Bank Nifty – “Approaching the Edge: Will 58K Hold or Fold?”Date: October 12, 2025
Current Price: ₹56,609.75
Bias: 🔼 Short-Term Bullish, 🔽 Medium-Term Cautious
Market Snapshot
Bank Nifty continues its upward march, closing at 56,609.75. The index is nearing a critical resistance zone around 58,000 to 58,800, which aligns with October’s forecast high. Momentum remains positive, but traders should be alert for signs of exhaustion or reversal.
Key Technical Levels
Support 1: ₹55,835 Strong base from recent consolidation
Support 2: ₹55,300 (Monthly forecast low at 53,000)
Resistance 1: ₹57,200 - 57,650 (Cup & Handle and Fib Targets ceiling)
Resistance 2: ₹58,100 – 58,800 (Forecast high and psychological barrier)
Trade Setup
Bullish Play
Entry: ₹56,650–₹56,800 (post-breakout confirmation)
Target 1: ₹57,200
Target 2: ₹58,800
Stop Loss: ₹55,700
Bearish Contingency
Entry: Below ₹55,700
Target: ₹54,500
Stop Loss: ₹56,200
Strategy Notes
Cup & Handle breakout aligns with Fibonacci extensions and forecast highs
Watch for reversal signals near ₹58,000 to 58,800 zone
Banking earnings, RBI commentary, and global bond yields are key catalysts
USDINR and Nifty 50 correlation may influence sentiment
Watch for rejection near ₹58,800 zone — potential for profit booking
Conclusion
Bank Nifty has triggered a textbook Cup & Handle breakout on the 1H chart. With Fibonacci targets pointing toward ₹58,800, bulls have a clear runway — but volatility may spike near forecast highs. Stay tactical, trail stops, and ride the wave.
Technical Analysis
GOLD: The Dollar Blinks! Time to 'Pay' at the 0.618 Fibo (4018) The Macro Play: USD Retreat Sets the Stage for Gold's Counter-Attack
The precious metal is catching a bid as the US Dollar softens after hitting its recent highs. The fundamental backdrop is keeping Gold buoyant:
Fed Pivot Narrative: Despite the hawkish undertones in the last FOMC meeting minutes, the market's conviction in two potential Fed rate cuts by year-end remains a powerful tailwind, making non-yielding Gold more attractive.
Geopolitical Fog: While the short-term truce news caused a minor retreat, the overarching safe-haven demand driven by global tensions and the looming US government funding crisis provides critical floor support.
Bottom Line: Gold is navigating a choppy consolidation phase. Short-term pressure exists, but the Long-Term Macro Thesis favors a cautious recovery.
📊 The MatrixFibo PTKT: SCALP Zones Are Active!
Price action shows clear reaction points within the recent sharp move lower. Our plan is to Trade the Reactions at these high-probability confluence zones.
1️⃣ The Aggressive SELL Zone (SELL SCALP Setup)
We are looking for the market to exhaust its short-term recovery rally at major resistance levels.
Primary SELL ZONE: 3997 - 4000 (0.5 Fibo Level):
This area is critical psychological resistance and the 50% retracement of the latest impulse down.
PLAN: Await a failed breakout or clear bearish rejection signal (Pinbar, Bearish Engulfing) at 3997 - 4000.
TARGET: The move should aim to clear the lows, heading straight for 3915 - 3910.
The Ultimate SELL Reversal: 4014 - 4018 (0.618 Fibo Downtrend Zone):
This is the REACTION FIBO 0.618 DOWNTREND H1 ZONE. This level is our strongest strategic SELL point if the bounce extends deeper.
2️⃣ The Key BUY Zone (BUY SCALP Setup)
We treat this area as the final line of defense for the current uptrend structure.
Key Support & BUY SCALP REACT ZONE: 3915 - 3910:
This zone is a Major Confluence point: Key Support, the 0.786 Fibo, and the Uptrend Channel Bottom.
PLAN: Look for strong buying pressure to emerge as price tests 3915 - 3910. Requires a solid Bullish Price Action Confirmation.
TARGET: A successful bounce targets the liquidity back at 3997 - 4000.
🛑 FranCis MatrixFibo Risk Policy
Volatility Alert: Expect large swings around US data and Fed commentary. NEVER TRADE WITHOUT A HARD STOP LOSS (SL) on SCALPS.
Strategy Focus: The market is range-bound. Stick to a Two-Sided Scalping Plan defined by the identified price levels.
Discipline: Only enter trades at or with clear confirmation from the React Zones.
Bitcoin Correction = Smart Money Opportunity, ready for 3% move!Bitcoin (BTCUSDT) has been consolidating inside a well-defined descending channel , reflecting a healthy correction phase after the recent rally. While many traders panic in these phases, experienced players know that corrections are temporary, structures define direction.
Notice how price is approaching a key zone between 117K–116K, which aligns perfectly with both the lower channel boundary and the prior breakout retest zone. This area acts as a high-probability reversal zone , where strong hands are likely waiting for confirmation candles to re-enter the trend.
Psychologically, the 120K round level remains crucial. Expect volatility near this zone, as retail traders get trapped while smart money positions itself quietly before the breakout.
Once the breakout sustains above 121K, short-term traders could target levels around 122.5K–123K , while positional traders may aim for much higher structural targets.
Rahul’s Tip:
Never fear a pullback when structure stays intact, institutions use these dips to accumulate while the public exits too early. Stay patient, let the structure play out.
Analysis By @TraderRahulPal (TradingView Moderator)
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Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only and should not be taken as financial advice. Please do your own research or consult your financial advisor before investing.
SOL | Network Strength Meets Market MomentumSolana (SOLUSDT) continues to show resilience as both technical and fundamental factors align for potential upside. On the technical side, the market has completed a controlled correction phase, suggesting liquidity buildup below recent lows. The structure remains bullish, with increasing volume and price stability hinting that buyers are regaining control. Fundamentally, Solana’s network growth and strong developer activity have reinforced investor confidence, supported by rising on-chain activity and ecosystem expansion in DeFi and NFTs. This combination of solid fundamentals and technical structure indicates the possibility of another bullish leg, with SOL positioning itself for a gradual climb toward the $240–$250 range in the near term.
DXY Ready for Next Bullish Leg After Liquidity SweepDollar Index maintaining bullish structure after recent BOS on 3H timeframe.Market formed consolidation phase early October before expansion.Buyers showing control pushing price towards 100.57 objective.Current retracement indicates liquidity grab before next bullish impulse.Demand zone 98.50–98.80 remains key area for continuation.Technical sentiment stays positive as long as price holds above 98.50.Fundamentally, dollar supported by strong U.S. data and cautious global tone favoring safe-haven demand.Momentum outlook remains bullish with potential continuation toward 100.50+ zone.
#NIFTY Intraday Support and Resistance Levels - 10/10/2025Nifty is expected to open flat around the 25,150–25,200 zone, indicating a neutral start after recent sessions of consolidation. The index is trading near a crucial resistance area, suggesting that traders may wait for a breakout before committing to fresh positions.
If Nifty sustains above 25,000–25,050, it can gradually move higher toward 25,100, 25,150, and 25,200 levels. A breakout above 25,250 will further strengthen the bullish momentum, paving the way for an extended rally toward 25,350–25,450+.
On the downside, immediate support lies near 24,950. A breakdown below this level may invite short-term selling pressure, pushing the index toward 24,850, 24,800, and 24,750-.
Overall, the sentiment remains range-bound with a slight bullish bias. Traders should wait for a confirmed move beyond 25,250 or below 24,950 for directional clarity, keeping strict stop-loss levels in place for intraday trades.
[INTRADAY] #BANKNIFTY PE & CE Levels(10/10/2025)Bank Nifty is expected to open flat to slightly positive near the 56,150 level. The index has been consolidating within a tight range between 55,950 and 56,450 over the past few sessions, indicating indecision among traders ahead of a potential breakout.
A sustained move above 56,050–56,100 could lead to further upside momentum toward 56,250, 56,350, and 56,450+. If Bank Nifty manages to break and hold above 56,550, it can open the door for a strong rally toward 56,750–56,950+.
On the downside, a slip below 55,950–55,900 may trigger selling pressure, dragging the index toward 55,750, 55,650, and 55,550-.
Overall, the short-term trend remains sideways with a slight bullish bias. A breakout above 56,450 or a breakdown below 55,950 will likely decide the next directional move. Traders should stay patient and trade only on confirmation beyond these key levels.
Bitcoin – Rising Higher, But the Real Battle Is Yet to Begin!Bitcoin continues to trade inside a rising structure , respecting both its long-term support and resistance channels. The trend remains healthy as long as price holds above the 116,000–116,500 support zone , which has been tested multiple times with strong buying reactions.
Currently, BTC is approaching a major resistance confluence zone . The chart clearly shows that every previous rejection near this zone has led to profit-booking, but this time the structure looks different, buyers are more confident, and momentum is building from the base levels .
If Bitcoin manages to sustain above the minor resistance area , the road opens towards 131,500 levels and beyond . However, traders should remember, such breakouts demand patience, not prediction. The stronger hands will always think in cycles, not candles .
The psychology of the market here is simple: every pullback to the rising support attracts accumulation by smart money , while emotional traders exit too early. This phase often separates investors from speculators.
Rahul’s Tip : Don’t fear the dips. Fear missing the structure that defines the entire bull leg. If the support holds, this could be the foundation of the next major BTC wave.
Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only and should not be taken as financial advice. Please do your own research or consult your financial advisor before investing.
Analysis By @TraderRahulPal (TradingView Moderator) | More analysis & educational content on my profile
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Waree Renewable Technologies Ltd: Chart ObservationThe daily chart for Waree Renewable Technologies Ltd (NSE) highlights a period of price consolidation over 59 trading sessions (86 days), during which approximately 55.75 million shares were traded. The stock has displayed movement within a defined range, bounded by a long-term trendline resistance and an ascending support line, forming a narrowing price channel.
Trendlines: A descending resistance line has guided price limitations, while an ascending support line maintained the base
Volatility: Periods of expansion and contraction in daily price bars reflect shifting volatility and trading sentiment
Volume Analysis: The consolidation phase saw steady volume with periodic surges
This setup provides a useful illustration of how price compressions and trends appear on technical charts, helping learners recognize phases of accumulation, resistance, and support.
Disclaimer: This post is intended for educational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Markets are subject to risk and unpredictable movements; investors should consult financial advisors and perform their own research before making any investing decisions.
TATA STEEL Tata Steel has been facing resistance near 159 level.
It gave BO and also re-tested it. Today we can see there is good volume, there is probability of an upside move.
Keep eyes on it.
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KIMSKIMS - Price action is Bullish.
The stock gave a breakout above the ₹700–710 zone earlier.
Recently, it came down for a retest and respected that support level.
EMA Structure
Price is trading above all key EMAs (20, 50, 100, 200), also above 200ema for the last 4months.
This alignment shows a healthy uptrend and strong momentum.
Volume
On 8th Aug, there was a big red candle with slightly higher-than-average volume. It looked like profit booking or short-term panic selling, not a genuine trend reversal.
If the fall was real distribution, we would have seen more follow-up red candles with heavy volume. But instead, after that day, volume picked up on the upside, showing buyers absorbed the selling pressure and defended the support.
Price is trying to bounce back after retesting.
One must use the SL.
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HINDZINCHINDZINC
Stock looks good, constantly moving above all key EMAs from a last couple of sessions, especially sustaining above 20ema.
Tight contraction near resistance area, a breakout from here may give a good upside move.
Keep it in your watchlist for paper trades.
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[INTRADAY] #BANKNIFTY PE & CE Levels(09/10/2025)Bank Nifty is likely to open with a gap-up around the 56,000 level, continuing its bullish tone from the previous sessions. The index is trading within a defined range, with 55,950 acting as immediate support and 56,450 as a key resistance zone.
If Bank Nifty sustains above 56,050–56,100 after opening, it may trigger a fresh upside move toward 56,250, 56,350, and 56,450+. A breakout above 56,450 will further strengthen the momentum and can extend the rally toward 56,750–56,950+.
On the downside, if the index slips below 55,950–55,900, selling pressure may emerge, leading to a decline toward 55,750, 55,650, and 55,550-.
Overall, the bias remains positive with a gap-up opening, but traders should monitor price action near the 56,450 resistance zone. A breakout on either side will decide the next directional move — bullish above 56,450 and bearish below 55,900.
XAUUSD: Golden Surge at $4,035 — Breakout or Blow-Off Top?Summary
Gold has shattered previous highs, now hovering around $4,035. Is this a breakout with legs—or the final push before a correction? This idea blends macro catalysts with multi-timeframe technical analysis to guide your next move.
Macro Context
Geopolitical Risk: Safe-haven flows intensify amid global instability.
USD Weakness: Fed rate cut expectations and political gridlock weigh on the dollar.
Inflation Hedge: Gold remains the go-to asset as central banks turn dovish.
Technical Breakdown
Weekly Chart
Trend: Strong bullish momentum
MACD: Bullish crossover
RSI: Near 70 — overbought zone, but not extreme
4H Chart
Support Zones: $3,872 (21-SMA), $3,820 (50-SMA), $3,753 (100-SMA)
Resistance Zones: $4,050 (psychological), $4,100 (extension target)
Trade Setup
Bias: Bullish with caution
Entry: On pullback to $3,872 or $3,820
Stop Loss: Below $3,750
Target 1: $4,050
Target 2: $4,100
Educational Angle
This idea demonstrates:
How to trade breakouts near ATHs
Using SMA clusters for dynamic support
Combining macro and technical for high-conviction setups
GOLD M30 – Bulls Defend $4,000, Eyes on 4,100+Gold’s historic surge above the $4,000 psychological barrier is now consolidating, with buyers defending the 3996$ support (Fibo 0.618 reaction). The structure remains bullish, while intraday traders are eyeing the next reaction zones for both continuation and scalp opportunities.
📊 Technical Levels to Watch (Fibo Matrix – M30)
3996$ Support Zone: Breakout retest + Fibo 0.618 → must-hold for bulls.
4018 – 4020: First intraday resistance, potential short-term reaction.
4043$: Expansion-based psychological barrier.
406x – 407x: Key SELL Reaction Zone (Fibo 1.5 – 1.618) → scalp rejection likely.
4095$+: Upper liquidity expansion, next major target if momentum extends.
🎯 Francis Trade Plan
✅ BUY Setup:
Entry: 3996 – 4000 zone.
Targets: 4018 → 4043 → 406x.
SL: Below 3984.
⚠️ SELL Setup (Short-term scalp only):
Entry: 406x – 407x reaction.
Targets: 4020 → 4000.
SL: Above 4096.
🔑 Francis View
The breakout at $4,000 signals strength, and bulls still dominate.
👉 Dips into 3996 support remain attractive BUY opportunities.
👉 Short-term scalpers can prepare for reaction SELLs around 406x – 407x.
📌 Bias: Bullish above $3996 – 4,100 zone remains the next liquidity magnet.
[INTRADAY] #BANKNIFTY PE & CE Levels(08/10/2025)Bank Nifty is expected to open flat near the 56,200 level after a strong rally in the previous sessions. The index has been consolidating within a narrow range, suggesting a pause before the next directional move.
On the upside, a sustained move above 56,450–56,500 could trigger a bullish breakout, leading to an upside toward 56,650, 56,850, and 56,950+. A breakout above 56,950 will further strengthen the bullish momentum and may push the index toward new short-term highs.
On the downside, immediate support lies around 56,050–55,950. A breakdown below this zone may lead to mild selling pressure, dragging the index toward 55,750, 55,650, and 55,550-.
Overall, the sentiment remains cautiously positive. Traders should wait for a confirmed breakout or breakdown from the current consolidation zone before initiating fresh positions, while maintaining strict stop-loss levels.
#NIFTY Intraday Support and Resistance Levels - 07/10/2025Nifty is likely to open with a gap-up around the 25,100 level, continuing its strong upward momentum from the previous sessions. The index has shown consistent higher lows, indicating strong buying interest and a positive undertone in the market.
If Nifty sustains above 25,050–25,100, it can extend the rally toward 25,150, 25,200, and 25,250+. A breakout above 25,250 will further strengthen the bullish trend, potentially leading to higher targets near 25,350–25,450+.
On the downside, immediate support is placed at 24,950–24,900. A breakdown below this zone may invite mild profit booking, taking the index lower toward 24,850 and 24,750-.
Overall, the sentiment remains bullish with a gap-up opening, and traders should look for buying opportunities on dips while maintaining a strict stop-loss below 24,900 for intraday setups.
[INTRADAY] #BANKNIFTY PE & CE Levels(07/10/2025)Bank Nifty is expected to open with a gap-up near the 56,100 level, continuing its recent bullish momentum. The index has been forming higher highs and higher lows, indicating strong buying interest from lower levels.
If Bank Nifty sustains above 56,050–56,100, it could extend its upside move toward 56,250, 56,350, and 56,450+. A breakout above 56,650 will likely trigger a stronger rally, pushing the index toward 56,850–56,950+ levels in the short term.
On the downside, immediate support is placed around 55,950–55,900. A drop below this zone may lead to some intraday profit booking, taking the index toward 55,750, 55,650, and 55,550-.
Overall, the sentiment remains positive with a gap-up opening, but traders should stay cautious near resistance levels and manage positions with strict stop-losses. The bias remains bullish as long as the index holds above 55,900.
Monthly Market Regime: Supply-to-Demand Shift Framed by ParallelTheme 1: Regime Shift
A prior supply pocket has matured into a demand base as monthly closes repeatedly sustained above the zone
Theme 2: Channel Governance
A clean, supportive parallel channel has developed; price has been guided by its rails, offering objective context for expansion and contraction phases on the higher timeframe
Theme 3: Higher Highs, Higher Lows
Successive higher highs align with the channel’s upper boundary acting as dynamic headwinds, while higher lows respect the supportive green line, preserving trend health.
Theme 4: Counter Trendline (CT)
The white CT outlines the corrective path within the advance, visually separating pullback structure from primary momentum
Disclaimer: Technical analysis provides probability-based insights. Always implement proper risk management and consider multiple timeframe confirmations before executing trades.
XRP Breaks Above $3 – Bullish Momentum BuildsOverview:
XRP has officially closed the week above the $3 mark, a psychological resistance now turning into support. This is a major technical shift suggesting renewed bullish control.
🔑 Key Levels to Watch:
Support: $3.00
Short-Term Target: $3.20
Major Resistance / Magnet: $3.60 (All-Time High)
📊 Market Structure:
XRP appears to be breaking out of a consolidation zone between $2.70 and $3.00. This range held for several weeks, and a clean breakout could fuel a strong continuation toward previous highs.
🐂 Bullish Scenario:
Continued higher highs with volume could open the path to $3.20 and eventually $3.60.
A successful retest of the $3 level as support would further validate the breakout.
⚠️ Risk Note:
Watch for any fakeouts or low-volume rallies. A drop below $3 would negate the breakout and put the $2.70 support back in play.
📅 Outlook:
With Q4 2025 underway, a rally toward the ATH at $3.60 could be driven by both technical momentum and market sentiment.
💬 What’s your take? Are we heading for a new ATH this quarter?
📌 #XRP #Crypto #Altcoins #Breakout #TechnicalAnalysis #Q4Outlook
Cholafin Long - Investment Ideas & AnalysisTechnical Analysis : Cholamandalam Investment and Finance Co. Ltd.
Current Price: 1,610.30
Multi-Timeframe Technical Analysis
Weekly Timeframe Pattern
The stock has formed a **Cup and Handle** pattern on the weekly chart, which is traditionally considered a bullish continuation pattern. This pattern suggests potential accumulation and a possible breakout scenario.
Daily Timeframe Analysis
On the daily chart, a * *Bullish Pennant* * formation has developed, indicating consolidation after a strong upward move. This pattern typically suggests continuation of the prior trend once a breakout occurs.
Key Technical Levels
Fibonacci Retracement Levels:
- 0 Level: ₹1,491.20
- 0.5 Level: ₹1,567.70 (approximate support zone)
- 0.618 Level: ₹1,595.45 (golden ratio support)
- 1 Level: ₹1,644.20
- 1.272 Level: ₹1,685.80
- 1.414 Level: ₹1,707.55
Current Price Action:
The stock is trading near ₹1,610.30, positioned between the 0.618 and 1.0 Fibonacci levels, suggesting a mid-range consolidation zone.
Upside Targets
If the bullish patterns play out and the stock breaks above recent resistance:
- **Primary Target:** Based on the Fibonacci extension, the measured move suggests potential toward ₹1,685-₹1,708 range
- **Pattern Target:** The Cup and Handle height projection aligns with Fibonacci extension levels
Support Analysis
- **Immediate Support:** ₹1,595-₹1,600 zone (0.618 Fibonacci level)
- **Strong Support:** ₹1,567 region (0.5 Fibonacci level)
- **Major Support:** ₹1,491 (pattern base/0 level)
With Nifty made a Bounce back and if the rally continues, adds advantage for the stock to break previous resistance." This highlights the **correlation with broader market sentiment** (Nifty index), suggesting the stock's performance may be influenced by overall market conditions.
Swing Trading Perspective
For short-term traders, the Cup and Handle height provides a **measured move target**. However, confirmation of breakout above resistance with volume would be essential before entry.
**Disclaimer:** This is a technical analysis based on chart patterns and historical price action. This is not financial advice. Traders should conduct their own research, consider risk management strategies, and consult with financial advisors before making trading decisions. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
NAM_INDIA (NIPPON L I A M LTD)NAM_INDIA looks good.
It has re-tested the resistance, and seems to be ready for another upside move.
Must use the SL.
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