Waiting for new developmentsGold (XAU/USD) prices defended the previous weekly recovery, for the first time in five weeks, as it rallied for the second day in a row amid broad-based US Dollar weakness. Also, the strength for the XAU/USD rally is cautious optimism in the market, as well as falling Treasury yields.
It is worth noting that the US Dollar Index (DXY) encourages reliance on Fed policymakers' data and the recent mixed US data, as well as the continued decline in interest rates. US Treasury yields from multi-year highs marked last week.
Technicalindicators
Gold suddenly exploded violentlyGold prices traded actively for the fourth day in a row on Thursday and are currently hovering just below the $1,920 region, or near a two-week high hit the previous day. However, XAU/USD lacks bullish confidence, needing caution before continuing the recent bounce from the $1,885 region or the lowest since March 13 and hitting this week's top.
Amid worsening economic conditions in China, a series of manufacturing surveys released on Wednesday painted a bleak picture of the health of the global economy. Furthermore, dismal macro data for the United States (US) showed that business activity in the country with the largest economy in the world approached the point of stagnation in August.
Gold is still around 1920Gold prices traded near $1,915 per troy ounce during the Asian session on Monday, extending last week's gains. The recent drop in the US Treasury bond yields (US) helped push the yellow metal to recover. Additionally, moderate US economic data released last week along with mixed statements from major central bank officials at the Jackson Hole Symposium, underpinned Gold prices.
With that said, U.S. Durable Goods Orders in July fell 5.2% from the market consensus of 4%, ranging from 4.4% in June. However, Initial Jobless Claims showed favorable employment conditions, raising concerns about the US inflation scenario. For the week ending Aug. 18, the index fell to 230K from 240K previously, which is expected to remain steady.
Gold prediction for the new weekGold (XAU/USD) is marking an unimpressive start to the week trading around $1,890, after having fallen for the past four weeks in a row. With that said, Gold prices are filling the gap at their lowest levels since March while struggling to gain traction amid the market's cautious mood ahead of this week's top data/events. However, a stronger US Dollar will put downward pressure on XAU/USD even if technical analysis signals a corrective rally.
The US Dollar Index (DXY) has been rising for the past five weeks in a row and is affecting the Gold Price.
Gold is recovering slightlyGold prices edged up slightly higher and attempted to continue their gains on Tuesday. XAU/USD hovers around $1,900/troy ounce during the Asian session on Wednesday, having found signs of recovery after 4 consecutive weeks of default losses despite a firmer US Dollar (USD).
However, growing risk aversion and concerns about the Chinese economy are weighing on Gold prices. These factors can impact the total action value.
The US Dollar Index (DXY), which measures the greenback's performance, therefore, for the six major currencies, picked up resilience on Tuesday and ended the day with gains. At the time of writing, DXY is hovering around the 103.50 level. Falling US Treasury yields and falling US home sales could put the greenback under pressure.
XAUUSD : Waiting for recoveryGold prices (XAU/USD) fell to fresh five-month lows before stabilizing around $1,890 as market participants looked for more clues to extending the previous downturn, supported by recent downturns. hawkish Federal Reserve (Fed) concerns and risk aversion. That said, fears of a recession in China and weaker growth numbers in advanced economies coupled with firmer US data to boost US Treasury yields. and the US Dollar, which in turn affects XAU/USD.
Moving on, the absence of key data/events could allow Gold Price to consolidate recent losses to multi-day lows. However, a wave of risk aversion and more stable yields could keep the US Dollar afloat, thus boosting XAU/USD recovery unless witnessing any strong positive data/news Which force can affect the Greenback and improve the mood.
Gold prediction for todayGold yesterday had a bearish day setting a new 1903 low as the greenback continued to strengthen.
Positive economic data last Friday boosted USD demand. These numbers raise concerns that the Federal Reserve could still raise interest rates further at its next meeting in September, even as markets still widely expect the Fed to end its bull run. interest rate.
103.5 is the strong resistance of USD, if it is crossed, the target for USD upside momentum will be 104.5. There may also be a correction here
There are a lot of important economic data from the United States scheduled to be released today. Retail sales are expected to increase 0.4% in July. Additionally, the Empire State Manufacturing Index in New York will also be released. Gold price promises to be very exciting
Will it break 1900 in the European session?On August 14, the world's third largest economy, Japan, announced GDP growth in the second quarter of 2023, with an impressive increase of 6% compared to the same period last year, much higher than the expected level. previously reported is 3.7% and forecast is 3.1%.
Along with positive economic information, the USD continued to strengthen. Specifically, the Dollar-Index - measuring the strength of the USD in a basket of 6 major currencies increased by 0.25% compared to the previous session, to 103,170 points.
When the dollar is strong, investors withdraw capital from gold to reduce deposit costs as well as find profitable investment channels. Therefore, pushing the gold price down deeply, there is no chance to reverse and increase again.
XAUUSD : Appearance of weakness in the 1900 zone?U.S. retail sales data released on Tuesday showed consumer spending remained strong in the country, potentially indicating more inflationary pressures in the coming months.
Investors mostly favor the dollar and Treasuries as a safer haven than gold, as risk appetite worsens amid worsening economic conditions across most globally, especially in China.
The greenback steadied near 1-and-a-half month highs on Wednesday, after recovering sharply from 2023 lows over the past month
GOLD : Prediction of gold in Europe and America15 minutes ago
Open interest in gold futures markets extended the uptrend for another session on Tuesday, this time by around 3.4K contracts according to preliminary data from CME Group. At the same time, volume increased by nearly 45,000 contracts after two consecutive daily declines.
Gold prices extended the pessimism in the first half of the week amid increased open interest and volume. On the contrary, the precious metal looks poised to extend its decline in the near term and with the immediate target of the June low of $1893/troy ounce.F
XAUUSD : Golden forecast for a new weekGold prices eased slightly during the Asian session on Monday and fell to the $1,911-$1,910 zone, or the lowest since July 7 in the past hour. However, the intraday downtrend lacks further selling, warranting caution for the strong bearish traders and positioning for the recent extension of the bearish trajectory witnessed in about the past three weeks.
The Federal Reserve's (Fed) outlook for further policy tightening should lift the US Dollar to fresh six-week highs and turn out to be a major factor acting as a headwind for the US Dollar. Gold price does not yield interest. Bets were reaffirmed by the US Producer Price Index (PPI) on Friday, which rose slightly more than expected in July.
Adani Break OutAdani Enterprises CMP: 4165
SL: 3930
Target: 4390 (as per Daily TF - VCP)
5300 (As per Weekly TF - Flag & Pole) - This is difficult but u never know with Adani Stocks. If we get 1:1 then trailing as per hourly swing pivots would be good.
RR: 1:1 (for target 4390)
4.86:1 (For target 5300)
Reason:
1 - RS is rising
2 - RSI is trending
3 - Good Volume on Break Out
4 - Above all moving averages on Daily and Weekly
5 - Break out of VCP( On Daily)
6 - Break Out of Flag & Pole ( On Weekly)
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What is left after the gold CPI news?Gold prices make a modest recovery from July 7 lows around the $1911-$1910 region set during the Asian session this Friday and, for now, appear to have broken a four-day losing streak. price. XAU/USD is now trading around the $1,915-$1.916 region, up more than 0.10% on the day, despite a lack of bullish confidence and remains vulnerable.
The US dollar (USD) is having a hard time capitalizing on a solid overnight bounce from over-week lows on weaker consumer inflation figures from the United States (USD) and a pullback. from the vicinity of the monthly high. The softer greenback is seen as the main driver of money flow towards the US dollar-denominated Gold price
GOLD 9/8 : What will happen to the gold CPI news?Gold prices attracted some buying power during the Asian session on Wednesday and partially recovered the previous day's losses to the $1,923-$1,922 region, or four-week lows. XAU/USD is now trading just below $1,930, up nearly 0.20% on the day, though any meaningful upside still seems elusive.
A generally softer tone around the equity markets, coupled with a modest drop in the US Dollar (USD), turned out to be the main support factor for Gold prices. Weaker China trade data released on Tuesday raised concerns about a worsening outlook for the world's second-largest economy. In addition, Moody's downgraded the debt ratings of a number of US banks and reduced investor demand for riskier assets. Anti-risk money flows tend to favor safe-haven precious metals.
XAUUSD 8/9 : Today's CPI ForecastXAU/USD fell sharply early in the US session, hitting a fresh 4-week low of $1,922.74 per troy ounce, as demand for the US Dollar increased following comments from Reserve officials. Federal. unified report on the Consumer Price Index (CPI) of the United States (USA) July.
Philadelphia Federal Reserve Bank President Patrick Harker said they are getting back to more normalcy and while looking at the possibility of a soft landing, he added that supply chain problems are recovering. Furthermore, he said the Fed can be "patient" and keep rates steady, though he made clear September's decision will depend on upcoming data.
XAUUSD 10/8 : CPI is approachingGold (XAU/USD) prices fell to a one-month low as they fell to $1,914 in the early hours of the Asian session on Thursday. With that said, the precious metal doesn't welcome any positive news from China, or a drop in the US Dollar ahead of US inflation data. The reasons could be related to market concerns about the health of the banking industry and the global economy.
If the US inflation data turns upbeat, Gold Price could soon breach the key support level and slide below the $1,900 support while the upbeat outcome could trigger a corrective rally. correction has been long awaited.
IDFC LTD - 70% RETURNS!!!BUY - IDFC LTD
CMP - Rs. 100
Target - 1: Rs. 120
Target - 2: Rs. 145
Target - 3: Rs. 170
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Technicals - Resistance BO
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NOTE: 1) Tentative period for Target - 1 is 3-4 months.
2) Tentative Period for Target 2&3 is 1-2 years.
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This is just a view by an expert analyst, please invest at your own risk.
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