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Technical Analysis

GBP/USD: At a Crossroads - Will the Bears Take Over?Hello, brilliant traders! What’s your take on the current trend of GBP/USD? Let me break it down for you with a detailed analysis on the daily timeframe to give you a broader perspective. At the moment, GBP/USD remains firmly in a long-term downtrend, trading around the 1.269 level. This aligns perfectly with signals from the EMA 34 and EMA 89, both indicating a potential reversal on the horizon. It's clear that key technical levels are coming into play, demanding the market’s full attention. Following the recent corrective rally, GBP/USD appears poised to test resistance near the 1.287 level. This could be a prime opportunity for sellers to step in and drive the pair lower, especially given the prevailing dominance of the long-term bearish trend. The chart analysis I’ve shared illustrates this outlook in more detail. Looking ahead, fundamental factors could further shape the direction of this pair. Hawkish remarks from Fed Chair Jerome Powell and robust U.S. economic data may pile additional pressure on GBP/USD, possibly pushing it below the critical 1.225 support level. On the flip side, a dovish tone from Bank of England Governor Andrew Bailey could cap any upward moves, leaving the pair vulnerable to further downside action. The market is at a pivotal point, and I’d love to hear your thoughts on GBP/USD! Share your insights in the comments below, and let’s discuss where we think this pair is headed next. Wishing you smart trading and plenty of opportunities ahead!
Short
by Bo-Samson
Update XAUUSDSpot gold prices continue to rise as the US dollar weakens, making it more affordable for holders of other currencies to purchase gold. Meanwhile, crude oil prices unexpectedly surged to $70 per barrel, adding upward momentum to gold’s price trend. Another contributing factor is the announcement of martial law in South Korea. This has sparked concerns among financial investors about potential instability in the country, which could impact commodity prices and international currency markets. Consequently, many have increased their gold purchases as a safe-haven asset. These factors are fueling gold prices to climb further today.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Bo-Samson
GOLD--> The bears are gaining strength! Next target: 2600OANDA:XAUUSD is declining after a false breakout of the resistance range. The fundamental backdrop is mixed and still does not allow for a clear medium- and long-term strategy to be formed. But!... Trump's tariff policy and rising geopolitical tensions are influencing metal prices. Against the backdrop of a strengthening dollar and expectations of a Fed rate cut, gold prices are declining and confirming the market's structure. Looking ahead, all eyes will be on U.S. employment data as the country will release multiple job-related figures ahead of the Non-Farm Payrolls (NFP) report on Friday. From a technical standpoint, we have a trend to watch after leaving the rising channel support and the 2636 area, reflecting the prevailing bearish sentiment. A breakout below 2636 could trigger aggressive selling against the backdrop of a newly strengthened dollar. However, the possibility of a retest of the area of interest before continuing the downward trend cannot be ruled out. Gold prices are expected to decline and reach levels of 2610 and 2596, respectively.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Bo-Samson
GBP/USD Outlook: Navigating the Approaching ReversalHello dear readers, Today, let's delve into a detailed analysis of the GBP/USD chart to identify key points that might influence our investment decisions in the coming period. The current chart presents some intriguing technical signals that we should monitor closely. Overall Assessment: The 4-hour chart for GBP/USD is showing an upward trend, but the price is currently approaching a significant resistance area. This is a point where many traders might consider taking profits, which could introduce selling pressure at these higher levels. EMA Lines and Current Signals: The price is trading between the EMA 34 and EMA 89, with the EMA 34 approaching from below and possibly providing support if prices start to decline. The intersection of these EMAs could be a crucial signal for identifying a potential change in trend. Potential for Reversal: As the price nears this strong resistance zone, there is a possibility that it will test and possibly retreat from this level. If this occurs, we might see the price execute a pullback towards the nearest support line, formed by the ascending black trendline. Predictions and Strategy: If the price fails below the resistance and the EMA 34 does not hold as support, we could witness a more substantial price drop. The next target could be the lower support level of the ascending channel, where the price may find momentum for a recovery. Personal Insight: Given the current scenario, I would advise investors to closely watch the current resistance area and prepare for the possibility that the price could decline after touching this zone. Stop-loss orders should be cautiously placed to protect capital from potential volatility. For those looking to capitalize on a downward trend, waiting for a reversal confirmation before placing sell orders could be a prudent strategy. Wishing all our readers successful trading and stay tuned to market developments to seize beneficial opportunities.
Short
by Bo-Samson
EUR/USD Analysis: Bearish Forecast After Short-Term PullbackDear Readers, Today, let’s dive into the technical analysis of the EUR/USD currency pair and consider the possibility of a pullback scenario before the main downtrend continues. Resistance Zone and Pullback Potential: The strong resistance zone marked in pink on the current chart is the point at which EUR/USD has failed to overcome in recent attempts. This represents strong selling pressure at higher prices. In the short term, a pullback could occur when the price approaches this resistance zone again, attracting investors looking for an opportunity to sell. Support Line and Downtrend: The main support line, drawn in black, has kept the price from falling further since late November. The price has bounced from this support line a few times, but a pullback to the above resistance zone could be just a temporary sign before the main downtrend continues. EMAs and Price Action Prediction: EUR/USD is currently trading between the 34 EMA and the 89 EMA, representing a temporary balance between buyers and sellers. A pullback could see the price approach or break above the 34 EMA before selling pressure returns, resulting in a fresh decline. Personal View: After the pullback is complete and the resistance level is not broken, EUR/USD is likely to resume its downtrend. The price could fall to the next support level at 1.04245 and could continue to fall to 1.03838. Traders should consider establishing short positions as the price approaches the resistance, with carefully placed stop-loss orders to protect capital. This could be a good opportunity to ride the long-term downtrend without getting caught in short-term rallies.
Short
by Bo-Samson
Gold --> Interest in this metal is growingGold continues to hold strong as the dollar faces a correction, with liquidity gradually diminishing. Friday’s trading in the US could play a pivotal role in shaping market dynamics. On the H1 timeframe, gold remains firmly within the boundaries of a local bullish channel, driven by the dollar's weakness, which stems largely from the ongoing inflationary environment. Adding to this momentum, the Federal Reserve's dovish stance on interest rate policy continues to act as a tailwind for gold prices. However, this factor appears to be taking a backseat for now. Meanwhile, the market spotlight is shifting toward the policies of the new US administration, which are expected to bring significant changes to the global economic landscape. These shifts could push central banks to bolster their gold reserves, potentially igniting a surge in central bank gold trading activity. With the fundamentals aligning for a bullish trend—supported by an ascending channel and strong macroeconomic factors—buying opportunities dominate the strategy. Ideal entries lie around the support zone (aligned with FVG levels) or upon a confirmed breakout above the resistance level. Price targets? Gold's climb toward 2678 and 2694 is drawing closer, signaling an exciting rally ahead!
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Bo-Samson
4
Dow theroy - NIfty50 !!NSE:NIFTY This chart represents a technical analysis of the Nifty 50 Index in the I-hour time frame, showing key phases and levels that traders monitor for decision-making. Here's the explanation in simpler terms: 1. Accumulation Zone: This is the area marked in the first shaded box where the price is moving sideways within a range (between support and resistance levels). • In this phase, big players (institutions) are likely accumulating (buying) before the next move. 2. Breakout to Manipulation: After the accumulation, the price broke out above the resistance level. However, this was followed by a sharp reversal downward. The sharp drop is labeled "Manipulation," where the market may have tricked traders into thinking the price was going higher, only to push it down. 3. Support Levels: • Several support levels are marked where the price found temporary stability and reversed upward. These areas indicate where buying pressure overcame selling. 4. Distribution Zone: • In the next shaded area, the price moved sideways again. This could indicate a "distribution" phase where institutions are selling off positions after the price increased. 5. Future Projection: The dotted line shows a possible future path where the price could rise again toward the distribution area (marked as potential resistance). Key Takeaways: Sideways Movement: Indicates areas of balance between buyers and sellers. Manipulation: A sharp move designed to trigger stop-loss orders or mislead traders. • Future Trend: The chart suggests a bullish (upward) move if the price sustains above current support levels. Traders can use these observations to plan entries or exits around support/resistance levels while being cautious of potential false breakouts.
NSE:NIFTYLong
by thetradeforecast
3
USDJPY: Approaching Key Support at 150.000USDJPY is trading around 150.038, testing the critical support level at 150.000 after a sharp decline. The EMA 34 (152.215) and EMA 89 (150.899) act as strong resistance, limiting recovery momentum. If this support level is breached, the price may continue to drop toward the 148.000 zone, a significant previous low. Conversely, if the 150.000 level holds and the pair breaks above the EMA 34, USDJPY could target the 152.000 resistance level. News of the ceasefire in the Middle East has reduced safe-haven demand, putting pressure on the Japanese Yen, while the US Dollar remains strong due to high US Treasury yields. Traders should closely monitor these levels to adjust their strategies accordingly.
Long
by Vanna-Cris
EURUSD: Bullish Signals but Facing Major ResistanceEURUSD is currently trading around 1.05692, showing a slight recovery from recent lows, with the EMA 34 providing dynamic support and the EMA 89 acting as a key resistance level. Price action indicates short-term bullish signals, but the strong resistance at 1.06500 could pose a significant challenge. If this level is breached, EURUSD may extend its upward momentum towards higher targets around 1.07000. Conversely, failure to hold above the EMA 34 could see selling pressure push the price back to test support at 1.05200 or lower. News of the ceasefire in the Middle East is reducing safe-haven demand, supporting a stronger USD, which in turn is pressuring EURUSD.
by Vanna-Cris
Gold--> Trade inside from channel boundaryHi guys, Gold prices inched slightly higher to $2,650 following a breakout, spurred by political headlines, but the broader fundamental landscape remains clouded with uncertainty. Market liquidity is notably thin today due to the Thanksgiving holiday in the United States, leaving the market ripe for sudden volatility. Geopolitical tensions continue to play a pivotal role, with the ongoing Russia-Ukraine conflict maintaining a strong grip on sentiment. Adding fuel to the fire, U.S. President-elect Donald Trump’s proposed tariffs on Canada and Mexico are creating ripples across the market. “This has amplified concerns about potential fallout for these two nations, which in turn provides a key layer of support for gold,” analysts highlight. However, any push to elevate gold prices could face significant headwinds. Trump’s tariff policies, while unsettling, are seen as potential inflationary catalysts, which might force the Federal Reserve to rethink its trajectory of interest rate cuts. This tug-of-war keeps gold traders on edge. From a technical lens, gold is caught in a sideways grind. Traders are eyeing a local H1 channel between $2,660 - $2,618, with the broader D1 range extending from $2,690 (or $2,710) - $2,605. At this juncture, gold seems to be gravitating toward liquidity clusters above current levels. A potential false breakout at key resistance zones, followed by price consolidation in sell-heavy areas, could spell a sharp pullback toward the lower boundary of the sideways range. For savvy traders, this moment is not just about watching the charts but anticipating the narrative. A delicate interplay of technical setups and geopolitical uncertainties makes every move in the gold market an opportunity wrapped in risk. Will gold reclaim higher ground, or will it succumb to the gravitational pull of its range-bound rhythm? The answer lies just beyond the next breakout—or breakdown.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Bo-Samson
GOLD → Controversial fundamental background. What's next?OANDA:XAUUSD capitalizing on the weakening of the US dollar and heading towards the areas of interest and liquidity at 2635 - 2639. But! There are signs that a flag pattern is forming. Theoretically, any attempt for gold prices to rise could be limited. PCE, GDP, and the resistance ahead... Meanwhile, sellers pause slightly amid concerns about trade wars, geopolitical risks, expectations that the Fed will cut rates by another 25 basis points in December, recently declining US bond yields, and the USD falling overnight to a two-week low. However, ahead of the upcoming macroeconomic news from the US, namely PCE and GDP, after a relatively quiet news week, volatility is likely to be unpredictable. The question now is whether the downward momentum will continue as the price reacts to a critical support zone. Technically, gold remains range-bound and is heading towards areas of interest from which a retracement could form. But this reaction also partly depends on the news.... The focus is on the imbalance zone, fibo 0.618 and fibo 0.5. Due to the controversial technical and fundamental background, the gold price may close inside a wide channel, which allows us to use its boundaries for trading. We are watching the resistance with a sell target for further downside
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Bo-Samson
2
Gold Prices Rise Steadily, Testing the 2,658 USD/oz LevelGold prices increased for the third consecutive session, reaching a one-week high of 2,647.43 USD/oz on November 20, supported by its role as a safe-haven asset amid escalating tensions between Russia and Ukraine. However, the rally was capped by a recovering USD, making gold more expensive for international buyers. The 2,551 level has been confirmed as strong support after two successful tests, prompting a sharp rebound. The 2,658 level is the next immediate target for prices to break, while the 2,789 zone is the next potential peak if the bullish trend persists. Following a significant correction from the previous high, gold may form a double-bottom pattern around 2,551, signaling strong buying pressure. Currently, prices are testing the 2,658 resistance level and show signs of continuing the upward trend if this level is breached. If a pullback occurs, the 2,652 zone (EMA 34) will serve as an essential support level to watch.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Vanna-Cris
Technical analysis of XAUUSD chartDear friends, it's Samson here! Flag Pattern: The chart showcases a well-formed flag pattern, a classic bearish continuation signal. Target Projection: Using the height of the previous wave 3 of the flagpole, the pattern's target is forecasted to be around $2,553. Fibonacci Levels: The price is at a level corresponding to the 0.618 Fibonacci retracement at $2,637, a strong bearish signal, with the next resistance near $2,647 (0.5 Fibonacci retracement). Breakout Confirmation: A breakout from the flag will confirm the bearish momentum. Trend Outlook: A macro bearish trend is indicated, supported by resistance rooted in fundamental factors... Consider, share your opinions and questions, discuss what is happening with OANDA:XAUUSD
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Bo-Samson
3
My Analysis of EURUSD (1 Hour Chart)Hello everyone, Ascending Channel Formation: Price is moving within a clear ascending channel, with higher highs and higher lows forming along the way. This structure suggests a temporary upside correction within the overall downtrend. EMA Dynamics: The 34 EMA (purple) is currently acting as dynamic resistance, rejecting multiple attempts to break higher, as indicated by the red arrows. The 89 EMA (pink) is closely aligned, consolidating the resistance zone and signaling bearish momentum when the price is below these levels. Key Resistance Zone: The upper boundary of the channel, near 1.0525, is a key resistance zone. This zone is consistent with the rejection from the EMA and is expected to limit upside momentum. Near-term Price Movement: I expect price to retest this resistance level and potentially fake out in the short term before moving lower. A break of the ascending channel to the downside would confirm a continuation of the decline. Target Level: The initial downside target is around 1.0450, near the middle of the previous range. If the decline continues, I expect the price to fall further towards the support level of 1.0352, which marks the lower boundary of my expected price. Risk Zone: A sustained break above 1.0550 would invalidate my bearish outlook and signal further upside. Conclusion: For now, I am watching how the price reacts at the upper boundary of the ascending channel and the EMA resistance zone. Any rejection or bearish candlestick pattern would confirm my short bias, focusing on the downside targets.
Short
by Bo-Samson