Bitcoin – Continuing to Follow the Bearish StructureBitcoin – Continuing to Follow the Bearish Structure
BTC has continued to follow the earlier analysis, with price moving back towards the 115,000 zone and resuming its downward waves. The descending channel remains intact and is guiding price action, with the next target area expected near 110,000.
To reach this level, BTC may form another Dow-style downward leg, closely tracking the trendline within the channel. That said, traders should be cautious — MACD is showing rising volume and the moving average is beginning to turn upward, which could be an early warning sign against aggressive short positions.
In trading, following the main trend is always the priority. Going against the market should only be considered when there is clear evidence of large liquidity zones or strong trader sentiment at key levels. Otherwise, trading in line with the prevailing trend remains the safer approach.
For BTC, the strategy is to keep following the descending channel and look for entries at trendline touches. Short-term scalping opportunities may arise around 112,600 and 111,800. The medium-term short entered near 115,000 remains active, with targets set towards 110,000. This zone will also be watched closely as a potential buying area, and decisions can then be made on whether to hold positions for the longer term.
This is my trading outlook for BTC. I hope the scenarios are useful, and I’d love to hear your views in the comments.
#BTCUSD #Bitcoin #CryptoAnalysis #TechnicalAnalysis #PriceAction #Trendline #DowTheory #MACD #CryptoTrading #SwingTrading
Techincalanalysis
Multi-Timeframe Study: Consolidations and Patterns📝 Description:
1️⃣ MTF (Monthly) – Displays a broad consolidation structure with a hidden broadening formation and notable volume clusters marked in recent candles.
2️⃣ DTF (Daily) – Highlights an ascending triangle structure, with clear range boundaries and price compression before expansion.
3️⃣ 15MIN (Intraday) – Shows that the maximum price movement and volume activity occurred on a single candle, illustrating how momentum often concentrates in short bursts.
This chart setup serves as an educational view across multiple timeframes, showing how higher- and lower-TF structures can align.
⚠️ Disclaimer:
This post is purely for educational and structural analysis purposes. Not financial advice.
Bitcoin Update – Price Action Still on TrackBitcoin Update – Price Action Still on Track
Yesterday’s scenario has played out accurately, with BTC continuing to respect the descending channel. Each time price touched the upper trendline, it quickly turned lower, and now it is reacting around the midline of the channel, near the 113,000 zone — exactly the level highlighted earlier as an area to watch.
With this corrective move, I expect BTC could retest the 115,000 area before resuming its broader downtrend. The next downside target remains around 110,000, as larger timeframe structures usually require a corrective pullback before continuing the main trend — something Dow Theory traders will clearly recognise.
Today also coincides with discussions on interest rate policy, which could bring higher volatility as investors take a more cautious stance across global financial markets. However, FOMC outcomes often have limited impact on Bitcoin, given its relative independence from traditional macroeconomic drivers compared to gold or forex markets.
In the short term, traders may consider long opportunities near the 113,000 area with a tight stop just below the recent support, aiming for a corrective move towards 115,000 before the main downtrend resumes.
Strong trading comes from patience and discipline. Stick with the defined scenario rather than reacting emotionally to intraday swings.
Wishing you successful trades. What’s your view on Bitcoin’s price action here? Share your thoughts below.
#BTCUSD #Bitcoin #CryptoAnalysis #TechnicalAnalysis #PriceAction #Trendline #CryptoTrading #SwingTrading
Gold Update – Asian Session Ahead of FOMCGold Update – Asian Session Ahead of FOMC
After yesterday’s sharp decline below 3312, gold found strong support and is now consolidating sideways, building liquidity for the next move. From the current outlook, a short-term rebound is likely before the broader downtrend continues.
Looking at structure, the descending channel remains intact with price respecting the trendline, and yesterday’s break out of the triangle formation reinforced the bearish bias.
From an Elliott Wave perspective, the market may now be forming wave 4. If this rebound carries price back towards the 3325–3330 zone, it will retest a strong resistance area that has repeatedly capped price before. Should that happen, wave 5 could begin — and by theory, it is often the strongest leg.
Fibonacci projections highlight the next support near 3295. If tonight’s FOMC meeting delivers a hawkish outcome in favour of the US dollar, gold could even extend lower towards 3280.
For short-term trading, buyers may consider positions near 3316 with a tight stop just below the recent low, aiming to capture the corrective move of wave 4. On the flip side, if price reacts around 3325–3330, this may provide an opportunity to sell into the expected wave 5, with potential targets extending 40–50 dollars lower if momentum strengthens.
A sustainable trend always alternates between retracements and impulses. Patience in waiting for the right wave often leads to more effective trades than rushing to pick tops or bottoms.
Do you think the FOMC this month will announce a positive interest rate outlook? Share your thoughts in the comments.
#XAUUSD #Gold #TechnicalAnalysis #PriceAction #Fibonacci #ElliottWave #MACD #ForexIndia #CommodityTrading #FOMC
🇮🇳 Gold Under Pressure | Key Levels to Watch TodayGold continues to move in line with our weekly outlook. Despite strong rebounds from liquidity zones, the market still faces heavy selling pressure, unable to break out of the 335x – 336x resistance area.
With no major news events scheduled today, price action is expected to remain within range, making KeyLevels the most important zones to trade from.
📌 Trading Bias Today
Priority remains on SELL setups at upper resistance zones. Adjust entries slightly for better risk–reward.
For BUY positions, wait for deeper entries to avoid liquidity sweeps around 333x – 332x, which have been tested multiple times recently.
🔑 Key Market Levels
Resistance: 3346 – 3357 – 3370 – 3383
Support: 3324 – 3316 – 3309
📌 Trading Plan for India Traders
✅ BUY Zone: 3316 – 3314
SL: 3310
TP: 3320 – 3324 – 3328 – 3332 – 3336 – 3340 – 3350 – 3360+
✅ SELL Zone: 3356 – 3358
SL: 3362
TP: 3352 – 3348 – 3344 – 3340 – 3330 – 3320
⚠️ Summary
Gold remains inside a bearish channel, waiting for a clear breakout. Until major news like the FOMC hits, expect sideways price action within today’s KeyLevels.
👉 Watch reactions closely around 333x – 336x for the next potential move.
Stay disciplined, trade the levels, and let the market show its hand.
ELGIEQUIP (ELGI EQUIPMENTS)ELGIEUIP has re-tested the breakout and looking good, moving above 20-50ema.
Keep an eye on it.
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📌 For learning and educational purposes only, not a recommendation. Please consult your financial advisor before investing.
Bitcoin – Updated Trading ScenarioBitcoin – Updated Trading Scenario
BTC followed the expected move by testing the 117,000 zone before turning lower, but it did not align with the anticipated ABC correction under Elliott Wave. At present, price is showing signs of slipping below the 114,700 support, suggesting that the corrective phase may not have ended at the previous wave 5 low.
Based on Dow Theory, the ongoing decline could extend towards the 113,000 area before the market sees a stronger rebound. A descending channel has now formed, and price is reacting well to the upper trendlines, reflecting that short-side pressure remains dominant.
In this context, prioritising short positions in line with the prevailing downtrend may improve the probability of success. The next major target lies near 110,000, where strong resistance clusters from higher timeframes converge.
For short-term traders, it is possible to take advantage of pullbacks towards the channel trendlines to look for quick entries following the main direction. Risk management is key here, and traders should avoid rushing into longs while the corrective leg is still in play.
A downtrend often lasts longer than expected, but once selling pressure fades, the recovery phase can be sharp. Patience and discipline are essential to capture the right opportunity rather than fighting against the flow.
#BTCUSD #Bitcoin #CryptoAnalysis #TechnicalAnalysis #PriceAction #ElliottWave #MACD #CryptoTrading #ForexIndia
Gold Outlook – Buying as the Main ThemeGold Outlook – Buying as the Main Theme
Gold continues to move in line with previous analyses. Earlier today in the Asian session, the market saw a quick dip due to liquidity being cleared during the daily one-hour break. However, price quickly recovered, broke through the 3339 resistance, and confirmed that buying momentum has returned, strengthening the short-term bullish trend.
Expectations for a new Elliott wave cycle are gradually taking shape. At this point, wave 3 is considered to have begun — typically the strongest phase with greater momentum and wider price swings. This supports the scenario of a medium-term bullish outlook.
Price remains above the key EMA levels, confirming that the long-term trend is intact. The breakout above 3339 reinforces buyer strength and opens the way towards Fibonacci extension targets at 2.618 and 3.618. MACD also maintains positive momentum, while Elliott structure suggests that wave 3 still has room to extend further.
As long as gold holds above the 3336–3338 zone, this remains a reasonable area to consider buying. A minor pullback around this level would offer an even better opportunity to join the trend, with a stop-loss of about 6 dollars to manage risk effectively.
When price approaches Fibonacci extension targets, traders may consider partial profit-taking or look for short-term selling opportunities. This approach will be suitable given how far wave 3 has already extended.
It is important to monitor price reactions around the extension zones. Higher timeframes such as H1–H4 should be prioritised to capture the broader structure and avoid market noise.
A strong trend never moves in a straight line; it always comes with pauses and retracements. Staying patient and riding with the main trend is often the best way to maximise profits in the medium term.
#XAUUSD #Gold #TechnicalAnalysis #PriceAction #Fibonacci #ElliottWave #MACD #Forex #IndiaTrading
Vodafone Idea (VI) chart pattern analysis + fundamentals + peer Vodafone Idea (VI) chart pattern analysis + fundamentals + peer comparison + learnings
-Technical Chart Analysis – Vodafone Idea (Weekly)
-CMP (Current Market Price): 6.46 (+5.04%)
-Trend: Stock has been in a long-term downtrend since 2018.
👉Key Support Levels:
5.70 (immediate)
4.20 (medium-term)
2.40 (long-term bottom)
👉Resistance Levels:
8.50 (immediate)
12.20 (medium-term)
16.80, then 29.3 & 39.7 (long-term hurdles)
👉Pattern Observation:
Price is struggling near a channel support line.
Stock is in a make-or-break zone – either bounces back from current support or risks sliding further.
Any weekly close above 8.5 will confirm strength and may lead to 12–16 zone.
👉 Fundamental Comparison (Vodafone Idea vs Competitors)
(FY24 / recent data approx)
Company Revenue ( Cr) Net Profit Debt ( Cr) Market Share (Telecom) P/E Ratio ARPU (Avg Revenue/User)
Vodafone Idea - 42,000 Loss (-29,000 Cr) - 2.1 lakh Cr - 19% NA (Loss-making) - 145
Bharti Airtel - 1.4 lakh Cr Profit (- 8,300 Cr) - 1.6 lakh Cr - 33% - 68x - 208
Reliance Jio - 98,000 Cr Profit (- 20,000 Cr) - 1.1 lakh Cr - 38% - 22x - 182
🔑 Key Observations:
-VI is the only loss-making player in top 3.
-Heavy debt (- 2.1 lakh Cr) makes survival tough without tariff hikes or govt. relief.
-ARPU (revenue per customer) is lowest among peers, which shows weak monetization.
-Airtel & Jio are fundamentally stronger with consistent profits.
👉 Basic Learnings for Students / New Investors
1. Chart Patterns Reflect History – A stock in downtrend for years (like VI) shows structural weakness; don’t catch falling knives without reason.
2. Support & Resistance Levels – Help in risk management; always watch where the stock can bounce or fall.
3. Debt is a Red Flag – Too much borrowing restricts growth; fundamentals matter more than temporary price spikes.
4. Compare with Competitors – If peers are profitable (Airtel, Jio) and one is struggling (VI), investors must be cautious.
5. Turnaround Bets are Risky – Such stocks may give multi-bagger returns if revived, or wipe out wealth if debt crushes survival.
Disclaimer👉
This analysis is for educational purposes only. It is not financial advice or stock recommendation. Always consult a SEBI-registered advisor before investing. Market investments carry risk.
#VodafoneIdea #StockMarketIndia #TechnicalAnalysis #FundamentalAnalysis #Airtel #RelianceJio #TelecomSector #StockMarketForBeginners #InvestmentLearning #SupportResistance #ChartAnalysis
POLICYBZR (PB FINTECH LTD.)POLICYBZR gave BO of an old resistance, then re-tested and now seems to be getting ready.
It made VCP pattern. Making Hammer candles, decent volume, above 20-50ema, crossing the resistance again, there is probability of an upside move.
Keep eyes on it 👀
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Fed Set to Cut 50bps: Gold Gains as the Bullish Wave Forms Again📌 Macro Overview
US Treasury Secretary Bessent gives the green light for a potential 50-basis-point rate cut by the Fed in September.
July CPI remains soft → USD weakens, bond yields fall, boosting gold’s bullish outlook.
Gold briefly touched $3,370/oz, closing at $3,355.9/oz (+0.24%).
Gains capped as US equities continue to break records and geopolitical tensions ease.
Market focus now shifts to PPI data, jobless claims, and the anticipated Trump–Putin meeting for the next directional cues.
🧐 Technical Outlook – MMFLOW Analysis
The bullish recovery wave is clearly re-emerging after a corrective phase, with price hunting liquidity zones left behind in the recent retracement.
Preferred strategy: Trade around key liquidity levels or continuation zones for SELL opportunities; BUY entries will be taken earlier to catch the recovery wave within the current price channel.
Price Structure & Observation Zones:
Short-term uptrend channel intact, primary support at 3336 – 3334 (Liquidity – OBS BUY Zone).
Major resistance at 3394 – 3396 (Liquidity Grab Zone + H1 Supply).
🎯 MMFLOW Trading Plan
🔹 BUY SCALP – Catch the recovery wave
Entry: 3336 – 3334
SL: 3330
TP: 3340 – 3345 – 3350 – 3355 – 3360 – 3365 – 3370 – 3380 – ???
🔹 SELL SCALP – Counter-trend at resistance
Entry: 3394 – 3396
SL: 3400
TP: 3390 – 3385 – 3380 – 3370 – 3360
📊 Key Levels
Resistance: 3365 – 3370 – 3395
Support: 3340 – 3336 – 3330
💡 MMFLOW Strategy Tip:
Wait for price to retest the 3336 – 3334 BUY ZONE for trend-following BUY positions.
Watch for liquidity absorption signals at 339x – a potential SELL reversal zone.
JIOFINJIOFIN is looking good, breakout from here may give a good upside move.
EMAs are aligned, keep eyes on it.
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📌 For learning and educational purposes only, not a recommendation. Please consult your financial advisor before investing.
Bank Nifty spot 56528.90 by Daily Chart view - Weekly updateBank Nifty spot 56528.90 by Daily Chart view - Weekly update
- Resistance Zone seen at 56850 to 57250 and then ATH Level 57628.40
- Updated Rising Support Channel indicates Index Spot hopefully sustains
- Support Zone seen at 59550 to 56285 of Bank Nifty Index yet seems sustained
- Next fairly decent Support Zone seen at 55050 to 55450 of Bank Nifty Index Levels
- *Multiple reasons attribute for weakness and breakdown and that is how Markets show their Supremacy*
MARKSANSMARKSANS looks good, it's been facing resistance for a long time, and now constantly making HL and Equal highs.
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INTERARCHINTERARCH is looking strong, there is probability of an upside move.
Keep eyes on this.
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📌 For learning and educational purposes only, not a recommendation. Please consult your financial advisor before investing.
Advance Option Trading Why Institutions Prefer Options
Leverage – Control large positions with small capital
Risk Management – Protect portfolios
Cash Flow – Earn premium income
Volatility Play – Earn from IV rise/fall
Customization – Tailored exposure using exotic options
Core Strategies Used by Institutions
1. Protective Puts
Buy puts to insure large stock holdings against downside risk.
2. Covered Calls
Earn premium income on long-term stock holdings.
3. Calendar Spreads
Take advantage of time decay and volatility differences.
4. Straddles & Strangles
Bet on volatility movement, not direction.
Tools Used by Institutional Option Traders
Bloomberg Terminal – Real-time data, pricing models
Quantitative Models – Black-Scholes, Binomial Trees
Algo Execution – Smart order routing
Risk Management Software – VaR, Greeks analysis
Option Analytics Platforms – Orats, Trade Alert
Option Trading Part-1 What Is Institutional Option Trading?
Institutional Option Trading involves using derivatives (Options) for:
Hedging big equity portfolios
Speculating on volatility or price movement
Arbitrage opportunities
🔹 Key Techniques:
Volatility Arbitrage
Delta-Neutral Hedging
Covered Calls
Protective Puts
Iron Condors & Spreads
How Institutions Use Options Differently
✅ Retail Focus:
Naked calls/puts
Directional trades
Limited capital
✅ Institutional Focus:
Portfolio insurance
Complex multi-leg strategies
Implied Volatility arbitrage
Event-based hedging (like earnings or Fed news)
Option TradingInstitutional Trading – The Backbone of Markets
✅ Who Are Institutional Traders?
They are big market participants such as:
Pension Funds
Insurance Companies
Hedge Funds
Mutual Funds
Foreign Institutional Investors (FIIs)
✅ Why Are They Important?
Provide liquidity in markets
Trade with large volumes
Influence market trends
Institution Option Trading What Is Trading?
Trading refers to buying and selling financial instruments (stocks, options, futures) in financial markets for profit. It can be:
Retail Trading – Done by individual investors.
Institutional Trading – Conducted by large organizations like banks, mutual funds, hedge funds.
What Is Investing?
Investing involves allocating capital with the expectation of long-term wealth generation. It focuses on:
Value appreciation
Dividends or returns over time
Longer holding periods
PVR Channel Break out - Upside 5% Gain (short term)PVR INOX: Setting the Stage for a 5% Upside?
PVR INOX Ltd is showing signs of a potential breakout, with technical indicators aligning for a short-term upside of around 5%. On the hourly chart, the stock is consolidating above key EMAs (968–970 zone), forming a bullish structure supported by a rising trendline.
Current Price: ₹974.50
Upside Target: ₹1,020+
Indicators: EMA confluence, breakout from descending channel, volume uptick
Morning Doji Star - Bullish (Emerging) 1 day Time frame
What’s fueling the optimism?
- 🔥 Strong box office performance in early 2025, with collections up 39% YoY in Jan–Feb
- 🎟️ Highest-grossing February since COVID, led by hits like Chhaava
- 💼 Promoter stake increase and bullish brokerage calls (ICICI Securities sees up to 100% long-term upside)
With a robust content pipeline and improving fundamentals, PVR INOX might just be ready for its next act.
Trading Master ClassPost-Trade Processing
Clearing and Settlement: Trades are cleared by clearing houses and settled typically on T+1 or T+2 basis.
Regulatory Reporting: All trades must be reported for transparency and compliance.
Performance Review and Compliance
Evaluation: Execution quality, cost efficiency, and market impact are reviewed.
Audit Trails: Maintain detailed records for regulatory bodies like SEBI, SEC, etc.
Continuous Improvement: Algorithms and strategies are refined based on trade performance.
Key Components in Institutional Trading
Liquidity Management: Large trades need sufficient liquidity to avoid market disruption.
Algorithmic Support: Automated systems manage trade slicing and timing.
Risk Control: Continuous monitoring of exposure, slippage, and adverse market moves.






















