EURUSD rebounds from key EMAs as bearish channel, US NFP eyedEURUSD remains mildly bid around 1.0830 early Thursday as it defends the previous day’s recovery from the 200-day and 100-day Exponential Moving Averages (EMAs) after the US Federal Reserve’s (Fed) dovish halt of the benchmark rates. It’s worth noting, however, that bearish MACD signals and a week-long descending trend channel challenge the Euro pair buyers ahead of the top-tier activity and employment clues from the US, scheduled for publishing later today and on Friday. That said, the steady RSI (14) line hints at a continuation of the latest rebound. As a result, the bulls should wait for a clear upside break of the stated channel’s top line, close to 1.0855 at the latest, and the US ISM PMIs and Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) data for conviction. Following that, the quote’s gradual run-up toward the 1.0900 threshold can’t be ruled out. However, an upward-sloping resistance line from early April, near 1.0950 by the press time, followed by the 1.1000 threshold, will be tough nuts to crack for the buyers to crack.
On the flip side, an area comprising the 100 and 200 EMAs surrounding 1.0810-800 restricts the short-term downside of the EURUSD pair. If the Euro bears manage to smash the stated EMAs on a daily closing basis, the falling channel’s bottom line will act as the final defense of the sellers around 1.0785. It’s worth noting that the 61.8% and 78.6% Fibonacci ratios of the pair’s April-July rise, respectively near 1.0730 and 1.0670, could act as intermediate halts during the pair’s weakness past 1.0785 and on the way to the yearly low marked in April around 1.0600.
Overall, EURUSD is likely to remain firmer but the room towards the north appears limited. Also challenging the pair buyers is the cautious mood ahead of the US ISM PMI and employment figures for July.
Trading
USDJPY drops and pops from 200-SMA on BoJ rate hike, Fed eyedUSDJPY defends the previous day’s retreat from a three-week-old falling resistance line even after the pair’s volatile move post-Bank of Japan (BoJ) announcements. It’s worth noting that the Bank of Japan (BoJ) raised its benchmark rate to 0.25%, from 0.10%, on Wednesday and drowned the Yen pair toward the 200-SMA during the first few minutes. However, the Japanese central bank’s decision to taper bond purchases and cautious tone of economic assessment triggered the quote’s rebound afterward. The US Dollar’s weakness ahead of the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) monetary policy meeting also allowed the pair to drop to a multi-day low before bouncing off the key moving average of 151.60. It’s worth noting, however, that the nearly oversold RSI (14) line signals limited downside room for the pair past the 200-SMA support of 151.60. The same highlights the aforementioned short-term resistance line surrounding 153.60 as an immediate hurdle to watch for the buyer’s entry. Following that, the pair’s gradual run-up toward the 100-SMA and previous support line stretched from December 2023, around 155.65 and 158.80 respectively.
Meanwhile, the USDJPY pair’s daily closing beneath the 200-SMA support of 151.60 will need validation from 5.5-month-old horizontal support near 151.00-150.90 to keep the sellers on board. Following that, the quote’s weakness toward the 61.8% Fibonacci ratio of late 2023 to July 2024 upside, surrounding 148.50, and then to March’s low of near 146.45 can’t be ruled out. It should be observed that the 150.00 psychological magnet will act as an extra filter toward the south.
Overall, USDJPY fails to cheer the BoJ’s rate hike and bounces off the key SMA amid oversold RSI conditions. The same suggests the quote’s further recovery if buyers manage to cross the immediate resistance line and gain support from the hawkish FOMC announcements.
CLEAN SCIENCE - About to enter Stage-2 after big Accumulation ? The analysis is done on Weekly TF.
The purpose of sharing this analysis is to make viewers understand the stage concept
Legendary Trader - Stan Weinstein has introduced this concept of Stage analysis of a stock.
A stock goes through 4 stages in its lifetime and the cycle repeats.
Check below charts to understand the concept and results better -
1) CAMS -
2) GUJGASLTD -
The stock - CLEAN SCIENCE has been in accumulation phase for more than 570 days and now seems to be coming out of its stage-1 and entering into Stage-2
A stock moves fastest in its stage-2 and hence a stock entering stage-2 should always be on our radar for opportunities if we want to make good money.
This concept of Stage analysis has been used by many traders/investors like Mark Minervini and others.
The above analysis is purely for educational purpose. Traders must do their own study & follow risk management before entering into any trade
Checkout my other ideas to understand how one can earn from stock markets with simple trade setups. Feel Free to comment below this or connect with me for any query or suggestion regarding this stock or Price Action Analysis.
NITINSPIN Ready to FlyHey Family, there is a one more stock Which is showing a great opportunity.
Key Points:-
* Formation of Range Bound in daily & Weekly TF.
* From Dec 2023 to July 2024 its in range.
* From Feb 2024 to July 2024 Tested & Moving Resistance Many times.
* It's Break resistance Zone and trying to Sustain above Resistance Zone with good volume.
* Volume Accumulation (Volume is Rising).
What is your view please comment it down and also boost the idea this help to motivate us. We are Certified. All views shared on this channel are my personal opinion and is shared for educational purpose and should not be considered advise of any nature.
Ascending Triangle pattern breakout in HINDPETROHINDUSTAN PETROLIUM LTD
Key highlights: 💡⚡
✅On 1 Day Time Frame Stock Showing Breakout of Ascending Triangle Pattern.
✅Strong Bullish Candlestick Form on this timeframe.
✅It can give movement up to the Breakout target of 480+.
✅Can Go Long in this Stock by placing a stop loss below 370-.
GBPUSD drops to resistance-turned-support with eyes on Fed, BoEGBPUSD remains pressured after refreshing a three-week low the previous day. In doing so, the Cable pair extends the mid-week retreat from a year-long horizontal resistance while posting the first daily closing beneath the 21-SMA since July 02, 2024. Apart from that, the bearish MACD signals and the RSI line’s hovering around the 50.00 region also suggest the Pound Sterling’s further weakness. However, a previous resistance line stretched from late July 2023, close to 1.2835 at the latest, restricts the immediate downside of the quote. Following that, 50-SMA and a three-month-old ascending trend line, respectively near 1.2780 and 1.2760, will act as the final defenses of buyers before giving control to the sellers.
Meanwhile, GBPUSD buyers will need validation from the 21-SMA hurdle of 1.2872 and monetary policy announcements of the US Federal Reserve and the Bank of England (BoE). Even so, the 78.6% Fibonacci ratio of its July-October 2023 downturn and the aforementioned horizontal resistance region, close to 1.2910 and 1.3000 in that order, will be tough nuts to crack for the Pound Sterling bulls. If the Cable pair stays firmer past 1.3000, the previous yearly peak surrounding 1.3145 will be in the spotlight.
To sum up, the GBPUSD pair is likely to decline further but the road toward the south appears long and bumpy.
Crude Oil rebounds toward 200-SMA as the key week beginsWTI Crude Oil posts more than 1.0% intraday gain early Monday, after declining in the last three consecutive weeks, as energy traders brace for a rollercoaster week comprising multiple central bank announcements and top-tier data. In doing so, the black gold takes clues from a nearly oversold RSI (14) amid cautious optimism in the market. However, bearish MACD signals and the quote’s sustained trading beneath the 200-SMA keep the oil sellers hopeful of visiting the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement of its December 2023 to April 2024 upside, near $75.30. Following that, a seven-month-old upward-sloping support line surrounding $74.40 will be a crucial level for the bears to conquer to keep the reins. In a case where the commodity prices remain bearish past $74.40, it becomes vulnerable to drop toward the previous monthly low of around $72.40.
Alternatively, the WTI Crude Oil buyers’ ability to provide a daily close beyond the 200-SMA hurdle of $78.40 won’t give them the throne as a downward-sloping resistance line from early July, close to $79.50, will challenge further advances. Also restricting the commodity’s run-up is the $80.00 threshold and a two-month-old horizontal resistance region near $80.30-60. If the energy benchmark manages to remain strong past $80.60, the 23.6% Fibonacci ratio of around $83.00 and the monthly high of $84.50 will lure the bulls.
Overall, the market’s consolidation allows WTI crude Oil to lick its wounds but the bullish trend is far from the reach.
SNOWMAN Set to rally! Time to go Long!Hey Family, there is a one more stock Which is showing a great opportunity.
Key Points:-
* Formation of Range Bound in daily & Weekly TF.
* From Nov 2023 to July 2024 its in range.
* From Feb 2024 to July 2024 Tested Resistance Many times & Now Moving near Resistance.
* It's Break resistance Zone and trying to Sustain above Resistance Zone with good volume.
* Volume Buildup (Volume is Rising).
What is your view please comment it down and also boost the idea this help to motivate us. We are Certified. All views shared on this channel are my personal opinion and is shared for educational purpose and should not be considered advise of any nature.
BANCOINDIA Ready to FlyHey Family, there is a one more stock Which is showing a great opportunity.
Key Points:-
* Formation of Ascending Triangle Pattern in Daily TF.
* From Jan 2024 to July 2024 its in 200 Points range.
* From Jan 2024 to July 2024 Tested & Moving Near Resistance Many times.
* It's Break resistance Zone and trying to Sustain above Resistance Zone with good volume.
* Volume Accumulation (Volume is Highest Ever After August 2023 big move).
What is your view please comment it down and also boost the idea this help to motivate us. We are Certified. All views shared on this channel are my personal opinion and is shared for educational purpose and should not be considered advise of any nature.
CSL FINANCE Market Cap
₹ 1,155 Cr.
Current Price
₹ 507
High / Low
₹ 518 / 285
Stock P/E
18.3
Book Value
₹ 208
Dividend Yield
0.48 %
ROCE
14.7 %
ROE
15.2 %
Face Value
₹ 10.0
Debt to equity
1.06
Debt
₹ 505 Cr.
OPM
77.9 %
Promoter holding
47.4 %
Sales growth
41.2 %
Profit growth
38.9 %
CMP / FCF
-7.55
Industry PE
23.9
Pledged percentage
0.00 %
Reserves
₹ 452 Cr.
Accumulation Phase Breakout seen in India's Top Automobile StockHello Everyone, I hope you all will be doing good. I have brought a stock which has given a breakout of accumuluation phase with huge volume spike. Stock name is Tata Motors and it is a leading global automobile manufacturer. Part of the illustrious multi-national conglomerate, the Tata group, it offers a wide and diverse portfolio of cars, sports utility vehicles, trucks, buses and defence vehicles to the world.
It has operations in India, the UK, South Korea, South Africa, China, Brazil, Austria and Slovakia through a strong global network of subsidiaries, associate companies and Joint Ventures (JVs), including Jaguar Land Rover in the UK and Tata Daewoo in South Korea.
Market Cap
₹ 4,00,627 Cr.
Current Price
₹ 1,091
High / Low
₹ 1,094 / 593
Stock P/E
12.4
Book Value
₹ 255
Dividend Yield
0.27 %
ROCE
20.1 %
ROE
49.4 %
Face Value
₹ 2.00
Industry PE
27.3
Debt
₹ 1,07,262 Cr.
EPS
₹ 94.5
Promoter holding
46.4 %
Intrinsic Value
₹ 644
Pledged percentage
0.00 %
EVEBITDA
6.98
Change in Prom Hold
0.00 %
Profit Var 5Yrs
93.1 %
Sales growth 5Years
7.72 %
Return over 5years
49.3 %
Debt to equity
1.26
Net profit
₹ 31,807 Cr.
ROE 5Yr
5.84 %
Profit growth
1,266 %
Earnings yield
8.42 %
Disclaimer:- Please always do your own analysis or consult with your financial advisor before taking any kind of trades.
Dear traders, If you like my work then do not forget to hit like and follow me, and guy's let me know what do you think about this idea in comment box, i would be love to reply all of you guy's.
Thankyou.
Tata Motors is Ready for LongHey Family, there is a one more stock Which is showing a great opportunity.
Key Points:-
* Formation of Ascending Triangle pattern in daily TF.
* Rectangular Box Pattern In Weekly TF.
* From Mar 2024 to July 2024 tested resistance many times.
* From Mar 2024 to July 2024 Moving in 150 Points Range
* It's Break resistance Zone and trying to sustain above Resistance Zone with good volume.
* If resistance zone is Sustained then we can see a good move.
* Volume Accumulation (Volume is Showing Strength).
What is your view please comment it down and also boost the idea this help to motivate us. We are Certified. All views shared on this channel are my personal opinion and is shared for educational purpose and should not be considered advise of any nature.
This stock Can give you more than 400% Returns in next 2-3 YearsHello everyone, i hope you all will be doing good in your Trading and in your life as well. I have brought an Investment Stock, where you can park some money to grow in long term. In actually in stock market most of people they have made huge money by investing in Good stocks only. So this is kind of long term investing stock. This stock has good management. Indus Towers Limited is engaged in the business of object of, inter-alia, setting up, operating and maintaining wireless communication towers. The Company has a tower market share of 33% and tenancy market share of 42% which makes it leader in the telecom tower industry in India.
The Long term growth story just has started because this qtr we have seen good result from Indus Tower, and this can be continue in future. So invest and forget and make money by just doing small investment.
Market Cap
₹ 61,970 Cr.
Current Price
₹ 230
High / Low
₹ 236 / 135
Stock P/E
11.1
Book Value
₹ 87.9
Dividend Yield
0.00 %
ROCE
11.3 %
ROE
9.71 %
Face Value
₹ 10.0
Industry PE
39.1
Debt
₹ 20,704 Cr.
EPS
₹ 20.7
Promoter holding
69.0 %
Intrinsic Value
₹ 190
Pledged percentage
30.5 %(Negative)
EVEBITDA
5.78
Change in Prom Hold
0.00 %
Profit Var 5Yrs
-3.97 %
Sales growth 5Years
33.8 %
Return over 5years
-3.84 %
Debt to equity
0.87
Net profit
₹ 5,582 Cr.(Excellent)
ROE 5Yr
20.2 %
Profit growth
104 %(Good)
KEY POINTS
Leadership Position
The Co. has a tower market share of 33% and tenancy market share of 42% which makes it leader in the telecom tower industry in India.
Pan-India Presence
As on March 31, 2022 the company’s net tower portfolio stood at 185,447 and net co-locations grew to 335,791. The closing sharing factor stood at 1.81 times per tower. It is the first tower company to have a presence across all the 22 telecommunication circles.
High Customer Concentration
The company's customers are Bharti Airtel, Vodafone Idea, Reliance Jio and BSNL.
The consolidation in the telecom industry has resulted in the exit of some players. The tenancy ratio for the company remains steady at 1.8 times
Pre-Merger Details
The company (Bharti Infratel) held 42% stake in Indus Towers Ltd before it merged with it.
It had an economic interest in ~97,000 towers before the merger.
Merger with Indus Towers
Bharti Infratel merged with Indus Towers on 19th November 2020.
As per the scheme, the company issued ~76 crore equity shares to the various entities of Vodafone Group and ~8.7 crore equity shares to P5 Asia Holding Investments Ltd aggregating to 28% and 3% respectively in the post-issue share capital of the company.
The equity capital of the company increased from ₹1850 crores to 2695 crores post the merger
Vodafone Idea Ltd received cash consideration of ~3,760 crores for its 11.15% stake in Indus Towers as it was elected/ decided by the same.
The name of the company was changed to Indus Towers Limited as per the scheme of amalgamation.
Change in Shareholding Pattern
Vodafone Plc sold 7.1% of its stake in Indus Towers for a total consideration of ~Rs. 3,831 Crores. Out of this, 4.7% was acquired by Bharti Airtel for a consideration of Rs. 2,388 Crores while the remaining 2.4% was sold to other investors. As a result of these transactions, Vodafone Plc’s holding has decreased from ~28% to 21%, and Bharti Airtel’s holding has increased from ~42% to ~46%.
Focus
The Co. will focus on diversifying into new areas like FTTH (Fiber To The Home), Active Maintenance, and Fiber Maintenance.
Disclaimer:- Please always do your own analysis or consult with your financial advisor before taking any kind of trades.
Dear traders, If you like my work then do not forget to hit like and follow me, and guy's let me know what do you think about this idea in comment box, i would be love to reply all of you guy's.
Thankyou.
MSTCLTD is ready for big MoveHey Family, there is a one more stock Which is showing a great opportunity.
Key Points:-
* Formation of Pole & Flag pattern in Daily TF.
* From Jan 2024 to July 2024 tested resistance many times.
* It's Near resistance Zone and trying to sustain above Resistance Zone with good volume.
* If resistance zone is Sustained then we can see a good move to 1138.
* Volume Accumulation (Volume is Showing Strength).
What is your view please comment it down and also boost the idea this help to motivate us. We are Certified. All views shared on this channel are my personal opinion and is shared for educational purpose and should not be considered advise of any nature.
EURUSD bears keep reins with eyes on US GDP, ECB’s LagardeEURUSD licks its wounds at the lowest level in a fortnight as sellers jostle with a 200-bar Exponential Moving Average (EMA) support ahead of the US Q2 GDP and a speech from European Central Bank (ECB) President Christine Lagarde. In doing so, the Euro pair justifies the early-week breakdown of a month-old rising support line, now immediate resistance near 1.0900. However, downbeat RSI conditions and a looming bull cross on the MACD hint at the quote’s corrective bounce off the stated EMA support of 1.0825. In a case where the Euro prices remain weak past 1.0825, the 1.0800 threshold and 61.8% Fibonacci ratio of April-July upside, near 1.0735, followed by the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement level of 1.0675, will be important to watch for the bears ahead of targeting the yearly low marked in April surrounding 1.0600.
Alternatively, downbeat US statistics could join the hawkish comments from ECB’s Lagarde to underpin the EURUSD pair’s rebound from the key EMA support of 1.0825. The same line highlights the support-turned-resistance line stretched from late June, near the 1.0900 threshold at the latest. It’s worth noting, however, that the Euro buyer’s ability to keep the reins past 1.0900 depends on a clear upside break of an upward-sloping resistance line stretched from early April, around 1.0950 as we write. Following that, the bulls can easily challenge the 1.1000 psychological magnet.
Overall, EURUSD prices are likely to remain weak unless crossing 1.0950. However, the downside room appears limited and may lack momentum due to the scheduled data/events.