Trade!
Postmortem on #BankNifty - 10 OCT 2022SPX fell 2.8% & NDQ 3.88% on friday and the handout to us today morning was not that positive. As expected bank nifty opened gap down 38461 below the support level of 38698. The first candle was bearish, closed down & may have indicated that the rest of the day will be negative.
But what happened in the next 2 candles were the opposite, a hammer the 2nd candle and a bullish marubozu 3rd. The 3rd candle took out the now resistance indicating the day will not be negative but will trade above the 38698 level.
And what happened from 10.10 to 12.50 was magic, for a moment i thought bank nifty is really on drugs. How does it find the strength to rally 700+ points on a negative macro day.
Notice the price action between 12.30 to 13.00 below, it was right at the resistance level of 39326. BN did not break this resistance and then reversed course to a nice fall till 14.10.
From 14.15 to close, BN regained some strength and closed quite strong according to me.
Due to the rally today, the IVs were dropping and i could not really enter into any trade. I was expecting the option premiums to double and the IVs to skyrocket - but that did not happen.
The traded volume on options were higher, but the premiums were lower indicating a range bound expiry so far this week. However these dynamics can change if the support or resistance is broken - you know how easy it is for bank nifty to send the options premium to the sky. Rs10 to Rs160 will not take even an hour.
5mts TF - does not show bearishness yet. The current pattern shows consolidation with a bullish bias
1hr TF also does not show the bearishness yet - price consolidation at current levels is what i infer
Bank nifty important support and resistance liness1:38698, s2: 37946r1: 39326, r2: 39739
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Postmortem on #BankNifty - 06 OCT 2022 - Weekly Expiry Bank nifty opened 39343 right at the resistance line made a long wick 5mts 1st candle. The 2nd candle broke the SR line. At 09.40 after seeing the red candle i assumed BN will trade lower and exited the 39500 iron fly at the cost price.
I was not expecting BN to go up and the 4 candles from 09.45 to 10.00 really surprised me. And all the trade that happened till 12.55 was against the trades i had in my mind. The reason i thought BN would not go up was because of the long wick and the immediate break in SR during the first 15 to 20mts.
The trades from 13.00 to close was something that really comforted me. Eventhough i did not make big money trading today’s expiry - the closing price action was inline with the opening pattern.
Again all these trades would be positional as it was the weekly expiry, to know if the trend is continuing or not we need to watch the trades of tomorrow & monday.
For traders who would have taken an intraday straddle or strangle - there is a high possibility that their stop loss would have been hit. If for some reason they forgot to put the SL or simply didnt have one - they would have made money as the opening & close was almost the same.
5mts TF shows no specific direction. If tomorrow also BN stays in this range - then i would prefer to plan for a range bound expiry for 13th.
15mts TF shows a W bottom pattern
1hr TF shows the W pattern with much more clarity.
This need not be taken so seriously as BN just came out from a double top M pattern last week. So we would need to wait for further sessions to confirm if its trend continuation or reversal.
Bank nifty important support and resistance lines
s1:38698, s2: 37946
r1: 39326, r2: 39739
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Postmortem on #BankNifty - 28 SEP 2022 Banknifty opened gap down at 38081 and in the first 5mts candle itself it took out the support line of 37946. There was an immediate bounce somehow giving us the impression that the support was intact, the minor pullback tried to close the gap but lost steam by 10.15.
The fall from 10.20 to 10.45 looked interesting because the support level proved quite important now, already in the day it held its shape twice.
The trades from 11.10 to 13.20 although lacked strength looked very shallow. #ICICIBank had moved to the positive territory in this window and was providing great support. None of the other banks like #HDFCBk & #SBIN were in positive territory.
The move from 13.30 to the close of day was having great conviction towards the negative side. I was also quite surprised to see the big red candle in #AXISbank at 14.05 (which was accompanied by heavy volumes).
The last 15 to 20mts saw heavy short positions been taken at the call side. The farthest OTM of 46500 CE was traded more than 1 crore - this might be a new record, at least i have not seen this much volume in the strike that is 9000 points away from ATM
5mts TF - showing bearishness. Banknifty is continuing to break supports with no or nil rally to the nearest resistance lines.
1hr TF also showing bearishness. For any fightback BN has to take out the 38697 resistance immediately.
Bank nifty important support and resistance lines
s1:37247, s2: 36559
r1: 37946, r2: 38698
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no predictions, no trade recommendations !
Silver Trading Plan - 23/Sep/2022Hello Traders,
Hope you all are doing good!!
I expect SILVER to go UP after finishing this correction.
Look for your BUY setups.
Please follow me and like if you agree or this idea helps you out in your trading plan.
Disclaimer: This is just an idea. Please do your own analysis before opening a position. Always use SL & proper risk management.
Market can evolve anytime, hence, always do your analysis and learn trade management before following any idea
CHFJPY Trading Plan - 22/Sep/2022Hello Traders,
Hope you all are doing good!!
I expect CHFJPY to go Down after finishing this correction.
Look for your SELL setups.
Please follow me and like if you agree or this idea helps you out in your trading plan.
Disclaimer: This is just an idea. Please do your own analysis before opening a position. Always use SL & proper risk management.
Market can evolve anytime, hence, always do your analysis and learn trade management before following any idea
Niftybank 22 September closing Banknifty nutral points 40888to 41067
R1 41248
R2 41478
R3 41837
S1 40626
S2 40289
S3 40000
Important point
1.We are not SEBI registered advisor.
2. Theses support and resistance is for education purpose only.
3. We are not responsible for any profit and losses.
4. Kindly take trade according to your risk appetite.
Happiest Minds Cup and Handle LongA clear downtrend breakout and cup and handle pattern formation in Happiest Minds. From these levels, it can give a 25-30% move upwards. RSI is bullish above 50 and ADX is above 20 in the daily charts. OBV is rising. Important indicators hint a big move. Even the Ichimoku cloud indicator has indicated a reversal of the downtrend. I think it is a good trade to be taken. Let us see how it plays out. All the best.
JUBLFOOD --- POSITIONAL TRADEJUBLFOOD - 1 hour chart - Positional trade.
1. Pullback seen from oversold level around 560 where double bottom formation also seen on chart
2. trend reversal doji candle form at double bottom level where uptrend seen on chart
3. Trendline breakout seen at hourly chart at last hourly candle
4. sqzmom indicator seen reversal from oversol at blue line
5. WMA RSI -- RSI seen up move and if cross wma Then uptrend confirm
6. support form at 570-575 Level which is buy level and target 1- 600, target 2- 620 , stop loss bellow doji candle low 555
Positional trade (8-15) days
** THIS IDEA IS FOR EDUCATIONAL PURPOSE ... trade at own risk !
HAPPY TRADING. !!