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Technical Analysis

What's Next for EURUSD? Deciding to Sell in VisionHello all traders! Today, I want to share my thoughts on the EURUSD currency pair, a hot topic for those who closely follow the forex market. Although EURUSD is still holding above the 1,080 support level, I see that the signal is not very positive for the future of this pair. Looking at the long-term trend, it seems that the pair is on the decline. Additionally, the price is currently trading below both the 34 and 89 EMAs, which further reinforces my bearish view. The US Dollar (USD) is currently experiencing a slight increase, putting pressure on EUR/USD and causing it to decline accordingly. If the market bears can take control and push the price below the current support level, I will without hesitation start selling EURUSD. My target would be the 1,070 level. For those looking for opportunities in the forex market, it may be time to consider a short position in EURUSD, based on current signals and analysis. We need to be ready to act when the market gives us such clear signals.
Short
by RKarina
GBPUSD: Continues to weaken!Hey there! Are you wondering whether GBPUSD will rise or fall today? Let's explore and find out together! Yesterday, GBPUSD continued its downward trend, seemingly solidifying its bearish trajectory by breaking below the support level at 1.261. The reversal signal from the 34 EMA line further indicates that the bear camp is currently dominating the market. Moreover, the lackluster recovery of USD has failed to provide the necessary momentum for GBPUSD to make a significant comeback. I am leaning towards a selling trend and predicting that the price may retest the level of 1.251. What about you? Do you share my sentiment?
Short
by RKarina
GBP/USD: New technical and volatility forecastOn Tuesday, GBP/USD recorded a bullish rally, reaching a high of 1.2670. However, this upbeat event did not last, and the pair lost its upward momentum in the second half of the day, when it finally traded below 1.2650 light to Europe Wednesday. Despite signs of technical indicators suggesting an increasingly strong bearish trend, the price currently remains stable, mainly hovering around 1,262. It seems that the sellers are cautious and do not want to connect with the bearish trend depth below 1.2600 without large fundamental changes supporting the move. Meanwhile, the US Dollar was able to gain recovery strength against other majors in the second half of Tuesday, supported by cautious sentiment and strong February Durable Orders data. than expected, the recovery mechanism of this pair is limited. From a technical analysis perspective, the GBP/USD pair continues on a downward trajectory with a small retracement towards the 0.618 Fibonacci zone. The target has been shortened to 1,252, suggesting the possibility of a bearish trend continuing. Given the current situation, market participants need to take care of a solid base, pay attention to all small variations and be ready for strategic adjustments in accordance with market developments.
by RKarina
GBPUSD sellers need validation from 1.2565 and UK/US GDPGBPUSD prints mild losses around 1.2630 while paring the first weekly gains in three, so far, as traders await Thursday’s final prints of the UK and US Gross Domestic Product (GDP) for the fourth quarter (Q4) of 2024. In doing so, the Pound Sterling struggles to defend the previous week’s rebound from the 200-bar Exponential Moving Average (EMA) amid downbeat RSI (14) line. However, the bearish MACD signals and the Cable pair’s sustained trading beneath the convergence of 50-EMA and previous support line stretched from early February, around 1.2680 at the latest, keep the sellers hopeful. That said, the quote needs to provide a daily closing beneath the 200-EMA level of 1.2565 to confirm the further downside. Following that, the yearly low of 1.2518 and December 2023 bottom surrounding 1.2500 will act as the final defense of the bulls. On the flip side, a daily closing beyond the 1.2680 resistance confluence comprising the 50-EMA and the previous support line could recall the GBPUSD pair buyers. Should the quote remain firmer past 1.2680, the 15-week-old horizontal resistance zone will challenge the bulls around 1.2795-2805. In a case where the Pound Sterling rises beyond 1.2805, the yearly peak of 1.2893 and the 1.3000 psychological magnet will be in the spotlight. Overall, the GBPUSD pair remains bearish ahead of the key UK/US GDP data but the downside room appears limited.
by MTradingGlobal
XAUUSD: How to trade? Buy or sell?Hello traders! Gold continues to tread water, maintaining stability around the $2077 level after touching $2200 yesterday. As the days go by, traders eagerly await the final GDP estimate from the US on Thursday, along with data on jobless claims and weekly personal spending. Additionally, the release of the US PCE Index on Friday could be a significant event risk for the week. From a technical standpoint, gold remains in a sideways trend with slight upward movement in the short and medium term. Gold trading activity is fluctuating within the range of $2150 - $2200. A decisive break above or below either of these levels could signal a stronger move is imminent. Trade wisely and enjoy!
OANDA:XAUUSD
by RKarina
USDJPY: The direction of movement is difficult to predict!"Hello dear traders! Today, it seems that USDJPY is frozen in time, hovering unchanged as it looks up at the peak around 151.700, a record high it has recently reached. Market pundits are taking a cautious stance towards USD/JPY, predicting that a Fed interest rate cut is not just a possibility but an inevitability; it's a question of 'when' rather than 'if'. Meanwhile, growing consensus suggests that the Bank of Japan (BoJ) may soon start adjusting its own interest rates. It's a quiet trading day today as we await new market signals. Stay tuned and trade wisely!" Let me know if this vividly paints the current market landscape for you!
by RKarina
EURUSD: The threat is still there!Hello, dear friends! What do you think about EURUSD today? As predicted, EURUSD has faced difficulties in breaking the resistance level at 1.086 and has started to retreat. The slight increase in the US dollar has led to a defensive risk sentiment, contributing to a mild decline in EUR/USD to the area of 1.0830, amidst increasing caution ahead of the release of US PCE on March 29th. From a technical analysis perspective, the path ahead for this currency pair seems to have multiple obstacles as the downtrend line is still in play. Continued violation below the key support level at 1.080 could potentially cause the exchange rate to slide even further.
Short
by RKarina
Bullish pennant teases Gold buyers despite latest inactionGold price remains lackluster within a three-week-old trading range, struggling to extend the weekly rebound by the press time. However, a gradually firming RSI (14) line joins the bullish MACD signals and a one-week-long bull pennant to keep the XAUUSD buyers hopeful. That said, the aforementioned trading range’s top surrounding $2,188 guards the immediate upside of the bullion ahead of the stated pennant’s peak of near $2,195, quickly followed by the $2,200 threshold. In a case where the precious metal remains firmer past $2,200, the odds of witnessing a new all-time high, currently around $2,222, can’t be ruled out. In that case, $2,265 could gain the buyer’s attention ahead of the $2,300 round figure. Alternatively, a downside break of $2,165 will defy the bullish pennant chart formation and could quickly fetch the Gold price toward the previously mentioned trading range’s bottom of near $2,146-42. In a case where the XAUUSD drops beneath the $2,142 support, an ascending support line stretched from mid-February, close to the $2,100 psychological magnet at the latest, will be crucial to watch. Should the bullion remain weak past $2,100, the late December 2023 peak surrounding $2,090 will be the last defense of the Gold buyers before giving control to the sellers. Overall, Gold price remains bullish unless breaking $2,090 support even if the upside room appears limited ahead of the key US data, namely the US GDP and Core PCE Price Index.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by MTradingGlobal
What changes in gold prices?Hello, wonderful companions! Let's delve into the golden hue of yesterday's market session. Gold seemed to pause after reaching $2,200 once again, finding a steady rhythm around $2,178 in the early hours of Wednesday's Asian trading session. Looking at the future prospects of gold, the short-term outlook remains optimistic. Predictions are being built around the potential interest rate cut by the Federal Reserve, boosting the rise in gold as investors eagerly await important inflation data later this week. This data will play a crucial role in determining the timing of these anticipated rate cuts. Expectations are that gold will continue to rise due to the anticipation of interest rate cuts, unless the Fed changes its stance or signals a departure from the expected rate cuts.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by RKarina
GBPUSD recovered againHello wonderful people! Let's dive into GBPUSD insights today. In today's North American trading session, the British Pound is making a modest comeback against the US Dollar, thanks to speculation that the Federal Reserve may cut interest rates in June. At this time, GBP /USD is trading at 1.2657, marking a 0.16% gain on the day. Essentially, GBP/USD is forming a 'bullish harami' pattern, hinting at potential trends ahead. To confirm a trend reversal, it needs to clear the 1.2679 mark, announcing targets at 1.2700, followed by the 1.2803 peak. Conversely, a slide below the 1.2591 support could negate this pattern, potentially extending losses. What are your views on future steps?
by RKarina
Update the latest gold price today!Let's delve into the motivation behind today's gold market! Early on Tuesday, gold slightly surpassed the crucial $2,150 mark due to predictions of the Federal Reserve cutting interest rates this year. Comments from Fed officials, indicating a dovish stance, have put pressure on the US Dollar, thus providing significant support for gold priced in USD. Looking at the chart, it is evident that gold has experienced a slight decline after reaching a new high of $2,222, but it continues to maintain a positive trend supported by an upward trendline. The 4-hour chart of XAU/USD demonstrates that the uptrend is prevailing, sustaining gold's momentum with positive signals from the 34 and 89 EMA lines. Gold is expected to extend its upward trajectory if it successfully breaks the resistance level of $2,185, with a strong support level firmly set at $2,150. Wishing you a successful and exciting trading session!
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by RKarina
EURUSD: continues to recover above 1.0800Hello everyone! EUR/USD has bounced back after two consecutive losing sessions, marking a comeback from recent weeks' lows around the 1.0800 light, countering the US Dollar's bearish bias. Starting the new week on a lighter note, the Greenback's recent rally has weakened, sending the US Dollar Index (DXY) falling below 104.00, despite US interest rates being higher in many different time periods. Likewise, growing demand for riskier assets has given the Euro wings, marking EUR/USD's notable recovery from recent levels near 1.0800.
Long
by RKarina
Gold and its direction in the future!Hello astute and wealthy traders! Let's delve into today's market dynamics! Gold (XAU/USD) continues to maintain a consolidating sideways trend this Tuesday, staying within the familiar range established over the past three weeks. However, the balance seems to be leaning towards the bullish side as the Federal Reserve prepares for a less restrictive policy stance, promising favorable winds for this precious metal. Speculations are mounting that the Fed will start a rate-cutting cycle in June, coupled with a slight decrease in US Treasury yields, causing the US Dollar (USD) to enter a defensive price increase. Furthermore, political tensions arising from the ongoing Russia-Ukraine conflict and the uncertain ceasefire in Gaza Strip indicate that the smoothest path for safe-haven gold remains upward.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by RKarina
EURUSD: Continuous discounts!Hello dear traders! What do you think about EURUSD today? After a strong increase on Wednesday, EUR/USD turned bearish on Thursday, ending the day in the red. The downward trend continued into Friday, with temporary trading fluctuating around the 1.0800 level. The strength of the US dollar has truly reversed the direction of EUR/USD, aligning perfectly with our previous forecasts. Looking ahead: The currency pair is currently moving through a significant support zone as marked on the chart. There is a possibility of a recovery, aiming to retrace to the Fibonacci 0.5 - 0.618 retracement level while testing the 34 and 89 EMA. A successful breach above this level could open up further recovery phases. Conversely, breaking below the current support level would present a golden opportunity for sellers. Let's watch and see what unfolds with this currency pair!
Short
by RKarina
USDJPY- Bears continue to prevail!Hello everyone, it's RKarina here again! Currently, USD/JPY continues to consolidate below the 151.50 level in the Asian trading session on Tuesday. Concerns about the Japanese government's potential intervention to strengthen the Yen are dampening the upward momentum, coupled with the overall weakness of the US Dollar, which is limiting the strong upside potential for this currency pair. With this scenario and technical outlook, the bearish camp seems to have the upper hand at this stage. The upward trend has gradually cooled off and shifted into a sideways movement. In the short and medium term, selling remains a preferred strategy, targeting two potential price levels for a decline.
Short
by RKarina
200-SMA tests AUDUSD rebound from six-week-old supportAUDUSD struggles to defend the week-start recovery from an ascending support line stretched from early February as traders await the key US Durable Goods Orders and the Aussie inflation data, scheduled for Tuesday and Wednesday respectively. In doing so, the risk-barometer pair jostles with the 200-SMA hurdle surrounding 0.6555. It’s worth noting that the market’s cautious mood joins the sluggish MACD and steady RSI (14) line to raise doubts about the quote’s further upside. Even if the buyers manage to cross the key SMA hurdle, an 11-week-old horizontal resistance surrounding 0.6635-40 will be a tough nut to crack for them before retaking control. Meanwhile, AUDUSD sellers should wait for the aforementioned data, as well as the pair’s daily closing beneath the multi-day-old support line, close to 0.6515 by the press time, before entering. Even so, the monthly low of 0.6477 and February’s bottom of 0.6442 will challenge the quote’s downside. Following that, the bears could gain a free hand in targeting the 0.6400 round figure and the late 2023 swing low of near 0.6270. Overall, AUDUSD pares recent losses ahead of the key data/events but the recovery appears less convincing.
by MTradingGlobal
Gold price today: The momentum of "downward" is not slowing downHello everyone, let's find out how the price of gold fared last week and strategize for the upcoming week! Last week marked a significant moment for gold as it reached an all-time high of nearly $2222 USD. Market news, particularly rumors of the Federal Reserve cutting interest rates this year, played a crucial psychological role for investors, leading to continuous manipulation and volatility in the price of gold. Currently, the $2222 USD peak is not sustained, and the strong recovery of the US Dollar on the last trading day has exerted considerable pressure on gold. Despite a 0.7% decline in the day, gold still slightly increased compared to the previous week's closing price, stabilizing at around $2165 USD. Looking ahead: The prospects for the next week indicate that the price of gold may experience further adjustments. The immediate short-term target is to retest the EMA 89 line (support area around $2148 USD). If this support level is broken, we are likely to lean towards selling, with a high possibility that gold will touch the $212x level next week! What are your thoughts on the future price movement of gold?
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by RKarina
6
Analyze and evaluate the new weekly gold strategy!Hello dear friends, are you curious about the gold price trend this week? As we enter a new week, gold has been steadily increasing by $10, reaching $2175 in Asian trading session. In the short term, it seems poised for further growth, although it may encounter resistance around the $2185 level. The monetary policy decisions of the Federal Reserve in June could significantly impact the trajectory of this precious metal. Details on the Outlook: A survey on Wall Street reveals mixed expectations: 40% predict higher prices this week, 27% anticipate a decrease, and 33% expect stable trading. Meanwhile, an online poll on Main Street shows a bullish outlook, with 69% predicting price increases, 25% expecting a decrease, and 16% maintaining a neutral stance on the short-term outlook for gold.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by RKarina
3
Gold price today: Stable waiting for new news!Gold Update: In the early trading hours in Asia on Monday, the price of gold (XAU/USD) comfortably fluctuated around the $2,100 mark, receiving support from speculation that the Federal Reserve may cut interest rates by the end of this year. Investors are awaiting the release of the US Gross Domestic Product (GDP) data for the fourth quarter, which is expected to remain stable at 3.2% and potentially create new momentum. Currently, gold is trading around $2,168, marking a modest increase of 0.15% for the day. Following the March meeting of the Fed, where they chose to maintain the benchmark interest rate between 5.25% and 5.50% for the fifth consecutive time, Fed Chair Jerome Powell hinted at a plan to cut interest rates three times in 2024, boosting investor interest in the precious metal and pushing gold prices higher. According to the CME FedWatch Tool, the likelihood of the Fed starting to cut interest rates in the June meeting has increased to 72% from 65% after the interest rate decision. Personal Information: After the terrorist attack in Russia, the price of gold slightly increased, returning above $2,170. The market appears stable but may face a short-term decline between $2,150 and $2,180.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by RKarina
AUDJPY: Ending Diagonal Pattern; A Reversal on the Horizon.The advance from Mar 24, 2023 low of 86.06 subdivides into five waves. Notice that this price action contains overlapping waves that contract and form a wedge shape. That is the emblem of an ending diagonal which cues a swift and dramatic reversal on the horizon. According to Elliott Wave guideline, the expected reversal is projected to reach at least the point where the diagonal initiation occurred, and potentially extend beyond. In this instance, the relevant level is identified by the conclusion of wave ((b)) at 86.06. A salient attribute of ending diagonal is that all initial subwaves form either a single or multiple zigzag patterns. Waves (i), (iii), (iv) and (v) appear to be single zigzags, while wave (ii) is a double zigzag. Wave (v) often makes a throw-over (a brief break beyond the trendline connecting waves (i) and (iii) ). A throw-over suggests a diagonal has finished. Once price action pushes below the trendline connecting waves (ii) and (iv), we would have compelling proof that the diagonal has ended. The next event should be a swift move to at least 86.06 and probably beyond. The wave count is not the sole basis for considering a short position. Beyond what is illustrated, there has been a divergence in prices and MACD since June 16, 2023, suggesting a diminishing upward momentum and indicating a weakening uptrend. Despite new highs in prices on November 16, 2023 and February 21, 2024, MACD did not follow suit. This bearish divergence frequently foreshadows a potential downturn in prices. (Insert MACD on your chart and draw a trendline connecting the highs) Trading Plan Entry: Sell above wave (iii) high. Protective Stop: 100.95; the price level at which wave (v) would be longer than wave (iii), which would render our diagonal scenario invalid. As a rule, within a contracting ending diagonal, wave three is always shorter than wave one, and wave five is always shorter than wave three. Target: 86.06 and below Risk-Reward: 1:5
Short
by Aquanet_Market_Forecast
USDJPY : Price increases continue under limited regime!Hello dear friends, let's discuss and devise our strategy for the new day together! USD/JPY is witnessing a decline, fluctuating near the 151.00 level, as the Japanese Yen faces significant buying pressure amidst concerns about Japan's potential forex intervention, especially after this exchange rate reached a new high since the beginning of the year at 151.86 last Friday. Minutes from the Bank of Japan's meeting in January further weakened the USD/JPY pair. From a technical perspective, if USD/JPY continues to trade below the marked resistance level, it may still face pressure and potentially decline further.
Short
by RKarina
GBPUSD continues to bounce back!Hello dear friends! GBPUSD is showing signs of recovery this Monday, bouncing back after a significant drop at the end of last week. The recovery started when it touched the Trendline, although the overall trend is still bearish due to the momentum the US Dollar (USD) has gained from Wall Street activities, despite the declining interest rates that have reinforced the potential recovery of this currency pair. In the short term, I lean towards a buying strategy, aiming for the resistance level at 1.267. What about you? Do you think now is a good time to buy?
Long
by RKarina
USDJPY eases from key resistance, focus on US, Japan inflationUSDJPY remains pressured towards 151.00 while keeping the previous day’s U-turn from a five-month-old horizontal resistance zone amid Monday’s sluggish Asian session. In doing so, the Yen pair justifies the RSI (14) line’s divergence with the latest high in prices. However, the bullish MACD signals and the quote’s successful trading above the resistance-turned-support line stretched from mid-November 2023, close to 150.30 by the press time, challenge the pair sellers. Even if the quote drops below 150.30, the 150.00 psychological magnet and January’s high of 148.80 will test the bears before directing them toward the 200-SMA support of 146.70. On the contrary, the USDJPY pair buyers need to provide a daily closing beyond the multiple tops marked since October 2023 near the 151.90-70 region to retake control. Even so, the year 2022 peak of around 151.95 and the 152.00 threshold will challenge the Yen pair buyers before directing prices toward the tops marked in 1990 around 155.80 and 160.40. In doing so, the quote will also need to jostle with the 160.00 round figure. Apart from the multiple hurdles toward the north, the US Core PCE Price Index and Japan’s Tokyo CPI also act as the key challenges for the pair buyers to tackle to keep the reins. Overall, the USDJPY buyers need strong catalysts to defend the latest run-up.
by MTradingGlobal