TIME CYCLE AND FIBONACCI SPIRAL" GOD MUST BE A MATHEMATICIAN " If we look at the construction of universe and movements of the planets & other celestial objects movements, flowering & fruiting cycles in trees etc. everything has a pattern and they are cyclical in nature. That very same assumption is applied and works well in stock market, commodities and forex as well.
Identifying the time zones of a stocks is a pure trial and error method where one needs to find the high and low making cycle of a particular stock manually. Here NLC INDIA LTD has been taken as an example and a Price and Time analysis has been done on monthly chart using Time Zones & Fibonacci Spiral for future support and hypothetical path identification.
The lows of the trend labelled as W, X,Y in rectangular spots. Point "X" has been formed 79 Months after the point "W". But magically Point "Y" has been formed after 79 months after Point "X"
The highs of the trend are labelled as A & B in circular spot. Point "B" has been formed 79 Months after Point "A". Looking at the cycle of 79 Months in the Lows and Highs Formation we can make an assumption that the next high ( Point "C" ) would be after 79 Months from Point "B" ie. Dec 2023.
Fibonacci Spiral is a natural pattern that can be seen everywhere in nature including flowers, pinecones, hurricanes and even huge spiral galaxies in space. This is rarely used but useful pattern in charts for finding expected supports and resistance. In this chart we can see that after the formation of low at Point "Y", with the help of Fibonacci Spiral we have a continuous expected support. Till now after 2.5 Years the monthly closing of a single candle has never been below the Fibonacci Spiral(try to adjust the X axis of the chart incase you don't see a perfect fit) .So the fact if Fibonacci Spiral used wisely can be a useful pattern for finding support and resistance levels cannot be denied.
Currently NLC INDIA LTD is at resistance of the trendline drawn from the previous 2 highs ie. Point "A" & "B". Hopefully it will breakout because stock increases at a increasing near its high, which hasn't happened yet with this stock. Till now NLC_INDIA is far away from its expected high according to the time cycle and Trend based fibonacci retracement level. The gann level of 1.33 is at 136.55 by Trend based fibonacci retracement and the expected time is Dec 2023 time cycle. Thus this is how a hypothetical conclusion can be drawn that NLC INDIA LTD will attain a price level of 136.55 by DEC 2023.
Recently a study was done on NIFTY, predicting perfectly the low making day and the target date for NIFTY proving that time cycles works very well with indices and stocks.Link has been given below.
STUDY & ANALYSIS
ADARSH KUMAR DEY
Timeanalysis
BIOCON OVERSOLD (FIBO TIME ZONE ANALYSIS )Biocon Ltd looks fundamentally very disappointing but there are few patterns on charts that makes it technically interesting at this point of time. Betting for an upside with a calculated risk doesn't seem as a bad option for now.
BIOCON ON CHARTS:
- Biocon has formed a Bullish Wolfe Wave.
- After 10 Weeks the Weekly closing has been above prior candle's close.
-The bullish pattern has been formed at a very important Fibonacci Retracement level of 89%.
- RSI is at Oversold zone and at Reversal Zone.
- Negative DI index stands at 31, it generally indicates a oversold trend and a trend reversal in Biocon. Because -ve DI in Biocon never crosses 35.
- Directional Index stands at 38. Generally 40-50 Level is a trend reversal indication.
- According to Fibo time zone analysis, Biocon is nearing 5.55 Time level. It is a trend reversal level.
A good up move above 260 can lead the stock to 320 Level. SL seems to be at below 220.
CHART & ANALYSIS
ADARSH DEY
10 Mar Nifty Realty Price ActionChart Analysis - As per the time study the market expands and contracts and generally this can be seen in charts through patterns like Ascending Triangle Breakout / Descending Triangle Breakdown / Wedge parttern etc.
But generally the stocks move in ribbon form and through this ribbon wherever we can see two trend lines crossing each other there might be huge volatility or a breakout / breakdown on those trend lines.
As per the current chart indication one can expect Nifty Realty sector to make some price action on 10 Mar 2022.
How to predict dates and the time of a particular scripSince the market first expands then contracts we all are aware about it. There are many indicators for contraction and expansion like Bollinger Bands, Volatility Contraction Panel, ATR etc they all denote almost the same thing that price has started expanding in a particular direction or has started consolidating.
Similarly the price action can also be predicted or analyzed at certain date. For instance on CNX Metals chart I has marked a few important dates which in the future might show some major price action.
The ideology behind predicting this is by connecting previous high to the previous lows of a particular scrip which would give some kind of Triangle pattern and generally the price would follow those patterns as the it reflects Traders Psychology from the past ON THE CHARTS.
Something major can happen in Nifty 50 / HDFC Bank on 3,9,17 SepAs per the charts of Nifty 50 and HDFC bank the market will be entering a new time zone as per Fibonacci.
The charts are showing crucial dates where major price action may happen on 3 Sep ( NIFTY 50) 9 Sep ( HDFC ) 17 Sep (The FIB Time Zone Will be over.
This is only for educational purposes and the analysis could be right or could be wrong i am publishing this to check if i was right or not.
Crucial Support Levels for Nifty 50 - 16554, 17001
Please leave your feedback :)
Happy Trading....
Nifty ITIT industry has been in a bearish tone forming lower high - lower low since Q2-2015. The industry is under pressure with margins and visas followed by blow of Rupee appreciation.
For short term, 9,880-9,900 stands to be crucial support. The reverse Bullish AB=CD around 9,900 at rising trend line indicates reversal on cards. As per time analysis, the previous rise and fall took 55 trading days and if go by "history repeats itself", the reversal can take place on 25th April (+/- 2 trading days). RSI is back in an oversold territory.
TCS will be releasing results today which has weight age of ~45% in IT index will be important to watch. The above view on IT index will negate on a close below 9,800.