Risk Management & Money Management1. Understanding Risk Management in Trading
Risk management is the practice of identifying, assessing, and controlling the amount of loss you are willing to tolerate in a trade. It answers a simple question:
👉 “How much can I afford to lose if this trade goes wrong?”
Professional traders know that losing trades are unavoidable. What matters is how big those losses are.
1.1 Key Elements of Risk Management
1. Position Sizing
Position sizing means deciding how many shares/lots/contracts to trade based on your account balance and risk tolerance.
Most traders risk 1% to 2% per trade.
Example:
If your capital = ₹1,00,000
Risk per trade = 1% = ₹1,000
If SL difference is ₹5, quantity = ₹1,000 ÷ 5 = 200 shares.
This ensures no single trade damages your account.
2. Stop-Loss Placement
A stop-loss is a predefined price where you exit automatically if the trade goes against you.
Stop-loss keeps emotions out of the decision.
Three ways to set SL:
Technical SL – based on chart levels (support/resistance, trendline, swing highs).
Volatility SL – using ATR to adapt SL to market conditions.
Money-based SL – based on a fixed rupee or percentage loss.
A trade without SL is gambling.
3. Risk-to-Reward Ratio (RRR / R:R)
The RRR tells how much you stand to gain versus how much you risk.
General rule: Take trades only with RRR ≥ 1:2.
Examples:
You risk ₹1,000 → try to make ₹2,000.
You risk 10 points → target 20 points.
Even with a 40% win rate, a 1:2 RRR can make you profitable.
4. Avoiding Over-Leveraging
Leverage increases buying power—but also increases risk.
Beginners blow up accounts due to excessive leverage in futures/options.
Risk management says:
✔ Use leverage only when you understand risk
✔ Never use full margin
✔ Reduce position size during high volatility events (Fed meet, RBI policy, Budget, elections)
5. Diversification
Do not put all capital into one trade or one sector.
If you trade equities: diversify across sectors.
If you trade F&O: avoid multiple trades highly correlated with each other.
Example:
Bank Nifty long + HDFC Bank long → same directional risk.
6. Probability & Expectancy
Great traders think in probabilities, not predictions.
Expectancy = (Win% × Avg Win) – (Loss% × Avg Loss)
If expectancy is positive, long-term profitability is possible even with fewer winning trades.
2. Understanding Money Management in Trading
Money management is broader than risk management.
It focuses on:
👉 “How do I grow my account safely, steadily, and sustainably?”
Money management includes capital allocation, compounding, profit withdrawal strategy, and exposure limits. It is the long-term engine that helps traders survive for years.
2.1 Key Elements of Money Management
1. Capital Allocation
Avoid using all capital for trading.
Recommended:
Active Capital: 50% (for trading)
Buffer Capital: 30% (emergency, margin calls, drawdowns)
Long-term Investments: 20%
This protects you from unexpected drawdowns or market crashes.
2. Exposure Control
Exposure refers to how much of your capital is at risk across all open trades.
Examples:
Equity traders should avoid more than 20–30% exposure to a single sector.
Derivative traders must avoid multiple positions in the same direction.
For small accounts, 1–2 open trades at a time are ideal.
3. Scaling In & Scaling Out
Scaling techniques help manage profits better.
Scaling In:
Enter partially and add if the trade goes in your favour.
Example: 50% quantity at breakout → 50% on retest.
Scaling Out:
Book partial profits to secure gains.
Example: Book 50% at target 1 → trail SL → exit remaining at target 2.
Scaling reduces overall risk.
4. Compounding Strategy
Money management encourages growth through compounding.
Avoid jumping position sizes drastically.
Increase sizes only after:
✔ Consistent profitability for 20–30 trades
✔ Stable win rate (50–60%)
✔ Maximum drawdown below 10%
Slow compounding beats emotional overtrading.
5. Profit Withdrawal Strategy
Traders should withdraw part of their profits monthly.
Example:
70% reinvest
30% withdraw as real income
This protects you from reinvesting everything and losing it later.
6. Maximum Drawdown Control
Drawdown is the decrease from the peak equity curve.
A good trader keeps drawdown below 10–20%.
If drawdown exceeds limit:
✔ Reduce position size
✔ Stop trading for 1–2 days
✔ Re-evaluate strategy & psychology
This prevents account blow-ups.
3. Psychological Role in Risk & Money Management
Emotions can destroy even a perfect trading system.
Poor discipline leads to revenge trading, overtrading, removing stop losses, and taking oversized positions.
To stay disciplined:
Follow your trading plan
Accept losses as business expense
Do not chase profits
Maintain a trading journal
Review every trade weekly
Consistency comes from discipline—not predictions.
4. Practical Framework for Risk & Money Management
Here’s a step-by-step real-world plan:
Step 1: Define risk per trade
Risk 1% of capital per trade.
₹1,00,000 capital → ₹1,000 max risk.
Step 2: Decide stop-loss level
Use technical or volatility-based SL.
Example: SL = ₹10 away.
Step 3: Calculate position size
Position size = Risk ÷ SL
= 1000 ÷ 10
= 100 shares
Step 4: Set risk–reward
Aim for 1:2.
Target = 20 points.
Step 5: Avoid correlated trades
Do not buy Reliance + BPCL + IOC (same sector risk).
Step 6: Track overall exposure
Keep exposure under 25–30%.
Step 7: Handle profits wisely
Withdraw monthly profits.
Do not increase lot size until consistent.
Step 8: Manage drawdowns
If account falls 10–15%, reduce size by 50%.
Do not increase until account recovers.
5. Why Risk & Money Management Determine Long-Term Success
Most traders lose money not because they lack strategy, but because:
❌ They risk too much
❌ No SL or wide SL
❌ Overtrade after losses
❌ Use 10x–25x leverage blindly
❌ Increase lot size emotionally
❌ Chase market noise
Winning traders do the opposite:
✔ They limit losses
✔ Protect capital
✔ Aim for high RRR
✔ Stay patient
✔ Grow capital slowly
✔ Follow system like a business
Trading success is 10% strategy, 20% psychology, and 70% risk & money management.
Final Words
Risk Management keeps you alive,
Money Management helps you grow.
Together, they form the backbone of professional trading. The markets reward traders who think long term, manage risk smartly, and treat trading as a business—not a gamble. If you master these two pillars, even an average strategy can become consistently profitable.
Trading-course
Futures & Options (F&O) Trading1. What Are Derivatives?
A derivative is a contract whose value “derives” from an underlying asset such as:
Stocks
Indices (Nifty, Bank Nifty)
Commodities (Gold, Crude Oil)
Currencies (USD/INR)
Derivatives allow traders to take positions on the future price of an asset without owning it. The main types of derivatives are Futures and Options.
2. Futures Trading
2.1 What Is a Futures Contract?
A Future is a legally binding agreement to buy or sell an asset at a predetermined price on a future date.
Example:
A Nifty Futures contract expiring in January obligates you to buy or sell Nifty at an agreed price on the expiry date.
2.2 Key Features of Futures
Obligation
Both parties must fulfill the contract on expiry (unless squared off).
Standardized Contracts
Exchanges predetermine lot sizes, expiry dates, and contract specifications.
Mark-to-Market (MTM)
Daily profits and losses are settled automatically based on price movement.
Margin-Based Trading
You don’t pay full contract value — only ~10–15% margin is required.
High Leverage
Because of margin, returns (and losses) can be amplified.
2.3 How Futures Trading Works
Suppose Bank Nifty is at 49,000.
You buy a Bank Nifty Future at 49,100.
If Bank Nifty rises to 49,500, your profit is:
Lot size × 400 points
(Example: If lot size = 15 → profit = 400 × 15 = ₹6,000)
If Bank Nifty falls to 48,700, you incur a loss.
Thus, futures trading is a pure directional bet.
2.4 Why Traders Use Futures
Speculation on price movement
Hedging existing stock positions
Arbitrage opportunities
High liquidity, especially in index futures
3. Options Trading
Options are more flexible than futures. They provide rights, not obligations.
3.1 What Is an Option?
An Option is a contract that gives the buyer the right, but not the obligation, to buy or sell an asset at a preset price (strike price) before expiry.
There are two types:
Call Option (CE) → Right to buy
Put Option (PE) → Right to sell
Options come in two roles:
Option Buyer (pays premium, limited risk)
Option Seller / Writer (receives premium, unlimited risk)
3.2 Call Options (CE)
A Call Option buyer expects the price to rise.
Example:
You buy Nifty 22000 CE for ₹100 premium.
If Nifty moves above 22000 + 100 = 22100, you start profiting.
If Nifty stays below 22000, your maximum loss = premium paid (₹100 × lot size).
3.3 Put Options (PE)
A Put Option buyer expects the price to fall.
Example:
You buy Bank Nifty 49000 PE for ₹150 premium.
If Bank Nifty drops below 49000 – 150 = 48850, you profit.
Loss is limited to premium paid if the market moves up.
4. Option Greeks (Quick Understanding)
Options pricing is influenced by:
Delta – direction sensitivity
Theta – time decay
Vega – volatility sensitivity
Gamma – acceleration of delta
Rho – interest rate impact (low impact in India)
For beginners:
Buyers lose money due to Theta (time decay).
Sellers earn money from Theta, but face unlimited risk.
5. Expiry, Lot Size, and Margin
Expiry
F&O contracts come with fixed expiry dates:
Weekly expiry – Index options (Nifty, BankNifty, etc.)
Monthly expiry – Stock options & futures
Lot Size
Each contract has a fixed lot size. Example:
Nifty lot = 25
Bank Nifty lot = 15
Reliance lot = 250
Margin
Futures require margin (~10–20% of contract value).
Option buyers pay premium only.
Option sellers need large margin because risk is unlimited.
6. F&O Strategies
6.1 Futures Strategies
Long Future (bullish)
Short Future (bearish)
Hedging (using futures to protect holdings)
6.2 Options Strategies (Beginner to Advanced)
Beginners
Long Call
Long Put
Protective Put (hedging)
Covered Call (safe premium strategy)
Intermediates
Bull Call Spread
Bear Put Spread
Iron Butterfly
Straddle
Strangle
Advanced
Iron Condor
Calendar Spread
Ratio Spreads
Delta-neutral strategies (used by professional traders)
7. Why F&O Trading Is Popular in India
High Leverage → Higher Profit Potential
Low Capital Requirement
Weekly Profits from Index Options
Huge Liquidity in Nifty & Bank Nifty
Perfect Tool for Hedging Stock Portfolio
8. Risks in F&O Trading
F&O provides opportunities, but it also carries high risk, especially for beginners.
8.1 Leverage Risk
Small price movements can cause big losses.
8.2 Time Decay in Options
Option buyers lose money if price doesn’t move quickly.
8.3 Volatility Crush
Premium collapses after major events (election, budget).
8.4 Unlimited Losses for Sellers
Option writers face unlimited losses if market moves sharply.
8.5 Liquidity Risk
Stock options may have low liquidity → high slippage.
8.6 Psychological Pressure
Fast price movements create stress, leading to impulsive decisions.
9. Best Practices for Successful F&O Trading
1. Never Trade Without a Stop-Loss
Controls losses and preserves capital.
2. Position Sizing Is Key
Avoid putting entire capital in one trade.
3. Understand Greeks Before Doing Complex Option Strategies
4. Avoid Over-Leveraging
5. Backtest & Practice on Paper Trades
6. Trade Only Liquid Contracts
Index options are safer than illiquid stock options.
7. Hedge Your Positions
Professional traders always hedge.
8. Keep Emotions in Check
Discipline matters more than strategy.
10. F&O Example for Better Understanding
Let’s say Nifty is at 22,000.
Scenario 1: Long Future
Buy Nifty Future at 22,050
Lot size 25
Market moves to 22,250
Profit = 200 × 25 = ₹5,000
But if market falls to 21,900:
Loss = 150 × 25 = ₹3,750
No limit unless stop-loss applied
Scenario 2: Buy a Call Option (22,100 CE @ ₹80)
Total cost = 80 × 25 = ₹2,000
If Nifty moves to 22,300:
Intrinsic value = 200
Profit = (200 – 80) × 25 = ₹3,000
If Nifty stays below 22,100:
Loss = ₹2,000 (limited)
Scenario 3: Sell a Call Option (22,300 CE @ ₹60)
If Nifty stays below 22,300:
Profit = premium earned = ₹1,500
If Nifty shoots up to 22,800:
Loss = (500 – 60) × 25 = ₹11,000
Loss is unlimited. Hence selling options requires skill & hedging.
11. Who Should Trade F&O?
Suitable for:
Experienced traders
People who understand price action & volatility
Hedgers
Option sellers with adequate capital
Not suitable for:
Beginners with no risk management
People trading emotionally
Traders who cannot monitor markets
12. Conclusion
Futures & Options (F&O) trading is a powerful segment of the market that offers leverage, flexibility, and opportunities for hedging and speculation. Futures provide high leverage and mandatory execution, while options offer rights with limited risk for buyers and premium income for sellers. Successful F&O trading requires understanding of contract specifications, market psychology, volatility, Greeks, and strict risk management.
If traded responsibly, F&O can enhance returns and provide sophisticated strategies. If traded without knowledge or discipline, it can lead to large losses. The key is education, practice, and risk control.
Part 10 Trade Like InstitutionsBear Put Spread – Best for Mild Downtrend with Controlled Risk
Same concept but for bearish conditions.
How it works
Buy a lower strike put.
Sell a farther out-of-the-money put.
When to use
Expect small to moderate fall.
Want low risk and fixed cost.
Risk and reward
Risk: Limited to net debit (premium).
Reward: Limited but predictable.
Example
Buy Bank Nifty 49,000 PE at ₹150
Sell 48,800 PE at ₹70
Net premium = ₹80
Max profit = 200 – 80 = ₹120
PSU & Infrastructure RallyIntroduction
The Indian stock market often moves in cycles—sometimes technology stocks lead, sometimes consumption stocks take the front seat, and sometimes financials dominate the headlines. In recent years, one of the strongest and most eye-catching trends has been the rally in Public Sector Undertakings (PSUs) and Infrastructure stocks.
This rally has surprised many investors. For decades, PSU stocks were treated as “slow movers,” known for dividends but not for sharp price appreciation. Infrastructure companies also had their share of challenges—debt burdens, project delays, and regulatory hurdles. Yet, from 2020 onwards, both these sectors have staged a powerful comeback, creating significant wealth for investors.
In this essay, we will break down the reasons behind the PSU & Infrastructure rally, the role of government policies, investor psychology, macroeconomic conditions, and future outlook. We will also examine challenges, risks, and strategies investors can consider.
1. Understanding PSU & Infrastructure Sectors
1.1 What are PSUs?
Public Sector Undertakings (PSUs) are companies where the Government of India holds a majority stake (usually above 51%). These companies were originally created to control strategic industries, ensure employment, and provide services to the public.
They operate across sectors:
Energy & Oil: ONGC, Oil India, IOC, BPCL, HPCL.
Banking & Financials: SBI, Bank of Baroda, PNB, LIC.
Power & Utilities: NTPC, Power Grid, NHPC, SJVN.
Defence & Engineering: HAL, BEL, BEML, Cochin Shipyard.
Infrastructure-linked: IRCTC, IRFC, RVNL, NBCC.
For a long time, PSU stocks were considered "value traps." Investors believed these companies were controlled by government decisions rather than pure profit motives. But things have started to change.
1.2 What is the Infrastructure Sector?
The infrastructure sector includes companies involved in building and maintaining physical systems like roads, railways, airports, ports, bridges, housing, water supply, and energy projects.
Key players include:
Construction companies: L&T, NCC, KNR Construction.
Railways & Transport: RVNL, IRCON, IRFC.
Power & Energy Infrastructure: NTPC, Adani Transmission, Power Grid.
Cement & Steel (linked to infra growth): UltraTech Cement, JSW Steel.
Infrastructure is often called the backbone of the economy. A country’s GDP growth depends heavily on the quality of its infrastructure.
2. Why Are PSU & Infrastructure Stocks Rallying?
The rally is not a coincidence. Several structural, policy-driven, and global factors are working together. Let’s break them down:
2.1 Government Push on Capital Expenditure (Capex)
One of the biggest drivers is the Indian government’s consistent increase in infrastructure spending.
In Union Budgets (2022–2025), capital expenditure has grown at double-digit rates.
The government has allocated massive funds for roads, highways, railways, and renewable energy.
The National Infrastructure Pipeline (NIP) plans ₹111 lakh crore investment in infrastructure between 2019 and 2025.
Programs like Gati Shakti, Smart Cities Mission, and Bharatmala are boosting construction activity.
This creates a multiplier effect: cement demand rises, construction companies get more projects, railway stocks gain, and PSU banks benefit by financing these projects.
2.2 Revival of PSU Banks
PSU banks, once seen as weak due to Non-Performing Assets (NPAs), have staged a dramatic recovery.
Bad loans have reduced significantly.
Credit growth is at record highs (double-digit growth in 2023–25).
PSU banks are reporting all-time high profits.
With financial health improving, investors’ confidence in PSUs has returned.
Since banks are the backbone of financing infrastructure projects, their revival further fuels the rally.
2.3 Defence & Strategic Importance
Global geopolitical tensions have increased defence spending worldwide. India, too, is focusing on self-reliance in defence (Atmanirbhar Bharat).
Companies like HAL, BEL, Mazagon Dock, Cochin Shipyard have seen massive order inflows.
Defence PSUs are reporting strong earnings and full order books for the next decade.
The export market is also opening up—India is now exporting defence equipment to friendly nations.
This has turned defence PSUs into multi-baggers in recent years.
2.4 Disinvestment & Privatisation Story
For years, the government has been trying to monetise and privatise PSU assets.
Strategic sales like Air India have boosted sentiment.
LIC IPO brought renewed attention to PSU space.
The market believes future disinvestments (BPCL, Shipping Corporation, etc.) can unlock hidden value.
This narrative has created speculative interest, which supports price rallies.
2.5 Dividend Yield Attraction
Many PSU companies offer very high dividend yields (4–8%), much higher than bank deposits.
In times of global uncertainty, foreign investors look for safe, stable income—PSUs fit this profile. When combined with growth in earnings, dividend-paying PSUs become doubly attractive.
2.6 Railways & Infra Boom
Railway-linked stocks like RVNL, IRCON, IRFC, RailTel have been some of the biggest gainers.
Indian Railways is undergoing modernization at an unprecedented scale.
Projects like Vande Bharat trains, electrification, freight corridors, and station redevelopment are attracting massive investments.
These companies are reporting record order books.
This has triggered a railways mini-rally within the broader infrastructure rally.
2.7 Global Factors
Global trends are also playing a role:
China+1 Strategy: Many global companies are diversifying away from China, boosting demand for Indian infrastructure.
Commodity Cycle: Steel, cement, and energy cycles support infra companies’ growth.
Geopolitical Risks: Investors view India as a safe growth story compared to volatile markets.
3. Investor Psychology Behind the Rally
The PSU & Infrastructure rally is not just about fundamentals—it’s also about changing perceptions.
Earlier: Investors believed PSUs = inefficient + slow-moving.
Now: Investors see them as undervalued, dividend-paying, and backed by government growth plans.
Retail investors, especially in India, have driven momentum. With railway and defence PSUs showing 10x to 20x returns in a few years, fear of missing out (FOMO) has pulled in more buyers.
4. Risks & Challenges in PSU & Infra Rally
No rally is risk-free. Investors must remain aware of challenges:
Government Interference – PSU companies may prioritize social objectives over profits.
Cyclical Nature – Infra and PSU rallies depend heavily on government spending; if budgets tighten, growth may slow.
Execution Delays – Infra projects face land acquisition, legal, and environmental delays.
Global Slowdown – If global demand weakens, exports and commodity-linked infra stocks may suffer.
Valuation Concerns – Many PSU stocks have already rallied 200–500%. At some point, valuations may look stretched.
5. Future Outlook
Despite risks, the outlook for PSU & Infrastructure remains structurally positive:
India aims to become a $5 trillion economy—this is impossible without strong infra.
The government’s focus on Make in India, Atmanirbhar Bharat, and Defence exports supports PSU companies.
Digital infrastructure (5G rollout, Smart Cities) creates new opportunities.
Renewable energy push (solar, wind, hydro) benefits power PSUs like NTPC, NHPC.
In short, this is not just a short-term rally—it is a structural growth story with long-term potential.
6. How Investors Can Approach This Rally
For investors, the key is to approach with strategy and caution:
Focus on Leaders – Instead of chasing every PSU, stick to strong companies with robust fundamentals (SBI, NTPC, BEL, HAL, RVNL, L&T).
Look for Long-Term Themes – Defence, railways, power transmission, renewable energy are structural stories.
Dividend + Growth Combo – PSUs with both high dividend yields and growth potential are safer bets.
Avoid Overvaluation – Don’t enter after massive rallies; wait for corrections.
Diversify – Mix infra PSUs with private players (like L&T, Adani Ports) to reduce risk.
7. Case Studies of Recent Winners
7.1 Hindustan Aeronautics Ltd (HAL)
Once ignored, HAL is now a defence giant with export opportunities.
Stock has given 10x returns in 5 years.
7.2 Rail Vikas Nigam Ltd (RVNL)
Benefited from railway modernization.
Stock surged over 20x from 2020–2025.
7.3 SBI & Other PSU Banks
Recovered from NPAs.
Posting record profits, stock prices doubled/tripled.
7.4 NTPC & Power Grid
Benefiting from India’s massive renewable energy targets.
Stable dividend + growth.
These examples show why the rally has captured public attention.
8. Conclusion
The PSU & Infrastructure Rally is one of the most defining themes in the Indian stock market in recent years. What began as a quiet recovery in undervalued PSU banks and infra companies has turned into a full-blown rally fueled by:
Government capex push,
Defence modernization,
Railway expansion,
Revival of PSU banks,
Strong dividend yields,
Disinvestment hopes.
The rally has redefined investor sentiment towards PSUs, turning them from neglected assets into market favorites.
That said, investors must remain mindful of risks—government policies, project delays, or global slowdowns can temporarily derail the momentum.
But structurally, the story remains strong: India’s journey to a $5 trillion economy cannot happen without PSU & infrastructure growth. For long-term investors, this space offers both stability and growth potential—a rare combination.



