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If Bitcoin Loses This Level: Expect the Biggest Correction YetIf Bitcoin Loses This Level: Expect the Biggest Correction Yet Current Market Overview: Bitcoin is trading above $110,000, maintaining a bullish stance for now. However, short-term momentum looks weak as the market tests crucial support levels. Key Support Zone: The most critical area to watch is $104,000 – $105,000. This zone aligns with the long-term bullish trendline, which has held firm through multiple market corrections. As long as price stays above this trendline, the broader trend remains bullish. Bullish Scenario: If Bitcoin holds above the $104,000 support level, it signals strength and potential continuation of the uptrend. In that case, the next upside target remains around $150,000 in the coming months. Bearish Scenario: If the $104,000 trendline breaks decisively, Bitcoin may enter a deeper correction phase. Downside targets could extend to below $100,000, and in a worst-case scenario, even toward $80,000. Technical Summary: 🔹 Immediate Resistance: $110,000 – $112,500 🔹 Major Support Zone: $104,000 – $105,000 🔹 Trend Bias: Bullish above $104,000 | Bearish below $104,000 🔹 Long-Term Target: $150,000 (if support holds) Trading Insight: This is a decisive zone for Bitcoin. Bulls must defend $104k to maintain structure. Below it, expect volatility and potential trend reversal signals. NFA & DYOR
OKX:BTCUSD.P
by CryptoPatel
Part 2 Ride The Big Moves Key Components of Option Contracts Every option has specific terms that determine its value and use: Underlying Asset: The stock, index, or commodity the option is based on. Strike Price: The pre-decided price at which the buyer can buy or sell the asset. Premium: The price paid to purchase the option. Expiry Date: The date when the option contract ends. Lot Size: The number of shares per contract (e.g., 50 shares for NIFTY options). The value of an option depends on factors such as the market price of the asset, time left to expiry, and volatility. These factors influence whether the option is in-the-money (ITM), at-the-money (ATM), or out-of-the-money (OTM).
NSE:AXISBANKEducation
by SkyTradingZone
BAJFINANCE 1 Week Time Frame 📈 Weekly Technical Levels Resistance Levels: ₹1,036.75 (short-term), ₹1,023.85 (mid-term) Support Levels: ₹1,009.85 (short-term), ₹938 (mid-term), ₹816.86 (long-term) These levels suggest that the stock is trading above its key support zones, indicating a potential continuation of the uptrend. 🔧 Key Technical Indicators RSI (14): 66.57 — approaching overbought territory, but still room for upward movement. MACD: 20.92 — indicates bullish momentum. ADX (14): 31.50 — suggests a strong trend. Supertrend: ₹973.61 — currently bullish. Parabolic SAR: ₹982.79 — supports the bullish trend. Stochastic Oscillator: 84.34 — near overbought levels, indicating potential for a pullback. Commodity Channel Index (CCI): +131.56 — suggests the stock is overbought. These indicators collectively point towards a strong bullish trend, though caution is advised as some indicators approach overbought conditions.
NSE:BAJFINANCELong
by Knowledgehub
RECLTD 1 Week Time Frame 📊 Weekly Support & Resistance Levels Immediate Support: ₹367.92 Key Support: ₹362.88 Immediate Resistance: ₹379.97 Key Resistance: ₹386.98 Weekly Trading Range: ₹355.87 – ₹392.02 🔍 Technical Indicators RSI (14-day): 50.58 — Indicates a neutral momentum MACD: -1.16 — Suggests a bearish trend ADX: 15.79 — Indicates a weak trend Stochastic RSI: 27.40 — Indicates an oversold condition Moving Averages: Both short-term and long-term moving averages are neutral, with no clear buy or sell signals. 📈 Trend Analysis Short-Term Trend: Neutral Mid-Term Trend: Bearish Long-Term Trend: Bearish Resistance Levels: ₹386.7 (short-term), ₹391.55 (mid-term), ₹446.25 (long-term) Support Levels: ₹364.3 (short-term), ₹350 (mid-term), ₹350 (long-term)
NSE:RECLTDLong
by Knowledgehub
LT 1 Day Time Frame 📈 Current Price Snapshot Current Price: ₹3,827.25 Day's Range: ₹3,744.30 – ₹3,841.40 52-Week Range: ₹2,965.30 – ₹3,963.00 Market Cap: ₹5.27 lakh crore Volume: 1,160,071 shares The stock is trading near its 52-week high, reflecting strong bullish momentum. 📊 Technical Indicators Relative Strength Index (RSI): Approximately 70, indicating the stock is in overbought territory. Moving Averages: 50-Day MA: ₹3,650 200-Day MA: ₹3,500 MACD: The MACD line is above the signal line, confirming upward momentum. Pivot Points: Support: ₹3,744 Resistance: ₹3,841 The stock is trading above its moving averages, indicating a strong bullish trend.
NSE:LTLong
by Knowledgehub
GENESYS 1 Month Time Frame 📉 1-Month Performance Price Change: The stock has declined by approximately 15.81% over the past month. INDmoney Recent Trend: Despite the monthly decline, the stock experienced a significant uptick today, closing at ₹575.55, up from ₹479.65. 📊 Technical Indicators (1-Month View) Relative Strength Index (RSI): The RSI is at 23.10, indicating that the stock is in the oversold territory and may be due for a rebound. Moving Averages 20-Day Exponential Moving Average (EMA): ₹526.60 (suggests a sell signal as the current price is below this level). 50-Day EMA: ₹565.84 (also indicates a sell signal). 100-Day EMA: ₹608.98 (further confirming the downtrend). MACD: The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) is at -28.90, suggesting a bearish trend. Pivot Points: Resistance Levels: R1: ₹491.28, R2: ₹505.12, R3: ₹513.33. Support Levels: S1: ₹469.23, S2: ₹461.02, S3: ₹447.18.
NSE:GENESYSLong
by Knowledgehub
HINDUNILVR 1 Day Time Frame 📊 Intraday Price Range Day Range: ₹2,502.60 – ₹2,531.80 VWAP (Volume-Weighted Average Price): ₹2,521.48 🔰 Pivot & Support/Resistance Levels Standard Pivot: ₹2,513.57 Resistance (R1): ₹2,524.83 Resistance (R2): ₹2,540.47 Support (S1): ₹2,497.93 Support (S2): ₹2,486.67 🔁 Technical Outlook Technical Summary: Neutral Moving Averages: Neutral Oscillators: Neutral Overall Rating: Neutral 🔍 Analysis & Strategy Support Zone: ₹2,400–₹2,500 Resistance Zone: ₹2,650–₹2,700 Breakout Target: ₹2,850+ Stop Loss: ₹2,395 (closing basis)
NSE:HINDUNILVRLong
by Knowledgehub
Multi-Timeframe VCP Observations📊 Weekly Time Frame Observations (left panel) - It displays a visible pattern contraction structure, specifically a Volatility Contraction Pattern (VCP), formed over multiple months - An orange trendline marking the descending resistance, and a green line depicting the rising support, which together highlight the range contraction of price - Volume spikes coincide with specific price responses at these zones, denoting heightened activity during volatility periods within the VCP 📈 Daily Time Frame Observations (right panel) - Presents a more compressed Volatility Contraction Pattern (VCP), mirroring the broader weekly setup but over a shorter time span. - Below the blue 200-day exponential moving average ❗ Disclaimer: The above post is strictly observational and does not constitute any trading advice or predictions regarding breakout or price direction.
NSE:QUICKHEALLong
by Averoy_Apoorv_Analysis
LODHA 1 Day View 📈 Current Price & Trend Current Price: ₹1,184.90 Day's Range: ₹1,136.50 – ₹1,168.00 Previous Close: ₹1,142.00 Price Change: +₹42.90 (+3.77%) The stock has shown a positive movement today, indicating a potential short-term bullish trend. 🔍 Technical Indicators RSI (14-day): Approximately 51, suggesting a neutral momentum with no immediate overbought or oversold conditions. MACD: Currently below the signal line, indicating a bearish short-term momentum. Moving Averages: Short-term (14-day): Currently above the long-term (200-day) moving average, suggesting a bullish short-term trend. Long-term (200-day): The price is trading below the long-term moving average, indicating a bearish long-term trend. Stochastic Oscillator: Reading between 45 and 55, suggesting a neutral market condition. 📌 Support & Resistance Levels Support: ₹1,128.70 (based on accumulated volume) Resistance: ₹1,145.00 (based on accumulated volume) 📊 Trading Outlook The stock is expected to trade within a range of ₹1,126.95 to ₹1,157.05, with a potential move of ±2.67% from the last closing price. ⚠️ Risk & Outlook Risk: Medium, with average daily volatility of approximately 2.77%. Outlook: The stock is showing a neutral to slightly bullish short-term outlook, with mixed signals from various indicators. Traders should monitor key support and resistance levels around ₹1,128.70 and ₹1,145.00, respectively.
NSE:LODHALong
by TechnicalExpress
Policy Developments in Derivatives and Commodities MarketsIntroduction The derivatives and commodities markets are critical components of the global financial system. They provide essential tools for risk management, price discovery, and investment diversification. Derivatives—contracts whose value derives from underlying assets like commodities, equities, or currencies—enable participants to hedge against price volatility. Commodities markets, on the other hand, facilitate trading in raw materials such as oil, metals, and agricultural products. Over the past few decades, these markets have witnessed significant evolution in both their structure and regulatory frameworks. Policymakers and regulatory authorities across the globe have introduced reforms to enhance transparency, reduce systemic risk, and promote market efficiency. These policy developments have become increasingly important in light of financial crises, technological advancements, globalization of markets, and growing participation from retail investors. 1. Historical Context of Derivatives and Commodities Regulation The regulation of derivatives and commodities markets has evolved in response to market crises and structural changes. Historically, commodities trading, especially in agricultural products, was lightly regulated, primarily aimed at preventing fraud and market manipulation. In contrast, modern derivative markets grew exponentially in the 1980s and 1990s with the rise of financial engineering and complex instruments like options, swaps, and futures. Major events that shaped policy include: The 1987 Stock Market Crash: Highlighted the need for robust oversight of derivative instruments and their impact on financial markets. The 2008 Global Financial Crisis: Exposed systemic risks inherent in over-the-counter (OTC) derivatives markets, prompting regulators to focus on transparency, collateralization, and centralized clearing mechanisms. Commodity Price Volatility: Sharp swings in oil, metals, and agricultural products prices led to government interventions to stabilize markets, protect consumers, and ensure fair trading practices. These events underscored the importance of developing robust regulatory frameworks to safeguard market integrity while fostering innovation. 2. Objectives of Policy Developments Regulatory policies in derivatives and commodities markets aim to achieve several key objectives: Market Integrity: Preventing manipulation, insider trading, and fraudulent practices. Transparency: Ensuring that market participants have access to accurate and timely information about prices, trading volumes, and open positions. Financial Stability: Reducing systemic risk that arises from excessive leverage, interconnected financial institutions, and OTC derivatives exposures. Consumer Protection: Safeguarding investors, particularly retail participants, from misleading practices or excessive risk exposure. Promotion of Market Efficiency: Ensuring smooth price discovery and liquidity in the markets. Alignment with International Standards: Harmonizing domestic regulations with global best practices set by organizations such as the International Organization of Securities Commissions (IOSCO) and the Financial Stability Board (FSB). 3. Key Policy Developments in Derivatives Markets 3.1 Introduction of Central Clearing One of the most significant reforms after the 2008 financial crisis was the push for central clearing of standardized OTC derivatives. Central counterparties (CCPs) act as intermediaries between buyers and sellers, reducing counterparty risk. Regulatory frameworks such as Dodd-Frank Act (USA, 2010) and the European Market Infrastructure Regulation (EMIR, EU, 2012) mandated clearing of certain interest rate and credit derivatives through CCPs. Impact: Reduced systemic risk from bilateral exposures. Standardized collateral requirements. Improved market transparency. 3.2 Trade Reporting and Transparency Regulators worldwide have introduced mandatory trade reporting requirements to enhance transparency in derivatives markets. Trade repositories collect and publish data on derivative transactions, including notional amounts, counterparties, and trade dates. Examples of regulatory measures: Dodd-Frank Act: Requires real-time reporting of swaps transactions to swap data repositories. EMIR: Obligates EU market participants to report derivative trades to trade repositories. Impact: Increased market visibility. Facilitated monitoring of systemic risk and market abuse. 3.3 Margin and Collateral Requirements To mitigate counterparty risk, regulators have introduced margin requirements for both cleared and non-cleared derivatives. Initial margin protects against potential default losses, while variation margin ensures that daily gains and losses are settled. Impact: Reduced excessive leverage in derivatives trading. Promoted financial stability and investor confidence. 3.4 Standardization of Contracts Policy frameworks encourage the standardization of derivative contracts to facilitate central clearing and improve liquidity. Standardization covers contract size, settlement dates, underlying asset definitions, and documentation standards. Impact: Easier to trade on exchanges or through CCPs. Lower operational and legal risks for participants. 3.5 Risk-Based Supervision Regulators are increasingly adopting risk-based approaches to monitor derivative markets. This involves focusing on systemically important institutions, products, and trading strategies that could pose the greatest risk to financial stability. Impact: Efficient use of regulatory resources. Early identification and mitigation of systemic threats. 4. Key Policy Developments in Commodities Markets 4.1 Position Limits and Speculation Controls Excessive speculative trading can destabilize commodity prices. Regulators have introduced position limits to restrict the number of contracts a participant can hold in futures markets. These limits aim to prevent market manipulation and excessive concentration of risk. Examples: Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) in the US sets speculative position limits for energy, metals, and agricultural contracts. Securities and Exchange Board of India (SEBI) imposes position limits in commodity futures markets to curb volatility. 4.2 Market Surveillance and Anti-Manipulation Measures Commodity exchanges and regulators have strengthened market surveillance to detect and prevent price manipulation, spoofing, and front-running. Sophisticated monitoring systems track trading patterns in real-time to identify anomalies. Impact: Enhanced investor confidence. Reduced market distortions caused by artificial price movements. 4.3 Integration with Global Markets Globalization of commodities trading has prompted harmonization of regulations across borders. Policymakers focus on aligning rules regarding contract specifications, reporting, and settlement to facilitate international participation. Examples: Cross-border recognition of clearinghouses. Adoption of international standards on warehouse receipts and quality certification for agricultural commodities. 4.4 Commodity Derivatives for Hedging and Risk Management Governments encourage the use of commodity derivatives for legitimate hedging purposes by producers, consumers, and traders. Policy initiatives include reducing regulatory burdens for hedgers while monitoring speculative activities. Impact: Enhanced price discovery and risk management. Support for farmers, manufacturers, and energy companies in managing input costs. 4.5 Technological Innovations and Policy Adaptation Digital trading platforms, algorithmic trading, and blockchain-based commodity exchanges have transformed the market landscape. Regulators are adapting policies to address new risks, including cyber threats, algorithmic market manipulation, and transparency challenges in decentralized trading. Impact: Improved market efficiency and accessibility. Necessitated development of technology-driven monitoring tools. 5. Emerging Trends in Policy Development Sustainability and ESG Integration: Policies increasingly emphasize environmental, social, and governance (ESG) compliance. Commodity trading in carbon credits, renewable energy certificates, and ESG-linked derivatives is growing. Retail Participation Regulation: With growing retail interest in commodities and derivatives, regulators are introducing education initiatives, leverage limits, and product suitability requirements. Cross-Market Risk Management: Integrated policies are addressing interconnected risks between derivatives, commodities, and other financial markets. Global Coordination: Bodies like the IOSCO and FSB coordinate policy frameworks to prevent regulatory arbitrage and systemic instability. 6. Challenges in Policy Implementation Despite significant reforms, regulators face several challenges: Complexity of Derivative Products: Highly customized contracts are difficult to monitor and standardize. Global Market Fragmentation: Different jurisdictions have varied regulatory standards, creating arbitrage opportunities. Technological Disruptions: High-frequency trading, AI-based strategies, and decentralized exchanges introduce new risks. Balancing Innovation and Risk: Policymakers must ensure that innovation is not stifled while protecting market participants. 7. Conclusion Policy developments in derivatives and commodities markets have transformed these markets into safer, more transparent, and efficient mechanisms for risk management and investment. Central clearing, trade reporting, margin requirements, and position limits have enhanced market integrity and financial stability. Regulatory emphasis on transparency, standardization, and risk-based supervision has reduced systemic threats while fostering investor confidence. As these markets continue to evolve with globalization, technological innovation, and ESG integration, policymakers must remain agile. Future regulatory frameworks are likely to focus on harmonizing global standards, enhancing surveillance capabilities, promoting sustainability, and safeguarding retail participants. Effective policy development in derivatives and commodities markets not only mitigates risks but also ensures that these markets continue to serve as vital tools for price discovery, hedging, and economic growth.
CRYPTO:BTCUSDEducation
by TechnicalExpress
XAUUSD – Continues to set ATH XAUUSD – Continues to set ATH, prioritise buying according to POC 4,146–4,148 🟡 Gold continues to make higher highs after a strong rise in the Asian session; the upward channel structure remains intact. On H1, POC ~4,147–4,148 is the nearest support point; above is the resistance cluster according to FE 1.618 ~4,186 and the sell zone 4,221–4,240. Key levels Support: 4,146–4,148 (POC) • 4,140 (short-term invalid). Resistance/targets: 4,166 • 4,186 (FE 1.618) • 4,188–4,200 • 4,221 (sell scalping) • 4,240 (sell zone). Trading scenarios Buy 1 – POC pullback Entry 4,146–4,148 | SL 4,140 | TP 4,166 → 4,188 → 4,200 → 4,245. If it pulls back to POC and H1 shows a confirmation candle/mid-trendline support, prioritise buying. Buy 2 – Shallow retest If the price only dips ~4,160–4,162 then rebounds above POC, additional buying is possible with SL 4,152, TP as above. Sell reaction (higher risk) Entry 4,240 | SL 4,250 | TP 4,222 → 4,200 → 4,188 → 4,160. Only trigger when there is a clear rejection signal at 4,221–4,240; this is a counter-trend trade. Invalidation & management Buying bias weakens when H1 closes below 4,140 or breaks the lower channel edge. After TP1, move SL to entry; avoid chasing price in the 4,18x–4,20x area when volume is thin. 🎯 Quick context The upward momentum is maintained due to expectations of the Fed ending QT/looser conditions and safe haven flows; however, the 4,221–4,240 area may create a short-term reaction before the uptrend continues. Trade well with this scenario!
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by LiamTradingFX
Bitcoin LTF Analysis & Market OutlookBitcoin LTF Analysis & Market Outlook #Bitcoin still doesn’t look strong on LTF, and I’m expecting some more downside movement in the coming days. So if you’re holding high leverage longs, manage them carefully and always use strict stop loss. Here’s the key structure to watch: Resistance 1: $116,000 If CRYPTOCAP:BTC fails to break and hold above this level, momentum stays weak and we could revisit the $100,000 zone again. Resistance 2: $122,500 Only a confirmed breakout above this level can trigger the next leg toward a new ATH around $150,000. Until then, play defense. Avoid emotional trades, don’t gamble with your hard-earned money, and only take entries backed by clear confluence, strategy, and discipline. Remember: The market always rewards patience, not greed. Stay alert, follow structure, and let the setup come to you.
Short
by CryptoPatel
ALGO Swing Trade Setup — Support Bounce OpportunityWe see a strong support zone forming around $0.186 – $0.195, which has been tested multiple times in the past. This area is acting as a potential springboard for a bullish reversal. If price respects this zone, we may see momentum carry ALGO upward toward key resistance areas. Entry Zone: $0.186 – $0.195 Target 1: $0.225 – $0.26 Target 2: $0.285 – $0.33 Stop Loss: Just below $0.18, invalidating the setup if price breaks lower
Long
by Richtv_official
Option Trading What Is an Option? An option is a contract between two parties: the buyer and the seller (writer). It gives the buyer the right—but not the obligation—to buy or sell an underlying asset at a predetermined price (called the strike price) before or on a specific date (called the expiry date). There are two main types of options: Call Option – gives the buyer the right to buy the asset. Put Option – gives the buyer the right to sell the asset.
NSE:BANKNIFTYEducation
by SkyTradingZone
1
Part 1 Candle Stick PatternRisks and Rewards in Option Trading Option trading offers tremendous potential—but it comes with unique risks. Understanding these is essential: Limited Time: Options lose value as expiry nears due to time decay (Theta). Volatility Risk: Sudden drops in volatility can reduce option prices unexpectedly. Liquidity Risk: Some options have low trading volume, making it difficult to enter or exit positions. Leverage Effect: Options amplify both gains and losses. Margin Requirements (for Sellers): Option writers must maintain sufficient margin, as potential losses can be large.
FXOPEN:XAUUSDEducation
by SkyTradingZone
RGL 1 Day Time Frame📊 Intraday Price Movement Opening Price: ₹135.00 Day's Range: ₹131.60 – ₹139.21 Previous Close: ₹135.46 Volume Traded: Approximately 711,000 shares Market Cap: ₹1,453.32 crore 🔧 Technical Indicators Relative Strength Index (RSI): 72.25, indicating potential overbought conditions Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD): 0.82, suggesting a bullish trend. Support Levels: ₹130.00 and ₹131.60 Resistance Levels: ₹135.46 and ₹139.21 📈 52-Week Range High: ₹207.40 Low: ₹103.01
NSE:RGLLong
by Knowledgehub
ITC 1 Day Time Frame📊 Key Support & Resistance Levels Support Levels: ₹398.30, ₹399.25, ₹397 Resistance Levels: ₹401, ₹402, ₹403 The stock is currently near the support zone, indicating potential for a short-term rebound if buying pressure increases. 📈 Pivot Points (Classic Method) Pivot Point: ₹399.58 Resistance Levels: R1: ₹400.62, R2: ₹401.98, R3: ₹403.02 Support Levels: S1: ₹398.22, S2: ₹397.18, S3: ₹395.82 Trading below the pivot point suggests a bearish bias.
NSE:ITCLong
by Knowledgehub