BankNifty - Possible Ending Diagonal Scenario At the Tops-39900Possible Ending Diagonal Scenario could be unfolding for Bank Nifty. Trend could change next. Get your clue from European markets
Check the related idea published last week. Plan-B as mentioned in the idea.
Not a trading call. Manage your risk properly. Thanks
Talkswave
Bank Nifty - Triangle 15 Mins ChartBank Nifty Index has been doing sideways in the range 37959 (critical high) & 38800 (critical low). Looks like unfolding a triangle.
If you identify them then such patterns are amazing as traders get multiple opportunities between zone identified.
Trading Strategy ( Current Spot Price- 39305)
Plan A -
Buy close in 39000-39100 zone if Index halts above 38981 which should act as minor support. Avoid taking buy positions if fails to hold 38981
Target - 39650-39700
Plan B -
Selling close to critical high 39759 ( Avoid Selling If crosses above 39759 & moves higher above)
Target - 39150 / Below 39100 - 38800 / Below 38800 - 38350 / lower targets have to be reviewed later.
BankNifty - LongTerm / ShortTerm Outlook (Time Cycles)Long Term Outlook
We picked time cycle tool available in drawing tools & tried getting dominant lows & highs. Over the process we realised that 18 Week cycle is dominant & running for Bank Nifty Index giving us important lows & highs.
Next low could be due in middle of the Oct 2022 which could be shifted to close to Nov 2022 if current high holds at 39759 which was identified as the recent high
Cycle Analysis
Cycles are always measured from low to low only but at times we can break that rule for analysis purpose & we can even take low to high but these won't be termed as cycles because cycles are always low to low.
In Cyclical Analysis
Low = Trough
High= Crest
Short Term Outlook
We identified an ending diagonal which marks the end of the trend & usually occurs later in the trend signifying that we could be close to the tops
Till the the high of 39759 is intact we assume that another wave is pending downside & have to review again if 39759 highs are taken out on upside.
On short term basis a parallel channel is used to get possible resistance zone which could be upper end of parallel channel close to 39300-39400 zone . If halts at the top then we may assume that fall may start or if Index fall below 38803 lows
Thank you for watching the video & have a nice weekend.
Bank Nifty - Bearish Butterfly at 39505 Highs Let us recollect the most important psychological level of 39500 as discussed could be the most critical level at present. A bearish butterfly harmonic structure completes in the required PRZ & reasons for fall discussed below & shown on the price chart.
Possible Reasons for Fall
Bearish Butterfly Harmonic Structure
Evening Star Candlestick Formation
Psychological level 39500
Bearish Divergence ( RSI)
Stop Loss
Above 39505
Targets Downside
Target 1 - 39120
Target 2 - 38740
Target 3 - 37691
Target 4 - Will unfold once wave develops
Thank You
Bank Nifty - Will if follow in the footseps of HDFC?Let's get started with this beautiful Sunday Morning with an exciting idea on "Bank Nifty - Will if follow in the footseps of HDFC"
By the end of this short video, you would realise that BankNifty could be unfolding similar structure once done for stock -HDFC in early 2021 / 2022.
Hope, this long term idea attempts to answer our colleague's @punterpk unsettling questions. Thank you.
Have a lovely day ahead. Thanks for watching.
Bank Nifty - Penultimate Wave ( Triangle )As per our discussion since morning 38800-38825 has been important zone. Few reversals were seen right from that zone. Hope you enjoyed.
Banknifty - Patiently waiting, Index structure looks like unfolding a #triangle- the penultimate wave.
Penultimate wave
This is the last wave & sudden reversal can happen at tops.
Trading Strategy
Means holding our key zone 38800-38825 or Safe Traders Buy above 38900 Index can push upside for 38950-39000 / Crossing 39000 - Hold for more but also be careful at the tops as sudden reversal can also happen. Thank you
Targets
38950
Above 39000 - 39100/39200
Later Reversal for downside targets...
Bank Nifty - Head & Shoulder (Head - 38402)Bank Nifty could be unfolding head & shoulder chart pattern in 38155 - 38402 zone. The pattern is yet not formed & have to complete by reversing down from 38350-38402 to the neckline support
Trading Strategy
Trade will trigger only when neckline is breached which is a rising trendline marked as "Neckline" Index has to fall below neckline which is 38200 approx & later has to even fall below 38155
Always know your levels
38150-38160 was the important zone suggested yesterday in the last idea-Bearish Bat. Today morning while opening it had a fall from 38344 to 38155 which took support exactly in 38150-38160 support zone. Our Sell was suggested below 38150 which was not triggered.
Stop Loss
Above 38402 Highs ( Note- Pattern is not completed yet)
Target
Target 1 - 38000
Target 2- 37700
Thank You
WaveTalks: Bank Nifty - Possible Ending Diagonal Setup at 35200Ending Diagonal Setup can complete in 35150-35250 zone.
Trading Strategy : Buy
Buy in 35180-35225 zone if Index halts & takes support
Stop Loss
Below 35150
Target
35700
35950
36275
Note - Ending Diagonal Setup gets invalidated below 35150 levels & structure has to be reviewed later.
Thanks for reading & Have a nice weekend.
WaveTalks-HDFC- Old Ways Leading to New Destinations-CCCOld Ways Leading to New Destinations ( New Results) - In this short video, we discussed old methods which could provide new results / new destinations.
These Old ways / methods discussed are
Channel / Trendline
Chart Pattern - Head & Shoulder
Correction
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HDFC Idea's Diary Published at TradingView
in.tradingview.com
WaveTalks: Nifty - Can It Cross 18350 Levels?Nifty could not hold critical level 16400 as per last idea but now again it is on channel support. Holding 16150-16200 zone which is another critical support zone.
If this zone holds then Index has fair chance of bouncing upside to 17220 levels / halting close to that level & later above can push to 18350 levels
WaveTalks - Nifty: Channel Trading Strategy WaveTalks - Nifty: Channel Trading Strategy
There are three (3) types of channels:
1. Ascending Channel (higher highs and higher lows)
2. Descending Channel (lower highs and lower lows)
3. Horizontal Channel (ranging)
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Ascending channel
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An Ascending channel is a pattern formed from two upward trendlines drawn above and below a price representing resistance and support levels
The ascending channel is also known as a “rising channel” and “channel up“.
Ascending channel has a rectangle shape (Current Case – Nifty / 20th Oct2021)
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Trading Strategy
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As long as prices remain within the ascending channel, the upward trend in price can be expected to continue.
3 Supports shown as 17613 – 1st Support / 17864 – 2nd Support / 18209 - 3rd Support
When executing trades based on a trendline, it is important that the trendline is a valid one / How do you know it is valid – 2 points required to draw a trendline & 3rd point which is 18209 if falls & takes support then it confirms that the trendline is a valid one.
So, Any Buy or Long Trades should be executed with stops below the trendline so 18209 is an important level. Traders can keep 18200 level which is a psychological level.
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Descending channel
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A Descending channel is a pattern formed from two downward trendlines drawn above and below a price representing resistance and support levels.
The descending channel pattern is also known as a “falling channel” or “channel down“.
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Horizontal Channel
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A horizontal channel is a chart pattern formed from two parallel trendlines drawn above and below price representing resistance and support levels
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The Last Idea - Bulls Yelling The Excitement - Gap Strategy
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Hope you enjoyed selling at the tops 18600 for 18200 approx. Nifty Index took support in the 2nd Gap. Are You Ready for the Next Move?
WaveTalks: Nifty-Can Bulls Bounce Back?- The Irregular Triangle 6th / 7th Oct2021
The index topped at 17882 this morning was a perfect behavior for the last leg downside in an irregular triangle updated in TradingView Author status / Last idea (add on comment).
6th Oct2021 – WaveTalks: Nifty-Irregular Triangle: ( Stops Above 17890 )
Irregular structures are those which is surpassed in the next leg as it happened for Index Nifty starting 17th Sep2021.
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Let us take a flashback tour for Index Nifty starting 17th Sep2021.
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Wave A or 1st Leg / Wave Downside- Starting at highs of 17792 on 17th Sep2021 (17792 to 17326 = 466 Points drop)
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Considering 17792 High on 17th Sep2021, as the start of the structure, slipped to 17326 as 1st leg downside & pushed upside in 2nd leg to new all-time highs of 17948 (From 17326 to 17948).
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Wave B or 2nd Leg / Wave Upside (17326 to 17948 = 622 Points Upside Rally)
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2nd leg crossed 17792 highs & made a new high at 17948 giving us 1st clue that some irregular structure could be unfolding next as all the moves so far from 17th Sep2021 was corrective in nature which was running across my mind at that moment.
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Wave C or 3rd Leg / Wave downside (17948 to 17452 = 496 Points drop)
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The fall from 17948 highs to 17452 was again corrective in nature. This time I became 100% sure that it is a 75-80% chance that Triangle could be unfolding next & I started putting my sleeves up in excitement as I could be getting 2 legs back to back if identified correctly.
This is all I was thinking like a trader.
The market pushed upside right from the zone 17450-17475 buying zone suggested as PRZ (Potential Reversal Zone) in the idea published to the TradingView community on 1st Oct2021 - Bullish Gartley
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Wave D or 4th Leg / Wave Upside (17452 to 17882 = 430 Points Upside Rally)
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This 4th Leg had to stop below 17948 Highs if the structure had to be correct as crossing above 17948 – this whole triangle scenario could have gone for a toss as structure invalidates.
Keeping that in the mind, I quickly updated all the followers in the last idea this morning before the market starts selling below zone 17800-17825 which was an important zone. I agree it was choppy as markets will never give you straight or easy moves & especially when the triangle is unfolding.
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Wave E or 5th Leg / Wave Downside (17882 to 17617 = 269 Points drop)
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This wave was choppy at the start but it was all controlled by the bears till the end of the day when Nifty made low @ 17613 & closed at 17646 @ 6th Oct2021
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Few things to note
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Our Final Target 17550-17575 is not completed so be careful as the Index may slip to these levels & take support of the Trendline rising upside connecting Wave- A(Bottom-17326) & Wave-C (Bottom- 17452) respectively.
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What Next?
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As a trader, we want to know what next. So here it is. When Triangle gets completed which is assumed to be sideways correction in the uptrend suggests that the next wave can be upside in an explosive manner which is seen or observed as a Thrust. In current scenario, thrust is expected upside for new highs or similar highs of 17948
So, Holding Levels 17452 which is Wave C – Bottom & 17326 which is Wave A – Bottom are key & critical level of support.
Till the time key & critical support holds we expect Bulls to come back & take the control or be in the driver’s seat next.
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Target Next
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Upside Nifty Index is open to travel minimum 17948 Highs & crossing above it will easily travel 18000+ A New All Time High.
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Note
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Always be careful at the tops as euphoria or crazy moves may put a trader in complacent zone & we forget all about risk management. Historically, It has been observed that crazy upside moves are followed immediately by opposite downside move which can be even bigger in size if happens.
WaveTalks: Nifty-Irregular Triangle: ( Stops Above 17890 )Stops Above 17890 - Target 17750 / 17675 / 17550-17575 - Irregular Triangle could be unfolding next. Thanks
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Snapshot Taken at 09:37 Hrs / 6th Oct2021 - Last Leg Pending downside which might complete the corrections
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Last Idea - Buying Gartley Pattern in 17450-17475 zone - Target 17740
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Nifty - Sell Only Below 15800 - Potential Gartley / Bat HarmonicFrom The Last Idea Published..... Closing comment - "Struggling to go below 15800 ---------------Avoid Selling ---------------Do not Sell-------If Index holds above 15800-------Thanks & Best Luck.
Trading Strategy
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Plan 1 - Sell Only Below 15800 - Do not trade if Nifty holds above 15800
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Target - 15675
Target 2 - 15565
Target 3 - 15505
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Plan 2 - Buy Once Bullish Harmonic Pattern Completes
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Gartley Pattern completes if Index halts close to 15565 (Target 2) mentioned in Plan 1.
Bat Pattern completes if Index halts close to 15505 (Target 3) mentioned in Plan 1.
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Thanks for your precious time. Wishing all of you happy weekend.
Nifty - Bounce & Collapse (Buy & Sell)Buy - Strictly Holding Above 14590 -14600 for 14765 (Target 1) & 14850 (Target 2)
Sell - If Index pushes upside into the zone 14850-14900 zone & halts or stops with strict stops above 15000+ for downside 14590-14600 (Target 1) / 14260 (Target 2) / 14050 (Target 3)
Happy Weekend
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Last Idea
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Nifty - Deep Crab Harmonic Pattern 14875-14900(Buy & Sell)Last @ 14800 - 7th May2021
Buy with Stop loss below 14770 for Target 14850 / 14875
Sell Later Once Index Halts in 14875-14900 zone (PRZ-Potential Reversal Zone) for Deep Crab Harmonic Pattern ( Srtictly --------No sell if Index extends above 14900)
Nifty - Connecting Paths 14500-14525 ( Buy & Sell) Buy Till Nifty Holds above 14400 for 14500-14525 ( Connecting Paths- Last idea Profit Booked 14500-14525)
Sell If Nifty Halts in 14500-14525 for below mentioned downside Targets
Target 1-14350-14360
Target 2 - 14250
Target 3 - 14000-14050
------------------------------------Strictly No Selling if Nifty crosses above 14550 ---------------------------------