GOLD FACES KEY RESISTANCE AFTER LAST WEEK'S STRONG DROP🔥 After reaching ATH early last week, Gold saw a significant correction, dropping to 283x before bouncing back from the strong support zone at 2833 - 2835. By the end of the week, Gold retested this level, surging 20 points and closing the weekly and monthly candle at 2857 – a solid position for the BUY side.
🟢 TODAY’S SESSION – GAP OPEN & CURRENT VIEW
At the Sydney & Tokyo open, Gold continued to benefit from last week’s BUY momentum, creating a 15-point GAP and reaching 2870. So far in the Asian session, it has peaked at 2877.
👉 CURRENT VIEW: Gold is likely to drop back to fill the GAP (low liquidity) around 2854 - 2850 before continuing its upward movement. The price is currently reacting in line with this expectation.
⚡️ KEY LEVELS TO WATCH TODAY
📌 Resistance: 2884 - 2895 - 2900 - 2905
📌 Support: 2856 - 2850 - 2845 - 2835
💎 TRADE SETUPS FOR TODAY
🔹 BUY ZONE: 2835 - 2833
🎯 TP: 2840 - 2844 - 2848 - 2854 - 2860
⛔️ SL: 2830
🔹 SELL ZONE: 2904 - 2906
🎯 TP: 2900 - 2896 - 2892 - 2886 - 2880
⛔️ SL: 2910
📢 IMPORTANT NOTES
📆 Today marks the start of a new week and month, so it's crucial to closely monitor price reactions. Key economic reports like ADP and NFP are scheduled this week, so risk management is essential. Stick to TP/SL levels to protect your account!
Technical Analysis
CNXFINANCE seems stronger compared to NIFTY50. Disagree?Refer to the enclosed comparison of NSE:CNXFINANCE and $NIFTY50.
NSE:CNXFINANCE looks stronger than $NIFTY50 and is evidenced by some Finance sector stocks coming out of the base.
Have a look at NSE:BAJFINANCE , NSE:BAJAJFINSV , NSE:CHOLAFIN , NSE:CHOLAHLDNG and NSE:SHRIRAMFIN
But given the Market Stance, which is too Weak, I prefer to Watch all these stock than trade.
What's your view?
Gold Price Analysis: Breakout, Pullback & Next Support LevelsHello Traders! In today's post, we’ll explore the technical analysis of Gold, one of the most reliable assets that traders look to for long-term gains. It’s an important tool for identifying potential breakout points in trending markets. If you want to learn how to trade these breakouts effectively, mastering the patterns in Gold is essential.
This chart of Gold (CFDs on Gold in USD) gives us a clear picture of the recent price movement and key levels to watch. After a period of consolidation, we saw a strong breakout towards the end of February 2025, signaling a continuation of the bullish trend. The price shot up, hitting notable targets a 10% gain to 253.91 and then another 10% to 267.34. However, as with any trend, there was a minor pullback, around a 2.31% drop, which is something traders should keep an eye on.
Now, the next crucial level to watch for Gold is the support zone around 2,791.048. If the price retraces and touches this support, it could be a strong buying opportunity for traders who are looking for a good entry point. The key here is whether Gold holds above this support level; if it does, the upward momentum could resume, leading to higher highs. This chart is a great reminder that while the market moves in waves, understanding these key levels helps us stay ahead in the game.
Disclaimer:- This analysis is for educational purposes only. Please trade responsibly and consult a financial advisor before making any decisions.
If you found this analysis helpful, don’t forget to like, follow, and share your thoughts in the comments below! Your support keeps me motivated to share more insights. Let’s grow and learn together—happy trading!
Bitcoin - Targets 116K 126K 148KIn chart i have shown why price is holding at 83K and may not fall further now. Price height from Point of Control to ATH is all most equal to the price range from POC to low of 83 K . IT could have been taken support at 87 or above 83 but due to fear it has seen 83. True some selling came from various sources and little frauds too. But still price is acting technically now. And in wave theory its completion of 4th wave and once support seems to be taking at 83K and move in 5th wave then targets are coming as 116, 126 and 148 K. Serious. These are 5th wave levels as per wave theory. BTC is sure Bullish and soon +ve news are expected and price will follow the Bullish trend. Time duration is not sure up price will march up and up only
Understanding Bullish & Bearish Candles FormationHello Traders!
In today’s post, we’ll be discussing the Candlestick Formation setup, which is essential for reading price action and identifying potential trend reversals. Candlestick patterns are a crucial tool for traders to understand market sentiment and predict future price movements. Let’s break down the two most common formations: Bullish Candlestick and Bearish Candlestick .
Bullish Candlestick Formation Setup
What is a Bullish Candlestick?
A bullish candlestick appears when the price closes higher than it opened. This formation suggests that buyers are in control and the price is likely to rise further.
Key Components of the Bullish Candlestick:
Body : The green section between the open price and the closing price . This is the main body of the candle, indicating the price movement during that time period.
Wicks : The thin lines above and below the body of the candle. The upper wick shows the highest price reached during the period, while the lower wick shows the lowest price.
Closing Price : The point at which the price closed for the trading period. A higher closing price indicates strong bullish momentum.
Open Price : The price at which the asset opened at the start of the trading period.
Low & High : The low is the bottom of the lower wick, and the high is the top of the upper wick.
When to Look for Bullish Candlesticks?
A bullish candlestick typically forms at the bottom of a downtrend, indicating a potential reversal or continuation to the upside. It’s a signal that the market is gaining upward momentum.
Bearish Candlestick Formation Setup
What is a Bearish Candlestick?
A bearish candlestick forms when the price closes lower than it opened. This indicates that sellers have control, and the price might continue to fall.
Key Components of the Bearish Candlestick:
Body : The red section between the open price and the closing price , representing downward price movement during the period.
Wicks : Similar to the bullish candlestick, the upper wick shows the highest price during the period, and the lower wick shows the lowest.
Closing Price : The point at which the price closed during the period, showing the downward momentum of the asset.
Open Price : The price at which the asset opened, showing the start of the downward movement.
Low & High : The high is at the top of the upper wick, and the low is at the bottom of the lower wick.
When to Look for Bearish Candlesticks?
A bearish candlestick typically forms at the top of an uptrend, signaling a possible trend reversal or a continuation to the downside. It suggests that selling pressure is building up.
Key Differences: Bullish vs Bearish Candlesticks
Bullish Candlestick:
The close is above the open .
Indicates upward price movement or buying strength.
Appears during a downtrend reversal .
Bearish Candlestick:
The close is below the open .
Signals downward price movement or selling pressure.
Appears during an uptrend reversal .
Trading with Candlestick Formations
Confirm the Trend : Look for candlestick formations at key levels, such as support and resistance, or after a strong uptrend or downtrend.
Use Multiple Candles : Don’t rely on just one candlestick. Look for multiple bullish or bearish candles to confirm the direction.
Combine with Other Indicators : Use candlestick patterns in conjunction with technical indicators like RSI, MACD, or moving averages for stronger confirmation.
Pay Attention to Volume : High volume with a bullish or bearish candlestick gives more weight to the signal.
Conclusion
Candlestick formations are one of the most powerful tools in a trader’s arsenal. By understanding the bullish and bearish setups, you can predict market movements and make informed decisions. Remember, always confirm the pattern with other indicators and never trade based on just one candlestick.
What candlestick patterns do you use in your trading strategy? Let me know in the comments!
what is fundamental analysis ?1. Introduction
Fundamental analysis determines the intrinsic value of an asset by analyzing economic, financial,
and qualitative factors.
It is crucial for long-term investment decisions and involves evaluating financial statements, industry
trends, and macroeconomic factors.
2. Key Components of Fundamental Analysis
A. Quantitative Analysis:
- Balance Sheet (Assets, Liabilities, Shareholder's Equity)
- Income Statement (Revenue, Profit, Expenses)
- Cash Flow Statement (Operational Cash Flow)
- Financial Ratios (EPS, P/E Ratio, ROE, Debt-to-Equity)
B. Qualitative Analysis:
- Business Model & Competitive Advantage
- Management Quality & Leadership
- Market Share & Industry Trends
- Economic Indicators (GDP, Inflation, Interest Rates)
3. Fundamental Analysis vs. Technical Analysis
- Fundamental Analysis: Focuses on company financials, economy, and intrinsic value (Best for
long-term investments).
- Technical Analysis: Focuses on price trends, charts, and indicators (Best for short-term trading).
4. How to Conduct Fundamental Analysis?
- Analyze Economic & Industry Trends
- Evaluate Company?s Financials & Growth Potential
- Compare Financial Ratios with Competitors
- Determine Intrinsic Value Using Valuation Models
5. Advantages & Limitations
? Advantages:
- Identifies long-term investment opportunities.
- Provides deep insights into a company's value.
- Reduces emotional trading decisions.
? Limitations:
- Time-consuming process.
- Not suitable for short-term trading.
- Market sentiment can temporarily override fundamentals.
6. Conclusion
Fundamental analysis is a powerful tool for investors to make informed decisions.
Combining it with technical analysis can improve accuracy and risk management.
Disclaimer:
This content is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice.
GlobalTradeView is not SEBI registered.
The Ascending Triangle Pattern: A Bullish Continuation GuideHello Traders!
In today's post, we’ll explore the Ascending Triangle Pattern , one of the most reliable bullish continuation patterns that traders look for during uptrends . It’s an important tool for identifying potential breakout points in trending markets. If you want to learn how to trade these breakouts effectively, mastering the Ascending Triangle is essential.
Chart Pattern: The Ascending Triangle is a strong bullish continuation pattern. In the case of ASIAN PAINTS LTD , we see the price action forming a flat resistance at the top and a rising upward sloping support at the bottom, indicating that the bulls are gradually taking control of the stock.
Key Points to Note:
The stock is respecting the flat resistance , which has been tested multiple times (marked by the red circles).
The upward sloping support is strengthening with each new low, showing growing buying pressure.
The price has recently broken out above the resistance , confirming the breakout pattern.
Trading Strategy:
Entry Point : Once the price breaks the resistance level, consider entering at 1,172.45 .
Stop Loss : Set your stop loss just below the upward sloping support at 1,151.25 to manage risk.
Profit Target : The ideal target after the breakout is approximately 1,261.65 , which is calculated by measuring the height of the triangle and projecting it upward from the breakout point.
Real-World Application:
This is a bullish setup , and traders should keep an eye on volume confirmation post-breakout. A breakout with increased volume would make the setup even stronger. A price move towards the target of 1,261.65 would indicate a successful breakout trade.
Risk Management:
Ensure that you follow your stop loss at 1,151.25 to avoid unnecessary losses in case the breakout fails.
Position size properly to align with your risk tolerance and the potential reward.
What This Means for Traders:
Bullish Setup : The ascending triangle signals that the bulls have control, and we expect the stock to continue higher.
Watch for confirmation of the breakout and enter with confidence, but always be prepared with your stop loss.
Conclusion:
This ascending triangle is a classic pattern, and it offers a great opportunity for long traders . Keep an eye on the breakout, manage your risk, and this trade could potentially yield solid returns.
The Falling Wedge Pattern: A Guide to Catching Bullish BreakoutsFalling Wedge Pattern: A Continuation Chart Pattern
Hello Traders!
In today's post, we’ll explore the Falling Wedge Pattern , one of the most reliable continuation patterns that traders look for during uptrends. It’s an important tool for identifying potential breakout points in trending markets. If you want to learn how to trade these breakouts effectively, mastering the Falling Wedge is essential.
The Falling Wedge pattern typically forms during an uptrend and consists of converging trendlines, where the price makes lower highs and lower lows. However, despite the price being pushed lower, the momentum starts weakening, and eventually, the price breaks above the upper trendline, signaling a continuation of the prevailing uptrend .
What is the Falling Wedge Pattern?
The Falling Wedge Pattern is characterized by two converging trendlines, where the upper trendline slopes downward more steeply than the lower trendline. This pattern shows a decreasing range between highs and lows, and when the price breaks above the upper trendline, it indicates a continuation of the uptrend .
Key Characteristics of the Falling Wedge Pattern
Uptrend Prior to the Pattern: The Falling Wedge pattern forms during a strong uptrend , signaling that the market is taking a brief pause before resuming the previous momentum.
Converging Trendlines: The pattern consists of two downward-sloping trendlines that converge, with the upper trendline steeper than the lower one. This shows that the selling pressure is weakening.
Breakout Confirmation: A bullish breakout occurs when the price breaks above the upper trendline, signaling the continuation of the uptrend .
Volume Increase on Breakout: The breakout is confirmed when there is an increase in volume, indicating strong momentum behind the move.
How to Trade the Falling Wedge Pattern?
Entry Point: The ideal entry point is when the price breaks above the upper trendline, confirming the bullish breakout .
Stop Loss: Place your stop loss just below the lower trendline or the most recent swing low to protect your trade from sudden market reversals.
Profit Target: Measure the height of the wedge and project that distance upward from the breakout point to determine the price target .
Risk Management Considerations
Position Sizing: Adjust your position size based on your risk tolerance and the distance between the entry point and the stop loss.
Stop Loss Placement: Make sure to place your stop loss in a way that minimizes risk but still gives enough room for the trade to move in your favor.
Wait for Confirmation: Always wait for the breakout confirmation, and make sure that the price action is supported by an increase in volume.
What This Means for Traders
The Falling Wedge pattern is an excellent tool for traders who are looking for reliable continuation trades in strong uptrends. It can help identify breakout points and offer favorable risk-to-reward setups when combined with other technical indicators.
Look for the Falling Wedge pattern during uptrends to identify high-probability continuation trades.
Confirm with volume to ensure the breakout is backed by strong momentum.
Use stop loss placement to manage risk effectively while targeting favorable risk-to-reward ratios.
Conclusion
The Falling Wedge pattern is a reliable continuation pattern that can help traders identify breakout opportunities in trending markets. By mastering its formation, waiting for the breakout confirmation, and managing risk effectively, you can increase the chances of a successful trade in the uptrend .
Have you traded the Falling Wedge pattern before?
Share your experiences and thoughts in the comments below! Let’s continue learning and growing as traders!
Senores Pharma: Cup & Handle - Ready for Some Action?NSE:SENORES
Senores Pharma is forming a potential cup and handle on the daily timeframe. A breakout attempt on Feb 6, 2025, failed to sustain above ₹607.35 as selling pressure came in second half.
Now, the cup and handle pattern is progressing, making next week crucial. A close above ₹607.35 is the key level to watch for confirmation.
Volumes are rising, with today's volume (Feb 21, 2025) nearly 5x yesterday's. The stock's resilience despite market pressure indicates strength.
Cup and Handle pattern usually don't disappoint so would be interesting to watch.
Senores Pharmaceuticals is a research-driven company focused on developing specialty pharmaceutical products for regulated markets. The company has shown impressive financial performance:
Recent Financials (Q3 FY25):
Net Sales: ₹106.4 crore (up 35% YoY from ₹78.7 crore in Q3 FY24)
QoQ Performance: Increased from ₹104.4 crore in Q2 FY25 (up 1.92%)
EBITDA: ₹29.1 crore (up 92% YoY)
PAT: ₹17.2 crore (up 142% YoY from ₹7.1 crore in Q3 FY24)
9MFY25 Performance:
Total Revenue: ₹288.1 crore (up 157% YoY from ₹112.1 crore in 9MFY24)
PAT: ₹40.7 crore (up 162% YoY)
Market Position : The stock has outperformed its sector and the broader Sensex, achieving consecutive gains over the past month and trading above multiple moving averages.
Future Projections : Management anticipates a top-line growth of 50%-60% for FY26, with plans to launch five new products in the current quarter.
Strategic Focus : Continued investment in R&D and infrastructure development is expected to enhance manufacturing capabilities and expand product offerings.
Abandoned Baby Pattern: A Powerful Reversal Tool for TradersHello Traders!
Today, let’s dive into the Abandoned Baby Pattern , an exciting and reliable candlestick pattern that can provide powerful reversal signals. Known for its ability to mark trend reversals, this pattern is a must-know for traders looking to enter at the right moment after a trend shift.
What is the Abandoned Baby Pattern?
The Abandoned Baby is a three-candle pattern that signifies a potential trend reversal. It occurs after a strong price move, usually at the end of an uptrend or downtrend. The pattern consists of the following candles:
A strong price movement in the trend direction (either bullish or bearish).
A gap down (for bullish reversal) or gap up (for bearish reversal) candle that opens and closes outside the previous candle’s range, signaling indecision.
A gap in the opposite direction , completing the pattern, and signaling a trend reversal.
Key Characteristics of the Abandoned Baby Pattern
Gap Down or Gap Up: The second candle gaps away from the first one, showing indecision and setting the stage for a reversal.
Trend Reversal: The Abandoned Baby pattern typically indicates that the trend is about to reverse.
Confirmation Candle: The third candle is the confirmation of the reversal, showing the direction of the new trend.
Volume Surge: Look for a spike in volume on the third candle to confirm the reversal.
How to Trade the Abandoned Baby Pattern?
Entry Point: Enter a position once the third candle closes, confirming the reversal direction.
Stop Loss: Place your stop loss just below (for a bullish reversal) or above (for a bearish reversal) the third candle to manage risk.
Profit Targets: Use a risk-to-reward ratio to set your profit targets, or measure the distance from the base to the top of the pattern for a more precise target.
Real-World Application: Nifty 50 Case Study
Looking at the Nifty 50 chart, we can clearly see the Abandoned Baby Pattern signaling a strong trend reversal. After the gap down and the formation of the three candles, the price broke out in the new direction, with clearly marked targets for potential trades.
Risk Management Considerations
Position Sizing: Always adjust your position size according to your risk tolerance and the volatility of the pattern.
Stop Loss Placement: Properly place the stop loss to avoid getting caught in false breakouts.
Patience & Confirmation: Wait for the third candle to close before entering the trade for confirmation of the reversal.
What This Means for Traders
The Abandoned Baby pattern is a great tool for spotting trend reversals. Combining it with other technical analysis tools like volume and support/resistance levels will make it even more effective.
Look for the pattern at the end of a strong trend to increase the probability of a successful reversal.
Confirm with volume for added reliability.
Use stop losses to minimize potential losses while targeting favorable risk-to-reward ratios.
Conclusion
The Abandoned Baby Pattern is a powerful tool for traders, signaling a strong trend reversal. By understanding its structure and how to trade it effectively, you can spot high-probability setups for profitable trades.
Have you traded using the Abandoned Baby pattern?
Share your experiences in the comments below! Let’s learn and grow together as traders.
Mastering the Three White Soldiers Pattern: A Bullish ReversalHello Traders!
I hope you're doing great in your trading journey! Today, we will be diving into the Three White Soldiers chart pattern, a powerful bullish reversal pattern that can help you spot a potential trend shift. This pattern typically occurs after a downtrend, signaling a strong reversal. If you can spot it early, it offers a high-reward trading opportunity. Let’s break down the pattern and how to use it effectively.
What is the Three White Soldiers Pattern?
The Three White Soldiers pattern consists of three consecutive long bullish candles that close progressively higher. This pattern typically appears after a downtrend and signifies a potential reversal. The pattern shows a strong shift in market sentiment, where buyers are stepping in to push the prices higher.
Key Characteristics of the Three White Soldiers Pattern
Trend Reversal: The pattern forms after a strong downtrend, signaling a potential trend reversal.
Three Consecutive Bullish Candles: The pattern consists of three long bullish candles, each closing higher than the previous one.
Strong Closing Prices: Each candle should close near its high, indicating strong buying pressure.
Volume Confirmation: The pattern is more reliable when accompanied by increasing volume, showing strong interest in the reversal.
How to Trade the Three White Soldiers Pattern
Entry Point: Consider entering a long position once the third candle closes, confirming the reversal.
Stop Loss: Place your stop loss below the low of the first candle in the pattern to limit potential losses.
Profit Target: For setting targets, measure the height of the pattern (distance between the low of the first candle and the high of the third candle) and project this distance upwards from the entry point to set your profit target.
Real-World Application: TCS Case Study
In the chart of Tata Consultancy Services (TCS) , we see a clear Three White Soldiers pattern forming after a downtrend. The price closed progressively higher over three consecutive days, breaking key resistance levels and signaling a potential bullish trend. Traders entering after the confirmation of the pattern would have witnessed a substantial upward move, with a clear Stop Loss and Profit Target in place.
Risk Management Considerations
Position Sizing: Adjust your position size according to your risk tolerance and overall portfolio.
Stop Loss Placement: Place your stop loss below the low of the first candle to manage risk in case the pattern fails.
Volume Confirmation: Confirm the pattern with increasing volume to ensure the strength of the reversal.
What This Means for Traders
The Three White Soldiers pattern is an excellent tool for identifying trend reversals and can be a powerful signal when used in conjunction with other technical indicators. Remember to always look for confirmation with volume and manage your risk effectively.
Look for the pattern after a significant downtrend to identify potential bullish reversals.
Use volume to confirm the strength of the pattern and increase the reliability of your trade.
Implement stop loss placement to minimize risk while targeting a favorable risk-to-reward ratio.
Conclusion
The Three White Soldiers pattern is a reliable bullish reversal signal that can offer excellent trading opportunities when combined with other technical indicators. By understanding its key characteristics, waiting for confirmation, and managing risk appropriately, you can increase your chances of making profitable trades.
Have you traded using the Three White Soldiers pattern?
Share your thoughts and experiences in the comments below! Let’s keep learning and improving our trading strategies!
Three Black Crows: How to Spot and Profit from Bearish ReversalsHello Traders!
I hope you’re all doing great! Today, we’ll discuss the Three Black Crows candlestick pattern, one of the most reliable bearish reversal patterns you can find in technical analysis. If you're serious about identifying potential trend reversals, understanding this pattern is essential.
The Three Black Crows is a powerful bearish signal that typically marks the end of an uptrend. It consists of three consecutive long red (or black) candles that close progressively lower, showing strong selling pressure and a shift in momentum. This pattern is particularly effective when it forms at a key resistance level, and it can lead to significant price declines.
What is the Three Black Crows Pattern?
The Three Black Crows candlestick pattern signals the reversal of an uptrend. The pattern forms when:
The first candle is a large red candle, closing near the low of the day.
The second candle opens below the first one and closes lower.
The third candle opens lower than the second one and closes near its low.
Each candle in the sequence is characterized by strong bearish price action, and their alignment suggests that bears are gaining control.
Key Characteristics of the Three Black Crows Pattern
Bearish Trend Reversal: Three long red candles following an uptrend suggest a shift in momentum from buyers to sellers.
Strong Resistance Zone: The pattern is more reliable when it forms near a strong resistance level, where the price has struggled to move past in the past.
Closing at the Low: Each of the three candles closes near their respective lows, showing increasing selling pressure.
Volume Confirmation: Volume should ideally increase with each successive candle, confirming that bears are taking control.
How to Trade the Three Black Crows Pattern
Entry Point: After the formation of the third candle, consider entering a short position once the price breaks the low of the third candle. This confirms the bearish trend.
Stop Loss: Place your stop loss just above the high of the third candle to minimize risk in case of a false breakout.
Profit Target: Measure the distance from the high of the pattern to the low of the third candle. Project this distance downward from the breakout point to estimate your profit target.
Real-World Application: Tata Consultancy Services Case Study
In the chart of Tata Consultancy Services (above), we can see a classic example of the Three Black Crows pattern. The price formed a resistance zone and then saw the three consecutive bearish candles break the support, confirming the bearish trend reversal. The huge fall after the pattern’s confirmation indicates the power of this candlestick formation.
Risk Management Considerations
Position Sizing: Adjust your position size based on your risk tolerance and make sure it fits within your overall portfolio strategy.
Stop Loss Placement: Place your stop loss above the third candle to avoid potential losses from a false breakout.
Confirmation with Volume: Always wait for volume confirmation before entering the trade. Volume should increase as the pattern forms.
What This Means for Traders
The Three Black Crows is an excellent pattern to spot potential trend reversals, especially after an uptrend. This pattern works best when combined with other technical indicators like trendlines, support and resistance, and moving averages to confirm the trend reversal.
Look for the pattern at resistance levels to identify high-probability bearish reversals.
Confirm with volume to increase the reliability of the pattern.
Use proper stop loss placement to manage your risk and ensure a favorable risk-to-reward ratio.
Conclusion
The Three Black Crows candlestick pattern is a reliable bearish reversal signal that can help traders capitalize on price declines. By identifying the pattern correctly, waiting for confirmation, and applying solid risk management strategies, you can improve your trading success.
Have you traded using the Three Black Crows pattern?
Share your experiences in the comments below! Let’s keep learning and growing together!
"Crucial Neckline Breakout Ahead for Ashiana Housing LtdHello everyone, today i have brough a news base trade setup of Ashiana Housing Ltd. and it is showing an exciting setup on the charts as it approaches a neckline breakout level at ₹368. This is a critical resistance zone, and if the stock sustains above this level, it could mark the beginning of a strong upward move.
Here’s why this is interesting:
Technical Setup: After a period of consolidation, the stock is attempting to break out of a well-defined neckline. This kind of breakout often signals the start of a new trend.
Volume is Key: A breakout supported by higher volumes would confirm strong buying interest, which is exactly what traders want to see.
Recent News Adds to the Momentum:
Ashiana Housing recently launched the final phase of its luxury residential project, Ashiana Ekansh, in Jaipur's Mansarovar Extension. This has been well-received and could boost the company’s fundamentals.
While the stock faced some selling pressure recently, the current setup indicates the potential for a turnaround.
Key Levels to Watch:
Entry Point: ₹368 – Breakout confirmation is crucial.
Stop Loss: ₹344 – To manage risk effectively.
Targets:
1st Target: ₹413
2nd Target: ₹438
3rd Target: ₹468
Why This Matters:
A breakout from this level could provide a solid risk-reward opportunity for traders. However, patience is key – wait for confirmation before jumping in. Also, keep an eye on the broader market sentiment and any updates related to the company.
Final Thought:
Ashiana Housing is at a pivotal point. If the breakout happens, this could be an exciting ride to the targets. Stay alert, manage your risks, and let the market guide you.
Disclaimer:- Please always do your own analysis or consult with your financial advisor before taking any kind of trades.
If you found this analysis insightful, don’t forget to hit like and follow for more such content!
For related trading ideas and educational posts, check out our profile TraderRahulPal Let’s learn and grow together!
LODHA: Chart and Fundamentals Align for a Promising MoveHello everyone, Happy Republic Day to all my followers, I hope you all will be doing good in your life and your trading as well. Today i have brought a stock which name is Macrotech Developers (LODHA) and it has delivered an exceptional quarterly performance, reflecting robust financial strength and promising growth. Here’s the detailed breakdown:
Quarterly Financial Highlights
Revenue from Operations: 4083 crore, a substantial rise compared to 2931 crore in the same quarter last year.
Net Profit: 944.8 crore, showing strong growth compared to 505.2 crore in Q3 FY24.
EBITDA Margins: Improved significantly, showcasing efficiency in operations.
Pre-sales: 2570 crore for the quarter, with collections reaching 2280 crore.
Net Debt: Reduced to 6240 crore, highlighting financial discipline and a stronger balance sheet.
Technical Analysis
Strong Support Zone: The price has bounced from the ₹1125-1075 support zone, a proven demand area.
Morning Star Pattern: A bullish candlestick pattern near the support zone signals a potential reversal.
Oversold RSI: RSI recently dipped into the oversold region, further indicating a likely bullish move.
Falling Resistance Trendline: The stock is nearing a critical resistance trendline. A breakout above this level could confirm upward momentum.
With a strong financial performance in Q3 FY25, including a sharp rise in revenue and net profit, coupled with a favorable technical setup, LODHA looks promising for swing traders. Watch for a breakout above the falling resistance trendline for further confirmation.
Disclaimer:- This analysis is for educational purposes only. Please trade responsibly and consult a financial advisor before making any decisions.
If you found this analysis helpful, don’t forget to like, follow, and share your thoughts in the comments below! Your support keeps me motivated to share more insights. Let’s grow and learn together—happy trading!
Polycab India Ltd – A Strong Technical and Fundamental Setup!Hello Everyone, i hope you all will be doing good in your life and your trading as well. Today i have brough a stock which name is Polycab India Ltd and it is currently testing a crucial support zone after a sharp correction. The previous resistance has turned into support, and a Morning Star candlestick pattern is forming, indicating a potential reversal. This setup aligns well with the stock’s long-term growth story.
From a technical perspective, a breakout from this support zone could lead to strong upside momentum. The entry zone is 5850-5750, with targets at 6333, 6955, and 7550, while a stop-loss at 5450 ensures risk management.
On the fundamental side, Polycab remains a market leader in the wires & cables industry, backed by strong revenue growth, profitability, and a solid order book. With the government's focus on electrification and infrastructure development, the stock has promising long-term potential.
Fundamental Ratio:
Market Cap
₹ 87,699 Cr.
Current Price
₹ 5,830
High / Low
₹ 7,607 / 4,236
Stock P/E
47.7
Book Value
₹ 571
Dividend Yield
0.51 %
ROCE
31.3 %
ROE
23.2 %
Face Value
₹ 10.0
Industry PE
31.9
Debt
₹ 193 Cr.
EPS
₹ 122
Promoter holding
63.0 %
Intrinsic Value
₹ 2,329
Return over 5years
43.3 %
Debt to equity
0.02
Net profit
₹ 1,865 Cr.
Disclaimer:- This analysis is for educational purposes only. Please trade responsibly and consult a financial advisor before making any decisions.
If you found this analysis helpful, don’t forget to like, follow, and share your thoughts in the comments below! Your support keeps me motivated to share more insights. Let’s grow and learn together—happy trading!
Bharti Airtel – Strong Setup for Short-Term & Positional HoldingHello everyone! Hope you're all doing great in life and in trading. Today, I bring you a stock that has not only given a strong breakout but also delivered exceptional Q3 FY25 results stock name is Bharti Airtel Ltd. and it is the world’s leading providers of telecommunication services with presence in 18 countries representing India, SriLanka, 14 countries in Africa.
After breaking out of a descending trendline , Bharti Airtel is now retesting the 1630-1600 support zone . If this level holds, we could see a strong upside move in the coming sessions. The technical structure remains bullish, with an entry zone between 1630-1600 , and targets at 1688, 1736, and 1778 , while the final positional target is set at 1955 . For risk management, a short-term stop loss at 1570 and a positional stop loss at 1520 should be considered. RSI is showing strong momentum , and volume confirmation on the breakout strengthens the bullish case
.
Latest Q3 FY25 results highlight consistent revenue and profit growth . The company’s standalone revenue surged 19.1 percent YoY to 45,129 crore , with its India business growing 24.6 percent YoY . ARPU has increased to 245 , boosting overall profitability. EBITDA came in at 24,880 crore , with a 55.1 percent margin , showing strong operational efficiency. On the expansion front, 5G rollout is progressing aggressively, with 5.2K new towers added , and the subscriber base has grown by 25.2 million users . Additionally, Bharti Airtel has significantly improved its financial position, having prepaid 36,263 crore in spectrum dues , further strengthening its balance sheet.
Market Cap
₹ 9,70,118 Cr.
Current Price
₹ 1,620
High / Low
₹ 1,779 / 1,098
Stock P/E
48.5
Book Value
₹ 153
Dividend Yield
0.49 %
ROCE
13.1 %
ROE
14.9 %
Face Value
₹ 5.00
Industry PE
40.9
Debt
₹ 2,25,541 Cr.
EPS
₹ 43.2
Promoter holding
53.1 %
Intrinsic Value
₹ 421
Return over 5years
25.1 %
Debt to equity
2.59
Net profit
₹ 27,074 Cr.
Disclaimer:- This analysis is for educational purposes only. Please trade responsibly and consult a financial advisor before making any decisions.
If you found this analysis helpful, don’t forget to like, follow, and share your thoughts in the comments below! Your support keeps me motivated to share more insights. Let’s grow and learn together—happy trading!
Aarti Pharmalabs | Rectangle Pattern Breakout | Big Upside AheadHello everyone! I hope you all are doing great. 😊 Today, I’ve got something interesting for you – a solid breakout in Aarti Pharmalabs! After months of going sideways, Aarti Pharmalabs has finally woken up! The stock was stuck between 555 (support) and 695 (resistance) for a long time, but now, the bulls have taken control and pushed it past this critical resistance zone.
Here’s what’s happening:
The price tested 695 multiple times but kept getting rejected. This time, it broke out with strong volume , showing that buyers mean business. This could be the beginning of a strong uptrend!
Key Levels to Watch:
🔹 Short-Term Target: 815
🔹 Final Target: 895
🔹 Best Entry Zone: 750-715 (if we get a pullback, it’s a golden chance!)
🔹 Stop Loss: 670 (always manage risk!)
Fundamental View:
Aarti Pharmalabs is growing steadily, expanding into regulated markets , and benefiting from increasing demand for specialty chemicals . The sector looks strong, but risks like raw material costs and regulatory challenges remain. Despite that, the stock is still at a reasonable valuation and has room for further upside.
What’s Next?
As long as the breakout holds above 695 , the bullish momentum should continue. If we see a retest of the breakout zone, it could be a great entry point before the next rally.
What do you think? Will Aarti Pharmalabs hit 895 soon? Drop your thoughts in the comments!
Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only . Please trade responsibly and consult a financial advisor before making any decisions.
If you found this analysis helpful, don’t forget to like, follow, and share your thoughts in the comments below! Your support keeps me motivated to share more insights. Let’s grow and learn together— happy trading!
Finance Sector Leader on Breakout with Huge Volume--What’s Next?Hey Traders!
Hope you're all doing great! There’s an exciting trading idea setting up with Bajaj Finance , and I couldn’t wait to share it with you. The stock is forming a classic Ascending Triangle Pattern , and based on this setup, we're expecting a nice breakout soon. Let’s break it down.
Technical Analysis: Ascending Triangle Pattern
The Ascending Triangle is a bullish continuation pattern that indicates strong buyer interest and a potential breakout. Bajaj Finance has formed a clear ascending triangle , with a horizontal resistance at the top and an upward-sloping support line at the bottom. The price has been making higher lows, showing that buyers are gradually gaining strength, while sellers are being squeezed at the resistance level.
Bajaj Finance continues to be one of India’s leading financial services companies , delivering consistent growth in revenue and profitability. Here's a quick look at the key financials from the December 2024 , September 2024 , and December 2023 quarters:
Sales :
Dec 2024 : ₹18,035 crore ( YoY Growth: 27% )
Sep 2024 : ₹17,091 crore
Dec 2023 : ₹14,164 crore
EBIDT :
Dec 2024 : ₹12,344 crore ( YoY Growth: 24% )
Sep 2024 : ₹11,753 crore
Dec 2023 : ₹9,934 crore
Net Profit :
Dec 2024 : ₹4,308 crore ( YoY Growth: 17% )
Sep 2024 : ₹4,014 crore
Dec 2023 : ₹3,639 crore
Earnings Per Share (EPS) :
Dec 2024 : ₹68.60 ( YoY Growth: 17% )
Sep 2024 : ₹64.62
Dec 2023 : ₹58.88
These solid figures show Bajaj Finance’s strength and its growth trajectory across key financial metrics.
I feel that fundamentally , Bajaj Finance is strong with 27% YoY sales growth and 17% YoY net profit growth , and technically , the Ascending Triangle Pattern on the chart shows a potential breakout, indicating the stock is ready for a big move in the coming months.
Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only. Please trade responsibly and consult a financial advisor before making any decisions.
If you found this analysis helpful, don’t forget to like, follow, and share your thoughts in the comments below! Your support keeps me motivated to share more insights. Let’s grow and learn together—happy trading!
Mastering the Cup & Handle Pattern for Profitable BreakoutsCup & Handle Chart Pattern – A Powerful Setup for Breakouts
Hey Traders!
I hope you’re all doing great! Today, let's break down the Cup & Handle Chart Pattern —this one’s a gem for those who want to ride uptrends with confidence. If you’re looking to catch strong breakouts, this pattern will definitely help you spot them!
What is the Cup & Handle Pattern?
The Cup & Handle pattern shows up after a nice rally in price, followed by a cool-down phase where the price takes a breather and forms a rounded bottom (the cup). After that, we get a small pullback (the handle), which sets up the price for another breakout in the same direction. It’s like the market catches its breath before jumping higher again.
Key Characteristics of the Cup & Handle Pattern
Cup : The rounded bottom after a price correction. It’s where the market takes its time to consolidate before pushing up again.
Handle : A shallow pullback after the cup, just to catch a little rest before the next move up.
Breakout : The key moment when the price breaks above the neckline (the top of the cup), signaling that the uptrend is ready to continue.
Volume Confirmation : You’ll usually see volume dropping during the cup and handle formation, then a spike in volume when the breakout happens. This confirms the strength of the move.
How to Trade the Cup & Handle Pattern Like a Pro
Entry Point :
The best time to jump in is after the price breaks above the neckline (the top of the cup). For example, in EID Parry India Ltd , the entry point is at 719.20 once the breakout happens.
Stop Loss :
Keep your stop loss just below the handle’s base (around 597.45 ) to protect yourself in case the breakout fails.
Profit Target :
To set your target, measure the distance from the base of the cup to the neckline, then project that distance upwards from the breakout point. In this case, the target would be around 954.50 , which is a 46.15% potential gain.
Real-World Application: EID Parry Case Study
Looking at EID Parry India Ltd , we can see a perfect Cup & Handle setup. After a dip, the stock formed the cup, followed by the handle, and then broke out above the neckline. From here, we can calculate the target based on the cup’s height, which gives us a target of 954.50 .
Conclusion
The Cup & Handle pattern is one of the most reliable continuation setups you can find. Spotting the cup, waiting for the breakout, and using proper risk management can increase your chances of success in trending markets.
Have you traded using the Cup & Handle pattern?
Drop your thoughts in the comments below! Let’s keep learning and growing together as traders!
Michael Steinhardt's Secrets to Macro Trading & Risk ManagementMichael Steinhardt: The Master of Macro Trading and Risk Management
Hello Traders!
Today, we’ll be diving into the trading journey of Michael Steinhardt , one of the most successful hedge fund managers of all time. Known for his macro trading strategies and exceptional risk management , Steinhardt built a fortune by analyzing global economic trends and capitalizing on large-scale opportunities. His ability to predict market movements and his contrarian approach made him a standout in the investment world.
Steinhardt’s philosophy has always been about staying ahead of the market by focusing on big-picture trends while managing risk. He believes in making large-scale bets that align with macroeconomic conditions and using strict risk controls to protect capital.
"The greatest investors know that it’s not just about making money, but managing your risk to ensure the longevity of your wealth."
Let’s explore Steinhardt’s approach to macro trading , risk management , and some of his most successful trades.
Michael Steinhardt’s Key Trading Principles
Focus on Macro Trends :
Steinhardt’s expertise lay in macro trading , where he used global economic and political events to guide his investment decisions. By focusing on major economic forces such as inflation, interest rates, and global conflicts, Steinhardt identified high-probability trades that aligned with long-term market movements.
Risk Management is Key :
For Steinhardt, risk management was always top priority. He made large bets, but always with a clear plan on how to minimize losses. He was never afraid to cut his losses quickly, ensuring that no single trade could threaten his capital.
Contrarian Betting :
Steinhardt often made contrarian bets , going against the prevailing market sentiment when he saw opportunities. This mindset allowed him to capitalize on market inefficiencies , especially when most investors were following trends blindly.
Stay Flexible and Adaptable :
Steinhardt’s ability to adapt to changing market conditions is one of his defining traits. He was never married to a single position and was always open to adjusting his strategy if the market environment shifted.
Large-Scale Opportunities :
Steinhardt focused on high-impact trades . Whether it was currency movements, commodities, or stock indices, he made calculated decisions that aligned with his macro view of the world .
How Michael Steinhardt Made His Fortune
Steinhardt’s hedge fund, Steinhardt Partners , was founded in 1967, and over the years, it became one of the most profitable investment firms in the world. His unique approach to macro trading allowed him to make massive gains during some of the most volatile periods in history, including the 1970s oil crisis and the 1987 stock market crash .
His contrarian strategies also led him to big profits in the currency markets and commodities during times of global economic unrest.
Risk Management and Flexibility
Steinhardt was well known for his aggressive risk management strategy . He used techniques like hedging and diversifying his positions to protect his capital from large market swings. This allowed him to stay in the game during times of market stress and continue making profitable trades.
He also emphasized flexibility . If an investment thesis was proven wrong, he was quick to exit the position and look for new opportunities. Adaptation and quick action became hallmarks of his successful trading approach.
What We Can Learn from Michael Steinhardt’s Trading Philosophy
Michael Steinhardt’s approach to trading is a fantastic lesson in macro analysis , risk management , and flexibility . Here are the key takeaways:
Focus on macro trends to make large-scale, informed trades.
Manage risk effectively to preserve capital and protect against unforeseen market shifts.
Don’t be afraid to go against the crowd when your analysis tells you a different story.
Adapt to changing market conditions and avoid sticking to rigid strategies that no longer align with the market environment.
Conclusion
Michael Steinhardt’s legacy as one of the greatest hedge fund managers comes down to his macro trading expertise , his strict risk management , and his adaptable mindset . He was able to navigate volatile markets by using his deep understanding of global trends and staying true to his analysis.
What’s your take on Michael Steinhardt’s approach to macro trading?
Let’s discuss in the comments below. Happy trading, and keep learning from the best!
NSE GLAND: A Critical Resistance Zone That Could Shift the TrendTimeframe: Daily
In NSE GLAND, the price has respected the channel in three distinct moves, indicating a potential 3-wave correction setup. Currently, it is trading below the 50 and 100 EMA, with ATR at 55.96 and ADX at 42.07 .
After reaching a high of 2220 , the price declined and formed a corrective structure. Wave (A) completed at 1585.7 , followed by wave (B) at 1964 . Presently, wave 4 of wave (C) is in formation. The 1545-1585 zone serves as a strong resistance, where a decisive breakout could shift the trend. However, the price still needs to reach 1328 to complete a 100% extension of wave A, making wave C = wave A at 1328 . A strong throw-under could enhance the probability of revisiting levels near wave (B).
We will update further information soon.
What is rsi and how to use it ?RSI stands for **Relative Strength Index**, which is a momentum oscillator used in technical analysis to measure the speed and change of price movements. It is primarily used to identify whether an asset is overbought or oversold, helping traders make decisions about potential buy or sell opportunities.
### Key Points About RSI:
- **Scale**: RSI ranges from 0 to 100.
- **Overbought and Oversold Levels**:
- **Overbought**: When RSI is above 70, the asset is considered overbought, meaning it may be overvalued and could see a price reversal downward.
- **Oversold**: When RSI is below 30, the asset is considered oversold, meaning it might be undervalued and could see a price reversal upward.
### How to Use RSI:
1. **Identifying Overbought/Oversold Conditions**:
- **Overbought (RSI > 70)**: This suggests the asset may have been overbought, and a pullback or price reversal might occur. Traders might consider selling or shorting.
- **Oversold (RSI < 30)**: This suggests the asset may be oversold, and a rebound or price reversal might happen. Traders might consider buying.
2. **RSI Divergence**:
- **Bullish Divergence**: When the price makes new lows, but RSI forms higher lows, this can indicate a potential upward reversal or buying opportunity.
- **Bearish Divergence**: When the price makes new highs, but RSI forms lower highs, this may signal a potential downward reversal or selling opportunity.
3. **RSI and Trend Strength**:
- RSI can also help assess trend strength. For example, during a strong uptrend, the RSI might stay above 40-50 and consistently test the overbought zone. Similarly, in a strong downtrend, the RSI may hover below 60 and frequently test oversold conditions.
4. **RSI and Trend Reversals**:
- When the RSI crosses back above the 30 level (from below), it can signal the start of an uptrend (bullish reversal).
- When the RSI crosses back below the 70 level (from above), it can signal the start of a downtrend (bearish reversal).
### Practical Example of Using RSI:
- **Example 1: Overbought Condition**:
- Let's say a stock has an RSI of 75. This indicates it’s overbought, suggesting that a price pullback or correction might be on the horizon. Traders might consider selling or taking profits at this point.
- **Example 2: Oversold Condition**:
- If the RSI of a stock is 25, it indicates the stock is oversold and could be undervalued. Traders might look for a buying opportunity, anticipating that the price may rise.
### Limitations:
- RSI is more useful in ranging (sideways) markets than in trending markets. In strong trends, RSI may stay overbought or oversold for extended periods without reversing.
- RSI signals should ideally be combined with other indicators or chart patterns for confirmation.