TATA Chemicals (Weekly) - Can it Breakout ??TATA Chemicals has been in a prolonged period of consolidation , trading within a well-defined range since August 2021. The stock has made several attempts to break out of this zone but has so far been unsuccessful.
The Key Battleground: A Major Resistance Level 🚧
The primary hurdle for the stock is a long-term horizontal resistance line that has been in effect since January 2022. This level has been repeatedly tested, and each breakout attempt has failed, confirming it as a significant barrier.
Conflicting Technical Signals 📊
The technical indicators across different timeframes present a mixed picture:
- Weekly Chart: Short-term Exponential Moving Averages (EMAs) are in a positive crossover state , suggesting building upward momentum. However, a confirming SMA Golden Crossover has not yet occurred.
- Monthly Chart: On the higher timeframe, a long-term SMA Golden Crossover remains active , providing a bullish backdrop for the bigger picture.
Future Outlook and Potential Scenarios
- Bullish Case 📈 : A decisive breakout above the resistance zone , supported by high volume, would be a strong bullish signal. If this upward momentum is sustained, the stock could rally towards the ₹1,158 level.
- Bearish Case 📉: If the stock fails to breach the resistance again, it is likely to fall back towards the lower end of its trading range, with a potential downside target near the ₹792 support level.
Let's watchout for next week's price-action
Tatachemicals
TATACHEM: Breaks out of Cup & Handle Breakout Post Q1 FY 26NSE:TATACHEM Breaks Out: The Cup and Handle Formation That Could Signal New Highs Post Good Q1 FY 26 with Margin Expansion.
Price Action:
Trend Structure
• Long-term uptrend intact with a higher lows pattern since March 2025
• Strong momentum breakout above key resistance at 1,000 levels
• Price action showing bullish continuation after brief consolidation
• Current trading above all major moving averages (20, 50, 200 EMA)
Breakout Characteristics
• Clean breakout above resistance
• Volume expansion confirming institutional participation
• No immediate rejection at breakout level, suggesting strength
• Momentum favouring further upside continuation
Volume Spread Analysis:
Volume Pattern:
• Significant volume spike during the breakout phase in July 2025
• Volume contraction during handle formation (typical healthy pattern)
• Above-average volumes during cup formation, indicating accumulation
• Recent volume expansion suggests institutional buying interest
Volume Confirmation:
• Breakout supported by 2-3x average daily volume
• Previous resistance turning into support with volume backing
• Accumulation-distribution pattern favourable for continued upside
Chart Pattern:
• The chart displays a classic Cup and Handle pattern formation spanning from Jan 2025 to July 2025
• The "Cup" formation shows a rounded bottom with the low around 750-780 levels during March 2025
• The "Handle" represents the consolidation phase between June-July 2025, around 920-960 levels
• Clear breakout above the 1,000 resistance level with strong volume confirmation
Key Technical Levels
• Primary Support: 920-950 (handle low and recent consolidation)
• Secondary Support: 850-880 (mid-cup level)
• Major Support: 750-780 (cup bottom)
• Immediate Resistance: 1,050-1,080 (psychological levels)
• Target Resistance: 1,200-1,250 (measured move from cup depth)
Trade Setup and Strategy:
Entry Levels:
• Aggressive Entry: 1,000-1,020 (on breakout confirmation)
• Conservative Entry: 950-980 (on pullback to handle support)
• Scale-in Entry: 920-950 (major support retest)
Exit Levels:
• Target 1: 1,100-1,120 (initial resistance cluster)
• Target 2: 1,200-1,250 (measured move target)
• Target 3: 1,300-1,350 (extension target based on cup depth)
Stop-Loss Strategy:
• Initial Stop-Loss: 920 (below handle low)
• Trailing Stop: 950 after Target 1 achievement
• Risk-Reward Ratio: 1:3 to 1:4 on conservative entry
Position Sizing and Risk Management:
Position Sizing:
• Allocate 2-3% of portfolio for this trade
• Calculate position size based on stop-loss distance
• Consider scaling in approach for better average entry
Risk Management:
• Maximum risk per trade: 1-2% of total capital
• Use position sizing formula: Risk Amount ÷ (Entry - Stop Loss)
• Maintain diversification across sectors and market caps
Risk Factors:
• Broader market correction could impact individual stock performance
• Sector-specific headwinds in the chemicals industry
• Global economic slowdown affecting demand
Fundamental and Sectoral Backdrop:
Recent Financial Performance:
• Q1 FY26 results showed consolidated revenue of ₹3,719 Cr with EBITDA of ₹649 Cr and PAT of ₹316 Cr
• Standalone revenue at ₹1,169 Cr, up 11.65% compared to Q1FY25, with PAT of ₹307 Cr, up 20%
• Stock gained 16.66% over the last three months
• Strong operational performance supporting technical breakout
Sectoral Outlook:
• The Chemicals market in India is projected to grow by 3.46% (2025-2029), resulting in a market volume of US$35.4bn in 2029
• India's speciality chemicals market is expected to increase at a CAGR of 12% to US$64 billion by 2025
• The chemical industry, currently valued at around US$250 billion, aims to grow to US$300 billion by 2025
• The sector is projected to grow by 11 to 12 per cent during 2021–27, tripling its global market share by 2040
Investment Thesis:
• Strong sectoral tailwinds supporting long-term growth
• Company's positioning in the speciality chemicals segment
• Potential beneficiary of India's manufacturing growth story
• Technical breakout aligning with fundamental strength
Key Monitoring Points:
Technical Triggers:
• Sustain above 1,000 levels for breakout confirmation
• Volume patterns on any pullbacks
• Price action at target levels for profit booking decisions
Fundamental Catalysts:
• Quarterly earnings performance and guidance
• New project announcements or capacity expansions
• Sectoral policy developments and government initiatives
• Global chemical prices and demand trends
Risk Monitoring:
• A break below 920 levels would invalidate the bullish setup
• Broader market sentiment and global risk-off scenarios
• Sector rotation away from chemicals and industrials
• Company-specific news flow and management commentary
My Take:
The combination of technical breakout, strong fundamentals, and positive sector outlook makes NSE:TATACHEM an attractive investment proposition at current levels, with the cup and handle pattern suggesting potential for significant upside over the next 6-12 months.
Keep in the Watchlist and DOYR.
NO RECO. For Buy/Sell.
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Disclaimer: "I am not a SEBI REGISTERED RESEARCH ANALYST AND INVESTMENT ADVISER."
This analysis is intended solely for informational and educational purposes and should not be interpreted as financial advice. It is advisable to consult a qualified financial advisor or conduct thorough research before making investment decisions.
Tata Chemicals Above 1120, Targeting 1400+Details:
Asset: Tata Chemicals Limited (TATACHEM)
Breakout Level: Above 1120
Potential Target: 1400+
Stop Loss: Below 1120 or as per risk tolerance
Timeframe: Medium to long-term
Rationale: Tata Chemicals has been consolidating for months, and a potential breakout above the 1120 level could signal a strong upward move. The stock has shown resilience and is primed for a bullish breakout that could take it toward the 1400 mark.
Market Analysis:
Technical Setup: After months of consolidation, the breakout level of 1120 is a key resistance point. A move above this level could indicate a renewed bullish trend with significant upside potential.
Consolidation Phase: The prolonged consolidation phase indicates that Tata Chemicals has been building strength, and a breakout could lead to rapid price appreciation.
Price Target:
The target for Tata Chemicals is set at 1400+, based on the potential breakout above 1120 and the stock’s ability to capitalize on positive market momentum.
Risk Management:
A stop loss below 1120 is recommended to manage risk in case the breakout fails to materialize or market conditions change.
Timeframe:
The move toward 1400+ is expected over the medium to long-term, but the pace of the breakout will depend on market conditions and investor sentiment.
Risk-Reward Ratio: The setup offers a favorable risk-reward ratio with a clear breakout level and a significant upside target, making it an attractive opportunity for medium to long-term investors.
As with any investment, ensure thorough analysis of market trends, company fundamentals, and appropriate risk management strategies before making trading decisions.
Tata Chemicals giving opportunity to enter for long termTata Chemicals Limited is engaged in the business of manufacturing and selling a variety of chemicals and agricultural products. The firm has three reportable segments – Inorganic Chemicals, Agri Inputs, and Others. The majority of company’s revenue is coming from domestic operations itself.
Tata Chemicals is the world’s third-largest producer of soda ash with a global capacity of 4 million tonnes per annum with manufacturing operations spread across India, US, UK, and Kenya.
The sharp fall in stock prices mentioned above is observed after there has been a buzz around soda ash prices. There has been a fall in soda ash prices in China since mid-March and the market, lately, reacts to unexpected news of substantial capacity addition in Inner Mongolia from May this year.
Having a quick glance at the financials of the company, the revenues and PAT figures have decreased in the recent quarters with revenues going down from Rs 4,240 crores in Q2 to Rs 4,150 crores in Q3. Net profits too went down from Rs 640 crores in Q2 to Rs 520 crores in Q3.
On the contrary, the profitability ratios have shown some improvement with ROE moving from 3.02 percent in FY20-21 to 7.22 percent in FY21-22. Moreover, the ROCE numbers shifted from 4.72 percent during FY20-21 to 7.58 percent in FY21-22.
As per the data available for the quarter ending December 2022, promoters hold a 37.98 percent stake in the company. FIIs, on the other hand, reduced their stake with the recent movement being 14.92 percent in Q2 to 14.43 percent in Q3.
Market Cap
₹ 24,016 Cr.
Current Price
₹ 943
High / Low
₹ 1,215 / 773
Stock P/E
11.6
Book Value
₹ 753
Dividend Yield
1.33 %
ROCE
8.40 %
ROE
7.58 %
Face Value
₹ 10.0
Debt
₹ 6,375 Cr.
EPS
₹ 80.3
PEG Ratio
2.64
Promoter holding
38.0 %
Intrinsic Value
₹ 973
Pledged percentage
0.00 %
EVEBITDA
7.94
PROS
Company is expected to give good quarter
Company has been maintaining a healthy dividend payout of 42.9%
CONS
The company has delivered a poor sales growth of 4.06% over past five years.
Working capital days have increased from 18.3 days to 63.0 days
Well i have done with my best possible analysis about this ticker. Now you guy's have to decide what to do, from my side it is a green signal, and will also enter if it will come in my range which is i already mention on chart. Company is good for long term, maintaining a healthy dividend payout. So if anyone wants to go long can go with given level on chart.
If anyone likes my work then please support me by like, follow and comment.,
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Detailed analysis on TATACHEM, a good opportunity to buy ?Hello traders,
As market crashed, many stocks have given good downfall from ATH (All time high).
We should look at it as an advantage to accumulate fundamentally good stocks for long term.
Chemical and fertiliser stocks have also given a good retracement with the market.
TATACHEM, one of the good fundamentally strong chemical company has corrected 27% from All Time High.
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On the chart, I have provided the Price action analysis and entries on it. Here is a note of fundamental analysis on TATACHEM.
A short description of the company:
Tata Chemicals engages in the manufacture of inorganic chemistry products with plants spread across four continents America, Europe, Africa and Asia. We are the worlds third largest Soda Ash and Indias leading vacuum evaporated iodised salt producer. Their salt works, spread over 36,000 acres, are the largest in Asia. We produce soda ash using synthetic and natural mining process. Of this, 3/4th capacity consists of natural soda ash allowing us significant cost competiveness.
TATACHEM is one of the crown jewels of the Tata group, being the 3rd largest manufacturer of Soda Ash and 6th largest of Sodium Bicarb in the world, both of which have numerous uses - from glass, detergents and medication to being used in EV batteries ⚡
Here are some of the important points to note, and why I think this is one for the long haul:
📍 Soda Ash demand is booming, with increased usage of glass in buildings, increased production of EV batteries for vehicles, and increased demand water treatment.
📍 Tata Chemicals is on track to increase the capacity of Soda Ash production by 30% on top of the 4.4 million tonnes per annum (MTPA) of installed capacity and ongoing expansion, which help further capitalise on growing demand.
📍 Since Tata Chemicals have a cost advantage, relying on the mining of Trona from the US and Africa, they can also pass down the rise in raw material costs to the buyers, and therefore maintains a pricing/margin advantage as well.
📍 Tata Chemicals is now getting into the specialty chemicals space - used in medicines or in pharmaceuticals, or other specialised applications, attracting more sticky customers, higher pricing, better margins, better return ratios, and subsequently even higher valuations.
📍 It has been investing in areas like High-Density Silica, nutraceuticals and EV batteries to drive the next leg of growth.
This Pros of the company are helping to boost the revenue growth of the company resulting as a good stock to invest for long term. The company has a wide scope in the future and is expected to give great profits.
Given below are the links of my ideas of my other long term picks that are recently posted. Do check it out :)
Market has crashed so the stocks have corrected from our entry prices. Don't worry, these companies are fundamentally good and therefore we can keep accumulating on dips.
As always, simple and neat charts so everyone can understand and not make it too complicated.
Will be posting more such ideas like this. Until that, like share and follow :)
check my other ideas to get to know about all the successful trades based on price action.
Thanks,
Aniket.
keep learning and keep earning.
Tata Chemicals - Symmetrical Triangle Breakout A symmetrical triangle is a consolidation pattern.
It is often referred to as a Coil Pattern.
Here each price fluctuation is smaller than its predecessor.
Lower Highs & Higher Lows.
The process of contraction or coiling also has an effect on the volume.
Imagine a coil spring, the more you keep pressing down the coil spring , it keeps going down but once the force is released the coil spring moves violently. This is exactly the same happening here in a symmetrical triangle.
CMP 1058
Can Head Towards 1150+
Tata Chemicals chart on daily time frame- Looks good for LongNSE:TATACHEM
Tata chemicals is looking good on daily charts . It has broken the trend line that it was following from last 3 months. So this is good opportunity to go long.
Current Price: 767 rs
Good Entry Point: 725 - 740 rs
Target: 835 rs - 850 rs
Stop Loss: 699 rs
RSI: 60 (Not in over brought zone)
Probability: Positive for Long position
Risk Reward Ratio: 1:4
Please share with your family and friend if you like the idea to go long. This chart is only for education purpose. Consult with your financial advisor before making any investment.
Simple Trade Setup | TATACHEM | 04-01-2022[INTRADAY]NSE:TATACHEM
Trade Setup for Date: 04-01-2022
1) Don't Jump in to trade at the beginning of the market. Let it get settle for 15-20min first and judge the price action.
2) Everything is mentioned on the chart. I hope it is easy to understand.
3) All the levels will work as support, resistance, entry and exit w.r.t price action near that level.
4) Avoid gap up or gap down chase. Wait and trade between levels.
Please refer below chart for levels.
Hope I made it easy to understand it.
Do comment your doubt or suggestion.
Note: Trade with Strict SL. It may or may not hit all the levels. So one can book profit / loss at respective level considering how price action works near that level.
TATACHEM SHORTI hope you can now see how TATACHEM represents an excellent low risk profit entry setup allowing you to trade in the market.Take positions so that the risk/reward is in your favor.
Knowing why, where & when a strong reversal signal is being generated will be the only way to capitalize on your technical analysis .
Disclaimer: It should not be assumed that the methods, techniques, or indicators presented in these chart will be profitable or that they will not result in losses. There is no assurance that the strategies and methods presented will be successful for you. Past results are not necessarily indicative of future results. You should not trade with money that you cannot afford to lose. Examples presented in these charts are for educational purposes only and it should not be assumed that these are indicative of ordinary trades. These setups are not solicitations of any order to buy or sell. The publisher assume no responsibility for your trading results. There is a high degree of risk in trading.
Simple Trade Setup | TATACHEM | 23-12-2021 [INTRADAY]NSE:TATACHEM
Observations:
1) On 1day time frame, it is between 100DMA and 200DMA.
Today it rise after going near to 200DMA.
200DMA will be major support. Good upmove only on sustainable breakout of 100DMA.
200DMA is placed at 818.28
100DMA is placed at 893.52.
Please refer below chart : 1day Time Frame.
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Trade Setup for Date: 23-12-2021
1) Don't Jump in to trade at the beginning of the market. Let it get settle for 15-20min first and judge the price action.
2) Everything is mentioned on the chart. I hope it is easy to understand.
3) All the levels will work as support, resistance, entry and exit w.r.t price action near that level.
4) Avoid gap up or gap down chase. Wait and trade between levels.
Please refer below chart for levels.
Hope I made it easy to understand it.
Do comment your doubt or suggestion.
Note: Trade with Strict SL. It may or may not hit all the levels. So one can book profit / loss at respective level considering how price action works near that level.
Tata Chemicals (Daily) - Head & Shoulders Chart Pattern Tata Chemicals (Daily)
Head & Shoulders Chart Pattern
Seems to have entered the C wave
MACD of daily wave and weekly tide are downtick
RSI is downtick too, one can wait for it to go below 40 in the oversold zone and Bollinger Band to get challenged on the lower side to be doubly sure
Stochastic 14,3,3 is in negative crossover
-DI is above +Di
Possible targets from where it can take support and show bullish reversal
Target 1 - 795
Target 2 - 691
Simple Trade Setup | TATACHEM | 13-12-2021 [ INTRADAY ]NSE:TATACHEM
Observations:
1) On 1day time frame, it is between 50DMA and 21DMA.
50DMA is immediate resistance. Once it sustain above it then it will be immediate support.
21DMA is immediate major support at this time.
21DMA is placed at 909.47 and 50DMA is placed at 942.96 level.
Please refer below chart : 1day Time Frame.
2) On 1hr time frame, we can see it gave breakout of inverse head and shoulder pattern.
Neckline range of this pattern is 920-923. Which will work as immediate support.
Please refer below chart : 1hr Time Frame.
3) On 15min time frame, we can see that it was trading earlier and making higher high and higher low. And also making bullish flag and pole pattern. But on 10-12-2021, it made lower high and lower low.
If this pattern will get active as flag of the bullish pole then on breakout of this flag we can see upmove. Otherwise it will consolidate or give downmove.
Please refer below chart : 15min Time Frame.
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Trade Setup for Date: 13-12-2021
1) Don't Jump in to trade at the beginning of the market. Let it get settle for 15-20min first and judge the price action.
2) Everything is mentioned on the chart. I hope it is easy to understand.
3) All the levels will work as support, resistance, entry and exit w.r.t price action near that level.
4) Avoid gap up or gap down chase. Wait and trade between levels.
Please refer below chart for levels.
Hope I made it easy to understand it.
Do comment your doubt or suggestion.
Note: Trade with Strict SL. It may or may not hit all the levels. So one can book profit / loss at respective level considering how price action works near that level.