Gold : Almost flat in Holiday weak Gold price is now trading in structure like a bearish flag, which usually means it might not be done falling yet.
Right now, gold's hanging out around 2,619-20, near to weekly pivot point " If price decides to break out below this flag, it's probably going to keep sliding down, looking for support at lower levels. If by some chance it decides to pop up, it'll have to fight through some resistance to keep climbing and the main resistance that we have to watch in higher side is 2650 for bullish continuation. Given that it's the holiday season, it makes sense that the price is just chilling out, moving sideways with not much action going on.
Trading
MTAR Technologies Ltd view for Intraday 23rd Dec #MTARTECH
MTAR Technologies Ltd view for Intraday 23rd Dec #MTARTECH
Resistance 1740 Watching above 1744 for upside movement...
Support area 1700 Below 1720 ignoring upside momentum for intraday
Support 1700 Watching below 1695 or downside movement...
Resistance area 1740
Above 1720 ignoring downside move for intraday
Charts for Educational purposes only.
Please follow strict stop loss and risk reward if you follow the level.
Thanks,
Gold is in range : Current Price Action and Intraday Levels We have seen a recent downtrend (Short Period )after hitting a peak. The price has fallen below the previous support area and consolidation range (highlighted in yellow),and currently consolidating (In grey Box)suggesting sideways to bearish momentum. However, the consolidation could also imply that the market might be looking for direction (Wait for break in any direction).
Current Price Action: Gold is currently priced at around $2,624.235, which is slightly above the pivot point (P) at $2,624.000. The price has shown a recent decline from the high of around $2,673.453, indicating a bearish sentiment in the short term.
Resistance Levels based on Weekly Pivots:
R1 is at $2,664.085, which was recently tested and acted as resistance. If the price moves up, this level could act as a resistance again.
R2 at $2,704.560 and R3 at $2,744.645 are further resistance levels to watch if there's a strong bullish move.
Support Levels based on Weekly Pivots:
S1 is at $2,583.525, which is quite close to the current price. If the price breaks below the pivot point, this could be the first support level to watch.
S2 at $2,543.440 and S3 at $2,502.965 are deeper support levels where buyers might step in.
As discussed in weekly analysis video I am currently waiting for a swing buy opportunity ; and waiting for Lower level in 2550-2530 or Low area , or need confirmation above 2650 if price want to move directly in higher side without testing the lower levels .
2 Potential Swing trading stocks for 23 December MarketsI daily make educational content videos for swing / positional trading
Both are Potential swing trading ideas that are not active yet. I have explained the setup, pattern, and line-making behind them with a solid plan. Let's see if the plan gets activated.
PCR in Trading However, no PCR can be considered ideal, but usually, a PCR below 0.7 is typically viewed as a strong bullish sentiment while a PCR more than 1 is usually considered as a strong bearish sentiment.
A high PCR indicates a bearish sentiment, as more traders buy puts, expecting the market to decline. Similarly, a low PCR suggests a bullish sentiment, with more traders buying calls in anticipation of a market rise.
PCR > 1: When the PCR is greater than 1, it suggests that there are more open put contracts than call contracts, indicating a bearish sentiment. Traders and investors anticipate the underlying asset's price to fall. PCR = 1: When the PCR is close to 1, it implies a balanced sentiment in the market.
How to draw support & resistance To identify support or resistance, you have to look back at the chart to find a significant pause in a price decline or rise. Then look forward to see whether a price halts or reverses as it approaches that level.
he Fibonacci indicator consists of Fibonacci retracement levels, which are 23.6%, 38.2%, 50%, 61.8% and 78.6% which are drawn between two price levels and can be used to indicate support and resistance in the market.
Option and Database trading To study an option chain, focus on the current market price, displayed in the centre. Analyse the built-up data to understand market direction based on recent changes in open interest and price. ITM call options are typically highlighted in yellow, making it easier to distinguish them from other options.
The put-call ratio measures trading volume using put options versus call options. Instead of the absolute value of the put-call ratio, the changes in its value indicate a change in overall market sentiment.
RSI Divergence Trading RSI divergence is fairly reliable, especially when used alongside other technical indicators for confirmation. However, like all technical tools, it's not foolproof and should be used as part of a broader strategy that includes risk management.
A bullish divergence occurs when the price of a security is moving downwards along with making lower lows while the RSI indicator is making higher lows. These movements indicate an increasing bullish momentum where traders can enter a long position when the security shows signs of upward reversal.
Examples of bullish RSI divergence: Example 1: Stock price falls to a new low, but RSI forms a higher low. Example 2: Forex pair decreases in value, but RSI shows increasing troughs. Example 3: Cryptocurrency drops, but RSI indicates an upward momentum shift
Lecture For Option Trader If you think the stock price will move up: buy a call option, sell a put option. If you think the stock price will stay stable: sell a call option or sell a put option. If you think the stock price will go down: buy a put option, sell a call option
Derivatives - Options & Futures: Interactive Brokers.
Practical Guide to Trading: Interactive Brokers.
Trading Strategies in Emerging Markets: Indian School of Business.
Pricing Options with Mathematical Models: Caltech.
BULL VS BEAR (A.D.X)The average directional index (ADX) is a technical indicator used by traders to determine the strength of a financial security's price trend. It helps them reduce risk and increase profit potential by trading in the direction of a strong trend.
Is ADX good for day trading?
There are far too many fake breakouts that can leave traders trapped in a bad trade position. The ADX helps validate breakouts. That is, when the price breaks out with an ADX reading of above 25, it implies that momentum in the new direction can be sustained
NIFTY Support and Resistance For NIFTY (NSE Nifty 50), the support and resistance levels are typically determined using technical analysis. These levels represent key price points at which the index is likely to either reverse direction or experience a significant pause in its movement.
Since I do not have real-time data access, I'll guide you on how to determine 1-day (1D) support and resistance for NIFTY using common methods. You can apply these techniques using charting tools or financial platforms like TradingView, MetaTrader, or similar platforms that provide real-time market data.
1. Support Level:
Support is the price level at which the index tends to find buying interest, causing a potential price reversal or halt in a downward trend.
Support is formed at previous price lows or significant levels where NIFTY has bounced up in the past.
2. Resistance Level:
Resistance is the price level at which selling interest tends to emerge, preventing the price from moving higher and potentially causing a reversal or a slowdown in upward momentum.
Resistance is found at previous price highs or significant levels where NIFTY has previously struggled to break above.
Common Techniques to Identify Support and Resistance:
Pivot Points (for intraday trading):
Pivot points provide a mathematical calculation for predicting potential support and resistance levels for the day.
Key pivot levels are calculated based on the previous day's high, low, and close prices:
Pivot Point
=
High
+
Low
+
Close
3
Pivot Point=
3
High+Low+Close
First Resistance (R1) = (2 × Pivot Point) − Low
First Support (S1) = (2 × Pivot Point) − High
Second Resistance (R2) = Pivot Point + (High − Low)
Second Support (S2) = Pivot Point − (High − Low)
Fibonacci Retracement:
Fibonacci retracement levels are popular for identifying potential support and resistance zones. The key retracement levels are 23.6%, 38.2%, 50%, 61.8%, and 100%.
To plot Fibonacci retracement, you identify the significant swing high and swing low on the chart and apply the Fibonacci tool. The retracement levels often coincide with important support and resistance zones.
Previous Highs and Lows:
Look at past price action, especially the previous day's high and low points. These are often the first areas of support and resistance.
Resistance is typically found near the previous day's high.
Support is usually near the previous day's low.
Trendlines:
Drawing trendlines on the chart connecting multiple highs and lows can help identify sloping support and resistance levels.
Uptrend support is drawn along the rising lows.
Downtrend resistance is drawn along the falling highs.
NIFTY PREDICTIONS.... BEARISH OUTLOOK FOR DECEMBER 2024. I'll try explaining my Nifty chart analysis through Elliot waves.
Nifty, again, is likely correcting in a 5-wave pattern. After reaching an ATH of 24274, Nifty's downside waves/correction started towards the end of September.
Wave (1) moved in a 5-wave pattern and ended around 24700, as marked in the chart.
Wave (2) had a zig-zag pattern and ended around 25200.
Wave (3) also had a 5-wave pattern, falling 1.23 times wave 1 to end around 23300 levels.
Wave (4)- Nifty is currently in this wave, which is probably in a zig-zag pattern. Wave (4), as usual, notoriously has violent moves on either side, giving challenges to traders.
Probable levels of termination of wave (4) are 24800 {0.5 of waves (1-3)}and 25150 {0.618 of waves (1-3).
Wave (5) - Assuming wave (4) termination around 25150, we can expect a big correction in Nifty to 22700 levels. This wave (5) alone can cause approximately 10% fall in Nifty.
Remember,
THE MARKET IS ALWAYS RIGHT.
Trade with appropriate stoploss.
TECHNICAL CLASS of trading Technical trading is a broader style that is not necessarily limited to trading. Generally, a technician uses historical patterns of trading data to predict what might happen to stocks in the future. This is the same method practiced by economists and meteorologists: looking to the past for insight into the future.
Algo Trading Made Easy.
Technical Trading Made Easy: Online Certification Course.
Stock Valuation Made Easy.
Candlesticks Made Easy: Candlestick Pattern Course.
Options Trading Made Easy: Options Trading Course.
Commodity Markets Made Easy: Commodity Trading Course.
Relative Strength Index (RSI) IndicatorThe relative strength index (RSI) is a momentum indicator used in technical analysis. RSI measures the speed and magnitude of a security's recent price changes to detect overbought or oversold conditions in the price of that security. The RSI is displayed as an oscillator (a line graph) on a scale of zero to 100.
RSI readings below 30 signal buy opportunities, indicating the asset is undervalued. Conversely, RSI readings above 70 signal sell opportunities, suggesting the asset is overvalued. A value of 50 signifies a balance between bullish and bearish positions or a neutral stance.
Gold Prices Drop Under Pressure From US Economic DataOn the 4-hour chart, gold prices have just experienced a sharp decline, currently trading around $2,602/ounce, after falling sharply from a recent high of $2,659/ounce. This weakness comes from the stronger-than-expected US retail sales data, reaching 0.7%, increasing the possibility of the Fed delaying its interest rate cut plan.
Currently, gold prices have fallen deeply below both the 34-EMA and 89-EMA, indicating that the short-term downtrend is dominant. The nearest important support zone is located at $2,580, and if this level is broken, the price may continue to decline to the $2,550 area. On the contrary, the current important resistance zone at $2,620 will need to be overcome to create recovery momentum.
I believe that gold prices will continue to face downward pressure in the short term, with the possibility of testing the support zone of $2,580. However, the upcoming FED meeting will play an important role in determining the long-term trend. Investors should carefully monitor the signals from the market.
EUR/USD Continues Downtrend After Key BreakOn the 4-hour chart, the EUR/USD pair broke the key support at 1.0450, confirming the continuation of the downtrend. After the breakout, the price had a slight recovery but did not have enough momentum to break above the 1.0450 area, which has now become a strong resistance.
The pair is below both the 34 EMA and 89 EMA, indicating that the downtrend is still dominant.
The next support zone is at 1.0350, and if this level is broken, the price is likely to continue falling towards the 1.0300 area or lower.
I expect the price to continue falling in the coming sessions. The short-term target is the 1.0350 area, and if selling pressure continues to increase, the pair could test the 1.0300 area.
USD/JPY Rises Strongly After Breaking Out of Consolidation ZoneOn the 1-hour chart, USD/JPY has just broken through the important resistance zone at 154.50-154.80 and is retesting it as potential support. The current upside momentum is supported by both the 34 EMA and 89 EMA, with the 34 EMA acting as the nearest support.
I expect USD/JPY to continue rising in the coming session. The price is likely to test and surpass 155.00, with a short-term target at 155.50.
Gold Still Looking weak Gold prices have shown weakness, with the market currently positioned below key resistance levels, suggesting a bearish outlook in Intra day. The immediate resistance is seen at the previous support level around 2620-2625, which may act as a psychological barrier for the price to overcome.
Immediate Resistance: 2620-2625 - This level has previously acted as support but now could serve as resistance. A move above this could signal a potential short-term recovery.
Immediate Support: 2588 - This level corresponds to the close on FOMC day, representing a critical support area where buyers might step in if the price tests this level again.
If gold fails to hold above the FOMC day close, there's a risk of further downside also 2580 level acting as a key trendline support, where a failure could lead to more significant declines. The next significant support to watch is around 2568 or a potential move towards 2569 (Fib extension 0.618) if current trends persist, and further levels down to 2537 (November's low), which is a high volume node where buying interest might re-emerge. A break below this could lead to further declines, targeting lower supports; For a bullish signal, gold would need to convincingly close above 2650 if it reverse without breaking 2588 on day close.
Trent Long | 19 Dec | IntradayTrade setup of either of case happens
1. Price closes above 7140 15min then we enter with 7080 SL and target 7200+ with RR of 1:1
2. Price goes to down first and take support or show rejection at lower levels around 7020-40
We enter with wither day low SL or 6980-6940 as per Risk apetite for 7000-7200 RR > 2
2 Amazing swing trading idea for 20 December MarketsBoth are Breakout trading ideas. One has a nice volume cluster concept along with a nearby hidden line. The other seems like a sleek price action pattern on a weekly time frame but needs closing on Friday. Make your journals for the same, and let's observe the charts tomorrow.
Gold after FOMCAS EXPECTED , in previous post on gold the price was looking weak and after FOMC we have seen a decent correction in alignment with that view , on daily time frame price breakdown two supports I.e., 2620 and 2600, as you can see on the chart the price is now bouncing from lower TF oversold areas but still looking weak, next support as per weekly pivot is at 2568 and then 2530-35 area, As I am waiting from last week for this area for potential bottom in December so that I can plan a swing buy trade from this area. As per current PA ,last day candle is good bearish candle so there is no confirmation of any buy opportunity right now so it's better to wait for more confirmation from lower levels before entering in swing buy .
2 Amazing swing trading idea for 19 December MarketsI daily make educational content videos for swing / positional trading
Analyzed Gravita and Technoe stocks based on counter-trendline breakout price action, mother candles, and pattern trading. Despite solid setups, I discussed risk management and why I chose not to enter. Perfect examples of amazing price action opportunities!