XAUUSD – PRICE ABOVE $4000: ABSOLUTELY CRAZY FOR TRADERSXAUUSD – PRICE ABOVE $4000: ABSOLUTELY CRAZY FOR TRADERS
Gold has officially surpassed the $4000 mark, marking one of the most robust increases in recent history.
Let's take a look at the key price zones and short-term opportunities 👇
🔻 SELL Scenario
SELL 4025–4027 → SL 4033 → TP 4015 – 4000 – 3980
SELL 4042–4044 → SL 4049 → TP 4030 – 4015 – 4000 – 3980
🟩 BUY Scenario
BUY 3993–3995 → SL 3988 → TP 4005 – 4013 – 4023 – 4040
BUY 3980–3983 → SL 3975 → TP 3998 – 4005 – 4013 – 4023 – 4040
📈 Technical Analysis
The medium-term upward price channel continues to be stable.
Rising lows indicate that buying pressure remains very strong.
The nearest psychological resistance is around the 4043 zone, coinciding with the Fibonacci extension.
The expected buying zone is at the POC Volume Profile area — a high liquidity zone, once anticipated by many traders to reject gold prices, but now could become a strong demand zone.
🧭 Macroeconomic Perspective
If the Federal Reserve (Fed) continues to cut interest rates, the market may aim for the next milestone – 5000 USD/ounce.
Although short-term fluctuations may occur (such as temporary ceasefires in the Middle East or Ukraine), the core drivers of this trend remain unchanged:
US public debt is increasing
Central banks are diversifying foreign reserves
The USD is weakening
All of which support gold's medium-term upward trend.
⚡️Summary
Gold remains in a solid upward structure, even as it approaches overbought territory.
There might be strong corrections, but as long as the upward structure is maintained, buyers remain in control.
Techincalanalysis
XAUUSD – Waiting for breakout confirmation at 3956XAUUSD – ACCUMULATION & WAIT FOR NEW TREND CONFIRMATION WHEN BREAKING 3956
Hello trader 👋
Gold is fluctuating in a short-term accumulation phase, following a strong rally last week. The technical structure on the H1 frame shows the price is retesting the central support area around 3956, which will determine the next direction.
In the current context, price action is mainly restrained within the rising channel, but buying momentum has slowed. The market is waiting for new trend confirmation – either breaking up to the 4000 area or adjusting to lower support.
🔎 Technical Perspective
Fibonacci 0.618 – 1.618 indicates significant resistance at the 3997–4000 area, coinciding with a strong liquidity zone.
The medium-term uptrend line remains intact, however, the RSI momentum shows slight divergence – warning of a potential adjustment.
Key price areas to watch: 3956 – 3946 – 3927 – 3917.
⚖️ Detailed Trading Scenarios
🔴 Main SELL Scenario:
Entry: 3997 – 4000
Stop Loss: 4005
Take Profit: 3976 → 3945 → 3928 → 3910
👉 Sell at the Fibonacci extension area + psychological resistance 4000 (high liquidity zone).
🔴 SELL upon confirmation of breaking 3956:
Entry: 3959 – 3961
SL: 3965
TP: 3945 → 3928 → 3910
👉 Short-term breakout order when the price closes below 3956, confirming a daily downtrend.
🟢 BUY when price retraces to support:
Entry: 3942 – 3944
SL: 3938
TP: 3955 → 3970 → 3990
👉 Suitable for Buy strategy following the short rising channel, prioritised when there is a strong candlestick reaction.
🟢 BUY at deep support area (POC & Trendline):
Entry: 3900 – 3898
SL: 3892
TP: 3910 → 3928 → 3940 → 3955 → 3970
💡 Macro Perspective
Many major financial institutions have raised their December 2026 gold price forecast from $4,300 to $4,900/oz, citing that central banks in emerging markets continue to diversify foreign exchange reserves into gold.
This reinforces the belief that the long-term uptrend remains robust.
📌 Summary:
Gold is in an accumulation phase waiting for a new direction around the 3956 area.
Strict capital management – the market may experience strong volatility when political news and US data return.
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XAUUSD – EARLY WEEK SCENARIO - ATH CONTINUES TO HOLD CHAINXAUUSD – EARLY WEEK SCENARIO - ATH CONTINUES TO HOLD CHAIN
Hello trader 👋
Gold prices are currently moving sideways after a strong previous surge. The market is temporarily lacking momentum as the US government remains shut, causing economic data to be delayed – this reduces liquidity and makes many short-term traders hesitant to open new positions.
Currently, the price structure remains within the upward channel, but there are signs of accumulation and tug-of-war around key resistance – support zones. Therefore, the suitable strategy at this stage is “Buy at support zones, Sell at psychological resistance”, combined with POC (Point of Control) on Volume Profile to identify the price area with the highest liquidity.
⚙️ Technical Structure
The overall trend remains bullish, however, short-term corrective waves may appear as the price approaches strong resistance zones.
Thick volume areas clearly shown on the chart are where large investors are accumulating or distributing orders.
RSI is currently in the neutral zone → no overbought signals yet, so the possibility of range-bound movement remains high.
⚖️ Detailed Trading Scenario
🔴 SELL ZONE (Strong resistance – priority sell reaction)
Entry: 3,970 – 3,972
SL: 3,977
TP: 3,952 → 3,935 → 3,920 → 3,905
👉 Note: This is a psychological resistance zone – confluence between the upper edge of the price channel and the previous volume peak.
🔴 SELL SCALPING (short-term sell when support breaks)
Entry: 3,923 – 3,925 (wait for support break confirmation)
SL: 3,930
TP: 3,910 → 3,900 → 3,885 → 3,860
🟢 BUY ZONE (buy at support + POC volume profile)
Entry: 3,883 – 3,885
SL: 3,875
TP: 3,900 → 3,915 → 3,940 → 3,965 → 4,000
👉 This is a strong technical support zone, coinciding with the POC of Volume Profile – high liquidity, high rebound potential.
💡 Insights & Notes
The upward price channel remains intact, but buying power is gradually weakening, making short-term corrections likely.
Be patient and wait for directional confirmation before entering trades, avoid FOMO during sideways phases.
Limited news this week due to the US political situation → market is prone to tug-of-war, low volatility.
📌 Summary:
Buy at liquidity support zone (3,883–3,885).
Sell reaction at psychological resistance zone (3,970–3,972).
Maintain a flexible mindset within the fluctuation range, wait for clear confirmation signals to increase winning rates.
Stay updated with new gold articles by following me
LiamTrading – Risk of correction before hitting the $4000 mark? LiamTrading – GOLD: Risk of correction before hitting the $4000 mark?
Hello everyone,
Gold is approaching the psychological price zone of $4000/oz, but before reaching this historic milestone, the market may be preparing for a short-term correction.
According to Bank of America's technical strategist – Paul Ciana, gold's upward momentum is “too hot,” and a mid-cycle correction could occur soon.
📉 Technical Analysis (Chart H1 – Wolfe Waves Formation)
Observing the chart, a Wolfe Waves pattern is clearly forming:
The Sell zone 3988–3990 is the convergence point of wave number 5 – a potential short-term reversal zone.
The Buy zone 3963–3965 is the retest point of local support, where sellers often tend to take short-term profits.
The Wolfe trend line indicates the possibility that the price will take liquidity above the peak zone before a corrective decline appears.
If a correction occurs, the 3940–3955 zone will be the first reaction area, where strong buying support is present.
🎯 Trading Scenario
Buy retest:
📍 3963–3965
🛑 SL: 3960
🎯 TP: 3972 – 3985 – 4000
Sell following Wolfe wave:
📍 3988–3990
🛑 SL: 3995
🎯 TP: 3972 – 3955 – 3945
🧭 Medium-term Outlook
Although the upward momentum remains dominant, the momentum is gradually decreasing and the market needs to “cool down” to create a new accumulation rhythm.
Dense liquidity zones around POC 3957–3960 may trigger a short-term pullback, before gold gains momentum to advance to the ATH zone of $4000 in the late-week sessions.
📌 Conclusion
Gold remains in a medium-term uptrend, but a short correction is necessary to maintain a sustainable upward structure.
Traders should prioritize flexible scalping, observing reactions at Fibo zones – Volume Profile – and especially the developing Wolfe Waves pattern.
I will continue to update the latest scenario details for XAUUSD daily.
👉 Follow me to not miss important wave rhythms!
LiamTrading – GOLD approaches the $4000 mark LiamTrading – GOLD approaches the $4000 mark: The upward wave continues
Hello everyone,
Gold continues to maintain its impressive upward momentum as the DXY only slightly increases by 0.50% and is currently at 98.21 – a signal indicating that safe-haven flows still prioritise precious metals.
Currently, the technical structure on H1 shows gold is in a clear upward channel, with price reaction zones accurately identified through Fibonacci and trendline, aiming for the next major target of $4000/oz.
📊 Technical Analysis (H1)
Main Trend: Strong upward, Higher High – Higher Low structure remains intact
Main Support Zone: around 3890 – 3900, coinciding with Fibo 1.0 confluence + upward trendline
Psychological Resistance Zone: 3955 – 3999, corresponding to Fibo extension 2.0 – 3.6
RSI is moving into the 70+ zone, reflecting strong buying force but short-term correction signs need to be observed.
🎯 Today's Trading Scenarios
Buy scalping
📍 3909 – 3911
🛑 SL: 3904
🎯 TP: 3940 – 3955 – 3970 – 3990
Buy swing
📍 3888 – 3890
🛑 SL: 3882
🎯 TP: 3910 – 3925 – 3950 – 3975 – 3990
Sell scalping
📍 3956 – 3958
🛑 SL: 3964
🎯 TP: 3935 – 3910 – 3890
Sell swing
📍 3997 – 3999
🛑 SL: 4010
🎯 TP: 3975 – 3950 – 3925
🧭 Trend Analysis
With the current upward force and stable technical structure, the $4000 target is entirely feasible in the short term.
The preferred strategy is to BUY with the trend, watch for pullbacks to optimise entry, and avoid FOMO at the peak.
Adjustments to the support zone 3890–3900 will be a beautiful opportunity to open buy positions.
💡 I will continue to update detailed reaction zones & new plans in each session.
Follow me for the earliest updates on daily gold scenarios!
Gold Soars on FOMO – 1000-Pip Opportunity Ahead!GOLD PLAN FOR 06.10 | Captain Vincent
✳️ Hello to all traders,
Today, we are not only analysing Gold (XAU/USD) from a purely technical perspective ⚙️, but also witnessing the perfect confluence between technicals and fundamental news. A bullish storm is forming, promising attractive trading opportunities.
📊 1. Technical Analysis: Sustainable Bullish Structure
From a technical standpoint, the uptrend of Gold on the H1 chart is undeniable.
🔹 Break of Structure (BoS):
Gold continuously breaks previous highs, indicating that buying pressure is completely dominant.
Each BoS point is a clear affirmation of the strength of the uptrend.
🔹 Potential Demand Zone:
After each rally, the price often takes a “pause” to accumulate.
Currently, the price may adjust to the $3,883,020 - $3,911,169 zone, where the confluence between Fair Value Gap (FVG) and Bullish Order Block (Bullish OB) – creates an ideal launchpad for the next rally.
🏦 2. Fundamental Analysis: The Fire Has Been Lit
If technicals show the way, then fundamental news is the fuel driving the uptrend.
🔸 US Government Shutdown:
This event creates political and economic instability, causing capital to flee from risky assets.
Gold – the number one safe haven – is directly benefiting as investors seek to preserve their assets.
🔸 Fed Ready to Cut Interest Rates:
The market is almost certain that the Fed will cut interest rates by 0.25%.
This reduces the appeal of the USD, further strengthening Gold's advantage, which is a non-yielding asset.
🔸 “Thirst” for Economic Data:
The government shutdown also disrupts the release of important economic data, leaving the market lacking information and increasing uncertainty.
In this environment, Gold continues to hold its safe haven role.
🎯 3. Comprehensive Trading Plan
When technicals and fundamentals align, the reliability of the trading strategy is significantly enhanced.
Strategy:
Wait to buy (Long) when the price adjusts to the demand zone $3,883,020 - $3,905,169.
Entry signals:
Observe confirmation of a bullish reversal in this zone such as:
Pin bar candles, engulfing
Or BoS on the M15 chart
Targets:
Short-term: $3950 – $3990
Long-term: Target “+1000 pips”
Risk management:
Place Stop Loss below the Bullish OB to protect the account.
🧭 Conclusion
The current market sentiment is very favourable for the Buyers:
USD is under downward pressure
Defensive capital flows are strongly moving into Gold
The FOMO effect can stimulate an extended rally
The combination of a solid technical structure and strong fundamental support is creating an almost perfect bullish picture.
👉 Be patient, stick to the plan, and await this golden opportunity.
💼 Wishing everyone an effective and victorious trading day!
LiamTrading – GOLD Weekly Plan ..GOLD Weekly Plan: Prepare for a Breakthrough to a New ATH
The new trading week opens with extremely complex sentiments — many traders are confused, and even the “big players” are cautious.
But if you look closely at the price structure, everything becomes clear: gold is still in a sustainable uptrend.
🧠 Psychological & Trend Analysis
Gold has just closed the week with a strong upward momentum, confirming the continuation of the medium-term uptrend.
At this stage, “Selling at the peak” is almost a dangerous move – as each correction is shallow and quick, not allowing sellers enough time to exit.
This creates a strong “fear of missing out” (FOMO) sentiment – driving funds to continue pouring in when the price hits the trendline or technical retracement zones.
📊 Technical Analysis
On the H4 chart, the upward structure of gold is clearly visible following the impulse + correction box pattern (each accumulation – breakout repeats).
The 3820–3830 zone continues to be the “golden retracement point” as it coincides with the medium-term uptrend line.
Last week's bounce from this zone brought excellent profits for those who patiently waited.
Currently, the next target for gold lies at the Fibonacci 1.618 zone – around 3980, which is also a significant psychological level where many investors might take profits.
🎯 Trading Scenario
Buy setup (trend-following):
Entry: 3830
Stoploss: 3815
Take Profit: 3980
Sell reaction (short-term upon reaching target):
Entry: around 3980
Stoploss: 3988
TP open depending on price reaction (scalping strategy)
🔍 Conclusion
Gold is still on the right growth trajectory, with short corrections merely opportunities to “accumulate”.
Continue trading with the trend, patiently waiting for the price to retrace to strong confluence zones instead of FOMO at high prices.
I will continue to share more details in daily updates here.
Follow me to not miss the latest gold scenarios.
GOLD DAILY – MACRO VIEW FOR LONG-TERM GOLD
Hello everyone 👋
Today is the weekend, let's review the gold movements to gain insights for the upcoming trading week.
The weekly candle closed at 3,886.5 – a high level that most investors did not anticipate. The daily candle, almost fully bullish, has strongly reinforced the main bullish trend of gold in the medium and long term.
🔎 Technical View
Analyzing through Fibonacci extension, the next target for gold lies at the 4,000 mark, coinciding with the Fibo 1.618 level and a significant psychological resistance zone.
This is a confluence zone between technical and psychological factors, expected to have a strong reaction when the price approaches this area.
The current upward trend is almost unwavering, bolstered by macro factors – US political instability is causing uncertainty for the USD.
💡 Macro View
The US government shutdown is indefinite, economic data is delayed, causing market confusion.
The USD is weakening, while gold becomes a safe haven.
This scenario continues to reinforce the long-term upward trend of gold, especially as investors seek assets that preserve value.
⚖️ Long-term Scenarios and Strategies
1️⃣ Long-term Buy Scenario:
Entry: around 3,640 – 3,650
Reason: This is a strong support area on the Volume Profile chart, where large liquidity is concentrated.
When the price returns to this area, the pressure to take profits and release sell positions from trapped traders will create a strong price rebound effect.
This is the most potential buying zone in the medium term.
2️⃣ Short/Medium-term Reaction Sell Scenario:
Entry: around 4,000
Reason: This is a confluence resistance zone of technical (Fibo 1.618) and psychological (round number) factors.
Prioritize short-term reaction sells, capturing the pullback if gold hits the peak.
⚠️ Risk Management Note
Trading on larger time frames requires good capital and management skills, as the stop-loss range is higher compared to shorter frames.
Do not enter trades too early without confirmation signals from the price zone.
Always clearly define the time frame and profit expectations before entering a trade.
📈 Summary:
The long-term trend of gold remains upward, with a medium-term target towards $4,000.
Buying around 3,640 is an attractive price zone for accumulating long-term positions.
Sell reactions around 4,000 if there are clear reversal signals.
👉 If you want to follow daily updated scenarios, please follow me
XAU/USD Near Record Highs: Key Data AheadGold (XAU/USD) Technical Outlook – October 3, 2025
1. Macro & News Context
Gold is holding near record highs, heading for its seventh consecutive weekly gain, supported by expectations that the Federal Reserve will continue cutting rates and by concerns around the ongoing U.S. government shutdown. Spot prices have recently tested the ₹3,890–3,900 region and are now consolidating around ₹3,860.
Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) – Typically scheduled for 18:00 IST on the first Friday of the month, the September jobs report is likely to be delayed due to the U.S. government shutdown.
Key event to watch today:
ISM Services PMI (September) will be released at 19:30 IST. Since ISM data is privately produced, it will be published regardless of the shutdown and may serve as the main volatility catalyst in today’s U.S. session. 【ISM】
Labor market signals: Challenger job cut data showed lower layoffs in September, but planned hiring at the lowest level since 2009, reinforcing a softer employment backdrop. Combined with the Fed’s recent 25 bps rate cut (to 4.00%–4.25%), this continues to support the bullish gold narrative.
USD trend: The dollar has weakened broadly this week, aligning with market bets on further monetary easing. This backdrop provides an additional tailwind for gold.
2. Technical Landscape (H1 Chart)
The attached chart highlights key technical zones and a completed Harmonic XABCD pattern on the 1H timeframe:
Support levels:
Near-term: ₹3,844–3,841
Deeper: ₹3,827 (intraday pivot), ₹3,792 (strong low)
Strategic: ₹3,764–3,770 (Bullish Order Block)
Resistance levels:
Immediate: ₹3,865
Strong supply: ₹3,880–3,890 (Bearish Order Block)
Extended target: ₹3,930–3,940 (Sell Scalping | Fibo zone)
Momentum: After bouncing from point D of the harmonic structure, gold has been forming higher lows (HL). Price currently sits above the longer-term moving average and is testing the shorter-term average, suggesting a constructive short-term bias as long as supports hold.
3. Trade Scenarios
Scenario 1 – Buy-the-dip (preferred bias)
Entry zone: ₹3,844–3,841
Stop loss: Below ₹3,827 (safer: below ₹3,792)
Targets:
₹3,865 (first take-profit)
₹3,880–3,890 (major supply)
Stretch: ₹3,930–3,940
Rationale: Higher low formation, bullish macro backdrop, aligned with strong weekly uptrend.
Scenario 2 – Countertrend short at resistance
Trigger zone: ₹3,880–3,890 (Bearish OB)
Confirmation: Rejection candles (H15–H1) such as wicks, engulfing, or failed breakout.
Stop loss: Above ₹3,895–3,900 (or above ₹3,945 if price spikes into the ₹3,930–3,940 fib zone).
Targets: ₹3,865 → ₹3,844 → ₹3,827
Rationale: Potential liquidity sweep ahead of ISM, with profit-taking likely near supply zones.
Scenario 3 – Breakdown through support
Trigger: 1H close below ₹3,841
Path: ₹3,827 → ₹3,792 (Strong Low) → ₹3,764–3,770 (Bullish OB)
Rationale: Loss of intraday structure would flip bias short until major demand zones.
4. How to Trade Around Today’s Data
If NFP is indeed delayed, the 18:00 IST slot may bring limited volatility.
Focus instead on the ISM Services PMI at 19:30 IST, which could trigger sharp swings in both USD and gold.
Adjust position sizing: Expect spread widening and slippage around the release. Reduce leverage or scale into positions.
5. Risk Management
Limit risk per trade to 0.5–1% of account equity.
Avoid chasing price once levels are tested; wait for H15–H1 candle closes for confirmation.
Monitor the U.S. Dollar Index (DXY) and Treasury yields – further dollar weakness would reinforce bullish gold setups.
🔑 Key Takeaway
Gold remains structurally bullish in the broader trend, with immediate support at ₹3,841–3,844 critical to maintain upside momentum. Watch for reactions around ₹3,880–3,890 and ₹3,930–3,940. With NFP possibly delayed, the ISM Services PMI at 19:30 IST will be today’s most important catalyst for directional moves.
XAUUSD – Price Channel Rising Towards 4000 USD Next Week
Hello Traders,
Every day I share scenarios for you to refer to and build your own strategy. And here is the perspective for next week – as gold is in a sustainable uptrend, approaching the psychological mark of 4000 USD.
Technical Perspective
On the H4 frame, gold continues to move within a clear upward price channel.
Every time the price touches the support trendline, a strong rebound reaction appears, indicating that buying pressure still dominates.
This price channel has remained stable for many weeks, providing a basis for us to prioritise buying in line with the trend.
The target of 4000 USD is not far away, especially when the fundamental context continues to support the upward trend.
Fundamental Context
The market is expecting the Fed to continue cutting interest rates in October, creating momentum for gold.
Current US financial-economic news is limited, as the US Government remains shut down.
Geopolitical factors have somewhat cooled down, but gold still holds its position as an important safe-haven asset.
Trading Scenario
1. Buy (main priority):
Entry: 3860 – 3865 (at the rising trendline).
TP: 3960 – 4000.
SL: manage below the trendline.
2. Sell (backup if the channel breaks):
Condition: 3853 is breached.
At that point, a new trend will form and the Sell scenario will be activated.
Conclusion
Main trend: Buy in line with the rising channel, aiming for 4000 USD next week.
Sell should only be considered if there is confirmation of a break below 3853.
The market is in a critical phase, so be patient and wait for a good entry point to trade safely and effectively.
XAUUSD – New York Session Outlook (End of Week Setup)
Gold is currently testing the highs for the third time, but a fresh ATH this week seems increasingly unlikely. The ideal sell zone has already been tapped, leaving limited upside momentum in the short term.
Following today’s economic data, trading volume has remained muted, suggesting the market is waiting for clearer waves before committing further positions. Yesterday’s sharp drop already flushed out many short-term traders, which may keep activity lighter into the weekly close.
⚖️ Trading Plan – New York Session
For today’s US session, preference is given to short positions ahead of the weekly candle close:
Sell Entry: Around current levels (3,88x) or ideally at 3,890
Stop Loss: Strictly above the ATH
Take Profit: Targeting a deeper correction towards the 3,83x area into weekly close
📊 Market View
Momentum has clearly slowed, with repeated rejections around the highs.
Short-term volume remains thin, so expect choppy price action before any decisive move.
Patience will be key – look for small price reactions to refine entries.
📌 Conclusion: End-of-week price action looks tilted towards a corrective pullback rather than a breakout. For the New York session, selling rallies remains the higher-probability play.
Good luck with your trades, and trade safe! 🚀
TDPOWERSYS (TD Power System)The stock is trading above all key EMAs, showing strong momentum.
After facing resistance near ₹475, it broke out in May, then briefly retested the ₹475–₹460 zone, which has now turned into solid support.
Now there is probability of another upside move.
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📌 For learning and educational purposes only, not a recommendation. Please consult your financial advisor before investing.
XAUUSD H4 – WAITING FOR NFP, TRADING WITHIN PRICE CHANNEL
Hello trader 👋
Gold continues to hold within the H4 rising price channel, but buying momentum has clearly weakened after yesterday's sharp drop. The price reaction at the lower trendline indicates that selling pressure is not yet strong enough to break the structure, yet the market's hesitation reflects a wait-and-see attitude for the NFP data and a series of important US news tonight.
In the European session, the price might move slowly and frustratingly – typical for a Friday – before potentially exploding in the US session. Therefore, the sensible strategy now is short-term trading within the channel, adapting to each small wave on the M5–M15 timeframe.
🔑 Key Technical Levels
Resistance: 3,874 – 3,876 (Sell entry)
Near Support: 3,794 – 3,795 (Buy scalping zone)
Deep Support: 3,760 (Important Buy zone)
⚖️ Trading Scenarios
🔴 Short-term Sell Scenario:
Entry: 3,874 – 3,876
SL: 3,885
TP: Expecting break of lower trendline → 3,79x – 3,76x
🟢 Buy Scalping Scenario:
Entry: 3,794
SL: 3,785
TP: 3,820 → 3,835 → 3,855 → 3,876 → 3,890
🟢 Deep Buy Zone Scenario:
Entry: 3,760
SL: 3,750
TP: 3,782 → 3,795 → 3,810 → 3,825
📊 General Outlook
Main Trend: Gold remains in an upward channel, but buying strength is waning and the risk of a breakdown is present.
European Session: Slow fluctuations, prone to “whipsaw” → prioritise short-term scalping.
US Session: NFP news might create strong waves, breaking the price channel → traders need to closely monitor reactions around 3,794 and 3,760 to decide on the next buy or sell move.
📌 Conclusion: Before NFP, gold remains in an upward channel but technical factors suggest a possible correction. Sensible strategy: Short sell at 3,874–3,876, or buy around support 3,794 – 3,760 depending on price action. Manage capital tightly, as the US session will determine the next major direction.
Follow my journey as I share trading experiences with you.
XAUUSD – Prioritise Sell After Breaking Trendline
Hello Traders,
Gold has experienced a strong upward movement for several consecutive days, but currently, the market is showing significant reversal signals. The upward trendline on H4 has been broken, confirming the weakening buying momentum. In the medium term, the preferred scenario will be selling rather than continuing to chase buys.
Basic Context
The US Treasury has just repurchased an additional 2 billion USD in bonds, raising the total repurchase this week to 4.9 billion USD. This move indicates an effort to stabilise the bond market but also reflects significant pressure on the USD and the US financial situation.
In the short term, the injection of additional bond liquidity makes gold's movement more unpredictable, and the trendline break at this time is an important warning signal.
Technical Perspective
Breaking the upward trendline → confirms a structural change.
MACD signals weakening, with buyers losing clear strength.
The 3865 – 3868 zone is a beautiful resistance retest point to Sell.
If the price falls deeply, the support zones around 3830 – 3810 – 3790 will be the next targets.
Today's Trading Scenario
Sell (main priority):
Entry: 3865 – 3868
SL: 3875
TP: 3855 – 3832 – 3810 – 3790
Buy Scalping (counter-trend – high risk):
Entry: 3803 – 3805
SL: 3795
TP: 3822 – 3835 – 3850
Conclusion
Gold has broken the trendline, prioritising Sell in the short and medium term.
News from the US bond market further emphasises the risk of instability, making counter-trend Buy moves suitable only for short-term Scalping.
Follow me for the earliest updates on scenarios as price paths change.
LiamTrading – INTRADAY TRADING SCENARIO
When we look at the global financial landscape, an interesting picture emerges:
Equities – All Time High (ATH)
Housing Prices – ATH
Bitcoin – ATH
Gold – ATH
Money Supply – ATH
National Debt – ATH
CPI Inflation – averaging 4% per year since 2020, double the Fed’s “target”
Federal Reserve – continuing rate cuts this month
Clearly, easy money combined with inflationary pressure is a powerful driver pushing gold to new historical levels. This makes buying with the trend more reasonable than ever.
📊 Technical Analysis – H1 Chart
Gold is moving within a well-defined upward channel.
Volume Profile highlights the POC around 3840–3850, a key zone to watch for scalping buys.
The VAL coincides with the rising trendline near 3820–3822, offering strong confluence for medium-term buys.
If price breaks above 3895 to confirm a new ATH, trend-following buys remain the priority.
Key resistance: 3913–3915, suitable for short-term scalping sells.
🎯 Trading Scenarios
Buy scalping: 3845 | SL 3839 | TP 3856 – 3870
Buy zone (main): 3820 – 3822 | SL 3816 | TP 3832 – 3845 – 3860 – 3875 – 3890
Sell scalping: 3915 – 3913 | SL 3920 | TP 3900 – 3885 – 3872 – 3860
Buy breakout: If price breaks ATH 3895 and confirms, continue buying with the trend → Open targets towards 3915+
📌 Conclusion
Gold remains in a strong uptrend, both fundamentally and technically. Short-term pullbacks are simply opportunities to add to buy positions. However, traders should watch the immediate resistance zones to optimise entries.
👉 This is my personal outlook on XAUUSD, not financial advice.
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USOIL is in a critical zoneHello,
USOIL is currently at a major support level that has held for the past 2 months. There are two possible scenarios: either the support holds and USOIL bounces back toward the resistance at $66, or the support breaks and the price moves down to the next level at $60,
Ibrouri Abdessamad
XAUUSD – WOLFE WAVE CONTINUES, PRIORITISE BUYING
Hello trader 👋
On 02/10, we begin with the continuation scenario of the Wolfe Wave pattern. In yesterday's session, gold prices followed the upward rhythm of the pattern, but the decline at the upper line was not truly effective. Today, the market is forming a new price channel with a wider range, opening opportunities for both buy and sell orders during the session.
Regarding fundamentals, geopolitical tensions between Russia and France are escalating, while safe-haven flows continue to pour into gold. Long-term analyses suggest the $4,000 mark is entirely feasible, although there are still technical fluctuations in the near term.
⚖️ Today's trading scenarios
🟢 Buy Scenario (prioritise following the main trend):
Entry: 3,863 – 3,865
SL: 3,857
TP: 3,880 → 3,895 → 3,910 → 3,920
👉 You can enter at the current zone, or wait for a breakout confirmation above 3,871 to increase winning probability.
🔴 Sell Scalping Scenario (short-term):
Entry: 3,885
SL: 3,891
TP: Short around 3,870 (depending on price reaction)
👉 Suitable for quick scalping traders at the upper edge of the channel.
🔴 Wolfe Wave Sell Scenario (wide range):
Entry: 3,925 – 3,927
SL: 3,935
TP: Long-term expectation according to the Wolfe pattern, can be managed by closing 50% at 3R profit level, letting the rest ride the trend.
📊 General Outlook
The main trend remains bullish, buying continues to be the priority strategy.
Sell orders should only be considered as short-term opportunities at the upper range, or when the price tests strong resistance.
Volatility may increase during the day due to political news, so risk management needs to be tight.
📌 Conclusion: Gold is following the Wolfe Wave pattern with an expanding price channel. Buying at support – short selling at resistance is the suitable strategy for the day. Long-term investors can continue to expect the $3,950 – $4,000 mark in the upcoming cycle.
(XAU/USD) – Gold likely to touch $4,000/oz: Ideal buying levels?1. Market Structure & Trend Outlook
On the H1 chart, gold is sustaining its bullish structure with higher highs and higher lows.
After the BoS (Break of Structure), price retraced near 3,862 Buy Zone and bounced upward.
At present, price trades above EMA34 and EMA89, keeping bullish bias intact.
2. Important Levels
Buy Zone: 3,862 – 3,865. Acts as short-term support. Holding above strengthens the bullish case.
OB1: 3,806 – 3,810. Next support in case Buy Zone breaks.
OB2: 3,763 – 3,770. Deeper support, triggered only if market corrects heavily.
Sell Scalping Zone (Fibo): 3,912. A short-term resistance, profit booking expected.
Sell Zone / ATH: 3,933 – 3,935. Breakout here may lead to fresh record highs.
3. Trade Setups
Bullish Setup: Buy on retest of 3,862 – 3,865.
SL: Below 3,850.
TP1: 3,912.
TP2: 3,933 – 3,935.
Bearish Setup (Defensive): If below 3,860, expect test of 3,806 – 3,810.
If this fails, price may decline towards 3,763 – 3,770.
4. Conclusion
Trend remains positive on H1. Best strategy: Buy on dips near support, manage SLs carefully, and book partial profits near resistances. Sustaining above 3,933 may open doors for new highs.
XAUUSD – Maintaining the Core Uptrend (BUY Bias)
Hello traders,
On the H4 timeframe, gold continues to show a steady upward trend. After testing the upper trendline, price bounced back and is now consolidating around the 386x region. This suggests the market may be in an accumulation phase, awaiting major news.
Fundamental Context
Tomorrow, the market will look towards the release of the Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) data, an event that often brings strong volatility to gold prices.
In addition, concerns around the potential US Government shutdown are adding to the macro uncertainty, further supporting gold’s safe-haven appeal.
At present, there is little evidence to suggest gold will decline, particularly when other markets are also breaking higher.
Technical Analysis
Price continues to trade within the ascending channel on H4, with buyers holding the advantage.
MACD remains above the zero line, showing no clear signs of weakness.
Price is likely to consolidate further in the 3860 – 3870 range before a sharp move triggered by news.
Trading Plan
Buy Setup (preferred – trend following)
Entry: 3829 – 3832
SL: 3825
TP: 3845 – 3862 – 3877 – 3890
Sell Scalping (counter-trend, higher risk)
Entry: 3927 – 3930
SL: 3934
TP: 3915 – 3900 – 3882 – 3865
Note: Sell setups should be treated only as short-term scalps, as the primary bias remains on the buy side.
Conclusion
Gold is holding firmly within the uptrend structure, with no significant weakness yet. Given the backdrop of political uncertainty and the upcoming NFP release, the priority remains buying at suitable support zones. Any sell trades should be viewed as quick reactions rather than core positions.
👉 Follow me to get the latest updates as soon as price structure changes.
GOLD H1 – THE WOLF WAVE SCENARIO IS FORMINGHello trader 👋
Gold has surged back strongly after a nearly 70-point drop yesterday. Currently, the price is fluctuating around the newly established ATH, with the potential to extend short-term targets towards 3,960 – 4,000 if the upward trend continues to hold.
On the H1 chart, the price structure indicates the possibility of forming a Wolfe Wave pattern. This will be the main reference frame for trading throughout the day, capitalising on the oscillation range within the pattern.
⚖️ Short-term Trading Strategy
🟢 Buy Scenario (priority in line with the main trend):
Entry: 3,852 – 3,854
SL: 3,847
TP: 3,865 → 3,878 → 3,890
👉 Trend-following trade, suitable for holding positions and maximising profits.
🔴 Sell Scenario (scalping at the upper boundary):
Entry: 3,877 – 3,879
SL: 3,884
TP: 3,865 → 3,850 → 3,838
👉 Short-term sell order, only for wave-trading within the pattern boundary.
📊 General Outlook
Gold continues to be supported by the major upward trend, but the H1 range suggests there might be some tug-of-war within the Wolfe Wave.
Buying positions remain a priority for the day, as they align with the trend and allow for more effective order management.
Traders need to closely monitor price action at the upper and lower boundaries to make flexible decisions.
💡 News Factors to Note
In the next hour, the market will focus on political news from the US, especially the potential US Government shutdown. This could be a catalyst causing more significant gold volatility during the session.
📌 Conclusion: Day trading prioritises Buying at support zones – Selling scalps at the upper boundary within the H1 Wolfe Wave pattern. Tight capital management and clear SL to mitigate risks. I will continue to update new scenarios for you – stay tuned to not miss out 🚀.
XAUUSD – US Government Shutdown Pressure on Gold
Hello Traders,
For the first time since 2018, the US Government is facing the risk of a shutdown. This can only be avoided if Congress passes new funding legislation, but the timing remains uncertain. This political backdrop is exerting strong pressure on the financial markets, and gold – the traditional safe haven asset – has become the focal point for investors.
Technical Outlook
Gold continues to set new ATHs right in the Asian session today, indicating the uptrend remains intact.
The upward price channel on H4 maintains a beautiful structure, with the main trend continuing to favour buying.
Yesterday's dip was merely a "liquidity sweep," after which the price quickly returned to its upward momentum.
Short positions can be considered when the price hits strong resistance, combining Fibonacci + Trendline, to optimise winning probabilities.
Trading Scenario
Sell (short-term at resistance):
Entry: 3884 – 3886
SL: 3890
TP: 3872 – 3860 – 3845 – 3830
Buy (aligning with the main trend):
Entry: 3820 – 3823
SL: 3816
TP: 3835 – 3850 – 3862 – 3880
Conclusion
Gold remains strongly supported by the political instability in the US.
The medium-term strategy continues to prioritise Buying at support zones, while Selling should only be considered when there is a clear reaction at resistance zones.
Traders need to closely monitor political news, as any developments related to the US government could alter the short-term structure of gold.
Follow me for the quickest updates on new scenarios as the price path changes.
LiamTrading – Follow the Buy trend, target ATH 3915
The gold market continues to demonstrate the strength of an upward trend. After yesterday's shakeout, we witnessed a very clear Long Squeeze: all buying forces were forced to exit, but immediately after, the price quickly rebounded. This is the hallmark of a strong trend – the more it shakes out, the more momentum it creates for a new peak.
Today's perspective:
Continue to follow Buy, do not SELL against the trend.
The Buy position from 3797 is still being held, if the price returns to retest, we will continue to add orders.
Prioritise observing the POC of the Volume Profile to place Buy orders; if the price adjusts deeper, the VAL area coinciding with the rising trendline will be an extremely safe buying point.
Trading scenario
Buy 3847–3844, SL 3840, TP 3868 – 3880 – 3900 – 3915
Buy 3821–3819, SL 3814, TP 3835 – 3850 – 3868 – open
In summary: The upward trend remains extremely strong, the short-term target is ATH 3915. Stick to the trend, prioritise Buy to maximise profits.
This is my personal view on XAUUSD. Please follow the scenario and stay tuned for my updates.