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XAU#18: Latest Update: Gold Price Continues Its Upward Journey?💎 💎 💎 OANDA:XAUUSD once again surpassed a new peak. However, there was a slight correction yesterday. So let's analyze whether OANDA:XAUUSD will continue to set a new peak today: 💎 💎 💎 1️⃣ **Fundamental analysis:** 📊Gold exports from Singapore to the US increased dramatically. Gold futures prices on the New York COMEX floor are higher than physical gold prices in London, promoting the flow of gold from other markets into the US to benefit from this difference. 🔴Fed meeting minutes | No rush to cut interest rates, consider slowing down or pausing the balance sheet reduction. Interest rate policy: The Fed kept interest rates unchanged (4.25%-4.50%) and has no plans to cut interest rates soon. The first cut is expected in July or later. 🚀 There is a turning point in the ceasefire between Russia and Ukraine, and investors are betting ahead! Investors are positioning for an early end to the Russia-Ukraine conflict after US President Donald Trump and Russian President Vladimir Putin discussed the issue. 📌Overall, we can see that the fundamentals are not supporting the gold price increase. However, the gold price increase is still coming from the uncertainty about US tariff policies and concerns about the weakening economy. 2️⃣ **Technical analysis:** 🔹 **D frame**: the previous day's increase is currently a bit hesitant like yesterday's candle. However, gold is still in a strong uptrend. 🔹 **H4 frame**: the bullish price structure is too clear. We had a slight correction at the end of yesterday but recovered immediately afterwards, showing that market sentiment is still very optimistic about the prospect of gold's increase. 🔹 **H1 frame**: Looking at the chart, everyone can see that H1 is temporarily in a decreasing channel. However, the decreasing structure has not been confirmed. The price can still accumulate and bounce to break the peak at any time 3️⃣ **Trading plan:* ⛔ The current price structure is still supporting the bulls, but we also need to pay attention to important information at this time about the Russia-Ukraine war. If there is official information about the ceasefire agreement, it will cause gold prices to decrease. ✅ Prioritize BUY following the main trend. The target of the 3000 area from previous articles analyzed is very close. You can refer to the plan in the H1 frame to set up a position 💪 **Wish you successful trading!**
OANDA:XAUUSD
by TonyL0ng
XAU#17: Is FOMO Trading Wrong Now? See Detailed Analysis Now! 💎 💎 💎 As analyzed in article #16, OANDA:XAUUSD tested the peak area. Immediately after the end of the weekend session, we witnessed a strong correction. Based on that reaction, we will plan the next step for FOREXCOM:XAUUSD :💎💎 💎 1️⃣ **Fundamental analysis:** 📊 US retail sales in January fell the most in nearly 2 years. The data released caused gold, US bond yields and the USD index to fall simultaneously 🔹Trade risks are reduced as Trump requests to review tariff policies. 🚀The Russia-Ukraine war has positive developments regarding the ceasefire. 📌 The US economy is currently showing negative and declining signs. The tariff policy that causes the trade war has not shown any signs of cooling down, which will push prices up. 2️⃣ **Technical analysis:** 🔹 **Frame D**: Friday closed with a bearish engulfing candle. Before that was a pinbar. There is a high possibility that we will have a correction for gold. 🔹 **Frame H4**: The short-term trendline seems to no longer have the support effect as in the previous correction. We will look at the next support zone in the H1 frame 🔹 **Frame H1**: As you can see, H1 is in a correction phase. The bullish price structure has not been completely broken, but with this momentum, it is only a matter of time. 3️⃣ **Trading plan:* ⛔ The price is in a strong correction phase in the last trading hours ending the weekly candle without any recovery point. We may face high risks if we FOMO BUY or SELL at this time. ✅ There is a high possibility that we will have a correction phase to the support zone below. We can consider the price reaction at the important support - resistance zones that I marked on the chart to wait to establish a trading position. 💪 **Wishing you success in making profits!**
OANDA:XAUUSD
by TonyL0ng
BTC#16: Price reaction has changed positively.BTC break out SW?💎 💎 💎 In recent days, although important data information has been released, BTC is still in the Sideway zone and there are some positive signs. We continue to plan the next 💎 💎 💎 1️⃣ **Fundamental analysis:** 📊 Financial report, Fed Logan said that if the labor market remains strong, better inflation data does not necessarily mean the Fed can cut interest rates. Inflation data in the next few months will be very important; also pay attention to changes in geopolitics and policies; the impact of these factors on the economy is being closely monitored. 🚀 GameStop is considering investing in Bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies. Three sources said GameStop is exploring investing in alternative assets, including cryptocurrencies, especially Bitcoin. GameStop shares rose nearly 20% in after-hours trading following the news. 2️⃣ **Technical analysis:** 🔹 **D Frame**: We can see that although the price has not yet escaped the Sideway zone, the continuous appearance of higher lows is a positive signal to pay attention to. 🔹 **H4 Frame**: After the price reaction at 94x, although the 97x zone has not been penetrated, the price reaction in this area is giving positive signals 🔹 **H1 Frame**: The price structure has a change from bearish to bullish. If the trendline area continues to hold, there is a high possibility that the bulls will continue to dominate next week. 3️⃣ **Trading plan:* ⛔ The economic data released last week brought many fluctuations to the US dollar, but the price of BTC still did not have any significant changes. However, with the current price reaction, we should not apply the trading strategy in the SW price zone anymore. The 2 price zones have been tested quite a lot. This is a sign of an upcoming strong fluctuation ✅ The short-term price structure is in favor of the bulls. We can consider looking for a position if the price structure shows signs. 💪 **Good luck trading!**
by TonyL0ng
XAU#13: First NF under Trump, Gold Heading for $2900?💎 💎 💎 Yesterday OANDA:XAUUSD had a slight correction. The current optimization has an important information which is the first Non-farm data under Trump. We will analyze and find trades for today: 💎 💎 💎 1️⃣ **Basis of analysis:** 📊 Yields may remain at a higher neutral level ⚫Dallas Fed President Logan said that interest rates may be close to neutral and do not need to be cut further, unless the labor market weakens. ⚫Even if the 2% money leaf is completed, the Fed can still maintain current interest rates. 👉 Impact of Trump administration policies ⚫Provided to track the impact of tax policies, tax cuts and import controls to deal with growth and employment. ⚫Uncertainty about how the economy will react to these changes. 🚀 ✅️First Non-Farm Data Under Trump | Forecast Big Change, Gold Heading Towards $2900? 2️⃣ **Technical Analysis:** 🔹 **D Frame**: We have not seen anything significant in yesterday's trading. The D structure price has not changed yet. 🔹 **H4 Frame**: There is a price correction found but has not been able to reach the trend line below. By dark today there will be a Nonfarm news. The price line is still SW and there is no clear sign 🔹 **H1 Frame**: As everyone has seen, the price has broken through the trend line back to the uptrend. But this is the ancient creature area. We need to investigate further to find a better service location 3️⃣ **Trading plan:** ⛔ The current area is not suitable for trading. The price line has adjusted and reacted strongly by breaking the trend of the moderate adjustment rhythm, Prioritize BUY positions, but pay attention before the NF news is announced, the market may sweep both ends. ✅ The first non-agricultural data under Trump is an important news and attracts a lot of market opinions. If the data is weak, gold may rise to 2900; if strong, gold may adjust around 281x~282x. 💪🚀 **Wish you successful trading!**
OANDA:XAUUSD
by TonyL0ng
BTC#10: BTC Adjusts as Analyzed. What's Next!!! 💎 💎 💎 Did you make a profit in the previous post #9? Like and Follow the channel to follow the earliest trading plan. 💎 💎 💎 🔥So BINANCE:BTCUSD BINANCE:BTCUSDT adjusted as analyzed in the previous post. Although there is no information, you can see that the price line reflects many signs, right? :)) . Now let's plan the next step:🔥 1️⃣ **Fundamental analysis:** 📊Trump's tax hike causes traders to seek safety, the crypto market plummets 🔴The US dollar skyrocketed after Donald Trump's tax announcement, pushing many currencies to multi-year lows. This point is believed to be the main reason for the market's lack of liquidity, causing the recent sharp decline 🚀Utah could become the first US state to establish a Bitcoin reserve fund, as the state only has 45 days to decide. The recently passed bill would allow public money to be invested in Bitcoin and other approved cryptocurrencies. 📌 Over $2 billion was liquidated, including $1.8 billion in long positions, as Bitcoin fell from $101,000 to below $92,000. 2️⃣ **Technical Analysis:** 🔹 **D Frame**: Price is still supported at the 91K area, however today's candle close will determine whether this support zone is broken or not 🔹 **H4 Frame**: The bearish structure is easy to recognize. However, the candle pattern is still very bad and there is no positive signal yet. 🔹 **H1 Frame**: The price structure is bearish and there is no reversal signal yet. We will have to wait a long time for the price structure to form before there is a change in trend 3️⃣ **Trading plan:** ⛔The current price structure is absolutely supportive of the bears, so we should not rush to catch the bottom of the support zone. The signs from previous tests are not very positive. We will have to wait for today's D candle to end to see the value of this support zone. ✅ Prioritize finding selling positions in the current area. Tax policy information is not something that can be changed. In the short term, there is no information strong enough to support the cryptocurrency market in general and bitcoin in particular. The lack of liquidity due to tax policy will keep BTC in a correction wave in the near future. 💪 **Wish you successful trading!** 📌 For any questions, please contact directly. I am ready to answer you for free
by TonyL0ng
XAU#9: FED keeps interest rates unchanged. Information supportin💎 💎 💎 The previous plan helps you make a profit. Please like and follow the channel to follow the earliest trading plan 💎 💎 💎 🔥So Gold has returned to the support zone of 2745 and reacted strongly as the previous plan. Here's our next trading plan 🔥 1️⃣ **Fundamental analysis:** 📊 🔴Market speculation that US may impose import tariffs on gold London gold market participants are racing to borrow central bank gold stored in London as gold deliveries to the US surge on speculation that the US may impose import tariffs 🚀 🔴Fed keeps rates unchanged, drops mention of inflation "progress" in policy statement 2️⃣ **Technical analysis:** 🔹 **D frame:** yesterday closed as a Hanging Man candle. However, the price action after this candle still needs market confirmation in today's trading session 🔹 **H4 frame:** The support zone of 2745 is playing an important role. The price is still in an upward structure. 🔹 **H1 frame:** The trendline zone that matches the support of 2745 is showing a strong reaction after the interest rate announcement. If the price can break through the resistance zone above, Gold will have enough momentum to break through the old peak 3️⃣ **Trading plan:** ⛔ In the current area, it will be risky if we take a SELL position here. Although it is also a resistance zone, H4 has a hugging candlestick pattern with an increasing structure. If H4 closes at 2752, we will consider this option later ✅If anyone has an order in the 2745 area, Congratulations!!! You can wait for a higher profit. If not, you can choose to react to test the trendline again on the H1 frame for confirmation. We will wait for a price structure on a small time frame like m15 to establish a position. 💪🚀 **Wish you successful trading!** 📌 For any questions, please contact directly. I am ready to answer for you for free #trading #trade #xauusd #newtrader #newbie #xau #forex #tradingview #plants #trader #tradingforex
OANDA:XAUUSD
by TonyL0ng
USDJPY crosses 200-SMA to refresh 12-week high, focus on 152.00USDJPY has reached its highest point since July 31, rising for the third straight day after breaking the 200-day Simple Moving Average (SMA) early Wednesday. However, a seven-month-old resistance zone around 151.85-152.00 limits further gains of the Yen pair. Bulls need a strong push The US Dollar’s strength and bullish MACD signals keep buyers hopeful. Yet, overbought RSI conditions and tough resistance mean a significant boost is necessary for further upward movement. Without this, the pair could quickly drop below the 200-SMA, leading to short-term selling. Key technical levels to watch In addition to the 200-SMA support at 151.35 and the resistance zone around 151.85-152.00, several important technical levels are crucial for USDJPY traders. The 50% Fibonacci level near 150.80 will attract sellers if the price drops below the 200-SMA, along with the key threshold at 150.00. A drop to around 149.40 is possible if sellers gain control, and if the price falls past this level, September’s high of 147.20 and the 23.6% Fibonacci level at 144.85 will come into focus. On the upside, a close above 152.00 could encourage buyers to target the 61.8% Fibonacci level, or Golden Ratio, near 153.40. If momentum continues, potential targets may include June’s low of 154.55 and the 78.6% level at 157.20. Decisive move ahead… While buyers seem in control, the struggle to surpass key resistance amid overbought conditions and upcoming PMI data could lead to a necessary pullback. Traders should proceed with caution as the next moves in USDJPY will be crucial.
by MTradingGlobal
Bitcoin: BTCUSD bulls struggle amid overbought RSI, $70,100 eyedOn Monday morning, Bitcoin (BTCUSD) experienced slight losses after reaching a three-month high. This movement highlights overbought RSI conditions, indicating weak upside momentum beneath the horizontal resistance area established since early June. Buyers remain hopeful Despite overbought RSI conditions and facing key resistance, Bitcoin (BTCUSD) buyers remain optimistic. The pair is holding above last week’s breakout from a descending resistance line, which is now acting as support around $67,700. Additionally, bullish MACD signals suggest strong buyer momentum. Key technical levels to watch The horizontal resistance around $70,100 is a key barrier for Bitcoin bulls. They should also monitor the $70,000 threshold and recent highs near $72,000 as additional hurdles. If BTCUSD breaks through, the yearly peak near $73,800 and the $75,000 mark will attract buyers' attention. If Bitcoin (BTCUSD) breaks below the former support at around $67,700, it could trigger a short-term decline. Key levels to watch include the previous monthly high near $66,500 and the 200-SMA support around $63,300. If prices fall below $63,300, the next significant support is at $62,500. A move past that could lead to a drop towards the psychological level of $60,000 and potentially a monthly low of around $58,870. Upside potential remains intact Overall, Bitcoin (BTCUSD) buyers are likely to remain in control despite the challenges at key resistance. However, a price pullback is possible if the US Dollar strengthens from this week’s PMIs and Durable Goods Orders data.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
by MTradingGlobal
Bitcoin: BTCUSD surpasses 200-SMA barrier, focus on $65,450Bitcoin (BTCUSD) rises to a five-week high, crossing the 200-day Simple Moving Average (SMA) during a slow trading session on Monday, largely affected by holidays in Japan, the US, and Canada. Notably, Bitcoin formed a Doji candlestick on the weekly chart, hinting at a potential reversal of its losses from late September. Further upside appears lucrative In addition to the weekly Doji candlestick and Bitcoin's recent move above the key moving average, a bullish crossover on the MACD and a strong RSI (14) support BTCUSD buyers. Key technical levels to watch With Bitcoin (BTCUSD) successfully trading above the 200-SMA, buyers are gearing up for a challenge against a four-month-old descending resistance line near $65,450. The previous monthly high of around $66,500 also poses a barrier; breaking through this level could open the door for Bitcoin bulls to target the $70,000 mark, which was tested in July. Conversely, sellers should watch for a drop below the 200-SMA, currently around $63,350. If this happens, the 50% Fibonacci retracement level from the June-August decline and an upward-sloping support line from early August, located near $60,800 and $58,750 respectively, will be crucial for buyers to defend. US Dollar consolidation adds strength to bullish bias In addition to the technical indicators, a quiet economic calendar this week and mixed data from the previous week could lead to the US Dollar’s retreat, which may help boost Bitcoin (BTCUSD) prices.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
by MTradingGlobal
Bitcoin: BTCUSD tests 7-Week uptrend as September wraps upAfter three weeks of gains, Bitcoin (BTCUSD) kicks off the NFP week on a down note. It’s testing the 50-SMA support and approaching the lower end of its seven-week uptrend. Along with the US employment report for September, including the key Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP), Monday's speech by Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell will be crucial for market watchers. Stay tuned! Buyers are struggling to gain traction, while sellers are still holding back Whether it's pre-event nerves or month-end consolidation, Bitcoin buyers are struggling to gain market acceptance as the key week begins. Bearish MACD signals and the price's inability to hold above the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement from July to August are tempting short-term sellers. However, a quick drop in the RSI (14) and strong support levels below make it tough for bears to regain control. Technical levels to watch In the short term, the bottom of the bullish channel around $64,050 is a key support level for potential sellers. Below that, the 200-SMA near the $60,000 mark acts as the last line of defense for buyers. If Bitcoin (BTCUSD) falls below $60,000, a gradual decline toward the monthly low around $52,500 could be on the horizon. For a rebound, Bitcoin needs to break past the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level at about $65,650. If successful, the monthly high of $66,500 and the upper boundary of the bullish channel around $68,900 will attract buyers. If Bitcoin moves past $68,900, it could quickly surpass $70,000 and aim for the yearly high of around $73,800 set in March. Pullback in prices expected Looking ahead, a potential bounce in the US Dollar and some price consolidation could lead to a pullback in BTCUSD. However, the overall bullish trend is likely to continue.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
by MTradingGlobal
USDJPY: Bears flex muscles within five-week-old triangleThe USDJPY currency pair has fallen for the first time in five days after hitting a resistance level on a one-month-old chart pattern. This drop reflects a shift to safer investments as traders await important economic data and deal with the return of full trading activity after a long weekend in the US and Canada. Buyers losing ground Along with the change in market sentiment, a few technical indicators suggest the USDJPY might keep falling. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is moving out of the overbought zone, and the MACD is showing less bullish momentum. However, sellers need to see the price drop below 144.20 to gain control. Technical levels to watch The important support level is 144.20. If the price falls below this, it might continue to drop. The 100-day simple moving average (SMA) at 146.10 is another key level that limits immediate losses. Additional support levels are 144.00 and the August low of around 143.40. If the price drops further, it could target the seven-month low of 141.70 and the psychological level of 140.00. On the contrary, an upside break of the stated triangle’s top line, currently around 147.30, isn’t an open invitation to the USDJPY buyers as the 200-SMA hurdle of 148.80 acts as an extra upside filter. Also challenging the Yen pair buyers is mid-August swing high near 149.40 and the 150.00 round figure. What next? The USDJPY is likely to continue falling and might hit new lows for the year. However, the sellers need confirmation from upcoming US economic data and a break below the key support level of 144.20.
by MTradingGlobal
Gold: Buyers await triangle breakout, Fed inflationGold prices are currently stable within a triangle pattern that's been forming for a week. Traders are waiting for the US Core PCE Price Index data for August, which is the Federal Reserve's preferred measure of inflation. Gold prices have been fluctuating around last week’s record high, and technical indicators like RSI and MACD suggest mixed signals. Buyers are optimistic… Even though gold doesn’t have strong upward momentum right now, last week’s rebound from a key support level, combined with weak US data and a dovish Fed outlook, keeps buyers hopeful. Uncertainty about the global economy and central banks cutting rates also supports this optimism. Key technical levels to watch… Gold’s movement is currently limited between $2,530 and $2,504. If it breaks above $2,530 and stays above the recent peak of $2,532, it could move towards $2,600. The triangle pattern suggests an intermediate target of around $2,590. Meanwhile, a downside break of the stated triangle’s bottom line, close to $2,504, will need validation from the $2,500 psychological magnet and the previous resistance line stretched from mid-July, now support around $2,472, to convince Gold sellers. Even so, a two-month-old ascending trend line surrounding $2,427 will act as the final defense of the buyers. What next? Gold is on a positive path and could reach new highs, especially amid the dovish Fed outlook. Even if the upcoming US inflation data is strong, it might only cause a short-term dip, which could be a new buying opportunity.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by MTradingGlobal
Rising wedge portrays EURUSD buyer’s exhaustion ahead of US dataEURUSD is bouncing back after a big drop, as traders wait for the University of Michigan’s Consumer Sentiment Index and Inflation Expectations for August. This bounce reverses the previous day’s decline from the highest level of 2024 and moves off the bottom of a four-week bearish chart pattern called rising wedge. The RSI indicates that the recent price increase might continue, but the MACD suggests weakening buyer interest. For sellers to take control, they need to break below the wedge’s bottom line at around 1.0960 and the 50-SMA support at 1.0946. If they succeed, they might face challenges at the 200-SMA and an upward trend line near 1.0875 and 1.0830, respectively. After that, the price could drop toward the wedge’s theoretical target of around 1.0700. On the other hand, the 1.1000 level is attracting buyers, with the recent high of 1.1050 in sight. The top line of the wedge near 1.1055 could also act as resistance. Future resistance points include December and July 2023 highs near 1.1140 and 1.1275, and the 1.1200 level might provide a resting point for buyers. Overall, the EURUSD pair is struggling to gain momentum in a bearish pattern ahead of US economic data. Sellers need confirmation from both technical and fundamental factors to take control.
by MTradingGlobal
EURUSD rebounds from key EMAs as bearish channel, US NFP eyedEURUSD remains mildly bid around 1.0830 early Thursday as it defends the previous day’s recovery from the 200-day and 100-day Exponential Moving Averages (EMAs) after the US Federal Reserve’s (Fed) dovish halt of the benchmark rates. It’s worth noting, however, that bearish MACD signals and a week-long descending trend channel challenge the Euro pair buyers ahead of the top-tier activity and employment clues from the US, scheduled for publishing later today and on Friday. That said, the steady RSI (14) line hints at a continuation of the latest rebound. As a result, the bulls should wait for a clear upside break of the stated channel’s top line, close to 1.0855 at the latest, and the US ISM PMIs and Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) data for conviction. Following that, the quote’s gradual run-up toward the 1.0900 threshold can’t be ruled out. However, an upward-sloping resistance line from early April, near 1.0950 by the press time, followed by the 1.1000 threshold, will be tough nuts to crack for the buyers to crack. On the flip side, an area comprising the 100 and 200 EMAs surrounding 1.0810-800 restricts the short-term downside of the EURUSD pair. If the Euro bears manage to smash the stated EMAs on a daily closing basis, the falling channel’s bottom line will act as the final defense of the sellers around 1.0785. It’s worth noting that the 61.8% and 78.6% Fibonacci ratios of the pair’s April-July rise, respectively near 1.0730 and 1.0670, could act as intermediate halts during the pair’s weakness past 1.0785 and on the way to the yearly low marked in April around 1.0600. Overall, EURUSD is likely to remain firmer but the room towards the north appears limited. Also challenging the pair buyers is the cautious mood ahead of the US ISM PMI and employment figures for July.
by MTradingGlobal
Gold extends pullback from all-time high towards sub-$2,400 zoneGold price remains pressured for the third consecutive day while extending the mid-week pullback from an all-time high. In doing so, the spot gold price (XAUUSD) retreats from a three-month-old ascending resistance line backed by the RSI’s U-turn from overbought territory. Apart from that, the US Dollar’s corrective bounce and receding bullish bias of the MACD signals also underpin odds favoring the bullion’s further profit booking. The same highlights a convergence of the 20-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) and a three-week-long rising trend line, close to $2,395. It’s worth mentioning that the $2,400 threshold acts as immediate support while multiple peaks and troughs can challenge the sellers near $2,360 and $2,330-35. Above all, the precious metal bears remain off the table unless witnessing a daily closing beneath an ascending support line from early April, close to $2,300 by the press time. Also acting as the downside filter is the 100-EMA level of $2,296, a break of which will welcome bears with open arms. On the contrary, Gold buyers seek a clear upside break of the three-month-old horizontal support-turned-resistance surrounding $2,431-34 to retake control. Following that, the precious metal’s run-up toward May’s peak of $2,450 and then to the recent swing high near $2,484 can’t be ruled out. However, the RSI conditions and the aforementioned multi-day-old resistance line, at $2,486 as we write, might challenge the XAUUSD bulls past $2,484. Following that, the bullion will be able to pierce the $2,500 round figure. To sum up, further decline in the Gold price appears certain but the bullish trend is less likely to reverse.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by MTradingGlobal
Impending Golden Cross keeps EURUSD bulls hopeful ahead of ECBEURUSD retreats from the highest level in four months as traders await monetary policy announcements from the European Central Bank (ECB) early Thursday. In doing so, the Euro pair justifies the overbought RSI conditions. However, a successful break of a descending resistance line stretched from early January, now immediate support near 1.0890, joins the bullish MACD signals to keep the buyers hopeful. Even if the quote drops beneath 1.0890 resistance-turned-support, a convergence of the 50-SMA and 200-SMA, close to 1.0810-05, will be a tough nut to crack for the bears. It’s worth mentioning that the 50-SMA is approaching the 200-SMA from below and portrays a bullish moving average crossover called “Golden Cross”, which in turn suggests further upside of the major currency pair. Meanwhile, EURUSD bulls can aim for the 1.0980-1.1010 resistance zone during a fresh upside. Following that, 1.1040 and the 1.1100 threshold may act as intermediate halts while directing buyers toward the late 2023 peak of 1.1140. In a case where the Euro pair remains firmer past 1.1140, the odds of witnessing a run-up toward the previous yearly high of 1.1275 and then to the year 2022 top surrounding 1.1495 can’t be ruled out. Overall, EURUSD remains in the upward trajectory despite the pre-ECB pullback. However, the upside room appears limited unless the quote offers a daily closing beyond 1.1010. It should be observed that the ECB is likely to keep the monetary policy unchanged but bears are waiting for the signals of further rate cuts in 2024.
by MTradingGlobal
EURUSD approaches multi-month-old support ahead of Fed inflationEURUSD struggles to defend the first weekly gain in four as sellers appear more inclined to revisit an upward-sloping support line from early October 2023. That said, the Euro pair’s failure to keep Thursday’s rebound from the stated support line joins the bearish MACD signals to keep sellers hopeful ahead of the US Federal Reserve’s (Fed) preferred inflation gauge, namely the Core PCE Price Index. However, a daily closing beneath the aforementioned key technical support surrounding 1.0665 becomes necessary for the bears to tighten their grip. Following that, the quote becomes vulnerable to slump toward the yearly low marked in April around 1.0600. In a case where the downbeat RSI conditions and the stated 1.0600 support fail to stop the sellers, the prices could well aim for the year 2023 to bottom close to 1.0450. Meanwhile, EURUSD recovery remains elusive unless it stays beneath a convergence of the 200 and 100 SMAs, close to 1.0790 by the press time. That said, the 1.0750 and the 1.0800 thresholds are extra upside filters to watch during the quote’s fresh rise in case of the downside US data. It’s worth noting that the Euro pair’s successful run-up beyond 1.0800 will enable buyers to aim for the 50% Fibonacci retracement of late 2023 fall, around 1.0865, but a descending trend line from early January 2024, close to 1.0900, will challenge the upside afterward. Even if the quote manages to remain firmer past 1.0900, an 11-month-long falling resistance line near 1.0990 and the 1.1000 psychological magnet will be tough nuts to crack for the bulls. Overall, EURUSD bears keep the reins ahead of the key US data but the quote’s further downside hinges on the strong US inflation clues and a clear break of the 1.0665 support.
by MTradingGlobal
USDJPY pokes key resistance amid mixed market, light calendarUSDJPY struggles to defend a two-day winning streak and the weekly gains while jostling with a seven-week-old symmetrical triangle’s resistance line early Monday. In doing so, the Yen pair also prints an inability to cross a broad resistance zone comprising tops marked since late April, around 158.00-158.50. However, the quote’s sustained trading beyond the 200-bat Exponential Moving Average (EMA) and the upbeat RSI (14) line keep buyers hopeful beyond witnessing a clear downside break of 156.00. Even so, the aforementioned triangle’s bottom line and an upward-sloping trend line support from late March, respectively near 155.60 and 153.40, will act as the final defense of the bulls before giving control to the bears. Meanwhile, fresh buying in the USDJPY pair will gain momentum beyond 158.50, which in turn could direct buyers toward the 160.00 psychological magnet. However, the latest multi-year peak of 160.20 and the year 1990’s high of near 160.40 could poke the Yen pair buyers afterward. If the quote remains firmer past 160.40, the odds of witnessing a gradual run-up toward the late 1986 peak of 164.50 and then to the 1978 low of 177.00 can’t be ruled out. Overall, the USDJPY remains in a bullish trajectory despite recent inaction.
by MTradingGlobal
Gold stays bullish despite recent pullback, focus on $2,400 Gold price lacks clear directions after retreating from the highest level in a month while snapping a two-day winning streak. In doing so, the XAUUSD eased from a one-month-old horizontal resistance zone surrounding the $2,400 threshold. The pullback also gained strength from the US Dollar’s rebound. However, the bullion still carries an early-week breakout of a descending resistance line from April 12, now immediate support around $2,365. Additionally, keeping the buyers hopeful are the bullish MACD signals and the upbeat RSI (14) line. With this, the quote is likely to prevail on the bull’s radar and can gain more upside strength on crossing the $2,400 hurdle. In that case, the $2,418 and $2,431 will lure the bulls before directing them towards refreshing the all-time high by targeting the $2,500 threshold. It’s worth noting that the Gold price weakness past the resistance-turned-support line of $2,365 won’t open the doors for the sellers as the 21-SMA and an upward-sloping trend line from mid-March, respectively near $2,336 and $2,318, will challenge the commodity’s south-run. Should the precious metal remain bearish past $2,318, the $2,300 round figure and the monthly low of nearly $2,277 will be the final defense of the buyers. Following that, the XAUUSD’s fall toward the late March swing high of $2,222 can’t be ruled out.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by MTradingGlobal