Gold prices fall sharply due to pressure from USD World gold prices are under downward pressure in the context of a stronger USD and rising US bond yields. The US CPI index in October increased by 0.2%, pushing inflation in the year to 2.6% as expected. This, along with the possibility of new taxes from the administration of President-elect Donald Trump, is making investors believe that the FED may pause interest rate cuts, leading to gold prices falling for four consecutive sessions.
On the morning of November 14, the world gold price fell to 2,573 USD/ounce, down 46 USD from the previous session's high of 2,619 USD/ounce.
On the daily chart, the gold price has broken the uptrend channel and is currently continuing to decline. The next support levels are at 2,492 USD and 2,444 USD/ounce. If the price holds above this support level, a short-term recovery may occur. However, if the price continues to break these levels, the downtrend is likely to continue.
Trading
Gold Hits 7-Week Low Amid Rising Yields and Dollar PressureGold prices are under pressure as the US dollar strengthens, US Treasury yields rise to 4.5%, and demand for gold from China declines. In the recent trading session, gold prices fluctuated sharply, falling to a 7-week low of $2,599/ounce. Market sentiment is gradually losing confidence in gold, with many investors selling off to preserve capital.
In addition, US stocks also weakened as the Dow Jones and S&P 500 both fell, adding more pressure to gold. If factors such as the US dollar do not decrease and gold demand does not recover, the possibility of gold prices continuing to decline is still very high in the short term.
In the short term, gold prices are likely to continue to be under downward pressure if the US dollar maintains its strength and US bond yields remain high. The nearest important support level could be the $2,580/ounce area. If the price breaks this level, the downtrend could extend to lower levels, towards the $2,550 area. Conversely, if there is significant buying pressure, gold could recover slightly, but the possibility of maintaining a strong upward momentum is low as economic factors remain unfavorable for this precious metal.
EUR/USD: Double Top Pattern Signals Strong Bearish MomentumLooking at the current EUR/USD chart, I see that a double top pattern has formed, marking a strong reversal in the trend. After hitting the resistance zone at 1.1200, the price rejected that high and dropped to the support zone around 1.0700. Currently, the pair is within this support zone, but there are signs of further downside.
The EMA 34 and EMA 89 are both pointing down, reflecting that the downtrend is still dominant in the medium and long term. This shows that selling pressure is very strong and the price is likely to continue to correct further down.
If the support zone at 1.0700 is completely broken, my next target is expected to be around 1.0500. This is an important psychological support zone, and if it continues to fail, selling pressure will push the price down even lower. In the short term, I will wait to see if the price recovers slightly, but the main strategy is still to wait to sell when the price breaks the support levels.
EUR/USD Potential Support Break in Descending Triangle PatternBased on the current EUR/USD chart, I notice that the pair is moving within a descending triangle pattern, a potential sign of a continuation of the downtrend. This is reinforced by the position of the 34 EMA and 89 EMA, both of which are sloping down and above the current price. This bearish bias suggests that selling pressure is overwhelming the market.
With EUR/USD continuing to decline within the triangle, I believe that there is a possibility that the price will break the support at the lower edge of the triangle, especially since the pair has failed to break above the 34 EMA. The next important support level could be around 1.0600. If it breaks, EUR/USD is likely to continue to decline further.
Gold Faces Sharp Downward Pressure as USD, Stocks Sink CapitalLooking at the recent gold price chart, I noticed that the downward trend of gold is becoming clearer. Currently, gold is trading around 2,622 USD/ounce, marking a significant decline, especially when the USD Index rose to 105.5 points. With the strength of the USD reaching its highest level in more than 4 months, gold prices have been under great pressure from the greenback.
Another important factor is the impact from the energy and stock markets. Crude oil prices fell to 68 USD/barrel, combined with the recovery of US stocks, creating momentum for capital flows into assets with more attractive returns, reducing the attractiveness of gold.
In addition, demand from China also contributed to increasing pressure on gold prices. The Chinese central bank has suspended gold purchases for six consecutive months, reducing demand. As a result, investors quickly took profits and sold gold, contributing to this sharp decline.
In the short term, I believe the next support level for gold could be around $2,600/ounce. However, given current macroeconomic factors and pressure from other markets, gold is likely to continue to struggle to maintain its growth momentum.
GBP/USD Facing Bearish Pressure, Testing Key SupportLooking at the GBP/USD chart, I see that the pair is in a downtrend and is facing a strong resistance zone around 1.2920. The price has formed a descending structure with lower highs and lower lows, along with moving below the 34 and 89 EMAs, indicating that the bearish momentum is still strong.
The key support zone is currently located in the range of 1.2880–1.2900, which could act as a buffer in the short term. If the price breaks this zone, GBP/USD could continue its downward trend, with the nearest target at 1.2800.
Conversely, if this support zone holds and buying pressure appears, I will be watching for a possible recovery to the 1.2950 resistance zone. However, I still favor the bearish scenario due to pressure from the larger trend and weakening bullish momentum.
USD/JPY Faces Resistance, Upcoming Trend May Correct DownLooking at the USD/JPY chart, I notice that the pair is currently approaching a strong resistance zone near 154.0. The price has reached this zone and is showing signs of turning around, which could signal a weakening of the current bullish momentum. Furthermore, both the 34 EMA and 89 EMA are below the price, indicating that the uptrend is still in place, but it seems to be starting to weaken as it meets resistance.
Given the current situation, I am looking at a short-term downside correction in USD/JPY. If the pair fails to break above the resistance at 154.0 and continues to be under selling pressure, we could see the price fall to the support zone around 153.0 or lower. This is the area that I will be looking at for buying opportunities if the price shows signs of recovery.
USD/JPY Double Top Pattern PredictionFrom my observation on the USD/JPY chart, there are signs that the pair may be forming a double top pattern. The current key top is around 156.0 – this is a strong resistance level that the price has reached twice without being able to break out. This is a warning sign for a possible reversal, especially when buying pressure starts to wane.
With the double top pattern, if the price drops and breaks through the support area near 152.0, I think there is a high chance that the pattern will be confirmed. In this scenario, the downtrend could continue, and the price could head towards the lower support area around 151.0. That would be a point where I would consider entering a short position if the downtrend is confirmed.
Gold Faces Strong Selling Pressure, Heading Towards Key SupportGold is facing strong selling pressure below a descending trendline defined by lower highs. All three approaches to this trendline were rejected, indicating strong short-term selling pressure.
With the current selling pressure, I think there is a high possibility that the price will continue its downtrend and head towards a strong support zone around $2,650/ounce. If this support zone is broken, the downtrend could push the price further down, towards $2,620 or even lower.
Will we get Breakout this time in Bitcoin?Hello Everyone i hope you all will be doing good. From now i will always gonna to be put my analysis on Cryptos as well. Today i have brought analysis on Bitcoin. Right now BTC is trading at very important resistance zone, this time possibility is very high for breakout. if you check weekly analysis, you will get that price is forming vcp kind of pattern and it seems we have reached in that area where prices can give breakout and price should move very heavily for upside. Any breakout in Btc can take it towards 80k+ and finally it can find resistance at 84k..
I already have written this on chart but pasting it here as well for reference.
(Higher Probability for breakout
this time. But i think everyone
should wait for perfect level to get
long entry. on 7th june btcusdt has
made high at 71997, i think we should
wait to surpass this level for more
confirmation. In case of breakout and
good entry then 67500 can be best stop
Loss, for short term, and 64665 can be
best stop loss for medium term to long term.)
Disclaimer:- Please always do your own analysis or consult with your financial advisor before taking any kind of trades.
Dear traders, If you like my work then do not forget to hit like and follow me, and guy's let me know what do you think about this idea in comment box, i would be love to reply all of you guy's.
Thankyou.
EUR/USD Bearish Pressure, Testing SupportLooking at the current EUR/USD chart, I see that the pair is facing some pretty clear bearish pressure. After a sharp decline, the price has reached the support zone around 1.0700 and is currently showing signs of a slight recovery. However, it is worth noting that the resistance zone near 1.0800 - 1.0820 above, combined with the 34 and 89 EMAs, is likely to create strong selling pressure for EUR/USD.
If the price fails to overcome this resistance level and shows signs of weakness, I expect a new bearish wave to form, pulling EUR/USD back down to the support zone at 1.0700 and possibly even lower to 1.0580. This is the next important support zone that I will be watching closely.
In the current situation, my trading strategy will be to wait for price reaction at the resistance zone of 1.0800 - 1.0820. If price rejection signals appear, I will consider short-term sell orders with the nearest target at 1.0700 and a potential further target at 1.0580.
Gold Price Tests Upward Channel SupportLooking at the current gold price chart, I see that the price is in a stable upward channel, with support near the 34-day EMA and the lower trend line. Gold is currently correcting near the lower boundary of the channel around $2,670, and this could be a key point to watch to see if the price bounces.
If the price holds and recovers from this area, I think the next target would be the $2,800 area at the upper boundary of the channel.
GBP/USD Waiting for Breakout in Downward ChannelGBP/USD is currently moving within a downward channel with resistance around 1.3000 and support at 1.2850. If the price breaks the upper channel boundary, an uptrend could be formed, with the target of reaching higher highs. Conversely, if the support at the lower boundary is broken, the downtrend could resume, pushing the price lower. The EMAs (34 and 89) are sloping downwards, indicating weak bullish momentum. Traders should keep a close eye on the channel boundaries to determine the next move.
Gold Price Plunges Under Pressure From Rising USD and US StocksThe current chart shows that gold prices are under great pressure as the USD Index surged to 105.12, making the USD stronger. This has reduced the attractiveness of gold to international investors. In addition, optimism about the US economic outlook under President Donald Trump and expectations that the FED will pause interest rate cuts have also contributed to the decline in gold prices.
The next important support level is at the $2,620/ounce area, a price level that has previously produced a rebound. If the price falls to this level, this could be the point where traders wait to see if there is enough buying pressure to create a temporary recovery. However, if the price breaks the $2,620 level, the price is likely to continue to fall further, towards lower support levels such as $2,600 or $2,580/ounce.
Given the current economic factors and the growth outlook of the USD, gold may continue to be under pressure in the coming time, especially when the demand for holding USD is still increasing.
EUR/USD Breaks Upward ChannelBased on the current chart of EUR/USD, the price has broken the upward channel and is in a downward correction trend. With the current selling pressure, EUR/USD is likely to continue falling towards the support zone around 1.0700 – 1.0720. If the price continues to be under pressure and fails to overcome the resistance at 1.0800, a deeper decline scenario is very likely.
Short Term to Long Term Chart Analysis of CreditAccess Grameen.Hello Everyone, I hope you all will be doing good in your life and your trading as well, today i have brought a stock which has come at important support zone right now, I already have mention everything on chart, but let's discuss here as well in details. If you Check Stock is corrected almost 46% from all time high (1796) zone and made low at (911), today's closing is (947.35).
Currently stock is giving very good opportunity to accumulate on discounted price and hold for long term, This can be SIP stock also if anybody wants to do in it. we might not gonna to see these prices again.
Let's talk about some fundamentals
1:- P/E ratio is 11.34
2:- P/E ratio is 11.34 which is lower than it's 5 years Average P/E 31.77
3:- P/B ratio is 2.1655 which is lower than it's 5 years Average P/B 2.57
4:- P/E ratio is 11.3434 which is lower than it's Industry P/E 24.11
5:- Interest Coverage ratio 2.12 is higher than last year's Interest Coverage Ratio 1.91
6:- ROCE is 14.76%
7:- ROCE 14.76% has increased as compared to last year's ROCE 12.06%
8:- ROE is 24.87%
9:- ROE 14.76% has increased as compared to last year's ROE 12.06%
10:- ROCE 14.76% is higher than 5 years ROCE average 11.01%
11:- ROE 24.87% is higher than 5 years ROE average 13.81%
12:- PEG ratio is 0.25
13:- Operating Profit Margin (EBITDA Margin) is 72.05%
14:- Operating Profit Margin (EBITDA Margin) 72.05% has improved as compared to last year's OPM 66.73%
15:- Company is expected to give good quarter
16:- NPM is 27.99%
17:- Net Profit Margin (PAT Margin) 27.99% has improved as compared to last year's NPM 23.3%
18:- Dividend Yield is 1.05%
19:- Annual Sales has grown by 45.74%
20:- Annual Profit has grown over by 75.06%
21:- 3 Years Sales CAGR is 44.73%
22:- 3 Years Profit CAGR is 62.98%
23:- Quarterly Sales has grown over by 16.55% YoY
24:- Retail/Public have reduced their stakes by 1.39% in the latest quarter (16.25% to 14.86%)
25:- Promoters + FIIs + DIIs hold 92.16% in the company
Market Leader
The company is India’s largest NBFC Microfinance Institution with a total gross loan portfolio of Rs. ~26,700 Cr in FY24 vs Rs. ~16,500 Cr in FY22. It holds a 6% market share in the overall microfinance industry.
Customers
As of FY24, the company has an active borrower base of ~49 lakhs vs 38 lakhs in FY22. Rural borrowers account for ~84% of its total borrower base, ~28% are unique borrowers of the company.
Branch Network
As of FY24, the company has a network of ~1,960 branches (vs ~1,600 branches in FY22) across 16 States, 1 UT, and 383 Districts.
Outlook
The company expects a loan portfolio growth of 23% to 24% in FY25 and an NIM of 12.8% to 12.9%. Over FY25 to FY28, it anticipates a loan portfolio growth of 20% to 25%, and NIMs in the range of 12.7% to 12.9%.
Disclaimer:- Please always do your own analysis or consult with your financial advisor before taking any kind of trades.
Dear traders, If you like my work then do not forget to hit like and follow me, and guy's let me know what do you think about this idea in comment box, i would be love to reply all of you guy's.
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Nifty option chain is considered to be the best advance warning system of sharp moves or break outs in the index.