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Technical Analysis

Finance Sector Leader on Breakout with Huge Volume--What’s Next?Hey Traders! Hope you're all doing great! There’s an exciting trading idea setting up with Bajaj Finance , and I couldn’t wait to share it with you. The stock is forming a classic Ascending Triangle Pattern , and based on this setup, we're expecting a nice breakout soon. Let’s break it down. Technical Analysis: Ascending Triangle Pattern The Ascending Triangle is a bullish continuation pattern that indicates strong buyer interest and a potential breakout. Bajaj Finance has formed a clear ascending triangle , with a horizontal resistance at the top and an upward-sloping support line at the bottom. The price has been making higher lows, showing that buyers are gradually gaining strength, while sellers are being squeezed at the resistance level. Bajaj Finance continues to be one of India’s leading financial services companies , delivering consistent growth in revenue and profitability. Here's a quick look at the key financials from the December 2024 , September 2024 , and December 2023 quarters: Sales : Dec 2024 : ₹18,035 crore ( YoY Growth: 27% ) Sep 2024 : ₹17,091 crore Dec 2023 : ₹14,164 crore EBIDT : Dec 2024 : ₹12,344 crore ( YoY Growth: 24% ) Sep 2024 : ₹11,753 crore Dec 2023 : ₹9,934 crore Net Profit : Dec 2024 : ₹4,308 crore ( YoY Growth: 17% ) Sep 2024 : ₹4,014 crore Dec 2023 : ₹3,639 crore Earnings Per Share (EPS) : Dec 2024 : ₹68.60 ( YoY Growth: 17% ) Sep 2024 : ₹64.62 Dec 2023 : ₹58.88 These solid figures show Bajaj Finance’s strength and its growth trajectory across key financial metrics. I feel that fundamentally , Bajaj Finance is strong with 27% YoY sales growth and 17% YoY net profit growth , and technically , the Ascending Triangle Pattern on the chart shows a potential breakout, indicating the stock is ready for a big move in the coming months. Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only. Please trade responsibly and consult a financial advisor before making any decisions. If you found this analysis helpful, don’t forget to like, follow, and share your thoughts in the comments below! Your support keeps me motivated to share more insights. Let’s grow and learn together—happy trading!
NSE:BAJFINANCELong
by TraderRahulPal
2
Mastering the Cup & Handle Pattern for Profitable BreakoutsCup & Handle Chart Pattern – A Powerful Setup for Breakouts Hey Traders! I hope you’re all doing great! Today, let's break down the Cup & Handle Chart Pattern —this one’s a gem for those who want to ride uptrends with confidence. If you’re looking to catch strong breakouts, this pattern will definitely help you spot them! What is the Cup & Handle Pattern? The Cup & Handle pattern shows up after a nice rally in price, followed by a cool-down phase where the price takes a breather and forms a rounded bottom (the cup). After that, we get a small pullback (the handle), which sets up the price for another breakout in the same direction. It’s like the market catches its breath before jumping higher again. Key Characteristics of the Cup & Handle Pattern Cup : The rounded bottom after a price correction. It’s where the market takes its time to consolidate before pushing up again. Handle : A shallow pullback after the cup, just to catch a little rest before the next move up. Breakout : The key moment when the price breaks above the neckline (the top of the cup), signaling that the uptrend is ready to continue. Volume Confirmation : You’ll usually see volume dropping during the cup and handle formation, then a spike in volume when the breakout happens. This confirms the strength of the move. How to Trade the Cup & Handle Pattern Like a Pro Entry Point : The best time to jump in is after the price breaks above the neckline (the top of the cup). For example, in EID Parry India Ltd , the entry point is at 719.20 once the breakout happens. Stop Loss : Keep your stop loss just below the handle’s base (around 597.45 ) to protect yourself in case the breakout fails. Profit Target : To set your target, measure the distance from the base of the cup to the neckline, then project that distance upwards from the breakout point. In this case, the target would be around 954.50 , which is a 46.15% potential gain. Real-World Application: EID Parry Case Study Looking at EID Parry India Ltd , we can see a perfect Cup & Handle setup. After a dip, the stock formed the cup, followed by the handle, and then broke out above the neckline. From here, we can calculate the target based on the cup’s height, which gives us a target of 954.50 . Conclusion The Cup & Handle pattern is one of the most reliable continuation setups you can find. Spotting the cup, waiting for the breakout, and using proper risk management can increase your chances of success in trending markets. Have you traded using the Cup & Handle pattern? Drop your thoughts in the comments below! Let’s keep learning and growing together as traders!
NSE:EIDPARRYEducation
by TraderRahulPal
Michael Steinhardt's Secrets to Macro Trading & Risk ManagementMichael Steinhardt: The Master of Macro Trading and Risk Management Hello Traders! Today, we’ll be diving into the trading journey of Michael Steinhardt , one of the most successful hedge fund managers of all time. Known for his macro trading strategies and exceptional risk management , Steinhardt built a fortune by analyzing global economic trends and capitalizing on large-scale opportunities. His ability to predict market movements and his contrarian approach made him a standout in the investment world. Steinhardt’s philosophy has always been about staying ahead of the market by focusing on big-picture trends while managing risk. He believes in making large-scale bets that align with macroeconomic conditions and using strict risk controls to protect capital. "The greatest investors know that it’s not just about making money, but managing your risk to ensure the longevity of your wealth." Let’s explore Steinhardt’s approach to macro trading , risk management , and some of his most successful trades. Michael Steinhardt’s Key Trading Principles Focus on Macro Trends : Steinhardt’s expertise lay in macro trading , where he used global economic and political events to guide his investment decisions. By focusing on major economic forces such as inflation, interest rates, and global conflicts, Steinhardt identified high-probability trades that aligned with long-term market movements. Risk Management is Key : For Steinhardt, risk management was always top priority. He made large bets, but always with a clear plan on how to minimize losses. He was never afraid to cut his losses quickly, ensuring that no single trade could threaten his capital. Contrarian Betting : Steinhardt often made contrarian bets , going against the prevailing market sentiment when he saw opportunities. This mindset allowed him to capitalize on market inefficiencies , especially when most investors were following trends blindly. Stay Flexible and Adaptable : Steinhardt’s ability to adapt to changing market conditions is one of his defining traits. He was never married to a single position and was always open to adjusting his strategy if the market environment shifted. Large-Scale Opportunities : Steinhardt focused on high-impact trades . Whether it was currency movements, commodities, or stock indices, he made calculated decisions that aligned with his macro view of the world . How Michael Steinhardt Made His Fortune Steinhardt’s hedge fund, Steinhardt Partners , was founded in 1967, and over the years, it became one of the most profitable investment firms in the world. His unique approach to macro trading allowed him to make massive gains during some of the most volatile periods in history, including the 1970s oil crisis and the 1987 stock market crash . His contrarian strategies also led him to big profits in the currency markets and commodities during times of global economic unrest. Risk Management and Flexibility Steinhardt was well known for his aggressive risk management strategy . He used techniques like hedging and diversifying his positions to protect his capital from large market swings. This allowed him to stay in the game during times of market stress and continue making profitable trades. He also emphasized flexibility . If an investment thesis was proven wrong, he was quick to exit the position and look for new opportunities. Adaptation and quick action became hallmarks of his successful trading approach. What We Can Learn from Michael Steinhardt’s Trading Philosophy Michael Steinhardt’s approach to trading is a fantastic lesson in macro analysis , risk management , and flexibility . Here are the key takeaways: Focus on macro trends to make large-scale, informed trades. Manage risk effectively to preserve capital and protect against unforeseen market shifts. Don’t be afraid to go against the crowd when your analysis tells you a different story. Adapt to changing market conditions and avoid sticking to rigid strategies that no longer align with the market environment. Conclusion Michael Steinhardt’s legacy as one of the greatest hedge fund managers comes down to his macro trading expertise , his strict risk management , and his adaptable mindset . He was able to navigate volatile markets by using his deep understanding of global trends and staying true to his analysis. What’s your take on Michael Steinhardt’s approach to macro trading? Let’s discuss in the comments below. Happy trading, and keep learning from the best!
NSE:NIFTYEducation
by TraderRahulPal
NSE GLAND: A Critical Resistance Zone That Could Shift the TrendTimeframe: Daily In NSE GLAND, the price has respected the channel in three distinct moves, indicating a potential 3-wave correction setup. Currently, it is trading below the 50 and 100 EMA, with ATR at 55.96 and ADX at 42.07 . After reaching a high of 2220 , the price declined and formed a corrective structure. Wave (A) completed at 1585.7 , followed by wave (B) at 1964 . Presently, wave 4 of wave (C) is in formation. The 1545-1585 zone serves as a strong resistance, where a decisive breakout could shift the trend. However, the price still needs to reach 1328 to complete a 100% extension of wave A, making wave C = wave A at 1328 . A strong throw-under could enhance the probability of revisiting levels near wave (B). We will update further information soon.
NSE:GLAND
by forextidings
What is rsi and how to use it ?RSI stands for **Relative Strength Index**, which is a momentum oscillator used in technical analysis to measure the speed and change of price movements. It is primarily used to identify whether an asset is overbought or oversold, helping traders make decisions about potential buy or sell opportunities. ### Key Points About RSI: - **Scale**: RSI ranges from 0 to 100. - **Overbought and Oversold Levels**: - **Overbought**: When RSI is above 70, the asset is considered overbought, meaning it may be overvalued and could see a price reversal downward. - **Oversold**: When RSI is below 30, the asset is considered oversold, meaning it might be undervalued and could see a price reversal upward. ### How to Use RSI: 1. **Identifying Overbought/Oversold Conditions**: - **Overbought (RSI > 70)**: This suggests the asset may have been overbought, and a pullback or price reversal might occur. Traders might consider selling or shorting. - **Oversold (RSI < 30)**: This suggests the asset may be oversold, and a rebound or price reversal might happen. Traders might consider buying. 2. **RSI Divergence**: - **Bullish Divergence**: When the price makes new lows, but RSI forms higher lows, this can indicate a potential upward reversal or buying opportunity. - **Bearish Divergence**: When the price makes new highs, but RSI forms lower highs, this may signal a potential downward reversal or selling opportunity. 3. **RSI and Trend Strength**: - RSI can also help assess trend strength. For example, during a strong uptrend, the RSI might stay above 40-50 and consistently test the overbought zone. Similarly, in a strong downtrend, the RSI may hover below 60 and frequently test oversold conditions. 4. **RSI and Trend Reversals**: - When the RSI crosses back above the 30 level (from below), it can signal the start of an uptrend (bullish reversal). - When the RSI crosses back below the 70 level (from above), it can signal the start of a downtrend (bearish reversal). ### Practical Example of Using RSI: - **Example 1: Overbought Condition**: - Let's say a stock has an RSI of 75. This indicates it’s overbought, suggesting that a price pullback or correction might be on the horizon. Traders might consider selling or taking profits at this point. - **Example 2: Oversold Condition**: - If the RSI of a stock is 25, it indicates the stock is oversold and could be undervalued. Traders might look for a buying opportunity, anticipating that the price may rise. ### Limitations: - RSI is more useful in ranging (sideways) markets than in trending markets. In strong trends, RSI may stay overbought or oversold for extended periods without reversing. - RSI signals should ideally be combined with other indicators or chart patterns for confirmation.
NSE:RELIANCEEducation
by SkyTradingZone
Mastering the Flag Chart Pattern for Profitable BreakoutsFlag Chart Pattern: A Key to Successful Breakouts Hello Traders! I hope you’re all doing well! Today, we’ll be taking a deep dive into the Flag Chart Pattern . This continuation pattern is a favorite for traders looking for a strong trend to follow. If you want to spot reliable breakouts, the Flag pattern is something you’ll want to master. It can help you ride strong trends and get in at the right moment after a brief consolidation. What is the Flag Pattern? The Flag Chart Pattern forms after a sharp price movement (the Flagpole ), followed by a brief consolidation period. The consolidation forms a rectangular or parallelogram shape, which is the Flag . Once the price breaks out of this consolidation, it often continues in the same direction as the initial Flagpole . In other words, the Flag Pattern signals that the market is taking a quick breather before continuing its strong momentum in the same direction. Key Characteristics of the Flag Pattern Flag Pole : The initial sharp price movement (either upward or downward), showing strong momentum. Flag : The consolidation phase that follows the pole, typically characterized by parallel trendlines, forming a rectangular or parallelogram shape. Breakout : The price breaks above (for a bullish pattern) or below (for a bearish pattern) the flag's upper or lower boundary, confirming the continuation of the trend. Volume Confirmation : Volume usually decreases during the consolidation (flag) phase, followed by a surge in volume at the breakout, which confirms the strength of the move. How to Trade the Flag Pattern Like a Pro Entry Point : The best time to enter is after the price breaks above the flag’s upper boundary (for bullish setups). Stop Loss : Place your stop loss just below the flag’s lower boundary or the most recent swing low, to minimize risk. Profit Target : For setting targets, measure the height of the flagpole and project that distance from the breakout point to set your profit target. Real-World Application: Dixon Technologies Case Study Looking at the Dixon Technologies chart, we can see a clear Flag Chart Pattern forming. After a sharp price increase (the flagpole ), the stock consolidated, creating the flag . Once the price broke out above the flag’s upper trendline, the price continued to rise, confirming the continuation of the uptrend. The expected target can be calculated using the flagpole’s height, projecting it from the breakout point. Conclusion The Flag Chart Pattern is one of the most reliable continuation patterns in technical analysis. By recognizing the flagpole , waiting for the breakout, and managing your risk effectively, you can increase the chances of a successful trade. Have you traded using the Flag pattern? Share your experiences in the comments below! Let’s learn together and keep improving our trading strategies!
NSE:DIXONEducation
by TraderRahulPal
2
Unlocking Breakouts with the Symmetrical Triangle PatternUnderstanding the Symmetrical Triangle Chart Pattern Hello Traders! Today, we’ll discuss one of the most powerful chart patterns used to predict breakout opportunities — the Symmetrical Triangle . This pattern is a sign of market consolidation, where price is moving within a narrowing range, and a breakout is expected once the price escapes from this converging trend. The Symmetrical Triangle consists of two trendlines: Ascending Trendline : Connecting the rising lows. Descending Trendline : Connecting the falling highs. Key Characteristics of the Symmetrical Triangle Pattern: Consolidation Period : The price moves between the two trendlines, showing decreasing volatility. Breakout : Once the price breaks above the upper trendline (ascending trendline) or below the lower trendline (descending trendline), it signals a strong trend continuation or reversal. Volume Analysis : Volume usually decreases during the consolidation phase, followed by a surge in volume during the breakout, confirming the direction. How to Trade the Symmetrical Triangle? Entry Point : After the breakout occurs (above the ascending trendline or below the descending trendline), enter the trade in the direction of the breakout. Stop Loss : Place a stop loss just below the breakout level to protect your position from false breakouts. Target : The target can be estimated by measuring the height of the triangle from the base and projecting that distance from the breakout point. Example of Symmetrical Triangle in Action In the Godfrey Phillips India chart , we can see a Symmetrical Triangle forming between 2021 and 2023. The price broke out of the pattern in late 2022, giving traders a strong upward momentum. Based on the measured move, the target was met after a clear breakout above the ascending trendline , which resulted in a price rise of 42.37%. Conclusion The Symmetrical Triangle is a reliable continuation pattern that provides great trading opportunities. Make sure to watch for volume confirmation during the breakout, and always use a stop loss to protect yourself from unexpected reversals. Happy Trading! 🚀📈
NSE:GODFRYPHLPEducation
by TraderRahulPal
3
what is option chain pcr ?The **Option Chain PCR (Put-Call Ratio)** is a ratio used by traders and analysts to gauge market sentiment and potential price direction. It is calculated by dividing the total open interest (OI) of **puts** by the total open interest of **calls** in a particular market or stock. ### Formula for PCR: \ ### What does PCR indicate? - **PCR > 1**: This suggests that there are more open interest in puts than calls, which is generally considered a **bearish** signal, indicating that traders expect the price to decline. - **PCR < 1**: This suggests that there are more open interest in calls than puts, which is generally considered a **bullish** signal, indicating that traders expect the price to rise. - **PCR = 1**: This indicates an **equilibrium** where the market is neutral, with an equal amount of calls and puts. ### How it's used: - **Sentiment Indicator**: Traders use the PCR to determine the overall sentiment of the market. A rising PCR might suggest that there is growing bearish sentiment, while a declining PCR might suggest increasing bullish sentiment. - **Market Extremes**: When the PCR becomes too extreme (either very high or very low), it could signal a reversal, indicating that the market might be overbought or oversold. ### Example: If the open interest for put options in a stock is 100,000 contracts and for call options is 200,000 contracts, the PCR would be: \ This would typically indicate a **bullish sentiment**, as more traders are interested in calls than puts.
NSE:ITCEducation
by Optionclub
what is price action and how to use it ?Price action in option trading refers to the analysis of recent price movements and historical data to identify patterns and trends that can inform trading decisions. This analysis can involve various technical indicators such as charts, trend lines, price bands, support and resistance levels, and more. Price action traders can follow the sequence of highs and lows strategy to map out emerging trends in their market. For example, if a price is trading at higher highs and higher lows, this indicates that it's on an upward trend. If it's trading at lower highs and lows, it's trending downwards. Trendlines: Used to identify and confirm directional trends in the charted price movement of financial markets / assets. ... Support and resistance lines: ... Chart patterns: ... Candlestick and bar chart patterns: ... Fibonacci retracements and extensions: ... Elliot Wave theory:
NSE:BANKNIFTYEducation
by Optionclub
Crisil Ltd.CRISIL Ltd. (NSE: CRISIL) is currently exhibiting a **Neutral** technical outlook, as indicated by various technical analysis indicators. **Technical Indicators:** - **Relative Strength Index (RSI):** The 14-day RSI stands at 38.43, suggesting a neutral market sentiment. citeturn0search3 - **Moving Averages:** The stock is trading below its 5-day, 10-day, 20-day, and 50-day simple and exponential moving averages, indicating a bearish trend. citeturn0search3 - **MACD (Moving Average Convergence Divergence):** The MACD value is -124.85, which is below the signal line, suggesting a bearish momentum. citeturn0search3 - **Stochastic Oscillator:** The Stochastic Oscillator is at 38.63, indicating a neutral market condition. citeturn0search3 **Support and Resistance Levels:** - **Support:** The stock has support at ₹4,996.55. citeturn0search3 - **Resistance:** The resistance level is at ₹5,455.40. citeturn0search3 **Conclusion:** CRISIL Ltd. is currently in a neutral technical position, with indicators suggesting neither strong bullish nor bearish momentum. Investors should monitor these indicators closely, as a breakout above resistance levels could signal a bullish trend, while a drop below support levels might indicate a bearish move. It's advisable to consider these technical factors alongside fundamental analysis and broader market conditions when making investment decisions.
NSE:CRISILLong
by SkyTradingZone
Mastering the Head & Shoulders Pattern: A Powerful Chart PatternHello Traders! Today, we’ll be diving into one of the most powerful chart patterns — the Head & Shoulder Pattern . It’s widely used by traders to spot trend reversals, particularly from bullish to bearish trends. If you’re looking to refine your technical analysis, understanding this pattern will significantly boost your trading edge. Understanding the Head & Shoulder Pattern The Head & Shoulders pattern consists of three peaks: the Left Shoulder , the Head (the highest peak), and the Right Shoulder . It indicates a trend reversal , usually occurring after a strong uptrend. Left Shoulder : The price rises to a peak, then declines. Head : The price rises higher, forming the highest peak, before pulling back again. Right Shoulder : The price rises again but fails to reach the height of the Head , followed by a decline. Key Elements for Confirmation: Neckline : A key support level formed by connecting the lows of the left shoulder and right shoulder. Breakout : Once the price breaks below the Neckline , the pattern is considered complete, signaling a potential sell-off. Trade Setup Based on Head & Shoulders: Entry Point : Enter a trade when the price breaks below the Neckline , confirming the pattern’s completion. Stop Loss : Place your stop loss just above the Right Shoulder to limit risk. Targets : Measure the distance from the Head to the Neckline and project it downward from the point of breakout for the target levels. Example: Nifty 50 Head & Shoulder Pattern In the chart, we can see the Nifty 50 forming a Head & Shoulders pattern . After the breakdown below the Neckline , the target levels are identified on chart please follow same if you see this chart pattern anywhere, indicating a potential move downward. Why is This Pattern Effective? The Head & Shoulders is highly regarded because of its clear structure and reliability in predicting bearish reversals. It helps traders identify when the market is likely to turn, giving you the opportunity to enter trades at the right time. Conclusion: The Head & Shoulders pattern is a powerful tool for identifying trend reversals. When used with additional tools like volume analysis and support/resistance levels , it can enhance your trading decisions. Always remember to use a stop loss to protect your capital and consider multiple timeframes for confirmation. Happy Trading! 😎📉
NSE:NIFTYEducation
by TraderRahulPal
1
EURUSD: Will the bears reverse the trend?Dear Friends! Selling pressure continues to weigh on the US Dollar and encouraged EURUSD to move to a fresh two-week high near 1.0500 following disappointing US Retail Sales figures. Technically, as mentioned on the 3-hour chart, although the uptrend remains supported and the parallel price channel has been broken, there are signs of a potential top forming at 1.053. Current support is around 1.047. If this level is broken, it could send EURUSD lower, potentially reaching 1.041, which would coincide with a test of the 34 and 89 EMAs. Have a nice day and good luck!
Short
by Brian-Trade
1
XAUUSD: Bulls are getting stronger!Hello everyone, let's find out the price of gold today! Yesterday, gold prices fell sharply, with spot gold falling $45.60 to $2,883.10 an ounce. Gold futures were last trading at $2,894.60 an ounce, down $50.70 from this morning. The main reason for the decline was profit-taking pressure. However, the precious metal still recorded its seventh consecutive weekly gain. Gold's gains this week were driven by safe-haven demand as President Donald Trump's plan to impose tariffs on countries that tax US imports raised concerns about a global trade war. On the other hand, Peter Grant, vice president and senior metals strategist at Zaner Metals, added that there are some technical factors at play. Gold’s failure to hit an all-time high on Tuesday may have created a double top and some profit-taking ahead of the weekend, he said. Meanwhile, gold’s rally remains supported by a number of factors including tariffs, underlying inflation and a weaker U.S. dollar.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Brian-Trade
2
EURUSD: buy or sell?EUR/USD continued its recovery on Thursday, rising sharply above 1.0400 as the US Dollar (USD) took a hit. The pair surged amid mixed market sentiment. A major correction in US bond yields, rising trade tensions and a cautious tone from Fed Chair Jerome Powell in his recent testimony added to the complexity of the story. The current trend, coupled with the support of the 34 and 89 EMAs, gives us a bullish outlook for EURUSD. Current resistance is at 1.046 with support at 1.042 and 1.038. A break above the 1.046 resistance would open the way for further upside, as seen on the 1-hour chart. Traders can consider taking long positions.
Long
by Brian-Trade
Gold price trend on February 14, 2025Hello everyone, let's find out how the gold price is doing! Yesterday, gold regained its bullish momentum as predicted and in line with the long-term trend, with the price reaching $2,934 at one point. The main reason for this increase is that the market has almost brushed aside the pessimistic fluctuations from the currency market, stocks, crude oil, etc... and negative economic reports. This is a sign that the demand for safe-haven gold is still strong, possibly including some central banks for gold, amid the uncertainty and concerns about new US trade tariffs, which could slow down global economic growth, supporting gold. As observed closely on the 1-hour chart, we can see that gold is moving above the 34 and 89 EMAs, plus the trend has not been broken yet, giving us a bullish outlook for gold. Gold is trading near the resistance level of 2934 with support near the 34 EMA at 2908. A break above the resistance level of 2934 will open the doors for further upside. Consider taking a long position. Wishing you a profitable trading day!
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Brian-Trade
1
how to make a rich portfolio in stock market ?Building wealth: 9 strategies for growing your portfolio Pick an investment strategy that suits your goals. ... Set clear investment goals. ... Consider investing over the long-term. ... Market timing. ... Diversification. ... Invest in growth sectors. ... Take advantage of compound interest. ... Rebalance your investment portfolio So, 90/10, with 90% in the Vanguard 500 Index Fund and 10% in short-term government bonds, is his recommendation for his wife's trust. By the way, his wife is in her late 70s, and Warren will presumably be leaving her many millions of dollars
NSE:TATASTEELEducation
by SkyTradingZone
1
ONGC : Is oil Going to burn? Technical View Box trading strategy in which you identify a stock consolidating for couple of days and trade in the direction of the breakout. In case of ONGC the stock was consolidating for about three days before breaking out earlier today. PRO TIP Use the High of the candle as your stop loss and trail it to either protect profits or hold your trade for longer duration. Target 227 Intra-day Target Fundamentals Weak Q3FY25 Results: ONGC's consolidated net profit attributable to owners declined by 19.4% to ₹8,621.69 crore in Q3 FY25, compared to ₹10,703.13 crore in the same period last year. This drop was attributed to lower global crude prices. The company reported a 6.9% decrease in net profit for the quarter, standing at ₹9,784 crore, down from ₹10,511 crore in the same period last year. ONGC's gross revenue also showed a slight decline of 0.7%, falling to ₹1.66 trillion in Q3 FY25, compared to ₹1.67 trillion in Q3 FY241. The company's revenue from operations also saw a decline, reaching ₹166,096.68 crore. Bearish Trend: The stock is trading below its 5-day, 20-day, 50-day, 100-day, and 200-day moving averages, which indicates a bearish trend in its short to long-term performance. Brokerage Views: CLSA has cut its FY25 EPS estimate by 5% due to cautious outlooks on the company's production and profitability Not an investment advice
NSE:ONGCShort
by REUBEN_EUSTACE
2
GOLD → Trading strategy for 500 PipsHello dear traders, let's discuss and plan our gold trading strategy for today together! Currently, gold is trading around $2913 and performing well within the 1-hour upward channel. The main reason for this price increase is market sentiment, as Trump's tariff policies could potentially trigger a trade war. Additionally, the cryptocurrency market is in crisis, causing investors to seek safe-haven assets like gold. Furthermore, strong gold buying pressure from Asian countries at the start of the year is also driving demand. As shown on the 1-hour chart, gold remains above the EMA 34, 89 lines, confirming a strong bullish trend. Despite positive CPI data for currencies, gold's strong recovery signals that buying pressure has returned. In the short term, we continue to prioritize buy-on-dip strategies :) BUY zones to watch: 2875 - 2880 2850 - 2855 2830 - 2835
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Brian-Trade
2
Important things to remember while starting trading journeyTo learn trading for beginners, the asset class with which you have the most experience is a good place to start - for most people this is shares. It can also make sense to start with assets with lower volatility, as there is less time pressure here. The 5-3-1 strategy is especially helpful for new traders who may be overwhelmed by the dozens of currency pairs available and the 24-7 nature of the market. The numbers five, three, and one stand for: Five currency pairs to learn and trade. Three strategies to become an expert on and use with your trades. It is a high-stakes game where many are lured by the promise of quick riches but ultimately face harsh realities. One of the harsh realities of trading is the “Rule of 90,” which suggests that 90% of new traders lose 90% of their starting capital within 90 days of their first trade.
NSE:NIFTYEducation
by Optionclub
Scalping vs. Swing Trading: Which One is Better for You?Hello Traders! Today’s topic is one that often sparks debate in the trading community: Scalping vs. Swing Trading. Both strategies have their unique strengths and challenges, and the choice between them largely depends on your trading style, time availability, and risk tolerance. Let’s break down the key differences to help you decide which approach may be better suited for you! Scalping: The Fast-Paced Trading Strategy Scalping is a trading strategy that focuses on making small profits from small price movements throughout the day. Traders who engage in scalping, also known as scalpers , typically execute multiple trades in a short period, often holding positions for just a few minutes or even seconds. Key Characteristics of Scalping: Short Holding Period: Scalpers hold positions for seconds to minutes, looking to capitalize on small price fluctuations. High Frequency of Trades: A scalper executes many trades in a day, potentially dozens or hundreds, depending on market conditions. Low Profit per Trade: While scalping, the profit per trade is small, but the cumulative returns can be substantial if executed consistently. Requires Fast Decision-Making: Scalpers need to make quick decisions, as they operate in fast-moving markets. Low Time Commitment per Trade: The time spent on each individual trade is short, but scalping requires constant attention to the markets throughout the trading session. Swing Trading: The Mid-Term Strategy Swing trading involves holding positions for a few days to weeks to capture larger price movements. Swing traders aim to take advantage of market “swings” or trends, rather than focusing on small fluctuations like scalpers. Key Characteristics of Swing Trading: Medium Holding Period: Positions are typically held for a few days or weeks to capitalize on medium-term price swings. Fewer Trades per Day: Swing traders typically make fewer trades compared to scalpers, often only executing trades a few times per week. Larger Profit per Trade: While the profit per trade is larger, swing traders can also face greater risk as positions are held for longer periods. Trend-Following Approach: Swing traders often look to trade in the direction of the prevailing trend, using technical indicators to identify potential entries and exits. More Time Between Trades: Swing traders don’t need to monitor the markets constantly like scalpers; they can afford to check their positions less frequently. Which One is Better? There is no clear-cut answer to which strategy is better—it depends on your personal preferences, lifestyle, and risk tolerance. Let’s compare them: Scalping Best for Active Traders: If you enjoy being constantly engaged with the market and have the time to dedicate to making quick decisions, scalping might be ideal for you . Requires Quick Reflexes and a High Level of Focus: Scalping can be intense, as you need to react quickly to price movements. Lower Risk per Trade, But High Frequency of Trades: While the risk per trade is small, the frequent trades can accumulate fees or slippage that impact overall profitability. Swing Trading Best for Less Active Traders: Swing trading is ideal if you don’t have time for constant monitoring but still want to take advantage of market movements. Better for Those Who Can Handle Larger Price Moves: Swing traders need to be more patient and prepared for larger price swings. More Time Between Trades, More Time for Analysis: Swing traders can dedicate more time to research and analysis before entering positions. Conclusion: Ultimately, scalping and swing trading are two effective strategies with their own strengths and weaknesses. Scalping suits fast-paced traders who thrive on constant action, while swing trading is better for those looking for a more relaxed, mid-term approach . Your choice should depend on your trading personality, time commitment, and comfort with risk. What’s your preferred strategy? Scalping or Swing Trading? Let me know your thoughts in the comments below! Happy trading!
NSE:NIFTYEducation
by TraderRahulPal
Mastering the Double Bottom Pattern for Trend Reversal Trading!Understanding the Double Bottom Pattern: A Key to Trend Reversal Hello Traders! Today, let’s dive into the Double Bottom Chart Pattern , a classic technical pattern that signals a potential reversal in a downtrend. The double bottom is considered one of the most reliable patterns for identifying trend reversals, especially in the context of bullish market movements . This pattern is typically found when the price forms two consecutive lows , each close to the same level, with a peak (or “neckline”) in between. Once the price breaks above the neckline, it indicates a potential long entry point. Identifying the Double Bottom Pattern Formation: Recognized by two consecutive lows, the Double Bottom forms when the price hits a support level, bounces up, and then returns to retest the same low before reversing higher. Neckline Breakout: The pattern is confirmed when the price breaks above the “neckline” (the resistance level formed between the two bottoms). This breakout is typically followed by a sharp upward movement. Volume Confirmation: Volume typically increases during the breakout, confirming the pattern and signaling strong momentum. Support Zone: The area between the two bottoms, where the price repeatedly tests support, is a key area for setting stop losses and defining your risk management. Trading Strategy: Double Bottom Pattern Entry Point: Consider entering a long position once the price breaks above the neckline, confirming a trend reversal. Stop Loss: Place your stop loss just below the second bottom to minimize risk if the price retraces. Profit Targets: Measure the distance from the bottom to the neckline and project that distance upwards from the breakout point to determine your potential target. Real-World Application: Lumax Industries Case Study Looking at the chart of Lumax Industries , we can see a perfect example of the Double Bottom Pattern from 2008-2010. After the price tested the support zone twice, it broke above the neckline, confirming the reversal and setting the stage for strong upward momentum. This would have been an excellent entry point for traders who understood the power of this chart pattern. Risk Management Considerations Position Sizing: Adjust your position size according to the risk involved in trading this pattern. Stop Loss Placement: The stop loss should be placed below the second bottom to protect against potential false breakouts. Patience & Confirmation: Wait for confirmation of the breakout, and ensure volume is increasing as the price breaks through the neckline. What This Means for Traders By mastering the Double Bottom Pattern , traders can confidently enter trend reversals and capitalize on the subsequent price movement. Look for the pattern in downtrending markets to identify potential opportunities for reversal. Use volume as confirmation to validate the breakout and avoid false signals. Be disciplined with stop losses to manage risk while allowing for maximum reward. Outcome: The Double Bottom Pattern is a powerful tool for identifying trend reversals, and when used correctly, it can provide high-probability trade setups with excellent risk-to-reward ratios. By understanding its formation and applying proper risk management, traders can enhance their trading strategies and improve their overall performance. What’s your experience with the Double Bottom pattern? Have you used this pattern in your trading? How did it work for you? Share your thoughts in the comments below!
NSE:LUMAXINDEducation
by TraderRahulPal
5
Mark Minervini: Master of Trend Following and Risk Management!Mark Minervini: Master of Trend Following and Stock Market Success Hello everyone! Today, we’re diving into the world of Mark Minervini , a U.S. stock trader and author who has made a significant impact in the trading world. Known for his trend-following strategies and risk management mindset , Minervini is widely respected for his disciplined approach to the market. Mark Minervini’s philosophy is built around timing the market right, managing risk, and investing in stocks with momentum . His success can be attributed to his ability to combine technical analysis , fundamental analysis , and strict risk management into a coherent strategy. Mark Minervini’s Key Trading Principles Buy High, Sell Higher: Minervini’s strategy is focused on buying stocks at breakout points , when they are moving above previous highs, signaling strong momentum and potential for larger gains. Look for Stocks with Strong Fundamentals and Technicals: He believes in a balanced approach, using both fundamental analysis and technical indicators to identify stocks that have the potential to deliver strong returns. The 90-90 Rule: Minervini’s 90-90 rule suggests that 90% of the time, the market moves with the top 10% performing stocks , and those top-performing stocks often deliver massive returns. Cut Losses Quickly and Let Profits Run: A central principle of Minervini’s strategy is risk management . He advocates cutting losses quickly and letting profits run , ensuring that small losses don’t turn into bigger ones. Risk Management Mindset: Mark Minervini stresses the importance of having a risk management mindset when trading. Managing risk is just as important as identifying profitable trades. He advises traders to always protect capital , as this is the foundation of long-term success in the market. Stay Disciplined and Follow a System: Minervini’s success is rooted in his disciplined approach. He sticks to his rules and doesn’t deviate from his proven system, regardless of market fluctuations. Mark Minervini’s Iconic Trades ✔ Stock Breakouts: Minervini made a fortune by buying stocks at breakout points where stocks are showing strong upward momentum. ✔ Growth Stocks in Bull Markets: He focuses on identifying high-growth stocks in strong bull markets, which consistently outperform the broader market. ✔ Precise Entry Points: Minervini does not just buy any stock but waits for specific technical patterns that suggest high-probability entry points. What This Means for Traders: By following Minervini’s principles, traders can: Focus on high-performing stocks with upward momentum that break above key resistance levels. Prioritize risk management and always be ready to cut losses to protect your capital. Stay disciplined and follow a systematic approach that relies on precise entry points and controlled risk. Leverage both technical and fundamental analysis to make smarter, more informed decisions. Outcome: Mark Minervini’s success is a result of his comprehensive approach to trading , which includes precise entry points, strong risk management, and a disciplined mindset. Traders who follow these principles can improve their results and take their trading to the next level. What do you think of Mark Minervini’s trading approach ? Have you implemented any of his strategies in your own trades? Share your thoughts in the comments below!
NSE:NIFTYEducation
by TraderRahulPal
3
how to trade profitably in volitaile market ?Common strategies to trade volatility include going long puts, shorting calls, shorting straddles or strangles, ratio writing, and iron condors. When volatility spikes, you have the opportunity to generate an above-average profit, but you also run the risk of losing a great deal of capital in a relatively short period of time. With a disciplined approach, you can learn to manage volatility for your benefit—while minimizing risks. There are two main methods for trading: Contracts for Difference (CFDs): This is like predicting whether the price will go up or down. You don't actually own the index, you're just speculating on its movements. ... Options: Options let you speculate on price movements without risking more than your initial stake.
NSE:RELIANCEEducation
by Optionclub