Gold Plan (28/08) – Ahead of 3,400: Breakout or Correction to ??XAU/USD – Gold hits Storm Breaker 3400: Accumulation before breaking ATH?
1. Market Wave 🌍
Throughout last week, Gold continuously formed BOS (Break of Structure) , confirming that buyers remain in control.
Currently, price is consolidating around 3,394 – 3,400, right at the Storm Breaker 🌊 , the crucial barrier before heading towards the old ATH at 3,424.
The key question: Will Gold accumulate here and smash through ATH, or will it need a pullback to safe harbors before a strong rally in September?
2. Technical Analysis ⚙️
Storm Breaker 🌊 (Strong Resistance): 3400 – 3424 (old ATH). The gateway Gold must conquer to open a new bullish leg.
Golden Harbor 🏝️ (Key Support): 3375 – 3355 – 3330. Confluence with FVG + Fibonacci 0.5/0.618 , likely to attract liquidity if price corrects.
Short-term scenario: Price may pull back to Golden Harbor before breaking higher.
3. Captain Vincent’s Map – Trade Scenarios 🪙
🔺 Quick Boarding 🚤 (BUY Scalp – Rebound Priority)
Entry: 3353 – 3355
SL: 3349
TP: 3356 → 3359 → 3361 → 33xx
🔻 Storm Breaker 🌊 (SELL Reaction – Old ATH)
Entry: 3422 – 3424 (if tested)
SL: 3430
TP: 3419 → 3415 → 3410 → 3405 → 33xx
4. Captain’s Note ⚓
"The Gold ship is now pressing against Storm Breaker 🌊 3400 – 3424 . If it breaks through, the vast ocean opens a new trend. But if the waves push back, patiently wait at Golden Harbor 🏝️ to anchor and catch the September tide."
Swingtrading
SBINSBIN is looking good.
It gave a clean breakout above an old resistance zone. After the breakout, it pulled back to retest the level, and during this retest it respected the previous swing low at ₹781.70. Not breaching this level shows strong demand holding.
It is moving above all key EMAs, more importantly it is moving above 200ema for the last 3 months - which confirms the strength of the broader uptrend.
Volume is good and this reduces the there is probability of a false breakout.
In between it may halt around 858, 880 and 894, previous resistance levels.
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📌 For learning and educational purposes only, not a recommendation. Please consult your financial advisor before investing.
Hammer In RelianceEntry- 1380-1378
Support- 1360
Targets- 1395, 1400
Reason- In 1hr timeframe a perfect hammer candle has been made in Reliance Industries which is an indication of a reversal in the stock. One can look for an entry here with 1360 as a SL.
Disclaimer- This is just for educational purpose.
Jai Shree Ram.
Gold Plan 27/08 – Captain Vincent (IN)XAU/USD – Trump strengthens control over the FED, Gold consolidates near Storm Breaker
1. News Wave 🌍
Trump: “We will soon have majority control at the FED. Miran may be moved to another position with a longer term.”
Trump: “I already have a candidate in mind to replace FED Governor L. Cook.”
US Senate: Preparing hearings next week for Trump’s nominee – S. Miran .
👉 Message: Trump is consolidating power within the FED. Market fears FED losing independence → USD volatility rises, Gold benefits from safe-haven flows .
2. Technical Outlook ⚙️
Gold is approaching Storm Breaker 🌊 (3400 – 3402) , overlapping with resistance 3392 – 3406 → profit-taking likely .
On H1, multiple FVGs remain unfilled around 3355 & 3330 → Price may correct to retest these supports before choosing direction.
Intraday bias: Range-bound → Sell at resistance, short Buy at supports.
3. Captain Vincent’s Map – Key Levels 🪙
Resistance (Kháng cự):
3406 – 3400 – 3392 (Storm Breaker 🌊)
Support (Hỗ trợ):
3372 (Minor Shield 🛡️)
3355 (Quick Boarding 🚤 – Buy Scalp Zone)
3344 (Intermediate Shield 🛡️)
3330 (Golden Harbor 🏝️ – Main Buy Zone)
4. Trade Scenarios 📌
🔻 SELL at Storm Breaker 🌊 (Priority)
Entry: 3400 – 3402
SL: 3408
TP: 3395 → 3393 → 3389 → 3386 → 33xx
🚤 BUY Scalp – Quick Boarding
Entry: 3353 – 3355
SL: 3345
TP: 3358 → 3361 → 3363 → 33xx
🏝️ BUY at Golden Harbor (Strong Support)
Entry: 3330 – 3332
SL: 3325
TP: 3335 → 3338 → 3341 → 33xx
5. Captain’s Note ⚓
"Gold today faces Storm Breaker 🌊 above, but multiple shields of support remain below. Smart traders will scalp quickly at Quick Boarding 🚤, or patiently wait for Golden Harbor 🏝️ to anchor safely."
Gold Plan 26/08 – Captain VincentXAU/USD – Trump’s surprise move sparks a Gold rally. What’s the next scenario?
1. News Wave 🌍
Trump unexpectedly dismissed FED Governor L. Cook , citing “irresponsible recent financial decisions.”
👉 A political–monetary shock that pushed Gold up by more than 30 points from the 3,350 – 3,352 zone, as investors feared internal instability at the FED could weaken the USD.
Safe-haven demand has been activated, but Gold is unlikely to “fly in a straight line.” The market often requires a pullback to fill liquidity gaps before a clear trend develops.
2. Technical Outlook ⚙️
Price bounced sharply from Golden Harbor 🏝️ (Buy Zone 3350 – 3342) – a key support area.
Currently, Gold is testing Storm Breaker 🌊 (Resistance 3384 – 3400) , a liquidity cluster → potential for profit-taking sell orders.
On H1, multiple FVGs formed around 3363 and 3355 → price may retrace to “fill the gap” before continuing.
👉 Intraday bias: Prioritise Sell at resistance, but watch for short Buy Scalp setups at Quick Boarding 🚤 (3342 – 3340) .
3. Captain Vincent’s Map – Key Levels 🪙
Storm Breaker 🌊 (Main Resistance): 3384 – 3400
Quick Boarding 🚤 (Buy Scalp): 3342 – 3340 | SL 3333 | TP: 3345 → 3347 → 3350 → 33xx
Golden Harbor 🏝️ (Buy Zone): 3350 – 3342
FVG Zones: Around 3363 & 3355 (short-term price magnets)
4. Trade Scenarios 📌
🔻 SELL at Storm Breaker 🌊 (Priority)
Entry: 3400 – 3402
SL: 3408
TP: 3395 → 3390 → 33xx
🔺 BUY Scalp – Quick Boarding 🚤
Entry: 3342 – 3340
SL: 3333
TP: 3345 → 3347 → 3350 → 33xx
5. Captain’s Note ⚓
"Trump’s news wave pushed Gold like an unexpected headwind. But Storm Breaker 🌊 ahead may unleash rough seas. The wise will anchor at Golden Harbor 🏝️ , while the bold may ride Quick Boarding 🚤 for fast scalps. And remember: today’s golden sea depends on the sharks at the helm."
ACE - Breakout of Bullish FlagACE Construction has confirmed an upside breakout from a bullish flag pattern, indicating potential trend continuation. The RSI is rising towards 70, reflecting increasing bullish momentum. Additionally, EMAs are nearing a bullish crossover, reinforcing a short- to mid-term bullish outlook. Sustained volume and price action above key resistances will further validate the move.
The Anatomy of Market Structure : JK PAPER1) Supply-Demand Conversion Zone Observation
The highlighted grey rectangular zone on the chart represents a critical supply-demand conversion area. This zone, spanning approximately the ₹280-₹320 range, has historically acted as a significant inflection point where institutional money flow patterns have shifted.
2) The Inverted Head and Shoulders Formation
Above this conversion zone sits a textbook inverted head and shoulders pattern, meticulously marked with dotted lines. This formation showcases three distinct troughs:
-Left Shoulder: Formed during the initial decline phase
-Head: The deepest trough representing maximum bearish sentiment
-Right Shoulder: A higher low indicating weakening selling pressure
3) The pattern's neckline resistance (depicted by the red counter-trend line) : Its true nature is to provide resistance as a downward sloping trend continues up until trend shifts, also know as Market structure shift .
Disclaimer: This analysis is purely educational and structural in nature. It does not constitute investment advice, trading recommendations, or buy/sell signals. Always conduct your own research and consult with qualified financial advisors before making investment decisions.
ETH BigBOEntry- 4555-4545
Targets- All time High
SL- 4465 (FIb Levels)
Reason- After a big volume candle near all time high ETH made a retracement and from here it can continue its upside journey towards all time high and 5050 Levels. Entry is being made in Fib Golden zone level which has been made in bigger tf that is daily tf and entry in taken in the shorter tf that is 1 hr tf.
Disclaimer- This is just for educational purpose.
Jai Shree Ram
Gold preparing for correction under FED & geopolitic - Vincent🟡 Gold Plan 25/08 – Captain Vincent ⚓
1. Market Context 🌍
Russia – Ukraine: Trump puts pressure on Putin to negotiate within 2 weeks. This looks positive for peace, but also carries escalation risks → Gold keeps its safe-haven role .
FED – Powell at Jackson Hole: Hawkish tone reduced expectations of a September rate cut from 3 to 2. USD strengthened → short-term downside pressure on Gold .
👉 Mix of political support vs FED pressure → Sideways market, Gold may need a pullback to absorb liquidity before showing clear direction.
2. Technical Outlook ⚙️
H4 candle closed bearish → Buying momentum weakens , sellers may return.
Recent FVG created after sharp bounce → Likely pullback for liquidity grab .
Bias of the day: Prioritise Sell, but short Buy Scalp setups possible at support.
3. Key Levels – Captain Vincent’s Map 🪙
Resistance:
Storm Breaker 🌊 (Sell Zone 3398 – 3400)
3376 (intermediate resistance – watch reaction)
Support:
Quick Boarding 🚤 (Buy Scalp 3340 – 3342)
SL: 3333
TP: 3345 → 3349 → 3353 → 3357 → 33xx
Golden Harbor 🏝️ (Buy Zone 3328 – 3326)
SL: 3318
TP: 3332 → 3336 → 3339 → 33xx
Higher Low – 3323
Anchor point of the trend → If broken, need to reassess all Buy setups.
4. Trade Scenarios 📌
🔻 Sell at Storm Breaker 🌊
Entry: 3398 – 3400
SL: 3408
TP: 3395 → 3390 → 3387 → 3384 → 33xx
🚤 Buy Scalp at Quick Boarding
Entry: 3340 – 3342
SL: 3333
TP: 3345 → 3349 → 3353 → 3357 → 33xx
🏝️ Buy at Golden Harbor (3328 – 3326)
SL: 3318
TP: 3332 → 3336 → 3339 → 33xx
5. Captain’s Note ⚓
"Today, the golden sea is full of undercurrents: FED winds blow against, politics push along. Those who pick Storm Breaker 🌊 may ride the wave safely; those who patiently wait at Golden Harbor 🏝️ will find peace. Quick Boarding 🚤 is for sailors seeking fast scalps in narrow waters."
ACME SOLAR IPO BASEEntry- 300-302
Target- 315, 325, 340
Support- 285
Reason- Acme Solar has given a IPO base breakout. One can take a long here with todays low as a SL. It has given a strong closing above its IPO base high. IPO base breakout trade usually has great win ratio. One can also hold it for 25 to 30 percent returns. Keep Check.
Disclaimer- This is just for educational purpose.
Jai Shree Ram.
Observing Charts Smarter: Learning Price Action Made EasyIn this video, I share how simple trading observations and “talking to the charts” can improve your understanding of price action and trade movements. By reviewing Apollo’s chart, we explore how breakout patterns, retracements, and higher highs unfold in real time. The goal is not prediction, but sharpening your ability to read market structure, avoid wrong entries, and reduce big drawdowns—ultimately helping you become a more disciplined trader.
GPIL - Cup & Handle Breakout | Daily Chart📊 GPIL – Cup & Handle Breakout with Explosive Volume | RSI > 80
📅 Chart Date: August 24, 2025
📍 CMP: ₹238.61 (+6.91%)
📈 Symbol: NSE:GPIL | 1D Timeframe
🔍 Technical Analysis
☕ Cup & Handle Breakout
A multi-month Cup & Handle pattern has been completed.
Price gave a strong breakout above the neckline zone ₹206.81.
Next supply zone is around ₹236–₹240, which is being tested.
💥 Volume Confirmation
Relative Volume (RVol): 842% 🔥
Today’s volume 19.25M vs avg 3.2M — heavy institutional buying.
📈 RSI (14, close): 81.05
Stock is in the overbought zone, indicating strong momentum.
Short-term pullback possible, but trend remains bullish above breakout.
📌 Key Levels
Breakout Zone (Support): ₹206.81
Immediate Resistance: ₹236–₹240
Next Target Levels: ₹260 / ₹280
Stoploss for Swing Traders: ₹200
Entry on Retest: ₹210–₹215
Stoploss: ₹200
Targets: ₹260 / ₹280
⚠️ Disclaimer: This is an educational chart setup and not trading advice. Please conduct your own research and risk management.
📣 Follow @PriceAction_Pulse for more such clean breakouts and chart pattern analysis!
🔁 Drop a comment if GPIL is on your radar for the next breakout rally 📈
Bitcoin – Bullish Setup Forming After FVG Retest!Hello Traders!
Bitcoin is currently showing signs of forming a bullish setup after rejecting lower levels. The price has created a clean FVG (Fair Value Gap) zone and is moving within a falling channel, suggesting a possible accumulation before the next leg up.
Key Observations:
FVG Support: Price is likely to retest the FVG zone before a strong upward move.
Falling Channel: The structure indicates potential breakout to the upside.
RSI Divergence: Momentum indicators are showing signs of strength, supporting a bullish reversal case.
Targets: The upside targets are marked at 116,360 – 117,380 – 118,394 levels.
Invalidation: A breakdown below 111,627 would negate this bullish setup.
Rahul’s Tip:
Always wait for confirmation around the FVG zone. Entering too early may expose you to false breakouts. Risk management is crucial, especially in volatile assets like Bitcoin.
Disclaimer:
This analysis is for educational purposes only and not financial advice. Please do your own research before making any trading decisions.
Best Stocks to Watch for 3rd Week of Aug / Swing Trading
In this video, I breakdown the weekly timeframe market analysis and share potential swing trade setups for the 3rd week of August. 📊
🔎 What you’ll learn:
Weekly market outlook & key levels
Stocks showing strong patterns & volume action
Watchlist stocks for possible breakouts
Swing trading opportunities using technical analysis
📌 Make sure to keep these stocks on your Watchlist this week!
✅ Like, Share & Subscribe for more trading insights.
📢 Follow me for real-time setups & updates.
⚠️ Disclaimer: I am not a SEBI registered advisor. All content shared here is purely for educational and training purposes only. Please do your own research or consult with your financial advisor before investing.
Uno Minda: Triple Trendline Test - Breakout or Pullback Setup Uno Minda Price Action Setup
(Daily Timeframe | Pure Price Action + Volume)
Key Structure
Resistance Trendline: Tested twice (02-Sep-2024 & 17-Jul-2025). Price now approaches it for the 3rd attempt.
Support Zone: Strong base at 1027 (recent swing low).
Long-Term Trend: Bullish (higher highs/lows).
Trade Scenarios
SCENARIO 1 : Trendline Breakout
Trigger:
Daily breakout candle closes above the resistance trendline.
Candle must be strong bullish (full-bodied green) with volume > 20-day average.
Entry: On confirmation of breakout (next candle open/close above breakout candle’s high).
Stop Loss: Low of the breakout candle.
Targets:
First: 1255 (take partial profits).
Trail balance with trailing SL (e.g., below recent swing lows).
SCENARIO 2 : Pullback to Support
Trigger:
Price retests 1027 support, followed by a strong bullish reversal candle (e.g., Bullish Engulfing/Hammer) with rising volume.
Entry: After reversal candle closes (confirmation).
Stop Loss: Below the low of the reversal candle.
Targets:
First: 1130 (take partial profits).
Trail balance aggressively.
Risk Management
Position Size: Risk ≤ 1% capital per trade.
Avoid chasing: Enter only on confirmed triggers.
Invalidation: Exit if price closes below SL levels.
Disclaimer
This idea is educational only. Not financial advice. Trading carries high risk. Past performance doesn’t guarantee future results. Always test strategies in a demo account. Consult a financial advisor before trading.
Boost 👍 if helpful! Comment below for other stocks you want analyzed.
Keep it price-driven. Trade safe! 💡
Smartworks: From IPO Buzz to Breakout ZoneNSE:SMARTWORKS
📊 Technical Analysis (Daily & Weekly Chart)
Trend: After listing in Aug 2025 around ₹407, the stock corrected to ~₹393 and then staged a strong rally towards ₹480. Currently consolidating near recent highs.
Current Price: ₹476.05
Resistance Levels:
₹480–₹490 (immediate supply zone)
₹520–₹550 (next major resistance)
Support Levels:
₹460 (short-term support)
₹420 (major support / breakout retest zone)
Chart Structure: Stock is forming a short-term bullish structure with higher highs and higher lows since early Aug. A weekly close above ₹490 may trigger continuation rally.
View: Sustaining above ₹490 can open upside towards ₹520–₹550; failure to cross may lead to pullback towards ₹460–₹420 support zone.
🏭 Fundamental Analysis
Business Model: Smartworks is India’s leading managed office space provider, offering flexible workspaces to corporates. Operates on a “space-as-a-service” model—leasing large commercial spaces, customizing, and sub-leasing to enterprises.
Growth Drivers:
Rising demand for flexible office spaces post-pandemic.
Corporate shift towards asset-light models.
Strong tailwinds from India’s IT, startup, and service sector growth.
Expansion across Tier-1 & Tier-2 cities.
Financials (FY25 & Q1 FY26): (approximate)
Revenue FY25: ~₹1,374 Cr (38.9% CAGR over 2 years).
EBITDA FY25: ~₹172 Cr (117% CAGR).
Net Loss FY25: ~₹63 Cr (loss narrowing).
Q1 FY26: Revenue ~₹379 Cr; Net Loss ~₹4 Cr (showing progress toward breakeven).
Market Cap: ~₹5,200 Cr.
Strengths:
Fastest-growing flexible office provider in India.
Strong corporate client base (enterprise-focused, not just startups).
Expanding in sync with India’s office demand cycle.
High revenue growth with improving operating margins.
Risks:
Still loss-making; breakeven depends on occupancy/utilization.
Highly competitive industry (WeWork, Awfis, IndiQube).
Lease liability-heavy model exposes risk during demand slowdowns.
Valuation expensive (P/B ~9x, negative P/E).
🎯 Conclusion
Technical View: Stock near crucial resistance ₹480–₹490. Breakout with volume can take it towards ₹520–₹550. Support at ₹460 / ₹420.
Fundamental View: Strong revenue growth and improving margins; leadership in flexible workspace model. IPO proceeds support expansion & debt reduction. Profitability is the key monitorable.
👉 Investor Stance:
Investors: Can accumulate gradually for long-term play on India’s office demand & corporate workspace outsourcing trend. Needs patience till profitability.
⚠️ Disclaimer:
This analysis is for educational and informational purposes only.
We are not SEBI-registered analysts or advisors.
This is our personal view based on available data and market trends.
Please consult your SEBI-registered investment advisor before making any investment or trading decisions.
You are solely responsible for any financial decisions you make based on this content.
========================
Trade Secrets By Pratik
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SHANGVIMOV : Heavy Lifter of India’s Infra GrowthNSE:SANGHVIMOV
📊 Technical Analysis (Weekly Chart)
Trend: After a steep fall from ~₹800 (2024 highs) to ~₹200 (2025 lows), the stock has been consolidating and is now attempting to break out of resistance near ₹350–₹360.
Current Price: ₹334.25
Resistance Levels:
₹350–₹360 (immediate supply zone, highlighted in your chart)
₹420–₹450 (next major resistance)
Support Levels:
₹300 (short-term support)
₹250 (major support, bottom zone)
Chart Structure: Formation of a rounding base; breakout above ₹360 on weekly closing can trigger momentum rally.
View: If price sustains above ₹360, potential upside towards ₹420–₹450; failure to break may lead to retest of ₹300.
🏭 Fundamental Analysis
Business Model: Sanghvi Movers Ltd is India’s largest crane rental company and among the top 10 globally. Provides heavy-lift, engineered transport & installation services, especially to wind energy, power, steel, cement, refinery, and infrastructure projects.
Growth Drivers:
Renewable energy push (especially wind and solar projects requiring heavy cranes).
Infrastructure growth under government’s capex focus.
Demand from steel, cement, oil & gas projects.
Financials (Latest FY24/25) (approximate):
Revenue: ~₹650–700 Cr.
Net Profit: ~₹120–130 Cr (steady growth).
Debt levels moderate; improved operating margins due to higher utilization of crane fleet.
Strengths:
Market leader with strong fleet of high-capacity cranes.
Asset-heavy model creates strong entry barriers.
Benefits from India’s renewable & infra capex cycle.
Risks:
Cyclical industry – earnings depend on capex cycles.
High capital expenditure (maintenance, fleet expansion).
Order inflow variability.
🎯 Conclusion
Technical View: Stock is at a crucial resistance zone (₹350–₹360). A breakout with volume could take it to ₹420–₹450. Support at ₹300.
Fundamental View: Strong long-term player in crane rental, directly benefiting from infra & renewable boom. Earnings visibility is improving with higher crane utilization.
👉 Investor Stance:
Investors: Long-term accumulation is possible; positioned well in the infra/renewable growth cycle, though cyclicality risk exists.
⚠️ Disclaimer:
This analysis is for educational and informational purposes only.
We are not SEBI-registered analysts or advisors.
This is our personal view based on available data and market trends.
Please consult your SEBI-registered investment advisor before making any investment or trading decisions.
You are solely responsible for any financial decisions you make based on this content.
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Trade Secrets By Pratik
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Olectra Greentech – The Silent EV Multibagger in MakingNSE:OLECTRA
📊 Technical Analysis (Weekly Chart)
Trend: The stock had a steep fall from ~₹1,800 (2024 highs) to ~₹1,000 (2025 lows). It has since formed a rounded bottom and is showing signs of reversal.
Current Price: ₹1,528.80
Resistance Levels:
₹1,600 (immediate resistance)
₹1,800 (major breakout level)
Support Levels:
₹1,400 (nearby support)
₹1,200 (major support, recent bottom area)
Indicators:
Momentum improving with strong green candles and higher lows.
Weekly structure suggests accumulation and potential trend reversal.
View: If stock sustains above ₹1,600, it can retest ₹1,800–₹2,000 in medium term.
🏭 Fundamental Analysis
Business Model: Olectra Greentech is India’s largest electric bus manufacturer, part of MEIL (Megha Engineering). It also works on tippers, EV trucks, and composite insulators.
Growth Drivers:
Government’s push for EV adoption in public transport (FAME-II scheme).
High demand for electric buses from state transport corporations.
Strong backing from parent MEIL ensures execution capacity.
Financials (Latest FY24/25) (approximate):
Revenue: ~₹1,300–1,400 Cr (growing rapidly with order wins).
Profit: Still moderate due to high R&D and capex.
Order Book: Over ₹12,000+ Cr, ensuring visibility for next 3–4 years.
Strengths:
Market leader in EV bus space.
Rising government contracts.
First-mover advantage.
Risks:
Execution delays (delivery timelines).
Intense competition from Tata Motors, Ashok Leyland.
Margin pressure due to high input and battery costs.
🎯 Conclusion
Technical View: Bullish reversal forming. Sustaining above ₹1,600 can lead to ₹1,800–₹2,000. Strong support at ₹1,200.
Fundamental View: Strong long-term growth story in India’s EV transition, backed by large order book and government support. Near-term volatility possible, but structurally a good EV play.
👉 Investor Stance:
Investors: Accumulate gradually for 3–5 years; could be a multibagger if execution sustains.
⚠️ Disclaimer:
This analysis is for educational and informational purposes only.
We are not SEBI-registered analysts or advisors.
This is our personal view based on available data and market trends.
Please consult your SEBI-registered investment advisor before making any investment or trading decisions.
You are solely responsible for any financial decisions you make based on this content.
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Trade Secrets By Pratik
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VEDANTA Swing Trade with 1:3 RR (Long)Sellers failed to take price below the demand zone and a clear Change of Character (market structure shift) happened that shows buyers have taken control of the price of Vedanta.
So if Nifty and Metal sector are not bearish in coming sessions, then it is high probability that Vedanta will touch Rs 475.
Don't use hard SL. Manage position sizing as it is a high probability setup.
Connect with me if you have any questions. I am happy to help.
ChoCh - Change of Character
Sw or Sweep - Liquidity Sweep
BoS - Break of Structure
INFY Bullish Setup** IF you like my observation, please boost and follow for more content."
Ticker: INFY
Time Frame: 1-Hour
Trade Type: Bullish
Entry Point: 1486.20
Target Price (TP): 1589.15
Stop Loss (SL): 1417.45
Risk-to-Reward Ratio (RRR): 1:1.5
Trade Setup and Rationale:
Market Context:
INFY has been showing signs of recovery, breaking out of a corrective phase. The price is currently positioned for a potential uptrend, supported by a significant bullish pattern forming on the chart.
Entry Point (1486.20):
The price has recently tested a support zone and is now showing signs of a strong reversal. The entry point is set just above this level, ensuring a confirmation of the bullish trend before committing to the trade.
Target Price (1589.15):
The target is set at a key resistance level where price is expected to face potential selling pressure. This level aligns with previous highs and is a reasonable place to lock in profits while riding the trend.
Stop Loss (1417.45):
The stop loss is placed just below the recent swing low, ensuring that the trade has a controlled risk. This placement minimizes the risk of getting stopped out in case of minor fluctuations while keeping the risk-to-reward ratio favorable.
Trade Logic:
The trade is supported by a bullish breakout pattern with increasing volume. After a period of consolidation, price action is showing signs of upward momentum, making this a high-probability trade setup.
The risk-to-reward ratio of 1:1.5 offers a balanced risk for the potential reward, providing a good trading opportunity with a well-placed stop loss.
Volume Confirmation:
Volume is showing a steady increase as the price starts moving upward, indicating that market participants are supporting the bullish move.
Trend Confirmation:
The trend is confirmed by the price breaking above previous resistance, and the bullish setup aligns with the market structure.
RELIANCE - Bullish SetupTimeframe: 1-Hour
Trade Type: Long Position
Entry Price: 1419
Stop Loss (SL): 1372.45
Take Profit (TP): 1489
Risk-to-Reward (RRR): 1:3.53
Trade Rationale
Bullish Trend Setup: The price action is showing a clear bullish momentum as RELIANCE has recently broken through a significant resistance level (indicated by the purple line). This breakout is a strong signal of potential upward movement.
Chart Pattern: The price forms a classic double bottom pattern (highlighted on the chart), which signifies a reversal from a downtrend to an uptrend. The pattern is confirmed with strong volume, showing the increased participation of buyers.
Entry Point: We are entering this position at 1419, right after the price breaks the resistance and starts moving upwards. This breakout marks the start of the potential rally.
Stop Loss: The SL is placed at 1372.45, just below the recent swing low, ensuring a safe exit if the market decides to reverse.
Take Profit: The TP is placed at 1489, a logical price target that accounts for a solid risk-to-reward ratio of 1:3.53. This is a reasonable expectation based on recent price action and volatility.
Volume Confirmation: Strong volume is observed, confirming the strength of the move. Typically, breakouts accompanied by high volume are more likely to continue in the breakout direction, supporting the bullish scenario.
Market Conditions: The broader market conditions appear favorable for long positions, with sentiment and technical indicators showing bullish signs across the broader market.
Risk Management
A tight Stop Loss ensures that we minimize risk in case of market retracement, while the Take Profit target allows us to ride the trend and maximize the potential return on this trade.
The Risk-to-Reward Ratio is set at 1:3.53, which aligns with sound risk management principles, allowing for substantial profits even with a lower win rate.