Catching the Uptrend Amid Expectations of Interest Rate CutsIn the context of the global economy witnessing major adjustments from central banks, gold prices continued to experience a spectacular week of price increases, reaching a new record high. The main reasons were the weak dollar and the continuous decline in US Treasury bond yields, combined with the tense geopolitical situation between Israel and Hezbollah.
At the end of the trading session on September 23 at Kitco, gold recorded a price of 2,625.00 USD/ounce, slightly up 3.60 USD. The market is waiting for new signals from the US Federal Reserve (Fed) this week, especially the upcoming speech of Chairman Jerome Powell, along with the announcement of PCE price index data, an inflation measure that the Fed is particularly interested in.
Technical analysis from the current chart shows that gold is trading right at a key resistance level, with a strong upside momentum supported by the 34 EMA and 89 EMA, which are acting as key support levels. Given the current economic and geopolitical factors, gold could continue its upward momentum if the upcoming monetary policy meetings of the Fed and other central banks yield further monetary easing decisions. Further rate cuts could further strengthen the buying interest in gold as a safe-haven asset.
If gold breaks the current resistance level, the next target could be around $2,700/oz. In case the price falls below the supporting EMAs, one needs to keep a close eye on the support level at $2,560/oz, which could provide an ideal entry point for long positions.
