LiamTrading – XAUUSD H1LiamTrading – XAUUSD H1: Adjustment structure formed, awaiting confirmation below 3685
After the surge to 375x, gold is entering a correction phase in line with the structural pattern. On H1, the price clings to the upper edge of the rising wedge, with RSI cooling off from overbought levels, indicating that supply pressure is starting to dominate. Today's plan focuses on the adjustment structure, prioritising selling upon confirmation signals.
Key price zones (as per the attached chart)
Sell strong resistance 3775–3785: confluence of channel top + 2.618 extension. Look for weakening reactions to initiate short/medium-term sell orders.
Buy zone volume 3726–3720: a thin support area providing momentum for a rebound. Holding this zone could push the price to retest 3750–3775; conversely, losing 3720 may lead to a deeper decline.
Resistance + FVG 3715–3698: as the price drops, this area turns into supply; a failed retest here is an early signal for further decline.
Confirm sell 3688–3685: closing H1 below this zone confirms a short-term downtrend, targeting a lower buy zone.
BuyZone 3652–3646: confluence of channel bottom + old liquidity, expecting a strong bullish reaction if revisited.
Reference trading scenarios (adhering to risk management)
Sell reaction at peak: 3778–3783, SL 3792, TP 3755 → 3738 → 3722.
Sell on confirmation: wait for H1 to close below 3685, enter sell 3684–3682, SL 3696, TP 3673 → 3656 → 3648.
Buy scalp by volume: 3726–3720, SL 3715, TP 3738 → 3750 (only short-term if the larger structure remains corrective).
Buy swing at strong zone: 3652–3646, SL 3639, TP 3673 → 3698 → 3712 → 3740.
Operational notes
Prioritise waiting for rejection/closing signals at the mentioned zones; avoid chasing orders in between.
Order volume should be allocated according to confirmation levels (confirmation zone < breakdown < failed retest).
Avoid excessive leverage; adjust SL according to structure when in profit.
This is a personal perspective, not an investment recommendation. If you want the quickest updates on the next XAUUSD scenarios, follow me and join my community for discussions.
Techincalanalysis
XAUUSD 09/24 – Scenario after the Fed's Key SpeechHello everyone,
Gold continues its upward momentum in recent sessions. Yesterday, the price touched the 1.618 Fibonacci level on the H4 chart and then declined, indicating a slight rejection right after the PMI news.
Technical Perspective
The Wolfe Waves structure remains intact, not yet broken.
If the price returns inside the trendline, the signal confirming the Wolfe pattern will become clearer.
Current key resistance area: 3790 – 3825, coinciding with Fibonacci 361.8.
Noteworthy short-term support area: 3650 – 3647.
Fundamental Perspective
In yesterday's speech, Chairman Powell emphasised: “If monetary policy is eased too quickly, efforts to curb inflation will fail.”
This indicates that the Fed continues to prioritise price stability over the market's expectations for rate cuts. This is a factor to consider when trading gold in the current phase.
Today's Trading Scenario
Sell Setup
Entry: 3825 – 3827
SL: 3833
TP: 3810 – 3790 – 3768 – 3755
Buy Setup
Entry: 3650 – 3647
SL: 3642
TP: 3672 – 3688 – 3695 – 3710 – 3750
Summary
In the short term, gold is in a correction phase after hitting resistance. Prioritise observing signals around 3790 – 3825 to find Sell opportunities, while 3650 is a notable buying point for a recovery scenario.
This is today's XAUUSD trading scenario according to the Wolfe Waves model. You can refer to and adjust according to your personal strategy.
Follow me for the latest analyses as the market changes.
Wishing you successful trading!
STEVEN XAUUSD – Buy Scenario Aligned with the TrendTechnical Analysis
Gold continues its strong upward trend after breaking out from the previous accumulation zone. Currently, the price has tested the 3,742–3,744 range and is showing signs of pausing for a short-term correction.
The EMA200 H1 (3,662) remains upward sloping, confirming that the main uptrend is intact.
Fibonacci Retracement for the latest upward move:
The 0.786 level (3,738) coincides with the Volume Profile area – this is the first support for the short-term buy scenario.
The 0.618 level (3,707) coincides with the old resistance now turned support – a strong confluence, suitable for finding the main Buy point.
The RSI (14) is around 63–65, not yet in the overbought zone, indicating there is still room for an increase.
Trading Scenario
Buy aligned with the trend
Entry 1: 3,738–3,740
SL: 3,730
TP: 3,750 – 3,760
Entry 2: 3,707–3,710
SL: 3,695
TP: 3,738 – 3,760 – 3,780
Price Levels to Watch
3,742–3,744: short-term resistance, may cause adjustments.
3,738–3,740: nearby support, suitable for quick Buy.
3,707–3,710: strong support, important Buy zone.
3,780–3,785: extended resistance, target of the upward trend.
This is a reference scenario, not an investment recommendation. Stay tuned for earlier analyses and scenarios in upcoming sessions.
XAUUSD – Wolfe Waves forming on H4 chart, clear correction signaHello Trader,
On the H4 chart, gold is forming a quite standard Wolfe Waves pattern. The 5th wave has completed, and the price is moving into the crucial resistance zone of 3760 – 3770, which is also a potential Sell Zone. Given the current structure, the preferred scenario is a short-term downward correction before the main trend resumes.
Technical Analysis
The price has touched the 2.618 Fibonacci Extension and reacted with a decline, indicating profit-taking pressure.
The MACD still shows the previous buying force was quite strong, but the histogram is starting to weaken, aligning with the possibility of a correction wave emerging.
Area 3760 – 3770: a critical resistance zone, also coinciding with the 5th wave line of Wolfe Waves.
Trading Scenario
Sell order according to Wolfe Waves
Entry: 3760 – 3770
SL: 3782 (above resistance zone)
TP: 3710 -3660 -3610 – 3620 (key level Wolfe target)
Sell when price confirms below trendline
Entry 3727-3730
sl 3735
tp 3715-3700-3686-3665
Short-term Buy Scalping
Entry: 3705 – 3708
SL: 3700
TP: 3720-3730 – 3745- 3766
Note: This is just a short-term retracement strategy, going against the correction, so risk management is crucial.
Conclusion
Short-term: Prioritise observing reversal signals at 3760 – 3770 to Sell.
Medium-term: Wait for Buy opportunities around 3564 – 3574 to align with the main trend.
The market is entering a distribution and correction phase, so patiently waiting for candle confirmations at key zones will be key to optimising entry.
This is the Wolfe Waves scenario I propose for gold during this period. You can refer to and adjust according to your own strategy.
Follow me for the fastest updates when the price structure changes.
XAUUSD – Strategic Selling Zone and Detailed Trading ScenarioTechnical Analysis
Gold (XAUUSD) is experiencing a strong upward trend and has now reached the Fibonacci extension zone of 1.618 – 2.618, a region often associated with profit-taking and short-term distribution.
Sell Zone Fibo 2.618 (3,730–3,735): The first potential supply area, if a bearish confirmation candle appears on H1/H4, a corrective phase is likely to commence.
Sell Zone Swing (3,745–3,750): A strong supply zone confluencing with multiple Fibonacci extensions, posing a higher reversal risk.
Short-term Buy Zone (3,690–3,700): An intermediate support area after breaking the previous peak, suitable for short-term buy orders if the price retests and confirms.
Buy Swing (3,645–3,650): The main support zone, confluencing with EMA200 H1 and an old trendline, considered a 'safe buying point' if a deep correction occurs.
The RSI (14) is currently at 77, indicating that the price has entered the overbought territory. Historically, whenever the RSI exceeds 75, a significant correction follows. This serves as a warning signal for traders to consider gradually taking profits on short-term Buy positions and preparing for Sell or Buy scenarios at lower price levels.
Trading Scenario
Scenario 1 – Sell at Supply Zone:
Entry: 3,732–3,735 (Fibo 2.618) or extend to 3,745–3,750 (Sell Zone Swing)
SL: above 3,740
TP1: 3,707
TP2: 3,690–3,700 (Buy Zone)
TP3: 3,661
TP4: 3,645
Scenario 2 – Short-term Buy (regression scalping):
Entry: 3,670–3,700 (after H1 confirmation candle)
SL: below 3,690
TP1: 3,718
TP2: 3,730
Scenario 3 – Long-term Buy Swing:
Entry: 3,645–3,648 (EMA200 + main support zone)
SL: below 3,640
TP1: 3,690
TP2: 3,707
TP3: 3,730
Price Levels to Watch
3,730–3,750: The strongest current supply zone, suitable for a Sell scenario based on Fibonacci extensions.
3,690–3,700: Short-term Buy Zone, a crucial retest area to confirm the trend.
3,661: An intermediate level, if breached, could lead to a decline towards EMA200.
3,645: Potential Buy Swing, the main support of the upward structure.
Overall Assessment
The main trend on H1 remains upward; however, the current price level has entered the overbought zone, indicating a likely correction towards support before continuing the trend.
The most suitable strategy at this time: Monitor for short-term Sell opportunities at the supply zone – take profits at the support zone, then wait for Buy Swing at lower levels to follow the main trend.
LiamTrading – XAUUSD Trading Scenario for TodayGold continues its robust upward momentum and is now approaching the critical resistance zone around 3,697 – 3,700. This is a confluence point with the Fibonacci extension level and also a zone where sellers might re-enter strongly.
Technical Analysis
On the H1 chart, the price has tested the resistance zone multiple times but hasn't broken through decisively. This indicates that profit-taking pressure is emerging.
The sell confirmation zone will form if the price breaks below 3,685 – 3,686, at which point the correction target could be around 3,673.
The main Buy Zone is located at 3,650 – 3,645, coinciding with previous support and a strong liquidity area. This is a region where a price increase reaction is likely.
Further down, the 3,628 – 3,630 zone is considered solid support on the larger frame, and if retested, it will be a long-term buying opportunity.
Conversely, if the price decisively surpasses the strong resistance zone of 3,720 – 3,730, the upward trend will be confirmed to continue, opening up higher targets around 3,750+.
Trading Plan Reference
Short-term sell around 3,697 – 3,700, SL 3,707, TP 3,686 – 3,673.
Short-term buy around 3,650 – 3,645, SL 3,640, TP 3,673 – 3,690.
Long-term buy around 3,628 – 3,630, SL 3,620, TP 3,660 – 3,690 – 3,720.
These are my personal views on XAUUSD, and you can use them as a reference to build your own plan. If you find this useful, follow me for the latest updates on new gold trading scenarios.
LiamTrading – XAUUSD Trading Scenario for TodayGold continues its robust upward momentum and is now approaching the critical resistance zone around 3,697 – 3,700. This is a confluence point with the Fibonacci extension level and also a zone where sellers might re-enter strongly.
Technical Analysis
On the H1 chart, the price has tested the resistance zone multiple times but hasn't broken through decisively. This indicates that profit-taking pressure is emerging.
The sell confirmation zone will form if the price breaks below 3,685 – 3,686, at which point the correction target could be around 3,673.
The main Buy Zone is located at 3,650 – 3,645, coinciding with previous support and a strong liquidity area. This is a region where a price increase reaction is likely.
Further down, the 3,628 – 3,630 zone is considered solid support on the larger frame, and if retested, it will be a long-term buying opportunity.
Conversely, if the price decisively surpasses the strong resistance zone of 3,720 – 3,730, the upward trend will be confirmed to continue, opening up higher targets around 3,750+.
Trading Plan Reference
Short-term sell around 3,697 – 3,700, SL 3,707, TP 3,686 – 3,673.
Short-term buy around 3,650 – 3,645, SL 3,640, TP 3,673 – 3,690.
Long-term buy around 3,628 – 3,630, SL 3,620, TP 3,660 – 3,690 – 3,720.
These are my personal views on XAUUSD, and you can use them as a reference to build your own plan. If you find this useful, follow me for the latest updates on new gold trading scenarios.
XAUUSD – Daily Trading Plan
Hello Traders,
Gold opened the Asian session holding its price structure firmly. The 3708 level will be the key pivot today:
If price sustains above this level, the next upside targets are 3750 and possibly 3780.
If price reacts lower at 3708 resistance, then 3650 or even 355x could be the zones to watch for buying opportunities.
Fundamental Context
Last week’s correction was triggered by comments from the Fed Chair on interest rate policy. The Fed does not intend to cut rates too frequently, and this week’s PCE data will play a decisive role in shaping the outlook.
Trading Strategy for Today
Buy Setup
Entry: 3650 – 3653
SL: 3645
TP: 3662 – 3675 – 3690 – 3706 – 3725
Sell Setup 1
Entry: 3700 – 3703
SL: 3708
TP: 3690 – 3675 – 3662 – 3650 – 3633
Sell Setup 2
Entry: 3738 – 3740
SL: 3746
TP: 3725 – 3710 – 3700 – 3675 – 3650
Summary
The preferred bias for today is to look for buy opportunities on dips, in line with the broader uptrend.
Follow me to receive the latest updates as soon as market structure changes
LAURUSLABS - Bullish Trend Intact; Watch for Break Above 9501. Executive Summary
Laurus Labs is in a strong bullish momentum phase, trading well above its key Exponential Moving Average (EMA). The stock faces a decisive resistance at 950. A breakout above this level could signal the next leg up, while the trend remains supported on any pullback towards the 856-917 zone. The high RSI suggests caution for immediate entries; prefer buying on dips.
2. Key Technical Observations:
Price Action: The stock closed positively at 932.10 (+0.96%), near the day's high of 944, indicating strong buying interest at lower levels.
Trend Analysis: The price is trading significantly above the EMA (856.88), confirming a robust medium-term UPTREND.
Momentum (RSI): The RSI is at 74.73, indicating the stock is in OVERBOUGHT territory. This suggests the possibility of a short-term consolidation or pullback before the next potential move higher.
Key Levels:
Resistance: 950 (Immediate & Crucial)
Support: 917 (Today's Low) -> 856 (EMA & Strong Trend Support)
3. Trading Plan:
Bullish Scenario (Primary Bias):
Entry Trigger 1 (Aggressive): A breakout and sustained close above 950 with high volume.
Entry Trigger 2 (Conservative): A pullback towards the support zone between 917 - 870 (ideally near the 856 EMA) for a better risk-reward entry.
Stop-Loss: Below 850 (A break below the EMA would invalidate the bullish structure).
Target 1: 1000
Target 2: 1025 - 1050
Bearish Scenario (Caution Signal):
A break below the 856 EMA support could lead to a deeper correction towards 800.
This is not the primary expectation but a key level to watch for risk management.
XAUUSD – The Decisive Zone and Trading ScenariosTechnical Analysis
Gold prices on the H4 chart are in a recovery phase after retesting the support at 3,661–3,662. The latest candle has rebounded strongly to the 3,684 zone, yet the structure still indicates a clear tug-of-war.
The upward trendline was breached in the previous decline, and currently, the price is retracing to test this area again. This is a crucial point to determine whether the short-term uptrend will continue.
The Fair Value Gap (FVG) formed around the 3,613–3,626 zone, along with the Fibonacci extension, becomes a point of interest for deeper pullbacks.
The Volume Profile indicates the main Point of Control (POC) lies lower, around 3,551, a potential target for gold to revisit if selling pressure increases.
The RSI (14) is at ~59, leaning towards the buyers but hasn't crossed into the overbought territory → the current momentum is more of a recovery rather than a sustainable uptrend.
Trading Scenarios
Scenario 1 – Buy following the short-term trend:
Entry: wait for a retest at 3,673–3,662
SL: below 3,655
TP1: 3,690–3,700
TP2: 3,708–3,715 (2.0–2.618 Fib extension)
Scenario 2 – Short sell after confirmed failure:
If the price fails to hold above 3,661 and there is a reversal signal on H4, consider selling.
Entry: 3,661–3,650 (after confirmation candle)
SL: above 3,673
TP1: 3,626–3,613 (FVG + support)
TP2: 3,579
TP3: 3,551 (POC Volume Profile)
Key Price Levels to Watch
3,708–3,715: extended resistance zone, Fibonacci confluence, important target for buyers.
3,661–3,662: short-term support, the boundary to determine the next trend.
3,613–3,626: FVG + intermediate support, a zone prone to reactions.
3,551: volume POC, a deeper target if the market breaks all support.
I will apply the long-term trading scenario in the new week, give me a follow for motivation to write more!
LiamTrading – Long-Term Trend for XAUUSD is Taking ShapeGold continues its robust upward momentum, currently trading around 3,680 – 3,685. After a series of consecutive bullish candles, the price is showing signs of consolidation and slight adjustment, paving the way for crucial scenarios in the upcoming phase.
Technical Analysis
On the Daily chart, the RSI has surpassed the 70 mark, indicating an overbought condition. This is often an early warning sign for a potential correction.
The price structure suggests that the FVG zone of 3,630 – 3,600 will be the first observation point if a short-term correction occurs.
A stronger support zone lies at 3,510 – 3,475, coinciding with Fibonacci levels 0.5 – 0.382, and also the previous resistance area that has been broken. This is considered a potential long-term 'Buy zone'.
If the correction completes, gold has the potential to return to its upward trend with a further target around 3,800 (Fibonacci extension levels 2.618 – 3.618).
Trading Scenarios
Short-term: Monitor the reaction at 3,630 – 3,600. If it holds, there might be a short recovery.
The price area around 3552-3562 should be watched for reactions.
Medium-term: Wait for the price to test the 3,500 – 3,475 zone to find more sustainable buying opportunities.
Long-term: The major trend still leans towards an increase, with an expected target towards 3,800.
This is my personal view on XAUUSD, and you can consider it to build your own plan. If you find it useful, follow me for the latest updates on gold's upcoming scenarios.
XAUUSD – Strong Resistance at 3760–3770 Await ConfirmationHello trader,
Gold continues to fluctuate within the accumulation zone after the recent recovery. Although the larger trend leans towards an increase, a clear confirmation at key resistance-support levels is needed for a stronger breakout.
Strong Resistance: 3760 – 3770, converging with the Fibonacci extension zone. This is a crucial level if the price aims to create a new ATH in the mid-term.
Key level Sell: 3685 – 3695, currently a short-term resistance zone. If the price fails to break through, gold may face downward pressure.
Important Support:
3564 – 3574: mid-term support.
3534 – 3540: deep support zone, aligning with previous liquidity.
MACD H4: Histogram remains weak, momentum is unclear → the market needs further confirmation to clearly define the trend.
Trading Scenario
Bullish Scenario
Condition: Price breaks above 3695 and holds.
Entry: Retest 3665 – 3668.
Target: 3680-3698-3715-3730 – 3760 – 3770.
Extension: If successfully surpassing 3770 → expect a move towards 3800+.
Bearish Scenario
Condition: Price fails at 3695 and reverses.
Entry: Sell at 3685 – 3695 zone upon rejection signal.
Target: 3672-3655-3635 – 3600 – 3574.
Extension: If breaking 3574, the decline may target 3540, or even deeper.
Mid-term Scenario
Price may retest 3534 – 3550 to gather liquidity, then rebound following the larger trend. This will be an attractive long-term Buy zone.
The gold market is at a crucial stage: buyers need to break 3695 to confirm the uptrend, while sellers still have opportunities at the short-term resistance zone. Deep support levels will continue to serve as a foundation for mid-term Buy strategies.
Keep a close watch on 3695 and 3760 – 3770 to determine the next direction.
Stay tuned for the latest scenarios as the price structure evolves.
Gold Hits New Record: Should You Buy or Sell in This Hot Market?Namaste traders,
This past week, gold surprised everyone by closing strong. On Friday (19/09), it moved higher again, marking its 5th consecutive weekly gain at $3,683.24/oz, while futures touched $3,718.50/oz. This surge followed the Fed’s rate cut, which many thought would cool the yellow metal. So, is this a genuine rally or just a bull trap?
Fundamentals: Rate Cut Pushes Gold Higher
Lower interest rates reduce the cost of holding gold.
Fed’s dovish signals raised expectations for more easing.
In India, physical gold demand is at a 10-month high, while China also shows strong appetite despite higher prices.
Technical Outlook
Gold broke its downward trendline, signaling bullish continuation. Buyers are in control.
This Week’s View: Focus on buying near-term targets at $372x and $373x, but stay alert to macro news.
Trading Setups (with strict risk management):
Buy Scalp: $3671–$3669 | SL: $3666 | TP: $3674–$3694
Buy Zone: $3657–$3659 | SL: $3647 | TP: $3669–$3709
Sell Scalp: $3713–$3715 | SL: $3719 | TP: $3705–$3785
Sell Zone: $3731–$3733 | SL: $3741 | TP: $3723–$3683
Will gold shine brighter and set another all-time high? Share your view! 👇
XAUUSD – Correction Target on H4Technical Analysis
After reacting at the Sell Zone – FVG around 3,670, Gold could not sustain the upward momentum and is now showing signs of weakness. The H4 structure indicates that the correction phase is extending, with price likely to retest key support areas below.
On the chart, the support zones at 3,633–3,632 and 3,626 are acting as intermediate levels. If these zones fail to hold, selling pressure may push price deeper towards 3,614–3,612, before testing the major support confluence with Fibonacci extension and the potential Buy Zone at 3,579–3,560.
The RSI is currently hovering around 45–50, suggesting momentum is tilted towards a corrective move rather than a strong uptrend.
Trading Scenarios
SELL Setup (preferred):
Entry: on a retest of the 3,665–3,670 Sell Zone
SL: above 3,675
Targets: 3,633–3,632-3,626-3,614–3,612-3,579–3,560
BUY Setup (short-term / scalping):
Entry: consider buys around 3,626–3,625 support
SL: below 3,618
Targets:3,633-3,645-3,650
Key Levels to Watch
3,670: Sell Zone – confluence with FVG post-FOMC.
3,633–3,626: Short-term support; a break below confirms extended bearish pressure.
3,612: Key level for deciding near-term direction.
3,579–3,560: Potential Buy Zone and main corrective target on H4.
Traders may keep these levels on watch and align positions accordingly. Follow for quicker access to future updates.
XAUUSD –Today’s Trading Outlook | Sell Fill Liquidity & Buy Zone
Hello traders,
In the recent sessions, gold has continued to show strong volatility around important liquidity zones and support–resistance levels. The current structure indicates that sellers remain in control in the short term, while buyers are expected to return only if price reaches deeper support areas.
Technical View
Main Resistance: 3670 – 3680, aligning with the FVG zone → key area for Sell to Fill Liquidity.
Short-term Support: 3630 – 3627. A break below could open the way for a deeper decline.
Buy Scalping Zones: 3613 – 3615 and 3595 – 3598, suitable for quick intraday longs.
Medium-term Buy Zone: 3600 – 3590, confluence with strong liquidity zone and major support.
MACD Indicator: leaning bearish, with a negative histogram, showing selling pressure still dominant.
Trading Scenarios
Sell Setup (priority)
Sell Liquidity Zone: 3670 – 3680
SL: 3685
TP: 3650 – 3635 – 3627 – 3615 – 3600
Buy Scalping
Buy Zone 1: 3613 – 3615 | SL: 3608 | TP: 3625 – 3638 – 3645
Buy Zone 2: 3595 – 3598 | SL: 3590 | TP: 3610 – 3625 – 3638 – 3645 – 3670
Medium-term Buy
Zone: 3600 – 3590
SL: 3584
Extended TP: 3633 – 3660 – 3675
Conclusion
In the short term, gold is likely to retest the upper liquidity zone before continuing with further declines. Sellers remain in control for now, but deeper support zones will provide potential entry levels for medium-term buyers.
Keep a close watch on these key levels and align your trades with your personal strategy.
Follow along to get the earliest updates whenever market structure changes.
XAUUSD – Main Trend: SELL for TodayXAUUSD – Main Trend: SELL for Today
Technical View
In yesterday’s session, Gold reacted three times around the 363x zone but could not break it decisively. This shows the support here is still important, yet selling pressure has been quite strong and continuous.
This morning, the bounce almost absorbed the liquidity of the earlier H1 bearish candle, and price is now in a short-term pullback. The POC from the Volume Profile of the accumulation area has not been fully tested, so there is high probability that price will come back to check that zone before moving with the broader trend.
Overall, considering the technical factors, the main bias for today remains SELL, especially when price approaches key supply zones.
Trade Set-ups
SELL (preferred):
Entry: 3667–3670
SL: 3675
TP1: 3655
TP2: 3640
TP3: 3626
TP4: 3610
BUY (short-term counter move):
Entry: 3613–3615
SL: 3608
TP1: 3625
TP2: 3633
TP3: 3645
TP4: 3660
Key Price Levels
3670: Crucial resistance, aligned with POC – SELL bias is preferred here.
363x: Strong support, tested many times; if it breaks, downside pressure may get stronger.
3610–3615: Demand zone, could give a small pullback.
XAUUSD – Medium-Term Outlook After Fed Rate CutXAUUSD – Medium-Term Outlook After Fed Rate Cut
Hello fellow traders,
The most anticipated event of September is now clear: the Federal Reserve has cut interest rates by 25 basis points, the first reduction this year. Market expectations also indicate the possibility of another 50 basis points cut in the upcoming meeting. In his speech, Chairman Powell highlighted the “dual risk” – inflation could rise further while employment shows signs of weakness.
Technical View
Gold has formed an H1 candle closing below the rising price channel, signalling a possible violation of the medium-term uptrend.
The buying side failed to maintain momentum after the rate cut news, showing caution in entering at elevated price levels.
Medium-term investors may consider waiting for a lower price to enter fresh longs.
However, the downside is not fully confirmed, as price is still hovering around the ascending trendline → selling directly at current levels still carries certain risks.
Trading Scenarios
Sell Strategy
Scalping: 3676 – 3678 | SL: 3683 | TP: 3666 – 3650 – 3635 – 3628
(Stop loss can be moved to breakeven if price reacts well, to hold positions longer).
Sell Zone: 3697 – 3700 | SL: 3705 | TP: 3680 – 3666 – 3650 – 3635 – 3628
Buy Strategy
Scalping: 3634 – 3636 | SL: 3629 | TP: 3645 – 3660 – 3672
Buy Zone: 3600 – 3598 | SL: 3590 | TP: 3633 – 3645 – 3660 – 3675 (extended)
Conclusion
Gold is currently in a sensitive phase after the Fed’s decision to cut rates. Traders must watch price action carefully around major support and resistance levels to confirm a clearer direction.
Stay tuned to this outlook — I will continue to provide updates as the market structure evolves. Follow along to receive the fastest scenario changes as price action develops.
EMA Scalper 5-Quick Trend Catcher🔎 Intro / Overview
This idea uses a single EMA (Length 5) as a trend confirmation tool.
- When price stays below EMA (no touch), it signals bullish continuation.
- When price stays above EMA (no touch), it signals bearish continuation.
If price stretches too far from EMA, expect a possible pullback toward the line.
This EMA Scalping Strategy focuses on quick entries and exits 🎯.
- Best suited for intraday scalping where small, quick moves are captured. ⚡
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📌 How to Use
- In a downtrend , when price stays far below EMA(5) with no touch, then the next candle breaks the previous high → immediate Buy entry .
- In an uptrend , when price stays far above EMA(5) with no touch, then the next candle breaks the previous low → immediate Sell entry .
- EMA acts as a fast trend filter, confirming momentum while defining risk–reward levels.
- Once the signal is confirmed, entry is validated only if the next candle breaks the price level — otherwise, the signal is devalidated.
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🎯 Trading Plan
- Entry → When the next candle breaks the previous candle’s high , enter long (for immediate Buy).
- Stoploss → Swing Low for Buy / Swing High for Sell.
- Target → 1R (equal to stop distance).
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📊 Chart Explanation
ADANIPORTS
1️⃣ Buy Signal →
- Entry @ 1323.15
- Stoploss @ 1301.40
- Target @ 1345.70 → 🎯 Target Hit
2️⃣ Sell Signal →
- Entry @ 1396.70
- Stoploss @ 1423.10
- Target @ 1470.10
Trade continue in live
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👀 Observation
- EMA(5) gives fast and responsive trend signals.
- Works best in strong trending markets.
- False signals may occur in choppy sideways markets — use structure confirmation.
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❗ Why It Matters?
- Provides clear Buy/Sell confirmation with less lag.
- Defines structured entry, SL, and TP rules.
- Simple, rule-based system to avoid emotional trading.
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🎯 Conclusion
The EMA(5) Signal Strategy is a simple yet effective way to confirm trend and capture moves.
By combining breakout entries with disciplined SL/TP, traders can maintain risk–reward balance and trail winners effectively.
🔥 Patterns don’t predict. Rules protect. 🚀
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⚠️ Disclaimer
📘 For educational purposes only.
🙅 Not SEBI registered.
❌ Not a buy/sell recommendation.
🧠 Purely a learning resource.
📊 Not Financial Advice.
FED countdown | Buy at support, Sell at resistanceXAU/USD – 17/09 | Captain Vincent ⚓
🔎 Captain’s Log – News Context
18/09, 01:00 (US time): FED rate decision + Dot Plot → policy outlook for upcoming meetings
01:30: Powell’s speech – the key market focus
Market consensus: FED almost certain to cut -25bps. However, the -50bps scenario still exists → if it happens, it will be a “big boost” for Gold
During Asia–Europe session, Gold faced early profit-taking, dropping quickly to 3,677 – 3,675, reflecting caution ahead of the FED
⏩ Captain’s Summary
Gold is making a technical pullback before the FED.
Medium-term trend remains bullish, but patience is needed to wait for better Buy entries.
📈 Captain’s Chart – Technical Analysis
Storm Breaker (Resistance / Sell Zone)
Nearby OB: 3,693 – 3,695 (short scalp)
ATH Zone: 3,717 – 3,720 (strong resistance, potential heavy selling)
Golden Harbor (Support / Buy Zone)
Shallow Dock: 3,656 – 3,657 (short-term)
Main Harbor: 3,629 – 3,630 (trendline confluence + old BoS)
Market Structure
Multiple BoS confirm bullish trend
Price retracing to support, likely to bounce back and test 3,693 – 3,717
Break above 3,720 → confirms new ATH
🎯 Captain’s Map – Trade Plan
✅ Buy (priority)
Buy Zone 1
Entry: 3,656 – 3,657
SL: 3,648
TP: 3,675 – 3,693 – 3,717
Buy Zone 2
Entry: 3,629 – 3,630
SL: 3,618
TP: 3,656 – 3,690 – 3,717
⚡ Sell (only at resistance)
Sell Zone OB
Entry: 3,693 – 3,695
SL: 3,705
TP: 3,690 – 3,685 - 3680 - 368x - 36xx
Sell Zone ATH
Entry: 3,717 – 3,720
SL: 3,727
TP: 3,715 – 3,710 – 3,705 - 37xx
⚓ Captain’s Note
“Before the FED countdown, profit-taking waves pulled the Golden ship toward Golden Harbor 🏝️ (3,656 – 3,629) .
Yet the main current still flows north, the bullish trend remains intact.
Storm Breaker 🌊 (3,693 – 3,720) is the big wave, suitable for short Quick Boarding 🚤 scalps.
Sailors must stay patient – the FED wind could be the force to propel Gold to new peaks.”
LiamTrading – XAUUSD OutlookSharing my personal view on the possible next move for gold.
Based on the current chart structure, the wave formation suggests that XAUUSD is most likely in Wave 4. The correction started yesterday after price touched the 3,700 mark – a round resistance level which also coincides with the 1.618 Fibonacci extension. This area often attracts heavy liquidity, and the subsequent pullback further supports the view that Wave 4 has been activated.
At present, the key support to watch is 3,675. If this level breaks, the corrective structure could complete around 3,656. On the H1 timeframe, the RSI has moved below the 30 level, indicating oversold conditions. In my view, while the market remains in this phase, it is still preferable to look for selling opportunities, though patience is needed until clearer confluence signals appear.
Trading plan (short-term focus):
Sell entry 3685–3687, SL 3693, TP 3670 – 3656
Buy entry 3656–3654, SL 3648, TP 3675 – 3690 – 3702 – 3721 – 3740
I will continue to share further updates if there are significant moves in price. Wishing everyone successful and effective trading.
XAUUSD H1 – Pennant + Head & ShouldersXAUUSD H1 – Pennant + Head & Shoulders: Two Key Levels 3657 / 3627
Hello Traders,
Gold opened the week with a bounce of over 20 points from the rising trendline and is now consolidating within a Pennant, which aligns with a small Head & Shoulders structure on the H1 chart. At the moment, the market is waiting for a breakout and confirmation to establish a clearer direction.
Pattern: A narrowing Pennant Flag alongside an H&S (left shoulder – head – right shoulder).
Key Zones to Watch
3655–3660: Crucial reaction zone (trendline + Pennant top).
3627: Critical support — a break below would invalidate the short-term bullish structure.
Fibonacci Levels:
1.618 in the mid-range, 2.618 lower — possible targets for a deeper correction.
MACD (12,26,9): Histogram has turned negative → short-term bearish momentum has the edge, though clear confirmation is still pending.
Trading Scenarios
Bullish Setup
Entry: Retest around 3654–3657
Targets: 3663 – 3670 – 3680 → 3695
Stop: Below 3648
Bearish Setup
Entry: Sell directly on breakdown, or wait for a retest near 3671–3674
Targets: 3663 – 3650 – 3633 – 3615 → 3595 → 3568 → 3540
Stop: Above 3679
the market is currently pricing in near certainty of a 0.25% Fed rate cut on 17th September, while the probability of a 0.50% cut still remains on the table.
If you find this analysis helpful, feel free to share your thoughts in the comments. I’ll update the outlook as soon as the price structure changes — follow me to get the latest setups first.
LiamTrading – XAUUSD Strategy for TodayI would like to share my personal view on gold for the day.
The overall trend in XAUUSD continues to be very strong, with the price consistently making fresh highs over the past two weeks. Buying interest has remained steady across sessions, while any corrections have been short-lived, mostly visible on the M15–M30 timeframes.
Yesterday, gold broke out of the Pennant pattern on the upside and is now consolidating near 3,680. On the H4 chart, this level aligns with an important Fibonacci zone, providing further technical confirmation.
From an Elliott Wave perspective, I expect Wave 3 to conclude near 3,700, followed by a corrective Wave 4 towards 3,660 – a level which has acted as reliable support in the past. After that, gold may enter its final Wave 5, with the potential to move towards the 3,740+ region.
Trading setups for consideration:
Buy 3658 – 3656, SL 3651, TP 3674 – 3688 – 3700 – 3715 – 3730 – 3744
Sell 3697 – 3700, SL 3705, TP 3688 – 3672 – 3660 – 3650
Sell 3740 – 3744, SL 3748, TP will be decided based on the price structure at that time
Important levels to keep in focus: 3673 – 3663 – 3635 and 3721, as these zones may trigger price reactions and could be useful for intraday scalping opportunities.
This is my personal outlook on gold for today. I hope it will be helpful to fellow traders in making better trading decisions. Kindly share your feedback in the comments.
XAUUSD – Pennant Pattern Waiting for ConfirmationXAUUSD – Pennant Pattern Waiting for Confirmation
Hello Traders,
Gold started the week with a strong bounce of nearly 20 dollars after testing the ascending trendline. This move further confirms the Pennant Flag formation that is currently in play. The key now is to wait for a clear breakout from this structure to position trades effectively.
Bullish Scenario
A break above the upper trendline, with confirmation ideally above 3657, would signal continuation of the uptrend.
Best entry: around 3650, targeting 3680 in the short term.
Bearish Scenario
The 3627 level is critical. A breakdown below this zone, along with a close under nearby support, would validate the bearish case.
Traders can either enter directly on the break or wait for a retest around 3630 for a cleaner entry.
Downside targets could extend to 356x or even lower.
Medium-Term Buy Setup
The 3560 – 3564 zone remains an attractive area, aligning with an FVG and strong volume accumulation.
This is a medium-term buying opportunity, with stop-loss placed below 3544.
Requires larger account size (above $1000) due to wider stop distance, but offers higher reward potential while aligning with the broader bullish trend.
This is my outlook for gold today. Traders can take it as a reference and align it with their own setups.
If you trade gold regularly, you can follow me here and join my community to receive updates quickly when the price action changes.
👉 Wishing everyone a profitable and disciplined trading week with Gold.