#xuausd Make or Break - Gold Analysis🥇 GOLD (XAU/USD) - Technical Analysis & Outlook
Timeframe: 4H & Daily Charts
Current Price: 2,718.99
Market Structure Analysis
Gold is currently in a **strong uptrend** and will maintain its bullish bias until it forms a clear lower low. The recent consolidation near all-time highs suggests a potential for either continuation or a sideways movement phase.
Key Price Levels
Support Zones
- Immediate Support: 4,218.99 - 4,240.00
- Major Support: 4,185.91 (0 Fibonacci - Recent Low)
- Critical Support: 4,160.00 - 4,180.00 zone
Resistance Zones
- Immediate Resistance: 4,253.97 (Current High)
- Next Resistance: 4,280.00 - 4,300.00
- Target Extension: 4,320.00 - 4,360.00
- Major Target: 4,380.99 (Fibonacci Extension)
Technical Scenarios
- Continuation of the current uptrend expected
- Any pullback to support zones presents buying opportunities
- Target: 4,280 - 4,360 zone
- Extended Target: 4,380+ levels
Consolidation Scenario (Secondary)
Condition: Sideways movement similar to the 3,400 consolidation phase
- Gold may enter a ranging phase at current elevated levels
- Watch for sideways movement between 4,200 - 4,280
- Accumulation pattern before next leg up
- Patience required during this phase
🔴 Bearish Scenario (Alternative)
Condition: Only if price breaks and closes below 4,185
- Bearish only on confirmed break of structure
- Potential retracement to $4,160 or lower
- Wait for clear reversal signals before shorting
RSI Analysis (Daily Chart)
- RSI Position: Near trendline support (around 62)
- Signal: RSI holding above trendline support indicates continued bullish momentum
- Watch For: RSI breakdown below trendline would signal weakening momentum
- Strength: RSI still in bullish territory, no divergence observed
Key Observations
1. **Strong Uptrend Intact:** No lower lows formed yet, trend remains bullish
2. **Fibonacci Levels:** Price respecting key Fibonacci retracement zones
3. **Consolidation Pattern:** Similar behavior to previous $3,400 consolidation
4. **Volume Profile:** Accumulation visible near support zones
5. **Daily RSI:** Holding trendline support, maintaining bullish structure
Critical Points to Monitor
🔸 22/10/2025 Close: Will provide clearer direction
🔸 Support Level: 4,218 - Must hold for bullish continuation
🔸 RSI Trendline: Break would signal momentum shift
🔸 Volume: Watch for increasing volume on moves
🔸 Global Events: Fed policy, geopolitical tensions, USD strength
🎓 #Trading Wisdom
"The #trend is your friend until it bends. #Gold will remain #bullish until it makes a #lowerlow. Stay patient, follow the structure, and let the market show its hand."*
Risk Disclaimer
This analysis is for educational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Always manage your risk appropriately, use stop losses, and never risk more than you can afford to lose. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
Like and Follow for Daily Gold Analysis!
#Gold #XAUUSD #GoldTrading #TechnicalAnalysis #ForexTrading #PreciousMetals #TradingView #MarketAnalysis
Technical Analysis
CIPLA – 10-Day Volume Breakout | Bullish Continuation Setup💹 Cipla Ltd (NSE: CIPLA)
Sector: Pharmaceuticals | CMP: ₹1,639.10 | View: Bullish Continuation Setup
🔹 Technical Analysis / Chart Pattern / Price Action / Volume Analysis:
Cipla Ltd shows strong bullish momentum with a clear breakout candle supported by a significant volume surge of 3,372,906 shares, compared to its 20-day average of 1,386,709 shares — a rise of over 2.4 times. This confirms fresh institutional buying and genuine participation behind the move. The open-equals-low formation reflects strong buyer control from the start, while a Bollinger Band breakout with a BB squeeze-off signals that volatility compression has ended, hinting at a sharp upward continuation. The RSI breakout further supports growing momentum, and consistent volume expansion validates trend strength. Overall, the setup represents a bullish continuation structure, where price, volume, and momentum align perfectly — a textbook example of a powerful breakout phase supported by conviction buying.
🔹 Key Levels:
Resistance: 1665 / 1690 / 1733
Support: 1566 / 1537 / 1498
🔹 STWP Trade Analysis:
Bias: Bullish
Breakout Level: 1647
Intraday Support: 1620
Swing Support: 1553
Intermediate Support: 1535
🔹 HNI Trade Analysis:
Possible Accumulation Level: 1639 - 1647
Possible Low Levels: 1629
Support Levels: 1624 - 1606
🔹 Final Outlook:
Momentum: Moderate | Trend: Neutral | Risk: Low | Volume: High
🔹 Learning Note (Educational Purpose):
This setup is a great example of how a breakout with strong volume and RSI confirmation can signal a shift from consolidation to momentum. It helps learners understand that when price, volume, and indicators align together, it often leads to a trend continuation phase. Always observe how volume expands during breakouts — it’s one of the strongest clues of institutional activity.
🔹 STWP Mentor Note:
A clean breakout backed by strong volume is not just a signal — it’s a lesson in patience and timing. Smart traders wait for clarity, not noise. As a learner, focus on identifying structure, strength, and sustainability in every move. Remember, every breakout teaches discipline — stay consistent, study reactions, and always trade with patience and purpose.
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⚠️ **DISCLOSURE & DISCLAIMER (SEBI-Compliant)**
───────────────────────────────────────────────
📘 **Purpose:**
This content is created **solely for educational and informational purposes** to help readers understand market structure, price action, and technical analysis.
It does **not constitute investment advice**, research recommendation, or a solicitation to buy or sell any security.
👤 **Author Disclosure:**
The author is **not a SEBI-registered investment adviser or research analyst.**
All chart studies, price levels, and observations are based on publicly available data (e.g., **NSE India**, **TradingView**) and are presented purely for **learning illustration**.
📊 **Position Status:**
No active position in * * at the time of publication.
“The author may sometimes trade in the securities discussed, but such trades are independent and shared here only for educational understanding.”
⚠️ **Risk Disclosure:**
Trading and investing involve financial risk. Market movements can be unpredictable, and losses may exceed invested capital.
Readers are strongly advised to consult a **SEBI-registered investment adviser** before making any trading or investment decisions.
🧠 **Responsibility Clause:**
By engaging with this post, you acknowledge that you are **solely responsible for your own trading or investment decisions**, and that this content is intended only for **market education and awareness**.
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AUBANK – 52-Week Breakout with Strong Volume💹 A.U. Small Finance Bank Ltd (NSE: AUBANK)
Sector: Banking & Finance | CMP: ₹865.20 | View: Bullish Momentum Setup
🔹Price Action:
A.U. Small Finance Bank showed strong upward movement with a big green candle and very high trading volume. The stock opened at its lowest point and kept rising all day, which means buyers were in full control. It also made a new 52-week high, showing that momentum and confidence are strong. In simple words, the stock is breaking out with power, and buyers are clearly leading the trend.
🔹 Technical Analysis:
AUBANK is showing strong bullish momentum with a clear 52-week breakout, signaling fresh buying interest and strong confidence among traders. The big green candle with open-equals-low formation shows that buyers were active right from the start of the session. The RSI at 81 reflects strong momentum, while MACD at 9.35 confirms a positive crossover, adding to the bullish view. Similarly, CCI at 258 and Stochastic at 96 indicate powerful buying pressure, suggesting that the uptrend is well-supported. The VWAP at ₹855.39 is acting as an important support level, helping the price stay stable even during intraday pullbacks. Meanwhile, a Bollinger Band breakout and a BB squeeze-off pattern hint that the stock may continue its sharp upward move. Altogether, the indicators show a well-supported bullish setup, ideal for short to medium-term swing trades.
🔹 Volume Analysis:
The stock saw a huge rise in trading volume — almost 5 times higher than normal! This is a strong sign that big investors or institutions are showing interest. Such a jump in both price and volume means the breakout is real and reliable, not just a short-term move. This kind of volume confirms fresh buying and positive sentiment, suggesting the stock could stay strong for some time.
🔹 Chart Analysis:
For months, AUBANK was moving sideways between ₹680 and ₹840. Now, it has broken above ₹840 with heavy volume, showing that the stock has ended its consolidation phase and started a new bullish trend. This breakout shows that buyers are taking charge, and if the volume remains high, the stock may continue to move upward in the coming sessions.
🔹 Demand Zone: ₹814 – ₹785
This area acts as a strong demand zone, where earlier buying interest was visible. If the price revisits this zone, it may attract fresh accumulation or renewed buying activity. Traders and learners can observe this region for potential re-entry setups once the price shows signs of stability or reversal — purely for educational understanding of demand zone behavior in momentum setups.
🔹 Key Levels:
Resistance: 885/905/939
Support: 832/798/778
🔹 STWP Trade Analysis:
Bias: Bullish
Breakout Level: 872
Intraday Support: 851
Swing Support: 783
Intermediate Support: 680
Observation:
🔹 Final Outlook:
Momentum: Moderate | Trend: Neutral | Risk: High | Volume: High
The setup shows strong bullish signs but comes after a sharp rally, so short-term volatility can be expected. Sustained volume above ₹850 will keep the trend positive.
🔹 Learning Note (Educational Purpose):
This setup is a good example of how volume + breakout candles signal a shift in momentum. It teaches traders that when price breaks resistance with strong volume, it often marks the beginning of a new trend rather than the end of one. Always confirm with RSI/MACD alignment for reliability.
🔹 STWP Mentor Note:
Momentum trading works best when price, structure, and volume align together. Always look for clean breakouts backed by heavy volume — they tell you where smart money is moving. As a trader, focus more on learning price behavior than just chasing the move. Every breakout teaches patience, confidence, and timing — three pillars of successful trading.
───────────────────────────────────────────────
⚠️ **DISCLOSURE & DISCLAIMER (SEBI-Compliant)**
───────────────────────────────────────────────
📘 **Purpose:**
This content is created **solely for educational and informational purposes** to help readers understand market structure, price action, and technical analysis.
It does **not constitute investment advice**, research recommendation, or a solicitation to buy or sell any security.
👤 **Author Disclosure:**
The author is **not a SEBI-registered investment adviser or research analyst.**
All chart studies, price levels, and observations are based on publicly available data (e.g., **NSE India**, **TradingView**) and are presented purely for **learning illustration**.
📊 **Position Status:**
No active position in * * at the time of publication.
“The author may sometimes trade in the securities discussed, but such trades are independent and shared here only for educational understanding.”
⚠️ **Risk Disclosure:**
Trading and investing involve financial risk. Market movements can be unpredictable, and losses may exceed invested capital.
Readers are strongly advised to consult a **SEBI-registered investment adviser** before making any trading or investment decisions.
🧠 **Responsibility Clause:**
By engaging with this post, you acknowledge that you are **solely responsible for your own trading or investment decisions**, and that this content is intended only for **market education and awareness**.
───────────────────────────────────────────────
💬 **Did You Find This Useful?**
If this analysis helped you understand price structure or market psychology better:
🔼 **Boost** to support transparent & structured financial education.
✍️ **Comment** your insights, observations, or questions — let’s learn together.
🔁 **Share** this post with learners and aspiring traders who value discipline.
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🚀 *Stay Calm. Stay Clean. Trade With Patience.*
💡 *Trade Smart | Learn Zones | Be Self-Reliant.*
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AdityaBirlaCapital - Investment IdeasAditya Birla Capital Ltd - Technical Analysis
Simple Technical Analysis Summary
Aditya Birla Capital is breaking out from a multi-year resistance zone with a classic and perfect rounding bottom pattern playing out on the monthly timeframe.
Fibonacci targets have been activated!
Key Technical Observations
1. Multi-Year Rounding Bottom Pattern
The stock has completed a textbook rounding bottom formation spanning multiple years. This is one of the most reliable bullish reversal patterns in technical analysis, indicating a fundamental shift from bearish to bullish sentiment.
2. Breakout from Multi-Year Resistance
After years of consolidation and base building, the stock has successfully broken out from a significant resistance zone around ₹255. This breakout signals the potential beginning of a new uptrend cycle.
3. Monthly Timeframe Confirmation
The pattern is forming and confirming on the monthly timeframe, which carries significantly more weight than shorter timeframes. Monthly breakouts tend to lead to sustained moves.
4. Fibonacci Extension Framework
Multiple Fibonacci extension levels have been identified and activated, providing a clear roadmap for potential price targets based on the measured move from the rounding bottom pattern.
#Fibonacci Extension Target Levels
Based on the rounding bottom pattern measurement and Fibonacci extensions:
- Target 1: 314.20 (1.272 Fibonacci Extension)
- Target 2: 345.10 (1.414 Fibonacci Extension)
- Target 3: 389.90 (1.618 Fibonacci Extension)
- Extended Target: 472.00 (2.0 Fibonacci Extension)
Key Support Levels
- Immediate Support: 255.00 (Breakout level / Previous resistance turned support)
- Secondary Support: 171.86 (0.618 Fibonacci retracement)
- Critical Support: 146.17 (0.5 Fibonacci retracement)
- Base Support: 42.35 (Rounding bottom base)
- Pattern suggests long-term bullish structure - Risk-reward favorable for position building on dips
Risk Management:
- Maintain stoploss below 255 on monthly closing basis
- For aggressive traders: 240 (allowing some wiggle room)
- For conservative traders: 235 (below breakout zone)
Invalidation Level:
- Monthly close below 240 would weaken the bullish structure
- Break below 220 would invalidate the immediate bullish setup
DISCLOSURE & RISK WARNING:
This analysis is provided for educational and informational purposes only and should not be construed as financial advice, investment recommendation, or an offer to buy or sell securities. Past performance is not indicative of future results.
Hindpetro Long - Investment IdeaHindustan Petroleum (HINDPETRO) - Monthly Chart Analysis
Current Price: 441.75
Major #Breakout in Progress
**Timeframe:** Monthly (Long-term View)
Key Technical Event:
🚀 Historic Breakout - Stock has broken above 2017 all-time high after 8 years of consolidation
- Breakout Level: 325.55
- Retest Zone: 410-420 - Currently retesting breakout
Hindpetro is Brewing for fresh new highs above ₹441
Target Projections based on #Patterns and #Fibonocci levels.
Interim Targets:
- Support holding at ₹416
- Immediate resistance: ₹480-500 zone
Short Term Targets:
- Tgt 1: 530
- Tgt 2: 657
Extended Targets: 593-629
Technical Significance:
- **8-year base breakout** = High probability of sustained uptrend
- Monthly trend reversal confirmed
- Trading well above long-term moving average
- Volume-supported breakout suggests institutional accumulation
Risk Management:
- Stop Loss: Below 410 on monthly closing basis
- Key Support: 325 (previous resistance now support)
Outlook:
After breaking a major multi-year resistance, HINDPETRO is consolidating gains and positioning for the next leg up. Patient accumulation recommended on dips toward ₹410-420.
This is for educational purposes only.* Do your Own analysis before taking Trade.
BankofIndia - Short to Long Term Investment BuyBank of India - Technical Analysis
Current Price: 129.77
Timeframe: Monthly Chart
Key Technical Observations
1. Currently, PSU banks are exhibiting bullish characteristics with positive sector support influencing the stock positively.
2. Cup and Handle Formation - The stock is displaying a gradually developing cup and handle pattern, a classic bullish continuation setup that suggests potential upside momentum.
3. Rising Channel Support - Bank of India is actively trading within and supported by a rising channel, indicating strength in the uptrend structure.
4. Historical Strength Pattern - Over the years since 2021, the stock has been making higher highs and has recently completed a decent retracement, suggesting a bounce-back scenario in formation.
5. RSI Hidden Divergence Confirmation -A hidden divergence has been identified on the RSI indicator, providing additional technical confirmation for trend continuation.
Potential Target Levels
Based on technical analysis:
- 20% Move: 155.40
- 50% Move: 194.70
- 77% Move: 232.00
Risk Management
Strict Stoploss: 99.18 on Weekly candle closing basis
DISCLOSURE & RISK WARNING:
This analysis is provided for educational and informational purposes only and should not be construed as financial advice, investment recommendation, or an offer to buy or sell securities. Past performance is not indicative of future results.
Gold Retracement After 200-Point Fall — Watch for a Rejection!Price Action in Focus | Short Setup on Key Resistance Zone
Gold (XAUUSD) posted a sharp 200-point drop from the all-time high at 4380 on Friday. The current move looks like a technical retracement, not a reversal — a classic dead-cat bounce scenario? 🐈📉
📍 Key Resistance Zone: 4280 – 4300
Price is now testing this zone, which previously acted as a breakdown level. If sellers step in here, we could see another leg lower.
🔍 Short Bias Setup (Not Financial Advice):
🧭 Sell Zone: 4280 – 4300
❌ Invalidation (SL): Above 4321
🎯 Targets: 4241 and 4221
💬 Watching for bearish confirmation before executing — candle wicks, volume spike, or RSI divergence could seal the deal.
⚠️ This is a technical idea, not financial advice. Always manage risk and confirm with your own strategy.
🔔 Follow for live chart updates, breakdowns & strategy threads!
Your feedback drives our content and keeps everyone trading smarter. Let’s make those pips together! 🚀
Happy Trading,
– The InvestPro Team
#NIFTY Intraday Support and Resistance Levels - 20/10/2025Nifty is expected to open with a gap up near the 25,950 level, reflecting sustained bullish momentum and strong follow-through buying from previous sessions. The index is approaching a key resistance zone, and today’s price action will be crucial in determining whether it can extend the uptrend or witness short-term consolidation.
If Nifty sustains above 25,950–26,000, it may rally further toward 26,050, 26,150, and 26,250+ levels. A breakout above 26,450 will confirm continued strength, opening the path toward 26,600+ levels.
On the downside, immediate support lies near 25,750–25,700. A fall below this level could trigger mild profit booking, pulling the index toward 25,600 and 25,450 zones.
Overall, the sentiment remains bullish with a gap up opening near 25,950, but traders should monitor price action closely around the 26,000–26,050 zone for signs of breakout or reversal. Maintaining a trailing stop loss and booking partial profits near resistance levels is advisable to safeguard gains in volatile intraday movements.
[INTRADAY] #BANKNIFTY PE & CE Levels(20/10/2025)Bank Nifty is likely to open with a gap up above the 58,000 zone, indicating continued bullish sentiment and follow-through momentum from last week’s rally. The index is consolidating near a breakout area, suggesting that buyers are still in control, but a decisive move above resistance is needed for further strength.
If Bank Nifty sustains above 58,050–58,100, it may trigger an upside rally toward 58,250, 58,350, and 58,450+ levels. A breakout above 58,550–58,600 will add fresh momentum, opening the path toward 58,750, 58,850, and 58,950+ zones.
On the downside, immediate support is placed near 57,750–57,700. A fall below this level could invite short-term profit booking, dragging the index toward 57,650, 57,550, and 57,450 levels.
Overall, the sentiment remains positive with a gap up opening expected above 58,000, but traders should watch for sustained buying above 58,100 to confirm bullish continuation. Maintaining a trailing stop loss and booking partial profits at key resistance levels is advised to protect gains in case of intraday reversals.
M&M Breaks Out with Volume Support | Structure Meets Momentum________________________________________
🚙 MAHINDRA & MAHINDRA LTD (NSE: M&M) | CMP ₹3,647.20 (+2.43%)
Sector: Auto | Date: 19 Oct 2025
________________________________________
🔹 Price Action:
M&M posted a strong bullish candle, closing near day’s high at ₹3,647.20 with gains of +2.43%.
Volume surged to 3.34M shares, nearly 2.2× the 20-day average volume (2.10M) — a clear sign of institutional and HNI participation.
The stock confirmed a bullish breakout above ₹3,656, marking a shift from a phase of consolidation to one of expansion.
________________________________________
🔹 Technical Analysis:
Momentum indicators are clearly aligned in favour of the bulls, confirming strength across multiple parameters. RSI (65.55) has broken above its midline, signalling momentum expansion, while MACD (9) shows a positive crossover that reinforces directional conviction. CCI (129.03) reflects sustained trend acceleration, and though Stochastic (96.65) remains in overbought territory, it supports ongoing breakout momentum. The VWAP at ₹3,629.84 acts as an immediate dynamic support, maintaining short-term control with buyers. Additionally, a Bollinger Band breakout accompanied by a BBSqueeze-Off indicates expanding volatility — often a precursor to a strong continuation phase when combined with rising volume and structural breakout confirmation.
________________________________________
🔹 Chart Analysis:
M&M broke out from a symmetrical triangle structure, ending a multi-week consolidation phase.
The breakout candle formed with a wide body and heavy volume, closing near the high — a typical sign of breakout conviction.
Price structure shows higher lows and rising volume, confirming trend continuation rather than exhaustion.
________________________________________
🔹 Key Levels:
Resistance: 3,682 / 3,717 / 3,778
Support: 3,586 / 3,525 / 3,490
VWAP: 3,629.84
A short-term pullback toward VWAP or ₹3,586 could act as a healthy retest before continuation.
Holding above ₹3,525 will keep the structure intact, maintaining bullish control.
________________________________________
🔹 STWP Trade Analysis:
Bias: Bullish
Breakout Level: ₹3,656
Intraday Support: ₹3,619
Swing Support: ₹3,456
Intermediate Support: ₹3,421
Momentum: Strong
Trend: Bullish
Risk: Low
Volume: High
📌 Observation: The breakout candle supported by rising volume and MACD confirmation signals a trend continuation setup with clearly defined risk zones.
________________________________________
🔹 HNI Trade Setup:
Fresh HNI accumulation seen around ₹3,647–₹3,656, supported at ₹3,501, and additional buying interest visible near ₹3,639 with support at ₹3,475.
This structure indicates layered accumulation, suggesting that larger players are positioning within the consolidation rather than chasing price above resistance.
________________________________________
🔹 Final Outlook:
Momentum: Strong | Trend: Bullish | Risk: Low | Volume: High
M&M’s structure indicates a breakout-driven continuation phase backed by volume and indicator alignment.
As long as price holds above ₹3,525, the trend bias remains bullish, with scope for upside toward ₹3,717–₹3,778 in the near term.
A dip toward VWAP or EMA supports would represent healthy price normalization, not weakness.
________________________________________
🔹 Learning Note (Educational Purpose):
This setup showcases how volume + structure + indicator confluence confirms a genuine breakout.
It also demonstrates how smart money accumulates during compression, not after expansion — a crucial lesson for breakout traders.
M&M provides a textbook example of how post-consolidation breakouts evolve into expansion phases.
________________________________________
🔹 STWP Mentor Note:
“Momentum isn’t about chasing; it’s about recognizing conviction early.
M&M’s breakout is a fine example of structure, participation, and patience working in perfect rhythm — where price doesn’t just move, it evolves with purpose.”
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───────────────────────────────────────────────
⚠️ **DISCLOSURE & DISCLAIMER (SEBI-Compliant)**
───────────────────────────────────────────────
📘 **Purpose:**
This content is created **solely for educational and informational purposes** to help readers understand market structure, price action, and technical analysis.
It does **not constitute investment advice**, research recommendation, or a solicitation to buy or sell any security.
👤 **Author Disclosure:**
The author is **not a SEBI-registered investment adviser or research analyst.**
All chart studies, price levels, and observations are based on publicly available data (e.g., **NSE India**, **TradingView**) and are presented purely for **learning illustration**.
📊 **Position Status:**
No active position in * * at the time of publication.
“The author may sometimes trade in the securities discussed, but such trades are independent and shared here only for educational understanding.”
⚠️ **Risk Disclosure:**
Trading and investing involve financial risk. Market movements can be unpredictable, and losses may exceed invested capital.
Readers are strongly advised to consult a **SEBI-registered investment adviser** before making any trading or investment decisions.
🧠 **Responsibility Clause:**
By engaging with this post, you acknowledge that you are **solely responsible for your own trading or investment decisions**, and that this content is intended only for **market education and awareness**.
───────────────────────────────────────────────
💬 **Did You Find This Useful?**
If this analysis helped you understand price structure or market psychology better:
🔼 **Boost** to support transparent & structured financial education.
✍️ **Comment** your insights, observations, or questions — let’s learn together.
🔁 **Share** this post with learners and aspiring traders who value discipline.
📚 **Follow @STWP** for more structured, educational breakdowns on stocks & setups.
🚀 *Stay Calm. Stay Clean. Trade With Patience.*
💡 *Trade Smart | Learn Zones | Be Self-Reliant.*
───────────────────────────────────────────────
TVS Motor | 52-Week Breakout Case Study________________________________________
🏍️ TVS MOTOR (NSE: TVSMOTOR) | CMP 3,658.00
Sector: Auto & 2-Wheeler | Date: 19 Oct 2025
________________________________________
📊 Chart Summary
TVS Motor has delivered a 52-week breakout with a strong bullish Marubozu candle, signalling aggressive buying momentum.
The stock closed firmly near day’s high, reinforcing confidence among participants.
This move comes after a sustained consolidation phase, with volumes spiking well above the short-term average — confirming institutional and HNI participation around the 3,650 zone.
Structurally, the stock is transitioning from a Consolidation Phase into an Expansion Phase, marking the possible beginning of a fresh markup leg.
________________________________________
🟡 Technical Indicators Summary
The chart highlights Bullish Momentum supported by a Strong Bullish Marubozu, indicating conviction among buyers.
A clear RSI breakout (76) confirms strengthening momentum, while the Bollinger Band breakout and BBSqueeze-Off suggest volatility expansion — often preceding strong directional moves.
MACD at 5.54 shows a positive crossover, CCI 205.96 signals extended strength, and Stochastic 98.62 confirms short-term over-extension yet strong momentum.
VWAP support at 3,639.46 keeps intraday trend structure intact.
This confluence reflects multi-indicator alignment — the kind of structure often seen in sustained breakout phases.
________________________________________
📈 Price Action & Key Levels
Resistance: 3683 / 3712 / 3765
Support: 3600 / 3547 / 3518
VWAP: 3639.46
The breakout occurred above 3,658, which now acts as a pivot zone.
Sustaining above this level could keep momentum active, whereas any dip toward VWAP or ₹3,600 may offer short-term retest potential.
________________________________________
🧭 STWP Trade Analysis
Bias: Bullish
Breakout Level: Above 3658
Intraday Support: 3626
Swing Support: 3501
Intermediate Support: 3274
Momentum: Moderate
Trend: Neutral (Turning Bullish)
Risk: Low
Volume: High
📌 Observation: The strong candle structure backed by volume and RSI expansion suggests continued bullish sentiment.
A possible HNI setup was visible near 3654–3658 with support at 3518, while a lower build-up setup is also seen near 3647 with support at 3493 — confirming tiered accumulation.
________________________________________
🧭 STWP Note – Gap-Up Retest Zone
If TVS Motor opens gap-up above ₹3,658, key pullback levels to watch are ₹3,639 (VWAP), ₹3,547 (EMA support), and ₹3,443 (0.786 Fibonacci level). A mild, low-volume pullback toward these zones would represent a healthy retest within the ongoing expansion phase. The breakout remains valid and momentum bullish as long as price holds above ₹3,443.
________________________________________
📘 Learning Perspective (Educational Insight)
TVS Motor’s setup illustrates how multiple bullish confirmations (RSI breakout, MACD crossover, BB expansion, and VWAP strength) can align during a 52-week breakout phase.
The pattern teaches traders to spot volume-backed momentum near higher-timeframe resistance zones — a sign that larger players may be entering.
________________________________________
🧩 Final Outlook
TVS Motor currently displays:
Momentum: Moderate
Trend: Neutral turning Bullish
Risk: Low
Volume: High
While KST remains mildly bearish (34.45), the overall setup hints at a momentum continuation phase, provided the stock sustains above 3626–3600 levels.
Traders should watch price action around 3,683–3,712 for confirmation of follow-through strength.
________________________________________
💬 STWP Mentor Note
When multiple indicators speak in one direction — price, volume, and structure often follow. Watch how VWAP and RSI behave in the next few sessions; that’s where breakout traders can learn the art of patience and precision.
________________________________________
⚠️ Disclosure & Disclaimer (SEBI-Compliant)
This content is created solely for educational and informational purposes to help readers understand technical analysis and market structure.
It does not constitute investment advice, research recommendation, or a solicitation to buy or sell any security.
The author is not a SEBI-registered investment adviser or research analyst.
All charts, patterns, and levels are based on personal study and historical data available from public sources such as TradingView and NSE India.
Position Status: No active position in TVSMOTOR at the time of publication.
Trading and investing involve risk. Market movements can be unpredictable, and losses may exceed invested capital.
Readers are strongly advised to consult a SEBI-registered investment adviser before making any trading or investment decisions.
By engaging with this post, you acknowledge that you take full responsibility for your own trades, decisions, and outcomes.
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#NIFTY Intraday Support and Resistance Levels - 17/10/2025Nifty is likely to open with a gap up near the 25,550–25,600 zone, continuing the strong bullish momentum from the previous session. The index has broken out of its recent consolidation zone, indicating buyer strength and potential continuation toward higher levels.
If Nifty sustains above 25,600–25,650, we may witness a further rally toward 25,700, 25,750, and 25,850+ levels. A breakout above 25,750 will further strengthen the bullish trend, opening the path toward 25,900–25,950+.
On the downside, immediate support lies near 25,450–25,400. A drop below this zone could lead to a mild retracement toward 25,350, 25,300, and 25,250 levels.
Overall, the sentiment remains strongly bullish with a gap up opening, but traders should stay alert near upper resistance zones as short-term profit booking may occur. Maintaining a trailing stop loss and booking partial profits at key targets is advisable to safeguard gains.
[INTRADAY] #BANKNIFTY PE & CE Levels(17/10/2025)Bank Nifty is likely to open with a gap up near the 57,400–57,450 zone, indicating continued bullish momentum from the previous session. The index is approaching a crucial resistance area, and today’s price action will determine whether bulls can extend control or if a short-term pullback emerges.
If Bank Nifty sustains above 57,550–57,600, we may witness a further rally toward 57,750, 57,850, and 57,950+. A breakout above 58,000 will confirm strong bullish momentum, opening the path for higher upside levels.
On the downside, immediate support lies near 57,400–57,350. A fall below this zone could lead to a mild correction toward 57,250, 57,150, and 57,050 levels.
Overall, the sentiment remains positive with a gap up opening, but traders should stay cautious around the 57,550–57,600 resistance zone, where some profit booking may occur. Maintaining a trailing stop loss and booking partial profits at key levels is recommended to safeguard gains in case of intraday reversals.
Britannia - Smart Money Accumulation | Falling Channel Breakout________________________________________
🍪 BRITANNIA INDUSTRIES LTD
Ticker: NSE: BRITANNIA | Sector: FMCG | CMP: 6,025.50 | Rating: ⚡️ Bullish Bias Emerging
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🧭 Chart Summary
This chart of Britannia Industries Ltd (NSE) highlights a bullish breakout from a falling channel pattern after a prolonged period of controlled decline and consolidation.
The stock closed near 6,025.50, up +2.87%, forming a strong green candle backed by solid volume, signalling renewed buying strength.
The breakout above the channel’s upper trendline suggests a potential reversal of the short-term downtrend and the beginning of a new upward leg.
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🟡 Technical Indicators Summary
The chart highlights bullish momentum supported by a strong bullish candle, indicating renewed buying interest.
A clear RSI breakout confirms strengthening momentum, while the Bollinger Band Squeeze-On Compression suggests volatility had tightened — often a precursor to a sharp directional move.
The recent liquidity sweep below key support appears to have trapped weak hands, fuelling this sharp rebound. Altogether, this setup reflects a bullish breakout zone where multiple indicators align in favour of buyers.
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📊 Multi-Timeframe Trend View
The trend matrix shows 5m, 15m, 1H, 1W, and 1M all turning green (uptrend).
The daily is the only timeframe yet to flip, suggesting momentum is building and a daily trend alignment could soon confirm a broader upmove.
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📈 Indicator Overview
RSI (56.9): Indicates moderate bullish strength — momentum is picking up.
MACD (-11.07): Still slightly negative but flattening, hinting at an upcoming bullish crossover.
CCI (27.3): Recovering from oversold territory, confirming a trend shift attempt.
Stochastic (94.2): Overbought zone — reflects strong short-term momentum, though minor pauses may occur.
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🧩 Market Context
This pattern represents accumulation under resistance, commonly seen before strong breakouts in large-cap defensive stocks.
Given Britannia’s FMCG positioning, the move may also tie into a sector rotation play, as investors gravitate toward defensive sectors amid volatility in the broader markets.
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💹 STWP Trade Analysis
Bullish Breakout Level: 6,041
Support Structure:
Intraday Support: 5,970 → Minor retest zone
Swing Support: 5,852 → Major trend-defining level
Intermediate Support: 5,776 → Key positional base
Key Levels (Subject to Daily Change):
Support: 5,909 / 5,792 / 5,726
Resistance: 6,091 / 6,157 / 6,274
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🎓 STWP Learning
A falling channel breakout often signals that selling pressure has gradually weakened and smart money has started accumulating at lower levels.
When this pattern combines with rising volume and momentum indicators turning positive, it reflects a shift from distribution to accumulation.
Traders should note that confirmation above the breakout zone — ideally supported by volume — adds conviction to the move and reduces the risk of a false breakout.
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⚠️ Disclosure & Disclaimer (SEBI-Compliant)
This content is created solely for educational and informational purposes to help readers understand technical analysis and market structure.
It does not constitute investment advice, research recommendation, or a solicitation to buy or sell any security.
The author is not a SEBI-registered investment adviser or research analyst.
All charts, patterns, and levels are based on personal study and historical data available from public sources such as TradingView and NSE India.
Position Status: No active position in BRITANNIA at the time of publication.
Trading and investing involve risk. Market movements can be unpredictable, and losses may exceed invested capital.
Readers are strongly advised to consult a SEBI-registered investment adviser before making any trading or investment decisions.
By engaging with this post, you acknowledge that you take full responsibility for your own trades, decisions, and outcomes.
________________________________________
💬 Found this useful?
🔼 Boost this post to support structured learning content.
✍️ Share your thoughts, questions, or observations — let’s grow together!
🔁 Share with learners and traders to promote responsible market education.
👉 “If you liked this breakdown, follow for more disciplined, educational trade setups.”
🚀 Stay Calm. Stay Clean. Trade With Patience.
Trade Smart | Learn Zones | Be Self-Reliant 📊
#NIFTY Intraday Support and Resistance Levels - 16/10/2025Nifty is expected to open with a gap up near the 25,320–25,350 zone, reflecting bullish sentiment and continuation of positive momentum. The index is currently trading within a consolidation zone between 25,200 and 25,550, indicating accumulation before a possible breakout.
If Nifty sustains above 25,350 and crosses 25,550 decisively, a breakout move could trigger a rally toward 25,650, 25,700, and 25,750+.
On the downside, immediate support lies near 25,250–25,200. A breakdown below 25,200 may bring weakness toward 25,100, 25,050, and 25,000-.
Overall, the sentiment is mildly bullish with a gap up opening, but traders should be cautious near 25,550 — the upper band of the consolidation. Breakout confirmation above this zone will likely lead to fresh long opportunities, while failure could result in a range-bound session.
XAUUSD // Liquidity Grab // ATH# Gold Spot / U.S. Dollar - Liquidity Analysis
Market Structure Analysis
Key Liquidity Zones Identified
The chart highlights two critical liquidity zones where significant price action is anticipated:
**Upper Liquidity Zone: $4,212 - $4,219**
This zone represents an area of accumulated buy-side liquidity, typically formed by stop-losses from short positions and buy-stop orders. The red shaded area indicates where institutional players may target for liquidity capture before potential reversals.
**Lower Liquidity Zone: $4,157 - $4,162**
This zone marks the sell-side liquidity area, where stop-losses from long positions and sell-stop orders cluster. This level serves as a potential magnet for price action seeking to capture liquidity before any significant directional move.
Technical Setup
**Channel Pattern**
Gold is currently trading within a well-defined ascending channel on the intraday timeframe. The parallel trend lines show:
- Consistent higher highs and higher lows
- Price currently positioned in the mid-range of the channel
- Recent bounce from the lower channel boundary
**Demand Zone**
A marked demand zone is visible at lower levels, indicating previous buying interest and potential support.
Price Action Scenarios
Bullish Scenario (Green Path):
If price maintains support at current levels or the lower demand zone, we could see:
1. Continuation toward the upper liquidity zone ($4,219)
2. Potential liquidity sweep above this zone
3. Possible rejection after capturing buy-side liquidity
Bearish Scenario (Red Path):
If price fails to hold current structure:
1. Drop toward the lower liquidity zone ($4,162)
2. Liquidity grab below this level
3. Potential reversal after capturing sell-side liquidity
#Liquidity Concept
The annotation "Liquidity !!!!!!" emphasizes the importance of these zones. In institutional trading theory, price often moves to areas of high liquidity (where stop-losses cluster) before making significant directional moves. This is commonly referred to as a "liquidity sweep" or "stop hunt."
Trading Considerations
When price approaches either liquidity zone, traders should watch for:
- Rejection wicks suggesting liquidity capture completion
- Break and retest patterns for confirmation
- Changes in momentum indicators
Risk Management Notes
- The 5-minute timeframe requires precise execution and tight risk management
- Liquidity zones can be quickly swept through in volatile conditions
- Always use appropriate position sizing relative to account risk tolerance
- Consider wider timeframe context for overall trend direction
Disclaimer
This analysis is provided for educational purposes only and represents a technical perspective on price structure and liquidity zones.
It is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell. Gold trading involves substantial risk of loss. Always conduct your own research, use proper risk management, and consider consulting with a qualified financial advisor before making trading decisions.
Don’t Miss This Rare MCX Setup Breakout + Retest= Big Move AheadHello Traders!
Today’s analysis is on MCX Ltd., where we just spotted a powerful Descending Triangle Breakout . After weeks of consolidation, the price has finally broken the falling resistance and even retested the breakout zone. This setup often leads to a strong trending move.
Why this setup is special?
Price respected support multiple times, showing heavy demand from lower levels.
Breakout + Retest makes it one of the most reliable continuation patterns.
Risk–Reward is highly favorable for both short-term and positional traders.
Levels to Track:
Currently, the best accumulation zone lies between 8000–8155 , which gives a low-risk entry point. On the upside, the immediate short-term target is around 8446 , while the medium-term level aligns with the previous ATH near 9115 . If momentum sustains, the stock even has potential to reach the positional target of 9774 . For risk management, traders can keep a short to medium-term stop loss at 7788 , while positional traders may consider a wider SL at 7522 .
Rahul’s Tip:
Such breakouts don’t come often. Once the retest is done, the real rally usually begins. Traders who wait too long often end up chasing the move at much higher prices.
If you want to catch these setups before they take off, make sure you follow closely — (Analysis By @TraderRahulPal, TradingView Moderator). More analysis & educational content is shared regularly on my profile. Sometimes one breakout can change your trading month completely. If this helped you, don’t forget to like and follow for regular updates.
Disclaimer:
This analysis is for educational purposes only and should not be taken as financial advice. Please do your own research or consult your financial advisor before investing.
#NIFTY Intraday Support and Resistance Levels - 15/10/2025Nifty is likely to open slightly gap up near the 25,150–25,200 zone, indicating a cautious positive sentiment in the market. After recent consolidation, the index continues to trade between well-defined support and resistance levels, suggesting indecision among traders.
If Nifty sustains above 25,250, it may trigger a bullish momentum toward 25,350, 25,400, and 25,450+. A breakout above 25,450 could further strengthen the uptrend.
On the downside, a fall below 25,200 may invite selling pressure, leading the index toward 25,100, 25,050, and 25,000-.
Overall, the trend remains range-bound with a slight bullish bias. Traders should focus on breakout or breakdown confirmation before taking positions, keeping a strict stop loss and booking partial profits at each target level.
[INTRADAY] #BANKNIFTY PE & CE Levels(15/10/2025)Bank Nifty is expected to open flat near the 56,450–56,500 zone, reflecting indecision after recent range-bound sessions. The index has been oscillating within a narrow band, indicating consolidation between key support and resistance levels.
If Bank Nifty sustains above 56,550–56,600, a breakout may push the index toward 56,750, 56,850, and 56,950+. A close above 56,950 will strengthen the bullish sentiment and open the path toward 57,200+.
On the downside, support lies near 56,450–56,400. A breakdown below this zone could trigger mild selling pressure, dragging the index toward 56,250, 56,150, and 56,050-.
Overall, the trend remains neutral with slight bullish bias. Traders should wait for confirmation beyond 56,600 or below 56,400 before taking directional trades. Maintaining a strict stop loss and partial profit booking at each target is advisable due to intraday volatility.
BTC – Building Discounted Longs Before the Breakout?Bitcoin (BTCUSD) is currently consolidating within a tight compression zone, showing signs of accumulation near 114.8K–115.4K . The market is coiling up right under resistance, hinting that a potential breakout could be around the corner.
As seen on the chart, structure remains bullish with a well-defined base and higher low formation. The key breakout confirmation lies above 115.4K , which could trigger a momentum push toward 117.8K , aligning with previous swing projections.
However, I’m personally building a small discounted entry position even before the confirmed breakout. The reason? When momentum starts expanding, it rarely gives clean entries, so catching early positioning near support provides better R:R potential.
RSI is holding above the midline, reflecting sustained buyer strength, while volume compression suggests a volatility expansion phase ahead. If price manages to sustain above the upper trendline, expect quick upside continuation.
Stop-loss remains below 113.6K to stay protected against fakeouts.
Rahul’s Tip:
Smart money often positions early when the crowd hesitates — timing matters, but conviction matters more.
Analysis By @TraderRahulPal (TradingView Moderator)
If this helped you spot the setup early, like and follow for more real-market insights.
Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only and should not be taken as financial advice. Please do your own research or consult your financial advisor before investing.
[INTRADAY] #BANKNIFTY PE & CE Levels(14/10/2025)Bank Nifty is expected to open flat around the 56,600 level, indicating a balanced start after yesterday’s range-bound movement. The index is currently consolidating within a narrow band, reflecting indecision among traders as it approaches key resistance and support zones.
If Bank Nifty sustains above 56,550–56,600, a bullish breakout may trigger a move toward 56,750, 56,850, and 56,950+. A strong close above 56,950 will confirm a continuation of the uptrend toward 57,200+.
On the downside, immediate support lies near 56,450–56,400. A breakdown below this zone could lead to mild profit-booking, taking the index lower toward 56,250, 56,150, and 56,050-.
Overall, the market sentiment remains cautiously positive with a focus on consolidation. Traders should wait for a breakout beyond 56,600 or a breakdown below 56,400 for clear intraday direction, keeping strict stop-losses in place.
Sniping the Next BUY Zone for Maximum Gains.The sentiment is clear: Bulls are running the show, preparing for potentially an eighth consecutive weekly gain. Our strategy is simple—wait for the intelligent retest to join the momentum.
🎯 THE TARGET ZONES (M30/H1)
We're focusing on the two most crucial zones derived from Fibo React Logic:
1. PRIME BUY ENTRY (The Sweet Spot):
Zone: 4018 - 4014 (Our key Fibo Retest Zone).
Action: Wait for Gold to pull back to this area. Execute a BUY (Long) only upon confirmed M30/H1 candle rejection (e.g., Bullish Engulfing/Pin Bar).
2. TAKE PROFIT TARGET (The Next Peak):
Zone: 4094 - 4098 (Fibo Extension/SELL React Zone).
Action: This is the primary TP for our Long entries, representing the next major target for the buyers.
📈 TRADING SCENARIO
Strategy: Patience is key. Let the market retrace to 4018 - 4014. Once confirmation hits, ride the wave up to 4094 - 4098.
🚨 Risk Alert:
Be disciplined with your Stop Loss. Maintain strict risk management, especially if the price fails to hold the 4018 - 4014 zone.
Let's trade with precision today!






















