NIFTY - Elliott Wave Outlook
Timeframe: Weekly
NSE NIFTY began an impulsive move after hitting a low of 15183.4 . Based on the wave count, the price completed wave (5) of wave (3) at 26277.3 and has since started to decline. The price is currently in a wave (4) correction phase. Let’s switch to the daily timeframe for a closer look at the details.
Timeframe: Daily
On the daily chart with a neckline at 24,750 , we’re observing a bearish head-and-shoulders pattern forming. If the price breaks below this neckline, Nifty could drop significantly, potentially reaching the demand zone or surge point of the pattern. However, if the price fails to break this neckline, it indicates weakness in the bearish momentum, signaling a possible reversal
According to the Elliott Wave Principle, if wave 5 is an extended wave, the correction often occurs near sub-wave 2 of the previous impulse, especially if it falls below sub-wave 4. So, 24,570 will be a crucial level for Nifty. We can expect the price to move up by no more than 126% of wave A within the correction. Otherwise, there’s a risk of mistaking wave B for wave 3.
Whatever scenario Nifty chooses, it’s better to let Nifty commit to a clear direction before we commit to the market.
We will update further information soon.
Trade
XAUUSD’s Final Wave Completion – What’s Next?XAUUSD has formed a corrective pattern on the hourly chart, offering a potential breakout setup. The correction has spanned over two weeks, during which the price has frequently crossed the EMAs (50/100/200 ) on the hourly timeframe. Meanwhile, the 20 EMA has consistently acted as solid support on the daily timeframe.
The pair has completed its final wave 5 of wave (C) at 2604 and has since started to rise sharply. Currently, XAUUSD faces a strong resistance level at 2670 , which marks the high of wave (B). If the price breaks above 2670 , traders can target the following levels: 2685 - 2715 - 2735 +. If the breakout fails, the correction may continue, as 2670 is the key hurdle for the bulls to overcome.
Further updates will follow soon.
"Tomorrow’s Nifty 50 Secret: Trade with 90% Accurate Breakout LeFor tomorrow's Nifty 50 trading based on the chart:
The orange levels on your chart (24,948.20 and 25,064.80) are key pivot levels where high-probability trades can be taken.
If the market opens below 24,948.20, this level acts as a resistance zone, signaling potential for a selling opportunity as the market may face downward pressure.
If the market opens above 25,064.80, it becomes a support zone, signaling a buying opportunity as the market might continue upward momentum.
Use the 5-minute timeframe to closely track the price movement.
Entry strategy:
Buy trade: If Nifty breaks above 25,064.80 and holds, enter a long position for a breakout. This becomes a strong support level if the market opens above it.
Sell trade: If Nifty breaks below 24,948.20 and sustains, enter a short position. This becomes a solid resistance level if the market opens below it.
These levels are 90% accurate, and the plan is to wait for a clear breakout beyond these orange lines before entering a position.
Key takeaway: The direction of the opening will decide whether these levels act as buying or selling zones, making them crucial for your trade setups.
Bank Nifty Analysis for TomorrowBank Nifty Analysis for 11/10/2024
Market Outlook:
I expect a flat to slightly gap-down opening tomorrow.
Key Levels:
- Crucial Level:
- 51,270
- Support Levels:
- 51,400
- 51,270
- 51,040
- Resistance Levels:
- 51,650
- 51,800
Trading Strategy:
- Long Position:
- If Bank Nifty opens around 51,400, I will take a long trade targeting 51,650 and 51,800.
- If it drops to 51,270, I will average my position for a long trade, targeting 51,400 and 51,650.
- Short Position:
- If Bank Nifty sustains below 51,270 for 15 minutes, it will indicate a clear short trade with targets at 51,040 and 50,800.
PCR Option Trading Investors use several financial measures to gauge the market temperament before parking their money into the same. Put call ratio is one such financial tool which proves useful for investors in more than one way.
To understand the application and role of this financial measurement one needs to be well-versed in its basics. Here, we have elucidated the nitty-gritty of the same, including the put call ratio formula and other facts.
Put Call Ratio Meaning
Typically, a put-call ratio is a derivative indicator. It is designed to enable traders to determine the sentiment of the options market effectively. This ratio is computed either by factoring in the open interest for a given period or based on the volume of options trading.
Also known as PCR, this particular ratio serves as a contrarian indicator and is mostly concerned with options build-up. Such an indicator helps determine the extent of bullish or bearish influence in the market.
In other words, it helps traders to understand whether a recent increase or decrease in the market is excessive or not.
Based on this information, traders decide if they should opt for a contrarian call in the prevailing market.
Such an investment strategy is based on the practice of purchasing or selling investment units against the prevailing market conditions, to combat mispricing in the securities market.
How is Put Call Ratio Calculated?
Before learning about the put call ratio formula, it is crucial to understand the components of this ratio individually.
For instance, the put option provides traders with the right to purchase assets at prefixed prices, whereas, the call option offers the right to purchase assets at the current market prices.
Put call ratio calculation can be done in the following ways -
Based on Open Interests of a Specific Day
PCR is computed by dividing open interest in a put contract on a particular day by open call interest on the very same day.
PCR (OI) = Put Open Interest/ Call Open Interest
Based on the Volume of Options Trading
Here PCR is computed by dividing the put trading volume by the call trading volume on a specific day.
PCR (Volume) = Put Trading Volume/Call Trading Volume
Here, Put volume indicates the total put options initiated over a specific time-frame. Conversely, Call volume indicates the total call options initiated over a specific time-frame.
Notably, the interpretation of this said ratio differs as per the type of investor.