HDFCLIFE positional trading ideasThe trend is bullish.
Breakout already done. Breakout candle is a large candle with high volume.
Price is above 20SMA.
Disclaimer: All information provided here is for educational purposes and not a recommendation, advice, research report, or stock tip of any nature. Analysis Posted here is just our view/personal study method on the stocks, commodities or other instruments and assets. Do your own analysis or consult your financial advisor before making any investment decision.
Technical Analysis
Will Gold Surge with a Gap Up as US-China Trade War Heats Up?XAU/USD Analysis: Will Gold Surge with a Gap Up? (26/5 - 30/5)
Fundamental Outlook
US-China Trade War: China's halt on US goods imports weakens the USD, boosting gold (inverse USD correlation).
Trump’s 50% EU Tariff Threat: Potential EU retaliation could spike global uncertainty, driving investors to gold as a safe haven.
Gold Demand: Rising trade tensions and inflation fears are pushing capital into gold, especially in India and China with upcoming festivals.
Macro Drivers
Monetary Policy:
US Fed: Trade war fallout may pressure rate cuts, reducing USD appeal and supporting gold.
China’s PBOC: Possible Yuan devaluation could lift gold prices in USD terms.
Market Sentiment:
Expect VIX spikes from trade uncertainties, favoring gold.
Strong physical gold demand in Asia supports prices.
Key Events:
US PCE inflation and consumer confidence data (watch for high inflation boosting gold).
Monitor EU/China trade retaliation statements.
Technical Analysis (H4 Chart)
Trend: Gold is in a strong ascending channel with support (3,325) and resistance (3,407 - 3,444).
Current Price: 3,407.554, testing key resistance (3,407 - 3,444).
Support Levels: 3,361.648 (mid-channel), 3,325.347 (channel support).
Resistance: 3,444.436 (all-time high).
Price Action: Recent Doji candle at resistance suggests possible pullback before continuation.
Fair Value Gaps (FVG):
3,325 - 3,340
3,361 - 3,407
Scenarios:
Bullish: Break above 3,444 with momentum could trigger a gap up, targeting 3,500
Bearish: Failure at 3,444 may lead to a pullback to 3,361 or 3,325.
Gap Up Probability: 60% chance at market open (26/5), driven by bullish sentiment.
Trading Plan
Buy Strategy
Entry: 3,361 - 3,370 (pullback to FVG or mid-channel).
Take Profit: 3,444 (resistance), 3,500 (breakout target).
Stop Loss: Below 3,325 (channel support).
Sell Strategy
Entry: Sell on rejection at 3,444 with bearish confirmation (e.g., strong bearish candle or head-and-shoulders).
Take Profit: 3,361 (FVG zone).
Stop Loss: Above 3,444.
Best Trading Times
Monitor market open (26/5) for gap-up confirmation.
Trade during London/New York sessions for optimal liquidity.
Key Takeaways
Gold is poised for potential upside due to trade war escalation and USD weakness. Watch for a breakout above 3,444 for a possible gap up or a pullback to 3,361 for buying opportunities. Stay updated on US inflation data and trade policy news.
XAUUSD in a Daily Channel — Bears Eyeing a Break at Trendline Re📊 Cycle Structure:
HWC (Higher Wave Cycle): Bearish with a mild slope 🔽
MWC (Middle Wave Cycle): Bullish 🔼
LWC (Lower Wave Cycle): Bullish 🔼
While both the mid and short-term cycles are pushing upward, the dominant bearish trend in the higher timeframe still weighs heavier, tilting the bias toward short setups.
📐 Market Structure:
Price is moving within a descending daily channel.
There's a 1H ascending trendline that has been tested four times already — currently heading into a fifth test.
The previous (fourth) reaction was weak, which statistically increases the chance of a breakout on the fifth touch.
The 3290 zone remains a strong resistance and a good target for short-term profit-taking on short positions.
📈 Alternate Long Scenario:
If buying pressure intensifies and price breaks above the 3345 key resistance, it could trigger a shift toward a bullish bias and challenge the integrity of the descending channel. This would invite breakout traders to join the move. However, this remains a secondary scenario, not the primary focus right now.
📌 Main focus remains on identifying short opportunities near resistance with proper risk management in place.
📌 If you'd like a specific pair or coin analyzed, drop it in the comments — I’ll choose from there.
⚠️ Without proper risk management, you're just a ticking time bomb.
— PXA
GOLD PLAN 23/05–YIELD CURVE FLIPS Will Gold Breakout or Sell Off🔥 GOLD PLAN 23/05 – YIELD CURVE FLIPS | Will Gold Breakout or Sell Off at 3360?
Global markets are heating up again as risk sentiment shifts. A major alert comes from the U.S. bond market:
For the first time since October 2021, the yield curve between the 5-year and 30-year treasuries inverted to +1.00%, signaling strong expectations for inflation and future growth concerns.
🌍 MACRO CATALYSTS DRIVING GOLD:
Iran warns the U.S.: “Leash your mad dog!” – escalating rhetoric as Israel is rumored to be preparing a strike on Iran's nuclear sites. Tehran vows to retaliate and holds the U.S. accountable.
Goldman Sachs says: “Only one way – BUY GOLD!”
Following the failed 20-year bond auction, rising deficits, and fiscal stress, GS urges investors to move into gold and crypto.
The return of risk-off sentiment makes Gold the #1 safe haven asset, attracting global institutional flow.
📈 TECHNICAL OUTLOOK (H1 Chart):
Critical resistance at 3358–3360 is a key decision zone.
A breakout here may trigger a strong move toward previous highs (ATH zone: 3390–3400).
Major support lies around 3276–3274.
A breakdown here may expose gold to deeper pullbacks below the 3200 handle, revisiting the FVG zone.
📌 TRADE PLAN FOR TODAY:
🔵 BUY ZONE:
Entry: 3276 – 3274
SL: 3270
TP: 3280 – 3284 – 3288 – 3292 – 3296 – 3300
🔵 BUY SCALP:
Entry: 3304 – 3302
SL: 3298
TP: 3308 – 3312 – 3316 – 3320 – 3325 – 3330 – 3340
🔻 SELL ZONE:
Entry: 3376 – 3378
SL: 3382
TP: 3372 – 3368 – 3364 – 3360 – 3350
🔻 SELL SCALP:
Entry: 3344 – 3346
SL: 3350
TP: 3340 – 3336 – 3332 – 3328 – 3324 – 3320
⚠️ Caution:
With geopolitical risk and bond market stress rising, volatility is expected to spike. Be patient and trade only on confirmation from key zones.
🎯 Stick to the plan. Don't chase the price. Protect your capital.
Supply & Retested Demand Zone in Play!🟣 Bank Nifty Index – Supply & Retested Demand Zone in Play! | 15-Min Chart Breakdown
📅 Date: May 21, 2025 | 🕒 Timeframe: 15-Minute
Hello Traders 👋
Today's Bank Nifty chart presents a textbook scenario of supply rejection and demand zone defense. These key zones could drive the next directional move, especially as price hovers in a narrow intraday range after sharp volatility earlier in the session.
🔲 Possible Supply Zone: 55,599 – 55,676.50
This zone formed after a strong rally got rejected with aggressive selling. The wick rejections and follow-up red candles confirm the presence of institutional sellers. If price revisits this level, look for shorting opportunities only with confirmation like bearish engulfing or volume spike.
🔲 Re-Tested Demand Zone: 54,599.55 – 54,442.30
A powerful base that sparked a strong reversal rally. The demand zone was successfully retested on May 21 with clear buying interest. Buyers defended this zone again, forming a bullish rejection wick on rising volume – indicating accumulation.
📊 Volume Context:
✅ Spike in volume seen during the bounce from the demand zone – bullish strength confirmed.
✅ Low volume chop as price consolidates near 55,000 – suggests a bigger move is brewing.
📌 Watch for a volume breakout above 3.5M to validate any directional move.
🧠 What Should Traders Watch For?
Short Trade Setup near 55,600–55,675: Look for rejection candles + selling volume.
Long Trade Setup near 54,600–54,450: Wait for bullish confirmation + rising volume.
Avoid entering mid-range without confirmation – it’s a trap zone.
Respect the supply and demand boundaries – this is a range-to-breakout transition phase.
📌 Note: Supply and demand zones are not magic levels—they are high-probability areas where past buyer/seller action can repeat. Combine with price action and volume for precision entries.
💬 Drop your thoughts, questions, or your zone levels below. Follow for more real-time chart education and actionable breakdowns!
Breakout Building Up from Falling Wedge PatternIndex: Nifty 50
Timeframe: 15-minute
Date: 21st May 2025
Price Action Insight
After a strong sell-off, NIFTY 50 formed a solid V-shaped recovery, followed by a series of higher lows, indicating a shift in momentum from sellers to buyers. Price is now consolidating near a key resistance level at 24,839.35, suggesting a potential breakout or rejection setup.
Chart Patterns in Focus
Falling Wedge (Bullish Reversal)
Breakout occurred after price compressed into the wedge.
A textbook reversal pattern signaling buying interest returning.
Bullish Flag / Pennant Formation
Post-wedge breakout, price is consolidating in a narrow range (flag).
Typically seen as a continuation pattern before another bullish leg.
Trendline Support
Price is holding above an ascending trendline, forming higher lows, reinforcing bullish bias.
Volume Analysis
Volume spiked during the wedge breakout – confirming buyer participation.
Current consolidation shows declining volume, indicating a possible volume expansion ahead.
Watch for a volume surge during breakout or breakdown for trade confirmation.
Educational Insight: How to Read This Setup
Why this matters for traders:
A falling wedge + bullish flag is a high-conviction combo.
Volume contraction during consolidation is healthy and often precedes explosive moves.
Price rejecting or sustaining above resistance gives traders directional edge.
Always wait for confirmation with price action + volume to avoid fakeouts.
Trade Scenarios
✅ Bullish Scenario (Long Trade)
Entry: Above 24,839.35
Target Zones: 24,900 / 24,950
Stop-Loss: Below 24,740.80 (below consolidation and trendline support)
Confirmation: Breakout candle with above-average volume
❌ Bearish Scenario (Short Trade)
Entry: Below 24,740.80
Target Zones: 24,650 / 24,580
Stop-Loss: Above 24,839.35
Confirmation: Breakdown from trendline support + rise in selling volume
Is Gold Set to Explode or Fake Out at 3400?GOLD PLAN 22/05 – TERROR ATTACK SHOCKS MARKETS | Is Gold Set to Explode or Fake Out at 3397?
Markets have just been hit by fresh geopolitical tension:
An Israeli diplomat was shot dead in Washington D.C. during a high-profile Jewish community event near the Holocaust Museum. The shooter allegedly shouted political slogans, and the FBI is now treating the case as a potential anti-Semitic terrorist act.
Former President Donald Trump called the event “disgusting” and urged the U.S. to stand strong against extremism.
🟡 This incident triggered a wave of risk aversion, pushing safe-haven assets like GOLD into the spotlight once again.
🌐 FUNDAMENTAL CONTEXT:
The USD remains under pressure due to weak U.S. economic data (housing, manufacturing, retail).
Despite the Fed’s “higher for longer” tone, markets are pricing in potential rate cuts by Q3.
Rising geopolitical tensions in the Middle East & U.S. soil may fuel further gold demand in the short term.
📈 TECHNICAL OUTLOOK (H1 Chart):
Price is nearing FVG resistance at 3395–3397, which could serve as a liquidity trap for breakout traders.
Key mid-zone resistance: 3344–3356, where price might stall or reverse if upward momentum weakens.
Strong support levels: 3303 – 3288 – 3277, aligned with previous structure and demand zones.
📌 TRADE PLAN:
Buy zone: 3296 - 3294
SL: 3290
TP: 3300 - 3304 - 3308 - 3315 - 3320 - 3330 - ???
Buy Scalp: 3316 - 3314
SL: 3310
TP: 3320 - 3324 - 3328 - 3332 - 3340 - 3350
Look for bullish reaction from the support zone and enter with proper risk management.
🔻 Sell zone: 3395 – 3397
SL: 3401
TP: 3390 - 3386 - 3380 - 3376 - 3370
🔻 Sell Scalp: 3358 - 3360
SL: 3364
TP: 3354 - 3350 - 3346 - 3342 - 3338 - 3330
If price spikes into FVG and shows exhaustion or bearish reversal, short setup is valid.
⚠️ Warning: Due to geopolitical headlines and gold trading near psychological resistance, expect high volatility and potential for traps.
🎯 Stick to your zones. Manage TP/SL properly. Do not chase price!
FED HAWKISHNESS VS TECHNICAL FAIR VALUE GAPS – BIG MOVE COMING?GOLD PLAN 21/05 – FOMC HAWKISHNESS VS TECHNICAL FAIR VALUE GAPS – BIG MOVE COMING?
The recent surge in gold has paused just as traders digest the latest Federal Reserve signals. Despite rising geopolitical risks and weakening U.S. economic data, Fed officials continue to project a “higher-for-longer” rate stance, keeping the dollar afloat and adding pressure on gold’s rally.
📉 However, the technical structure tells another side of the story.
⚙️ TECHNICAL OUTLOOK: Bearish Trap or Hidden Bullish Opportunity?
On the 1H timeframe, XAU/USD is showing signs of consolidation after tapping into a major Fair Value Gap (FVG) around the 3328–3356 area. We now observe two key FVG zones above and below current price, highlighting high volatility and potential liquidity grabs.
🔍 A short-term bullish scenario is forming if gold retraces towards 3250–3252 support, where trendline confluence and dynamic support suggest strong demand.
Conversely, any strong rejection from 3354–3356 SELL ZONE could activate a bearish play back towards the lower structure levels.
💹 TRADE SETUPS FOR TODAY:
🔵 BUY ZONE:
Entry: 3252–3250
Stop Loss: 3246
Take Profit Targets:
3256 – 3260 – 3264 – 3268 – 3272 – 3280 – 3300 – ???
🔵 BUY SCALP:
Entry: 3277–3275
Stop Loss: 3272
Take Profit Targets:
3280 – 3284 – 3288 – 3292 – 3296 – 3300
🔻 SELL ZONE:
Entry: 3354–3356
Stop Loss: 3360
Take Profit Targets:
3350 – 3346 – 3342 – 3338 – 3334 – 3330 – 3320
🔻 SELL SCALP:
Entry: 3328–3330
Stop Loss: 3334
Take Profit Targets:
3324 – 3320 – 3316 – 3310 – 3305 – 3300
🌍 MACRO INSIGHT:
Fed’s hawkish tone is weighing on precious metals, but gold remains attractive under geopolitical uncertainty and de-dollarization trends.
China and other central banks continue their accumulation, suggesting long-term bullish pressure is intact.
Watch for U.S. data this week – especially PMI and jobless claims – which could provide short-term catalysts.
📌 Stay cautious and disciplined. Stick to your zones and manage risk tightly – volatility is increasing.
👉 If you found this useful, don’t forget to like, comment and follow for daily gold insights!
CT Breakout + H&S! What’s Brewing in Udaipur Cement?📌 Chart Overview
A clean Counter-Trendline (CT) breakout is visible on the weekly timeframe.
The breakout also aligns with a classic Inverted Head & Shoulders structure.
The left shoulder, head, and right shoulder are all clearly formed, suggesting a potential reversal pattern.
📌 Hidden Resistance Lines
Dotted white lines represent hidden resistances, derived from prior swing highs/lows.
The extended hidden line from the top acts as future resistance, adding confluence to the zone.
📌 Monthly Supply Zone
A monthly supply area is marked at ₹34.63, closely aligning with the extended hidden resistance.
This zone could act as a potential hurdle in the next leg up.
📌 Volume Analysis
Breakout lacks strong volume, which is a key point to remember.
PARAMOUNT COMA LTD📊 PARAMOUNT COMA LTD (1D) – CMP ₹60.08
📅 Date: May 20, 2025
📈 Exchange: NSE
📌 Ticker: PARACABLES
🧠 Technical Analysis Overview
✅ Bullish W-Pattern (Double Bottom):
Price has formed a strong W-pattern, also known as a double bottom, indicating a potential trend reversal. The neckline breakout above ₹58.00 confirms bullish momentum.
✅ Downtrend Breakout:
The long-term falling trendline has been broken decisively with strong bullish candles and increasing volume – a classic reversal signal.
✅ Volume Spike:
Breakout has occurred with significant volume (1.98M), confirming the strength of the move and hinting at potential institutional entry.
✅ Fibonacci Retracement Levels:
🔶 38.2% – ₹65.69
🟩 50.0% – ₹72.36
🟩 61.8% (Golden Ratio) – ₹79.03
💡 Price Action Strategy
🧱 Key Support & Resistance Levels
🟩 Support
₹58.00 – Previous neckline breakout level
₹50.00 – Mid-range base level
🟥 Resistance (Fibonacci-based)
₹65.69 – 38.2%
₹72.36 – 50%
₹79.03 – 61.8% Golden Ratio
📌 Conclusion
PARAMOUNT COMA LTD has triggered a strong breakout after forming a W-pattern and clearing a key trendline. With volume confirmation and upside potential toward Fibonacci levels, this could be a promising swing trade setup. Retesting ₹58 zone could offer a perfect entry opportunity.
📌 Disclaimer:
This is for educational purposes only. Not financial advice. Always do your own research or consult a financial advisor.
GOLD MARKET UPDATE - BE READY FOR BIG MOVES!🔥 GOLD MARKET UPDATE – FED'S HAWKISH STANCE SHAKES INVESTORS | BE READY FOR BIG MOVES!
Gold experienced a sharp drop following the latest hawkish comments from the Federal Reserve, as they reaffirmed that current monetary conditions remain stable and tight. This has caused confusion and panic among many investors, leading to a wave of sell-offs during the U.S. and early Asia sessions.
📉 On the higher timeframes, Gold appears to be forming a bearish flag pattern – a classic consolidation structure before a potential continuation move. Despite the strong bullish momentum seen during the Asian and European sessions yesterday, the key resistance near 325x held firm, preventing any major breakout.
For now, Gold seems to be trapped in a new sideways range, and unless price decisively breaks above 325x, we may continue to see choppy price action within this zone.
⚠️ However, if the current selling momentum persists and the price breaks down below the lower trendline support, the bearish flag setup could play out, with up to 80% probability, signaling a potential strong continuation of the downtrend.
Traders should stay extremely alert – a major price movement could happen at any moment!
🔑 Key Support Levels:
3205
3294
3280
3262
🔑 Key Resistance Levels:
3244
3262
3278
3286
💹 Scalping Setup – BUY:
Entry: 3294–3292
Stop Loss: 3288
Take Profit Targets:
3298 – 3302 – 3306 – 3310 – 3315 – 3320 – 3330
🟢 BUY ZONE:
Entry: 3272–3270
Stop Loss: 3266
Take Profit Targets:
3276 – 3280 – 3284 – 3288 – 3292 – 3296 – 3330
🔻 Scalping Setup – SELL:
Entry: 3242–3244
Stop Loss: 3248
Take Profit Targets:
3238 – 3234 – 3230 – 3226 – 3220 – 3210
🔻 SELL Zone:
Entry: 3276–3278
Stop Loss: 3282
Take Profit Targets:
3272 – 3268 – 3264 – 3260 – 3250 – 3240
📌 Remember to always follow your TP/SL strategy to protect your capital!
GOLD DAILY PLAN MAY 19: IS THIS THE START OF A MASSIVE BULLISH GOLD DAILY PLAN – MAY 20: IS THIS THE START OF A MASSIVE BULLISH RUN?
Gold opened the new trading week with a powerful GAP UP of over 20 USD, followed by an additional 50 USD rally during the Asia session. This explosive move is being fueled by geopolitical tensions and macroeconomic uncertainty, setting the tone for what could be a highly volatile and profitable week for gold traders.
🔥 Key Fundamental Drivers Behind This Gold Rally:
1️⃣ Putin rejects peace talks – Increased war risks reignite gold’s safe-haven appeal.
2️⃣ U.S. credit rating downgraded – Rising debt and bond yields are pushing investors back to gold.
3️⃣ Trump threatens new trade tariffs – Even a softer version of “Trade War 2.0” could shock global markets, making gold a top hedge.
➡️ With no clear resolutions in sight, gold may soon retest the all-time high of $3,500.
🧠 Technical Analysis: Bullish Signals Are Confirming
EMA13 has crossed above EMA34 and EMA200 on the M30 chart — a classic reversal confirmation.
The main trendline was broken, and price is now retesting the breakout zone.
Momentum remains strong, and price structure is shifting bullish. Priority is now to BUY the dips rather than sell counter-trend.
📌 Key Price Levels to Watch:
🔺 Resistance Zones:
3254 – 3277 – 3288
(If price breaks above 3287, we may quickly see a move toward 3350–3500.)
🔻 Support Zones:
3204 – 3193 – 3186 – 3174 – 3163
(Best areas to watch for confirmation to BUY.)
🎯 Suggested Trade Ideas:
BUY Zone: 3186 - 3184
Stop-Loss (SL): 3180
Take-Profit (TP): 3190 → 3195 → 3200 → 3210 → 3220 → 3230
BUY Scalp: 3194 - 3192
Stop-loss: 3189
Take-Profit: 3200 - 3204 - 3210 - 3215 - 3220
SELL Zone: 3287 - 3289 Only scalp or take quick profits near resistance zones
Stop-Loss (SL): 3293
Take-Profit (TP): 3285 → 3280 → 3285 → 3280 → 3270
(Note: Avoid holding SELLs, only scalp on strong bearish signals.)
⚠️ Trading Notes:
Market is highly sensitive to geopolitical headlines. One comment from Trump or Putin could move gold 50–100 USD in minutes.
No need to chase price. Let it come to your zones — and only enter on clear confirmations.
📌 Summary:
✅ Structure has turned bullish across M30 and H4.
✅ Focus on buying dips, not shorting into strength.
✅ Medium-term target zones: 3350 → 3400 → 3500, depending on continued macro pressure.
📣 Follow AD for live trading plans, market sentiment, and smart entry zones every session!
Good luck & stay disciplined.
Vascon Engineers – Weekly CT BreakoutA clean Weekly CT breakout supported by strong volume (19M+), signaling strength. Key levels and structure:
🔍 Technical Breakdown:
📏 CT Line (White): Clean breakout from weekly closing-based counter-trendline
🕵️ Hidden Line (Dotted White): Secondary hidden resistance cleared
🟧 ₹45.49 Zone: Major gap-up area on DTF – key retracement demand zone
🔵 200 DEMA (Blue Line): Historical resistance now flipped – strength confirmed
🟥 Supply Zone (₹78–₹83): Overhead resistance – long-term target zone
📈 Volume: 🔥 Spiked to 19M+ – highest since Jan ‘24 – confirms breakout strength
GOLD Pullback or Bull Trap? This Move for the WEEK⚡️Will the Recovery Hold or Just a Retest Before Another Drop?
🧠 Macro Backdrop:
Geopolitical tension: US-China trade headlines and Russia-Ukraine negotiations continue to stir uncertainty, but risk appetite is still cautious.
US CPI and PPI data this week came in weaker than expected → inflation remains soft, but no signal yet for immediate rate cuts from the Fed.
Gold has been under pressure for 2 weeks but may be stabilizing as DXY loses steam and equity markets show hesitation.
🔍 Technical Outlook (Chart: M30–H1):
Gold is forming a rising wedge within a broader corrective pattern. Yesterday’s rebound from the 3,163 zone has pushed price back above the 20 EMA (black) and is testing the 3,208–3,210 zone.
This area is key for today: breakout or rejection?
🔑 Key Levels to Watch:
🔺 Resistance:
3,221 → Local structure neckline
3,235 → Previous supply + Fibo confluence
3,251 → Strong upper bound resistance
🔻 Support:
3,184 → Minor support (demand block)
3,173 → Swing low (key reaction zone)
3,163 → Final line of defense
📈 Trade Scenarios:
⚠️ Scenario A – Bullish Push Above 3,221:
If price breaks and holds above 3,221, we may see a bullish continuation to 3,235 and even 3,251.
Momentum confirmation: Price must stay above 3,210 on pullbacks.
🔹 Entry: 3,222 – 3,224
🔹 SL: 3,216
🔹 TP: 3,235 → 3,251
⚠️ Scenario B – False Break & Bearish Rejection:
If price fails to hold above 3,221 and reverses below 3,208 → potential short opportunity targeting lower liquidity zones.
🔻 Entry: 3,220 – 3,218 (after rejection)
🔻 SL: 3,228
🔻 TP: 3,184 → 3,173 → 3,163
⚠️ Scenario C – Range Play:
If price remains between 3,208 and 3,184, scalp inside the range and wait for breakout confirmation.
💬 Follow for real-time setups and live strategy updates during major market sessions.
Gic Housing Fin co., Looking good ; min 65 % Roi ; swingAdd this to watchlist and wait for entry.👁️🗨️
For short term investment ;
Leave a " Like If you agree ".👍
.
Wait for small retracement & daily candle to close above - "185".
Trade carefully untill ENTRY level.
.
Entry: 185 / 175
target:201-226-262-300-321
sl:167
major stoploss/ support: 160
.
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Enter only if market Sustains above
"Yellow box" mentioned.
.
.
Don't make complicated trade set-up.📈📉
Keep it " simple, focus on consistency "💹
Refer our old ideas for accuracy rate🧑💻
Follow for daily updates👍
.
Refer old posted idea attached below.
MACD + RSI Divergence Combo – The Deadly Entry Trick!Hello Traders!
In today’s educational post, we’ll break down one of the most powerful technical setups used by pro traders – the MACD + RSI Divergence Combo . When used together, these indicators don’t just show momentum — they reveal high-probability reversal zones. This setup can help you time perfect entries and avoid false breakouts or breakdowns.
Why Combine MACD and RSI Divergence?
MACD Divergence shows when the price is moving in one direction, but momentum is fading — a clear warning of potential reversal.
RSI Divergence helps confirm overbought/oversold conditions and adds strength to the reversal signal.
Combining Both gives double confirmation, increasing accuracy of entries with minimal lag.
How to Trade This Combo Setup
Step 1: Identify Divergence on MACD
Look for a higher high in price but a lower high on MACD (bearish divergence) or lower low in price with higher low on MACD (bullish divergence).
Step 2: Confirm with RSI Divergence
Now check if RSI also shows a similar divergence pattern. If yes — the setup is strong.
Step 3: Enter with Candle Confirmation
Wait for a strong reversal candle (like engulfing, hammer, or shooting star) before entering the trade.
Step 4: Place Stop-Loss
Place SL below recent swing low (for long) or above swing high (for short).
Step 5: Ride the Move with Trailing Stop
Use support/resistance or moving averages to trail your stop-loss and let profits run.
Rahul’s Tip
One divergence = a warning. Two divergences = a sniper entry!
This combo setup reduces noise and gives you clarity — especially during range-bound markets or weak trends.
Conclusion
The MACD + RSI Divergence Strategy is a reliable tool for spotting trend exhaustion and entering before the crowd. Combine this with proper candle confirmation and risk management, and you’ll have a deadly weapon in your trading toolkit!
Have you tried using this combo before? Drop your experience in the comments and let’s learn together!
If you found this post valuable, don't forget to LIKE and FOLLOW!
I regularly share real-world trading setups, actionable strategies, and learning-focused content — all from real trading experience, not theory. Stay connected if you're serious about growing as a trader!
GOLD OUTLOOK – MAY 16: MARKET TRAP OR LEGITIMATE RECOVERY?GOLD OUTLOOK – MAY 17: MARKET TRAP OR LEGITIMATE RECOVERY?
Gold is closing out the week with unpredictable volatility, following two extreme sessions where prices dropped over 100 pips, only to rebound aggressively. Are recent news headlines just justifying the price action, or is this a well-orchestrated market trap?
🔍 Technical Breakdown (D1 & H4)
On the daily and 4-hour charts, we can clearly see a sharp breakdown, followed by an immediate rebound into the 325x area.
🎯 Key Level to Watch: 3254 – 3256
If price remains below 3256, sellers continue to dominate.
If 3256 is broken to the upside, we could see a quick move toward 327x–328x.
This zone acts as a decisive barrier between continuation and reversal.
🌐 Macro Perspective – Market Triggers
US inflation data continues to disappoint, weakening the USD and halting DXY recovery.
US-China tensions flare up again after short-lived optimism, especially around tariff talks and rare earth restrictions.
With mixed geopolitical cues, this market is prone to fakeouts and liquidity sweeps, especially ahead of the weekend.
📌 Key Levels to Monitor
🔺 Resistance Zones: 3237 – 3251 – 3261 – 3276 – 3287
🔻 Support Zones: 3205 – 3188 – 3170 – 3143
🎯 Trading Plan
🔵 BUY SCALP:
Entry: 3172 – 3170
SL: 3166
TP: 3176 → 3180 → 3184 → 3188 → 3192 → 3200
🔵 BUY ZONE:
Entry: 3142 – 3140
SL: 3136
TP: 3146 → 3150 → 3154 → 3158 → 3170 → 3180 → 3190
🔴 SELL SCALP:
Entry: 3160 – 3162
SL: 3166
TP: 3156 → 3152 → 3148 → 3144 → 3140 → 3130
🔴 SELL ZONE:
Entry: 3276 – 3278
SL: 3282
TP: 3272 → 3268 → 3264 → 3260 → 3255 → 3240
⚠️ Key Notes:
Friday sessions often bring major liquidity grabs and false breakouts.
Be disciplined with SL/TP management – especially in such volatile conditions.
Wait for candle confirmation before reacting — don’t trade emotionally.
BTC/USD DAILY PLAN – Will Bitcoin Hit 110K Before Reversing?BTC/USD DAILY PLAN – Will Bitcoin Hit 110K Before Reversing?
After a strong bullish impulse, BTC is now consolidating in a tight range between 103K–106K on the H4 chart. The ascending parallel channel remains intact, but bullish momentum is fading — a sign of potential distribution at the top.
🧠 Macro Context
BTC pumped recently thanks to ETF news and institutional inflows.
However, volume is decreasing, suggesting smart money may be offloading.
DXY and U.S. bond yields are ticking up → this could add pressure on BTC in the short term.
📊 Technical Outlook (H4 Chart)
BTC remains inside an ascending channel. Key levels to watch:
🔺 Resistance:
106,000 – local range high (H4)
110,576 – extended target if price breaks out
🔻 Support:
101,775 – bottom of current range; a breakdown here confirms weakness
94,473 – strong demand zone + EMA200
84,371 – key structural support zone if deeper correction occurs
⚠️ BTC may fake a rally toward 110K and then reverse sharply if broader macro conditions worsen.
🎯 Trading Scenarios
🔹 SCALP BUY:
Entry: 101,800 – 102,000
Stop-Loss: 100,800
Take-Profits: 103,200 → 104,000 → 105,000 → 106,000
Only enter long if price holds above 101.7K and shows strong rejection candles.
🔸 SELL ZONE:
Entry: 110,000 – 110,500
Stop-Loss: 111,200
Take-Profits: 107,000 → 105,000 → 101,775 → 94,473
Watch for exhaustion or false breakout patterns at this psychological zone.
🟢 LONG-TERM BUY ZONE:
Entry: 94,500 – 94,000
Stop-Loss: 92,500
Take-Profits: 96,000 → 98,000 → 100,000 → 103,000
Ideal for swing entries if BTC retraces into the broader demand zone.
⚠️ Key Notes:
BTC is showing signs of “rise slowly – dump fast” behavior.
Keep close watch on 101,775 – a decisive level for intraday direction.
No Fed rate cuts in sight → big money may still stay cautious.
✅ Conclusion:
Stick to trading range setups: BUY at channel base – SELL at distribution zones
Avoid FOMO and only enter trades after clear price action confirmation.
Risk management is essential during this high-trap environment.
RELIANCE INDUSTRIES - Bullish Flag & Pole Breakout (Daily T/F)Trade Setup
📌 Stock: Reliance Industries ( NSE:RELIANCE )
📌 Trend: Strong Bullish Momentum
📌 Risk-Reward Ratio: 1:3 (Favorable)
🎯 Entry Zone: ₹1454 (Breakout Confirmation)
🛑 Stop Loss: ₹1373 (Daily Closing Basis) (~5.6% Risk)
🎯 Target Levels:
₹1499.70
₹1546.85
₹1595.45
₹1648.50
₹1697.00 (Final Target)
Technical Rationale
✅ Bullish Flag & Pole Breakout - Classic bullish pattern confirming uptrend continuation
✅ Strong Momentum - Daily & Weekly RSI >60 (Bullish zone)
✅ Golden Crossover - 50 DEMA crossed above 200 DEMA
✅ Volume Confirmation - Breakout volume 20.18M vs previous day's 5.57M (Nearly 4x surge)
✅ Multi-Timeframe Alignment - Daily and weekly charts showing strength
Key Observations
• The breakout comes with significantly higher volume, validating strength
• Well-defined pattern with clear price & volume breakout
• Conservative stop loss at recent swing low
Trade Management Strategy
• Consider partial profit booking at each target level
• Move stop loss to breakeven after Target 1 is achieved
• Trail stop loss to protect profits as price progresses
Disclaimer ⚠️
This analysis is strictly for educational purposes and should not be construed as financial advice. Trading in equities involves substantial risk of capital loss. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Always conduct your own research, consider your risk appetite, and consult a financial advisor before making any investment decisions. The author assumes no responsibility for any trading outcomes based on this information.
What do you think? Are you watching NSE:RELIANCE for this breakout opportunity? Share your views in the comments!
SPDR's Heavy Outflows Signal Institutional Exit – Is Gold LosingSPDR's Heavy Outflows Signal Institutional Exit – Is Gold Losing Momentum?
📉 SPDR Gold Trust Overview (Apr 24 – May 14, 2025):
🔻 Continuous Net Selling:
From April 30 to May 14, SPDR saw 10 consecutive sessions of net selling, unloading over 18.5 tons of gold.
📌 Key Selling Days:
May 2: -4.87 tons
May 6: -2.29 tons
May 14: -2.58 tons
👉 SPDR's gold holdings dropped from ~948.56 tons to ~936.51 tons — a decrease of over 12 tons in just 3 weeks, signaling that institutional capital is exiting gold ETFs. This reflects waning confidence in gold’s short-term upside.
🕯️ Technical Breakdown:
Gold's price has broken below the $3200 support zone on the D1 chart, invalidating the bullish defense zone.
The Double Top pattern is now around 80% completed, signaling a possible deeper drop unless a strong recovery occurs.
Momentum remains strongly bearish, making it difficult to time SELL entries unless lower timeframe resistance shows up.
🧭 Macro Pressures:
Optimism around US economic growth and expectations of prolonged high interest rates are weighing on gold.
The PPI report and Fed Chair's speech today could trigger further volatility, especially if the rhetoric remains hawkish.
CPI earlier this week painted a mixed picture, with sticky inflation — which is bearish for gold.
🧠 What Smart Money Is Doing:
Big funds are rotating out of gold and back into risk-on assets like equities and crypto.
This shift is not just a technical correction; it reflects a broader macro-driven sentiment change.
Gold is currently lacking institutional support.
🎯 Trading Strategy for Today:
🔴 SELL SCALP:
Entry: 3186 – 3188
SL: 3192
TP: 3182 → 3178 → 3174 → 3170 → 3166 → 3160 → 3150 → 3140
🔴 SELL ZONE (High-Probability Resistance):
Entry: 3226 – 3228
SL: 3232
TP: 3220 → 3216 → 3210 → 3206 → 3200 → 3196 → 3190 → ???
🔺 Key Resistance Levels:
3154
3174
3188
3206
3226
3254
⚠️ What to Watch Today:
US PPI and Fed speech could trigger extreme volatility in the NY session.
Wait for price to pull back toward resistance before SELLING — don’t chase.
BUY only if a confirmed D1 reversal or high-volume reaction occurs.
🔚 Final Thoughts:
With SPDR aggressively dumping gold and price breaking below critical support, institutional flows are no longer supporting the bull case. As long as price stays under $3200, SELL remains the primary strategy. A break below $3150 opens the path to $3000.
📣 Stay tuned — AD will update real-time strategies as we approach the US session. Follow, trade smart, and always respect your TP/SL. Good luck!






















