IRCTC Descending Channel breakout to watch.Descending Channel:
The price is trending downwards within a well-defined descending channel (yellow lines), with lower high and lower lows indicating a bearish trend.
Key Support and Resistance Levels:
Support:
788.50 appears to be a strong support level, as shown by the blue horizontal line, below that it can move towards 725 represents a more significant lower support level.
Resistance:
850 being the previous high and immediate resistance.
914.75 is resistance levels within the current channel.
A breakout above the 993.65 resistance could indicate further bullish momentum which till for new all time high.
RSI (Relative Strength Index):
The RSI is hovering near 53.64, It indicates a neutral to slightly bullish sentiment.
Recent Price Action:
The price has bounced off the 788.50 support and is attempting to move upward, nearing the channel's upper boundary. A breakout from the channel could signal a trend reversal.
Volume:
Volume appears moderate, which might suggest the need for stronger buying interest to sustain an upward breakout.
Potential Strategies:
Bullish Scenario: If the price breaks above the descending channel and closing above 850 resistance with strong volume, it could indicate a bullish trend reversal till 914.75
Bearish Scenario: A rejection at the channel's upper boundary or resistance levels of 850 may lead to further downside toward 725 or even 670.
Disclaimer -
The information provided herein is for educational purposes only. It does not constitute financial, investment, or trading advice. Consult a qualified financial advisor before making any financial decisions.
We are not liable for any monetary loss, that may arise directly or indirectly from the use of information provided
Trading
Lecher for Option TraderEven if you are a beginner, options trading can be a good call. However, make sure you have an online broker to help you and a margin account ready. When your options trading is approved, the orders can be entered to trade these options.
For instance, consider buying a call option for 100 shares of Company X at a strike price of Rs. 110, with an expiry on December 1. If, on December 1, Company X shares trade above Rs. 110, you can exercise the option, buying shares at a lower price to profit from the market price.
Professional option TradingWhen you trade options, you're essentially placing a bet on if a stock will decrease, increase or remain the same in value; how much it will deviate from its current price; and in what time those changes will occur. Based on those parameters, you can choose to enter into a contract to buy or sell a company's stock.
Trading options offers a number of benefits for an active trader: Options can offer high returns and do so over a short period, allowing you to multiply your money quickly if your wager is right. With options, it can cost less to get the same exposure to a stock's price movement than it does to buy the stock directly.
Zuari looks good for a long position. Wait for a close above 258. Volumes are picking up with price movement.
Risky trade as the stock tends to give deep pullbacks. At present, the breakout candle is forming an upper long wick.
Safe traders wait for a close, deploy 30-40% now and wait for a retest to deploy the rest.
W Pattern Neckline & Falling Trendline Breakout seen in HavellsHello Everyone, i hope you all will be doing good in your trading and your life as well. Today i have brought a stock which has taken perfectly support at upward support trendline and formed a double bottom (W) pattern and also given a faliing resistance trendline breakout on daily timeframe price is still above to neckline and falling resistance trendline. Stock is giving good discounted entry price at these levels. Stock is down almost 17% from all time high., stock name is Havells India Limited and it is a leading Fast Moving Electrical Goods (FMEG) Company and a major power distribution equipment manufacturer with a strong global presence. It enjoys enviable market dominance across a wide spectrum of products, including Industrial & Domestic Circuit Protection Devices, Cables & Wires, Motors, Fans, Modular Switches, Home Appliances, Air Conditioners, Electric Water Heaters, Power Capacitors, Luminaires for Domestic, Commercial and Industrial Applicationsand.
Company is almost debt free.
Company has been maintaining a healthy dividend payout of 42.5%.
Company's working capital requirements have reduced from 16.7 days to 12.6 days.
Stock is good for short term to long term, Company is consistent profit maker every year it is posting exponantial growth on profits.
Market Share
The company has a market share of 10-15% for products like modular switches, SDA, Lighting, cables, and ACs and a 15-20% market share in the water heaters, MCBs, fans, and wires business.
Fundamental Analysis
P/E ratio is 76.3379 which is lower than it's Industry P/E 76.34
Interest Coverage ratio is 21.28
Stock has given a return of 30.9% in last 52 Weeks
ROCE is 25.46%
ROCE 25.46% has increased as compared to last year's ROCE 23.07%
ROE is 18.07%
ROE 25.46% has increased as compared to last year's ROE 23.07%
Operating Profit Margin (EBITDA Margin) is 10.12%
Operating Profit Margin (EBITDA Margin) 10.12% has improved as compared to last year's OPM 9.58%
Net Profit Margin (PAT Margin) 6.84% has improved as compared to last year's NPM 6.34%
Free Cash Flow yield is 1.32%
Free Cash Flow yield 1.32% has improved as compared to 5 Yrs avg FCF yield 1.19%
Cash Conversion Days 10.39 has improved as compared to 5 Yrs avg Cash Conversion Days 11.24
Annual Profit has grown over by 18.56%
3 Years Sales CAGR is 25.34%
3 Years Profit CAGR is 20.03%
Quarterly Sales has grown over by 16.38% YoY
DII have increased their stakes by 0.39% in the latest quarter (8.28% to 8.67%)
Promoters + FIIs + DIIs hold 92.84% in the company
Disclaimer:- Please always do your own analysis or consult with your financial advisor before taking any kind of trades.
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EUR/USD Unexpected DropThe EUR/USD currency pair has been showing significant volatility recently, with the current trend being bearish, as it has broken above both the 34 and 89 EMAs. This indicates an increase in selling pressure, with the current price at 1.05240, lower than the previous days, and approaching the important support level at 1.05000. Notably, there is also a gap on the chart, indicating a sudden interruption in trading, which is often a sign of sudden important news or events.
Personal opinion: In the current context, although the bearish trend may be worrying for many investors, I believe that this could also be an opportunity to buy at low prices if the euro starts to recover. The fact that the price is currently below both EMAs could further deepen the downtrend, but this could also lead to a strong recovery if there are supporting factors from economic data or from the policies of the European Central Bank.
How to Navigate Gold Investments in the Current Context?In recent days, gold prices have seen a significant decline, currently at $2,630/ounce, down to $18. This reflects clear pressure from investors as they see that US inflation is not yet "hot" enough to expect an early interest rate cut from the Fed, although the core personal spending index has increased by 2.8% over the past 12 months. In correlation with strong economic indicators and current geopolitical sentiment, gold may no longer be the safe haven it has always been.
Looking at the chart, it is clear that gold prices are struggling to maintain the important support level at $2,640, which was clearly broken in the recent trading session. Technical analysis shows that gold is trading below both the 34 EMA and the 89 EMA, which suggests that the short-term downtrend could continue. However, this also opens the door for a price recovery if there are unexpected positive economic signals.
My personal short-term view is that gold prices may continue to be under downward pressure. Stronger-than-expected US economic data and no signs of a change in the Fed's monetary policy are the main factors that are putting pressure. However, in the long term, I remain optimistic about the value of gold as a safe investment, especially in the context of central banks around the world such as Poland and Hungary actively buying gold as a hedge against geopolitical uncertainties.
PI INDUSTRIES good to buy?The daily chart of PI INDUSTRIES shows that the stock is in wave 4 of an impulse.
Wave 3 is a terminal impulse in this case as it is less than 161.8% (see fib extension in green).
And as per the rule, wave 4 of any terminal impulse can overlap with wave 1. Also, wave 4 can retrace to 50%.
We have done detailed counting, and we can see that the price is near 50% of the fib retracement of the impulse.
At this level, we can see wave C of wave 4 is standing at 127% extension. It is possible that the price can fall a little further up to 161.8% extension. (See fib extension in blue).
The conclusion is that an aggressive trader can enter between the zone of 50% (see in black) fib retracement and 161.8% (see in blue) fib extension.
For conservative entry, one can wait for the price to break and sustain above 38.2% (see in black).
The stoploss for both entries will be below 61.8% (see in red). This is quite logical because wave 4 will never close below 61.8%
Meaning, the 61.8% level is an invalidation point for all this counting and the price will fall further if it breaks 61.8%
This analysis is based on Elliott wave theory and Fibonacci.
This analysis is for educational purposes only.
This is not any buying recommendation. Please always do your research before taking any trade.
Technical AnalysisTechnical analysis is a means of examining and predicting price movements in the financial markets, by using historical price charts and market statistics. It is based on the idea that if a trader can identify previous market patterns, they can form a fairly accurate prediction of future price trajectories.
What exactly are the two types of technical analysis? Chart patterns and technical (statistical) indicators are the two main types of technical analysis. Chart patterns are a subjective type of technical analysis in which technicians use certain patterns to indicate regions of support and resistance on a chart.
Option TraderTrading options offers a number of benefits for an active trader: Options can offer high returns and do so over a short period, allowing you to multiply your money quickly if your wager is right. With options, it can cost less to get the same exposure to a stock's price movement than it does to buy the stock directly.
Divergence Trading Divergence is when the price of an asset is moving in the opposite direction of a technical indicator, such as an oscillator, or is moving contrary to other data. Divergence warns that the current price trend may be weakening, and in some cases may lead to the price changing direction.
Viaz Tyres Ltd: On the Verge of a Major Breakout or ReversalKey Highlights:
Resistance Zone (₹70-₹72):
The chart shows a well-defined resistance zone marked in red. This level has been tested multiple times without a breakout, making it a critical hurdle for the stock.
Ascending Trendline Support:
The blue trendline indicates a steady upward movement, with the stock consistently making higher lows. This trendline is currently acting as a strong support level, near ₹63.
Critical Support Level (₹53.90):
A red horizontal line at ₹53.90 highlights a strong support zone. If the price breaks below the ascending trendline, this level could act as the next major support.
Volume Analysis:
The stock is witnessing moderate volume near the consolidation phase, indicating indecision. A spike in volume could confirm a breakout or breakdown.
Potential Scenarios:
Bullish Outlook:
A breakout above ₹72 with strong volume could lead to a rally towards ₹85 or higher.
The ascending trendline suggests a positive bias as long as the price respects this support.
Bearish Outlook:
A breakdown below the trendline (₹63) may push the stock towards ₹53.90, the next support zone.
Failure to hold ₹53.90 could trigger further downside.
Takeaway:
The stock is currently consolidating between ₹65-₹72, forming a critical juncture for traders and investors. A breakout above resistance or breakdown below support levels will determine the next trend. Keep a close watch on volume for confirmation of the next move.
Selling Pressure at Resistance, Downtrend Forecasting AheadThe 4-hour chart of USD/JPY shows a clear bearish pattern after the price failed to break above a key resistance level around 152.000. The slight bounce we saw recently may have been a weak attempt to retest this level, but with the lack of strong buying momentum, the price seems to be preparing for a deeper decline.
The rebound and reaction at this resistance area is typical of a distribution market, where previous buyers may be looking to cut their losses, and new sellers are entering the market. The 34 EMA has crossed below the 89 EMA, a sign that the downtrend may continue.
I appreciate the retest of the resistance level and see this as an opportunity to consider short positions. If the price breaks below the current support around 150,280, this could initiate a new bearish phase, towards the next support level around 149,000.
Gold: Turning Point at $2,650, Recovery or Bearish?On the 1-hour chart of gold, we are witnessing a crucial point as the price is trading close to the 34 EMA and 89 EMA, both of which are forming an area of technical support around $2,650/ounce. The convergence of these two EMAs, combined with the current price, provides an indication that the market may be in a decisive phase.
Technically, if the gold price holds and starts to recover above this support level, it will confirm stability and the potential for a short-term rally, towards the next resistance level. Conversely, a clear and sustained break below $2,650 could open a new bearish trend, sending the price further down, testing lower support levels.
Based on the current moves and market structure, my personal view is that gold prices are likely to see short-term stability above the EMAs, setting the stage for a mild recovery.
EUR/USD: Breakout from Triangle AccumulationThe EUR/USD 1-hour chart shows a triangle pattern forming, which is a sign of accumulation before a breakout. A breakout of this pattern to the upside, as it has recently done, could signal that the next bullish trend is likely to continue.
The price has broken above the EMA 34 and is approaching the EMA 89, which suggests that the bullish trend may be increasing. If the price sustains above the EMA 89 and continues to break above the previously drawn horizontal resistance around 1.0577, we can expect a significant upside move.
Personally, I would advise traders to closely monitor the price interaction with the EMA 89 and the resistance at 1.0577 in the coming hours to determine a suitable trading strategy. At the same time, it is indispensable to follow economic news that may affect EUR/USD to get a comprehensive view of the current market trend.
EUR/USD: Hot Spot at 1.0594, Opportunity or Challenge?Looking at the 4-hour chart of the EUR/USD pair, I see a few key points that indicate the potential for the trend to develop in the near future. The pair has recently shown a fairly clear recovery from the lows, with the price currently trading near the important resistance level of 1.0594. This level has acted as resistance in the past and could now test the ability of traders again.
From a technical perspective, the price approaching this level could lead to two main scenarios: If EUR/USD can break above 1.0594, we could see the rally continue to higher levels, possibly reaching 1.0650 or higher.
Gold Stabilizes Amid Policy and Inflation WaitLooking at the 4-hour chart of gold, we can see a sideways trend in recent trading sessions, especially during the Thanksgiving holiday when the market lacked strong transactions. The stability of gold prices at $2,636/ounce reflects investors' waiting for new signals from the market and policymakers.
The highlight of the chart is the current support and resistance levels. Gold is trading below both the 34 and 89 EMAs, indicating downward pressure, although not too strong. The recent crossover of these two EMAs suggests some price instability, but not enough to determine a clear trend.
In the current context, there are a number of macro factors affecting gold prices that investors should pay attention to. First, expectations of a Fed rate cut in 2025 based on PCE data showing slowing inflation could weaken the USD and support gold as a safe-haven asset. Second, concerns about new tax policies from the Trump administration could create uncertainty in financial markets, making gold more attractive as a safe-haven option.
Personally, I think gold is likely to remain stable or slightly increase in price in the short term, reflecting its role as a hedge against risk in the current environment.