Get started

Techincalanalysis

XAUUSD 09/24 – Scenario after the Fed's Key SpeechHello everyone, Gold continues its upward momentum in recent sessions. Yesterday, the price touched the 1.618 Fibonacci level on the H4 chart and then declined, indicating a slight rejection right after the PMI news. Technical Perspective The Wolfe Waves structure remains intact, not yet broken. If the price returns inside the trendline, the signal confirming the Wolfe pattern will become clearer. Current key resistance area: 3790 – 3825, coinciding with Fibonacci 361.8. Noteworthy short-term support area: 3650 – 3647. Fundamental Perspective In yesterday's speech, Chairman Powell emphasised: “If monetary policy is eased too quickly, efforts to curb inflation will fail.” This indicates that the Fed continues to prioritise price stability over the market's expectations for rate cuts. This is a factor to consider when trading gold in the current phase. Today's Trading Scenario Sell Setup Entry: 3825 – 3827 SL: 3833 TP: 3810 – 3790 – 3768 – 3755 Buy Setup Entry: 3650 – 3647 SL: 3642 TP: 3672 – 3688 – 3695 – 3710 – 3750 Summary In the short term, gold is in a correction phase after hitting resistance. Prioritise observing signals around 3790 – 3825 to find Sell opportunities, while 3650 is a notable buying point for a recovery scenario. This is today's XAUUSD trading scenario according to the Wolfe Waves model. You can refer to and adjust according to your personal strategy. Follow me for the latest analyses as the market changes. Wishing you successful trading!
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by BrianLionCapital
XAUUSD – Wolfe Waves forming on H4 chart, clear correction signaHello Trader, On the H4 chart, gold is forming a quite standard Wolfe Waves pattern. The 5th wave has completed, and the price is moving into the crucial resistance zone of 3760 – 3770, which is also a potential Sell Zone. Given the current structure, the preferred scenario is a short-term downward correction before the main trend resumes. Technical Analysis The price has touched the 2.618 Fibonacci Extension and reacted with a decline, indicating profit-taking pressure. The MACD still shows the previous buying force was quite strong, but the histogram is starting to weaken, aligning with the possibility of a correction wave emerging. Area 3760 – 3770: a critical resistance zone, also coinciding with the 5th wave line of Wolfe Waves. Trading Scenario Sell order according to Wolfe Waves Entry: 3760 – 3770 SL: 3782 (above resistance zone) TP: 3710 -3660 -3610 – 3620 (key level Wolfe target) Sell when price confirms below trendline Entry 3727-3730 sl 3735 tp 3715-3700-3686-3665 Short-term Buy Scalping Entry: 3705 – 3708 SL: 3700 TP: 3720-3730 – 3745- 3766 Note: This is just a short-term retracement strategy, going against the correction, so risk management is crucial. Conclusion Short-term: Prioritise observing reversal signals at 3760 – 3770 to Sell. Medium-term: Wait for Buy opportunities around 3564 – 3574 to align with the main trend. The market is entering a distribution and correction phase, so patiently waiting for candle confirmations at key zones will be key to optimising entry. This is the Wolfe Waves scenario I propose for gold during this period. You can refer to and adjust according to your own strategy. Follow me for the fastest updates when the price structure changes.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by BrianLionCapital
LiamTrading – XAUUSD Trading Scenario for TodayGold continues its robust upward momentum and is now approaching the critical resistance zone around 3,697 – 3,700. This is a confluence point with the Fibonacci extension level and also a zone where sellers might re-enter strongly. Technical Analysis On the H1 chart, the price has tested the resistance zone multiple times but hasn't broken through decisively. This indicates that profit-taking pressure is emerging. The sell confirmation zone will form if the price breaks below 3,685 – 3,686, at which point the correction target could be around 3,673. The main Buy Zone is located at 3,650 – 3,645, coinciding with previous support and a strong liquidity area. This is a region where a price increase reaction is likely. Further down, the 3,628 – 3,630 zone is considered solid support on the larger frame, and if retested, it will be a long-term buying opportunity. Conversely, if the price decisively surpasses the strong resistance zone of 3,720 – 3,730, the upward trend will be confirmed to continue, opening up higher targets around 3,750+. Trading Plan Reference Short-term sell around 3,697 – 3,700, SL 3,707, TP 3,686 – 3,673. Short-term buy around 3,650 – 3,645, SL 3,640, TP 3,673 – 3,690. Long-term buy around 3,628 – 3,630, SL 3,620, TP 3,660 – 3,690 – 3,720. These are my personal views on XAUUSD, and you can use them as a reference to build your own plan. If you find this useful, follow me for the latest updates on new gold trading scenarios.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by LiamTradingFX
LiamTrading – XAUUSD Trading Scenario for TodayGold continues its robust upward momentum and is now approaching the critical resistance zone around 3,697 – 3,700. This is a confluence point with the Fibonacci extension level and also a zone where sellers might re-enter strongly. Technical Analysis On the H1 chart, the price has tested the resistance zone multiple times but hasn't broken through decisively. This indicates that profit-taking pressure is emerging. The sell confirmation zone will form if the price breaks below 3,685 – 3,686, at which point the correction target could be around 3,673. The main Buy Zone is located at 3,650 – 3,645, coinciding with previous support and a strong liquidity area. This is a region where a price increase reaction is likely. Further down, the 3,628 – 3,630 zone is considered solid support on the larger frame, and if retested, it will be a long-term buying opportunity. Conversely, if the price decisively surpasses the strong resistance zone of 3,720 – 3,730, the upward trend will be confirmed to continue, opening up higher targets around 3,750+. Trading Plan Reference Short-term sell around 3,697 – 3,700, SL 3,707, TP 3,686 – 3,673. Short-term buy around 3,650 – 3,645, SL 3,640, TP 3,673 – 3,690. Long-term buy around 3,628 – 3,630, SL 3,620, TP 3,660 – 3,690 – 3,720. These are my personal views on XAUUSD, and you can use them as a reference to build your own plan. If you find this useful, follow me for the latest updates on new gold trading scenarios.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by LiamTradingFX
1
XAUUSD – Daily Trading Plan Hello Traders, Gold opened the Asian session holding its price structure firmly. The 3708 level will be the key pivot today: If price sustains above this level, the next upside targets are 3750 and possibly 3780. If price reacts lower at 3708 resistance, then 3650 or even 355x could be the zones to watch for buying opportunities. Fundamental Context Last week’s correction was triggered by comments from the Fed Chair on interest rate policy. The Fed does not intend to cut rates too frequently, and this week’s PCE data will play a decisive role in shaping the outlook. Trading Strategy for Today Buy Setup Entry: 3650 – 3653 SL: 3645 TP: 3662 – 3675 – 3690 – 3706 – 3725 Sell Setup 1 Entry: 3700 – 3703 SL: 3708 TP: 3690 – 3675 – 3662 – 3650 – 3633 Sell Setup 2 Entry: 3738 – 3740 SL: 3746 TP: 3725 – 3710 – 3700 – 3675 – 3650 Summary The preferred bias for today is to look for buy opportunities on dips, in line with the broader uptrend. Follow me to receive the latest updates as soon as market structure changes
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by BrianLionCapital
LAURUSLABS - Bullish Trend Intact; Watch for Break Above 9501. Executive Summary Laurus Labs is in a strong bullish momentum phase, trading well above its key Exponential Moving Average (EMA). The stock faces a decisive resistance at 950. A breakout above this level could signal the next leg up, while the trend remains supported on any pullback towards the 856-917 zone. The high RSI suggests caution for immediate entries; prefer buying on dips. 2. Key Technical Observations: Price Action: The stock closed positively at 932.10 (+0.96%), near the day's high of 944, indicating strong buying interest at lower levels. Trend Analysis: The price is trading significantly above the EMA (856.88), confirming a robust medium-term UPTREND. Momentum (RSI): The RSI is at 74.73, indicating the stock is in OVERBOUGHT territory. This suggests the possibility of a short-term consolidation or pullback before the next potential move higher. Key Levels: Resistance: 950 (Immediate & Crucial) Support: 917 (Today's Low) -> 856 (EMA & Strong Trend Support) 3. Trading Plan: Bullish Scenario (Primary Bias): Entry Trigger 1 (Aggressive): A breakout and sustained close above 950 with high volume. Entry Trigger 2 (Conservative): A pullback towards the support zone between 917 - 870 (ideally near the 856 EMA) for a better risk-reward entry. Stop-Loss: Below 850 (A break below the EMA would invalidate the bullish structure). Target 1: 1000 Target 2: 1025 - 1050 Bearish Scenario (Caution Signal): A break below the 856 EMA support could lead to a deeper correction towards 800. This is not the primary expectation but a key level to watch for risk management.
NSE:LAURUSLABSLong
by kingofstockmarkets
LiamTrading – Long-Term Trend for XAUUSD is Taking ShapeGold continues its robust upward momentum, currently trading around 3,680 – 3,685. After a series of consecutive bullish candles, the price is showing signs of consolidation and slight adjustment, paving the way for crucial scenarios in the upcoming phase. Technical Analysis On the Daily chart, the RSI has surpassed the 70 mark, indicating an overbought condition. This is often an early warning sign for a potential correction. The price structure suggests that the FVG zone of 3,630 – 3,600 will be the first observation point if a short-term correction occurs. A stronger support zone lies at 3,510 – 3,475, coinciding with Fibonacci levels 0.5 – 0.382, and also the previous resistance area that has been broken. This is considered a potential long-term 'Buy zone'. If the correction completes, gold has the potential to return to its upward trend with a further target around 3,800 (Fibonacci extension levels 2.618 – 3.618). Trading Scenarios Short-term: Monitor the reaction at 3,630 – 3,600. If it holds, there might be a short recovery. The price area around 3552-3562 should be watched for reactions. Medium-term: Wait for the price to test the 3,500 – 3,475 zone to find more sustainable buying opportunities. Long-term: The major trend still leans towards an increase, with an expected target towards 3,800. This is my personal view on XAUUSD, and you can consider it to build your own plan. If you find it useful, follow me for the latest updates on gold's upcoming scenarios.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by LiamTradingFX
XAUUSD – Strong Resistance at 3760–3770 Await ConfirmationHello trader, Gold continues to fluctuate within the accumulation zone after the recent recovery. Although the larger trend leans towards an increase, a clear confirmation at key resistance-support levels is needed for a stronger breakout. Strong Resistance: 3760 – 3770, converging with the Fibonacci extension zone. This is a crucial level if the price aims to create a new ATH in the mid-term. Key level Sell: 3685 – 3695, currently a short-term resistance zone. If the price fails to break through, gold may face downward pressure. Important Support: 3564 – 3574: mid-term support. 3534 – 3540: deep support zone, aligning with previous liquidity. MACD H4: Histogram remains weak, momentum is unclear → the market needs further confirmation to clearly define the trend. Trading Scenario Bullish Scenario Condition: Price breaks above 3695 and holds. Entry: Retest 3665 – 3668. Target: 3680-3698-3715-3730 – 3760 – 3770. Extension: If successfully surpassing 3770 → expect a move towards 3800+. Bearish Scenario Condition: Price fails at 3695 and reverses. Entry: Sell at 3685 – 3695 zone upon rejection signal. Target: 3672-3655-3635 – 3600 – 3574. Extension: If breaking 3574, the decline may target 3540, or even deeper. Mid-term Scenario Price may retest 3534 – 3550 to gather liquidity, then rebound following the larger trend. This will be an attractive long-term Buy zone. The gold market is at a crucial stage: buyers need to break 3695 to confirm the uptrend, while sellers still have opportunities at the short-term resistance zone. Deep support levels will continue to serve as a foundation for mid-term Buy strategies. Keep a close watch on 3695 and 3760 – 3770 to determine the next direction. Stay tuned for the latest scenarios as the price structure evolves.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by BrianLionCapital
Gold Hits New Record: Should You Buy or Sell in This Hot Market?Namaste traders, This past week, gold surprised everyone by closing strong. On Friday (19/09), it moved higher again, marking its 5th consecutive weekly gain at $3,683.24/oz, while futures touched $3,718.50/oz. This surge followed the Fed’s rate cut, which many thought would cool the yellow metal. So, is this a genuine rally or just a bull trap? Fundamentals: Rate Cut Pushes Gold Higher Lower interest rates reduce the cost of holding gold. Fed’s dovish signals raised expectations for more easing. In India, physical gold demand is at a 10-month high, while China also shows strong appetite despite higher prices. Technical Outlook Gold broke its downward trendline, signaling bullish continuation. Buyers are in control. This Week’s View: Focus on buying near-term targets at $372x and $373x, but stay alert to macro news. Trading Setups (with strict risk management): Buy Scalp: $3671–$3669 | SL: $3666 | TP: $3674–$3694 Buy Zone: $3657–$3659 | SL: $3647 | TP: $3669–$3709 Sell Scalp: $3713–$3715 | SL: $3719 | TP: $3705–$3785 Sell Zone: $3731–$3733 | SL: $3741 | TP: $3723–$3683 Will gold shine brighter and set another all-time high? Share your view! 👇
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Jeremy_NPC
XAUUSD – Correction Target on H4Technical Analysis After reacting at the Sell Zone – FVG around 3,670, Gold could not sustain the upward momentum and is now showing signs of weakness. The H4 structure indicates that the correction phase is extending, with price likely to retest key support areas below. On the chart, the support zones at 3,633–3,632 and 3,626 are acting as intermediate levels. If these zones fail to hold, selling pressure may push price deeper towards 3,614–3,612, before testing the major support confluence with Fibonacci extension and the potential Buy Zone at 3,579–3,560. The RSI is currently hovering around 45–50, suggesting momentum is tilted towards a corrective move rather than a strong uptrend. Trading Scenarios SELL Setup (preferred): Entry: on a retest of the 3,665–3,670 Sell Zone SL: above 3,675 Targets: 3,633–3,632-3,626-3,614–3,612-3,579–3,560 BUY Setup (short-term / scalping): Entry: consider buys around 3,626–3,625 support SL: below 3,618 Targets:3,633-3,645-3,650 Key Levels to Watch 3,670: Sell Zone – confluence with FVG post-FOMC. 3,633–3,626: Short-term support; a break below confirms extended bearish pressure. 3,612: Key level for deciding near-term direction. 3,579–3,560: Potential Buy Zone and main corrective target on H4. Traders may keep these levels on watch and align positions accordingly. Follow for quicker access to future updates.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by LiamTradingFX
XAUUSD –Today’s Trading Outlook | Sell Fill Liquidity & Buy Zone Hello traders, In the recent sessions, gold has continued to show strong volatility around important liquidity zones and support–resistance levels. The current structure indicates that sellers remain in control in the short term, while buyers are expected to return only if price reaches deeper support areas. Technical View Main Resistance: 3670 – 3680, aligning with the FVG zone → key area for Sell to Fill Liquidity. Short-term Support: 3630 – 3627. A break below could open the way for a deeper decline. Buy Scalping Zones: 3613 – 3615 and 3595 – 3598, suitable for quick intraday longs. Medium-term Buy Zone: 3600 – 3590, confluence with strong liquidity zone and major support. MACD Indicator: leaning bearish, with a negative histogram, showing selling pressure still dominant. Trading Scenarios Sell Setup (priority) Sell Liquidity Zone: 3670 – 3680 SL: 3685 TP: 3650 – 3635 – 3627 – 3615 – 3600 Buy Scalping Buy Zone 1: 3613 – 3615 | SL: 3608 | TP: 3625 – 3638 – 3645 Buy Zone 2: 3595 – 3598 | SL: 3590 | TP: 3610 – 3625 – 3638 – 3645 – 3670 Medium-term Buy Zone: 3600 – 3590 SL: 3584 Extended TP: 3633 – 3660 – 3675 Conclusion In the short term, gold is likely to retest the upper liquidity zone before continuing with further declines. Sellers remain in control for now, but deeper support zones will provide potential entry levels for medium-term buyers. Keep a close watch on these key levels and align your trades with your personal strategy. Follow along to get the earliest updates whenever market structure changes.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by BrianLionCapital
XAUUSD – Medium-Term Outlook After Fed Rate CutXAUUSD – Medium-Term Outlook After Fed Rate Cut Hello fellow traders, The most anticipated event of September is now clear: the Federal Reserve has cut interest rates by 25 basis points, the first reduction this year. Market expectations also indicate the possibility of another 50 basis points cut in the upcoming meeting. In his speech, Chairman Powell highlighted the “dual risk” – inflation could rise further while employment shows signs of weakness. Technical View Gold has formed an H1 candle closing below the rising price channel, signalling a possible violation of the medium-term uptrend. The buying side failed to maintain momentum after the rate cut news, showing caution in entering at elevated price levels. Medium-term investors may consider waiting for a lower price to enter fresh longs. However, the downside is not fully confirmed, as price is still hovering around the ascending trendline → selling directly at current levels still carries certain risks. Trading Scenarios Sell Strategy Scalping: 3676 – 3678 | SL: 3683 | TP: 3666 – 3650 – 3635 – 3628 (Stop loss can be moved to breakeven if price reacts well, to hold positions longer). Sell Zone: 3697 – 3700 | SL: 3705 | TP: 3680 – 3666 – 3650 – 3635 – 3628 Buy Strategy Scalping: 3634 – 3636 | SL: 3629 | TP: 3645 – 3660 – 3672 Buy Zone: 3600 – 3598 | SL: 3590 | TP: 3633 – 3645 – 3660 – 3675 (extended) Conclusion Gold is currently in a sensitive phase after the Fed’s decision to cut rates. Traders must watch price action carefully around major support and resistance levels to confirm a clearer direction. Stay tuned to this outlook — I will continue to provide updates as the market structure evolves. Follow along to receive the fastest scenario changes as price action develops.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by BrianLionCapital
EMA Scalper 5-Quick Trend Catcher🔎 Intro / Overview This idea uses a single EMA (Length 5) as a trend confirmation tool. - When price stays below EMA (no touch), it signals bullish continuation. - When price stays above EMA (no touch), it signals bearish continuation. If price stretches too far from EMA, expect a possible pullback toward the line. This EMA Scalping Strategy focuses on quick entries and exits 🎯. - Best suited for intraday scalping where small, quick moves are captured. ⚡ ___________________________________________________________ 📌 How to Use - In a downtrend , when price stays far below EMA(5) with no touch, then the next candle breaks the previous high → immediate Buy entry . - In an uptrend , when price stays far above EMA(5) with no touch, then the next candle breaks the previous low → immediate Sell entry . - EMA acts as a fast trend filter, confirming momentum while defining risk–reward levels. - Once the signal is confirmed, entry is validated only if the next candle breaks the price level — otherwise, the signal is devalidated. ___________________________________________________________ 🎯 Trading Plan - Entry → When the next candle breaks the previous candle’s high , enter long (for immediate Buy). - Stoploss → Swing Low for Buy / Swing High for Sell. - Target → 1R (equal to stop distance). ___________________________________________________________ 📊 Chart Explanation ADANIPORTS 1️⃣ Buy Signal → - Entry @ 1323.15 - Stoploss @ 1301.40 - Target @ 1345.70 → 🎯 Target Hit 2️⃣ Sell Signal → - Entry @ 1396.70 - Stoploss @ 1423.10 - Target @ 1470.10 Trade continue in live ___________________________________________________________ 👀 Observation - EMA(5) gives fast and responsive trend signals. - Works best in strong trending markets. - False signals may occur in choppy sideways markets — use structure confirmation. ___________________________________________________________ ❗ Why It Matters? - Provides clear Buy/Sell confirmation with less lag. - Defines structured entry, SL, and TP rules. - Simple, rule-based system to avoid emotional trading. ___________________________________________________________ 🎯 Conclusion The EMA(5) Signal Strategy is a simple yet effective way to confirm trend and capture moves. By combining breakout entries with disciplined SL/TP, traders can maintain risk–reward balance and trail winners effectively. 🔥 Patterns don’t predict. Rules protect. 🚀 ___________________________________________________________ ⚠️ Disclaimer 📘 For educational purposes only. 🙅 Not SEBI registered. ❌ Not a buy/sell recommendation. 🧠 Purely a learning resource. 📊 Not Financial Advice.
NSE:ADANIPORTSEducation
by MarketAlgoBot
FED countdown | Buy at support, Sell at resistanceXAU/USD – 17/09 | Captain Vincent ⚓ 🔎 Captain’s Log – News Context 18/09, 01:00 (US time): FED rate decision + Dot Plot → policy outlook for upcoming meetings 01:30: Powell’s speech – the key market focus Market consensus: FED almost certain to cut -25bps. However, the -50bps scenario still exists → if it happens, it will be a “big boost” for Gold During Asia–Europe session, Gold faced early profit-taking, dropping quickly to 3,677 – 3,675, reflecting caution ahead of the FED ⏩ Captain’s Summary Gold is making a technical pullback before the FED. Medium-term trend remains bullish, but patience is needed to wait for better Buy entries. 📈 Captain’s Chart – Technical Analysis Storm Breaker (Resistance / Sell Zone) Nearby OB: 3,693 – 3,695 (short scalp) ATH Zone: 3,717 – 3,720 (strong resistance, potential heavy selling) Golden Harbor (Support / Buy Zone) Shallow Dock: 3,656 – 3,657 (short-term) Main Harbor: 3,629 – 3,630 (trendline confluence + old BoS) Market Structure Multiple BoS confirm bullish trend Price retracing to support, likely to bounce back and test 3,693 – 3,717 Break above 3,720 → confirms new ATH 🎯 Captain’s Map – Trade Plan ✅ Buy (priority) Buy Zone 1 Entry: 3,656 – 3,657 SL: 3,648 TP: 3,675 – 3,693 – 3,717 Buy Zone 2 Entry: 3,629 – 3,630 SL: 3,618 TP: 3,656 – 3,690 – 3,717 ⚡ Sell (only at resistance) Sell Zone OB Entry: 3,693 – 3,695 SL: 3,705 TP: 3,690 – 3,685 - 3680 - 368x - 36xx Sell Zone ATH Entry: 3,717 – 3,720 SL: 3,727 TP: 3,715 – 3,710 – 3,705 - 37xx ⚓ Captain’s Note “Before the FED countdown, profit-taking waves pulled the Golden ship toward Golden Harbor 🏝️ (3,656 – 3,629) . Yet the main current still flows north, the bullish trend remains intact. Storm Breaker 🌊 (3,693 – 3,720) is the big wave, suitable for short Quick Boarding 🚤 scalps. Sailors must stay patient – the FED wind could be the force to propel Gold to new peaks.”
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by CaptainVincent
LiamTrading – XAUUSD OutlookSharing my personal view on the possible next move for gold. Based on the current chart structure, the wave formation suggests that XAUUSD is most likely in Wave 4. The correction started yesterday after price touched the 3,700 mark – a round resistance level which also coincides with the 1.618 Fibonacci extension. This area often attracts heavy liquidity, and the subsequent pullback further supports the view that Wave 4 has been activated. At present, the key support to watch is 3,675. If this level breaks, the corrective structure could complete around 3,656. On the H1 timeframe, the RSI has moved below the 30 level, indicating oversold conditions. In my view, while the market remains in this phase, it is still preferable to look for selling opportunities, though patience is needed until clearer confluence signals appear. Trading plan (short-term focus): Sell entry 3685–3687, SL 3693, TP 3670 – 3656 Buy entry 3656–3654, SL 3648, TP 3675 – 3690 – 3702 – 3721 – 3740 I will continue to share further updates if there are significant moves in price. Wishing everyone successful and effective trading.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by LiamTradingFX
XAUUSD H1 – Pennant + Head & ShouldersXAUUSD H1 – Pennant + Head & Shoulders: Two Key Levels 3657 / 3627 Hello Traders, Gold opened the week with a bounce of over 20 points from the rising trendline and is now consolidating within a Pennant, which aligns with a small Head & Shoulders structure on the H1 chart. At the moment, the market is waiting for a breakout and confirmation to establish a clearer direction. Pattern: A narrowing Pennant Flag alongside an H&S (left shoulder – head – right shoulder). Key Zones to Watch 3655–3660: Crucial reaction zone (trendline + Pennant top). 3627: Critical support — a break below would invalidate the short-term bullish structure. Fibonacci Levels: 1.618 in the mid-range, 2.618 lower — possible targets for a deeper correction. MACD (12,26,9): Histogram has turned negative → short-term bearish momentum has the edge, though clear confirmation is still pending. Trading Scenarios Bullish Setup Entry: Retest around 3654–3657 Targets: 3663 – 3670 – 3680 → 3695 Stop: Below 3648 Bearish Setup Entry: Sell directly on breakdown, or wait for a retest near 3671–3674 Targets: 3663 – 3650 – 3633 – 3615 → 3595 → 3568 → 3540 Stop: Above 3679 the market is currently pricing in near certainty of a 0.25% Fed rate cut on 17th September, while the probability of a 0.50% cut still remains on the table. If you find this analysis helpful, feel free to share your thoughts in the comments. I’ll update the outlook as soon as the price structure changes — follow me to get the latest setups first.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by BrianLionCapital
LiamTrading – XAUUSD Strategy for TodayI would like to share my personal view on gold for the day. The overall trend in XAUUSD continues to be very strong, with the price consistently making fresh highs over the past two weeks. Buying interest has remained steady across sessions, while any corrections have been short-lived, mostly visible on the M15–M30 timeframes. Yesterday, gold broke out of the Pennant pattern on the upside and is now consolidating near 3,680. On the H4 chart, this level aligns with an important Fibonacci zone, providing further technical confirmation. From an Elliott Wave perspective, I expect Wave 3 to conclude near 3,700, followed by a corrective Wave 4 towards 3,660 – a level which has acted as reliable support in the past. After that, gold may enter its final Wave 5, with the potential to move towards the 3,740+ region. Trading setups for consideration: Buy 3658 – 3656, SL 3651, TP 3674 – 3688 – 3700 – 3715 – 3730 – 3744 Sell 3697 – 3700, SL 3705, TP 3688 – 3672 – 3660 – 3650 Sell 3740 – 3744, SL 3748, TP will be decided based on the price structure at that time Important levels to keep in focus: 3673 – 3663 – 3635 and 3721, as these zones may trigger price reactions and could be useful for intraday scalping opportunities. This is my personal outlook on gold for today. I hope it will be helpful to fellow traders in making better trading decisions. Kindly share your feedback in the comments.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by LiamTradingFX
2
XAUUSD – Pennant Pattern Waiting for ConfirmationXAUUSD – Pennant Pattern Waiting for Confirmation Hello Traders, Gold started the week with a strong bounce of nearly 20 dollars after testing the ascending trendline. This move further confirms the Pennant Flag formation that is currently in play. The key now is to wait for a clear breakout from this structure to position trades effectively. Bullish Scenario A break above the upper trendline, with confirmation ideally above 3657, would signal continuation of the uptrend. Best entry: around 3650, targeting 3680 in the short term. Bearish Scenario The 3627 level is critical. A breakdown below this zone, along with a close under nearby support, would validate the bearish case. Traders can either enter directly on the break or wait for a retest around 3630 for a cleaner entry. Downside targets could extend to 356x or even lower. Medium-Term Buy Setup The 3560 – 3564 zone remains an attractive area, aligning with an FVG and strong volume accumulation. This is a medium-term buying opportunity, with stop-loss placed below 3544. Requires larger account size (above $1000) due to wider stop distance, but offers higher reward potential while aligning with the broader bullish trend. This is my outlook for gold today. Traders can take it as a reference and align it with their own setups. If you trade gold regularly, you can follow me here and join my community to receive updates quickly when the price action changes. 👉 Wishing everyone a profitable and disciplined trading week with Gold.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by BrianLionCapital
XAUUSD – Week 3: Will Fibo 2.618 Hold Strong?XAUUSD – Week 3: Will Fibo 2.618 Hold Strong? Good day, fellow traders, Gold has been on a continuous rise for the past three weeks, even making fresh all-time highs (ATH). This has made trading conditions quite challenging, especially for short-term traders. The reason is simple: Buying: Not easy to find a good entry point. Selling: Very risky as it means going against the strong uptrend, which can be extremely dangerous. Market Structure and Key Levels Gold has touched the psychological Fibonacci 2.618 extension and showed a reaction, after which it started consolidating sideways around 3643 – the closing price of this week. The sideways structure indicates that the market may need more time before making a clear breakout. The current trading range is between 3675 – 3616. Most likely, the price will continue to consolidate within this 60-dollar band and form a compression pattern. Upside Scenario If the price breaks above the range, the next target would be 3800, and in the longer term, the market could even aim for the 4000 level in the coming year. Downside Scenario Traders should keep an eye on liquidity reaction zones (FVG): 3595 – 3568 – 3540. The key long-term buying zone lies around 3500, which would almost complete the liquidity test. Trading Strategy The wise approach is to remain patient and wait for a clear confirmation when price breaks out of the current sideways range. That will provide a higher-confidence setup for entering trades. This is the scenario I am projecting for Gold this week. Traders may use it as a reference and combine it with their own analysis to optimise their trading strategy. If you are actively trading Gold, feel free to follow me and join the community to get the quickest updates whenever price action changes. Wishing all of you a disciplined, successful, and profitable trading week ahead!
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by BrianLionCapital
1
Bitcoin – Trend Update Ahead of PPIBitcoin – Trend Update Ahead of PPI Hello Traders, The current scenario for Bitcoin is unfolding in line with expectations, with the uptrend continuing to develop strongly. Price waves are moving with solid volume, and the overall structure is progressing exactly as anticipated. Key Levels Price has broken through the 113k zone, confirming that the bullish trend is intact. This move increases the likelihood of completing the final wave of the inverse head-and-shoulders pattern. The next level to watch is around 116k, where a mild reaction or pullback may occur before the trend resumes higher towards the 121k region. Special attention should be given to the 117k level, as this marks the potential completion of the inverse head-and-shoulders structure. At this point, price may consolidate before establishing a new primary trend. Trading View For now, it remains important to follow the prevailing uptrend. Any shift in price structure will require re-evaluation, and updated strategies should be applied only after clear confirmation. This is my latest outlook on Bitcoin ahead of the PPI release. I hope this perspective proves useful in shaping your trading approach.
BINANCE:BTCUSDLong
by BrianLionCapital
XAUUSD – Latest Trend UpdateXAUUSD – Latest Trend Update Hello Traders, Gold is moving in line with yesterday’s outlook: after a corrective pullback towards 3660, price resumed its decline and is currently trending lower. If this bearish structure is confirmed on the higher timeframes such as H1 and H4, it may signal that a larger corrective phase on the D1 chart has already begun. Key Levels to Watch 3620: Marked as an important support zone from yesterday, now considered the key level to confirm continued downside. 3630: Aligned with the lower boundary of the ascending channel, where a reaction could occur before the trend direction becomes clearer. Medium-Term Scenarios Gold could decline towards 3550, before bouncing higher again – this is the preferred medium-term scenario. A deeper move towards 3510 is also possible, where liquidity from previous candle wicks may be retested, before the broader uptrend resumes on the daily timeframe. The reason for favouring this medium-term downside: price has already completed the Fibonacci Extension 2.618, which often signals the potential for a corrective pullback. Trading Strategy Observe reactions around 3630 – 3620 – 3610 for potential buy opportunities aligned with the broader bullish structure. Sell setups should only be considered if price closes firmly below 3620, confirming further downside momentum. This is my trading plan for gold today. Use it as a reference and feel free to share your own perspective in the comments.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by BrianLionCapital
XAUUSD – Trend Outlook Ahead of PPIXAUUSD – Trend Outlook Ahead of PPI Hello Traders, Gold has moved close to the Fibonacci 2.618 extension and immediately reacted at this level. Price has already broken through the most recent minor low of the previous uptrend, which in my view indicates a violation of the bullish structure. For a confirmed shift in trend, another leg would be needed to form a more sustainable structure. Still, the basis for a sell bias is already present. Fundamental Factor The US PPI data is due today, with forecasts at 0.3% compared to 0.9% previously. If this projection turns out correct, gold could see another strong upward push. However, my view is that the data may not be as weak as expected, so traders should carefully observe the market reaction to the release before making entries. Key Levels to Watch 3660: This level could be tested again and provide another reaction before a potential downward move begins. It remains the most attractive zone for initiating sell positions. 3318: Should gold confirm a Dow-style lower structure and break past old support, the deeper downside target may lie around this region. Trading Strategy The main strategy for today is to look for sell opportunities: Best entry area: around 3660, if price retests and reacts. Strong confirmation: once a candle closes below previous support, short positions can be taken with targets further down. For intraday traders, scalping opportunities may be considered within the corrective range left from the US session yesterday, as the market redistributes price action. This is my outlook on gold for today – use it as a reference and align it with your own strategy.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by BrianLionCapital
1
Bitcoin – Current Trend UpdateBitcoin – Current Trend Update Hello Traders, Bitcoin continues to follow the structure of an inverse head-and-shoulders pattern, which has not yet been invalidated. After testing the 113.5k zone, price once again reacted lower – this marks the third rejection at this level, confirming it as a key resistance area. For BTC to sustain its bullish momentum and complete the final wave of the formation, this zone will be crucial. Scenarios to Watch Bullish Case: The uptrend remains intact as long as price holds above 109k. In this case, buying opportunities are still valid. Bearish Case: A sustained close below 109k would invalidate the bullish outlook and activate a bearish scenario. Traders should wait for confirmation before committing to shorts. Short-Term View On the lower timeframes, BTC is moving within a sideways range. For intraday traders, range strategies such as buying near support and selling near resistance can still be applied until a clear breakout occurs. Market Sentiment At the moment, most of the market’s attention is shifting towards gold, leaving Bitcoin with relatively lower momentum. This may keep BTC trading in a tighter range, so traders should lower expectations for strong volatility in the immediate term. This is my trading outlook for today. Use it as a reference and feel free to share your own perspectives in the comments.
BINANCE:BTCUSDLong
by BrianLionCapital
6