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Technical Analysis

GBPUSD: Technical uptrend continues!Hello everyone, today, GBP/USD rose to levels near 1.2535 early in the Asian session. This move was driven mainly by the significant weakening of the US dollar (USD) after the US Federal Reserve (Fed) decided to keep interest rates unchanged. Analysis from the chart shows that GBP/USD has broken away from the previous downtrend, starting to form a new uptrend with important support around the 1,247 area. Looking ahead, buyers appear to have the upper hand, with the next target being resistance at 1,256. If this uptrend continues, the next level could be 1,269, especially if GBP/USD can turn 1,256 into a new support area.
Long
by RKarina
GBPUSD bull’s journey to retake control appears long and bumpyGBPUSD grinds higher past 50% Fibonacci retracement of October 2023 to March 2024 upside as traders await more clues about Friday’s US employment report for April. In doing so, the Pound Sterling extends the late April rebound from a 61.8% Fibonacci ratio surrounding 1.2365, also known as the golden Fibonacci ratio. That said, the bullish MACD signals and a steady RSI (14) line also underpin the Cable pair’s recovery moves targeting the 200-SMA hurdle of 1.2550. In a case where the quote remains firmer past 1.2550, a five-month-old support-turned-resistance line around 1.2570 will test the buyers before directing them to a downward-sloping resistance line stretched from March, close to 1.2600. Following that, the 100-SMA hurdle of 1.2650 will act as the final defense of the sellers ahead of giving up control. Alternatively, the GBPUSD pair’s pullback could aim for the 50.0% and 61.8% Fibonacci ratios, respectively around 1.2465 and 1.2365. However, Pound Sterling’s fall past 1.2365 will make it vulnerable to drop toward the yearly low marked in April around 1.2300. It should be noted that the pair’s weakness past 1.2300 won’t hesitate to challenge the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement level of 1.2220 and the late 2023 low of around 1.2035. Overall, the GBPUSD pair is likely to extend the latest recovery but there are multiple resistances to challenge the bull’s confidence.
by MTradingGlobal
EURUSD drops toward key support line near 1.0600 on Fed DayEURUSD remains pressured at the lowest level in a week, extending the late April’s retreat from 20-SMA and a six-month-old support-turned-resistance, as traders await the US Federal Reserve (Fed) monetary policy announcements. The Euro pair’s weakness also takes clues from an impending bear cross on the MACD and an absence of oversold RSI conditions. With this, the quote is likely to extend the latest fall toward an ascending support line stretched from early October 2023, close to 1.0610 at the latest. Following that, the yearly low marked in April around 1.0600 and multiple lows registered during late 2023 near 1.0520 and 1.0490 will test the bears before directing them toward the previous yearly low of 1.0448. Alternatively, the US Fed’s inability to inspire the EURUSD bulls, mainly amid the high hopes, could trigger a quick recovery in the pair prices toward the 20-SMA hurdle of 1.0710. However, the quote’s further upside needs validation from the previous support line stretched from early November 2023 surrounding 1.0740. It should be noted that a convergence of the 200-SMA and 50-SMA, near the 1.0800 threshold at the latest, appears a tough nut to crack for the buyers, a clear break of which will enable them to confront the final defense of the sellers, namely a downward-sloping resistance line from December 2023, near 1.0865 as we write. To sum up, the EURUSD is on the way to testing the key support line as market players await the FOMC verdict. However, high hopes from the US central bank and a limited downside room for the pair suggest hardships for the sellers past 1.0600.
by MTradingGlobal
USDJPY reverses pullback from 34-year high on mixed Japan dataA mixed bag of Japan statistics triggered the USDJPY pair’s fresh run-up early Tuesday. In doing so, the Yen pair justifies mostly downbeat employment and activity data from the Asian major while reversing the previous day’s retreat from the highest level since 1990. Also favoring the upside bias are the bullish MACD signals and the quote’s U-turn from a seven-week-old rising support line, close to 154.70 by the press time. With this, the risk-barometer pair is likely approaching the 160.00 threshold. However, the overbought RSI conditions could challenge the buyers around the recent multi-year peak of 160.20. Even if the pair remains firmer past 160.20, the year 1990’s high of 160.40 and an upward-sloping resistance line stretched from late June 2023, around 161.60 at the latest, can prod the bulls. On the contrary, USDJPY sellers need validation from the aforementioned support line from early March surrounding 154.70, as well as FOMC and the US NFP, to retake control even for a short term. Following that, an 18-month-old previous resistance line near 151.75 and the bottom line of a 10-month-long rising wedge bearish chart pattern, around 150.80, will be in the spotlight. In a case where the Yen pair remains bearish past 150.80, the 150.00 psychological magnet and the 200-SMA level of 148.20 will act as the final defense of the buyers. Overall, the USDJPY pair remains bullish but the upside room appears limited as traders await this week’s key data/events, namely the monetary policy announcements from the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) and the monthly US employment report.
by MTradingGlobal
200-EMA tests AUDUSD bulls as Fed-NFP week beginsAUDUSD remains on the front foot at the highest level in nearly a fortnight, after jumping the most on a week since December 2023, during the early hours of the key week comprising the monetary policy meeting of the US Federal Reserve (Fed) and the US monthly employment report. In doing so, the risk-barometer pair justifies the upside break of the 100-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA), bullish MACD signals, and upbeat RSI (14) conditions. Given the US Dollar’s preparations for top-tier data/events, coupled with the bullish technical details, the Aussie pair is likely to overcome the immediate upside hurdle, namely the 200-EMA level surrounding 0.6570. However, a downward-sloping resistance line from early January, close to 0.6615 at the latest, will precede a 3.5-month-old horizontal resistance zone of 0.6640-50 to challenge the bulls. Meanwhile, AUDUSD sellers remain off the table unless the quote stays beyond the 100-EMA immediate support of 0.6542. Even if the quote slips beneath the nearly EMA support, the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement of October-December upside, close to 0.6500, and February’s low of 0.6442 will stop the bears from taking control. In a case where the Aussie pair remains bearish past 0.6442, the yearly low marked on April 19 around 0.6360 will be in the spotlight. Overall, the AUDUSD pair gains upside traction ahead of the key US catalysts but the bulls should remain cautious beneath 0.6650.
by MTradingGlobal
What number will gold end the trading session at?Dear beloved readers, gold continued its recovery on the last trading day of the week, trading around $2,340 and marking a 0.3% increase for the day. As a result, the USD faced further disadvantages last night, creating momentum for the recovery of XAUUSD. In the short term, this metal continues to receive support from investors as it maintains a strong upward trend within the price channel, with a support level established at $2,330. The target is to reach the upper limit of the price channel, with gold potentially reaching $2,350 and possibly even higher by the end of the session.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by RKarina
What does gold promise in the near future?Hello dear friends, let's recap the gold prices from last week and strategize for the upcoming week. Overall, there was no surprising volatility in gold last week, as it adjusted from $2400 to $2338. This decrease followed the expected cyclical pattern in gold's movement, so there is no immediate reason to worry about this metal. In the past couple of days, gold has once again recovered as buyers successfully defended the support level around $2300 USD. Although this did not lead to any breakthroughs like we saw in previous price increases, it still demonstrates the strong strength of the upward trend. Looking ahead: Long-term outlook: Gold continues its upward trajectory, with a favorable target of $2500 USD. Short-term outlook: The precious metal has established a new support level, moving steadily around the EMA 34 and 89 lines, showing signs of convergence with the support line. Therefore, we can anticipate the possibility of price increases in the new trading week when the market reopens.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by RKarina
GBPUSD: Recovery again?Hello everyone, here! Today, after a positive close for two consecutive days, GBP/USD has regained momentum and climbed above the 1.2500 level for the first time in nearly two weeks. The short-term technical outlook for this currency pair indicates an upward trend as it has successfully surpassed the resistance level at 1.248 and turned it into a new support level. The price action currently shows a convergence between the two EMA lines and this support level, therefore, the outlook is aimed at higher levels, surpassing the resistance level at 1.256. Wishing you all a happy weekend of trading!
Long
by RKarina
USDJPY: Continuing uptrend!Hello everyone, what are your thoughts on the recent developments in USDJPY? Currently, the USD/JPY pair is showing a significant upward trend due to a substantial interest rate differential between the United States and Japan. With the Federal Reserve setting the Federal Fund Rate at 5.25%-5.50% and the Bank of Japan maintaining near-zero interest rates at 0.0%-0.1%, the USD holds a clear advantage in attracting investment compared to the JPY. This continues to support the upward trajectory of USD/JPY.
Long
by RKarina
Update the latest gold price today!Hello everyone, after the first two sessions of the week falling by about 90 USD/ounce, the world gold price has recovered slightly and shown that the support threshold of 2,300 USD/ounce is quite solid, raising the belief that the recent decline is Buying opportunity for long-term investors. Gold prices remain high due to concerns about instability in the Middle East and Ukraine. In addition, weaker US economic data is also supporting gold prices as the US service and manufacturing industries show signs of decline. In the long term, gold is still in an upward trend. However, in the short term, gold may also suffer deeper corrections because the decline in the first two sessions of the week is not significant compared to the growth that has lasted since the end of December last year.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by RKarina
EURUSD: Moving steadily in the bullish channel!Hello dear friends, during today's Asian trading session, the EUR/USD exchange rate has fluctuated around the psychological level of 1.0700. The pair's modest growth was supported by weakness in the US Dollar. From a technical analysis perspective, this pair is stable and moving in an upward channel. The next target for the buying strategy is towards the 1.073 resistance level, which is also the upper limit of the bullish channel being observed.
Long
by RKarina
Gold price today: Back to the track.Hello dear friends. Today, gold is starting to increase again as the Bull side successfully maintains a high price above the support level of 2300 USD. As a result, gold has gained nearly 150 pips compared to the same time yesterday and is moving around the two EMA lines of 34 and 89 at a level of 2335 USD. The short-term trendline continues to favor the buying side. As long as the support level of 2300 USD is held steady, there is potential for a retest of the resistance level at 2400 USD, in line with the long-term trend of gold in recent weeks.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by RKarina
EURUSD: Will the weekend increase or decrease?Hello everyone, what are your thoughts on the current situation of EURUSD? This currency pair is currently trading steadily around 1.070, and the recovery process continues until Friday, making last week completely favorable for buyers. From the daily chart, the price has reached the sensitive Fibonacci retracement level of 0.618, which is significant at this time. If this pair continues its recovery trend and closes above the range of 0.5 - 0.618, it will form a challenge to the resistance level of 1.088. However, EURUSD is still trading below the EMA 34 and 89 lines, and the price volatility scenario according to Dow's theory is still quite feasible. In that case, the support level at 1.060 will be an important point of acceptance for this currency pair.
by RKarina
USDJPY refreshes 34-year high on BoJ’s dovish haltUSDJPY prints a three-day winning streak while rising to a fresh high since 1990 as it justifies the Bank of Japan’s (BoJ) dovish halt. That said, the BoJ kept its benchmark rates unchanged, as expected, but omitted the mention of bond buying operations which were anticipated to suggest the Japanese central bank’s hawkish turn. With this, the Yen pair pokes an upward-sloping resistance line stretched from early December, around 155.90 at the latest. Given the overbought RSI conditions and the recently easing bullish bias of the MACD, the quote is likely to witness a pullback, which in turn highlights the 155.00 threshold and the mid-month peak surrounding 154.80. However, the bottom line of a six-week-old rising wedge bearish chart formation, close to 154.20 as we write, will be the key to watch for the seller’s entry. In a case where the pair remains weak past 154.20, a six-month-old horizontal support line near 151.70 will precede an area comprising multiple levels marked since early February, around 150.90-80, to challenge the pair bears. Above all, the USDJPY pair buyers should remain hopeful unless witnessing a daily closing beneath an ascending trend line from late December 2023, near 150.30 at the latest. On the contrary, a successful upside break of the aforementioned multi-month-old resistance line surrounding 155.90 will need validation from the top line of a short-term rising wedge bearish chart formation, near 156.10. Should the USDJPY pair buyers ignore overbought RSI and keep the reins past 156.10, the odds of witnessing a gradual run-up toward the 160.00 psychological magnet and then to the year 1990 peak of 160.40 can’t be ruled out. Overall, the USDJPY pair remains bullish beyond 150.30 but a short-term pullback appears overdue.
by MTradingGlobal
GBPUSD: Looking for a new breakthrough!Hi everybody! After rising above the 1.2450 level during the Asian session on Wednesday, GBP/USD failed to maintain momentum and fell below this mark. However, according to short-term technical analysis, the pair remains in a favorable position as long as the 1.2400 support level remains in place. The weakness of the US Dollar (USD) has become the driving force for GBP/USD to recover after a losing streak. Going forward today, US Durable Goods Orders data for March will be closely watched for fresh dynamics. While the recent figures did not move the market much, the market reaction to Tuesday's disappointing PMI report indicated that weaker figures could weaken the USD and provide further support for the GBP/USD in recovery of upward momentum.
Long
by RKarina