Gold Rebounds Toward OB, but Deeper Correction May Follow🔍 Market Context
After forming a Change of Character (ChoCH) and a clear Break of Structure (BoS) to the downside, gold dropped sharply from 4,080–4,100 USD, confirming a shift from bullish to bearish structure.
Price is now making a technical rebound, forming Lower Highs toward the Order Block 4,012 USD — aligning with a small Fair Value Gap (FVG) , suggesting new selling pressure may emerge.
This rebound is seen as a “pullback retest supply” within a completed bearish setup.
If the 4,012 USD supply zone reacts strongly, price may extend its drop toward lower liquidity pools.
💎 Key Technical Structure
BoS (bearish): confirms a break below prior bullish structure.
Order Block (OB): 4,010–4,020 USD → main supply area confluencing with FVG.
FVG zone: 3,985–4,010 USD → technical retracement zone.
Supply Zone: 3,891–3,895 USD → temporary support, may be swept.
Liquidity Zone: 3,850–3,860 USD → key liquidity target.
📈 Trading Scenarios
1️⃣ SELL Setup – Retest OB 4,010–4,020 USD
Entry: 4,010 – 4,020
SL: 4,035
Take Profit: 3,985 - 3,965 - 3,945 - 3,915 - 3,890/Open
✅ Condition:
Wait for price to retest FVG–OB with clear bearish confirmation (strong rejection, bearish engulfing, or minor ChoCH on M15).
➡️ Trend-follow setup – sell after price retests supply zone.
2️⃣ BUY Setup – Reversal at Liquidity Zone 3,850 USD
Entry: 3,850 – 3,860
SL: 3,830
TP1: 3,870 - 3,885 - 3,900 - 3,920 - 3,940/Open
✅ Condition:
Wait for strong absorption or bullish reversal signal (long-tail rejection or bullish ChoCH on M15–H1).
➡️ Counter-trend scalp setup for reversal traders.
⚠️ Risk Management
Prioritise SELLs below 4,035 USD.
BUYs only valid with confirmation at Liquidity Zone.
Avoid mid-range trading (3,920–3,970) to reduce noise.
💬 Conclusion
Gold remains in a bearish trend after breaking prior bullish structure.
As long as price stays below 4,035 USD , downside momentum prevails.
Next major target: 3,891 – 3,851 USD .
👉 Strategic Plan:
Sell 4,010–4,020 | SL 4,035 | TP 3,985 → 3,890 🎯
Buy 3,850–3,860 | SL 3,830 | TP 3,870 → 3,940 🎯
💎 Price never lies — liquidity always reveals the truth.
⏰ Timeframe: 1H
📅 Updated: 29/10/2025
✍️ Analysis by: Captain Vincent
Techincalanalysis
BPCL | FVG + Fibonacci COnfluence | Long Setup toward 378 💬 Description:
Chart Type: 1D (Daily)
Stock: BPCL – Bharat Petroleum Corporation Ltd.
🧩 Setup Overview
BPCL has completed a clean retracement into a Fair Value Gap (FVG) aligning with the 0.5–0.618 Fibonacci retracement zone from the previous upswing (306 → 351).
The zone around ₹334–₹340 acted as strong demand support, hinting at a possible continuation leg to the upside.
📊 Trade Plan
Entry Zone: ₹338–₹340
Stop Loss: ₹330
Target 1: ₹351
Target 2: ₹378 (1.618 Fib Extension)
Risk–Reward Ratio: ~1:3
📈 Technical Confluence
✅ FVG + 0.618 Fib alignment
✅ Retest & bounce confirmation
✅ Volume showing accumulation
✅ Clear higher-low structure maintained
🚨 Invalidation
Setup invalid if price closes below ₹330, which would break FVG and shift structure to bearish.
🧠 Bias: Bullish continuation
Time Horizon: Swing (2–4 weeks)
StevenTrading - XAUUSD: Mid-Term Buy Bias StrategyStevenTrading - XAUUSD: Mid-Term Buy Bias Strategy - Anticipating Wave 5 and Trendline Test at $3935
Hello everyone, StevenTrading is back with a detailed Gold analysis!
Gold is currently consolidating above the $3.950 mark, eagerly awaiting the FOMC interest rate decision for new momentum. Structurally, we anticipate Gold to follow the 5-wave structure of Elliot Wave Theory at this juncture. The Buy (Long) strategy remains the primary focus in the medium term, concentrating on a trendline retest for entry.
1. 📰 MACRO CONTEXT & FUNDAMENTAL FLOW
The Gold market is governed by anticipation:
Current Status: Gold is trading sideways above $3.950. Traders are keenly awaiting further signals regarding the Fed's future path for rate cuts.
Psychological Barrier: Gold needs to convincingly break the $4.000 psychological mark to solidify the case for a sustained rally. This hinges entirely on the outcome of the FOMC decision.
2. 📊 TECHNICAL ANALYSIS: ELLIOTT WAVE SCENARIO
Based on the H1 chart analysis (referencing image_fa2a75.png):
Wave Structure: Gold appears to be in the consolidation phase after waves 3 and 4. The next step is the potential formation of Wave 5, aiming to complete the cycle or confirm a new bullish trend.
Ideal Buy Zone (High-Prob): The $3935 - 3937 zone is a crucial confluence. This area aligns perfectly with the "Buy test trendline" zone (see chart) and offers strong support to initiate the potential next bullish wave.
Scalping Sell Zone: The nearest resistance and potential short-term selling area is the Sell entry Liquidity zone around $4058 - 4060.
3. 🎯 DETAILED TRADING PLAN (ACTION PLAN)
The primary focus is the Buy Continuation trade aligned with the expected mid-term correction.
🟢 Primary BUY Scenario (BUY Primary)
Entry Zone (Buy): $3935 - 3937
Stop Loss (SL): $3929 (Maintain tight SL)
Take Profit (TP): TP1: $3955 | TP2: $3978 | TP3: $3995 | TP4: $4022 | TP5: $4055
🔴 SELL Scalping/Hedge Scenario (SELL Secondary)
Entry Zone (Sell): $4058 - 4060
Stop Loss (SL): $4066
Take Profit (TP): TP1: $4045 | TP2: $4022 | TP3: $4005 | TP4: $3968
4. 🧠 SUMMARY & DISCIPLINE (Steven's Note)
Gold is at a decisive point before the FOMC. The buying scenario is favoured, but discipline must be absolute.
🇮🇳 LiamTrading – XAUUSD: Dual Strategy Ahead of FOMC🇮🇳 LiamTrading – XAUUSD: Dual Strategy Ahead of FOMC | Focus on Buying the Retracement near $3914
Hello Traders,
After a strong sell-off, Gold (XAUUSD) is showing early signs of recovery, building a minor upward structure.
We continue to focus on buying the pullback, viewing this move as a short-term correction within the broader downtrend.
Expect higher volatility as the FOMC decision approaches.
📰 MACRO CONTEXT & FUNDAMENTALS
The market is holding steady ahead of the FED announcement:
🟢 Technical Recovery:
Gold reversed part of its decline during the Asian session, bouncing slightly from a 3-week low as traders await the FOMC rate decision.
🔴 Headwinds:
However, optimism around US-China trade talks and a stronger USD continue to limit the upside momentum.
📊 TECHNICAL VIEW & TRADING PLAN
We are focusing on high-probability liquidity zones for both long and short opportunities:
🟢 Primary BUY Setup (Retracement Buy)
Looking for a retest of the key buy-side liquidity zone to trigger the next recovery wave.
Entry Zone (Buy): $3914
Stop Loss: $3906 (Tight SL recommended)
Take Profit: TP1 $3933 | TP2 $3956
🔴 SELL Setup (Retest / Short-Term Scalping)
Using the broken trend area for short opportunities.
Entry Zone (Sell): $4048
Stop Loss: $4056
Take Profit: TP1 $4035 | TP2 $4022
🧭 SUMMARY & TRADER’S NOTE
Gold is now in a decision zone — volatility will spike around FOMC.
Trade with discipline:
✅ Enter only at confirmed liquidity zones.
✅ Always respect your Stop Loss.
✅ Manage your capital carefully before the news release.
Wishing everyone a profitable and disciplined session!
XAUUSD | Gold to drop 2000PIPS, where is the best sell zone?🔍 Market Context
After breaking the medium-term upward structure at the main Trendline , gold has formed a distinct series of Lower High – Equal Low (EqL) , indicating a phase shift from bullish to bearish.
Currently, the price is fluctuating around the 3,960–3,970 USD zone – this is a temporary liquidity accumulation area before moving up to retest the resistance at 4,015–4,050 USD , which was previously a Demand Zone now turned into Supply Zone .
If a strong bearish reaction occurs here, the price is likely to extend its decline towards the Order Block 3,945–3,960 USD zone, or even deeper to the Premium Zone 3,884 USD .
💎 Key Technical Structure
Main Trendline: broken, confirming a structural change (ChoCH).
Resistance Zone: 4,010–4,015 → quick reaction resistance.
Supply Zone: 4,043–4,060 → strong technical retracement zone.
Premium Zone: 3,884–3,900 → discount zone, potential temporary bottom.
📈 Trading Scenarios
1️⃣ SELL Zone 1 – Scalp Reaction at Resistance Zone
Entry: 4,010 – 4,015
SL: 4,025
Take Profit : 4,005 - 3,995 - 3,975 - 3,965 - Open
➡️ Quick scalp reaction at nearby resistance – suitable for trading during London/NY sessions.
2️⃣ SELL Zone 2 – Major Retest at Supply Zone
Entry: 4,043 – 4,060
SL: 4,065
Take Profit : 4,050 - 4,040 - 4,030 - 4,020 - 4,010/Open
➡️ Main setup – retest of confluence supply zone with broken trendline, high probability if strong rejection on H1/H4.
3️⃣ SELL Continuation – Break & Retest below 3,945 USD
Entry: 3,945 – 3,950
SL: 3,965
TP: 3,884
➡️ Setup breaks EqL bottom confirming continuation of downtrend, targeting Premium Zone.
4️⃣ BUY Setup – Reversal at Premium Zone 3,900 USD
Entry: 3,900
SL: 3,880
TP1: 3,910 - 3,920 - 3,930 - 3,940 - 3,950/Open
✅ Condition:
Only buy when a strong reaction candle appears (long-tail rejection / ChoCH bullish on M15–H1).
➡️ This is the final discount zone before major capital can return to the market – technical reversal setup, low risk / high reward.
⚠️ Risk Management
Prioritise SELL at supply zones, BUY at Premium – avoid trading in the middle of the range.
Reduce volume on scalp setups (Sell 1).
If price closes above 4,070 → short-term downtrend is invalidated.
💬 Conclusion
Gold is still under short-term bearish pressure, however, the 3,884–3,900 USD zone may serve as strong support.
The appropriate strategy is to utilise the two resistance zones for Selling and observe technical Buying at the Premium bottom.
👉 Comprehensive Strategy:
Sell 4,010–4,015 | SL 4,025 | TP 4,005 → 3,965 🎯
Sell 4,043–4,060 | SL 4,065 | TP 4,050 → 4,010 🎯
Buy 3,900 | SL 3,880 | TP 3,910 → 3,950 🎯
🔥 “Trade with patience, react at precision zones — that’s how consistency is built.”
⏰ Timeframe: 1H
📅 Update: 28/10/2025
✍️ Analysis by: Captain Vincent
KIRLOSENGKIRLOSENG - The stock has given a breakout after consolidating in a range for over 5 months.
Volume is strong, and EMAs are aligning well, but a follow-up candle is needed for confirmation.
Market structure looks bullish but price seems slightly stretched so waiting for a small retracement would be ideal.
1040 is a nearby resistance.
Keep it on your watchlist for paper trading.
✅ If you like my analysis, please follow me here as a token of appreciation :)
in.tradingview.com/u/SatpalS/
📌 For learning and educational purposes only, not a recommendation. Please consult your financial advisor before investing.
Steven Trading - XAUUSD: Stay Close to the Descending ChannelSteven Trading - XAUUSD: Stay Close to the Descending Channel, Clear SELL/BUY Opportunities Ahead of the FED 🎯
Welcome, everyone, Steven Trading is back with a detailed Gold (XAU/USD) strategy for the start of the week!
Currently, Gold is trading steadily within a clearly established descending channel on smaller time frames. Our task is to stay close to the channel to look for Sell signals at resistance zones and Buy signals reacting at key support areas.
1. 📊 IN-DEPTH TECHNICAL ANALYSIS (Steven's TA)
Based on M30/H1 analysis (refer to images):
Main Trend: Gold is in a descending channel, closely following sell signals. Lower Highs and Lower Lows are continuously being formed.
Important SELL Zone: The 38.2% Fibo level at $3973 is acting as a crucial resistance. This is a technical confluence zone to closely monitor for executing trend-following Sell orders.
Ideal BUY Zone: A strong and potential support area to catch reaction waves is around $3890 - 3900. This area lies at the bottom of the descending channel, expected to create a bounce reaction.
2. 📰 MACRO CONTEXT & CASH FLOW (Context)
The market is in a tug-of-war ahead of the crucial Fed meeting:
Short-term Support 🟢: Gold prices have paused in a two-day downtrend as safe-haven demand returns ahead of the Fed meeting. The US dollar (USD) hit a weekly low due to dovish Fed expectations, reducing concerns about US-China trade, which supports Gold prices.
Long-term Support: The Bank of Korea (BOK) has planned to purchase gold – the first addition since 2013, providing long-term psychological support.
Focus: All attention is on the Fed meeting, determining the medium-term trend of USD and XAU/USD. Gold is seeking to reclaim the 21-day SMA at $4061.
3. 🎯 DETAILED TRADING PLAN (ACTION PLAN)
We prioritise trading within the channel range:
🔴 SELL Scenario (Stay Close to the Channel)
Entry Zone: $3973 - 3975 (Important 38.2% Fibo Zone)
Stop Loss (SL): $3979 (Set a tight SL)
Take Profit (TP): TP1: $3955 | TP2: $3930 | TP3: $3910 | TP4: $3888
🟢 BUY Reaction Scenario (Channel Bottom)
Entry Zone: $3895 - 3897
Stop Loss (SL): $3890
Take Profit (TP): TP1: $3922 | TP2: $3944 | TP3: $3975 | TP4: $3998
4. 🧠 Notes and Discipline (Steven's Note)
Discipline is number 1: Always adhere to the set Stop Loss. If the market goes against the plan, we accept the small predetermined risk.
Psychology: XAU/USD is testing the crucial 38.2% Fibo support level as the Fed meeting approaches. Volatility will be high, be patient for the right price zone.
Risk Management: Only trade with a risk volume of 1-2% of the account.
Do you agree with this strategy? Like 👍 and Follow 🔔 to not miss the next insights from Steven!
LiamTrading - XAUUSD: SCENARIO AHEAD OF FOMCLiamTrading - XAUUSD: SCENARIO AHEAD OF FOMC - The $3840 Mark Awaits a Bottom Catch Reaction Wave
Hello trading community,
The Gold market is exhibiting a strong and sustainable downtrend. We are witnessing a crash after the price broke through key support zones. With the upcoming FOMC event, our strategy is to seek Buy opportunities at deep liquidity zones and continue to Sell when the price recovers to retest the broken trend.
📰 MACRO ANALYSIS & CASH FLOW CONTEXT
Gold is currently under dual pressure:
Bearish Pressure 🔴: Optimism about the US-China trade progress has significantly weakened the demand for Gold, traditionally a safe-haven commodity. Spot Gold prices have fallen below $3950, hitting a three-week low, down about 0.78% on the day (28/10).
Short-term Support 🟢: Bets on the possibility of Fed rate cuts continue to weaken the US Dollar (USD), which is the only factor that could potentially support this precious metal.
Conclusion: This tug-of-war makes bottom identification challenging. The bearish scenario remains the top priority.
📊 TECHNICAL ANALYSIS: THE DOWNWARD WAVE CONTINUES
Based on the H4 chart (image_5fa7fa.png):
Current Trend: The price has successfully broken the key liquidity support zone near $3950 and is continuing its downward momentum.
Current Fibonacci Level: The price is touching and reacting at the 1.618 Fibonacci level (around $3950).
Next Target: The next target for Gold will be the 2.618 Fibonacci area (around $3840), which is a large liquidity zone expected to see strong reactions.
Main Strategy: We focus on two scenarios: Catching the bottom reaction at 3840 and continuing to Sell when the price rebounds.
🎯 DETAILED TRADING PLAN (ACTION PLAN)
We have two detailed scenarios based on the current price level:
🟢 BUY Reversal Scenario
We wait for the price to hit the deep liquidity bottom at 3840 to execute a buy order with the expectation of a technical recovery.
Entry Zone: 3840
Stop Loss (SL): 3832 (tight SL)
Take Profit Targets (TP): TP1: $3872 | TP2: $3898 | TP3: $3925 | TP4: $3950
🔴 SELL Retest Scenario
If Gold recovers without breaking the downtrend structure:
Entry Zone: Watch for a Sell retest at $4091
Stop Loss (SL): $4099
Take Profit Targets (TP): TP1: $4065 | TP2: $4033 | TP3: $4004 | TP4: $3965
SUMMARY & DISCIPLINE (Steven's Note)
Gold is in a strong decline ahead of the FOMC, with significant volatility expected. Capturing deep Fibonacci and Liquidity zones is key.
Note: Always adhere to the set Stop Loss. Capital management is the top priority, risking only 1-2% of the account per trade.
Wishing traders a successful and disciplined new trading week!
XAUUSD Early Week: SELL Wave From FVG/Fibo 0.382 Resistance ZoneXAUUSD Early Week: SELL Wave From FVG/Fibo 0.382 Resistance Zone 🎯
Hello everyone, Steven Trading is back with the early week Gold analysis!
The market is clearly showing selling pressure after a strong rejection from the peak. Technical analysis on the H4 frame confirms that the downtrend is still dominant. We will focus on seeking SELL opportunities when the price recovers to the strong supply zone.
1. 📊 In-Depth Technical Analysis (H4 Technical Analysis)
Main Trend (Bearish Structure): The Bearish structure on H4 has been clearly established.
Volume Sign: The trading volume (Volume Profile) indicates the accumulation of Sellers at high price zones, reinforcing the search for SELL opportunities.
Ideal SELL Zone (High-Prob Zone): Gold tends to retest the important Resistance zone around $4235 - 4237. This is an extremely important technical convergence point:
FVG (Fair Value Gap): The price imbalance zone acts as a magnet.
Fibonacci 0.382: The zone provides high-quality SELL signals.
2. 📰 Macro Context (Context)
The Gold market is being influenced by two streams of information:
Short-Term Downward Pressure 📉: Optimism about US-China trade and the market's focus on the upcoming FOMC meeting have strengthened the USD, creating downward pressure on Gold. The psychological mark of $4200 is key.
Long-Term Support 📈: Global Central Banks are still buying Gold in record volumes, creating a solid price foundation, preventing prices from falling too deeply in the long term.
3. 🎯 Detailed Trading Plan (Action Plan)
The current range is quite narrow. We prioritise trading according to the downtrend.
🔴 Main SELL Scenario (Trend-following priority)
We wait for the price to recover to the supply zone to execute a Sell order.
Entry Zone: $4235 - 4237
Stop Loss (SL): $4243 (Set a tight SL for risk management)
Profit Targets (TP):
TP1: $4212
TP2: $4200
TP3: $4177
TP4: $4145
🟢 Counter BUY Scenario (Higher risk - Defensive)
This scenario is activated if the price drops deeply into the strong Liquidity zone.
Entry Zone: $3955 - 3958
Stop Loss: $3950
Profit Targets (TP):
TP1: $3975
TP2: $3998
TP3: $4025
TP4: $4060
4. 🧠 Notes and Discipline (Steven's Note)
Discipline is number 1: Always adhere to the set Stop Loss. If the market goes against the plan, we accept the predetermined small risk.
Capital Management: Only trade with a risk volume of 1-2% of the account per order.
Psychology: No FOMO (Fear of Missing Out) or trying to "revenge" the market. Waiting is a trading skill.
Do you agree with this Gold strategy? Please Like 👍 and Follow 🔔 to not miss the next analyses!
[XAUUSD] New Week Scenario: Accumulation Awaiting Drop New Week Scenario: Accumulation Awaiting Drop - Watch for Selling at Liquidity Zone $4195
Hello traders community,
The new week begins with XAUUSD (Gold) being "restrained" in a sideways structure. However, don't let this calm deceive you. Technically, this is an accumulation pattern with a clear bearish bias.
The market is in "wait" mode, and patience will be the key to catching the next big wave.
📰 MACRO ANALYSIS: TUG OF WAR AHEAD OF FOMC
The market is caught between two opposing streams of information:
Bearish Pressure: Positive signs of a US-China trade deal are reducing the demand for safe-haven assets, putting pressure on Gold prices.
Bullish Support: The weakening USD due to expectations that the Fed will continue to cut interest rates, inadvertently provides some short-term support for the precious metal.
Decisive Factor: Traders are "lying low" waiting for this week's two-day monetary policy meeting (FOMC). This will be the main event, determining the medium-term trend of USD and Gold.
📊 TECHNICAL ANALYSIS: CONTINUATION OF BEARISH STRUCTURE
The H1 chart shows a very clear "Sell" scenario:
Price Structure: After a strong drop from the peak, the price is moving sideways in an accumulation pattern of a bearish pennant. This is a continuation structure, indicating that the Sellers are "resting" before pushing the price further down.
Ideal Sell Zone: The $4195 zone is an extremely strong resistance confluence, marked as "Liquidity strong" on the chart.
This is the 0.5 Fibonacci level, the "golden" retracement point of the entire previous decline.
This is the old support zone now turned into new resistance.
Optimal Scenario: We will wait for the price to pull back to test the $4195 liquidity zone. This is an opportunity for Sellers to enter the market with low risk and high profit potential.
🎯 TRADING PLAN (SELL SETUP)
Absolute priority is to Watch for Selling (Sell) in line with the main trend.
ENTRY (Sell): $4195
STOP LOSS: $4205
TAKE PROFIT: TP1: $4168-TP2: $4145-TP3: $4122-TP4: $4102
SUMMARY
In the context of the market awaiting FOMC news, Gold is likely to make a final "pullback" to the $4195 zone before continuing its downtrend. Be patient and wait for signals at this ideal sell zone.
Wishing traders a successful and disciplined new trading week!
Mastering MTFA Charts : Symmetrical & Descending PatternsObserve the synergy of multiple time frames with this detailed analysis of Bhageria Industries Ltd.
Target Points -
1) The right panel displays a monthly chart, highlighting a broad symmetrical triangle formation within a prominent supply-demand zone—notice how the structure showcases the interplay of lower highs and higher lows, reflecting a period of equilibrium and market compression.
2) The left panel brings the focus to the weekly time frame, where a descending triangle pattern unfolds, providing additional insight into the ongoing price structure.
3) This multi-time frame approach emphasizes how patterns from broader time frames interact with shorter-term consolidations, enhancing our ability to spot critical decision areas on the charts.
4) Using both the monthly and weekly perspectives together, traders and learners can deepen their understanding of structural price action, pattern development, and the relevance of context provided by supply and demand zones. Dissecting these formations side by side promotes disciplined, informed chart reading without bias towards anticipating outcomes.
This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice.
XAU/USD – Gold Completes Liquidity Sweep Phase🔍 Market Context
After a prolonged decline from the peak ATH GOLD 4,371 USD , gold has formed a Liquidity Sweep around the 4,010 USD zone, where the selling side was completely absorbed by strong buying pressure from the demand zone below.
The price structure shows signs of a Change of Character (ChoCH) for the first time since the peak, along with the appearance of an Order Block (OB) 4,081 USD – the starting point for a new upward momentum.
This indicates a high possibility that the market is entering a technical retracement phase , aiming to retest the FVG resistance zone above, or even expand back to the ATH zone if buying pressure continues.
💎 Key Technical Structure
Liquidity Sweep: 4,010 – 4,020 USD → liquidity sweep bottom zone, increased volume appears, confirming absorption of sell orders.
Order Block (OB): 4,081 – 4,090 USD → starting zone for recovery momentum; if the price retests this zone and holds → confirmation signal for an upward phase.
Fair Value Gaps (FVG):
• FVG1: 4,196 – 4,210 USD → first target for the recovery wave.
• FVG2: 4,234 – 4,250 USD → next target, confluence of medium-term resistance.
OB | ATH GOLD: 4,370 – 4,380 USD → major resistance zone, previous peak; if the price surpasses → confirmation of a new upward trend.
Current market structure:
→ Short-term: bullish recovery (recovering from the bottom zone).
→ Medium-term: waiting for confirmation to break 4,234 to transition to a complete bullish structure.
📈 Trading Scenarios
1️⃣ BUY Setup #1 – Retest the Order Block 4,081 USD
Entry: 4,081 – 4,085
SL: 4,060
TP1: 4,196
TP2: 4,234
TP3: 4,370
✅ Conditions:
Wait for the price to retest the OB 4,081 zone, a confirmation signal for an increase appears (rejection / engulfing bullish) or a small BoS on M15.
➡️ This is a classic buy-the-dip setup after a Liquidity Sweep – high probability due to the confluence of OB + ChoCH + strong demand zone.
2️⃣ BUY Setup #2 – Break & Retest FVG 4,196 USD
Entry: 4,196 – 4,200
SL: 4,180
TP: 4,234 → 4,370
✅ Conditions:
The price breaks up the first FVG with good volume, then lightly retests without closing candles below 4,180.
➡️ Trend-following setup, following the money flow when the price confirms breaking the short-term resistance zone.
📉 Alternative Scenario – SELL reaction at 4,234 USD (Short-term Scalp)
Entry: 4,234 – 4,240
SL: 4,255
TP: 4,196 → 4,100
✅ Conditions:
If the price reacts strongly and fails at the second FVG without follow-up volume increase → a short adjustment phase may appear.
➡️ Short-term sell, only execute if there is no continuation confirmation at FVG2.
⚠️ Risk Management
Prioritise BUY according to the main recovery trend, only SELL when there is a clear reaction.
Do not FOMO buy in the middle range (4,130–4,180).
If the price closes H1 candles below 4,060 → invalidate the recovery trend, pause all buy orders.
💬 Conclusion
Gold has completed the Liquidity Sweep phase and is signaling a sustainable technical reversal .
Two important zones to monitor:
4,081 USD (OB Zone): first rebound support zone.
4,234 USD (FVG Zone): zone confirming a new upward structure.
If the price holds OB and breaks through FVG, there is a high chance gold will resume its upward momentum towards the 4,370 USD (ATH GOLD) zone.
👉 Reasonable Strategy:
Buy 4,081 USD → TP 4,234 / 4,370 USD.
Sell reaction 4,234 USD only when a clear reversal signal appears.
🔥 “Liquidity has been swept — now it’s time to ride the recovery wave.”
⏰ Timeframe: 1H
📅 Updated: 23/10/2025
✍️ Analysis by: Captain Vincent
Understanding Symmetrical Triangle Patterns in depthThis chart illustrates a classic example of a symmetrical triangle pattern formed over several years, with simple compression trendline (CT) and trigger (T) lines drawn in white for clarity.
Key learning points from the structure:
- Symmetrical Triangle Formation: The pattern is defined by converging trendlines representing successive lower highs and higher lows, indicating a period of price consolidation and market indecision
- Supply Converts to Demand: The boxed area initially acted as supply, where price faced resistance repeatedly. Over time, after multiple interactions and a structural shift, this area began to act as demand, offering support to subsequent price movements. This showcases how prior resistance can evolve into a support zone as market dynamics shift.
- Pattern Context: A large symmetrical triangle is forming above this zone, highlighting sustained equilibrium between buyers and sellers, and price compressing within clearly defined boundaries.
- Educational Note: Patterns like these offer valuable case studies for understanding consolidation phases, the role of supply and demand flipping, and how market structure can evolve. They can be identified and studied without making directional assumptions, serving as an excellent foundation for technical analysis practice.
This post is aimed purely at technical education, emphasizing the process of chart marking, pattern recognition, and structural interpretation, without making market predictions or outcome forecasts.
XAU/USD – Gold Tests Final Structure Before Deciding New Wave“If the 3,950 USD zone is breached, the long-term uptrend may end.”
🔍 Market Context
After reaching the historic peak ATH GOLD 4,381 USD , gold has sharply corrected and formed a clear Change of Character (ChoCH) on the H1 timeframe.
Currently, the price is technically recovering to the Resistance – FVG – Fibonacci 4,216 USD zone, which was previously a distribution peak.
The sellers are regaining short-term dominance, while the Order Block zone (3,953–3,960 USD) — which was the starting point of the strongest growth on H4/Daily — is becoming the most critical defense line of the uptrend.
If this zone is decisively broken, it is highly likely that the medium-term bullish structure will break and trigger a bearish expansion towards deeper liquidity zones like 3,689 USD.
💎 Technical Analysis
Resistance – FVG – Fib Zone: 4,216 – 4,228 → confluence resistance zone FVG + Fibo 0.618, suitable for sell reaction.
Liquidity Sweep Zone: 4,043 – 4,006 → intermediate liquidity sweep zone, may see a temporary pause.
Order Block | Structural Base: 3,953 – 3,960 → H4 momentum creation zone → ATH; if breached, long-term bullish structure is invalidated.
Liquidity Zone $$$: 3,689 – 3,685 → deep liquidity zone, potential target if OB is broken.
Overall Structure:
→ Short-term: bearish corrective phase.
→ Medium-term: bullish remains if 3,950 is not broken.
📉 Trading Scenarios
1️⃣ SELL Setup – Reaction at 4,216 – 4,228 USD zone
Entry: 4,216 – 4,228
SL: 4,240
TP1: 4,043
TP2: 3,956
TP3: 3,689
✅ Condition:
Wait for a clear reversal signal (strong rejection or bearish engulfing) on H1/M15 at the FVG resistance zone.
➡️ Classic “Sell the Rally” setup – follow the flow post-ChoCH, targeting the key OB zone 3,953 USD.
2️⃣ BUY Setup – Reaction at Order Block 3,953 – 3,960 USD
Entry: 3,956 – 3,953
SL: 3,940
TP: 4,043 → 4,216
✅ Condition:
Price holds OB and a strong reversal signal appears (bullish engulfing / increased volume / small BoS structure turns bullish again).
➡️ This is the decisive zone for the medium-term trend: if it bounces strongly, buyers will regain control; if it breaks, gold enters a new deep decline cycle.
⚠️ Risk Management
Prioritise SELL when price retraces to 4,216 – 4,228 with reversal signals.
BUY at 3,953 only with a clear reaction; if broken, cease all buy orders.
When price closes H4 candle below 3,950 → confirm bearish break, extend target to 3,689 USD.
💬 Conclusion
Gold is testing the Order Block foundation of the long-term uptrend (3,953–3,960 USD) .
If this zone holds, the market may rebound to 4,216 – 4,280;
but if breached, gold is likely to open a deep decline phase towards 3,689 USD – where a large liquidity pool is concentrated at the bottom.
👉 Reasonable Strategy:
Sell 4,216 – 4,228 USD if clear reversal signals appear.
Buy 3,953 – 3,960 USD if strong reaction;
If 3,950 is breached → confirm extended downtrend, prioritise SELL continuation.
🔥 “This Order Block built the last gold rally — if it breaks, the next leg down will be brutal.”
⏰ Timeframe: 1H – reference H4/Daily
📅 Update: 22/10/2025
✍️ Analysis by: Captain Vincent
Gold Holding Gains Ahead of Key US CPI DataGold extends its bullish momentum in early Asian trading, hovering near ₹4,370, supported by rate-cut expectations from the Fed and ongoing US government shutdown concerns, which continue to pressure the USD.
According to CME FedWatch, markets are now pricing in a 99% probability of another rate cut next week — a strong catalyst for gold bulls.
Lower interest rates reduce the opportunity cost of holding non-yielding assets like gold, reinforcing the medium-term uptrend.
However, all eyes are on the US September CPI report due later this week.
A hotter-than-expected reading could temporarily lift the USD and trigger short-term volatility in gold prices.
🔍 MMFlow Technical Outlook
Gold is currently consolidating around the ₹4,320–₹4,370 range after reaching the ATH zone.
Price action shows a clear liquidity sweep at the highs, followed by a minor retracement — still within the bullish structure.
The main trendline remains intact, suggesting that any dip toward ₹4,305–₹4,260 may attract new buyers.
⚙️ Trading Plan (MMFlow View)
🔼BUY SCALP
📌Entry: ₹4,302 – ₹4,300 (½ volume)
❌Stop Loss: ₹4,292
✔️Take Profit: ₹4,310 → ₹4,315 → ₹4,320 → ₹4,330 → ₹4,340 → ₹4,350+
🔼BUY ZONE (Swing)
✨Entry: ₹4,260 – ₹4,258
❌Stop Loss: ₹4,252
✔️Take Profit: ₹4,265 → ₹4,270 → ₹4,280 → ₹4,290 → ₹4,300+
📈Buy setups remain favored as long as price holds above ₹4,260.
Intraday sell reactions near ₹4,360–₹4,378 are short-term only — watch for liquidity grabs and bullish re-entry opportunities.
⚡️Key MMFlow Zones
CP Down Zone / OBS Sell Zone: ₹4,360
ATH Liquidity Sell Zone: ₹4,448
Retest Trendline / OBS Buy Zone: ₹4,305
End FVG Uptrend / OBS Buy Zone: ₹4,260
Sentiment: 🟢 Bullish Bias
Bias Confirmation: CPI Data & Fed Rate Expectations
Strategy: Buy-the-Dip → Target Liquidity Above ₹4,370–₹4,380
🔥 Stay patient — let liquidity drive the next leg. MMFlow tracks smart money zones, not emotions.
Simple CUP Pattern looking like a Diwali Diya Happy Diwali to All Traders!
This Diwali, the chart tells a special story—a classic cup breakout, but look closely and you'll notice it also resembles a beautifully lit diya. Just like Diwali celebrates the light conquering darkness, this breakout is a reminder of the power of patience, conviction, and disciplined observation in trading.
The cup pattern, much like the diya, signifies a period of accumulation, resilience, and hope before an illuminating breakout. As traders, we learn that enduring through the consolidation (the “darkness”) allows us to witness the rewarding move (the “light”) when the right moment comes.
May this Diwali fill your life and trading journey with wisdom, clarity, and prosperity. Wishing everyone strong breakouts, bright candles, and the perseverance to hold your lamp high, both in the markets and in life.
XAUUSD: Unstoppable Surge - Is Money Leaving Bitcoin for Gold?XAUUSD: Unstoppable Surge - Is Money Leaving Bitcoin for Gold?
Hello traders community,
XAUUSD (Gold) is showcasing extraordinary strength, continuously breaking records and reaching new heights. The upward momentum seems relentless, despite technical indicators entering the "overbought" zone. While Gold shines, the Crypto market is witnessing selling pressure, indicating a clear shift of safe-haven capital.
This analysis will delve into the factors driving the market and outline a detailed trading strategy for this tidal wave.
📰 Macro Analysis & Capital Flow
The market is being led by a very clear narrative: Capital is seeking the ultimate safe haven.
Gold Ascends, Bitcoin Challenges: The contrasting movements between the two assets considered "digital gold" and "physical gold" is the most notable highlight. While XAUUSD continuously sets new peaks, Bitcoin has plummeted sharply after hitting a historic high, currently struggling at the critical support level of $107,000. If this level breaks, a new wave of selling could be triggered, further driving capital flow into Gold.
"Doping Dose" from the US Economy: Gold's strength is bolstered by the weakening USD. Factors such as the potential US government shutdown and particularly the market betting that the Fed will continue cutting interest rates to support a slowing economy have reduced the allure of the greenback and interest-bearing assets.
Global Uncertainty: Trade uncertainties and escalating geopolitical tensions cannot be overlooked. In a risk-laden environment, Gold remains the top choice for institutional investors and central banks to preserve value.
📊 Technical Analysis
The M30 chart shows a perfect and sustainable bullish structure.
Ascending Channel: The price is moving very disciplined within an upward sloping channel. The lower support line of the channel is an extremely important dynamic support area.
Key Support Zone - "Buy Zone": The $4285 - $4287 area is a confluence of the lower channel line and the old structure zone. This is an ideal area for Buyers to wait, watching for corrections to join the main trend.
Resistance and "Breakout": The price has formed a short-term sideways structure after forming a peak around $4380. A confirmed "breakout" through this area will open up the next upward space, targeting higher liquidity zones.
Next Target - "Sell Liquidity": The liquidity zone of the Sellers and the extended target of this bullish wave lies at $4468 - $4470, corresponding to the 1.618 Fibonacci Extension level. This is where profit-taking pressure and sellers may appear.
🎯 Detailed Trading Plan
The main strategy is "Buy the Dip" - Look to buy when the price corrects to key support areas. Sell orders should only be considered when there is a clear reversal signal at strong resistance zones.
Scenario 1: Trend Following Buy (Priority) 📈
Entry Zone: $4285 - $4287.
Stop Loss: $4280.
Take Profit: $4310 - $4355 - $4377 - $4400.
Scenario 2: Counter-Trend Sell (High Risk) 📉
Entry Zone: Look to sell at the liquidity zone above $4468 - $4470.
Stop Loss: $4476.
Take Profit: $4453 - $4423 - $4410 - $4388.
Conclusion
Gold's upward momentum is supported by both technical factors and solid macro narratives. Although the price is in the overbought zone, the saying "never fight a strong trend" is absolutely true at this moment. Minor corrections, possibly to the EMA zone or the lower channel line, should be seen as opportunities to increase Buy positions.
Trade with discipline and manage your capital tightly. Wishing everyone a successful trading day!
Follow me to get the earliest strategies.
Gold Plan | Where will gold drop today?🔍 Market Context
Gold continues to maintain a short-term upward trend following a series of Break of Structure (BoS) , confirming active buying from lower zones.
Currently, the price is approaching the ATH GOLD zone and heading towards the Liquidity Sell Zone 4,281 USD – a densely liquid area where short-term sell reactions from major players may occur.
After a hot rise, technical correction risks are starting to increase. Lower zones like 4,186 – 4,152 – 4,130 USD will be potential “accumulation zones” for institutional buyers in the upcoming pullback.
💎 Technical Analysis
ATH GOLD: 4,275 – 4,280 USD
Liquidity Sell Zone: 4,281 – 4,285 USD → high liquidity resistance area, may trigger short-term reversal reactions.
Liquidity Zone $$$: 4,186 – 4,152 USD → crucial support area in the uptrend, where technical reactions are expected.
FVG – BoS Zone: 4,152 – 4,148 USD → “price balance” zone yet to be filled, likely to be retested.
OB Deep Zone: 4,130 – 4,120 USD → deep demand zone converging with Fibo 0.786 – ideal area for large capital to re-accumulate.
Overall structure remains bullish , but in the premium zone – an area where institutions typically distribute orders to gain liquidity before adjusting.
📈 Trading Scenarios
1️⃣ Main Scenario – Sell reaction at Liquidity Zone 4,281 USD
When the price hits the 4,275 – 4,281 USD zone and clear reversal signals appear (rejection candles, bearish engulfing, or minor structure break),
→ open short-term sell orders (scalp/intraday).
Target: 4,186 → 4,152 USD.
Stop Loss: above 4,285 USD.
➡️ This is a typical “liquidity sweep – technical reaction” scenario, capitalising on short-term sell-offs at high liquidity peaks.
2️⃣ Secondary Scenario – Buy back following the main trend after correction
When the price corrects to the 4,186 – 4,152 USD zone or deeper to OB Deep 4,130 USD ,
and clear upward confirmation signals appear (strong rejection or minor BoS increasing again),
→ open buy orders in line with the main trend.
Target: 4,230 → 4,275 USD.
Stop Loss: below 4,120 USD.
➡️ Trend-following scenario – waiting for price correction to discount zones to accumulate in line with the larger trend.
⚠️ Risk Management
Do not FOMO buy when the price is hitting the 4,275 – 4,281 USD zone.
Prioritise short-term sells with clear confirmations or buys at lower OB zones.
Keep light volume when trading against the main trend.
Observe reactions at the 4,186 zone – this is the key level of the day.
💬 Conclusion
Gold is at the peak of the current rise , short-term profit-taking pressure may appear around the 4,281 USD zone.
If strong reactions occur, a correction to the 4,186 – 4,152 USD zone is reasonable for market rebalancing.
The larger trend remains upward , so lower OB zones will be reasonable buy opportunities for the next wave.
👉 Reasonable Strategy:
Sell reaction at 4,281 USD when reversal signals appear.
Buy back at 4,186 – 4,152 – 4,130 USD when confirmation signals appear.
Steven-GoldTrading – XAUUSD: Completion of Wave 5Steven-GoldTrading – XAUUSD: Completion of Wave 5, Awaiting Strong ABC Correction Wave
Hello trading community, Gold continues to make waves as it extends its record-breaking rally, setting a new all-time high above 4,240 USD. However, after a strong upward cycle, technical signals indicate a short-term correction (ABC Wave) is forming to gather liquidity before the uptrend resumes.
🧭 Technical Analysis (30m Chart – XAUUSD)
Based on the 30-minute chart, the price structure suggests the possibility of:Completing Elliott Wave: Gold seems to have completed the 5th Impulse Wave (Elliott Wave 5), reaching the peak area near 4240 USD.
ABC Wave Forming: After Wave 5, the market tends to enter a correction phase following the ABC Wave pattern.
Wave A: Formed from the peak of Wave 5 to the 4200 USD area.
Wave B: Currently in progress (recovering upwards).
Wave C: The preferred scenario is a deeper corrective drop to the Buy Support area to gather enough liquidity for the next upward move.
Liquidity Zones to Watch:Sell Resistance (Sell Scalping): Around 4240 – 4270 USD. This is the technical peak and the final resistance of the price channel, ideal for scalping sells.Buy Support: Area 4170 – 4180 USD. This is a crucial support zone where Wave C is expected to end to trigger the next upward move.
🎯 Intraday Trading Scenario (Europe & US)
Today's preferred scenario is to watch for selling (Sell) to catch the corrective wave and then watch for buying (Buy) at strong support zones.
📉 Sell Scalping (Priority to sell to catch corrective Wave C)
Based on the expectation that the price will complete Wave B and start Wave C down to gather liquidity.📍 Entry: 4266 – 4268 (Watch for selling at the channel peak resistance)
🛑 SL: 4275
🎯 TP: 4245 - 4222-4210.5 (Targeting the temporary support zone)
📈 Buy Swing (Following the main trend)Wait for the price to correct deeply to the important liquidity zone before rising again.
📍 Entry: 4181 – 4183 (Buy Support area – where Wave C ends)
🛑 SL: 4175
🎯 TP: 4190 - 4205 - 4233 - 4250 (Targeting a breakout of the peak)
📌 Fundamental View & Conclusion
Main Driver: Gold prices remain firm near historical highs due to sustained safe-haven demand and expectations that the Fed will cut interest rates in the future (long-term supportive factor).Conclusion: Gold is in a short-term technical correction phase (ABC Wave) during the European and US sessions to consolidate the foundation before continuing the uptrend. 4180 USD is an extremely important liquidity zone to trigger a new upward move.
👉 Follow me for detailed updates as the price approaches the outlined Entry zones!
XAUUSD: Profit-Taking Pressure Emerges XAUUSD: Profit-Taking Pressure Emerges - Trading Strategy as Gold Adjusts
Hello traders community,
Today's trading session witnessed a strong "Price Rejection" of XAUUSD at the new peak, triggering a nearly $20 drop. Although the long-term bullish structure remains intact, the profit-taking signal from buyers is evident. This article will delve into the analysis of key price zones and outline a detailed trading strategy in the context of the adjusting market.
📊 Technical Analysis
The H1 chart provides us with an overview of the current liquidity zones and price structure:
Fibonacci Resistance Zone: The price reacted strongly at the confluence of the 2.618 Fibonacci Extension levels, around the $4240 area. A strong bearish candle emerged right after the price touched this zone, confirming it as an extremely potential "Sell zone." Sellers have officially stepped in.
Point of Control (POC) and Liquidity: The Volume Profile (VPVR) indicator shows the area with the highest trading volume concentration (POC) is at $4196. This is the "magnet" zone attracting price in the short term. If the price recovers, this will be the decisive tug-of-war zone.
Key Support Zones:
$4196 (Buy Scalping): The POC zone acts as the first price support point. Scalping traders can look for short-term buying opportunities here.
$4158 (Buy Zone): This is a stronger support zone, the bottom of the previous uptrend, and also an area with significant trading volume. Buyers are likely to return strongly if the price adjusts here.
📰 Market Sentiment
Profit-Taking Pressure: After a hot growth streak, Gold's sharp drop of nearly $20 is a healthy adjustment move. The selling force mainly comes from short-term profit-taking traders.
"Sharks" Still Accumulating: Notably, while the price adjusts, the world's largest gold ETF, SPDR Gold Trust, increased its gold holdings by 1.15 tonnes. This move shows that large institutions remain optimistic about Gold's long-term prospects and are taking advantage of the dip to accumulate more. This is a signal contrary to short-term price action, which traders need to pay special attention to.
🎯 Actionable Trading Plan
With the current technical signals and market sentiment, we prioritize the strategy of selling when the price recovers (Sell the Rally).
Scenario 1: Sell on Downtrend (Sell) 📉
Entry Zone: Wait for the price to recover to the $4228 zone. This is the "retest" area of the liquidity zone previously controlled by sellers.
Stop Loss: $4235, above the nearest minor peak.
Take Profit: $4210 - $4188 - $4165 - $4133.
Scenario 2: Buy at Strong Support (Buy) 📈
Entry Zone: If the price continues to drop, look to buy at the "Buy zone" $4158.
Stop Loss: $4150, a safe level below the support zone.
Take Profit: $4173 - $4190 - $4205 - $4230.
Scenario 3: Short-Term Scalping (Scalping Buy) ⚡️
Entry Zone: Quick buy at the POC zone $4196.
Stop Loss: $4188, a short and tight stop loss level.
Take Profit: $4210 - $4228.
Summary
In the short term, sellers are temporarily dominant after Gold failed to conquer the $4240 resistance zone. The main strategy is to sell when the price recovers. However, the buying action of the SPDR fund indicates that the medium and long-term uptrend remains very solid. Therefore, buying orders at strong support zones like $4158 are also an opportunity not to be missed.
Trade with discipline and manage your capital tightly. Wishing all traders an effective trading day!
Note: This analysis is based on personal views and is for reference purposes only, not direct investment advice.
XAU/USD – Buyers Reclaim Structure, Targeting Liquidity Zone🔍 Market Context
After a strong Liquidity Sweep yesterday, gold has rebounded and formed consecutive Break of Structure (BoS) , confirming buyers have regained control.
The price has now filled the Fair Value Gap (FVG 4,191 – 4,202) and is heading towards the Sell Liquidity Zone 4,237 – 4,240 USD — a concentration of pending sell orders and stop-losses from previous short positions.
The current structure shows strong bullish momentum , however, the possibility of a correction from this high liquidity area is noteworthy.
💎 Technical Analysis
Liquidity Sweep: Completed, clearing liquidity below 4,070.
FVG (Fair Value Gap): 4,191 – 4,202 → filled, confirming price balance.
Sell Liquidity Zone: 4,237 – 4,240 → potential resistance zone, likely strong reaction.
OB Zone | Buy: 4,143 – 4,145 → nearby support, expected first reaction when price corrects.
OB Deep | Buy: 4,110 – 4,115 → deep demand zone, confluence with Premium Zone 4,156 – 4,118.
Overall Structure: The main trend remains bullish , with strong upward momentum but requires a technical correction for re-accumulation.
📈 Trading Scenarios
1️⃣ Main Scenario – Sell reaction at liquidity zone
When the price approaches the Sell Liquidity Zone 4,237 – 4,240 USD , observe candlestick reaction (rejection, bearish engulfing).
If confirmation signals appear, open a short-term sell order .
Target: OB Buy Zone 4,145 → 4,110 USD.
Stop Loss: above 4,245 USD.
➡️ This is a liquidity reaction setup, high probability when the market encounters resistance confluence with Fibonacci zone 0.786–1.0.
2️⃣ Alternative Scenario – Buy with trend from OB
If the price corrects to the OB Zone 4,143 – 4,145 USD and shows a clear reaction (strong rejection or minor structure break),
→ a buy with the main trend can be opened.
Target: return to 4,200 → 4,235 USD.
Stop Loss: below 4,130 USD.
If the price drops further, the OB Deep Buy 4,110 – 4,115 USD will be the final “liquidity attraction” zone for a new upward bounce.
⚠️ Risk Management
Avoid FOMO buying at 4,200+ as it is near the liquidity resistance zone.
Prioritise short-term sell at 4,237 if clear signals are present.
When price corrects to OB, wait for reaction before buying, do not bottom fish early.
💬 Conclusion
After completing the liquidity sweep, gold has confirmed a return to bullish structure with multiple consecutive BoS.
Currently, the price is approaching the liquidity zone 4,237 USD – a short-term correction is highly likely.
The 4,145 – 4,110 USD zone will be where buyers await reaction to accumulate orders and continue the medium-term uptrend.
👉 Reasonable Strategy:
Short sell at 4,237 USD if reversal signals are present.
Wait to buy at OB zone 4,145 – 4,110 USD when clear reaction occurs.
Steven-GoldTrading – XAUUSD: All-Time Highs Emerge Steven-GoldTrading – XAUUSD: All-Time Highs Emerge, Navigating Volatility with Precision
Hello Trading Community,
Gold (XAUUSD) has absolutely demolished expectations, officially breaching the $4,200/ounce mark and setting a massive new All-Time High (ATH)! Although we see profit-taking, the overall upward momentum remains fiercely dominant.
🧭 Market Overview & Sentiment
Driving Force: Spot Gold's relentless rally, surging almost 1.4% today, signifies that Gold is no longer afraid of heights. This move is successfully attracting new retail traders and individual investors into the market.
Short-term Risk: The market is currently apprehensive about the uncertain Hawkish remarks from the Fed Chairman, contributing to sharp volatility and quick profit-taking dips.
Trend Confirmation: The primary strong bullish trend is intact. Any dips observed are purely profit-taking maneuvers and do not signal a reversal of the current market structure.
📊 Technical Analysis (30m Chart – XAUUSD)
Based on the 30-minute chart, the price is moving within a steep short-term Uptrend Channel. However, it has encountered a significant resistance cluster.
Key Resistance Zone (Liquidity): Located around 4206–4210. This area is a confluence of the upper channel boundary and technical resistance, making it prone to selling pressure.
Key Support Zone (Buyer Zone): Around 4145–4150. This is a strong demand zone, ideal for executing Trend-Following Buy orders after a clean retracement.
Scenario: Price has pulled back after testing the channel high. We anticipate a possible deeper correction towards the Buy Zone before a fresh surge to challenge the ATH again.
🎯 Today's Trading Scenarios
We outline two high-probability scenarios to capitalize on the current market volatility.
📉 Short-term Sell (Counter-Trend Scalp)
Aims to capture the anticipated retracement move from the immediate resistance.
📍 Sell Entry: 4206 – 4208
🛑 SL: 4214 (Tight Stop Loss is mandatory given the strong bullish context)
🎯 TP: 4188 → 4162 → 4144 → 4123
📈 Buy with the Trend (Swing/Position Entry)
Waiting for price to revert to the strong demand zone to ride the primary trend.
📍 Buy Entry: 4145 – 4147 (The identified Buyer Zone)
🛑 SL: 4138
🎯 TP: 4167 → 4192 → 4204 (Aims for potential Breakout)
📌 Conclusion
Gold is currently in a powerful uptrend. However, the influence of Hawkish Fedspeak necessitates navigating the market with caution, as it can induce sharp volatility and deep profit-taking.
Optimal Strategy: Prioritize a Sell Scalp from the peak resistance 4206–4208 to catch the correction, and a Trend-Following Buy from the strong support at 4145–4147.
Risk Management: Always ensure a strict Stop Loss and fractionalize your position sizing, especially during this period of historic high volatility.
I will continue to update daily Gold scenarios based on my 8 years of trading experience.
👉 Follow me to not miss out on real-time trade ideas!






















