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Technical Analysis

EURUSD flirts with 1.0880-75 key support as Fed week beginsEURUSD remains pressured around 1.0890 early Monday, after posting the first weekly loss in four. In doing so, the Euro pair grinds near the 1.0880-75 support confluence comprising the 100-SMA and a five-week-old rising trend line amid the initial hours of the week comprising the key Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) monetary policy meeting. It’s worth noting that an impending bull cross on the MACD and a below 30 level of RSI (14) suggest the pre-FOMC consolidation of the quote. However, the corrective bounce appears elusive unless buyers manage to cross a downward-sloping trend line from the monthly high, close to 1.0945 at the latest. Even so, the monthly top surrounding 1.0980 and the 1.1000 threshold will act as the final defense of the sellers. Meanwhile, a downside break of the 1.0880-75 key support will allow the EURUSD bears to attack the 200-SMA level of 1.0830. Following that, the 1.0790-85 and the 1.0730 levels could test the sellers before directing the prices toward the yearly low marked in February near 1.0695. In a case where the Euro remains bearish past 1.0695, the May 2023 low of 1.0635 and March 2023 bottom surrounding 1.0515 will provide intermediate halts during a likely south-run targeting the previous yearly low of 1.0448. Overall, the EURUSD pair stays on the bear’s radar even if the oscillators suggest consolidation ahead of the key FOMC.
by MTradingGlobal
Momentum Swing Idea| ITC LtdITC Ltd as you all know it stablished in 1910, ITC is the largest cigarette manufacturer and seller in the country. ITC operates in five business segments at present — FMCG Cigarettes, FMCG Others, Hotels, Paperboards, Paper and Packaging, and Agri Business. Fundamental = strong Market Cap ₹ 5,23,098 Cr. Current Price ₹ 419 Stock P/E 25.6 ROCE 39.0 % ROE 29.1 % Debt to equity 0.00 Promoter holding 0.00 % Quick ratio 1.73 Current ratio 2.73 Piotroski score 6.00 Profit Var 3Yrs 7.41 % Sales growth 3Years 12.8 % Return on assets 23.8 % This is purely technical analysis and perfect 21 day moving average support .Moreover company is in growing and stable phase .keep in radar . monthly RSI above 55 and its seems to be reversal signals . if market in uptrend move than this stock will be in uncharted territory. Note: I am not SEBI registered financial Adviser. I solely present my views on chart .I do not charge any kind of service. This is not buy sell recommendation. If you like my ideas than like boost and follow me for more ideas. Thanks and comment freely
NSE:ITCLong
by Momentuminvesting5540
SWING IDEA - BIRLA CORPORATIONBirla Corp , a key player in the cement industry, signals a compelling swing buying opportunity driven by strong technical indicators. Reasons are listed below : After multiple tests, a robust breakout above the 1600 zone signifies a significant shift in market sentiment. The breach of a consolidation area spanning over two years indicates a decisive move in the price action. A bullish engulfing candlestick followed by confirmation in the subsequent week signals a reversal to bullish sentiment. Trading above the 50 and 200 Exponential Moving Averages (EMAs) on the weekly timeframe indicates a bullish market stance. The pattern of consistent higher highs reflects sustained bullish momentum. Elevated trading volumes validate the strength of the breakout, indicating heightened market participation. Target - 2112 // 2315 Stoploss - weekly close below 1464 DISCLAIMER - Decisions to buy, sell, hold or trade in securities, commodities and other investments involve risk and are best made based on the advice of qualified financial professionals. Any trading in securities or other investments involves a risk of substantial losses. The practice of "Day Trading" involves particularly high risks and can cause you to lose substantial sums of money. Before undertaking any trading program, you should consult a qualified financial professional. Please consider carefully whether such trading is suitable for you in light of your financial condition and ability to bear financial risks. Under no circumstances shall we be liable for any loss or damage you or anyone else incurs as a result of any trading or investment activity that you or anyone else engages in based on any information or material you receive through TradingView or our services. @visionary.growth.insights
NSE:BIRLACORPNLong
by Visionary_Growth_Insights
AUDUSD sellers attack 200-SMA to revisit 0.6525 key supportAUDUSD appears well-set for biggest weekly loss in seven while extending the previous week’s U-turn from a 3.5-month-old horizontal resistance area surrounding 0.6675-80. The Aussie pair currently pokes the 200-SMA support near 0.6565 amid an impending bear cross on the MACD and a retreat in the RSI (14) line, which in turn suggests slower grind toward the south. Hence, the quote is likely to break the adjacent SMA support of 0.6565 and aim for an upward-sloping support line from mid-February, close to 0.6525 at the latest. In a case where the bears keep the reins past 0.6525, the monthly bottom of 0.6477 and the yearly trough surrounding 0.6442 will be in the spotlight. Meanwhile, AUDUSD rebound needs validation from late February swing high of 0.6595, as well as the 0.6600 round figure. Following that, multiple swing highs marked so far during 2024 near 0.6625-30 could test the buyers. It’s worth noting, however, that the Aussie pair’s further advances remain elusive unless the quote offer a daily closing beyond the aforementioned multi-month-old horizontal resistance zone near 0.6675-80. Should the bulls manage to keep the reins past 0.6680, the 0.6700 and 0.6750 might entertain them before highlighting the late 2023 swing high of 0.6871. Overall, the AUDUSD pair is likely to decline further and can challenge the key support line as traders await a few more US consumer-centric data ahead of the next week’s FOMC monetary policy meeting.
by MTradingGlobal
Getting Started with Technical AnalysisInvesting in the stock market can be both exciting and overwhelming. There are so many stocks and strategies are there that make it hard to decide where to invest. That’s where technical analysis comes in. It’s the study of market data to find patterns, trends, and potential opportunities. To get started with technical analysis, you need to first understand what exactly technical analysis is. Technical Analysis: Technical analysis may sound complex, but it’s actually quite easy. In simple terms, it’s a method of assessing stock or any tradeable asset by studying statistics based on market activity, like past prices and volume. Technical analysts believe that by analysing charts and other indicators, they can identify and predict market trends for any security. Essentially, they study a stock’s trading history to measure its potential for future price changes. Let’s understand this with an example: Let’s make a comparison to weather forecasting. Can we predict the weather for the future? Yes. Is the weather forecast always 100% accurate? No. Weather forecasts are applicable over a period of time rather than being precise second by second. Similarly, just like meteorologists use past weather data and atmospheric patterns to forecast future weather conditions, technical analysts utilize past price and volume data to predict future stock prices. How You Can Start Technical Analysis of Stocks? To begin with technical analysis, the first step is selecting a security for analysis. This can include stocks, commodities, currency pairs, or any other tradable financial instrument available on an exchange. Once you have decided on the security, the next step involves studying its price and volume data. A widely used tool in technical analysis is the price chart. It provides a visual display of a security’s price changes over time. Price charts come in various types, with the candlestick chart being the most popular and commonly used option. Candlestick charts offer wide information in a single platform. Each candlestick represents a specific time period, like a day or an hour. The body of the candlestick indicates the security’s opening and closing prices within that timeframe, while the wicks or shadows represent the highest and lowest prices recorded during that period. By studying these candlesticks, traders can identify patterns and trends in the price movements of the stock. Along with price charts, traders use various technical indicators to analyse securities. These indicators are mathematical calculations derived from the price and volume data of a security. They give signals that confirm trends, identify potential buy or sell signals , and provide additional information to traders. Some popular and commonly used technical indicators are moving averages , relative strength index (RSI) , and Bollinger Bands , among others. These indicators help traders to judge market conditions, identify potential price reversals or trends, and help to take trading decisions. Dos and Don’ts to follow when starting Technical Analysis: Do’s: A Volume is an important tool for technical analysis. High trading volume suggests a strong trend, while low volume can indicate a lack of buyers and sellers in security. Traders mostly confirm trends and signals by using multiple indicators. With one or more than one indicators, a trader can become more confident in a potential trade. This approach allows for a thorough analysis of different aspects of the market, increasing the chances of making informed trading decisions. One of the most important tips to remember is that while technical analysis can assist in identifying potential trades, practising effective risk management is essential. Risk Management involves implementing stop-loss orders and ensuring that you don’t risk more than a certain percentage of your portfolio on any single trade. With the help of these risk management techniques, you can protect your investments and maintain a disciplined approach to trading. As the price of stocks is changing every time, you need to stay updated with news and investments that can impact your investment. Don’ts: While technical analysis can look complex, it’s important to avoid difficult things. Stick to the fundamental principles and strategies, and you should be on the right track. Sometimes, simplicity is the key to effective analysis and decision-making in the stock market. While technical analysis is important, it shouldn’t be the only way to evaluate securities. It’s also important to consider fundamental analysis , which involves looking at a company’s financial statements and economic factors. By using both technical and fundamental analysis, investors can get a better overall understanding of the securities they are analysing. Trading can involve emotional decisions, but it’s important to let no emotions cloud your judgment. Stick to your trading strategy and avoid making impulsive trades driven by fear or greed. By maintaining discipline and adhering to your predetermined plan, you can make more rational and informed trading decisions. When you’re taking potential trades, it’s important to think about the risk-reward ratio . This means comparing the potential profit with the potential loss. With a good risk-to-reward ratio, you can make smarter decisions and aim for a good balance between R:R in your trading strategy. Conclusion: Technical analysis is a great tool for traders and aspiring investors in the Indian stock market. It helps identify potential opportunities by analysing price and volume data, allowing traders to recognize patterns and trends. However, it’s important to follow certain guidelines when using this approach. With the help of candlestick patterns , indicators, risk management tools, and fundamental analysis traders can achieve their financial goals.
NSE:RELIANCEEducation
by khushaljain023
2
USDJPY Strategy: Navigating Economic Data & Market Trends Welcome to our daily strategy session, where we dive into the current dynamics of USDJPY and outline potential moves for today! USDJPY is currently retreating, having found support amid a bullish sentiment around the 146.50-146.30 region. However, the plot thickens. Uncertainty surrounding the Bank of Japan's (BoJ) policy moves and a renewed appetite for the US dollar are injecting optimism into this currency pair. Yet, an upcoming slew of significant US economic data could introduce unpredictable price volatility. Today, the market anticipates retail sales figures. A positive outcome would underscore strong consumer spending, potentially reinforcing the belief that the Federal Reserve (Fed) will maintain steady interest rates in the first half of the year. This could further bolster the USD against the JPY. Looking at the daily chart, USDJPY appears to be encountering a price reaction around the 0.5 and 0.618 Fibonacci levels. I remain optimistic that USD/JPY will exhibit a similar response, especially as a detailed analysis reveals that the pair is facing resistance from a head and shoulders pattern, accompanied by a declining handle. Therefore, breaking through the psychological support level of 146.00 could pave the way for lower prices. It is anticipated that USDJPY will decline after reaching the 148.69-148.17 range and testing the 34.89 EMA line. Should USDJPY draw strength from this support level, we might witness a bullish rebound. However, price consolidation below this mark would indicate that the market is gearing up for a deeper decline.
Short
by RKarina
XAUUSD Hello dear friends! What are your thoughts on the price of gold? Let's explore and discuss new strategies for gold together with RKarina. Overall, it has been a week of significant price increases for gold. The price has been rapidly developing and consistently creating surprises for traders. This comes after the latest employment report showed an increase in unemployment rates in the US and moderate wage growth, despite the accelerated job growth in February. The underlying factors driving the upward momentum of gold prices are the expectations that the Fed will continue to cut interest rates later this year and the weakening of the US dollar. Gold even touched a formidable level of $2200 USD at one point last night, but quickly pulled back and is currently hovering around $2179 USD. In general, the price of gold is expected to continue its upward trend. However, after the recent strong surge, the precious metal may need some consolidation in the short term.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by RKarina
Gold stays range-bound ahead of US Retail Sales Gold fades the previous day’s corrective bounce off the weekly low as market players await the US Retail Sales for February. In doing so, the spot Gold price, namely the XAUUSD, seesaws within a $48 trading range comprising an ascending resistance line stretched from May 2023 and the previous yearly top. It’s worth noting that the sluggish oscillators and the pre-data anxiety suggest a continuation of the sideways range. However, the bulls appear to have run out of fuel hence sellers are likely to benefit more on a downside break of $2,148 support. In that case, a quick fall toward the $2,100 round figure will be imminent but a 3.5-month-old horizontal support zone surrounding $2,090 could challenge the XAUUSD sellers afterward. Alternatively, an upside clearance of the aforementioned multi-month-old rising resistance line, close to $2,186 could recall the Gold buyers. However, the $2,200 threshold and 78.6% Fibonacci Extension (FE) of the quote’s October-December 2023 moves, near $2,240, will challenge the XAUUSD’s upside momentum afterward. Following that, the 100% FE level of $2,313 and the $2,500 psychological magnet will be in the spotlight. Overall, Gold stays within a long-term bullish trend but the short-term view appears to favor a pullback in prices should the scheduled data allow the US Dollar to defend the first weekly gain in four.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by MTradingGlobal
Hindustan Aeronautics Limited (HAL)- Mid & Long Term OpportunityNote: Publishing this 2nd idea on NSE:HAL , in continuation to 1st one (link given below), to provide updated chart and targets. Suggested on: 23-Aug-2023 Rating: Buy (Mid Term as well as Long Term Opportunity) LTP on 23-Aug-2023: Rs. 2,015.55 SL for New Entry: Rs. 2,800 Targets Achieved: (1) Rs. 2400 --> (2) Rs. 2600 --> (3) 2915 Next Targets: (4) Rs. 3,079 --> (5) Rs. 3,239 --> (6) Rs. 3,498 Disclaimer: I am not a SEBI registered analyst/consultant and not recommending anyone to take any BUY or SELL position in stock market. Investing in stock market is risky and one should do a self analysis and validation before investing in stock market.
NSE:HALLong
by vicky252
2
Gold price today: Needs adjustment!Updated Gold Market Report: During the Asian trading session, gold (XAU/USD) has attracted strong buying interest, partly recovering from the previous sell-off, with the price currently at $2,150. The surge in US Treasury yields, driven by higher-than-expected US consumer inflation in February, has increased the value of the US dollar and put downward pressure on gold prices. The recovery in the US stock market has also led to a shift of funds away from gold, a safe haven asset. Personal perspective: The decline in gold following yesterday's CPI report is a positive development. The price correction not only creates an opportunity to buy at a better price but also enhances liquidity and accumulation prospects for the market.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by RKarina
Gold price adjusted strongly!Hello dear friends, let's find out about the price of gold today! As predicted since yesterday, gold has experienced strong downward pressure after the release of the Consumer Price Index (CPI) of the United States. According to the CPI report, it increased by 3.2% compared to the same period last year in February, slightly higher than the predicted 3.1% by market participants. The core index, which excludes volatile food and energy prices, came in at 3.8%, higher than the expected 3.7%, although lower than the 3.9% announced in January. These data have helped the USD recover and suppress the upward momentum of this precious metal. Currently, gold is trading around $2159 and is still undergoing a corrective phase after reaching record highs. In the short and medium term, gold is forming a cup and handle pattern and will soon face downward pressure after aiming for the resistance level of $2165. We can consider selling if gold reaches that level, with a profit target at the support level of $2145 - $2143.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by RKarina
EURUSD: Stuck in the falling price channel!Hello dear friends, today the stable recovery of the US Dollar (USD) has exerted new downward pressure on EUR/USD, extending its decline for the third consecutive session and revisiting the support level near 1.0900. The upward momentum is limited below the resistance level of 1.0935, as the current trend remains clearly bearish, indicated by the parallel channel on the chart. It is expected that this currency pair will continue to decrease further if it reaches the upper limit of the price channel as marked in the analysis. To find an opportunity for price increase, EUR/USD needs to break the current price channel. On the other hand, if unsuccessful, the next downward target for this currency pair will be at 1.090.
Short
by RKarina
GBPUSD :Pay ​​attention to US CPI data!Greetings dear friends, today the currency pair is trading around the level of 1.278 and has started a slight correction after facing selling pressure since yesterday. The cautious sentiment in the market ahead of important events in both the UK and the US may provide some support for safe-haven assets like the US Dollar (USD). The US Consumer Price Index (CPI) for February is estimated to maintain stability at 3.1% compared to the same period last year, and the core CPI is expected to decrease from 3.9% to 3.7% in February. A stronger-than-expected CPI report could further diminish hopes of a Fed interest rate cut in the near future. Conversely, this could boost the US Dollar and create resistance for the GBP/USD currency pair.
Short
by RKarina
GBPUSD: Under pressure from the recovering USDThe GBP/USD pair remains below the psychological barrier of 1.2800 in the early Asian trading hours on Wednesday. The US dollar is stronger after the release of the US CPI inflation data for February, which pushed the major currency pair lower. Investors are awaiting the UK's GDP growth figure for January, which is forecasted to increase by 0.2% compared to the previous month. The price may continue to decline if this is favorable news for the USD. In the short term: The first resistance level is at 1.2800 before 1.2850 and 1.2870. On the other hand, 1.2750 is considered the first support level before 1.2730-1.2720 and 1.2690.
Short
by RKarina
Amar Raja Energy & Mob Ltd Analysis!NSE:ARE_M Daily Analysis! Symmetrical Triangle Pattern formed in $NSE:ARE_M! Symmetrical Triangle Pattern breakout in $NSE:ARE_M! RSI Bounced Back from 50 Level NSE:ARE_M formed a Symmetrical Triangle Pattern on the Daily time-frame. The stock is being in the uptrend by taking support on 50EMA. We can clearly see the breakout to the resistance trend-line with sufficient volume. RSI also bounced back from 50 Level. We can ride the rally with strict stop loss. Last candle has given a breakout we can enter either in the upcoming trading session or after retest. The important levels are on the chart itself, please have a look on it. Trade Psychology and Setup: Entry = Current price level is good to enter(865-870) Target = 1052.15 Stop Loss = 809.90 Disclaimer = All my analysis is for Educational Purposes only. Before entering into any trade - 1) Educate Yourself 2) Do your research and analysis 3) Define your Risk to Reward ratio 4) Don't trade with full capital
NSE:ARE&MLong
by Avinash9087
1
EURUSD rebounds within a month-old bullish channelEURUSD picks up bids to 1.0930 as traders consolidate weekly loss amid a sluggish Asian session on early Wednesday. In doing so, the Euro pair recovers within a one-month-old bullish trend channel amid upbeat RSI and MACD conditions. It’s worth noting that Tuesday’s Doji candlestick adds strength to the quote’s corrective bounce. With this, the buyers are likely to retake control and can aim for the 1.1000 threshold as an immediate upside target. However, the aforementioned channel’s top line surrounding 1.1010 and the November 2023 peak of 1.1017 will test the pair’s further upside. In a case where the bulls keep the reins past 1.1017, the previous yearly high marked in December around 1.1140 will be in the spotlight. On the contrary, EURUSD sellers will have a hard time taking control as the stated channel’s bottom line joins the 21-bar Exponential Moving Average (EMA) to highlight the 1.0870 as a tough nut to crack for them. Even if the Euro bears manage to smash the 1.0870 key support, an ascending support line from October 2023, near 1.0750, will test the bears. Furthermore, lows marked in December 2023 and last month, respectively near 1.0720 and 1.0690, also act as downside filters before giving control to the sellers. To sum up, EURUSD buyers are likely to keep the reins even if the upside room appears limited.
by MTradingGlobal
Gold price today: Waiting anxiously!The Tuesday trading session holds significant importance for investors as the US Bureau of Labor Statistics prepares to release the Consumer Price Index (CPI) report for February. This report is expected to provide fresh insights into recent inflation trends and guide the Federal Reserve's short-term monetary policy. According to forecasts, the overall CPI may increase by 0.4% compared to the previous month, reflecting the impact of rising energy costs. This result is predicted to maintain an annual interest rate stability of 3.1%. Meanwhile, the core index is anticipated to rise by 0.3% monthly, causing a slight decrease in the year-on-year rate from 3.9% to 3.7%. Gold prices fluctuated between 2175-2185 during yesterday's trading session, awaiting information from the CPI report set to be released at 7:30 PM tonight. It is expected that after the news, prices will break the current pattern and form a clear trend, enabling investors to devise short-term trading strategies: Sell around 2185-2188, with a stop loss at 2191, targeting 2172-2175. Buy around 2173-2175, with a stop loss at 2169, targeting 2186. Note: It is advised to close positions before the news is announced.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by RKarina
2
Gold price today: Become more cautious!The price of gold today did not decrease as previously predicted, instead it continued to move sideways and traded around the $2180 mark in the early hours of Tuesday. The market remained quiet on Monday due to a lack of significant news, resulting in no significant changes in the price of gold. Gold still shows a long-term upward trend, but at the moment, it is significantly influenced by news, especially information about the possibility of the Fed cutting interest rates in the middle of this year. During the week, the market will closely follow reports on retail sales, weekly jobless claims, and manufacturing data from the US. The future path of gold is still uncertain, so stay cautious and closely monitor the information. RKarina will continue to provide updates to support you!
OANDA:XAUUSD
by RKarina
GBPUSD hovers above 1.2770 resistance-turned-support on key dayGBPUSD regains 1.2800 after snapping a six-day losing streak, making rounds to 1.2820 heading into Tuesday’s European session. In doing so, the Cable pair portrays the market’s cautious mood ahead of the all-important UK employment data and the US Consumer Price Index (CPI) figures. That said, the overbought RSI (14) line joins the pre-data anxiety to test the Pound Sterling buyers. However, a seven-month-old resistance line, now support around 1.2770, challenges the immediate downside of the quote. Even if the pair drops beneath the resistance-turned-support of 1.2770, the 50-SMA level of 1.2690 and convergence of the 100-SMA and 200-SMA, close to 1.2585, will act as the final defense of the buyers before giving control to the bears. Meanwhile, the GBPUSD pair’s sustained run-up needs strong UK data, as well as softer US inflation to entertain the keep the Pound Sterling buyers on board. Even so, the yearly high marked on last Friday, around 1.2895, will be a tough nut to crack for the Cable buyers. In a case where the pair remains firmer past 1.2895, backed by the positive fundamentals, the quote could aim for the tops marked in July 2023 near 1.2995 and 1.3140 in that order. To sum up, the GBPUSD pair buyers keep the reins on the day of releases of the key employment and inflation data from the UK and the US.
by MTradingGlobal
EURUSD: Waiting anxiously!Hello dear friends! Today, EUR/USD is trading in a tight range below 1.0950 in the morning of Monday in Europe, extending its sideways movement in the context of a stable US dollar and mild risk sentiment. Traders are cautious about placing new bets on the major currency ahead of the US CPI data release on Tuesday. This will be a significant news that will directly impact the new trend of short-term scalpers, whether it is an upward or downward movement! On a personal note, RKarina expects this currency pair to experience a slight downward correction as the trend begins to move sideways and the upward momentum is limited. The support level at 1.087 is highly regarded in case it helps EURUSD regain momentum.
Short
by RKarina