DCB
⏱️ C.M.P 📑💰- 284
🟢 Target 🎯🏆 – NA%
⚠️ Stoploss ☠️🚫 – NA%
⚠️ Important: Always Exit the trade before any Event.
⚠️ Important: Always maintain your Risk & Reward Ratio.
✅#Boost, #Like & #Follow to never miss a new idea! ✅
Disclaimer: I am not SEBI Registered Advisor. My posts are purely for training and educational purposes.
Eat🍜 Sleep😴 TradingView📈 Repeat 🔁
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Weekly Breakout - Feb 1st Week / Best Stock To Watch Now ⚠️ Important: Always Exit the trade before any Event.
⚠️ Important: Always maintain your Risk & Reward Ratio.
✅#Boost, #Like & #Follow to never miss a new idea! ✅
Disclaimer: I am not SEBI Registered Advisor. My posts are purely for training and educational purposes.
Eat🍜 Sleep😴 TradingView📈 Repeat 🔁
Happy learning with MMT. Cheers!🥂
CreditAccess Grameen: A Turnaround in Sight Short Term Trading Advice by Goodluck Capital
Buy CreditAccess Grameen
Buy Range- 990 - 1030
Target- 1200 - 1250
StopLoss- below 845
Upside Potential- 20% -25%
Approx trade duration 20 - 25 days
◉ Technical Analysis
● After a substantial decline, the stock is now showing signs of recovery, bouncing back from its trendline support.
● Additionally, the increasing trading volume is reinforcing the likelihood of a turnaround, indicating a potential reversal in the stock's fortunes.
◉ Fundamental Rationale
The Reserve Bank of India's (RBI) recent liquidity infusion of over ₹1.5 lakh crore is expected to boost economic growth and create a favorable environment for microfinance institutions (MFIs) like CreditAccess Grameen. Here are the key benefits:
● Improved Liquidity for Lending: The injection will help MFIs meet their short-term funding requirements, reducing their reliance on expensive sources of funding.
● Potential Interest Rate Cuts: Lower interest rates will enable CreditAccess Grameen to access cheaper capital, making loans more affordable for low-income customers.
● Boost to Rural Economy: Budget 2025's focus on rural development through increased government spending will enhance the repayment capacity of borrowers, reducing credit risks for MFIs. This will create a favorable environment for CreditAccess Grameen to operate and expand their services.
Britannia - Low Risk SetupCMP 4834 on 05.01.25
The charts mention all important levels. This time, the stock has bounced back from a long-term support channel and formed a double-bottom pattern.
If the momentum continues it may go to 5240/5580 or more.
If it sustains below 4650, the setup goes weak.
one should keep the position size following risk management.
All this illustration is only for learning and sharing purposes, it is not trading advice.
All the best.
TECH MAHINDRA - Good formations | Bullish OutlookPrice Analysis & Overview:
1. Prices are in uptrend. Forming HH-HL.
2. 1500 can be an immediate hurdle.
3. RRR is okay, but there might be chances for a better entry price than CMP on a pullback.
4. Good volume strength.
5. Expecting ATH breakout.
Trade Plan:
1. ENTRY = CMP (1430)
2. SL = 10 % (1300)
3. TARGET = 1:2,1:3,1:4
- Stay tuned for further insights, updates and trade safely!
- These are my personal views.
- If you liked the analysis, don't forget to leave a comment and boost the post. Happy trading!
Disclaimer: This is NOT a buy/sell recommendation. This post is meant for learning purposes only. Please, do your due diligence before investing.
Thanks & Regards,
Anubrata Ray
ALIVUS - Breakout in Daily timeframeALIVUS (Alivus Life Sciences Limited, formerly Glenmark Life Sciences) - Breakout
Breakout observed in daily timeframe of Alivus, the company has a very good chart pattern and is in a good uptrend and recently broke out with good volumes. The breakout has also been retested and sustained. There could be a good upside in this stock. The company also has good fundamentals as written below.
Fundamentals.
MCap 14,299Cr
Stock P/E 32.4
Industry P/E 31.6
ROCE 28.1%
ROE 21.1%
NPM 20.6%
PEG Ratio 1.69
Debt 16Cr
Reserves 2,514Cr
EPS 36.05
Promoter holding 75%
API contribution 9MFY24
Chronic : 69%
Acute : 31%
Key Therapeutic areas contribution 9MFY24
Diabetes : 4%
CVS : 41%
CNS : 17%
Pain Management : 6%
Others : 32%
Business segments
The company has two key segments - Generics and Complex APIs (92% of FY23 revenue) and Contract Development and Manufacturing Operations (CDMO) (8% of FY23 revenue)