XAUUSD: Profit-Taking Pressure Emerges XAUUSD: Profit-Taking Pressure Emerges - Trading Strategy as Gold Adjusts
Hello traders community,
Today's trading session witnessed a strong "Price Rejection" of XAUUSD at the new peak, triggering a nearly $20 drop. Although the long-term bullish structure remains intact, the profit-taking signal from buyers is evident. This article will delve into the analysis of key price zones and outline a detailed trading strategy in the context of the adjusting market.
📊 Technical Analysis
The H1 chart provides us with an overview of the current liquidity zones and price structure:
Fibonacci Resistance Zone: The price reacted strongly at the confluence of the 2.618 Fibonacci Extension levels, around the $4240 area. A strong bearish candle emerged right after the price touched this zone, confirming it as an extremely potential "Sell zone." Sellers have officially stepped in.
Point of Control (POC) and Liquidity: The Volume Profile (VPVR) indicator shows the area with the highest trading volume concentration (POC) is at $4196. This is the "magnet" zone attracting price in the short term. If the price recovers, this will be the decisive tug-of-war zone.
Key Support Zones:
$4196 (Buy Scalping): The POC zone acts as the first price support point. Scalping traders can look for short-term buying opportunities here.
$4158 (Buy Zone): This is a stronger support zone, the bottom of the previous uptrend, and also an area with significant trading volume. Buyers are likely to return strongly if the price adjusts here.
📰 Market Sentiment
Profit-Taking Pressure: After a hot growth streak, Gold's sharp drop of nearly $20 is a healthy adjustment move. The selling force mainly comes from short-term profit-taking traders.
"Sharks" Still Accumulating: Notably, while the price adjusts, the world's largest gold ETF, SPDR Gold Trust, increased its gold holdings by 1.15 tonnes. This move shows that large institutions remain optimistic about Gold's long-term prospects and are taking advantage of the dip to accumulate more. This is a signal contrary to short-term price action, which traders need to pay special attention to.
🎯 Actionable Trading Plan
With the current technical signals and market sentiment, we prioritize the strategy of selling when the price recovers (Sell the Rally).
Scenario 1: Sell on Downtrend (Sell) 📉
Entry Zone: Wait for the price to recover to the $4228 zone. This is the "retest" area of the liquidity zone previously controlled by sellers.
Stop Loss: $4235, above the nearest minor peak.
Take Profit: $4210 - $4188 - $4165 - $4133.
Scenario 2: Buy at Strong Support (Buy) 📈
Entry Zone: If the price continues to drop, look to buy at the "Buy zone" $4158.
Stop Loss: $4150, a safe level below the support zone.
Take Profit: $4173 - $4190 - $4205 - $4230.
Scenario 3: Short-Term Scalping (Scalping Buy) ⚡️
Entry Zone: Quick buy at the POC zone $4196.
Stop Loss: $4188, a short and tight stop loss level.
Take Profit: $4210 - $4228.
Summary
In the short term, sellers are temporarily dominant after Gold failed to conquer the $4240 resistance zone. The main strategy is to sell when the price recovers. However, the buying action of the SPDR fund indicates that the medium and long-term uptrend remains very solid. Therefore, buying orders at strong support zones like $4158 are also an opportunity not to be missed.
Trade with discipline and manage your capital tightly. Wishing all traders an effective trading day!
Note: This analysis is based on personal views and is for reference purposes only, not direct investment advice.
Techincalanalysis
XAU/USD – Buyers Reclaim Structure, Targeting Liquidity Zone🔍 Market Context
After a strong Liquidity Sweep yesterday, gold has rebounded and formed consecutive Break of Structure (BoS) , confirming buyers have regained control.
The price has now filled the Fair Value Gap (FVG 4,191 – 4,202) and is heading towards the Sell Liquidity Zone 4,237 – 4,240 USD — a concentration of pending sell orders and stop-losses from previous short positions.
The current structure shows strong bullish momentum , however, the possibility of a correction from this high liquidity area is noteworthy.
💎 Technical Analysis
Liquidity Sweep: Completed, clearing liquidity below 4,070.
FVG (Fair Value Gap): 4,191 – 4,202 → filled, confirming price balance.
Sell Liquidity Zone: 4,237 – 4,240 → potential resistance zone, likely strong reaction.
OB Zone | Buy: 4,143 – 4,145 → nearby support, expected first reaction when price corrects.
OB Deep | Buy: 4,110 – 4,115 → deep demand zone, confluence with Premium Zone 4,156 – 4,118.
Overall Structure: The main trend remains bullish , with strong upward momentum but requires a technical correction for re-accumulation.
📈 Trading Scenarios
1️⃣ Main Scenario – Sell reaction at liquidity zone
When the price approaches the Sell Liquidity Zone 4,237 – 4,240 USD , observe candlestick reaction (rejection, bearish engulfing).
If confirmation signals appear, open a short-term sell order .
Target: OB Buy Zone 4,145 → 4,110 USD.
Stop Loss: above 4,245 USD.
➡️ This is a liquidity reaction setup, high probability when the market encounters resistance confluence with Fibonacci zone 0.786–1.0.
2️⃣ Alternative Scenario – Buy with trend from OB
If the price corrects to the OB Zone 4,143 – 4,145 USD and shows a clear reaction (strong rejection or minor structure break),
→ a buy with the main trend can be opened.
Target: return to 4,200 → 4,235 USD.
Stop Loss: below 4,130 USD.
If the price drops further, the OB Deep Buy 4,110 – 4,115 USD will be the final “liquidity attraction” zone for a new upward bounce.
⚠️ Risk Management
Avoid FOMO buying at 4,200+ as it is near the liquidity resistance zone.
Prioritise short-term sell at 4,237 if clear signals are present.
When price corrects to OB, wait for reaction before buying, do not bottom fish early.
💬 Conclusion
After completing the liquidity sweep, gold has confirmed a return to bullish structure with multiple consecutive BoS.
Currently, the price is approaching the liquidity zone 4,237 USD – a short-term correction is highly likely.
The 4,145 – 4,110 USD zone will be where buyers await reaction to accumulate orders and continue the medium-term uptrend.
👉 Reasonable Strategy:
Short sell at 4,237 USD if reversal signals are present.
Wait to buy at OB zone 4,145 – 4,110 USD when clear reaction occurs.
Observing Key Structural Patterns in Manaksia Coated MetalsThe daily chart of Manaksia Coated Metals & Industries Ltd (NSE) displays a confluence of notable technical formations. There is a clearly defined demand zone (highlighted in green) that has provided support for multiple sessions, as well as a supply area (marked at the upper region), signifying previous resistance.
A visually tight Volatility Contraction Pattern (VCP) is present, where price swings narrow progressively, indicating potential accumulation and increasing trader interest. The chart also reveals an inverted head and shoulders pattern, depicted using blue and red lines, which is often recognized as a classic reversal formation in technical analysis.
No attempt is made to forecast price movement; the Chart purely reflects observed market structure and patterns.
Disclaimer
This post is for educational and observational purposes only. It does not constitute financial advice or a trading recommendation. Always conduct your own research and consult a certified financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Symmetrical Triangle & Parallel Channel CoexistenceThis weekly chart of Tara Chand Infralogistic Solutions Ltd. serves as a case study in identifying and analyzing overlapping price action structures in 3 Main Points -
1) The chart highlights a well-defined symmetrical triangle pattern, with one white line representing the counter-trendline (CT) and another as the primary trendline (T), illustrating the process of volatility contraction.
2) Overlaid within the triangle, a clearly marked parallel channel (in pink) frames the intermediate price swings during the recent consolidation. The channel illustrates rotational movement within the broader consolidation envelope, mapping the climb and retracement cycles more granularly.
3) Volume, Fibonacci retracement levels, and the shaded value area further reinforce the chart’s impartial focus on structure, without implying directionality. This example serves as a valuable reference for recognizing multi-pattern contexts and appreciating how classical patterns—when viewed together—help decode complex phases of price organization.
- Disclaimer: Trading involves significant risk and is not suitable for all investors. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always conduct your own research, consider seeking advice from a qualified financial advisor, and trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
LiamTrading – GOLD: Continuing the trend towards 4,130Gold has broken 4,060 and set a new historical peak thanks to the US-China trade tensions and the expectation of an early Fed rate cut. The main trend remains upward; the next target level according to the channel structure is 4,130.
Technical H4→H1
The upward channel has been maintained for several weeks; breaking 4,060 confirms continuation.
Nearest liquidity zone: 4,030–4,032.
Medium-term volume POC: ~3,988.
Target/resistance clusters by rhythm: 4,050 → 4,072 → 4,088 → 4,100 → 4,130.
Trading Plan
Buy 1 (retracing to the liquidity zone)
Entry: 4,030–4,032
SL: 4,025
TP: 4,050 → 4,072 → 4,088 → 4,100 → 4,130
Buy 2 (medium-term POC)
Entry: 3,988
SL: 3,980
TP: 4,022 → 4,050 → 4,088 → 4,100 → 4,130
Sell reaction (higher risk)
Entry: 4,130
SL: 4,140
TP: flexible according to price reaction; prioritize closing at 4,070 if a clear rejection candle appears.
Invalidation: short-term upward structure weakens if H1 closes below 3,980.
Quick Notes
Prioritize “buy-the-dip” at 4,03x and 3,988; sell orders are only reaction trades at 4,130.
When TP1 is reached, move SL to entry to protect the position.
Volatility around US data release times may create false breaks; maintain disciplined risk management.
I will provide immediate updates as price paths change, real-time trading is the best way to be accurate and successful.
Technical Indicators 1. Introduction to Technical Indicators
Technical indicators are mathematical calculations based on historical price, volume, or open interest data. They are primarily used in technical analysis, a method of evaluating securities by analyzing market statistics rather than intrinsic value.
Indicators help traders:
Identify trends and reversals.
Determine momentum and market strength.
Recognize overbought or oversold conditions.
Generate buy or sell signals.
There are three main categories of technical indicators:
Trend Indicators – Identify the direction and strength of a trend.
Momentum Indicators – Measure the speed and force of price movements.
Volume Indicators – Analyze trading activity to confirm price movements.
Some indicators are leading, giving early signals of potential price movement, while others are lagging, confirming trends after they have started.
2. Trend Indicators
Trend indicators help traders identify whether an asset is moving upward, downward, or sideways. Recognizing trends early allows traders to align their strategies with the market direction.
2.1 Moving Averages (MA)
Moving averages smooth out price data to reveal trends over a specific period. There are two main types:
Simple Moving Average (SMA):
Calculated by averaging the closing prices over a specified period.
Example: A 50-day SMA sums the last 50 closing prices and divides by 50.
Exponential Moving Average (EMA):
Places more weight on recent prices, making it more responsive to price changes.
Applications:
Trend identification: Prices above the MA indicate an uptrend; below indicate a downtrend.
Crossovers: A short-term MA crossing above a long-term MA generates a bullish signal, and vice versa.
Limitations:
Lagging indicator, less effective in sideways markets.
2.2 Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD)
MACD measures the difference between two EMAs (usually 12-day and 26-day).
Components:
MACD Line: Difference between the fast and slow EMA.
Signal Line: 9-day EMA of the MACD line.
Histogram: Difference between MACD line and Signal line.
Interpretation:
Crossovers: MACD crossing above Signal line = buy signal; below = sell signal.
Divergence: Price making new highs while MACD fails indicates trend weakness.
Strengths:
Effective for spotting trend reversals and momentum shifts.
Weaknesses:
Lagging indicator; may give false signals in choppy markets.
2.3 Average Directional Index (ADX)
ADX measures the strength of a trend regardless of its direction.
Values above 25 indicate a strong trend.
Values below 20 suggest a weak trend or sideways market.
Applications:
Confirming trend strength before entering a trade.
Pairing with other indicators for trend-following strategies.
Limitations:
Does not indicate trend direction, only strength.
3. Momentum Indicators
Momentum indicators assess the speed of price movements, helping traders identify potential reversals or continuation patterns.
3.1 Relative Strength Index (RSI)
RSI measures the magnitude of recent price changes to evaluate overbought or oversold conditions.
Values above 70 = overbought (possible reversal or pullback).
Values below 30 = oversold (possible rebound).
Applications:
Divergence between RSI and price signals potential trend reversals.
Combining RSI with trend indicators enhances trade accuracy.
Limitations:
Can remain overbought or oversold for extended periods in strong trends.
3.2 Stochastic Oscillator
The stochastic oscillator compares a security’s closing price to its price range over a specific period.
%K Line: Current close relative to the high-low range.
%D Line: 3-period moving average of %K.
Interpretation:
Values above 80 = overbought; below 20 = oversold.
Crossovers of %K and %D lines indicate potential buy/sell signals.
Strengths:
Effective in volatile markets for timing entries and exits.
Weaknesses:
Less effective during strong trends; prone to false signals.
3.3 Rate of Change (ROC)
ROC measures the percentage change in price over a given period.
Positive ROC indicates upward momentum.
Negative ROC signals downward momentum.
Applications:
Identifying early trend reversals.
Confirming breakouts or breakdowns.
Limitations:
Sensitive to price spikes; may give false signals in choppy markets.
4. Volume Indicators
Volume analysis confirms price trends, as strong moves are typically accompanied by high volume.
4.1 On-Balance Volume (OBV)
OBV measures cumulative buying and selling pressure by adding volume on up days and subtracting volume on down days.
Applications:
Divergence between OBV and price can signal reversals.
Confirming trend strength.
Limitations:
Lagging indicator; requires combination with price analysis.
4.2 Chaikin Money Flow (CMF)
CMF measures the volume-weighted average of accumulation and distribution over a specified period.
Positive CMF = buying pressure.
Negative CMF = selling pressure.
Applications:
Identifying accumulation or distribution phases.
Supporting trade entries in trend-following strategies.
Weaknesses:
Less effective during low-volume periods.
5. Volatility Indicators
Volatility indicators help traders gauge market risk and potential price swings.
5.1 Bollinger Bands
Bollinger Bands consist of a moving average (middle band) and upper/lower bands based on standard deviation.
Price near upper band = overbought.
Price near lower band = oversold.
Applications:
Trading range-bound markets using band bounces.
Breakouts indicated when price moves outside bands.
Limitations:
Band breakouts don’t always result in sustained trends.
5.2 Average True Range (ATR)
ATR measures market volatility by calculating the average of true price ranges over a period.
Applications:
Setting stop-loss levels.
Identifying breakout potential.
Limitations:
Does not indicate trend direction, only volatility.
6. Combining Indicators for Strategy
Using a single indicator often results in false signals. Effective traders combine indicators from different categories:
Trend + Momentum:
Example: Use SMA to identify trend direction and RSI to detect overbought/oversold conditions.
Trend + Volume:
Example: Confirm trend strength with ADX and OBV before entering a trade.
Momentum + Volatility:
Example: Use MACD for momentum and ATR to set stop-loss levels.
Rule of Thumb:
Avoid indicators that provide the same information.
Mix leading and lagging indicators for better confirmation.
7. Indicator-Based Trading Strategies
7.1 Trend-Following Strategy
Use moving averages or ADX to identify trends.
Enter trades in the direction of the trend.
Use momentum indicators like MACD or RSI for entry timing.
7.2 Reversal Strategy
Use RSI, Stochastic, or Bollinger Bands to detect overbought/oversold conditions.
Look for divergence between price and indicator for potential reversals.
7.3 Breakout Strategy
Use Bollinger Bands or price channels to identify consolidation.
Volume indicators like OBV or CMF confirm breakout strength.
8. Common Mistakes in Using Indicators
Overloading charts: Too many indicators can confuse signals.
Ignoring market context: Indicators must be interpreted in conjunction with price action.
Blind reliance: No indicator guarantees success; risk management is crucial.
Neglecting timeframes: Indicators behave differently on daily, weekly, or intraday charts.
9. Advanced Indicator Techniques
Divergence Trading: Identifying differences between price and indicators like MACD or RSI to spot potential reversals.
Multiple Timeframe Analysis: Confirm signals from multiple timeframes to reduce false entries.
Weighted Indicators: Adjust indicator sensitivity to reduce lag or noise.
Algorithmic Integration: Using indicators as inputs in automated trading systems.
10. Choosing the Right Indicators
Factors to consider:
Trading style: Day traders vs. swing traders vs. long-term investors.
Market conditions: Trending vs. ranging markets.
Timeframe: Short-term indicators are more sensitive; long-term indicators reduce noise.
Simplicity: Choose a few reliable indicators rather than overwhelming charts.
11. Conclusion
Mastering technical indicators requires practice, observation, and discipline. While indicators provide valuable insights into market behavior, they are most effective when combined with strong risk management and a clear trading plan.
Successful traders:
Use indicators to enhance decision-making, not replace it.
Test strategies thoroughly before applying them in live markets.
Adapt indicator settings to suit different market conditions.
By understanding the nuances of trend, momentum, volume, and volatility indicators, traders can create robust strategies that increase probability and confidence in their trades. This Technical Indicators Masterclass equips traders with the knowledge to analyze markets effectively and navigate complex price movements with precision.
Technical Analysis and Chart PatternsIntroduction to Technical Analysis
Technical Analysis (TA) is the study of historical price and volume data to forecast future price movements in financial markets. Unlike fundamental analysis, which focuses on the intrinsic value of an asset, technical analysis relies on patterns, trends, and statistical indicators to identify trading opportunities. It is widely used across equity, forex, commodities, and cryptocurrency markets by traders of all timeframes, from intraday scalpers to long-term investors.
The foundation of technical analysis rests on three main assumptions:
Market Action Discounts Everything: All information, whether public or private, is already reflected in the current price of an asset.
Prices Move in Trends: Markets follow trends rather than random movement, and identifying these trends can help traders profit.
History Tends to Repeat Itself: Human psychology drives market behavior, and patterns formed in the past tend to recur under similar conditions.
1. Key Principles of Technical Analysis
Trend Analysis
Uptrend: Characterized by higher highs and higher lows. Indicates bullish sentiment.
Downtrend: Characterized by lower highs and lower lows. Indicates bearish sentiment.
Sideways/Range-bound Trend: Occurs when prices move horizontally, often leading to breakout opportunities.
Support and Resistance Levels
Support: A price level where demand is strong enough to prevent further decline. Often a buying opportunity.
Resistance: A price level where selling pressure prevents further rise. Often a selling opportunity.
Breakouts and Breakdowns: Breaching these levels can signal the start of new trends.
Volume Analysis
Volume reflects the intensity of a price movement.
Rising prices with increasing volume confirm trends, whereas divergences (e.g., rising price with falling volume) indicate potential reversals.
Momentum Indicators
Measure the speed and strength of price movements.
Examples: Relative Strength Index (RSI), Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD), Stochastic Oscillator.
Moving Averages
Smooth out price fluctuations to identify trends.
Common types: Simple Moving Average (SMA), Exponential Moving Average (EMA).
Crossovers (e.g., 50-day SMA crossing 200-day SMA) are key trading signals.
2. Chart Types
Understanding chart types is crucial for recognizing patterns:
Line Charts
Simple representation connecting closing prices.
Useful for identifying long-term trends but lacks intraday information.
Bar Charts
Displays open, high, low, and close (OHLC) for each period.
Provides more detailed insight into market sentiment.
Candlestick Charts
Originated in Japan; visually appealing and widely used.
Each candlestick shows open, high, low, and close, forming recognizable patterns that signal market direction.
Point and Figure Charts
Ignores time; focuses solely on price changes.
Useful for identifying strong trends and breakout points.
3. Chart Patterns
Chart patterns are visual representations of market psychology, helping traders anticipate future price action. They can be broadly categorized into reversal and continuation patterns.
3.1 Reversal Patterns
Reversal patterns indicate a potential change in trend.
Head and Shoulders
Signifies a trend reversal from bullish to bearish.
Features a left shoulder, a head (higher peak), and a right shoulder.
The neckline is the support level; breaking it confirms the trend reversal.
Inverse Head and Shoulders
Opposite of the standard head and shoulders.
Signals reversal from bearish to bullish.
Double Top
Occurs after an uptrend; two peaks at roughly the same level.
Breaking the support level between the peaks signals a downtrend.
Double Bottom
Occurs after a downtrend; two troughs at a similar level.
Breaking the resistance confirms a bullish reversal.
Triple Top/Bottom
Less common but more reliable than double tops or bottoms.
Indicates stronger resistance or support levels.
3.2 Continuation Patterns
Continuation patterns suggest that the existing trend is likely to continue.
Triangles
Ascending Triangle: Bullish; flat resistance and rising support. Breakout likely upwards.
Descending Triangle: Bearish; flat support and descending resistance. Breakout likely downwards.
Symmetrical Triangle: Neutral; breakout direction depends on the preceding trend.
Flags and Pennants
Short-term consolidation patterns after strong moves.
Flags: Rectangular consolidation; pennants: small symmetrical triangles.
Typically continue in the direction of the previous trend.
Rectangles (Trading Ranges)
Horizontal consolidation between support and resistance.
Breakout indicates trend continuation.
3.3 Candlestick Patterns
Candlestick patterns provide detailed insight into market sentiment:
Single Candlestick Patterns
Doji: Indicates indecision; potential reversal if appearing after a strong trend.
Hammer/Inverted Hammer: Bullish reversal after a downtrend.
Shooting Star: Bearish reversal after an uptrend.
Multiple Candlestick Patterns
Engulfing Pattern: Bullish or bearish reversal depending on candle alignment.
Morning Star/Evening Star: Signals trend reversal.
Three White Soldiers/Three Black Crows: Strong trend continuation patterns.
4. Indicators and Oscillators
Technical analysis often combines chart patterns with indicators:
Trend Indicators
Moving Averages, MACD, ADX (Average Directional Index)
Momentum Indicators
RSI, Stochastic Oscillator, Rate of Change (ROC)
Volatility Indicators
Bollinger Bands, Average True Range (ATR)
Volume Indicators
On-Balance Volume (OBV), Chaikin Money Flow (CMF)
5. Technical Analysis in Trading Strategy
Technical analysis is integrated into different trading strategies:
Day Trading
Focuses on intraday price movements using candlestick patterns and intraday indicators.
Swing Trading
Capitalizes on short to medium-term trends using support/resistance and chart patterns.
Position Trading
Long-term trend following; relies on moving averages, trendlines, and breakout patterns.
Algorithmic Trading
Combines TA rules with automated systems for high-frequency trading.
6. Advantages of Technical Analysis
Quick decision-making due to focus on charts and indicators.
Applicable across different asset classes and timeframes.
Helps identify entry and exit points with greater precision.
7. Limitations of Technical Analysis
Reliance on historical data; past performance doesn’t guarantee future results.
Can produce false signals in highly volatile or low-volume markets.
Requires experience and discipline to interpret patterns accurately.
8. Combining Technical Analysis with Other Tools
Many traders combine TA with fundamental analysis to improve accuracy.
Sentiment analysis, news events, and macroeconomic data can enhance decision-making.
Risk management is essential: stop-loss, position sizing, and portfolio diversification mitigate losses.
Conclusion
Technical analysis and chart patterns provide traders with a structured way to interpret market behavior. While no method guarantees success, mastery of TA enables traders to identify high-probability setups, manage risk, and make informed decisions. With the right combination of pattern recognition, indicator use, and disciplined execution, technical analysis can be a powerful tool in the trader’s arsenal.
By understanding trends, patterns, support/resistance levels, and combining them with indicators and sound risk management, traders can navigate financial markets with greater confidence and precision.
LiamTrading – XAUUSD: Structure BreakLiamTrading – XAUUSD: Structure Break, Preparing for a STRONG DOWNTREND?
Hello trader,
The Gold market has undergone a significant Market Structure Shift, breaking the previous sustainable uptrend. After the key support area around 4000 was breached with high volume, the Bears have taken short-term control.
Currently, the price is experiencing a slight correction after a sharp drop, but overall, it is forming Lower High – Lower Low patterns on the H1 chart, confirming the downward movement.
📊 Technical Analysis (Chart 1H – XAUUSD)
The recent sharp decline has broken the upward structure (Break of Structure - BOS) and created significant inefficiencies/imbalances that need to be filled:
Liquidity Zone (Resistance): $4050 – $4060. This is the resistance peak to watch.
Sell Liquidity Zone (FVG Sell Zone): $4030 – $4040. This is the ideal Fair Value Gap for Bears to re-enter.
Key Support/Buy Scalping Zone: $3925 – $3935 (Confluence area of Fibonacci Extension 2.272).
Swing Buy/Accumulation Zone: $3905 – $3915 (Confluence area of Fibonacci Extension 2.618).
🎯 Main Trading Scenario (Short-term BEARISH)
Sell entry 4000 – 4002
SL 4008
TP 3986 – 3965 3950 – 3923
Sell Entry 4028 – 4031 (FVG)
SL 4036
TP 4022 – 4010 4000 – 3960
Buy Scalping
3926 – 3928
SL 3921
TP 3939 – 3955 3970 – 3990
Buy Bottom Zone 3900 – 3908
SL 3895
TP 3922 – 3945 3970 – 3988
Export to Spreadsheet
🧭 Fundamental View & Market Sentiment
The downward momentum is being driven by the following factors:
Monetary Policy: Fed official Williams' remarks supporting continued rate cuts seem to be reducing the safe-haven demand for Gold. Although rate cuts typically support Gold in the long term (due to "cheap money"), a slowing labour market is a short-term negative signal.
CPI News: The Bureau of Labour Statistics recalling staff to compile the CPI report amid a government shutdown highlights the importance of this data. If CPI is not as expected, it could cause significant volatility.
Market Sentiment: After the structure break, technical selling sentiment may dominate, especially if the price cannot quickly recover to the 4000 level.
📌 Conclusion & Recommendations
Gold has confirmed a short-term structure change to a downtrend. While the long-term trend is not yet clearly defined, the current priority is to seek Sell opportunities when the price retraces to key resistance and FVG areas (such as $4000 and $4030).
Advice: Always adhere to SL (Stop Loss) and prioritise risk reduction when the market shows reversal signals. DO NOT BUY when the downtrend structure is prevailing.
👉 Follow me for detailed updates and the latest trading plans during the session!
BSEAfter a good fall now BSE is showing some strength. It has given a breakout of a falling trendline on the daily time frame. One can look to enter here or at dips till 2280.
Stop loss 2180
Target- 2450, 2500, 2550,
Disclaimer- This is just for educational purposes.
Follow for more such learning and analysis.
Jai Shree Ram
ZUARIThe stock has successfully retested its breakout zone and is showing signs of strength.
Trading above all key EMAs with a clean alignment, confirming a strong trend bias.
Recent sessions show low-volume, tight-range contraction, often a precursor to a decisive move.
Today’s hammer candle at the support zone reflects buying interest.
A sustained move above ₹305 with rising volume could open the door for further move.
✅ If you like my analysis, please follow me as a token of appreciation :)
in.tradingview.com/u/SatpalS/
📌 For learning and educational purposes only, not a recommendation. Please consult your financial advisor before investing.
XAU/USD: Targeting $4,100! Where to Buy Before the FOMC Minutes?Hello TradingView community! 🚀
Gold (XAU/USD) continues to demonstrate incredible strength, consistently breaking past old highs and forming a solid upward price channel. This robust uptrend is not only technically reinforced but also awaits a potential catalyst from today's significant fundamental news.
In this analysis, we will combine two crucial perspectives: an in-depth look at the technical charts to identify optimal entry points, and an examination of the key fundamental event that could significantly impact Gold prices during the US session.
1. Fundamental Perspective: All Eyes on the FOMC Minutes
Today's market highlight, Wednesday, October 8, is the release of the FOMC Meeting Minutes at 2:00 PM ET
Why is this important? This document provides a detailed record of the latest policy meeting of the US Federal Reserve (FED) in September. Traders will scrutinise the text for any hints about the future interest rate path.
Potential scenarios:
"Dovish" Tone: If the minutes reveal FED officials' concerns about economic growth and the possibility of further rate cuts, the US Dollar might weaken. This would create a strong push for Gold (XAU/USD), potentially driving the next price surge.
"Hawkish" Tone: If the minutes emphasise that inflation remains a concern and the FED is not in a hurry to cut rates, the USD might see a short-term recovery, causing Gold to have a corrective dip.
This event is a top catalyst for volatility. Our strategy is to prepare technical zones to capitalise on the market's reaction.
2. Technical Analysis: Detailed Trading Plan
The bullish structure on the 2H timeframe is undeniable. Prices are creating a series of higher highs, confirmed by each "BoS" (Break of Structure), signalling that the Buyers are in full control. Here are the key zones to watch:
Potential Buy Zones (Key Points):
FVG Zone ($4,004): The nearest support is this Fair Value Gap, an area of price imbalance that the market often seeks to fill. Prices may retest this area before or during the news release.
"Buy Break BoS" Zone ($3,981): This is the nearest swing high that has been broken. Now it has turned from resistance into a crucial support level. This zone offers a solid entry point if prices correct slightly deeper.
"Bullish Order Block" Zone ($3,951): This is the last major "stronghold" of the Buyers—a powerful buy order block that initiated the latest push wave. This is an ideal area to look for buy orders if the market experiences a strong liquidity sweep downwards.
Upside Targets:
Short-term Target (Scalping): $4,070 - This level coincides with the 0.786 Fibonacci level.
Main Target: "Liquidity Sell" Zone at $4,103. This is a large "liquidity pool" where the Sellers' stop-loss orders are likely concentrated. Smart money often drives prices to such areas.
Strategy Summary
Main Trend: Bullish.
Core Strategy: Look for "Buy the dip" opportunities at the key support zones mentioned.
Critical Timing: Be cautious around the FOMC Minutes release (18:00 UTC). Volatility can be high, and the market may whip in both directions to sweep stop-losses before following the main trend.
Pro Tip: Patience is key. Waiting for prices to pull back to a confirmed support zone will provide a much better Risk/Reward ratio than chasing the market at the top.
WHAT'S YOUR VIEW?
How do you think Gold will react to today's FOMC minutes? And where are you looking to place your buy orders—at the FVG zone $4,004, the BoS level $3,981, or are you patiently waiting for the Order Block $3,951?
Share your views in the comments below!
👇 Don't forget to leave a Like 👍 and Follow the channel for the latest XAU/USD analysis updates!
GOLD: Continuing Uptrend Structure, Target 4090 Approaching LiamTrading – GOLD: Continuing Uptrend Structure, Target 4090 Approaching
Hello everyone,
Gold and US stocks are setting new records together, but don't forget — strong sell-offs often appear when everyone believes prices can only rise.
Currently, gold maintains a sustainable uptrend structure, with each subsequent low higher than the previous one, confirming a clear trend on the H1–H4 timeframe.
📊 Technical Analysis (Chart 45m – XAUUSD)
The price structure remains a clear Higher High – Higher Low, indicating that buyers are still in control of the market.
Key liquidity zones are around:
🔹 4050–4060 (resistance – POC Volume Profile)
🔹 4020–4025 (temporary support zone – confluence of Fibo 0.618)
🔹 3980 (technical bottom, strong previous liquidity zone)
The upward target according to Fibonacci Extension is currently in the 4090 zone, corresponding to the 2.618 extension level — likely to become a major profit-taking area for buyers.
🎯 Today's Trading Scenarios
Short-term Sell (based on resistance reaction):
📍 4048–4050
🛑 SL: 4055
🎯 TP: 4030 – 4018 – 4005 – 3980
Buy scalping:
📍 4022–4024
🛑 SL: 4017
🎯 TP: 4030 – 4045 – 4060 – 4080
Buy swing (trend-following):
📍 3980–3982
🛑 SL: 3975
🎯 TP: 3995 – 4010 – 4025 – 4040 – 4060
🧭 Fundamental & Market Sentiment View
According to the FOMC minutes from 16–17/9, most Fed officials believe that continuing to cut interest rates this year is appropriate.
This is the first time since 2020 that the Fed has officially reduced the interest rate by 0.25%, bringing the range down to 4.75% – 5.00%.
→ Cheap money + safe-haven sentiment continue to be the main drivers pushing gold higher.
However, with gold and stocks both reaching peaks, the risk of technical corrections may occur when prices hit major liquidity zones.
📌 Conclusion
Gold is still in a stable uptrend, with a short-term target towards 4090 USD/oz.
However, watch the liquidity zones around 4050–4060 and 4000–4025 to optimize entry points, avoiding FOMO when prices are already in high zones.
👉 I will continue to update details for each trading session.
Follow me to not miss the earliest gold scenarios!
XAUUSD – PRICE ABOVE $4000: ABSOLUTELY CRAZY FOR TRADERSXAUUSD – PRICE ABOVE $4000: ABSOLUTELY CRAZY FOR TRADERS
Gold has officially surpassed the $4000 mark, marking one of the most robust increases in recent history.
Let's take a look at the key price zones and short-term opportunities 👇
🔻 SELL Scenario
SELL 4025–4027 → SL 4033 → TP 4015 – 4000 – 3980
SELL 4042–4044 → SL 4049 → TP 4030 – 4015 – 4000 – 3980
🟩 BUY Scenario
BUY 3993–3995 → SL 3988 → TP 4005 – 4013 – 4023 – 4040
BUY 3980–3983 → SL 3975 → TP 3998 – 4005 – 4013 – 4023 – 4040
📈 Technical Analysis
The medium-term upward price channel continues to be stable.
Rising lows indicate that buying pressure remains very strong.
The nearest psychological resistance is around the 4043 zone, coinciding with the Fibonacci extension.
The expected buying zone is at the POC Volume Profile area — a high liquidity zone, once anticipated by many traders to reject gold prices, but now could become a strong demand zone.
🧭 Macroeconomic Perspective
If the Federal Reserve (Fed) continues to cut interest rates, the market may aim for the next milestone – 5000 USD/ounce.
Although short-term fluctuations may occur (such as temporary ceasefires in the Middle East or Ukraine), the core drivers of this trend remain unchanged:
US public debt is increasing
Central banks are diversifying foreign reserves
The USD is weakening
All of which support gold's medium-term upward trend.
⚡️Summary
Gold remains in a solid upward structure, even as it approaches overbought territory.
There might be strong corrections, but as long as the upward structure is maintained, buyers remain in control.
LiamTrading – Risk of correction before hitting the $4000 mark? LiamTrading – GOLD: Risk of correction before hitting the $4000 mark?
Hello everyone,
Gold is approaching the psychological price zone of $4000/oz, but before reaching this historic milestone, the market may be preparing for a short-term correction.
According to Bank of America's technical strategist – Paul Ciana, gold's upward momentum is “too hot,” and a mid-cycle correction could occur soon.
📉 Technical Analysis (Chart H1 – Wolfe Waves Formation)
Observing the chart, a Wolfe Waves pattern is clearly forming:
The Sell zone 3988–3990 is the convergence point of wave number 5 – a potential short-term reversal zone.
The Buy zone 3963–3965 is the retest point of local support, where sellers often tend to take short-term profits.
The Wolfe trend line indicates the possibility that the price will take liquidity above the peak zone before a corrective decline appears.
If a correction occurs, the 3940–3955 zone will be the first reaction area, where strong buying support is present.
🎯 Trading Scenario
Buy retest:
📍 3963–3965
🛑 SL: 3960
🎯 TP: 3972 – 3985 – 4000
Sell following Wolfe wave:
📍 3988–3990
🛑 SL: 3995
🎯 TP: 3972 – 3955 – 3945
🧭 Medium-term Outlook
Although the upward momentum remains dominant, the momentum is gradually decreasing and the market needs to “cool down” to create a new accumulation rhythm.
Dense liquidity zones around POC 3957–3960 may trigger a short-term pullback, before gold gains momentum to advance to the ATH zone of $4000 in the late-week sessions.
📌 Conclusion
Gold remains in a medium-term uptrend, but a short correction is necessary to maintain a sustainable upward structure.
Traders should prioritize flexible scalping, observing reactions at Fibo zones – Volume Profile – and especially the developing Wolfe Waves pattern.
I will continue to update the latest scenario details for XAUUSD daily.
👉 Follow me to not miss important wave rhythms!
LiamTrading – GOLD approaches the $4000 mark LiamTrading – GOLD approaches the $4000 mark: The upward wave continues
Hello everyone,
Gold continues to maintain its impressive upward momentum as the DXY only slightly increases by 0.50% and is currently at 98.21 – a signal indicating that safe-haven flows still prioritise precious metals.
Currently, the technical structure on H1 shows gold is in a clear upward channel, with price reaction zones accurately identified through Fibonacci and trendline, aiming for the next major target of $4000/oz.
📊 Technical Analysis (H1)
Main Trend: Strong upward, Higher High – Higher Low structure remains intact
Main Support Zone: around 3890 – 3900, coinciding with Fibo 1.0 confluence + upward trendline
Psychological Resistance Zone: 3955 – 3999, corresponding to Fibo extension 2.0 – 3.6
RSI is moving into the 70+ zone, reflecting strong buying force but short-term correction signs need to be observed.
🎯 Today's Trading Scenarios
Buy scalping
📍 3909 – 3911
🛑 SL: 3904
🎯 TP: 3940 – 3955 – 3970 – 3990
Buy swing
📍 3888 – 3890
🛑 SL: 3882
🎯 TP: 3910 – 3925 – 3950 – 3975 – 3990
Sell scalping
📍 3956 – 3958
🛑 SL: 3964
🎯 TP: 3935 – 3910 – 3890
Sell swing
📍 3997 – 3999
🛑 SL: 4010
🎯 TP: 3975 – 3950 – 3925
🧭 Trend Analysis
With the current upward force and stable technical structure, the $4000 target is entirely feasible in the short term.
The preferred strategy is to BUY with the trend, watch for pullbacks to optimise entry, and avoid FOMO at the peak.
Adjustments to the support zone 3890–3900 will be a beautiful opportunity to open buy positions.
💡 I will continue to update detailed reaction zones & new plans in each session.
Follow me for the earliest updates on daily gold scenarios!
Gold Soars on FOMO – 1000-Pip Opportunity Ahead!GOLD PLAN FOR 06.10 | Captain Vincent
✳️ Hello to all traders,
Today, we are not only analysing Gold (XAU/USD) from a purely technical perspective ⚙️, but also witnessing the perfect confluence between technicals and fundamental news. A bullish storm is forming, promising attractive trading opportunities.
📊 1. Technical Analysis: Sustainable Bullish Structure
From a technical standpoint, the uptrend of Gold on the H1 chart is undeniable.
🔹 Break of Structure (BoS):
Gold continuously breaks previous highs, indicating that buying pressure is completely dominant.
Each BoS point is a clear affirmation of the strength of the uptrend.
🔹 Potential Demand Zone:
After each rally, the price often takes a “pause” to accumulate.
Currently, the price may adjust to the $3,883,020 - $3,911,169 zone, where the confluence between Fair Value Gap (FVG) and Bullish Order Block (Bullish OB) – creates an ideal launchpad for the next rally.
🏦 2. Fundamental Analysis: The Fire Has Been Lit
If technicals show the way, then fundamental news is the fuel driving the uptrend.
🔸 US Government Shutdown:
This event creates political and economic instability, causing capital to flee from risky assets.
Gold – the number one safe haven – is directly benefiting as investors seek to preserve their assets.
🔸 Fed Ready to Cut Interest Rates:
The market is almost certain that the Fed will cut interest rates by 0.25%.
This reduces the appeal of the USD, further strengthening Gold's advantage, which is a non-yielding asset.
🔸 “Thirst” for Economic Data:
The government shutdown also disrupts the release of important economic data, leaving the market lacking information and increasing uncertainty.
In this environment, Gold continues to hold its safe haven role.
🎯 3. Comprehensive Trading Plan
When technicals and fundamentals align, the reliability of the trading strategy is significantly enhanced.
Strategy:
Wait to buy (Long) when the price adjusts to the demand zone $3,883,020 - $3,905,169.
Entry signals:
Observe confirmation of a bullish reversal in this zone such as:
Pin bar candles, engulfing
Or BoS on the M15 chart
Targets:
Short-term: $3950 – $3990
Long-term: Target “+1000 pips”
Risk management:
Place Stop Loss below the Bullish OB to protect the account.
🧭 Conclusion
The current market sentiment is very favourable for the Buyers:
USD is under downward pressure
Defensive capital flows are strongly moving into Gold
The FOMO effect can stimulate an extended rally
The combination of a solid technical structure and strong fundamental support is creating an almost perfect bullish picture.
👉 Be patient, stick to the plan, and await this golden opportunity.
💼 Wishing everyone an effective and victorious trading day!
LiamTrading – GOLD Weekly Plan ..GOLD Weekly Plan: Prepare for a Breakthrough to a New ATH
The new trading week opens with extremely complex sentiments — many traders are confused, and even the “big players” are cautious.
But if you look closely at the price structure, everything becomes clear: gold is still in a sustainable uptrend.
🧠 Psychological & Trend Analysis
Gold has just closed the week with a strong upward momentum, confirming the continuation of the medium-term uptrend.
At this stage, “Selling at the peak” is almost a dangerous move – as each correction is shallow and quick, not allowing sellers enough time to exit.
This creates a strong “fear of missing out” (FOMO) sentiment – driving funds to continue pouring in when the price hits the trendline or technical retracement zones.
📊 Technical Analysis
On the H4 chart, the upward structure of gold is clearly visible following the impulse + correction box pattern (each accumulation – breakout repeats).
The 3820–3830 zone continues to be the “golden retracement point” as it coincides with the medium-term uptrend line.
Last week's bounce from this zone brought excellent profits for those who patiently waited.
Currently, the next target for gold lies at the Fibonacci 1.618 zone – around 3980, which is also a significant psychological level where many investors might take profits.
🎯 Trading Scenario
Buy setup (trend-following):
Entry: 3830
Stoploss: 3815
Take Profit: 3980
Sell reaction (short-term upon reaching target):
Entry: around 3980
Stoploss: 3988
TP open depending on price reaction (scalping strategy)
🔍 Conclusion
Gold is still on the right growth trajectory, with short corrections merely opportunities to “accumulate”.
Continue trading with the trend, patiently waiting for the price to retrace to strong confluence zones instead of FOMO at high prices.
I will continue to share more details in daily updates here.
Follow me to not miss the latest gold scenarios.
XAU/USD Near Record Highs: Key Data AheadGold (XAU/USD) Technical Outlook – October 3, 2025
1. Macro & News Context
Gold is holding near record highs, heading for its seventh consecutive weekly gain, supported by expectations that the Federal Reserve will continue cutting rates and by concerns around the ongoing U.S. government shutdown. Spot prices have recently tested the ₹3,890–3,900 region and are now consolidating around ₹3,860.
Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) – Typically scheduled for 18:00 IST on the first Friday of the month, the September jobs report is likely to be delayed due to the U.S. government shutdown.
Key event to watch today:
ISM Services PMI (September) will be released at 19:30 IST. Since ISM data is privately produced, it will be published regardless of the shutdown and may serve as the main volatility catalyst in today’s U.S. session. 【ISM】
Labor market signals: Challenger job cut data showed lower layoffs in September, but planned hiring at the lowest level since 2009, reinforcing a softer employment backdrop. Combined with the Fed’s recent 25 bps rate cut (to 4.00%–4.25%), this continues to support the bullish gold narrative.
USD trend: The dollar has weakened broadly this week, aligning with market bets on further monetary easing. This backdrop provides an additional tailwind for gold.
2. Technical Landscape (H1 Chart)
The attached chart highlights key technical zones and a completed Harmonic XABCD pattern on the 1H timeframe:
Support levels:
Near-term: ₹3,844–3,841
Deeper: ₹3,827 (intraday pivot), ₹3,792 (strong low)
Strategic: ₹3,764–3,770 (Bullish Order Block)
Resistance levels:
Immediate: ₹3,865
Strong supply: ₹3,880–3,890 (Bearish Order Block)
Extended target: ₹3,930–3,940 (Sell Scalping | Fibo zone)
Momentum: After bouncing from point D of the harmonic structure, gold has been forming higher lows (HL). Price currently sits above the longer-term moving average and is testing the shorter-term average, suggesting a constructive short-term bias as long as supports hold.
3. Trade Scenarios
Scenario 1 – Buy-the-dip (preferred bias)
Entry zone: ₹3,844–3,841
Stop loss: Below ₹3,827 (safer: below ₹3,792)
Targets:
₹3,865 (first take-profit)
₹3,880–3,890 (major supply)
Stretch: ₹3,930–3,940
Rationale: Higher low formation, bullish macro backdrop, aligned with strong weekly uptrend.
Scenario 2 – Countertrend short at resistance
Trigger zone: ₹3,880–3,890 (Bearish OB)
Confirmation: Rejection candles (H15–H1) such as wicks, engulfing, or failed breakout.
Stop loss: Above ₹3,895–3,900 (or above ₹3,945 if price spikes into the ₹3,930–3,940 fib zone).
Targets: ₹3,865 → ₹3,844 → ₹3,827
Rationale: Potential liquidity sweep ahead of ISM, with profit-taking likely near supply zones.
Scenario 3 – Breakdown through support
Trigger: 1H close below ₹3,841
Path: ₹3,827 → ₹3,792 (Strong Low) → ₹3,764–3,770 (Bullish OB)
Rationale: Loss of intraday structure would flip bias short until major demand zones.
4. How to Trade Around Today’s Data
If NFP is indeed delayed, the 18:00 IST slot may bring limited volatility.
Focus instead on the ISM Services PMI at 19:30 IST, which could trigger sharp swings in both USD and gold.
Adjust position sizing: Expect spread widening and slippage around the release. Reduce leverage or scale into positions.
5. Risk Management
Limit risk per trade to 0.5–1% of account equity.
Avoid chasing price once levels are tested; wait for H15–H1 candle closes for confirmation.
Monitor the U.S. Dollar Index (DXY) and Treasury yields – further dollar weakness would reinforce bullish gold setups.
🔑 Key Takeaway
Gold remains structurally bullish in the broader trend, with immediate support at ₹3,841–3,844 critical to maintain upside momentum. Watch for reactions around ₹3,880–3,890 and ₹3,930–3,940. With NFP possibly delayed, the ISM Services PMI at 19:30 IST will be today’s most important catalyst for directional moves.
XAUUSD – Price Channel Rising Towards 4000 USD Next Week
Hello Traders,
Every day I share scenarios for you to refer to and build your own strategy. And here is the perspective for next week – as gold is in a sustainable uptrend, approaching the psychological mark of 4000 USD.
Technical Perspective
On the H4 frame, gold continues to move within a clear upward price channel.
Every time the price touches the support trendline, a strong rebound reaction appears, indicating that buying pressure still dominates.
This price channel has remained stable for many weeks, providing a basis for us to prioritise buying in line with the trend.
The target of 4000 USD is not far away, especially when the fundamental context continues to support the upward trend.
Fundamental Context
The market is expecting the Fed to continue cutting interest rates in October, creating momentum for gold.
Current US financial-economic news is limited, as the US Government remains shut down.
Geopolitical factors have somewhat cooled down, but gold still holds its position as an important safe-haven asset.
Trading Scenario
1. Buy (main priority):
Entry: 3860 – 3865 (at the rising trendline).
TP: 3960 – 4000.
SL: manage below the trendline.
2. Sell (backup if the channel breaks):
Condition: 3853 is breached.
At that point, a new trend will form and the Sell scenario will be activated.
Conclusion
Main trend: Buy in line with the rising channel, aiming for 4000 USD next week.
Sell should only be considered if there is confirmation of a break below 3853.
The market is in a critical phase, so be patient and wait for a good entry point to trade safely and effectively.
TDPOWERSYS (TD Power System)The stock is trading above all key EMAs, showing strong momentum.
After facing resistance near ₹475, it broke out in May, then briefly retested the ₹475–₹460 zone, which has now turned into solid support.
Now there is probability of another upside move.
✅ If you like my analysis, please follow me as a token of appreciation :)
in.tradingview.com/u/SatpalS/
📌 For learning and educational purposes only, not a recommendation. Please consult your financial advisor before investing.
XAUUSD – Prioritise Sell After Breaking Trendline
Hello Traders,
Gold has experienced a strong upward movement for several consecutive days, but currently, the market is showing significant reversal signals. The upward trendline on H4 has been broken, confirming the weakening buying momentum. In the medium term, the preferred scenario will be selling rather than continuing to chase buys.
Basic Context
The US Treasury has just repurchased an additional 2 billion USD in bonds, raising the total repurchase this week to 4.9 billion USD. This move indicates an effort to stabilise the bond market but also reflects significant pressure on the USD and the US financial situation.
In the short term, the injection of additional bond liquidity makes gold's movement more unpredictable, and the trendline break at this time is an important warning signal.
Technical Perspective
Breaking the upward trendline → confirms a structural change.
MACD signals weakening, with buyers losing clear strength.
The 3865 – 3868 zone is a beautiful resistance retest point to Sell.
If the price falls deeply, the support zones around 3830 – 3810 – 3790 will be the next targets.
Today's Trading Scenario
Sell (main priority):
Entry: 3865 – 3868
SL: 3875
TP: 3855 – 3832 – 3810 – 3790
Buy Scalping (counter-trend – high risk):
Entry: 3803 – 3805
SL: 3795
TP: 3822 – 3835 – 3850
Conclusion
Gold has broken the trendline, prioritising Sell in the short and medium term.
News from the US bond market further emphasises the risk of instability, making counter-trend Buy moves suitable only for short-term Scalping.
Follow me for the earliest updates on scenarios as price paths change.
LiamTrading – INTRADAY TRADING SCENARIO
When we look at the global financial landscape, an interesting picture emerges:
Equities – All Time High (ATH)
Housing Prices – ATH
Bitcoin – ATH
Gold – ATH
Money Supply – ATH
National Debt – ATH
CPI Inflation – averaging 4% per year since 2020, double the Fed’s “target”
Federal Reserve – continuing rate cuts this month
Clearly, easy money combined with inflationary pressure is a powerful driver pushing gold to new historical levels. This makes buying with the trend more reasonable than ever.
📊 Technical Analysis – H1 Chart
Gold is moving within a well-defined upward channel.
Volume Profile highlights the POC around 3840–3850, a key zone to watch for scalping buys.
The VAL coincides with the rising trendline near 3820–3822, offering strong confluence for medium-term buys.
If price breaks above 3895 to confirm a new ATH, trend-following buys remain the priority.
Key resistance: 3913–3915, suitable for short-term scalping sells.
🎯 Trading Scenarios
Buy scalping: 3845 | SL 3839 | TP 3856 – 3870
Buy zone (main): 3820 – 3822 | SL 3816 | TP 3832 – 3845 – 3860 – 3875 – 3890
Sell scalping: 3915 – 3913 | SL 3920 | TP 3900 – 3885 – 3872 – 3860
Buy breakout: If price breaks ATH 3895 and confirms, continue buying with the trend → Open targets towards 3915+
📌 Conclusion
Gold remains in a strong uptrend, both fundamentally and technically. Short-term pullbacks are simply opportunities to add to buy positions. However, traders should watch the immediate resistance zones to optimise entries.
👉 This is my personal outlook on XAUUSD, not financial advice.
Follow me to stay updated with the latest daily gold scenarios 🔥
USOIL is in a critical zoneHello,
USOIL is currently at a major support level that has held for the past 2 months. There are two possible scenarios: either the support holds and USOIL bounces back toward the resistance at $66, or the support breaks and the price moves down to the next level at $60,
Ibrouri Abdessamad






















