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Technical Analysis

EURUSD: Stable waiting for new news!Hello traders! The EURUSD exchange rate is currently performing well, not deviating too far from yesterday's attractive position. It seems like we are all in this stable meditation garden, and it may stick with us until the end of the day and beyond. The Bollinger Bands range is back in action, stretching between the resistance level at 1.088 and the support level at 1.081. At the time of writing my thoughts, the price is at 1.0850, experiencing a 0.06% decline for the day. Let me tell you, a cautious atmosphere is gradually emerging as we approach the release of the US CPI index and the FOMC minutes, both scheduled for Wednesday this week. What is your strategy as we wait for the unveiling of these economic dramas?
by RKarina
EURUSD pares the biggest daily loss in 13 months on ECB DayWednesday’s strong US inflation data and hawkish Fed Minutes portrayed the EURUSD pair’s biggest daily slump since March 2023. Even so, the Euro pair failed to conquer a five-month-old rising support line, close to 1.0730 by the press time. The inability to break important support joins the market’s consolidation ahead of the European Central Bank (ECB) Interest Rate Decision to trigger the quote’s corrective bounce. However, the below 50.00 status of the RSI (14) line joins the bearish MACD signals to challenge the bullish bias, which in turn highlights the aforementioned 1.0730 support for the sellers to watch. Following that, the yearly low of 1.0695 and the mid-November 2023 bottom surrounding 1.0655 will act as the final defenses of the bulls. On the contrary, a 50% Fibonacci retracement of the pair’s October-December 2023 upside, close to 1.0795, quickly followed by the 1.0800 threshold, cap the immediate upside of the EURUSD. Even if the quote manages to remain firmer past 1.0800, 200-SMA and 100-SMA will challenge the Euro buyers around 1.0830 and 1.0870 respectively. It’s worth noting that the pair’s upside past 1.0870 remains inconclusive for the bulls unless crossing a downward-sloping resistance line stretched from December 2023, near 1.0900 threshold at the latest. To sum up, the EURUSD pair consolidates heavy losses ahead of the key ECB event, as well as the US PPI data. However, the bullish bias appears less convincing below 1.0900, especially when the ECB is likely to announce a dovish halt.
by MTradingGlobal
The rising momentum shows no signs of cooling down!Gold is heading towards its eighth consecutive record-breaking day, showing no signs of slowing down to provide better entry points for the upward trend. The precious metal has few indications that the price increase will be threatened, and the CPI index will be the focus of today's trading. Looking back at recent days, even the NFP couldn't weaken gold, so it's exactly what was observed last week, with the weaker US dollar truly adding more appeal to gold. Market sentiment The buyer/seller ratio is indicating dominance in buyer changes, providing a trading signal contrary to popular belief that gold may decrease in value. Technical outlook On the H4 timeframe, the upward trend is still present, but the momentum is slowing down with shorter candles and a short-term consolidation pattern. In the event that gold continues to rise, the price target of 2370-2380 USD will be of interest today, where there are many short-term sell contracts waiting to be matched.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by RKarina
USDJPY: Silent for weeks!What are people's thoughts on the USDJPY breaking through the 152.00 resistance level? This currency pair has been hovering just below this resistance level for quite some time now, seemingly trapped in an endless sideways movement. But just because it hasn't broken out yet doesn't mean it won't. We may just need a little more time for the market to make a decision, especially with news that could potentially cause this currency pair to move in unpredictable ways, solely based on technical analysis. However, if you're paying attention to it, consider trying to signal a sell when it reaches the resistance level I've marked on the chart, in order to achieve short-term profit targets.
by RKarina
Update the latest gold informationHello gold enthusiasts! 🌟 As the US Dollar Index cools, gold's glowing appeal persists, with today's trading keeping the precious metal at an impressive $2,345—a gain of 0.26% on the day. However, with a series of consecutive price increases, gold faces a wave of profit-taking. Even so, the metal's shine has not dimmed, fueled by three powerful undercurrents fueling its record rise: 🔹 Geopolitical currents: Ongoing conflicts in Ukraine and Gaza stir volatile waters, with the potential for spillover to other countries keeping investors and governments on high alert. In these turbulent waters, gold emerges as a sturdy lifeboat for those seeking shelter from the storm. 🔹 Central bank gold rush: World Gold Council reports show notable gains, with global central bank gold reserves increasing by 19 tonnes in February. 🔹 Inflation prevention: As the wave of inflation increases, gold's reputation as a bulwark is reinforced, against the erosion of currency value. In terms of news: This week's economic calendar tends to be brighter, all attention is focused on the US Consumer Price Index (CPI) report for March, predicted on Wednesday (April 10). ), followed by the US Producer Price Index (PPI) and weekly unemployment claims on Thursday (April 11).
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by RKarina
Gold prices today continue to remain stable at a high levelThe price of gold today continues to rise, with gold reaching $2,352.5 in the early hours of the Asian session. However, it later retreated and stabilized around $2,345. The metal's upward momentum is driven by safe-haven buying amid concerns over conflicts. Meanwhile, the market is awaiting the minutes of the Federal Reserve's policy meeting and inflation data, which will be released later in the day, to find further clues about the future interest rate trajectory in the United States. The Consumer Price Index (CPI) for March is expected to increase by 3.4% compared to the same period last year. The core CPI is up 3.7% annually. As a result, CPI data could create volatility in the gold market, and technical buying momentum will continue unless the CPI data is much hotter than expected. A lower inflation report could push gold to touch $2,400 per ounce and vice versa.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by RKarina
1
GBP/USD maintains a slight decline below 1.2700On this eventful Wednesday, the story of GBPUSD continues its recovery streak, gracefully dancing along the 34 and 89 EMA lines. The upward momentum has prominently returned as it approaches the Fibonacci level of 0.618, currently hovering around the 1.267 mark. Short-term wisdom primarily leans towards buying strategies, aiming for a swift victory at the peak of 1.270 before grappling with the decision to push towards the resistance level of 1.279 once again! Meanwhile, all eyes in the market are glued to the upcoming release of the US Consumer Price Index on Wednesday, eagerly anticipating whether it will reflect price pressures surpassing the Fed's target rate. Truly, it is a suspenseful moment as we await signals of whether economic trends will change in favor of us or not.
Long
by RKarina
RSI divergence prods gold bulls, US inflation, Fed Minutes eyedGold price makes rounds to the record top early Wednesday as market players await the all-important US Consumer Price Index (CPI) and Minutes of the latest Federal Reserve (Fed) monetary policy meeting. Apart from the pre-data anxiety, a bearish RSI divergence on the four-hour chart also challenges the XAUUSD buyers. That said, the lower low in the RSI (14) line contrasts with the higher high in the bullion prices to portray the bearish divergence and tease the sellers. However, a week-long bullish trend channel, currently between $2,314 and $2,375, restricts the precious metal’s short-term moves. Even if the prices drop beneath the $2,314 support, the bears need validation from the $2,300 threshold and convergence of the 100-bar Exponential Moving Average (EMA) and a 1.5-month-old rising trend line, close to $2,245-42, to retake control. Meanwhile, a fresh upside in the Gold price could aim for the stated bullish channel’s top line, around $2,375 at the latest. Following that, the 100% Fibonacci Extension (FE) of the quote’s February-March moves, near $2,398, will precede the $2,400 threshold to lure the XAUUSD buyers. It’s worth noting that the precious metal’s advances past $2,400 won’t hesitate to aim for the $2,500 psychological magnet. Overall, the Gold buyers are running out of steam ahead of this week’s top-tier data/events.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by MTradingGlobal
Gold and its upcoming direction!The relentless surge of gold to a new record high in the opening session of April is being driven by predictions of US interest rate cuts and its appeal as a safe haven asset, currently holding steady at around $2,255. The real driving force behind gold's upward trajectory is the growing belief among investors that the US Federal Reserve will loosen monetary policies. Market watchers are eagerly anticipating an early rate cut by the Fed, possibly in May or June. The recent increase in this precious metal is also fueled by strong buying pressure from central banks worldwide, as they diversify their reserves amid geopolitical risks, domestic inflation, and a weakening US dollar. The consensus is clear: gold thrives in favorable conditions and is poised to continue breaking new records in the near future.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by RKarina
9
Latest gold update: Continue to conquer new recordsDear friend, Today, gold ended the trading session with a significant price increase. The precious metal reached a high of around $2330 after touching $2270, gaining $60 in just one day. You may be wondering why gold is rising so strongly. In terms of international market information: Despite better-than-expected US employment data, the global gold price continues to skyrocket, setting new records in weekend trading sessions and marking the third consecutive week of gains. Recently, considering the strength of the economy and inflation data, Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell reiterated the view that the US central bank has time to consider when to cut interest rates for the first time. According to CME FedWatch, traders are currently pricing in a 59% chance of a rate cut in June. Conclusion: Currently, I am very optimistic about the possibility of gold prices reaching $2400 per ounce. In the context of central banks continuing to buy gold to diversify foreign exchange reserves, higher US bond yields or a stronger US dollar will not be obstacles for gold. With the current trend, it is possible for prices to continue rising next week. There is evidence that once it reaches the level
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by RKarina
Strong upward trend continues for XAUUSD!Hello everyone, today the price of precious metals has reached a new record high due to the buying activity of central banks in Asia. A new published report reveals that the People's Bank of China has added 160,000 ounces of gold to its reserves in March. Turkey, India, Kazakhstan, and some Eastern European countries have also been purchasing gold this year, leading to a continued rise in prices. Despite expectations of changing interest rates, the recent increase in demand for gold will continue until the end of this year due to hidden supply pressures caused by concerns about economic downturn and ongoing conflicts. The new recovery of gold has only just begun, and it won't be long before Western retail investors jump into the market and drive this precious metal to reach new record levels.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by RKarina
GBPUSD: buyHello everyone! Just as we predicted, GBPUSD has increased after successfully testing the support level at 1.257. Currently, it is trading around the 1.265 level, with strong upward momentum and aiming to immediately conquer the resistance level at 1.266. The US dollar has slightly depreciated as moderate risk appetite has prolonged the recovery process of this currency pair from its lows after the NFP. Positive market sentiment is putting pressure on the US dollar and supporting GBPUSD. However, it is important to monitor this currency pair, especially with the upcoming release of the US Consumer Price Index on Wednesday, as this index could provide new impetus for the movement of this currency pair.
Long
by RKarina
EURUSD: Buying strategy is still supportedThe EUR/USD pair experienced a modest increase, reaching around 1.0860 in the early Asian trading session on Tuesday. The decline in the US Dollar (USD) has provided some support for this currency pair, with growing optimism fueled by various technical indicators. The upward momentum is being observed and strengthened as a new level of support forms, aligning with the EMA 34 and 89. As long as buyers maintain this support level, the scenario of price increase remains entirely reasonable.
Long
by RKarina
NZDUSD grinds higher past 0.6000 ahead of RBNZ, US InflationNZDUSD remains positive around 0.6035-40 early Tuesday, despite lacking upside momentum of late. In doing so, the Kiwi pair defends the previous week’s rebound from the lowest level since November 2023 while portraying the trader’s anxiety ahead of Wednesday’s monetary policy announcements from the Reserve Bank of New Zealand (RBNZ) and the US inflation data, namely the Consumer Price Index (CPI). It should be noted that the recovery in price takes the support of the upbeat RSI (14) conditions and the bullish MACD signals, which in turn suggests brighter chances of the quote’s further advances. However, the 200-SMA and a five-month-old previous support line, respectively near 0.6070 and 0.6115, appear tough nuts to crack for the bulls. In a case where the buyers manage to keep the reins past 0.6115, the odds of witnessing a gradual run-up toward a four-month-old horizontal resistance area surrounding 0.6220 can’t be ruled out. Meanwhile, the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement of the quote’s October-November upside, close to the 0.6000 psychological magnet, restricts the immediate downside of the NZDUSD pair. Following that, the aforementioned horizontal area comprising lows marked since mid-November 2023, near 0.5940, will be the key challenge for the Kiwi pair sellers to pass before retaking control. Should the pair remain bearish past 0.5940, the November 14 low of around 0.5860 will act as the final defense of the buyers before driving prices down to the previous yearly bottom of 0.5773. Overall, the NZDUSD pair is likely to extend the latest rebound ahead of the RBNZ and the US CPI, unless the output of the data/events suggests otherwise.
by MTradingGlobal
EURUSD: The movement trend is not clear!EUR/USD appears to have made a breakthrough above 1.0800 at the beginning of Monday, breaking free from a three-week downtrend. However, the short-term technical outlook paints a picture of indecisiveness in this currency pair. On one hand, strong NFP data from the US continues to bolster the US Dollar, while optimistic industrial production figures from Germany and investor confidence from EU Sentix have not had a significant impact on the Euro. If this pair surpasses the level of 1.0870, it could establish a strong foundation for a bullish recovery in EUR/USD. Conversely, the EMA 34 and 89 indicators currently lean towards a slight downtrend, indicating a lack of momentum for any significant price movements in either direction. Therefore, the support level at 1.0800 is still being monitored for potential retesting.
by RKarina
Where will gold prices go this week?Hello everyone, following last week's upward trend, gold has once again started the second trading session with strong price increases. In the early trading hours, gold briefly reached $2354 but quickly retreated and is currently at $2337, marking a 0.31% increase for the day. In light of escalating tensions, gold's traditional headwinds have failed to impede its upward momentum in the past week. The precious metal has shown steady growth, ending the week with a 5% increase. Looking at gold's recent fluctuations, it is no longer heavily reliant on the direction of the US dollar. Gold is now establishing itself as a global currency and overshadowing traditional pressures, pushing it to new record levels.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by RKarina
EURUSD bullish outlook?Hello everyone! After a long period of decline, EURUSD ended the week with gains and is currently trading at 1.0836. It can be observed across most time frames that the EU has achieved significant milestones, indicating a very positive price outlook. With EU continuing to trade steadily at these high levels, there is a possibility that the price level of 1.082 will be retested in the near future, forming a trend line and using it as a strong support for further price increase. The expected price levels are currently 1.087 and then 1.093
Long
by RKarina
USDJPY bulls eye multi-day-old resistance line and US InflationUSDJPY picks up bids within a fortnight-old trading range while defending the previous day’s rebound from a 150.80-90 support confluence, comprising the 21-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) and multiple levels marked in the last two months. The Yen pair’s recovery also justifies the upbeat RSI (14) line and inspires buyers to poke an upward-sloping resistance line stretched from late October 2023, close to 152.00 by the press time. However, the impending bear cross on the MACD challenges the quote’s further upside. In a case where the pair remains firmer past 152.00, the 61.8% Fibonacci Extension (FE) of its moves between December 2023 and March 2024, near 153.10, will be on the bull’s radar ahead of the 78.6% FE level surrounding 154.85. Meanwhile, the USDJPY pair’s daily closing beneath the 150.80 support confluence will need validation from the 38.2% FE level of 150.55 and the 150.00 threshold. Following that, January’s peak surrounding 148.80 and the previous monthly low near 146.50 could lure the Yen pair sellers. It’s worth noting that February’s bottom of 145.90 acts as the final defense of the pair buyers, a break of which will make the quote vulnerable to drop toward the 140.00 psychological magnet. Overall, the USDJPY is likely to remain firmer but the buyers appear running out of steam and hence this week’s US inflation data, namely the Consumer Price Index (CPI) for March, will be crucial to watch for clear directions.
by MTradingGlobal
SWING IDEA - YES BANKYes Bank stock presents a compelling opportunity for a swing trade, supported by strong technical indicators: Reasons are listed below : Multiple tests at the 21 levels culminated in a decisive breakout. A significant marubozu candle on the weekly timeframe signals bullish momentum. The breakout was accompanied by a notable increase in trading volumes. Ongoing formation of higher highs indicates a sustained upward trend. Positive positioning, as the price is trading above both the 50 and 200-day Exponential Moving Averages (EMA), reflecting momentum strength. Target - 30 // 49 StopLoss - weekly close below 20.85 DISCLAIMER - Decisions to buy, sell, hold or trade in securities, commodities and other investments involve risk and are best made based on the advice of qualified financial professionals. Any trading in securities or other investments involves a risk of substantial losses. The practice of "Day Trading" involves particularly high risks and can cause you to lose substantial sums of money. Before undertaking any trading program, you should consult a qualified financial professional. Please consider carefully whether such trading is suitable for you in light of your financial condition and ability to bear financial risks. Under no circumstances shall we be liable for any loss or damage you or anyone else incurs as a result of any trading or investment activity that you or anyone else engages in based on any information or material you receive through TradingView or our services. @visionary.growth.insights
NSE:YESBANKLong
by Visionary_Growth_Insights
2
GBP/USD Analysis: Heading for a CorrectionCurrent Context GBP/USD ended its four-day winning streak, posting a decline following a correction on Thursday. Currently, the pair is steady on the downside, trading at around 1,262. Of note is the formation of a short-term top on the one-hour chart, representing a downtrend according to the Elliott Wave Principle. Technical Analysis Monitoring technical and selling trends is considered the priority option in the short term. Both technical indicators and wave analysis signal that investors should be bearish. The defensive target and stop loss are set at 1,257, marking a key support level that, if broken, could lead to an increase in selling pressure. Short-Term Trends and Impact In the short term, GBP/USD appears to be correcting after a bullish period. This decline can be considered a necessary technical correction before determining the next trend. If the 1.257 level holds, GBP/USD could find stability and start a new rally. However, if this support is broken, further declines are likely. Conclude Overall, GBP/USD is in a short-term correction phase with a selling bias favored. Investors need to closely monitor the 1,257 support level to assess the potential for further downside. Any news that affects USD or GBP needs to be closely observed to capture suitable trading opportunities, especially in a volatile market context.
Short
by RKarina
EURUSD: The downtrend line has not been broken yetRecent Summary: EUR/USD showed resilience on Thursday but soon encountered strong resistance at the descending trendline, leading to a fresh downward correction. The important support level at 1,076 is currently a solid fulcrum for this currency's recovery hopes. Market Assessment: The support level at 1,076 is showing significant resistance, laying the groundwork for EUR/USD's potential upside, as long as this level is not broken. The important event at the end of the day, related to USD, may be a turning point, affecting the current dynamics of this currency pair. Recovery Potential: If the end-of-day news tilts in USD's favor, EUR/USD may have to look for upside opportunities from alternative factors. However, if USD fails to receive support from the news, EUR/USD has a solid chance to recover and even rally from current support levels. Conclude: With an important event coming up and strong support at 1,076, EUR/USD is in a state of balance between recovery and downside risks.
Short
by RKarina